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MORG

Morgan State 7 at Georgia Southern 59

GASO
2022 · Week 1 · Sep 3, 2022 · Allen E. Paulson Stadium
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Win probability · GASO
modelGASO aheadMORG aheadconfidence bandkey playGASO scoreMORG score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 11:22 · Jordan Amadi punt for 42 yds , Amare Jones returns for 6 yds to the GeoSo 14
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 11Pregame prior+47.5Home team on offense−0.3Score differential−0.2Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1Blowout margin+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 5:33: Alex Raynor 20 yd FG GOOD — GASO win probability +0.4 pts (now 95%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:28: Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 12 yds for a TD, (Alex Raynor KICK) — GASO win probability +1.4 pts (now 96%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:11: Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 46 yds for a TD, (Alex Raynor KICK) — GASO win probability +2.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:52: Jalen White run for 5 yds for a TD, (Alex Raynor KICK) — GASO win probability +1.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:41: Jalen White run for 8 yds for a TD, (Alex Raynor KICK) — GASO win probability +0.4 pts (now 100%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GASO made the numbers' call on 3 of 7MORG made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 14:21GASO 4th & 7 at GASO 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 14:21GASO 4th & 7 at GASO 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:22MORG 4th & 2 at midfield, tied
    Close callPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:43GASO 4th & 9 at MORG 41, tied
    Close callPunted · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    97.9%−<0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:37MORG 4th & 29 at GASO 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    3.2%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    3.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:20MORG 4th & 8 at GASO 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:45GASO 4th & 7 at MORG 47, tied
    Close callPunted · 94.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:33GASO 4th & 3 at MORG 3, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.9%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.6%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    92.3%−1.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:44MORG 4th & 14 at MORG 21, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%−0.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:23GASO 4th & 7 at MORG 47, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.1%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:38MORG 4th & 3 at MORG 10, down 10
    Close callPunted · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.1%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.9%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:15MORG 4th & 5 at MORG 41, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:15MORG 4th & 5 at MORG 41, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:09MORG 4th & 9 at GASO 31, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    0.9%
    54% to make
    Punt
    0.8%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:53MORG 4th & 12 at MORG 27, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:54MORG 4th & 7 at MORG 28, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:27GASO 4th & 1 at GASO 38, up 52
    Close callPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    100.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GASO made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q2 12:20GASO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:28GASO Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 10:11GASO Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:52GASO Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 13:41GASO Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:47GASO Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 9:06GASO Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 6:43GASO Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GASODrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:3999% → 99%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.6%
Jalen White run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
98.6%
Kyle Vantrease pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
98.6%
Kyle Vantrease pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:21
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+1
98.5%
Anthony Beck II punt for 48 yds , Daymond Hamler returns for 1 yd to the MorgS 25Similar
Q1 14:21
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+1
98.5%
Anthony Beck II punt for 48 yds , Daymond Hamler returns for 1 yd to the MorgS 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 2:592% → 2%
Q1 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
98.5%
Jabriel Johnson run for 4 yds to the MorgS 29Similar
Q1 14:21
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+13
98.5%
Carson Baker pass complete to Tyler Wilkins for 13 yds to the MorgS 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
