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NICH

Nicholls 7 at UL Monroe 35

ULM
2022 · Week 2 · Sep 10, 2022 · Malone Stadium
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Win probability · ULM
modelULM aheadNICH aheadconfidence bandkey playULM scoreNICH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 11:01 · Devyn McCormick punt for 39 yds, downed at the NicSt 32
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+25.5+12.80−12.8−25.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 8Pregame prior+15.1Home team on offense+0.0Garbage-time factor−0.1Score differential−0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:01: Kohen Granier pass complete to K.J. Franklin for 18 yds to the LaMon 7 for a 1ST down — NICH win probability +2.7 pts (now 39%) (top driver: NICH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:15: Timeout NICHOLLS ST, clock 11:15 — ULM win probability +12.1 pts (now 60%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  3. TD · Q4 11:21: Chandler Rogers 9 Yd Run (Calum Sutherland Kick) — NICH win probability +4.5 pts (now 63%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 11:13: Kohen Granier pass complete to Tank McMath for 10 yds to the LaMon 47 for a 1ST down — NICH win probability +12.5 pts (now 75%) (top driver: NICH has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 4:57: Zack Martin run for 5 yds to the NicSt 49 — ULM win probability +10.9 pts (now 26%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ULM made the numbers' call on 3 of 7NICH made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00ULM 4th & 22 at ULM 24, tied
    Close callWent for it · 63.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    63.2%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    63.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:01ULM 4th & 17 at ULM 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.7%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.9%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:45ULM 4th & 20 at ULM 47, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.8%−1.6
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:39NICH 4th & 1 at NICH 19, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsPunted · 52.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.1%−1.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:21NICH 4th & 5 at ULM 46, up 7
    Close callPunted · 48.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.8%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    47.5%−1.4
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    48.5%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:42ULM 4th & 2 at ULM 39, down 7
    Close callPunted · 49.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.4%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:33NICH 4th & 9 at NICH 26, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.0%−1.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.5%
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:29NICH 4th & 2 at NICH 33, up 7
    Close callPunted · 56.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:52NICH 4th & 10 at ULM 24, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 64.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.8%−1.6
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.4%
    68% to make
    Punt
    54.7%−9.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:49ULM 4th & 5 at ULM 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.8%−1.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:44NICH 4th & 9 at midfield, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.2%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.8%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:44NICH 4th & 9 at midfield, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.2%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:17NICH 4th & 2 at ULM 39, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 77.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    73.6%−4.0
    36% to make
    Punt
    74.0%−3.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:17NICH 4th & 2 at ULM 39, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 77.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    73.6%−4.0
    36% to make
    Punt
    74.0%−3.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:58ULM 4th & 1 at ULM 48, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 5.5 ptsPunted · 27.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.0%−5.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:58ULM 4th & 1 at ULM 48, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 5.5 ptsPunted · 27.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.0%−5.5
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:57NICH 4th & 6 at ULM 46, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 84.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    82.3%−2.6
    23% to make
    Punt
    84.0%−1.0
    average punt
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ULMDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 4 yds · 3:5966% → 66%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
