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NICH

Nicholls 7 at South Alabama 48

USA
2022 · Week 1 · Sep 3, 2022 · Hancock Whitney Stadium
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Win probability · USA
modelUSA aheadNICH aheadconfidence bandkey playUSA scoreNICH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 15:00 · La'Damian Webb run for 1 yd to the SAlab 35 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 5Home team on offense+0.0Pregame prior+32.3Score differential+0.0Blowout margin+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:05: La'Damian Webb run for 15 yds for a TD, (Diego Guajardo KICK) — USA win probability +1.9 pts (now 83%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  2. FG · Q1 1:54: Diego Guajardo 39 yd FG GOOD — NICH win probability +0.2 pts (now 18%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 13:50: Carter Bradley pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 52 yds for a TD, (Diego Guajardo KICK) — USA win probability +6.3 pts (now 89%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 9:27: Carter Bradley run for 4 yds for a TD, (Diego Guajardo KICK) — USA win probability +4.7 pts (now 93%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  5. FG · Q2 1:30: Diego Guajardo 48 yd FG GOOD — USA win probability +3.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USA made the numbers' call on 9 of 9NICH made the numbers' call on 10 of 12
  1. Q1 15:00USA 4th & 1 at USA 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    81.9%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:22USA 4th & 8 at USA 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.6%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:53NICH 4th & 4 at midfield, tied
    Close callPunted · 20.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.8%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:54USA 4th & 7 at NICH 21, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 81.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.0%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.1%
    74% to make
    Punt
    79.5%−1.7
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:07NICH 4th & 3 at NICH 32, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.3%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:38NICH 4th & 10 at NICH 32, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.9%−1.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:01USA 4th & 16 at NICH 49, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.7%−1.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:35NICH 4th & 2 at NICH 17, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    11.4%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:56NICH 4th & 8 at NICH 38, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.4%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:30USA 4th & 11 at NICH 30, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.6%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.9%
    56% to make
    Punt
    94.3%−0.6
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:04NICH 4th & 1 at NICH 34, down 27
    Close callPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:34USA 4th & 7 at USA 34, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.5%
    average punt
  13. Q3 12:46NICH 4th & 6 at NICH 35, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%
    average punt
  14. Q3 10:31USA 4th & 5 at USA 31, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%
    average punt
  15. Q3 8:15NICH 4th & 1 at USA 34, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%−0.8
    47% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−1.0
    average punt
  16. Q3 5:59NICH 4th & 9 at NICH 26, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:47NICH 4th & 4 at NICH 31, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  18. Q4 6:32USA 4th & 18 at USA 30, up 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  19. Q4 3:39USA 4th & 25 at NICH 40, up 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  20. Q4 2:15NICH 4th & 6 at NICH 17, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  21. Q4 2:15NICH 4th & 6 at NICH 17, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USA made the numbers' call on 6 of 6NICH made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 4:05USA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:50USA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:27USA Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:58USA Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:52USA Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:24NICH Touchdown, down 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:22USA Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USADrive 1PUNT
12 plays · 23 yds · 4:3882% → 81%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
82.3%
La'Damian Webb run for 6 yds to the SAlab 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
82.3%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Devin Voisin for no gain to the SAlab 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+3