98.5%
Alfonzo Graham run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 14:21
2ND & 2
50
0
98.5%
Carson Baker pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:21
3RD & 2
50
0
98.5%
Jabriel Johnson run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 11:22
4TH & 2
50
+6
98.2%
Jordan Amadi punt for 42 yds , Amare Jones returns for 6 yds to the GeoSo 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 45 yds · 2:3998% → 98%
Q1 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
98.2%
Kyle Vantrease pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:22
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+6
98.2%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 6 yds to the GeoSo 20Similar
Q1 11:22
3RD & 4
OWN 20
+17
98.2%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 17 yds to the GeoSo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
98.2%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 1 yd to the GeoSo 38Similar
Q1 11:22
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+20
98.2%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Beau Johnson for 20 yds to the MorgS 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
98.3%
Jalen White run for 1 yd to the MorgS 41Similar
Q1 11:22
2ND & 9
OPP 41
0
98.3%
Kyle Vantrease pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:22
3RD & 9
OPP 41
0
98.2%
Kyle Vantrease pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:43
4TH & 9
OPP 41
0
97.9%
Anthony Beck II punt for 37 yds, downed at the MorgS 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 4PUNT
13 plays · 54 yds · 7:062% → 3%
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+18
97.9%
Alfonzo Graham run for 18 yds to the MorgS 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
97.9%
Carson Baker pass complete to Tyler Wilkins for 10 yds to the MorgS 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
97.9%
Alfonzo Graham run for 7 yds to the MorgS 37Similar
Q1 8:43
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+27
97.8%
Carson Baker pass complete to Alfonzo Graham for 27 yds to the GeoSo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
97.8%
Carson Baker pass complete to Jabriel Johnson for 3 yds to the GeoSo 33Similar
Q1 8:43
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+3
97.8%
Jabriel Johnson run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q1 8:43
3RD & 4
OPP 30
+5
97.8%
Jabriel Johnson run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-5
97.8%
Alfonzo Graham run for a loss of 5 yards to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q1 8:43
2ND & 15
OPP 30
+10
97.8%
BAKER, Carson scrambles to the right for a gain of 12 yards to the GS 18 (JACKSON, Khadry). PENALTY MSU Holding on ANTHONY, Chris enforced 10 yards from the GS 30 to the GS 40 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 8:43
2ND & 25
OPP 40
+1
97.8%
Carson Baker run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 39Similar
Q1 8:43
3RD & 24
OPP 39
+5
97.9%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, False Start (5 Yards) to the GeoSo 44Similar
Q1 8:43
3RD & 29
OPP 44
0
97.9%
Carson Baker pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:37
4TH & 29
OPP 44
0
96.7%
Jordan Amadi punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 5TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 4:1797% → 97%
Q1 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
96.7%
Gerald Green run for no gain to the GeoSo 20Similar
Q1 1:37
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+4
96.7%
Gerald Green run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 24Similar
Q1 1:37
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+11
96.7%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 11 yds to the GeoSo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+28
96.4%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Jeremy Singleton for 28 yds to the MorgS 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
96.6%
Kyle Vantrease pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+17
96.6%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Sam Kenerson for 17 yds to the MorgS 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
96.7%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Sam Kenerson for 5 yds to the MorgS 15Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+3
96.7%
Gerald Green run for 3 yds to the MorgS 12Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 12
+5
96.6%
Gerald Green run for 5 yds to the MorgS 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
96.7%
Kyle Vantrease pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
96.7%
OJ Arnold run for 3 yds to the MorgS 4Similar
Q2 12:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
96.8%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to OJ Arnold for 4 yds for a TD, (Alex Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:004% → 4%
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+14
96.5%
BAKER, Carson pass to the right incomplete intended for OWUMI, Joseph thrown to the MSU45. PENALTY GS Pass Interference on CANTEEN, Derrick enforced at the spot of the foul for 14 yards to the MSU49 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
96.4%
