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BGSU

Bowling Green 14 at Ohio 38

OHIO
2022 · Week 13 · Nov 22, 2022 · Peden Stadium
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Win probability · OHIO
modelOHIO aheadBGSU aheadconfidence bandkey playOHIO scoreBGSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 6:29 · Jack Wilson punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Jake Rogers at the BwGrn 35
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame priorBlowout margin
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 143Home team on offense+35.6Score differential+27.7Garbage-time factor+12.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+11.2Pregame prior+0.5Blowout margin+12.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:21: Tyrone Broden 44 Yd pass from Matt McDonald (Mason Lawler Kick) — BGSU win probability +5.0 pts (now 51%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:40: CJ Harris 5 Yd Run (Nathanial Vakos Kick) — OHIO win probability +6.5 pts (now 58%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 8:25: Sam Wiglusz 20 Yd pass from CJ Harris (Nathanial Vakos Kick) — OHIO win probability +6.8 pts (now 67%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 3:42: Sieh Bangura 3 Yd Run (Nathanial Vakos Kick) — OHIO win probability +8.0 pts (now 78%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:24: CJ Harris 8 Yd Run (Nathanial Vakos Kick) — OHIO win probability +10.8 pts (now 93%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OHIO made the numbers' call on 4 of 7BGSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 13:23BGSU 4th & 9 at BGSU 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.2%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:20OHIO 4th & 10 at BGSU 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.4%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    65.4%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    65.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:05BGSU 4th & 16 at BGSU 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.0%−0.4
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:34OHIO 4th & 7 at BGSU 39, tied
    Close callPunted · 65.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    65.0%−0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    65.0%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:59BGSU 4th & 6 at OHIO 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    38.0%−<0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    35.4%−2.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:49BGSU 4th & 20 at BGSU 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.2%−2.4
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:40BGSU 4th & 9 at OHIO 37, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.0%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    19.9%−0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    19.4%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:46OHIO 4th & 9 at OHIO 40, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.5%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:18OHIO 4th & 4 at OHIO 40, up 21
    Close callPunted · 93.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.4%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:06BGSU 4th & 4 at BGSU 47, down 21
    Close callPunted · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.2%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:27OHIO 4th & 8 at BGSU 15, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.4%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.7%
    83% to make
    Punt
    94.4%−2.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:07BGSU 4th & 3 at BGSU 36, down 31
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:29OHIO 4th & 5 at OHIO 37, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:05OHIO 4th & 15 at OHIO 36, up 24
    Close callWent for it · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.5%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OHIO made the numbers' call on 5 of 5BGSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 2:21BGSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:40OHIO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:25OHIO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:42OHIO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:24OHIO Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:43OHIO Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 2:24BGSU Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BGSUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:3145% → 45%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-3
55.1%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for a loss of 3 yards to the BwGrn 19Similar
Q1 14:32
2ND & 13
OWN 19
+10
55.2%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Christian Sims for 10 yds to the BwGrn 29Similar
Q1 13:52
3RD & 3
OWN 29
-6
55.2%
Matt McDonald sacked by Kai Caesar for a loss of 6 yards to the BwGrn 23Similar
Q1 13:23
4TH & 9
OWN 23
0
55.4%
Sami Sir punt for 19 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BwGrn 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:3056% → 55%
