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CMU

Central Michigan 19 at Eastern Michigan 38

EMU
2022 · Week 13 · Nov 25, 2022 · Rynearson Stadium
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Win probability · EMU
modelEMU aheadCMU aheadconfidence bandkey playEMU scoreCMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 1:49 · Luke Elzinga punt for 51 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingPregame prior
+33.0+16.50−16.5−33.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 37Home team on offense+2.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5Score differential+0.5Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3Pregame prior−2.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:00: Samson Evans run for 15 yds for a TD, (Jesus Gomez KICK) — EMU win probability +7.8 pts (now 59%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:49: Taylor Powell pass complete to Andreas Paaske for 9 yds for a TD, (Jesus Gomez KICK) — EMU win probability +12.8 pts (now 74%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:49: Timeout EASTRN MICHIGAN, clock 08:49 — CMU win probability +4.7 pts (now 31%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:00: Taylor Powell pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 21 yds for a TD, (Jesus Gomez KICK) — EMU win probability +12.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:59: Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — CMU win probability +4.0 pts (now 6%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
EMU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8CMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 4:21EMU 4th & 12 at EMU 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.0%−0.7
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:49CMU 4th & 7 at CMU 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.1%−0.5
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:27EMU 4th & 10 at EMU 26, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.4%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:19EMU 4th & 13 at CMU 49, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.9%−0.8
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:19CMU 4th & 1 at CMU 20, down 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 41.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.1%−1.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:19EMU 4th & 5 at CMU 40, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.6%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    58.1%−0.5
    34% to make
    Punt
    58.1%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:53EMU 4th & 13 at CMU 27, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.9%−1.4
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.3%
    62% to make
    Punt
    54.1%−4.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:52CMU 4th & 10 at CMU 49, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.6%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:59CMU 4th & 8 at EMU 44, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.5%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    39.2%−1.7
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    40.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:23CMU 4th & 4 at CMU 38, down 8
    Close callPunted · 25.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.9%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:48EMU 4th & 1 at CMU 24, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 82.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    79.2%−3.4
    68% to make
    Punt
    70.0%−12.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:02CMU 4th & 12 at EMU 45, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.8%−0.5
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    6.6%−0.8
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    7.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:04EMU 4th & 7 at CMU 13, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.3%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.5%
    85% to make
    Punt
    94.1%−2.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:45EMU 4th & 4 at EMU 26, up 12
    Close callPunted · 95.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.7%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:16CMU 4th & 1 at CMU 34, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.9%−0.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
EMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5CMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 10:12EMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:21CMU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:00EMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:05CMU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    43.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:49EMU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:00EMU Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 3:59CMU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    5.6%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    5.8%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 2:30EMU Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
EMUDrive 1TD
13 plays · 90 yds · 4:4247% → 51%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+10
47.2%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Tanner Knue for 10 yds to the EMich 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