66.2%
Chandler Rogers run for 2 yds to the LaMon 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
66.2%
Malik Jackson run for 2 yds to the LaMon 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+7
66.2%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Jevin Frett for 7 yds to the LaMon 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
66.2%
Malik Jackson run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaMon 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 34
-10
66.2%
UL MONROE Penalty, Offensive Holding (Tyrone Howell) to the LaMon 32Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 32
-8
66.2%
Alred Luke run for a loss of 8 yards to the LaMon 24Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 22
OWN 24
+5
66.2%
Chandler Rogers run for 5 yds to the LaMon 29Similar
Q1 11:01
4TH & 17
OWN 29
0
65.5%
Devyn McCormick punt for 39 yds, downed at the NicSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0034% → 35%
Q1 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-6
65.7%
Julien Gums run for 9 yds to the NicSt 41 NICHOLLS ST Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the NicSt 26Similar
Q1 11:01
1ST & 16
OWN 26
+2
65.8%
Kohen Granier pass complete to Marquese Albert for 2 yds to the NicSt 28Similar
Q1 11:01
2ND & 14
OWN 28
+13
65.8%
Kohen Granier pass complete to Al'Dontre Davis for 13 yds to the NicSt 41Similar
Q1 11:01
3RD & 1
OWN 41
-2
65.5%
Julien Gums run for a loss of 2 yards to the NicSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 3PUNT
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:0066% → 66%
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
65.6%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Jevin Frett for 5 yds to the LaMon 29Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+3
65.7%
Malik Jackson run for 3 yds to the LaMon 32Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 2
OWN 32
-1
65.6%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Malik Jackson for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 4TD
9 plays · 86 yds · 0:0035% → 39%
Q1 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+20
65.2%
Kohen Granier pass complete to Dany'e Brooks for 20 yds to the NicSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
65.0%
Collin Guggenheim run for 2 yds to the NicSt 36Similar
Q1 7:01
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+21
64.9%
Collin Guggenheim run for 21 yds to the LaMon 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-5
64.4%
Kohen Granier pass complete to Collin Guggenheim for a loss of 5 yards to the LaMon 48Similar
Q1 7:01
2ND & 15
OPP 48
+13
64.8%
Kohen Granier pass complete to Collin Guggenheim for 13 yds to the LaMon 35Similar
Q1 7:01
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+2
64.4%
Julien Gums run for 2 yds to the LaMon 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
64.2%
Kohen Granier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:01
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+8
64.2%
Kohen Granier pass complete to K.J. Franklin for 8 yds to the LaMon 25Similar
Q1 7:01
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+18
61.5%
Kohen Granier pass complete to K.J. Franklin for 18 yds to the LaMon 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 2:3355% → 53%
Q1 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
55.1%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Boogie Knight for 15 yds to the LaMon 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
55.8%
Malik Jackson run for 4 yds to the LaMon 44Similar
Q1 2:18
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+13
56.1%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Bugs Mortimer for 13 yds to the NicSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-9
56.2%
Zach Jackson run for a loss of 9 yards to the LaMon 48Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 19
OWN 48
+4
53.7%
Malik Jackson run for 4 yds to the NicSt 48Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 15
OPP 48
0
53.4%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 15
OPP 48
-5
53.2%
UL MONROE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the LaMon 47Similar
Q2 14:45
4TH & 20
OWN 47
0
53.3%
punt for 43 yds , Marquese Albert returns for no gain to the NicSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:0648% → 50%
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
51.9%
Julien Gums run for 4 yds to the NicSt 14Similar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+5
51.9%
Julien Gums run for 5 yds to the NicSt 19Similar
Q2 14:45
3RD & 1
OWN 19
0
52.2%
run for no gain to the NicSt 19Similar
Q2 12:39
4TH & 1
OWN 19
0
50.2%
Kylan Dupre punt for 55 yds, downed at the LaMon 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 7TD
4 plays · 74 yds · 1:2451% → 48%
Q2 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
50.8%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:39
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+4