82.3%
La'Damian Webb run for 3 yds to the SAlab 34Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+1
82.3%
La'Damian Webb run for 1 yd to the SAlab 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
82.3%
Terrion Avery run for 3 yds to the SAlab 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+3
82.3%
La'Damian Webb run for 3 yds to the SAlab 41Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+5
82.3%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Devin Voisin for 5 yds to the SAlab 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
82.3%
La'Damian Webb run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
50
0
82.3%
Carter Bradley pass incomplete to La'Damian WebbSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
50
+2
82.3%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 2 yds to the SAlab 48Similar
Q1 10:22
4TH & 8
OWN 48
0
81.0%
Jack Brooks punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NicSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 32 yds · 3:2919% → 20%
Q1 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+8
81.0%
Kohen Granier pass complete to K.J. Franklin for 8 yds to the NicSt 26Similar
Q1 10:22
2ND & 2
OWN 26
+1
80.8%
Julien Gums run for 1 yd to the NicSt 27Similar
Q1 10:22
3RD & 1
OWN 27
+3
81.0%
Julien Gums run for 3 yds to the NicSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+14
80.9%
Julien Gums run for 14 yds to the NicSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
80.7%
Kohen Granier pass incomplete to David Robinson Jr.Similar
Q1 10:22
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+2
80.8%
Kohen Granier pass complete to K.J. Franklin for 2 yds to the NicSt 46Similar
Q1 10:22
3RD & 8
OWN 46
+4
80.8%
Kohen Granier pass complete to K.J. Franklin for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 6:53
4TH & 4
50
0
79.6%
Kylan Dupre punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 3TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:4880% → 83%
Q1 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
79.8%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 9 yds to the SAlab 29Similar
Q1 6:53
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+35
80.2%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 35 yds to the NicSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
80.5%
La'Damian Webb run for 9 yds to the NicSt 27Similar
Q1 6:53
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+8
80.6%
La'Damian Webb run for 8 yds to the NicSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
80.6%
Carter Bradley run for 4 yds to the NicSt 15Similar
Q1 4:05
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+15
82.5%
La'Damian Webb run for 15 yds for a TD, (Diego Guajardo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 4FUMBLE
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:3718% → 18%
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
81.6%
Collin Guggenheim run for no gain to the NicSt 24Similar
Q1 3:23
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
81.6%
run for no gain to the NicSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 5FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:2983% → 82%
Q1 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
82.5%
Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Jalen WayneSimilar
Q1 3:23
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+3
82.5%
La'Damian Webb run for 3 yds to the NicSt 21Similar
Q1 3:23
3RD & 7
OPP 21
0
82.2%
Carter Bradley run for no gain to the NicSt 21Similar
Q1 1:54
4TH & 7
OPP 21
+39
82.0%
Diego Guajardo 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:3618% → 18%
Q1 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
81.9%
Kohen Granier pass incomplete to Al'Dontre DavisSimilar
Q1 1:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
82.0%
Kohen Granier pass complete to Lee Negrotto for 3 yds to the NicSt 28Similar
Q1 1:43
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+4
82.2%
Kohen Granier run for 4 yds to the NicSt 32Similar
Q1 0:07
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
82.2%
Kylan Dupre punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Caullin Lacy at the SAlab 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 7TD
4 plays · 83 yds · 1:1082% → 89%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
82.0%
Terrion Avery run for 2 yds to the SAlab 19Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+14
82.0%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Terrion Avery for 14 yds to the SAlab 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+15
82.1%
Carter Bradley pass complete to DJ Thomas-Jones for 15 yds to the SAlab 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+52
88.5%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 52 yds for a TD, (Diego Guajardo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:0313% → 12%
Q2 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
87.0%
Kohen Granier pass incomplete to K.J. FranklinSimilar
Q2 13:41