47.2%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 11 yds to the EMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
47.2%
Samson Evans run for 7 yds to the EMich 38Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+6
47.2%
Samson Evans run for 6 yds to the EMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+12
47.2%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Gunnar Oakes for 12 yds to the CMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
47.2%
Samson Evans run for 2 yds to the CMich 42Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+4
47.2%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Tanner Knue for 4 yds to the CMich 38Similar
Q1 14:54
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+7
47.2%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Samson Evans for 7 yds to the CMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
47.2%
Samson Evans run for 8 yds to the CMich 23Similar
Q1 10:50
2ND & 2
OPP 23
-5
48.7%
PENALTY EMU False Start (Knue,Tanner) 5 yards from CMU23 to CMU28. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:12
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+28
50.6%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Tanner Knue for 28 yds for a TD, (Jesus Gomez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 2TD
10 plays · 33 yds · 3:3750% → 53%
Q1 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
49.7%
Jase Bauer pass complete to Lew Nichols III for no gain to the EMich 33Similar
Q1 9:58
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+1
49.7%
Marion Lukes run for 1 yd to the EMich 32Similar
Q1 9:58
3RD & 9
OPP 32
+11
50.1%
Jase Bauer pass complete to Carlos Carriere for 11 yds to the EMich 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
49.6%
Lew Nichols III run for 6 yds to the EMich 15Similar
Q1 9:58
2ND & 4
OPP 15
+7
49.6%
Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 7 yds to the EMich 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
49.6%
Jase Bauer pass incomplete to Irone JacksonSimilar
Q1 9:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
49.6%
Jase Bauer run for 7 yds to the EMich 1Similar
Q1 6:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
47.2%
Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD, (Marshall Meeder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 2:0049% → 49%
Q1 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
49.1%
Jaylon Jackson run for 7 yds to the EMich 42Similar
Q1 6:21
2ND & 3
OWN 42
0
49.9%
Jaylon Jackson run for no gain to the EMich 42Similar
Q1 6:21
3RD & 3
OWN 42
-9
49.5%
Taylor Powell sacked by Ronald Kent Jr. for a loss of 9 yards to the EMich 33Similar
Q1 4:21
4TH & 12
OWN 33
0
48.5%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CMich 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 4INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0051% → 51%
Q1 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
48.9%
Jase Bauer pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 5TD
2 plays · 15 yds · 0:1151% → 59%
Q1 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
51.2%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+15
59.0%
Samson Evans run for 15 yds for a TD, (Jesus Gomez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:4647% → 44%
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
53.5%
Lew Nichols III run for 1 yd to the CMich 21Similar
Q1 3:35
2ND & 9
OWN 21
-4
53.6%
Jase Bauer sacked by Jose Ramirez for a loss of 4 yards to the CMich 17Similar
Q1 3:35
3RD & 13
OWN 17
+6
54.1%
Lew Nichols III run for 6 yds to the CMich 23Similar
Q1 1:49
4TH & 7
OWN 23
0
55.8%
Luke Elzinga punt for 51 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:2259% → 58%
Q1 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
58.8%
Samson Evans run for 7 yds to the EMich 33Similar
Q1 1:49
2ND & 3
OWN 33
0
59.1%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Gunnar OakesSimilar
Q1 1:49
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+7
58.4%
Samson Evans run for 7 yds to the EMich 26 Samson Evans fumbled, recovered by EMich Brian DooleySimilar
Q1 0:27
4TH & 10
OWN 26
0
58.3%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 43 yds , Alec Ward returns for no gain to the CMich 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 8TD
8 plays · 69 yds · 2:2245% → 50%
Q1 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
55.3%
Bert Emanuel Jr. pass incomplete to Jalen McGaughySimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+35
55.9%
Marion Lukes run for 35 yds to the EMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
53.4%
Marion Lukes run for 9 yds to the EMich 25Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 25
+6
53.2%
Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 6 yds to the EMich 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-11
53.2%
Bert Emanuel Jr. sacked by Grant Trueman for a loss of 11 yards to the EMich 30Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 21
OPP 30
-5
54.3%
PENALTY CMU False Start (Swartout,Brayden) 5 yards from EMU30 to EMU35. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:05
2ND & 26
OPP 35
+35
50.5%
Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 35 yds for a TD, (Marshall Meeder PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:4153% → 52%
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
52.6%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Andreas Paaske for 9 yds to the EMich 43Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+11
53.9%
