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UTU

Utah Tech 26 at BYU 52

BYU
2022 · Week 12 · Nov 19, 2022 · LaVell Edwards Stadium
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Win probability · BYU
modelBYU aheadUTU aheadconfidence bandkey playBYU scoreUTU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 3:57 · Ryan Rehkow punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Utah 20
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingBlowout margin
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 36Home team on offense−1.8Score differential−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.6Garbage-time factor−0.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1Blowout margin−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:07: Victor Gabalis pass complete to Deven Osborne for 80 yds for a TD, (Connor Brooksby KICK) — UTU win probability +9.2 pts (now 54%) (top driver: UTU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:53: Jaren Hall pass complete to Chase Roberts for 59 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK) — BYU win probability +10.5 pts (now 58%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 5:17: Victor Gabalis pass complete to Joey Hobert for 9 yds for a TD, (Connor Brooksby KICK) — UTU win probability +9.4 pts (now 56%) (top driver: UTU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 3:15: Jaren Hall pass complete to Keanu Hill for 45 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK) — BYU win probability +12.1 pts (now 62%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:25: Jaren Hall pass complete to Keanu Hill for 4 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK) — BYU win probability +8.2 pts (now 72%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BYU made the numbers' call on 3 of 6UTU made the numbers' call on 5 of 12
  1. Q1 11:41BYU 4th & 2 at midfield, tied
    Close callPunted · 50.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.7%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:47UTU 4th & 6 at BYU 30, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 49.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.3%−<0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    49.1%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:12UTU 4th & 4 at BYU 4, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 49.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.7%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    48.5%−1.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:57BYU 4th & 6 at BYU 48, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.1%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:48UTU 4th & 2 at BYU 46, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    51.5%−1.5
    23% to make
    Punt
    52.2%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:10UTU 4th & 2 at UTU 27, down 1
    Close callPunted · 44.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.7%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:29BYU 4th & 14 at BYU 39, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.5%−0.8
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:20UTU 4th & 10 at UTU 42, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.9%−2.0
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:43BYU 4th & 2 at BYU 30, up 8
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 71.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.2%−1.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:19UTU 4th & 7 at UTU 20, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.2%−1.0
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:15UTU 4th & 3 at UTU 43, down 15
    Close callPunted · 13.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.8%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:01UTU 4th & 7 at UTU 48, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.1%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:49BYU 4th & 8 at UTU 43, up 15
    Close callPunted · 93.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.4%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    92.8%−0.7
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    93.3%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:12UTU 4th & 4 at UTU 16, down 15
    Close callPunted · 7.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.5%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.3%−0.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:49UTU 4th & 8 at UTU 27, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:39BYU 4th & 5 at UTU 15, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.2%
    83% to make
    Punt
    98.5%−0.7
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:39UTU 4th & 5 at BYU 38, down 25
    Close callWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%−0.1
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%
    38% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:42UTU 4th & 5 at UTU 26, down 26
