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NORF

Norfolk State 7 at James Madison 63

JMU
2022 · Week 2 · Sep 10, 2022 · Bridgeforth Stadium
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Win probability · JMU
modelJMU aheadNORF aheadconfidence bandkey playJMU scoreNORF score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 5:21 · Billy Atkins pass complete to Kelly Mitchell for 6 yds to the NflkS 1 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 127Pregame prior+29.5Home team on offense+30.6Score differential+26.6Blowout margin+13.7Garbage-time factor+9.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+9.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 12:51: Kris Thornton 43 Yd pass from Todd Centeio (Camden Wise Kick) — NORF win probability +0.1 pts (now 1%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 5:47: Latrele Palmer 1 Yd Run (Camden Wise Kick) — JMU win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 12:14: Percy Agyei-Obese 1 Yd Run (Camden Wise Kick) — JMU win probability +0.4 pts (now 100%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 4:20: Devin Ravenel 8 Yd pass from Todd Centeio (Camden Wise Kick) — JMU win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 14:44: Da'Quan Felton 90 Yd pass from Otto Kuhns (Grandin Willcox Kick) — NORF win probability +1.0 pts (now 2%) (top driver: NORF has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
JMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6NORF made the numbers' call on 10 of 11
  1. Q1 10:09NORF 4th & 5 at NORF 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:09NORF 4th & 5 at NORF 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:57NORF 4th & 1 at NORF 27, down 21
    Close callPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:46JMU 4th & 14 at midfield, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:46JMU 4th & 14 at midfield, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:09NORF 4th & 17 at NORF 3, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.3
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:09NORF 4th & 17 at NORF 3, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.3
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:38NORF 4th & 14 at JMU 43, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:55JMU 4th & 4 at NORF 45, up 28
    Close callPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:21NORF 4th & 18 at NORF 2, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.3
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:53NORF 4th & 5 at NORF 30, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:21JMU 4th & 3 at NORF 7, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:21JMU 4th & 3 at NORF 7, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:20NORF 4th & 10 at NORF 25, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q3 0:20NORF 4th & 10 at NORF 25, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:29NORF 4th & 9 at NORF 26, down 56
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:29JMU 4th & 1 at JMU 47, up 56
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    100.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
JMU made the numbers' call on 9 of 9NORF made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 12:51JMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:11JMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:47JMU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:14JMU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 4:20JMU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 14:44NORF Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 8:48JMU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 6:51JMU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 2:56JMU Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 6:05JMU Touchdown, up 55 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
JMUDrive 1TD
5 plays · 74 yds · 2:0599% → 99%
Q1 14:56
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+14
99.2%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 14 yds to the JMads 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
99.2%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Kris Thornton for 7 yds to the NflkS 49Similar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+6
99.2%
Kaelon Black run for 6 yds to the NflkS 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
99.2%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Kris Thornton for 4 yds to the JMads 30Similar
Q1 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+43
99.1%
Kris Thornton 43 Yd pass from Todd Centeio (Camden Wise Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 2:371% → 1%
Q1 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
99.0%
Otto Kuhns run for 9 yds to the NflkS 30Similar
Q1 12:46
2ND & 1
OWN 30
0
99.0%
J.J. Davis run for no gain to the NflkS 30Similar