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
87.2%
Kohen Granier pass incomplete to Neno LemaySimilar
Q2 13:41
3RD & 10
OWN 32
0
87.3%
Julien Gums run for no gain to the NicSt 32Similar
Q2 12:38
4TH & 10
OWN 32
+38
87.7%
Kylan Dupre punt for 49 yds , Caullin Lacy returns for 38 yds to the NicSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:3789% → 89%
Q2 12:38
1ST & 15
OPP 48
-6
88.7%
Carter Bradley sacked by Tyler Morton for a loss of 6 yards to the SAlab 46Similar
Q2 12:38
2ND & 21
OWN 46
+5
88.7%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 5 yds to the NicSt 49Similar
Q2 12:38
3RD & 16
OPP 49
0
88.4%
Carter Bradley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:01
4TH & 16
OPP 49
0
88.7%
Jack Brooks punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NicSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 10DOWNS
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:2612% → 12%
Q2 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
88.2%
Julien Gums run for no gain to the NicSt 9Similar
Q2 11:01
2ND & 10
OWN 9
0
88.3%
Kohen Granier pass incomplete to K.J. FranklinSimilar
Q2 11:01
3RD & 10
OWN 9
+8
88.3%
Julien Gums run for 8 yds to the NicSt 17Similar
Q2 9:35
4TH & 2
OWN 17
+13
88.4%
run for 13 yds to the NicSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 11TD
1 play · 4 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q2 9:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
93.1%
Carter Bradley run for 4 yds for a TD, (Diego Guajardo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:318% → 7%
Q2 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
92.3%
Kohen Granier run for 11 yds to the NicSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
92.0%
Kohen Granier pass complete to Lance Williams for 7 yds to the NicSt 43Similar
Q2 9:27
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+2
91.8%
Collin Guggenheim run for 2 yds to the NicSt 45Similar
Q2 9:27
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+2
91.8%
Collin Guggenheim run for 2 yds to the NicSt 43Similar
Q2 9:27
4TH & 3
OWN 43
-5
92.0%
PENALTY NICH False Start (Parker,Jacob) 5 yards from NICH43 to NICH38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:56
4TH & 8
OWN 38
0
92.8%
Kylan Dupre punt for 44 yds , Caullin Lacy returns for no gain to the SAlab 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 13FG
15 plays · 54 yds · 5:2693% → 98%
Q2 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+9
93.4%
La'Damian Webb run for 9 yds to the SAlab 25Similar
Q2 6:56
2ND & 1
OWN 25
0
93.5%
La'Damian Webb run for no gain to the SAlab 25Similar
Q2 6:56
3RD & 1
OWN 25
+2
93.3%
La'Damian Webb run for 2 yds to the SAlab 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
93.5%
La'Damian Webb run for 4 yds to the SAlab 31Similar
Q2 6:56
2ND & 6
OWN 31
0
93.5%
Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Jalen WayneSimilar
Q2 6:56
3RD & 6
OWN 31
+8
93.4%
Carter Bradley run for 8 yds to the SAlab 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
93.7%
Omni Wells run for 8 yds to the SAlab 47Similar
Q2 6:56
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+5
93.7%
Omni Wells run for 5 yds to the NicSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
95.2%
Carter Bradley pass complete to La'Damian Webb for 8 yds to the NicSt 40Similar
Q2 3:02
2ND & 2
OPP 40
+11
95.2%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 11 yds to the NicSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
95.2%
La'Damian Webb run for 1 yd to the NicSt 30Similar
Q2 3:02
2ND & 11
OPP 30
0
95.2%
Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Devin VoisinSimilar
Q2 3:02
3RD & 11
OPP 30
0
95.1%
Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Caullin LacySimilar
Q2 1:30
4TH & 11
OPP 30
+48
98.2%
Diego Guajardo 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:261% → 1%
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.7%
Kohen Granier pass incomplete to K.J. FranklinSimilar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
98.7%
Kohen Granier pass incomplete to Al'Dontre DavisSimilar
Q2 1:30
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+9
98.7%
Kohen Granier pass complete to Neno Lemay for 9 yds to the NicSt 34Similar
Q2 1:04
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+14
98.6%
Kylan Dupre punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SAlab 31 , Caullin Lacy returns for 14 yds to the SAlab 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:3098% → 98%
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
98.3%
Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Christian WorthamSimilar
Q2 1:04
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+3
98.3%
Terrion Avery run for 3 yds to the SAlab 34Similar
Q2 0:54
3RD & 7
OWN 34
0
98.1%
Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Jalen WayneSimilar
Q2 0:34
4TH & 7
OWN 34
0
98.4%
Jack Brooks punt for 58 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:341% → 1%
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-4
98.8%