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BYU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7UTU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 13:45BYU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:07UTU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:53BYU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:17UTU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:15BYU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:25BYU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 5:38BYU Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 10:15BYU Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 1:49UTU Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    1.1%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    1.1%
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 0:47BYU Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BYUDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 39 yds · 3:1250% → 51%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+21
50.0%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Puka Nacua for 21 yds to the BYU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+10
50.0%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Keanu Hill for 10 yds to the BYU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
50.0%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Isaac Rex for 2 yds to the BYU 44Similar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+2
50.0%
Jaren Hall run for 2 yds to the BYU 42Similar
Q1 14:53
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+5
50.0%
PENALTY UTU Offside (Kirkland,Justin) 5 yards from BYU42 to BYU47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:53
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+3
50.0%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Puka Nacua for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 11:41
4TH & 2
50
0
50.8%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Utah 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTUDrive 2FG
9 plays · 60 yds · 2:5449% → 50%
Q1 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
50.6%
Victor Gabalis pass complete to Joey Hobert for 2 yds to the Utah 12Similar
Q1 11:41
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+54
50.6%
Victor Gabalis pass complete to Deven Osborne for 54 yds to the BYU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
50.0%
Quali Conley run for 5 yds to the BYU 29Similar
Q1 11:41
2ND & 5
OPP 29
-5
50.0%
PENALTY UTU False Start (Kannike,Bayo) 5 yards from BYU29 to BYU34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:41
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+4
50.1%
Victor Gabalis pass complete to Quali Conley for 4 yds to the BYU 30Similar
Q1 11:41
3RD & 6
OPP 30
0
50.2%
Victor Gabalis pass incomplete to Joey HobertSimilar
Q1 8:47
4TH & 6
OPP 30
+47
50.2%
Connor Brooksby 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 3FUMBLE
3 plays · 9 yds · 0:1550% → 50%
Q1 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
50.1%
Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Keanu HillSimilar
Q1 8:32
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
50.0%
Lopini Katoa run for 9 yds to the BYU 34 Lopini Katoa fumbled, recovered by Utah Sam Kanongata'aSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTUDrive 4FG
7 plays · 30 yds · 1:2050% → 51%
Q1 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
50.0%
Victor Gabalis pass incomplete to Malcolm Ross-TurnerSimilar
Q1 8:32
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+15
50.1%
Victor Gabalis pass complete to Malcolm Ross-Turner for 15 yds to the BYU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+7
50.1%
BYU Penalty, Face Mask (7 yards) (Keenan Pili) to the BYU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
50.1%
Victor Gabalis pass complete to David Fisher for 3 yds to the BYU 4Similar
Q1 8:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
50.1%
Victor Gabalis pass incomplete to Malcolm Ross-TurnerSimilar
Q1 8:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
50.4%
Victor Gabalis pass incomplete to Deven OsborneSimilar
Q1 7:12
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
49.2%
Connor Brooksby 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 3:1049% → 48%
Q1 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+11
49.1%
Hinckley Ropati run for 11 yds to the BYU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
49.3%
Hinckley Ropati run for 2 yds to the BYU 31Similar
Q1 7:07
2ND & 12
OWN 31
0
49.0%
Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Puka NacuaSimilar
Q1 7:07
3RD & 12
OWN 31
+13
48.8%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Hinckley Ropati for 13 yds to the BYU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
49.9%
Hinckley Ropati run for 3 yds to the BYU 47Similar
Q1 7:07
2ND & 7
OWN 47
0
50.0%
Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Chase RobertsSimilar
Q1 7:07
3RD & 7
OWN 47
+1
49.6%
Christopher Brooks run for 1 yd to the BYU 48Similar
Q1 3:57
4TH & 6
OWN 48
0
48.3%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Utah 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTUDrive 6DOWNS
10 plays · 35 yds · 3:0952% → 54%