Jabriel Johnson run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 49Similar
Q2 12:20
3RD & 8
OPP 49
0
96.5%
Carson Baker pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:20
2ND & 8
OPP 49
0
96.4%
Carson Baker pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:20
4TH & 8
OPP 49
0
96.5%
Jordan Amadi punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Amare Jones at the GeoSo 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 7INT TD
5 plays · 11 yds · 1:3897% → 95%
Q2 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
96.5%
Kyle Vantrease pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:20
2ND & 12
OWN 17
+9
96.5%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Darius Lewis for 9 yds to the GeoSo 26Similar
Q2 11:20
3RD & 3
OWN 26
+4
96.4%
Kyle Vantrease run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:20
2ND & 10
OWN 19
-10
96.5%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Offensive Holding (Derwin Burgess Jr.) to the GeoSo 17Similar
Q2 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
95.1%
Kyle Vantrease pass intercepted for a TD, (Beckett Leary KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 25 yds · 2:5095% → 94%
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
95.0%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Jeremy Singleton for 8 yds to the GeoSo 36Similar
Q2 9:35
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+4
95.3%
OJ Arnold run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
95.2%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Sam Kenerson for 8 yds to the GeoSo 48Similar
Q2 9:35
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+2
95.4%
Jalen White run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
50
0
95.4%
Kyle Vantrease pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:59
2ND & 10
50
+3
94.5%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 3 yds to the MorgS 47Similar
Q2 6:59
3RD & 7
OPP 47
0
94.4%
Kyle Vantrease pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:45
4TH & 7
OPP 47
0
93.9%
Anthony Beck II punt for 37 yds , returns for no gain to the MorgS 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 9FG
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:4395% → 95%
Q2 6:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
94.5%
Jalen White run for 3 yds to the MorgS 6Similar
Q2 6:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
94.5%
Jalen White run for 3 yds to the MorgS 3Similar
Q2 5:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
94.1%
Kyle Vantrease pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:33
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
94.5%
Alex Raynor 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 10INT
6 plays · 24 yds · 1:506% → 7%
Q2 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
94.1%
Jabriel Johnson run for 3 yds to the MorgS 15Similar
Q2 5:27
2ND & 7
OWN 15
+17
94.1%
Alfonzo Graham run for 17 yds to the MorgS 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
93.9%
Alfonzo Graham run for 4 yds to the MorgS 36Similar
Q2 3:43
2ND & 6
OWN 36
0
93.2%
Carson Baker pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:37
3RD & 6
OWN 36
0
93.4%
Carson Baker pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 11TD
8 plays · 56 yds · 2:0994% → 96%
Q2 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
94.3%
Gerald Green run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 47Similar
Q2 3:37
2ND & 7
OWN 47
0
94.3%
Kyle Vantrease pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:03
3RD & 7
OWN 47
+24
94.0%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 24 yds to the MorgS 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+14
94.5%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Amare Jones for 14 yds to the MorgS 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
94.5%
Gerald Green run for 3 yds to the MorgS 12Similar
Q2 3:03
2ND & 7
OPP 12
0
94.5%
Gerald Green run for no gain to the MorgS 12Similar
Q2 1:28
3RD & 7
OPP 12
+12
95.9%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 12 yds for a TD, (Alex Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 12END OF HALF
3 plays · 14 yds · 1:214% → 5%
Q2 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
95.7%
Alfonzo Graham run for 5 yds to the MorgS 17Similar
Q2 1:21
2ND & 5
OWN 17
+6
95.7%
Alfonzo Graham run for 6 yds to the MorgS 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
95.5%
Alfonzo Graham run for 3 yds to the MorgS 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:075% → 5%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
95.0%
Alfonzo Graham run for 1 yd to the MorgS 26Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
95.0%
Carson Baker pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:51
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
95.2%
Carson Baker pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:51
4TH & 9
OWN 26
-5
95.3%
MORGAN ST Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the MorgS 21Similar
Q3 13:44
4TH & 14
OWN 21
+4
95.5%
Jordan Amadi punt for 33 yds , Amare Jones returns for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:2195% → 95%
Q3 13:44
1ST & 10
50
+2
95.4%
Gerald Green run for 2 yds to the MorgS 48Similar
Q3 13:44
2ND & 8
OPP 48
0
95.4%
Kyle Vantrease pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:44
