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AKR

Akron 44 at Northern Illinois 12

NIU
2022 · Week 13 · Nov 26, 2022 · Huskie Stadium
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Win probability · NIU
modelNIU aheadAKR aheadconfidence bandkey playNIU scoreAKR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGTDTDFGFGTDFGFGTDTDFGFGEnd of GameFG+0.2NIU 79.3%John Richardson 22 yd FG GOODAWAY 0 - HOME 3 · Q1 6:51
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 6:51 · John Richardson 22 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+58.0+29.00−29.0−58.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 22Home team on offense+0.8Pregame prior+27.0Score differential−0.1Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:26: Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Daniel George for 15 yds for a TD, (Cory Smigel KICK) — AKR win probability +6.9 pts (now 34%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:33: Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Alex Adams for 4 yds for a TD, (Cory Smigel KICK) — AKR win probability +10.1 pts (now 46%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:22: Cory Smigel 31 yd FG GOOD — AKR win probability +8.4 pts (now 61%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:45: Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Alex Adams for 61 yds for a TD, (Cory Smigel KICK) — AKR win probability +18.6 pts (now 83%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:55: Clyde Price III run for 8 yds for a TD, (Cory Smigel KICK) — AKR win probability +6.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NIU made the numbers' call on 10 of 13AKR made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 13:46NIU 4th & 7 at NIU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.3%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:26AKR 4th & 1 at NIU 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    25.8%−0.2
    30% to make
    Punt
    25.8%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:51NIU 4th & 4 at AKR 4, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 73.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.0%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    72.0%−1.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:53NIU 4th & 3 at AKR 40, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    72.9%−0.6
    34% to make
    Punt
    73.0%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:24NIU 4th & 4 at AKR 22, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 72.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    72.7%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    72.5%−0.1
    72% to make
    Punt
    70.6%−2.0
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:20NIU 4th & 7 at AKR 14, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.2%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.4%
    84% to make
    Punt
    70.1%−2.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:22AKR 4th & 7 at NIU 15, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 26.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.0%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.4%
    83% to make
    Punt
    22.8%−3.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:54NIU 4th & 7 at NIU 28, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.1%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.5%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:54NIU 4th & 6 at NIU 31, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.4%−0.6
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.0%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:22AKR 4th & 10 at NIU 13, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 55.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.7%−1.6
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.3%
    85% to make
    Punt
    50.0%−5.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:04AKR 4th & 3 at AKR 32, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.3%−0.5
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:02NIU 4th & 14 at NIU 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.7%−3.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.9%
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:05NIU 4th & 13 at AKR 16, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.4%−2.6
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.9%
    81% to make
    Punt
    3.4%−8.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:27NIU 4th & 9 at AKR 49, down 25
    Close callWent for it · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.2%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:50NIU 4th & 21 at NIU 39, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:07AKR 4th & 11 at NIU 12, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.6%
    86% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.4
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:19NIU 4th & 7 at NIU 28, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:28NIU 4th & 6 at AKR 6, down 35
    Close callKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
AKR made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q2 6:26AKR Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:33AKR Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 10:45AKR Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:55AKR Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 13:07AKR Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NIUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:0181% → 80%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