Samson Evans run for 11 yds to the CMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-9
54.3%
Taylor Powell sacked by Quindario Lee for a loss of 9 yards to the EMich 45Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 19
OWN 45
+6
52.7%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Andreas Paaske for 6 yds to the CMich 49Similar
Q2 13:00
3RD & 13
OPP 49
0
52.3%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Andreas PaaskeSimilar
Q2 10:19
4TH & 13
OPP 49
0
52.1%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Alec Ward at the CMich 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:0045% → 43%
Q2 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
55.2%
Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 4 yds to the CMich 15Similar
Q2 10:19
2ND & 6
OWN 15
+4
55.3%
Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 4 yds to the CMich 19Similar
Q2 10:19
3RD & 2
OWN 19
+1
56.1%
Lew Nichols III run for 1 yd to the CMich 20Similar
Q2 8:19
4TH & 1
OWN 20
0
57.5%
Luke Elzinga punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Dylan Drummond at the EMich 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 11MISSED FG
16 plays · 32 yds · 5:2656% → 56%
Q2 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-10
56.4%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the EMich 34Similar
Q2 8:19
1ST & 17
OWN 34
0
54.7%
Taylor Powell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:19
2ND & 17
OWN 34
+3
54.5%
Jaylon Jackson run for 3 yds to the EMich 37Similar
Q2 8:19
3RD & 14
OWN 37
+18
54.0%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 18 yds to the CMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
57.3%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Hassan BeydounSimilar
Q2 8:19
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
57.0%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Tanner KnueSimilar
Q2 8:19
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+5
55.6%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 5 yds to the CMich 40Similar
Q2 8:19
4TH & 5
OPP 40
+5
55.4%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 5 yds to the CMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
57.8%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Tanner Knue for 7 yds to the CMich 28Similar
Q2 4:24
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+4
60.5%
Jaylon Jackson run for 4 yds to the CMich 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
60.5%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Darius LassiterSimilar
Q2 4:24
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+3
60.4%
Jaylon Jackson run for 3 yds to the CMich 27Similar
Q2 4:24
3RD & 13
OPP 27
0
58.0%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Hassan BeydounSimilar
Q2 2:53
4TH & 13
OPP 27
+45
56.0%
Jesus Gomez 45 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Trey JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 12PUNT
12 plays · 22 yds · 2:0141% → 38%
Q2 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
58.9%
Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 2 yds to the CMich 29Similar
Q2 2:53
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+9
59.0%
Jase Bauer pass complete to Chris Parker for 9 yds to the CMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
57.9%
Jase Bauer run for 7 yds to the CMich 45Similar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+1
58.8%
Jase Bauer run for 1 yd to the CMich 46Similar
Q2 1:44
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+3
59.5%
Marion Lukes run for 3 yds to the CMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
58.7%
Jase Bauer pass incomplete to Jalen McGaughySimilar
Q2 1:08
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
59.1%
Jase Bauer pass incomplete to Carlos CarriereSimilar
Q2 1:08
3RD & 10
OWN 49
0
60.0%
Jase Bauer pass incomplete to Carlos CarriereSimilar
Q2 0:52
4TH & 10
OWN 49
0
61.8%
Luke Elzinga punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Dylan Drummond at the EMich 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 13END OF HALF
3 plays · 27 yds · 0:5257% → 55%
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
56.8%
Jaylon Jackson run for no gain to the EMich 12Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+19
56.5%
Jaylon Jackson run for 19 yds to the EMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
55.1%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Gunnar Oakes for 8 yds to the EMich 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 2:5645% → 44%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
55.5%
Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 7 yds to the CMich 36Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+18
53.9%
Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 18 yds to the EMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
52.6%
Bert Emanuel Jr. pass incomplete to Finn HoganSimilar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+4
52.6%
Lew Nichols III run for 4 yds to the EMich 42Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 6
OPP 42
+3
53.0%
Jase Bauer pass complete to Irone Jackson for 3 yds to the EMich 39Similar
Q3 14:55
4TH & 3
OPP 39
-5
54.5%
PENALTY CMU Delay Of Game 5 yards from EMU39 to EMU44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:59
4TH & 8
OPP 44
0
56.4%
Luke Elzinga punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Dylan Drummond at the EMich 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 15TD
13 plays · 91 yds · 3:1056% → 74%
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+6