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+1
95.2%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 1 yd to the MorgS 47Similar
Q3 12:23
4TH & 7
OPP 47
0
94.8%
Anthony Beck II punt for 44 yds, downed at the MorgS 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:455% → 5%
Q3 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+3
94.9%
Alfonzo Graham run for 3 yds to the MorgS 6Similar
Q3 11:32
2ND & 7
OWN 6
+5
94.7%
Carson Baker pass complete to Myles Wright for 5 yds to the MorgS 11Similar
Q3 11:32
3RD & 2
OWN 11
-1
94.9%
Jabriel Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the MorgS 10Similar
Q3 10:38
4TH & 3
OWN 10
0
94.8%
Jordan Amadi punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Amare Jones at the MorgS 36Similar
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-10
94.9%
VANTREASE, Kyle pass to the left complete for -4 yards to ARNOLD, OJ caught at the MSU40 and advanced to the MSU40 (MORTON, Jae'Veyon;SCOTT, Keshawn). PENALTY GS Holding on JONES, Amare enforced 10 yards from the MSU36 to the MSU46 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 16TD
2 plays · 36 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 10:11
1ST & 20
OPP 46
+46
97.8%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 46 yds for a TD, (Alex Raynor KICK)Similar
Q3 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-10
97.8%
VANTREASE, Kyle pass to the left complete for -4 yards to ARNOLD, OJ caught at the MSU40 and advanced to the MSU40 (MORTON, Jae'Veyon;SCOTT, Keshawn). PENALTY GS Holding on JONES, Amare enforced 10 yards from the MSU36 to the MSU46 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:513% → 3%
Q3 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+13
97.0%
Carson Baker pass complete to Joseph Owumi for 13 yds to the MorgS 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
96.7%
Carson Baker pass complete to Jabriel Johnson for 1 yd to the MorgS 37Similar
Q3 10:06
2ND & 9
OWN 37
0
96.8%
Carson Baker pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:06
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+4
96.9%
Carson Baker pass complete to Avery Jones for 4 yds to the MorgS 41Similar
Q3 8:15
4TH & 5
OWN 41
0
96.7%
Jordan Amadi punt for 36 yds, downed at the GeoSo 23Similar
Q3 8:15
4TH & 5
OWN 41
0
96.7%
Jordan Amadi punt for 36 yds, downed at the GeoSo 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 18TD
9 plays · 77 yds · 3:2398% → 99%
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
97.7%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Sam Kenerson for 7 yds to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q3 8:15
2ND & 3
OWN 30
-15
97.8%
WHITE, Jalen rush up the middle for a gain of 9 yards to the GS 39 (BRYANT, Jeremiah). PENALTY MSU Face mask on BARNES, Reginald enforced 15 yards from the GS 34 to the GS 49 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
97.9%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Jeremy Singleton for 7 yds to the MorgS 44Similar
Q3 8:15
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+3
97.9%
Jalen White run for 3 yds to the MorgS 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
97.9%
Kyle Vantrease pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:15
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+3
97.9%
Jalen White run for 3 yds to the MorgS 38Similar
Q3 8:15
3RD & 7
OPP 38
+9
97.9%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Sam Kenerson for 9 yds to the MorgS 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+24
97.9%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Jjay Mcafee for 24 yds to the MorgS 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.2%
Jalen White run for 5 yds for a TD, (Alex Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 19DOWNS
9 plays · 53 yds · 3:371% → 1%
Q3 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
98.9%
Carson Baker pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:46
2ND & 10
OWN 17
0
98.9%
BAKER, Carson pass to the right incomplete intended for WILKINS, Tyler thrown to the MSU35. PENALTY MSU Holding on BRANCH, Treyvon enforced half the distance from the goal, 9 yards from the MSU17 to the MSU8 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 4:46
2ND & 18
OWN 9
-6
98.9%
Carson Baker sacked by Isaac Walker for a loss of 6 yards to the MorgS 3Similar
Q3 4:46
3RD & 24
OWN 3
+45
99.0%
Alfonzo Graham run for 45 yds to the MorgS 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+20
98.8%
Jabriel Johnson run for 20 yds to the GeoSo 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
98.6%
Alfonzo Graham run for no gain to the GeoSo 32Similar
Q3 4:46
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
98.7%
Carson Baker pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:46
3RD & 10
OPP 32
+1
98.8%
Carson Baker pass complete to Alfonzo Graham for 1 yd to the GeoSo 31Similar
Q3 1:09
4TH & 9
OPP 31
+1
98.9%
Carson Baker pass complete to Alfonzo Graham for 1 yd to the GeoSo 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 20TD
7 plays · 70 yds · 2:2899% → 100%
Q3 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
99.4%
Kyle Vantrease pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:09
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+26