80.7%
Jaiden Credle run for 1 yd to the NoIll 24Similar
Q1 14:18
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+4
80.6%
Jaiden Credle run for 4 yds to the NoIll 28Similar
Q1 13:55
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
80.4%
Nevan Cremascoli pass incomplete to Shemar ThorntonSimilar
Q1 13:46
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
80.4%
Tom Foley punt for 23 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 2DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:1720% → 20%
Q1 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
80.3%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass incomplete to Alex AdamsSimilar
Q1 13:18
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+8
80.2%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Shocky Jacques-Louis for 8 yds to the NoIll 43Similar
Q1 12:42
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+1
80.0%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Daniel George for 1 yd to the NoIll 42Similar
Q1 12:26
4TH & 1
OPP 42
+1
80.0%
Cam Wiley run for 1 yd to the NoIll 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 3FG
13 plays · 53 yds · 5:2380% → 79%
Q1 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
80.2%
Nevan Cremascoli pass complete to Kacper Rutkiewicz for 15 yds to the Akron 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
80.2%
Nevan Cremascoli pass complete to Brock Lampe for 7 yds to the Akron 35Similar
Q1 11:25
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+2
80.2%
Jaiden Credle run for 2 yds to the Akron 33Similar
Q1 10:52
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+3
80.0%
Jaiden Credle run for 3 yds to the Akron 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
80.0%
Kacper Rutkiewicz run for 4 yds to the Akron 26Similar
Q1 9:37
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+4
79.9%
Jaiden Credle run for 4 yds to the Akron 22Similar
Q1 9:33
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+2
79.7%
Jaiden Credle run for 2 yds to the Akron 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
79.7%
Keyshaun Pipkin run for 5 yds to the Akron 15Similar
Q1 8:28
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+6
79.5%
Jaiden Credle run for 6 yds to the Akron 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
79.5%
Jaiden Credle run for 2 yds to the Akron 7Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
79.3%
Nevan Cremascoli pass incomplete to Tristen TewesSimilar
Q1 7:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
79.1%
Justin Lynch run for 3 yds to the Akron 4Similar
Q1 6:51
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
79.3%
John Richardson 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 4INT
5 plays · 14 yds · 0:3921% → 21%
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
79.2%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Alex Adams for 7 yds to the Akron 32Similar
Q1 6:09
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+7
78.7%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Shocky Jacques-Louis for 7 yds to the Akron 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
78.7%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass interceptedSimilar
Q1 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
78.7%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 5FG
12 plays · 33 yds · 5:2079% → 80%
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
79.4%
Jaiden Credle run for 1 yd to the Akron 48Similar
Q1 4:52
2ND & 11
OPP 48
+4
79.2%
Nevan Cremascoli pass complete to Liam Soraghan for 4 yds to the Akron 44Similar
Q1 4:25
3RD & 7
OPP 44
+4
79.1%
Justin Lynch run for 4 yds to the Akron 40Similar
Q1 3:53
4TH & 3
OPP 40
+12
78.6%
Nevan Cremascoli pass complete to Kacper Rutkiewicz for 12 yds to the Akron 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
79.3%
Jaiden Credle run for 1 yd to the Akron 27Similar
Q1 2:37
2ND & 9
OPP 27
+2
78.9%
Nevan Cremascoli pass complete to Liam Soraghan for 2 yds to the Akron 25Similar
Q1 2:02
3RD & 7
OPP 25
+3
78.5%
Nevan Cremascoli pass complete to Cole Tucker for 3 yds to the Akron 22Similar
Q1 1:24
4TH & 4
OPP 22
+5
77.8%
Nevan Cremascoli run for 5 yds to the Akron 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
78.7%
Jaiden Credle run for 3 yds to the Akron 14Similar
Q1 0:31
2ND & 7
OPP 14
0
78.6%
Nevan Cremascoli pass incomplete to Shemar ThorntonSimilar
Q1 0:25
3RD & 7
OPP 14
0
78.2%
Nevan Cremascoli pass incomplete to Cole TuckerSimilar
Q1 0:20
4TH & 7
OPP 14
+32
79.6%
John Richardson 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 6FG
8 plays · 59 yds · 2:3821% → 24%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+11
78.8%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Shocky Jacques-Louis for 11 yds to the Akron 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
78.4%
Cam Wiley run for 2 yds to the Akron 39Similar
Q2 14:11
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+43
78.1%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Alex Adams for 43 yds to the NoIll 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
76.7%
Cam Wiley run for 2 yds to the NoIll 16Similar
Q2 12:51
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+1
76.6%
Cam Wiley run for 1 yd to the NoIll 15Similar
Q2 12:27
3RD & 7
OPP 15
0
77.1%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass incomplete to Daniel GeorgeSimilar
Q2 12:22
4TH & 7
OPP 15
+33
76.4%
Cory Smigel 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:1077% → 75%
Q2 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