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-1
55.6%
Sieh Bangura run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 43Similar
Q1 12:22
2ND & 11
OPP 43
+1
55.7%
Sieh Bangura run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 42Similar
Q1 11:35
3RD & 10
OPP 42
0
55.7%
CJ Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:20
4TH & 10
OPP 42
0
55.4%
Jack Wilson punt for 29 yds, downed at the BwGrn 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 2:1545% → 44%
Q1 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-2
55.4%
Jhaylin Embry run for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 11Similar
Q1 10:52
2ND & 12
OWN 11
-2
55.5%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Jaison Patterson for a loss of 2 yards Jaison Patterson fumbled, forced by Torrie Cox Jr., recovered by BwGrn Jaison PattersonSimilar
Q1 10:16
3RD & 14
OWN 9
-4
55.8%
McDonald, Matt pass complete to Sims, Christian for 17 yards to the BOWLGREEN26, PENALTY BOWLGREEN holding 4 yards to the BOWLGREEN5, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:59
3RD & 18
OWN 5
+2
55.8%
Jamal Johnson run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 7Similar
Q1 9:05
4TH & 16
OWN 7
0
56.1%
Sami Sir punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Sam Wiglusz at the BwGrn 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 2:3156% → 56%
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-10
56.4%
Harris, CJ rush for loss of 3 yards to the BOWLGREEN45, PENALTY OHIO holding 10 yards to the OHIO48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:42
1ST & 20
OWN 48
-2
55.8%
Sieh Bangura run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 46Similar
Q1 8:01
2ND & 22
OWN 46
+1
55.9%
CJ Harris run for 1 yd to the Ohio 47Similar
Q1 7:17
3RD & 21
OWN 47
+14
55.5%
CJ Harris pass complete to Miles Cross for 14 yds to the BwGrn 39Similar
Q1 6:34
4TH & 7
OPP 39
0
55.9%
Jack Wilson punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Jake Rogers at the BwGrn 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 5TD
9 plays · 89 yds · 4:1344% → 51%
Q1 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-2
55.7%
Jaison Patterson run for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 9Similar
Q1 6:02
2ND & 12
OWN 9
0
55.8%
Matt McDonald pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:55
3RD & 12
OWN 9
+14
56.2%
Matt McDonald pass complete to CJ Lewis for 14 yds to the BwGrn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
55.6%
Jaison Patterson run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 25Similar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+6
55.7%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 6 yds to the BwGrn 31Similar
Q1 4:12
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+16
55.5%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 16 yds to the BwGrn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
54.7%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Jhaylin Embry for 7 yds to the Ohio 46Similar
Q1 3:11
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+2
54.3%
Jaison Patterson run for 2 yds to the Ohio 44Similar
Q1 2:21
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+44
49.4%
Tyrone Broden 44 Yd pass from Matt McDonald (Mason Lawler Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 6TD
13 plays · 77 yds · 5:3551% → 58%
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
50.7%
CJ Harris pass incomplete to Jacoby JonesSimilar
Q1 2:10
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+8
50.6%
Sieh Bangura run for 8 yds to the Ohio 31Similar
Q1 1:24
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+12
50.4%
CJ Harris pass complete to Jacoby Jones for 12 yds to the Ohio 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
51.1%
Sieh Bangura run for 5 yds to the Ohio 48Similar
Q1 0:05
2ND & 5
OWN 48
0
51.5%
CJ Harris pass incomplete to James BosticSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 48
+28
51.0%
CJ Harris pass complete to Jacoby Jones for 28 yds to the BwGrn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:26
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
52.2%
CJ Harris pass incomplete to Sam WigluszSimilar
Q2 14:19
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+9
52.2%
CJ Harris run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 15Similar
Q2 13:37
3RD & 1
OPP 15
+4
51.3%
Sieh Bangura run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
52.0%
Sieh Bangura run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 7Similar
Q2 12:28
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+2
51.8%
CJ Harris run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 5Similar
Q2 11:40
3RD & 4
OPP 5
+5
58.4%
CJ Harris 5 Yd Run (Nathanial Vakos Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 7INT
6 plays · 46 yds · 1:4145% → 45%
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+42
55.4%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 42 yds to the Ohio 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
52.9%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Harold Fannin Jr.Similar