50.6%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Alred Luke for 4 yds to the LaMon 30Similar
Q2 11:15
3RD & 6
OWN 30
+68
48.2%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Alred Luke for 68 yds to the NicSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 29 yds · 2:4943% → 46%
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
56.6%
Kohen Granier pass complete to Al'Dontre Davis for 7 yds to the NicSt 32Similar
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
56.6%
Kohen Granier pass complete to Al'Dontre Davis for 7 yds to the NicSt 32Similar
Q2 11:10
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
55.9%
Collin Guggenheim run for no gain to the NicSt 32Similar
Q2 11:10
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+15
56.3%
UL MONROE Penalty, Personal Foul (Tristan Driggers) to the NicSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
55.1%
Kohen Granier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:10
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+5
55.1%
Kohen Granier pass complete to Neno Lemay for 5 yds to the LaMon 46Similar
Q2 11:10
3RD & 5
OPP 46
0
55.1%
Kohen Granier run for no gain to the LaMon 46Similar
Q2 8:21
4TH & 5
OPP 46
0
54.0%
Kylan Dupre punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:3955% → 53%
Q2 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
55.2%
Isaiah Phillips run for 4 yds to the LaMon 24Similar
Q2 8:21
2ND & 6
OWN 24
0
55.6%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:21
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+7
54.4%
Chandler Rogers run for 7 yds to the LaMon 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
55.6%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:21
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
55.5%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Alred Luke for no gain to the LaMon 31Similar
Q2 8:21
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+8
54.5%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Zach Jackson for 8 yds to the LaMon 39Similar
Q2 5:42
4TH & 2
OWN 39
0
52.8%
Devyn McCormick punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Marquese Albert at the NicSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 10INT
5 plays · 22 yds · 1:5748% → 51%
Q2 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+15
52.2%
Julien Gums run for 15 yds to the NicSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-1
51.3%
Julien Gums run for a loss of 1 yard to the NicSt 31Similar
Q2 5:42
2ND & 11
OWN 31
+8
52.3%
Kohen Granier pass complete to Julien Gums for 8 yds to the NicSt 39Similar
Q2 3:45
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+15
49.1%
Kohen Granier pass intercepted NICHOLLS ST Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (DeAndre Keller) to the NicSt 18Similar
Q2 3:45
3RD & 3
OWN 39
-15
49.1%
NICHOLLS ST Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (DeAndre Keller) to the NicSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 11TD
3 plays · 18 yds · 0:5256% → 56%
Q2 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+7
56.2%
Chandler Rogers run for 7 yds to the NicSt 11Similar
Q2 3:45
2ND & 3
OPP 11
+3
56.2%
Malik Jackson run for 3 yds to the NicSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
55.5%
Malik Jackson 8 Yd Run (Calum Sutherland Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 1:2052% → 51%
Q2 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
48.5%
Julien Gums run for 2 yds to the NicSt 27Similar
Q2 2:53
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
48.4%
Kohen Granier pass complete to Julien Gums for 3 yds to the NicSt 30Similar
Q2 2:53
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
48.4%
Kohen Granier pass complete to Julien Gums for 3 yds to the NicSt 30Similar
Q2 1:38
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-4
46.7%
Kohen Granier pass complete to Al'Dontre Davis for a loss of 4 yards to the NicSt 26Similar
Q2 1:33
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
48.8%
Kylan Dupre punt for 14 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 13TD
12 plays · 40 yds · 1:1852% → 56%
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+11
51.7%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Jevin Frett for 11 yds to the NicSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
53.3%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Tyrone Howell for 2 yds to the NicSt 27Similar
Q2 1:33
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+12
53.3%
Chandler Rogers run for 12 yds to the NicSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
53.3%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+7
52.8%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Jevin Frett for 7 yds to the NicSt 8Similar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+7
52.8%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Jevin Frett for 7 yds to the NicSt 8Similar
Q2 0:20
3RD & 3
OPP 8
+4
51.0%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Tyrone Howell for 4 yds to the NicSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
3RD & 3
OPP 8
+4