76.5%
Jaiden Credle run for 1 yd to the NoIll 26Similar
Q2 11:27
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
76.2%
Justin Lynch run for 2 yds to the NoIll 28Similar
Q2 11:05
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
75.6%
Nevan Cremascoli pass incomplete to Shemar ThorntonSimilar
Q2 10:54
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
75.1%
Tom Foley punt for 56 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 8TD
14 plays · 84 yds · 4:1524% → 34%
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+9
76.4%
Cam Wiley run for 9 yds to the Akron 25Similar
Q2 9:59
2ND & 1
OWN 25
0
75.4%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Daniel George for no gain to the Akron 25Similar
Q2 9:15
3RD & 1
OWN 25
+2
75.9%
Cam Wiley run for 2 yds to the Akron 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+10
75.7%
(09:07) No Huddle-Shotgun Undercuffler,Jeff pass incomplete short middle to Jacques-Louis,Shocky PENALTY NIU Holding 10 yards from AKRON27 to AKRON37, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
75.3%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass incomplete to Clyde Price IIISimilar
Q2 8:41
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+14
75.4%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Tony Grimes Jr. for 14 yds to the NoIll 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
73.7%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass incomplete to Daniel GeorgeSimilar
Q2 8:11
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+11
74.2%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Shocky Jacques-Louis for 11 yds to the NoIll 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+10
73.9%
(07:53) No Huddle-Shotgun Undercuffler,Jeff pass incomplete short middle to Adams,Alex PENALTY NIU Holding 10 yards from NIU38 to NIU28, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+14
73.0%
Cam Wiley run for 14 yds to the NoIll 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
72.7%
Cam Wiley run for 4 yds to the NoIll 10Similar
Q2 6:32
2ND & 6
OPP 10
-5
73.3%
PENALTY AKRON False Start 5 yards from NIU10 to NIU15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:26
2ND & 11
OPP 15
+15
66.4%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Daniel George for 15 yds for a TD, (Cory Smigel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 9INT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:2768% → 69%
Q2 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+25
68.0%
Gettman,Noah kickoff 58 yards to the NIU07 Dozier,Billy return 25 yards to the NIU32 (Woods,Jaden) PENALTY AKRON Offside offsetting NIU Holding offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
69.3%
Jaiden Credle run for 1 yd to the NoIll 36Similar
Q2 6:01
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
69.4%
Nevan Cremascoli pass incomplete to Shemar ThorntonSimilar
Q2 5:52
3RD & 9
OWN 36
0
68.6%
Nevan Cremascoli pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 10TD
5 plays · 35 yds · 2:0034% → 46%
Q2 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
65.7%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Cam Wiley for 8 yds to the NoIll 27Similar
Q2 4:59
2ND & 2
OPP 27
+9
65.2%
Cam Wiley run for 9 yds to the NoIll 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+11
64.9%
Cam Wiley run for 11 yds to the NoIll 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
64.4%
Cam Wiley run for 3 yds to the NoIll 4Similar
Q2 3:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
54.3%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Alex Adams for 4 yds for a TD, (Cory Smigel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:1656% → 52%
Q2 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
55.6%
Billy Dozier run for 1 yd to the NoIll 28Similar
Q2 2:41
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+3
54.8%
Justin Lynch run for 3 yds to the NoIll 31Similar
Q2 2:10
3RD & 6
OWN 31
0
53.5%
Nevan Cremascoli pass incomplete to Messiah TravisSimilar
Q2 1:54
4TH & 6
OWN 31
0
52.3%
Tom Foley punt for 60 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 12FG
18 plays · 78 yds · 1:2545% → 61%
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
54.6%
Cam Wiley run for 5 yds to the Akron 14Similar
Q2 1:47
2ND & 5
OWN 14
+1
53.0%
Cam Wiley run for 1 yd to the Akron 15Similar
Q2 1:43
3RD & 4
OWN 15
-5
53.2%
PENALTY AKRON False Start 5 yards from AKRON15 to AKRON10. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:36
3RD & 9
OWN 10
+29
53.2%
Cam Wiley run for 29 yds to the Akron 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
50.6%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Daniel George for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
50
+7
48.1%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Tristian Brank for 7 yds to the NoIll 43Similar
Q2 1:06
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+3
48.3%
Cam Wiley run for 3 yds to the NoIll 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
48.3%
(00:52) No Huddle-Shotgun Undercuffler,Jeff pass incomplete short left to George,Daniel PENALTY NIU Personal Foul 15 yards from NIU40 to NIU25, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+12
47.9%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Daniel George for 12 yds to the NoIll 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
46.9%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass incomplete to Alex AdamsSimilar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 10
OPP 13
0