Q1 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
48.1%
Quali Conley run for 9 yds to the Utah 29Similar
Q1 3:57
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+5
47.4%
Quali Conley run for 5 yds to the Utah 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
47.5%
Victor Gabalis pass incomplete to David FisherSimilar
Q1 3:57
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+12
47.7%
Quali Conley run for 12 yds to the Utah 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
47.0%
Victor Gabalis pass complete to Joey Hobert for 6 yds to the BYU 48Similar
Q1 3:57
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+2
46.8%
Quali Conley run for 2 yds to the BYU 46Similar
Q1 3:57
3RD & 2
OPP 46
0
46.9%
Victor Gabalis pass incomplete to Deven OsborneSimilar
Q1 0:48
4TH & 2
OPP 46
+1
46.4%
Victor Gabalis pass complete to Joey Hobert for 1 yd to the BYU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 7TD
5 plays · 55 yds · 2:0348% → 55%
Q1 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
48.2%
Hinckley Ropati run for 1 yd to the BYU 46Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+30
48.0%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Keanu Hill for 30 yds to the Utah 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-10
49.6%
Shotgun Ropati,Hinckley rush right for 4 yards gain to the UTU20 (Kanongata'a,Sam) PENALTY BYU Holding 10 yards from UTU24 to UTU34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 20
OPP 34
+4
49.0%
Hinckley Ropati run for 4 yds to the Utah 30Similar
Q2 13:45
2ND & 16
OPP 30
+30
54.7%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Keanu Hill for 30 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:2747% → 44%
Q2 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
53.4%
Quali Conley run for 2 yds to the Utah 21Similar
Q2 13:14
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+6
54.2%
Victor Gabalis pass complete to Joey Hobert for 6 yds to the Utah 27Similar
Q2 13:14
3RD & 2
OWN 27
0
54.3%
Victor Gabalis pass incomplete to Michael MotenSimilar
Q2 12:10
4TH & 2
OWN 27
+15
55.6%
Andrew Day punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BYU 43 , Hobbs Nyberg returns for 15 yds to the BYU 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:4157% → 54%
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
56.6%
Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Isaac RexSimilar
Q2 12:10
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+3
56.0%
Hinckley Ropati run for 3 yds to the BYU 46Similar
Q2 12:10
3RD & 7
OWN 46
-7
55.7%
Jaren Hall sacked by Mackavelli Malotumau for a loss of 7 yards to the BYU 39Similar
Q2 10:29
4TH & 14
OWN 39
0
54.3%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 61 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTUDrive 10TD
4 plays · 80 yds · 0:2245% → 54%
Q2 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
54.7%
Victor Gabalis pass incomplete to Deven OsborneSimilar
Q2 10:29
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
55.0%
Victor Gabalis pass incomplete to Joey HobertSimilar
Q2 10:07
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+80
45.7%
Victor Gabalis pass complete to Deven Osborne for 80 yds for a TD, (Connor Brooksby KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 11TD
5 plays · 82 yds · 1:0947% → 58%
Q2 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
47.4%
Hinckley Ropati run for 3 yds to the BYU 21Similar
Q2 10:02
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+15
47.3%
UTAH TECH Penalty, Personal Foul (Will Leota) to the BYU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+59
57.7%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Chase Roberts for 59 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTUDrive 12TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:3643% → 56%
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
57.3%
Quali Conley run for 1 yd to the Utah 24Similar
Q2 8:53
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
57.6%
Victor Gabalis pass incomplete to Joey HobertSimilar
Q2 8:53
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+24
58.4%
Victor Gabalis pass complete to Joey Hobert for 24 yds to the Utah 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
55.4%
Jeter Fenton run for 8 yds to the BYU 44Similar
Q2 8:53
2ND & 2
OPP 44
+9
54.7%
Jeter Fenton run for 9 yds to the BYU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
54.2%
Victor Gabalis pass incomplete to Joey HobertSimilar
Q2 8:53
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+9
54.3%
Quali Conley run for 9 yds to the BYU 26Similar
Q2 8:53
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+2
55.2%
Quali Conley run for 2 yds to the BYU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+15
53.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Gabalis,Victor pass incomplete short right to Osborne,Deven PENALTY BYU Pass Interference (Robinson,Jakob) 15 yards from BYU24 to BYU09, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
53.9%
Victor Gabalis pass incomplete to Michael MotenSimilar
Q2 5:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