Q1 12:46
3RD & 1
OWN 30
-5
99.0%
NORFOLK ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NflkS 25Similar
Q1 12:46
3RD & 6
OWN 25
+1
99.0%
J.J. Davis run for 1 yd to the NflkS 26Similar
Q1 10:09
4TH & 5
OWN 26
0
98.9%
Grandin Willcox punt for 10 ydsSimilar
Q1 10:09
4TH & 5
OWN 26
0
98.9%
Grandin Willcox punt for 10 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 3TD
5 plays · 36 yds · 1:5899% → 99%
Q1 10:09
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
98.9%
Todd Centeio run for 4 yds to the NflkS 32Similar
Q1 10:09
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+8
98.9%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 8 yds to the NflkS 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:09
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
98.9%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 2 yds to the NflkS 22Similar
Q1 10:09
2ND & 8
OPP 22
0
98.9%
Todd Centeio pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:11
3RD & 8
OPP 22
+22
98.9%
Devin Ravenel 22 Yd pass from Todd Centeio (Camden Wise Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 4INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:511% → 1%
Q1 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.9%
J.J. Davis run for no gain to the NflkS 25Similar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
98.9%
Otto Kuhns pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 5TD
5 plays · 35 yds · 1:3399% → 99%
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
98.9%
Todd Centeio pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+6
98.9%
Latrele Palmer run for 6 yds to the NflkS 29Similar
Q1 7:20
3RD & 4
OPP 29
+20
98.9%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Kris Thornton for 20 yds to the NflkS 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
98.9%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Kris Thornton for 8 yds to the NflkS 1Similar
Q1 5:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.0%
Latrele Palmer 1 Yd Run (Camden Wise Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:451% → 1%
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
99.0%
Lex Henry run for 3 yds to the NflkS 21Similar
Q1 5:42
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+5
99.0%
ADAMS, Jaylan pass up the middle incomplete intended for PRIDE, Collis thrown to the NSU35. PENALTY JMU Offsides enforced 5 yards from the NSU21 to the NSU26 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 5:42
2ND & 2
OWN 26
0
99.0%
Jaylan Adams pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:42
3RD & 2
OWN 26
+1
99.0%
Lex Henry run for 1 yd to the NflkS 27Similar
Q1 3:57
4TH & 1
OWN 27
0
99.0%
Grandin Willcox punt for 46 yds, downed at the JMads 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 7PUNT
15 plays · 23 yds · 4:1199% → 99%
Q1 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
98.9%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 5 yds to the JMads 32Similar
Q1 3:57
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+4
99.0%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 4 yds to the JMads 36Similar
Q1 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
98.9%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 5 yds to the JMads 32Similar
Q1 3:57
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+4
99.0%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 4 yds to the JMads 36Similar
Q1 3:57
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+7
99.0%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 7 yds to the JMads 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:57
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+7
99.0%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 7 yds to the JMads 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
99.0%
Todd Centeio pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
99.0%
Todd Centeio pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:57
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+11
99.0%
Todd Centeio run for 11 yds to the NflkS 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:57
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
99.0%
Latrele Palmer run for 2 yds to the NflkS 44Similar
Q1 3:57
2ND & 8
OPP 44
-10
99.0%
CENTEIO, Todd pass to the left complete for 38 yards to RAVENEL, Devin caught at the NSU23 and advanced to the NSU6 (COLES, R.J.), out of bounds. PENALTY JMU Holding on POTTS, Cole enforced 10 yards from the NSU44 to the JMU46 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 18
OWN 46
+4
98.9%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Maxwell James for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 14
50
0
98.9%
Todd Centeio pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:46
4TH & 14
50
0
98.9%
Sam Clark punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Tremayne Talbert at the NflkS 10Similar