99.4%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Sam Kenerson for 26 yds to the MorgS 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
99.5%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Khaleb Hood for no gain to the MorgS 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
99.5%
Kyle Vantrease pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+27
99.5%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Sam Kenerson for 27 yds to the MorgS 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+9
99.5%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Jeremy Singleton for 9 yds to the MorgS 8Similar
Q4 13:41
2ND & 1
OPP 8
+8
99.9%
Jalen White run for 8 yds for a TD, (Alex Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 21INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:160% → 0%
Q4 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Duce Taylor pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Duce Taylor pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 22TD
2 plays · 16 yds · 0:38100% → 100%
Q4 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+8
99.9%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Jjay Mcafee for 8 yds to the MorgS 8Similar
Q4 12:47
2ND & 2
OPP 8
+8
99.9%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Jeremy Singleton for 8 yds for a TD, (Alex Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:460% → 0%
Q4 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-6
99.9%
Alfonzo Graham run for a loss of 6 yards to the MorgS 23Similar
Q4 12:39
2ND & 16
OWN 23
+4
99.9%
Duce Taylor run for 4 yds to the MorgS 27Similar
Q4 12:39
3RD & 12
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Duce Taylor pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:53
4TH & 12
OWN 27
+23
99.9%
Beckett Leary punt for 34 yds , Khaleb Hood returns for 23 yds to the MorgS 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 24TD
4 plays · 38 yds · 1:47100% → 100%
Q4 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+10
99.9%
MORGAN ST Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Jabriel Johnson) to the MorgS 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
99.9%
Gerald Green run for 5 yds to the MorgS 9Similar
Q4 10:53
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+1
99.9%
Gerald Green run for 1 yd to the MorgS 8Similar
Q4 9:06
3RD & 4
OPP 8
+8
99.9%
Gerald Green run for 8 yds for a TD, (Alex Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 25INT
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:340% → 0%
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
99.9%
Duce Taylor pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+4
99.9%
Daequan Harvin run for 4 yds to the MorgS 26Similar
Q4 8:26
3RD & 6
OWN 26
0
100.0%
Duce Taylor pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 26TD
4 plays · 38 yds · 1:43100% → 100%
Q4 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+12
99.9%
OJ Arnold run for 12 yds to the MorgS 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
99.9%
OJ Arnold run for 1 yd to the MorgS 25Similar
Q4 8:26
2ND & 9
OPP 25
+2
99.9%
OJ Arnold run for 2 yds to the MorgS 23Similar
Q4 6:43
3RD & 7
OPP 23
+23
100.0%
OJ Arnold run for 23 yds for a TD, (Alex Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:490% → 0%
Q4 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Daequan Harvin run for no gain to the MorgS 25Similar
Q4 6:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
100.0%
Daequan Harvin run for 3 yds to the MorgS 28Similar
Q4 5:09
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
100.0%
Duce Taylor pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:54
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+6
100.0%
Jordan Amadi punt for 49 yds , Khaleb Hood returns for 6 yds to the GeoSo 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 28PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:27100% → 100%
Q4 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
100.0%
Connor Cigelske run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 32Similar
Q4 4:54
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+3
100.0%
Terron Dixon II run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 35Similar
Q4 2:35
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+3
100.0%
Terron Dixon II run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 38Similar
Q4 2:27
4TH & 1
OWN 38
0
100.0%
Walker Bradberry punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 29END OF GAME
4 plays · 24 yds · 2:270% → 0%
Q4 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
100.0%
Daequan Harvin run for 2 yds to the MorgS 34Similar
Q4 2:27
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+13
100.0%
Daequan Harvin run for 13 yds to the MorgS 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-1
100.0%
Daequan Harvin run for a loss of 1 yard to the MorgS 46Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 46
+10
100.0%
Daequan Harvin run for 10 yds to the GeoSo 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:11
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 46 yds for a TD, (Alex Raynor KICK)
+2.9
TD · Q2 1:28
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 12 yds for a TD, (Alex Raynor KICK)
+1.4
TD · Q3 4:52
Jalen White run for 5 yds for a TD, (Alex Raynor KICK)
+1.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com