44.5%
Victor Gabalis pass complete to Joey Hobert for 9 yds for a TD, (Connor Brooksby KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 13TD
5 plays · 55 yds · 1:5450% → 62%
Q2 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
49.7%
Hinckley Ropati run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 5:09
2ND & 5
50
+4
50.5%
Hinckley Ropati run for 4 yds to the Utah 46Similar
Q2 5:09
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+1
50.3%
Puka Nacua run for 1 yd to the Utah 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
62.4%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Keanu Hill for 45 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTUDrive 14INT
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:3340% → 41%
Q2 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
59.7%
Victor Gabalis pass complete to Deven Osborne for 4 yds to the Utah 29Similar
Q2 2:42
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+15
59.3%
BYU Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (John Nelson) to the BYU 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 15TD
12 plays · 84 yds · 2:1762% → 72%
Q2 2:42
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+3
61.5%
Hinckley Ropati run for 3 yds to the BYU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+23
61.2%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Brayden Cosper for 23 yds to the Utah 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+18
62.4%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Keanu Hill for 18 yds to the Utah 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+12
62.9%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Isaac Rex for 12 yds to the Utah 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+8
59.3%
Puka Nacua run for 8 yds to the BYU 24Similar
Q2 2:42
2ND & 2
OWN 24
+5
59.7%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Puka Nacua for 5 yds to the BYU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
59.5%
Jaren Hall run for 9 yds to the BYU 38Similar
Q2 0:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
64.5%
Hinckley Ropati run for 2 yds to the Utah 4Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
64.5%
Hinckley Ropati run for no gain to the Utah 4Similar
Q2 0:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
71.6%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Keanu Hill for 4 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTUDrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
74.9%
Quali Conley run for 2 yds to the Utah 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTUDrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 17 yds · 2:4031% → 29%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
68.8%
Quali Conley run for 6 yds to the Utah 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
67.8%
Quali Conley run for 1 yd to the Utah 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+10
68.7%
Victor Gabalis pass complete to Joey Hobert for 10 yds to the Utah 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
67.4%
Quali Conley run for no gain to the Utah 42Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
67.8%
Victor Gabalis pass incomplete to Deven OsborneSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 42
0
68.7%
Victor Gabalis pass incomplete to Deven OsborneSimilar
Q3 12:20
4TH & 10
OWN 42
+15
71.2%
Andrew Day punt for 51 yds , Hobbs Nyberg returns for 15 yds to the BYU 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:3771% → 70%
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
71.0%
Christopher Brooks run for 1 yd to the BYU 23Similar
Q3 12:20
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+7
70.7%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Brayden Cosper for 7 yds to the BYU 30Similar
Q3 12:20
3RD & 2
OWN 30
0
70.5%
Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Isaac RexSimilar
Q3 10:43
4TH & 2
OWN 30
0
70.2%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 53 yds, fair catch by David Fisher at the Utah 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:2429% → 26%
Q3 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
70.7%
Quali Conley run for 1 yd to the Utah 18Similar
Q3 10:43
2ND & 9
OWN 18
0
71.1%
Victor Gabalis pass incomplete to Joey HobertSimilar
Q3 10:43
3RD & 9
OWN 18
+2
72.2%
Victor Gabalis run for 2 yds to the Utah 20Similar
Q3 9:19
4TH & 7
OWN 20
0
73.7%
Andrew Day punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Hobbs Nyberg at the BYU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 20TD
11 plays · 55 yds · 3:4175% → 87%
Q3 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
75.0%
Jaren Hall pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:19
2ND & 10
OWN 45
-15
74.4%
Brooks,Christopher rush middle for 5 yards gain to the BYU50 (Smith-Bejgrowicz,Kaejin) PENALTY BYU Personal Foul (Wake,Masen) 15 yards from BYU45 to BYU30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:19
2ND & 25
OWN 30
+23
72.2%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Chase Roberts for 23 yds to the Utah 47Similar
Q3 9:19