Kneel down by Nicholls at NICH07 for loss of 1 yards PENALTY NICH Illegal Substitution 4 yards from NICH08 to NICH04. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 14
OWN 4
-1
98.8%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the NicSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:072% → 2%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
97.6%
Julien Gums run for 4 yds to the NicSt 27Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 14
OWN 27
+5
97.8%
Kohen Granier pass complete to Al'Dontre Davis for 5 yds to the NicSt 32Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 9
OWN 32
+3
97.7%
Kohen Granier pass complete to David Robinson Jr. for 3 yds to the NicSt 35Similar
Q3 12:46
4TH & 6
OWN 35
+6
97.6%
Kylan Dupre punt for 45 yds , Caullin Lacy returns for 6 yds to the SAlab 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 2:1599% → 99%
Q3 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
98.9%
La'Damian Webb run for 1 yd to the SAlab 25Similar
Q3 12:46
2ND & 21
OWN 15
+10
98.9%
Carter Bradley pass complete to La'Damian Webb for 10 yds to the SAlab 25Similar
Q3 12:46
3RD & 21
OWN 15
+16
98.9%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Braylon McReynolds for 16 yds to the SAlab 31Similar
Q3 10:31
4TH & 5
OWN 31
0
99.1%
Jack Brooks punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 19DOWNS
6 plays · 35 yds · 2:161% → 1%
Q3 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
99.2%
Collin Guggenheim run for 3 yds to the NicSt 49Similar
Q3 10:31
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+8
99.1%
Kohen Granier pass complete to Collin Guggenheim for 8 yds to the SAlab 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
99.2%
Kohen Granier pass incomplete to K.J. FranklinSimilar
Q3 10:31
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+5
99.1%
Collin Guggenheim run for 5 yds to the SAlab 38Similar
Q3 10:31
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+4
99.1%
Collin Guggenheim run for 4 yds to the SAlab 34Similar
Q3 8:15
4TH & 1
OPP 34
0
98.9%
Collin Guggenheim run for no gain to the SAlab 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 20TD
4 plays · 66 yds · 1:1799% → 100%
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+14
99.3%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 14 yds to the SAlab 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
99.3%
Terrion Avery run for 11 yds to the NicSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
99.4%
Terrion Avery run for 4 yds to the NicSt 37Similar
Q3 6:58
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+37
99.5%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 37 yds for a TD, (Diego Guajardo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:530% → 0%
Q3 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.6%
Kohen Granier pass incomplete to Al'Dontre DavisSimilar
Q3 6:52
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.6%
Julien Gums run for 1 yd to the NicSt 26Similar
Q3 6:52
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
99.6%
Kohen Granier pass incomplete to Neno LemaySimilar
Q3 5:59
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
99.6%
Kylan Dupre punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SAlab 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 22TD
6 plays · 60 yds · 2:07100% → 100%
Q3 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+13
99.6%
Carter Bradley pass complete to DJ Thomas-Jones for 13 yds to the NicSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
99.6%
Omni Wells run for 5 yds to the NicSt 42Similar
Q3 5:59
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+9
99.6%
Braylon McReynolds run for 9 yds to the NicSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+15
99.6%
Braylon McReynolds run for 15 yds to the NicSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
99.7%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Braylon McReynolds for 18 yds for a TD, (Diego Guajardo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 23TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:280% → 0%
Q3 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.8%
Kohen Granier pass complete to Neno Lemay for 4 yds to the NicSt 29Similar
Q3 3:52
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+10
99.8%
Kohen Granier pass complete to Tank McMath for 10 yds to the NicSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+27
99.8%
Kohen Granier pass complete to Neno Lemay for 27 yds to the SAlab 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
99.8%
Marquese Albert run for 1 yd to the SAlab 33Similar
Q3 3:52
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+7
99.7%
Marquese Albert run for 7 yds to the SAlab 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
99.7%
Marquese Albert run for no gain to the SAlab 21Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+8
99.9%
Kohen Granier pass complete to Julien Gums for 8 yds to the SAlab 13Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 13
+3
99.8%
Kohen Granier pass complete to Al'Dontre Davis for 3 yds to the SAlab 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