Q2 14:46
4TH & 14
50
0
98.9%
Sam Clark punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Tremayne Talbert at the NflkS 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 1:371% → 1%
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-5
99.0%
Jaylen White run for a loss of 5 yards to the NflkS 5Similar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 15
OWN 5
-2
99.0%
Jaylen White run for a loss of 2 yards to the NflkS 3Similar
Q2 13:19
3RD & 17
OWN 3
0
99.0%
Jaylan Adams pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:09
4TH & 17
OWN 3
+5
99.0%
Grandin Willcox punt for 41 yds , Jayden Mines returns for 5 yds to the NflkS 39Similar
Q2 13:09
4TH & 17
OWN 3
+5
99.0%
Grandin Willcox punt for 41 yds , Josh Sarratt returns for 5 yds to the NflkS 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 9TD
4 plays · 39 yds · 0:5599% → 100%
Q2 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+22
99.1%
Kaelon Black run for 22 yds to the NflkS 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+11
99.1%
Kaelon Black run for 11 yds to the NflkS 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
99.1%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Kris Thornton for 5 yds to the NflkS 1Similar
Q2 12:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.5%
Percy Agyei-Obese 1 Yd Run (Camden Wise Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 10PUNT
12 plays · 32 yds · 3:361% → 0%
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
99.5%
Otto Kuhns pass complete to Collis Pride for 10 yds to the NflkS 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.5%
Otto Kuhns pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:14
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+15
99.5%
KUHNS, Otto pass to the right incomplete intended for PRIDE, Collis thrown to the JMU45. PENALTY JMU Pass Interference on AUSTIN, Brent enforced 15 yards to the NSU50 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
50
0
99.5%
J.J. Davis run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 12:14
2ND & 10
50
+11
99.5%
Otto Kuhns pass complete to Collis Pride for 11 yds to the JMads 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
99.5%
J.J. Davis run for 1 yd to the JMads 38Similar
Q2 12:14
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+5
99.5%
Otto Kuhns pass complete to Tremayne Talbert for 5 yds to the JMads 33Similar
Q2 12:14
3RD & 4
OPP 33
0
99.5%
Otto Kuhns pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:14
4TH & 4
OPP 33
-5
99.3%
NORFOLK ST Penalty, False Start (Colby Byrd) to the JMads 38Similar
Q2 12:14
4TH & 9
OPP 38
-5
99.5%
NORFOLK ST Penalty, False Start (Baron Franks II) to the JMads 43Similar
Q2 12:14
4TH & 9
OPP 38
-5
99.5%
NORFOLK ST Penalty, False Start (Baron Franks II) to the JMads 43Similar
Q2 8:38
4TH & 14
OPP 43
0
99.6%
Grandin Willcox punt for 25 yds, downed at the JMads 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 11TD
13 plays · 82 yds · 4:1899% → 100%
Q2 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+12
99.3%
Latrele Palmer run for 12 yds to the JMads 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-10
99.3%
JMU Penalty, Offensive Holding (Tyshawn Wyatt) to the JMads 24Similar
Q2 8:38
1ST & 16
OWN 24
+5
99.3%
Todd Centeio run for 5 yds to the JMads 29Similar
Q2 8:38
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+10
99.3%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Devin Ravenel for 10 yds to the JMads 39Similar
Q2 8:38
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+3
99.2%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 3 yds to the JMads 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+31
99.3%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Drew Painter for 31 yds to the NflkS 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:38
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+9
99.3%
Todd Centeio run for 9 yds to the NflkS 18Similar
Q2 8:38
2ND & 1
OPP 18
+7
99.3%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 7 yds to the NflkS 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:38
2ND & 1
OPP 18
+7
99.3%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 7 yds to the NflkS 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:38
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
99.3%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Terrance Greene Jr. for 3 yds to the NflkS 8Similar
Q2 4:26
2ND & 7
OPP 8
0
99.6%
Todd Centeio pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:20
3RD & 7
OPP 8
+8
99.7%
Devin Ravenel 8 Yd pass from Todd Centeio (Camden Wise Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 12END OF HALF
17 plays · 74 yds · 4:200% → 1%
Q2 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Otto Kuhns pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Jaylen White run for no gain to the NflkS 25Similar
Q2 4:20