55.7%
Samson Evans run for 6 yds to the EMich 15Similar
Q3 11:59
2ND & 4
OWN 15
+2
56.2%
Samson Evans run for 2 yds to the EMich 17Similar
Q3 11:59
3RD & 2
OWN 17
+5
54.9%
PENALTY CMU Offside (Stuart,Robi) 5 yards from EMU17 to EMU22, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+42
56.5%
Samson Evans run for 42 yds to the CMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
60.6%
Jaylon Jackson run for no gain to the CMich 36Similar
Q3 11:59
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+12
60.3%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 12 yds to the CMich 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+10
61.3%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 10 yds to the CMich 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
61.3%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Hassan BeydounSimilar
Q3 11:59
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+5
61.3%
PENALTY CMU Offside (Johnson,LaQuan) 5 yards from CMU14 to CMU09. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:59
2ND & 5
OPP 9
0
61.3%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Hassan BeydounSimilar
Q3 8:49
3RD & 5
OPP 9
+9
74.1%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Andreas Paaske for 9 yds for a TD, (Jesus Gomez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:2231% → 29%
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
69.4%
Jase Bauer run for 5 yds to the CMich 37Similar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+1
68.2%
Jase Bauer run for 1 yd to the CMich 38Similar
Q3 8:45
3RD & 4
OWN 38
0
69.1%
Jase Bauer pass incomplete to Marion LukesSimilar
Q3 7:23
4TH & 4
OWN 38
0
71.2%
Luke Elzinga punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Dylan Drummond at the EMich 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 17DOWNS
13 plays · 56 yds · 5:3575% → 82%
Q3 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
75.2%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 9 yds to the EMich 29Similar
Q3 7:23
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+3
75.7%
Samson Evans run for 3 yds to the EMich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
75.5%
Samson Evans run for 6 yds to the EMich 38Similar
Q3 7:23
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+2
76.8%
Jaylon Jackson run for 2 yds to the EMich 36Similar
Q3 7:23
3RD & 6
OWN 36
+12
74.9%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 12 yds to the EMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
77.5%
Samson Evans run for 1 yd to the EMich 47Similar
Q3 4:47
2ND & 11
OWN 47
+20
80.0%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 20 yds to the CMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
81.1%
Samson Evans run for 1 yd to the CMich 32Similar
Q3 4:47
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+6
80.8%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 6 yds to the CMich 26Similar
Q3 4:47
3RD & 3
OPP 26
+2
79.3%
Samson Evans run for 2 yds to the CMich 24Similar
Q3 1:48
4TH & 1
OPP 24
0
81.9%
Samson Evans run for no gain to the CMich 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 18INT
3 plays · -4 yds · 0:5523% → 21%
Q3 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
77.4%
Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 1 yd to the CMich 25Similar
Q3 1:48
2ND & 9
OWN 25
-5
77.7%
Shotgun Bauer,Jase rush middle for 18 yards gain to the CMU43 (Kline,Chase) PENALTY CMU Illegal Formation 5 yards from CMU25 to CMU20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:53
2ND & 14
OWN 20
+15
78.6%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Personal Foul (Joe Sparacio) to the CMich 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 19TD
2 plays · 21 yds · 0:5385% → 97%
Q3 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
84.7%
Samson Evans run for no gain to the CMich 21Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+21
96.9%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 21 yds for a TD, (Jesus Gomez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 30 yds · 2:5811% → 9%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
89.4%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Jordan Crawford) to the CMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
88.3%
Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 15 yds to the EMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-6
87.6%
Bert Emanuel Jr. sacked by Joe Sparacio for a loss of 6 yards to the EMich 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 16
OPP 49
+1
88.6%
Jase Bauer run for 1 yd to the EMich 48Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 15
OPP 48
+3
89.2%
Jase Bauer run for 3 yds to the EMich 45Similar
Q4 12:02
4TH & 12
OPP 45
0
91.3%
Luke Elzinga punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Dylan Drummond at the EMich 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 21FG
18 plays · 75 yds · 6:5898% → 100%
Q4 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
97.9%
Jaylon Jackson run for 3 yds to the EMich 9Similar
Q4 12:02
2ND & 13
OWN 9
+13
98.1%
Samson Evans run for 13 yds to the EMich 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+15
97.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun Powell,Taylor pass incomplete short right to Lassiter,Darius PENALTY CMU Pass Interference (Kent,Donte) 15 yards from EMU22 to EMU37, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+12
97.8%
Taylor Powell run for 12 yds to the EMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