47.4%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass incomplete to Tristian BrankSimilar
Q2 0:27
3RD & 10
OPP 13
0
47.2%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass incomplete to Daniel GeorgeSimilar
Q2 0:22
4TH & 10
OPP 13
+31
38.8%
Cory Smigel 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-1
44.6%
Kneel down by NIU at NIU13 for loss of 1 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:4657% → 59%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
43.0%
Cam Wiley run for 6 yds to the Akron 31Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
41.7%
Cam Wiley run for 2 yds to the Akron 33Similar
Q3 13:26
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
41.1%
Cam Wiley run for 1 yd to the Akron 32Similar
Q3 13:04
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
41.3%
Noah Gettman punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Cole Tucker at the NoIll 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:4842% → 39%
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
41.5%
Justin Lynch run for 1 yd to the NoIll 36Similar
Q3 12:27
2ND & 9
OWN 36
-5
40.7%
(12:32) No Huddle-Shotgun Cremascoli,Nevan pass complete deep left to McCray,Fabian for 16 yards to the AKRON48 (Woods,Jaden) PENALTY NIU Illegal Formation 5 yards from NIU36 to NIU31. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:15
2ND & 14
OWN 31
0
39.9%
Nevan Cremascoli pass incomplete to Tristen TewesSimilar
Q3 12:10
3RD & 14
OWN 31
0
39.2%
Nevan Cremascoli pass incomplete to Cole TuckerSimilar
Q3 12:02
4TH & 14
OWN 31
0
39.0%
Tom Foley punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Tony Grimes Jr. at the Akron 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 16TD
3 plays · 73 yds · 1:0562% → 83%
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+12
37.6%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Alex Adams for 12 yds to the Akron 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
35.2%
Cam Wiley run for no gain to the Akron 39Similar
Q3 10:45
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+61
16.7%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Alex Adams for 61 yds for a TD, (Cory Smigel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 17FG
14 plays · 59 yds · 4:3125% → 24%
Q3 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
24.9%
Nevan Cremascoli pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 9 yds to the NoIll 34Similar
Q3 10:18
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
24.8%
Harrison Waylee run for 3 yds to the NoIll 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
23.9%
Harrison Waylee run for 5 yds to the NoIll 42Similar
Q3 9:48
2ND & 5
OWN 42
0
24.4%
Nevan Cremascoli pass incomplete to Cole TuckerSimilar
Q3 9:40
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+8
24.0%
Nevan Cremascoli run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:06
1ST & 10
50
+13
21.5%
Nevan Cremascoli pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 13 yds to the Akron 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
21.3%
Nevan Cremascoli pass complete to Fabian McCray for 1 yd to the Akron 36Similar
Q3 8:23
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+23
21.0%
Nevan Cremascoli pass complete to Cole Tucker for 23 yds to the Akron 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
22.3%
Nevan Cremascoli pass complete to Cole Tucker for 5 yds to the Akron 8Similar
Q3 7:14
2ND & 5
OPP 8
0
21.1%
Harrison Waylee run for no gain to the Akron 8Similar
Q3 6:44
3RD & 5
OPP 8
-8
19.5%
Nevan Cremascoli sacked by Victor Jones for a loss of 8 yards to the Akron 16Similar
Q3 6:05
4TH & 13
OPP 16
+34
24.0%
John Richardson 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 18TD
12 plays · 88 yds · 5:4782% → 98%
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+14
17.8%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Daniel George for 14 yds to the Akron 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+11
17.2%
Cam Wiley run for 11 yds to the Akron 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
15.5%
Cam Wiley run for 2 yds to the Akron 39Similar
Q3 4:07
2ND & 8
OWN 39
-5
14.4%
PENALTY AKRON False Start 5 yards from AKRON39 to AKRON34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:38
2ND & 13
OWN 34
0
12.8%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass incomplete to Shocky Jacques-LouisSimilar
Q3 3:31
3RD & 13
OWN 34
+22
13.1%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Alex Adams for 22 yds to the NoIll 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:53
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+11
11.0%
Cam Wiley run for 11 yds to the NoIll 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
10.1%
Cam Wiley run for 2 yds to the NoIll 31Similar
Q3 1:29
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+8
9.3%
Clyde Price III run for 8 yds to the NoIll 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+14
8.3%
Clyde Price III run for 14 yds to the NoIll 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
8.0%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Alex Adams for 1 yd to the NoIll 8Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
1.6%
Clyde Price III run for 8 yds for a TD, (Cory Smigel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 19INT TD
10 plays · 51 yds · 1:442% → 1%
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
1.5%
Nevan Cremascoli pass incomplete to Shemar ThorntonSimilar
Q4 14:39
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
1.4%
Nevan Cremascoli pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 10 yds to the NoIll 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