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+25
99.8%
Otto Kuhns pass complete to Da'Quan Felton for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:20
1ST & 10
50
+24
99.7%
Otto Kuhns pass complete to Tremayne Talbert for 24 yds to the JMads 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
99.7%
Jaylen White run for 3 yds to the JMads 23Similar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+8
99.7%
Otto Kuhns pass complete to Jaylen White for 8 yds to the JMads 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-10
99.7%
NORFOLK ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Da'Quan Felton) to the JMads 21Similar
Q2 4:20
1ST & 16
OPP 21
0
99.7%
Otto Kuhns pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 16
OPP 21
-9
99.8%
Otto Kuhns sacked by James Carpenter and Jalen Green for a loss of 9 yards to the JMads 30Similar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 16
OPP 21
-9
99.8%
Otto Kuhns sacked by James Carpenter and Jalen Green for a loss of 9 yards to the JMads 30Similar
Q2 0:41
3RD & 25
OPP 30
+26
99.8%
Otto Kuhns pass complete to Da'Quan Felton for 26 yds to the JMads 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.7%
Otto Kuhns pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
99.7%
Otto Kuhns run for 2 yds to the JMads 2Similar
Q2 0:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
99.7%
KUHNS, Otto pass to the left incomplete intended for FELTON, Da'Quan broken up by COKLEY, Xavier at the JMU0. PENALTY JMU Pass Interference on COKLEY, Xavier enforced half the distance from the goal, 1 yards to the JMU1 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.5%
Otto Kuhns pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 13TD
1 play · 90 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+90
98.5%
Da'Quan Felton 90 Yd pass from Otto Kuhns (Grandin Willcox Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 2:49100% → 100%
Q3 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
99.7%
Kaelon Black run for 2 yds to the JMads 31Similar
Q3 14:44
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+8
99.7%
Billy Atkins pass complete to Drew Painter for 8 yds to the JMads 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+10
99.7%
Kaelon Black run for 10 yds to the JMads 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
99.7%
Billy Atkins pass complete to Drew Painter for 4 yds to the NflkS 47Similar
Q3 14:44
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+2
99.7%
Kaelon Black run for 2 yds to the NflkS 45Similar
Q3 14:44
3RD & 4
OPP 45
0
99.7%
Billy Atkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:55
4TH & 4
OPP 45
0
99.8%
Sam Clark punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Tremayne Talbert at the NflkS 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 1:340% → 0%
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-7
99.8%
Otto Kuhns sacked by James Carpenter for a loss of 7 yards to the NflkS 3Similar
Q3 11:55
2ND & 17
OWN 3
0
99.8%
Otto Kuhns pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:55
3RD & 17
OWN 3
-1
99.8%
J.J. Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the NflkS 2Similar
Q3 10:21
4TH & 18
OWN 2
+7
99.8%
Grandin Willcox punt for 33 yds , Josh Sarratt returns for 7 yds to the NflkS 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 16TD
6 plays · 28 yds · 1:33100% → 100%
Q3 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
99.8%
Billy Atkins pass complete to Terrance Greene Jr. for 8 yds to the NflkS 20Similar
Q3 10:21
2ND & 2
OPP 20
-2
99.8%
Latrele Palmer run for a loss of 2 yards to the NflkS 22Similar
Q3 10:21
3RD & 4
OPP 22
+5
99.8%
ATKINS, Billy pass to the right incomplete intended for RAVENEL, Devin thrown to the NSU0. PENALTY NSU Offsides on VITAL, Amadeu enforced 5 yards from the NSU22 to the NSU17 and results in a 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
99.8%
Latrele Palmer run for 2 yds to the NflkS 15Similar
Q3 8:48
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+15
99.8%
Billy Atkins pass complete to Kris Thornton for 15 yds for a TD (Camden Wise KICK)Similar
Q3 8:48
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+15
99.8%
Kris Thornton 15 Yd pass from Billy Atkins (Camden Wise Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 17PUNT
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:550% → 0%
Q3 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Otto Kuhns pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:48
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
99.8%
Otto Kuhns pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:53
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+7
99.9%
Grandin Willcox punt for 17 yds NORFOLK ST Penalty, Defensive Holding (TEAM) to the NflkS 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 18TD
3 plays · 37 yds · 1:02100% → 100%
Q3 7:53