50.6%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Tyrone Howell for 4 yds to the NicSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
56.1%
Zach Rasmussen 4 Yd pass from Chandler Rogers (Calum Sutherland Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:3155% → 55%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
45.5%
Kohen Granier pass complete to K.J. Franklin for 4 yds to the NicSt 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
44.8%
Kohen Granier pass complete to K.J. Franklin for 4 yds to the NicSt 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
44.8%
Kohen Granier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:29
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
44.9%
Kylan Dupre punt for 45 yds , Boogie Knight returns for no gain to the LaMon 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 16TD
8 plays · 87 yds · 3:4447% → 50%
Q3 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
46.5%
Andrew Henry run for 3 yds to the LaMon 16Similar
Q3 13:29
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+12
46.7%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Tyrone Howell for 12 yds to the LaMon 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+10
47.2%
Chandler Rogers run for 10 yds to the LaMon 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+23
48.1%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Jevin Frett for 23 yds to the NicSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
50.6%
Andrew Henry run for 5 yds to the NicSt 34Similar
Q3 13:29
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+3
52.0%
Chandler Rogers run for 3 yds to the NicSt 31Similar
Q3 13:29
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+13
50.5%
Malik Jackson run for 13 yds to the NicSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
49.7%
Jevin Frett 18 Yd pass from Chandler Rogers (Calum Sutherland Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 17MISSED FG
13 plays · 51 yds · 4:5358% → 64%
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
42.0%
Kohen Granier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
42.6%
Collin Guggenheim run for 2 yds to the NicSt 27Similar
Q3 9:45
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+14
43.3%
Kohen Granier pass complete to Terry Matthews for 14 yds to the NicSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
39.6%
Kohen Granier run for 8 yds to the NicSt 49Similar
Q3 9:45
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+7
39.1%
Kohen Granier pass complete to Lee Negrotto for 7 yds to the LaMon 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
39.0%
Collin Guggenheim run for 2 yds to the LaMon 42Similar
Q3 9:45
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+1
39.1%
Collin Guggenheim run for 1 yd to the LaMon 41Similar
Q3 9:45
3RD & 7
OPP 41
+7
39.5%
Kohen Granier pass complete to Al'Dontre Davis for 7 yds to the LaMon 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+10
38.6%
Kohen Granier pass complete to Collin Guggenheim for 10 yds to the LaMon 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
38.4%
Kohen Granier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:45
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
38.6%
Kohen Granier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:45
3RD & 10
OPP 24
0
39.5%
Kohen Granier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:52
4TH & 10
OPP 24
+41
36.4%
Gavin Lasseigne 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 2:0341% → 39%
Q3 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+12
40.6%
Andrew Henry run for 12 yds to the LaMon 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
41.7%
Andrew Henry run for 3 yds to the LaMon 39Similar
Q3 4:52
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+2
43.2%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Nolan Quinlan for 2 yds to the LaMon 41Similar
Q3 4:52
3RD & 5
OWN 41
0
42.3%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:49
4TH & 5
OWN 41
0
38.6%
Devyn McCormick punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Marquese Albert at the NicSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 3:0565% → 69%
Q3 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
35.1%
Kohen Granier pass complete to Marquese Albert for 15 yds to the NicSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
33.8%
Marquese Albert run for 1 yd to the NicSt 36Similar
Q3 2:49
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+3
33.5%
Kohen Granier pass complete to Neno Lemay for 3 yds to the NicSt 39Similar
Q3 2:49
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+10
33.0%
Kohen Granier pass complete to Terry Matthews for 10 yds to the NicSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
29.3%
Marquese Albert run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
50
0
28.9%
Kohen Granier pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
50
0
29.6%
Kohen Granier pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:44
4TH & 9
50
0
31.2%
Kylan Dupre punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Boogie Knight at the LaMon 15Similar
Q4 14:44
4TH & 9
50
0