1.5%
Nevan Cremascoli pass incomplete to Cole TuckerSimilar
Q4 14:19
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+15
1.4%
Nevan Cremascoli pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
50
+1
1.5%
Billy Dozier run for 1 yd to the Akron 49Similar
Q4 13:47
2ND & 9
OPP 49
0
1.5%
Nevan Cremascoli pass incomplete to Cole TuckerSimilar
Q4 13:38
3RD & 9
OPP 49
0
1.4%
Nevan Cremascoli pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:27
4TH & 9
OPP 49
+25
1.3%
Nevan Cremascoli pass complete to Fabian McCray for 25 yds to the Akron 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-76
0.8%
Tyson Durant 76 Yd Interception Return (Cory Smigel Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 20PUNT
9 plays · 14 yds · 2:061% → 0%
Q4 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
0.6%
Harrison Waylee run for 11 yds to the NoIll 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
0.6%
Harrison Waylee run for 2 yds to the NoIll 34Similar
Q4 12:10
2ND & 12
OWN 34
0
0.5%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 11:58
3RD & 12
OWN 34
+16
0.5%
Justin Lynch run for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:41
1ST & 10
50
-15
0.6%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the NoIll 37Similar
Q4 11:09
2ND & 23
OWN 37
+2
0.4%
Justin Lynch pass complete to Cole Tucker for 2 yds to the NoIll 39Similar
Q4 10:56
3RD & 21
OWN 39
0
0.4%
Justin Lynch pass incomplete to Cole TuckerSimilar
Q4 10:50
4TH & 21
OWN 39
0
0.4%
Tom Foley punt for 27 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 21FG
9 plays · 54 yds · 3:4399% → 100%
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
0.6%
Cam Wiley run for 1 yd to the Akron 35Similar
Q4 9:55
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+43
0.5%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Daniel George for 43 yds to the NoIll 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+9
0.4%
Clyde Price III run for 9 yds to the NoIll 13Similar
Q4 8:28
2ND & 1
OPP 13
+2
0.4%
Clyde Price III run for 2 yds to the NoIll 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
0.4%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:02
2ND & 10
OPP 11
-5
0.4%
PENALTY AKRON False Start 5 yards from NIU11 to NIU16. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:53
2ND & 15
OPP 16
+4
0.4%
Clyde Price III run for 4 yds to the NoIll 12Similar
Q4 7:11
3RD & 11
OPP 12
0
0.3%
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass incomplete to Caleb AndersonSimilar
Q4 7:07
4TH & 11
OPP 12
+31
0.4%
Cory Smigel 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:320% → 0%
Q4 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
0.2%
Harrison Waylee run for 3 yds to the NoIll 28Similar
Q4 6:34
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
0.2%
Justin Lynch pass incomplete to Dane PardridgeSimilar
Q4 6:28
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
0.2%
Justin Lynch pass incomplete to Fabian McCraySimilar
Q4 6:19
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
0.2%
Tom Foley punt for 34 yds , returns for no gain to the Akron 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 23FG
8 plays · 32 yds · 2:340% → 0%
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
0.2%
Justin Lynch pass complete to Fabian McCray for 9 yds to the Akron 29Similar
Q4 5:37
2ND & 1
OPP 29
+17
0.2%
Justin Lynch pass complete to Fabian McCray for 17 yds to the Akron 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
0.2%
Justin Lynch pass incomplete to Dane PardridgeSimilar
Q4 5:13
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+10
0.2%
AKRON Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Victor Jones) to the Akron 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
0.2%
Harrison Waylee run for 5 yds to the Akron 5Similar
Q4 4:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
0.2%
Justin Lynch run for 2 yds to the Akron 7Similar
Q4 4:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
0.2%
Justin Lynch run for 1 yd to the Akron 6Similar
Q4 3:28
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
0.1%
John Richardson 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 24END OF GAME
10 plays · 37 yds · 3:25100% → 100%
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-5
0.2%
PENALTY AKRON False Start 5 yards from AKRON49 to AKRON44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:20
1ST & 15
OWN 44
+5
0.2%
Blake Hester run for 5 yds to the Akron 49Similar
Q4 3:20
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-8
0.2%
AKRON Penalty, Intentional Grounding (-8 Yards) to the Akron 41Similar
Q4 3:07
3RD & 18
OWN 41
+15
0.2%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, Personal Foul (Amariyun Knighten) to the NoIll 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
0.1%
Blake Hester run for 4 yds to the NoIll 26Similar
Q4 1:39
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+13
0.1%
Charles Kellom run for 13 yds to the NoIll 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
0.1%
Blake Hester run for 1 yd to the NoIll 12Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 12
-2
0.1%
Kneel down by Akron at NIU14 for loss of 2 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:45
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Alex Adams for 61 yds for a TD, (Cory Smigel KICK)
-18.6
TD · Q2 3:33
Jeff Undercuffler Jr. pass complete to Alex Adams for 4 yds for a TD, (Cory Smigel KICK)
-10.1
FG · Q2 0:22
Cory Smigel 31 yd FG GOOD
-8.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com