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+34
99.9%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 34 yds to the NflkS 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.9%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for no gain to the NflkS 3Similar
Q3 6:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.9%
Percy Agyei-Obese 3 Yd Run (Camden Wise Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 19FUMBLE
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:300% → 0%
Q3 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Jaylen White run for 2 yds to the NflkS 27Similar
Q3 6:51
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+9
99.9%
Jaylen White run for 9 yds to the NflkS 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Otto Kuhns pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:21
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-4
99.9%
Otto Kuhns run for a loss of 4 yards to the NflkS 14 Otto Kuhns fumbled, recovered by JMads Devyn ColesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 20TD
8 plays · 14 yds · 2:25100% → 100%
Q3 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-1
99.9%
Kaelon Black run for a loss of 1 yard to the NflkS 15Similar
Q3 5:21
2ND & 11
OPP 15
+7
99.9%
Billy Atkins pass complete to Maxwell James for 7 yds to the NflkS 8Similar
Q3 5:21
3RD & 4
OPP 8
+1
99.9%
Kaelon Black run for 1 yd to the NflkS 7Similar
Q3 5:21
4TH & 3
OPP 7
+6
99.9%
Billy Atkins pass complete to Kelly Mitchell for 6 yds to the NflkS 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:21
2ND & 11
OPP 15
+7
99.9%
Billy Atkins pass complete to Maxwell James for 7 yds to the NflkS 8Similar
Q3 5:21
3RD & 4
OPP 8
+1
99.9%
Kaelon Black run for 1 yd to the NflkS 7Similar
Q3 5:21
4TH & 3
OPP 7
+6
99.9%
Billy Atkins pass complete to Kelly Mitchell for 6 yds to the NflkS 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Kaelon Black 1 Yd Run (Camden Wise Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 2:360% → 0%
Q3 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.9%
Lex Henry run for a loss of 2 yards to the NflkS 23Similar
Q3 2:56
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
99.9%
Lex Henry run for no gain to the NflkS 23Similar
Q3 2:56
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+2
99.9%
Lex Henry run for 2 yds to the NflkS 25Similar
Q3 0:20
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Grandin Willcox punt for 19 yds, downed at the NflkS 44Similar
Q3 0:20
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Grandin Willcox punt for 19 yds, downed at the NflkS 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 22TD
8 plays · 44 yds · 8:55100% → 100%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
99.9%
Sammy Malignaggi run for 6 yds to the NflkS 38Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+5
99.9%
Sammy Malignaggi run for 5 yds to the NflkS 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
99.9%
Sammy Malignaggi run for 3 yds to the NflkS 30Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+16
99.9%
Sammy Malignaggi run for 16 yds to the NflkS 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-3
99.9%
Wayne Knight run for a loss of 3 yards to the NflkS 17Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 13
OPP 17
+4
99.9%
Alonza Barnett Iii run for 4 yds to the NflkS 13Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 13
+10
99.9%
Alonza Barnett Iii run for 10 yds to the NflkS 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
100.0%
Sammy Malignaggi 3 Yd Run (Camden Wise Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 2:360% → 0%
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
100.0%
Jordin Lennon run for 1 yd to the NflkS 26Similar
Q4 6:05
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-2
100.0%
Jordin Lennon run for a loss of 2 yards to the NflkS 24Similar
Q4 3:39
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+2
100.0%
Jordin Lennon run for 2 yds to the NflkS 26Similar
Q4 3:29
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
100.0%
Grandin Willcox punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 24END OF GAME
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-2
100.0%
Wayne Knight run for a loss of 2 yards to the JMads 36Similar
Q4 3:29
2ND & 12
OWN 36
-3
100.0%
Wayne Knight run for a loss of 3 yards to the JMads 33Similar
Q4 3:29
3RD & 15
OWN 33
+14
100.0%
Alonza Barnett Iii pass complete to Payton Hunter for 14 yds to the JMads 47Similar
Q4 3:29
4TH & 1
OWN 47
+2
100.0%
Alonza Barnett Iii run for 2 yds to the JMads 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 14:44
Da'Quan Felton 90 Yd pass from Otto Kuhns (Grandin Willcox Kick)
-1
TD · Q2 12:14
Percy Agyei-Obese 1 Yd Run (Camden Wise Kick)
+0.4
TD · Q1 12:51
Kris Thornton 43 Yd pass from Todd Centeio (Camden Wise Kick)
-0.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com