99.8%
Julien Gums run for 10 yds for a TD, (Gavin Lasseigne KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 24TD
8 plays · 77 yds · 2:56100% → 100%
Q4 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
99.8%
Omni Wells run for 5 yds to the SAlab 28Similar
Q4 14:18
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+24
99.8%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Lincoln Sefcik for 24 yds to the NicSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:18
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
99.8%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to AJ Sims for 6 yds to the NicSt 42Similar
Q4 14:18
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+24
99.8%
La'Damian Webb run for 24 yds to the NicSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:18
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+9
99.8%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 9 yds to the NicSt 9Similar
Q4 14:18
2ND & 1
OPP 9
+7
99.8%
La'Damian Webb run for 7 yds to the NicSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
La'Damian Webb run for 2 yds for a TD, (Diego Guajardo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:350% → 0%
Q4 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Jaylon Spears run for 1 yd to the NicSt 26Similar
Q4 11:22
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
99.9%
Kohen Granier pass complete to Dany'e Brooks for 5 yds to the NicSt 31Similar
Q4 11:22
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Kohen Granier pass incomplete to Dany'e BrooksSimilar
Q4 9:47
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+5
99.9%
Kylan Dupre punt for 48 yds , Jamaal Pritchett returns for 5 yds to the SAlab 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 26PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 3:15100% → 100%
Q4 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
99.9%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Braylon McReynolds for 4 yds to the SAlab 30Similar
Q4 9:47
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+8
99.9%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jay'juan Townsend for 8 yds to the SAlab 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:47
1ST & 15
OWN 33
+1
99.9%
Braylon McReynolds run for 1 yd to the SAlab 34Similar
Q4 9:47
2ND & 14
OWN 34
-4
99.9%
Desmond Trotter sacked by Dillion Davis for a loss of 4 yards to the SAlab 30Similar
Q4 9:47
3RD & 18
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Desmond Trotter pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:32
4TH & 18
OWN 30
+2
99.9%
Jack Brooks punt for 49 yds , Al'Dontre Davis returns for 2 yds to the NicSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 27INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
100.0%
Kohen Granier pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 28PUNT
4 plays · -15 yds · 2:45100% → 100%
Q4 6:24
1ST & 15
OPP 30
0
99.9%
Omni Wells run for no gain to the NicSt 30Similar
Q4 6:24
2ND & 25
OPP 40
+3
99.9%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Christian Wortham for 3 yds to the NicSt 43Similar
Q4 6:24
3RD & 28
OPP 43
+8
99.9%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Isaac Mason for 8 yds to the NicSt 35Similar
Q4 3:39
4TH & 25
OPP 40
0
99.9%
Jack Brooks punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NicSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 29PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:240% → 0%
Q4 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
100.0%
John Carrington III run for 1 yd to the NicSt 14Similar
Q4 3:39
2ND & 9
OWN 14
+3
100.0%
John Carrington III run for 3 yds to the NicSt 17Similar
Q4 3:39
3RD & 6
OWN 17
0
100.0%
Leonard Kelly pass incomplete to Jacob ParkerSimilar
Q4 2:15
4TH & 6
OWN 17
+11
100.0%
Kylan Dupre punt for 44 yds , Braylon McReynolds returns for 11 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 2:15
4TH & 6
OWN 17
+11
100.0%
Kylan Dupre punt for 44 yds , Braylon McReynolds returns for 11 yds to the SAlab 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 30END OF GAME
4 plays · 17 yds · 2:15100% → 100%
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
100.0%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jay'juan Townsend for 15 yds to the NicSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
100.0%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Braylon McReynolds for 1 yd to the NicSt 44Similar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+1
100.0%
Marco Lee run for 1 yd to the NicSt 43Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 8
OPP 43
0
100.0%
Marco Lee run for no gain to the NicSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 13:50
Carter Bradley pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 52 yds for a TD, (Diego Guajardo KICK)
+6.3
TD · Q2 9:27
Carter Bradley run for 4 yds for a TD, (Diego Guajardo KICK)
+4.7
FG · Q2 1:30
Diego Guajardo 48 yd FG GOOD
+3.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com