Q2 10:54
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+4
52.9%
Jamal Johnson run for 4 yds to the Ohio 29Similar
Q2 10:10
3RD & 6
OPP 29
0
53.6%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Odieu HiliareSimilar
Q2 9:59
4TH & 6
OPP 29
0
54.6%
Matt McDonald pass intercepted Zack Sanders return for no gain to the Ohio 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 8TD
5 plays · 79 yds · 1:3457% → 67%
Q2 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
56.9%
CJ Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:53
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+48
56.8%
CJ Harris pass complete to Jacoby Jones for 48 yds to the BwGrn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
59.7%
Sieh Bangura run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 26Similar
Q2 9:10
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+6
59.8%
CJ Harris pass complete to Miles Cross for 6 yds to the BwGrn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
66.6%
Sam Wiglusz 20 Yd pass from CJ Harris (Nathanial Vakos Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 1:3036% → 33%
Q2 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
64.1%
Jaison Patterson run for no gain to the BwGrn 26Similar
Q2 7:48
2ND & 10
OWN 26
-10
64.9%
Matt McDonald sacked by Bryce Houston for a loss of 10 yards to the BwGrn 16Similar
Q2 7:03
3RD & 20
OWN 16
0
66.2%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Christian SimsSimilar
Q2 6:49
4TH & 20
OWN 16
0
66.8%
Sami Sir punt for 35 yds, downed at the Ohio 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 10TD
9 plays · 51 yds · 3:0769% → 78%
Q2 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
68.6%
CJ Harris pass incomplete to Sam WigluszSimilar
Q2 6:44
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+6
68.4%
Sieh Bangura run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 45Similar
Q2 6:03
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+4
68.7%
Sieh Bangura run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+23
69.3%
CJ Harris pass complete to Tyler Foster for 23 yds to the BwGrn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+8
70.0%
Sieh Bangura run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 10Similar
Q2 4:42
2ND & 2
OPP 10
+4
70.2%
Sieh Bangura run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
70.3%
Sieh Bangura run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 3Similar
Q2 3:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
78.3%
Sieh Bangura 3 Yd Run (Nathanial Vakos Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 11INT
7 plays · 38 yds · 1:0224% → 24%
Q2 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+37
76.1%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Tyrone Broden for 37 yds to the Ohio 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:16
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
74.9%
Jaison Patterson run for 1 yd to the Ohio 37Similar
Q2 3:04
2ND & 9
OPP 37
0
75.1%
Matt McDonald pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:54
3RD & 9
OPP 37
0
76.1%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Christian SimsSimilar
Q2 2:40
4TH & 9
OPP 37
-2
76.3%
Matt McDonald pass intercepted Tariq Drake return for 2 yds to the Ohio 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 1:5477% → 79%
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-2
77.3%
CJ Harris run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 21Similar
Q2 1:58
2ND & 12
OWN 21
+10
78.1%
Sieh Bangura run for 10 yds to the Ohio 31Similar
Q2 1:16
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+8
78.3%
CJ Harris run for 8 yds to the Ohio 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
79.7%
CJ Harris pass incomplete to Jacoby JonesSimilar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
79.5%
CJ Harris pass incomplete to Jacoby JonesSimilar
Q2 0:57
3RD & 10
OWN 39
+1
78.8%
Sieh Bangura run for 1 yd to the Ohio 40Similar
Q2 0:46
4TH & 9
OWN 40
0
79.4%
Jack Wilson punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BwGrn 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 13INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-25
79.7%
Matt McDonald pass intercepted Tariq Drake return for 25 yds to the BwGrn 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 14TD
3 plays · 14 yds · 0:1582% → 93%
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
81.7%
Sieh Bangura run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 9Similar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+1
81.8%
Sieh Bangura run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 8Similar
Q2 0:24
3RD & 4
OPP 8
+8
92.6%
CJ Harris 8 Yd Run (Nathanial Vakos Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 15END OF HALF
5 plays · 17 yds · 0:1211% → 7%
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
89.1%
Matt McDonald pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+11
89.2%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Christian Sims for 11 yds to the BwGrn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