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+10
74.3%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Puka Nacua for 10 yds to the Utah 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-1
75.5%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Puka Nacua for 14 yds to the Utah 23 for a 1ST down BYU Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Joe Tukuafu) to the Utah 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-10
75.5%
BYU Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Utah 40Similar
Q3 9:19
1ST & 12
OPP 40
+27
75.4%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Christopher Brooks for 27 yds to the Utah 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-15
75.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun Hall,Jaren pass complete short left to Rex,Isaac for 0 yards to the UTU13 PENALTY BYU Pass Interference (Rex,Isaac) 15 yards from UTU13 to UTU28. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:12
1ST & 25
OPP 28
+18
79.3%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Christopher Brooks for 18 yds to the Utah 10Similar
Q3 5:38
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+10
87.2%
Jaren Hall run for 10 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTUDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 2:2316% → 15%
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
84.3%
Victor Gabalis pass complete to David Fisher for 6 yds to the Utah 31Similar
Q3 5:38
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
83.2%
Quali Conley run for 5 yds to the Utah 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
82.9%
Victor Gabalis pass incomplete to Malcolm Ross-TurnerSimilar
Q3 5:38
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-10
83.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Conley,Quali rush left for 1 yard gain to the UTU37 (Mangelson,Blake) PENALTY UTU Holding (Eldredge,Kana'i) 10 yards from UTU36 to UTU26. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:38
2ND & 20
OWN 26
+17
84.8%
Victor Gabalis pass complete to Malcolm Ross-Turner for 17 yds to the Utah 43Similar
Q3 5:38
3RD & 3
OWN 43
0
82.9%
Victor Gabalis pass incomplete to Joey HobertSimilar
Q3 3:15
4TH & 3
OWN 43
0
85.3%
Andrew Day punt for 35 yds , Hobbs Nyberg returns for no gain to the BYU 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 22INT
7 plays · 40 yds · 1:2691% → 95%
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
91.0%
Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Puka NacuaSimilar
Q3 3:10
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+14
92.4%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Isaac Rex for 14 yds to the BYU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+36
92.6%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Brayden Cosper for 36 yds to the Utah 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-10
93.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun Hall,Jaren pass complete deep right to Cosper,Brayden for 19 yards to the UTU13 (Malaki,Malaki; Sheridan,Jayden) PENALTY BYU Holding (Suamataia,Kingsley) 10 yards from UTU32 to UTU42. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:10
1ST & 20
OPP 42
0
92.9%
Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Christopher BrooksSimilar
Q3 1:49
2ND & 20
OPP 42
0
95.2%
Jaren Hall pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -12 yds · 1:4813% → 12%
Q3 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
86.9%
Victor Gabalis pass complete to Michael Moten for 3 yds to the Utah 48Similar
Q3 1:49
2ND & 7
OWN 48
0
86.6%
Victor Gabalis pass incomplete to Joey HobertSimilar
Q3 1:49
3RD & 7
OWN 48
0
86.8%
Victor Gabalis pass incomplete to Joey HobertSimilar
Q3 0:01
4TH & 7
OWN 48
0
88.4%
Andrew Day punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 2:1296% → 97%
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
95.8%
Christopher Brooks run for 8 yds to the BYU 36Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+8
95.8%
Christopher Brooks run for 8 yds to the BYU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+11
96.0%
Christopher Brooks run for 11 yds to the Utah 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
96.0%
Christopher Brooks run for 3 yds to the Utah 42Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+1
96.0%
Hinckley Ropati run for 1 yd to the Utah 43Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 43
0
95.8%
Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Keanu HillSimilar
Q4 12:49
4TH & 8
OPP 43
0
96.5%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Joey Hobert at the Utah 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTUDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:379% → 8%
Q4 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
90.9%
Victor Gabalis pass complete to Joey Hobert for 1 yd to the Utah 11Similar
Q4 12:49
2ND & 9
OWN 11
+7
91.0%
Victor Gabalis pass complete to Damani Wilks for 7 yds to the Utah 18Similar
Q4 12:49
3RD & 2
OWN 18
0
91.3%
UTAH TECH Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 11:12
4TH & 4
OWN 16
0
92.3%