31.2%
Kylan Dupre punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Boogie Knight at the LaMon 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 20TD
8 plays · 85 yds · 3:2335% → 38%
Q4 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
34.6%
Malik Jackson run for 8 yds to the LaMon 23Similar
Q4 14:44
2ND & 2
OWN 23
+4
35.6%
Malik Jackson run for 4 yds to the LaMon 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+46
35.4%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Fred Lloyd Jr. for 46 yds to the NicSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:44
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
42.1%
Malik Jackson run for no gain to the NicSt 27Similar
Q4 14:44
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+9
42.0%
ROGERS, Chandler pass to the left incomplete intended for RASMUSSEN, Zach thrown to the NSU8. PENALTY NSU Pass Interference on JONES, Kaiden enforced at the spot of the foul for 9 yards to the NSU18 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 14:44
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
42.0%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Zach Rasmussen for 5 yds to the NicSt 13Similar
Q4 14:44
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+4
42.0%
Isaiah Phillips run for 4 yds to the NicSt 9Similar
Q4 11:21
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+9
37.5%
Chandler Rogers 9 Yd Run (Calum Sutherland Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 21DOWNS
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:5675% → 77%
Q4 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+10
25.0%
Kohen Granier pass complete to Tank McMath for 10 yds to the LaMon 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:13
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
24.1%
Kohen Granier pass complete to Julien Gums for 7 yds to the LaMon 40Similar
Q4 11:13
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+1
23.9%
Julien Gums run for 1 yd to the LaMon 39Similar
Q4 11:13
3RD & 2
OPP 39
0
24.3%
Kohen Granier pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:17
4TH & 2
OPP 39
0
22.7%
Kohen Granier pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:17
4TH & 2
OPP 39
0
22.7%
Kohen Granier pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:1931% → 27%
Q4 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
30.9%
Zack Martin run for 2 yds to the LaMon 41Similar
Q4 9:17
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+7
32.3%
Bennett Galloway run for 7 yds to the LaMon 48Similar
Q4 9:17
3RD & 1
OWN 48
0
33.1%
Hunter Smith run for no gain to the LaMon 48Similar
Q4 6:58
4TH & 1
OWN 48
+4
27.3%
Braxton Guilbeau punt for 43 yds , Al'Dontre Davis returns for 4 yds to the NicSt 13Similar
Q4 6:58
4TH & 1
OWN 48
+4
27.3%
Braxton Guilbeau punt for 43 yds , Al'Dontre Davis returns for 4 yds to the NicSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 23DOWNS
8 plays · 41 yds · 2:0179% → 85%
Q4 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
21.0%
John Carrington III run for 1 yd to the NicSt 14Similar
Q4 6:58
2ND & 9
OWN 14
0
21.3%
Kohen Granier pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:58
3RD & 9
OWN 14
+36
22.2%
Kohen Granier pass complete to Lee Negrotto for 36 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:58
1ST & 10
50
0
17.4%
Kohen Granier pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:58
2ND & 10
50
0
17.5%
Kohen Granier pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:58
3RD & 10
50
-5
18.2%
NICHOLLS ST Penalty, Delay Of Game (Kohen Granier) to the NicSt 45Similar
Q4 6:58
3RD & 15
OWN 45
+9
19.8%
Kohen Granier pass complete to Dany'e Brooks for 9 yds to the LaMon 46Similar
Q4 4:57
4TH & 6
OPP 46
0
15.4%
Kohen Granier pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 24END OF GAME
9 plays · 36 yds · 4:5726% → 22%
Q4 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
26.3%
Zack Martin run for 5 yds to the NicSt 49Similar
Q4 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
26.3%
Zack Martin run for 5 yds to the NicSt 49Similar
Q4 4:57
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+4
28.0%
Garrett Hable pass complete to Bugs Mortimer for 4 yds to the NicSt 45Similar
Q4 4:57
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+2
28.7%
Garrett Hable run for 2 yds to the NicSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
28.4%
Zack Martin run for 9 yds to the NicSt 34Similar
Q4 4:57
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+3
30.6%
Bennett Galloway run for 3 yds to the NicSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
30.1%
Hunter Smith run for 9 yds to the NicSt 22Similar
Q4 4:57
2ND & 1
OPP 22
0
30.5%
Zack Martin run for no gain to the NicSt 22Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+4
21.8%
Bennett Galloway run for 4 yds to the NicSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+78.2
KEY PLAY · Q4 11:13
Kohen Granier pass complete to Tank McMath for 10 yds to the LaMon 47 for a 1ST down
-12.5
TD · Q2 11:15
Timeout NICHOLLS ST, clock 11:15
+12.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com