97.9%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Gunnar Oakes for 7 yds to the CMich 44Similar
Q4 12:02
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+4
97.9%
Jaylon Jackson run for 4 yds to the CMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
98.0%
Jaylon Jackson run for 1 yd to the CMich 39Similar
Q4 12:02
2ND & 9
OPP 39
0
97.9%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
Q4 12:02
3RD & 9
OPP 39
+23
97.8%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Gunnar Oakes for 23 yds to the CMich 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
98.0%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Gunnar OakesSimilar
Q4 7:07
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+1
99.1%
Samson Evans run for 1 yd to the CMich 15Similar
Q4 7:07
3RD & 9
OPP 15
-5
99.1%
PENALTY EMU Delay Of Game 5 yards from CMU15 to CMU20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:07
3RD & 14
OPP 20
+7
99.0%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Samson Evans for 7 yds to the CMich 13Similar
Q4 5:04
4TH & 7
OPP 13
+31
99.5%
Jesus Gomez 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q4 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
99.5%
PENALTY CMU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Bristol,Jacques) 15 yards from EMU35 to EMU50. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 22TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 1:052% → 5%
Q4 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
98.1%
Shotgun Bauer,Jase pass incomplete short right to McGaughy,Jalen PENALTY EMU Pass Interference (Shine,Kempton) 15 yards from CMU25 to CMU40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+23
98.0%
Jase Bauer pass complete to Jalen McGaughy for 23 yds to the EMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+15
97.9%
Shotgun Bauer,Jase pass incomplete short right to McGaughy,Jalen PENALTY EMU Pass Interference (Shine,Kempton) 15 yards from EMU37 to EMU22, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
97.4%
PENALTY EMU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Kline,Chase) 11 yard from EMU22 to EMU11, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+9
97.4%
Jase Bauer pass complete to Jalen McGaughy for 9 yds to the EMich 2Similar
Q4 5:04
2ND & 1
OPP 2
+1
97.4%
Jase Bauer run for 1 yd to the EMich 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
97.3%
PENALTY CMU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct offsetting EMU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
93.6%
Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
Q4 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
95.0%
PENALTY EMU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jefferson,Justin) 15 yards from CMU35 to CMU50. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 1:1399% → 99%
Q4 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
98.8%
Samson Evans run for 5 yds to the EMich 25Similar
Q4 3:54
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+4
98.9%
Samson Evans run for 4 yds to the EMich 29Similar
Q4 3:47
3RD & 1
OWN 29
-5
99.1%
PENALTY EMU False Start (Getzinger,Jere) 5 yards from EMU29 to EMU24. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:47
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+2
99.0%
Samson Evans run for 2 yds to the EMich 26Similar
Q4 2:45
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
99.1%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 57 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 24INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
97.9%
Jase Bauer pass intercepted Brandon Benson fumbled, recovered by EMich Tariq SpeightsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 25TD
1 play · 11 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
99.9%
Taylor Powell run for 11 yds for a TD, (Jesus Gomez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 26DOWNS
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:091% → 1%
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun Emanuel Jr.,Bert rush middle for 2 yards gain to the CMU27 (Trueman,Grant; Manior,Dexter) PENALTY EMU Illegal Substitution 5 yards from CMU25 to CMU30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:25
1ST & 5
OWN 30
0
98.7%
Bert Emanuel Jr. run for no gain to the CMich 30Similar
Q4 1:35
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-9
98.8%
Bert Emanuel Jr. sacked by Jose Ramirez for a loss of 9 yards to the CMich 21Similar
Q4 1:35
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+13
98.9%
Jase Bauer pass complete to Cade Conley for 13 yds to the CMich 34Similar
Q4 1:16
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-4
98.9%
Jase Bauer sacked by Jose Ramirez for a loss of 4 yards to the CMich 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 27END OF GAME
3 plays · -2 yds · 1:16100% → 100%
Q4 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
99.8%
Michael Foor run for no gain to the CMich 30Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 30
-2
99.9%
C. McCoy takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 30
-2
99.9%
C. McCoy takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:49
Taylor Powell pass complete to Andreas Paaske for 9 yds for a TD, (Jesus Gomez KICK)
+12.8
TD · Q3 0:00
Taylor Powell pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 21 yds for a TD, (Jesus Gomez KICK)
+12.2
TD · Q1 4:00
Samson Evans run for 15 yds for a TD, (Jesus Gomez KICK)
+7.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com