Andrew Day punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Hobbs Nyberg at the BYU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 26TD
4 plays · 58 yds · 0:5798% → 100%
Q4 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
98.2%
Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Puka NacuaSimilar
Q4 11:12
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+26
98.1%
Christopher Brooks run for 26 yds to the Utah 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
99.6%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Isaac Rex for 32 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTUDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:261% → 1%
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.9%
Quali Conley run for 2 yds to the Utah 23Similar
Q4 10:15
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+4
98.9%
Victor Gabalis pass complete to Joey Hobert for 4 yds to the Utah 27Similar
Q4 10:15
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
98.9%
Victor Gabalis pass incomplete to Daniel ThomasonSimilar
Q4 8:49
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
99.0%
Andrew Day punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 28FG
11 plays · 46 yds · 5:10100% → 100%
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
99.6%
Christopher Brooks run for 8 yds to the BYU 47Similar
Q4 8:49
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+9
99.7%
Christopher Brooks run for 9 yds to the Utah 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+12
99.7%
Christopher Brooks run for 12 yds to the Utah 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
99.7%
Hinckley Ropati run for 7 yds to the Utah 25Similar
Q4 8:49
2ND & 3
OPP 25
+2
99.6%
Hinckley Ropati run for 2 yds to the Utah 23Similar
Q4 8:49
3RD & 1
OPP 23
+3
99.6%
Jaren Hall run for 3 yds to the Utah 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
99.6%
Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Chase RobertsSimilar
Q4 8:49
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+7
99.7%
Christopher Brooks run for 7 yds to the Utah 13Similar
Q4 8:49
3RD & 3
OPP 13
+2
99.7%
Hinckley Ropati run for 2 yds to the Utah 15Similar
Q4 3:39
4TH & 5
OPP 15
+32
99.9%
Jake Oldroyd 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTUDrive 29TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 1:501% → 2%
Q4 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Gabalis,Victor pass incomplete short right to Hobert,Joey PENALTY BYU Pass Interference (Criddle,Matthew) 15 yards from UTU25 to UTU40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+17
99.4%
Victor Gabalis pass complete to Malcolm Ross-Turner for 17 yds to the BYU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
99.4%
Victor Gabalis pass complete to Michael Moten for 5 yds to the BYU 38Similar
Q4 3:39
2ND & 5
OPP 38
0
99.4%
Victor Gabalis pass incomplete to Malcolm Ross-TurnerSimilar
Q4 3:39
3RD & 5
OPP 38
0
99.4%
Victor Gabalis pass incomplete to Malcolm Ross-TurnerSimilar
Q4 3:39
4TH & 5
OPP 38
+20
99.4%
Victor Gabalis pass complete to Daniel Thomason for 20 yds to the BYU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
97.7%
Victor Gabalis pass complete to Joey Hobert for 18 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 30TD
7 plays · 39 yds · 1:01100% → 100%
Q4 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
99.7%
Miles Davis run for 2 yds to the Utah 37Similar
Q4 1:41
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+8
99.7%
Miles Davis run for 8 yds to the Utah 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:36
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
99.8%
Miles Davis run for 4 yds to the Utah 25Similar
Q4 0:47
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+25
99.9%
Terence Fall run for 25 yds for a TD, (Cash Peterman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTUDrive 31END OF GAME
7 plays · 29 yds · 0:420% → 0%
Q4 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
100.0%
Victor Gabalis pass incomplete to Joey HobertSimilar
Q4 0:42
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+5
100.0%
Victor Gabalis pass complete to Michael Moten for 5 yds to the Utah 26Similar
Q4 0:42
3RD & 5
OWN 26
0
100.0%
Victor Gabalis pass incomplete to Joey HobertSimilar
Q4 0:42
4TH & 5
OWN 26
0
100.0%
Victor Gabalis pass incomplete to Michael MotenSimilar
Q4 0:42
4TH & 5
OWN 26
+5
100.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun Gabalis,Victor pass incomplete short right to Moten,Michael PENALTY BYU Offside (Greer,Hunter) 5 yards from UTU26 to UTU31, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+19
100.0%
Victor Gabalis pass complete to Joey Hobert for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:15
Jaren Hall pass complete to Keanu Hill for 45 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK)
+12.1
TD · Q2 8:53
Jaren Hall pass complete to Chase Roberts for 59 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK)
+10.5
TD · Q2 5:17
Victor Gabalis pass complete to Joey Hobert for 9 yds for a TD, (Connor Brooksby KICK)
-9.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com