92.6%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Christian Sims for 6 yds to the Ohio 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:3691% → 92%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
91.0%
Sieh Bangura run for 6 yds to the Ohio 29Similar
Q3 14:28
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+5
91.3%
Sieh Bangura run for 5 yds to the Ohio 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
91.9%
CJ Harris pass incomplete to Miles CrossSimilar
Q3 13:47
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+2
91.6%
Jake Neatherton run for 2 yds to the Ohio 36Similar
Q3 13:10
3RD & 8
OWN 36
+4
92.1%
CJ Harris run for 4 yds to the Ohio 40Similar
Q3 12:18
4TH & 4
OWN 40
0
92.0%
Jack Wilson punt for 37 yds, downed at the BwGrn 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 2:129% → 7%
Q3 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
91.5%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Jaison Patterson for 5 yds to the BwGrn 28Similar
Q3 11:49
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+13
91.5%
Jaison Patterson run for 13 yds to the BwGrn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
91.8%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Odieu HiliareSimilar
Q3 11:18
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+2
91.9%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Ta'ron Keith for 2 yds to the BwGrn 43Similar
Q3 10:47
3RD & 8
OWN 43
+4
92.3%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Ta'ron Keith for 4 yds to the BwGrn 47Similar
Q3 10:06
4TH & 4
OWN 47
0
92.6%
Sami Sir punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Sam Wiglusz at the Ohio 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 18FG
15 plays · 71 yds · 7:3994% → 97%
Q3 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
93.5%
CJ Harris pass incomplete to Sieh BanguraSimilar
Q3 10:01
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+32
93.5%
CJ Harris pass complete to James Bostic for 32 yds to the Ohio 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
94.1%
Sieh Bangura run for 3 yds to the Ohio 49Similar
Q3 9:11
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+5
94.3%
CJ Harris pass complete to James Bostic for 5 yds to the BwGrn 46Similar
Q3 8:22
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+2
94.6%
CJ Harris run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:53
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
94.7%
Sieh Bangura run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 40Similar
Q3 7:11
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+1
95.0%
Jake Neatherton run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 39Similar
Q3 6:24
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+11
95.1%
CJ Harris run for 11 yds to the BwGrn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
95.5%
Jake Neatherton run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 27Similar
Q3 5:04
2ND & 9
OPP 27
+8
95.7%
CJ Harris pass complete to Jacoby Jones for 8 yds to the BwGrn 19Similar
Q3 4:36
3RD & 1
OPP 19
+2
95.7%
Sieh Bangura run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
95.1%
CJ Harris pass incomplete to Jacoby JonesSimilar
Q3 3:56
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+2
95.1%
Sieh Bangura run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 15Similar
Q3 3:11
3RD & 8
OPP 15
0
96.5%
Sieh Bangura run for no gain to the BwGrn 15Similar
Q3 2:27
4TH & 8
OPP 15
+32
97.2%
Nathanial Vakos 32 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 19FUMBLE
7 plays · 9 yds · 2:143% → 2%
Q3 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
97.2%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Tyrone BrodenSimilar
Q3 2:14
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
97.3%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Christian SimsSimilar
Q3 2:07
3RD & 10
OWN 22
+18
97.4%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Christian Sims for 18 yds to the BwGrn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
97.3%
Jaison Patterson run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 41Similar
Q3 0:57
2ND & 9
OWN 41
-10
97.4%
Matt McDonald sacked by Keye Thompson for a loss of 10 yards to the BwGrn 31Similar
Q3 0:07
3RD & 19
OWN 31
+2
98.0%
Matt McDonald run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 33 Matt McDonald fumbled, forced by Bryce Dugan, recovered by Ohio Keye ThompsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 20TD
7 plays · 33 yds · 3:2498% → 100%
Q3 0:07
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
98.0%
Sieh Bangura run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 32Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+5
98.0%
CJ Harris run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 27Similar
Q4 14:18
3RD & 4
OPP 27
+4
98.1%
Sieh Bangura run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
98.4%
Julian Ross run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 22Similar
Q4 12:58
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+9
98.5%
Julian Ross run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
98.5%
Julian Ross run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 12Similar
Q4 11:43
2ND & 9
OPP 12
+12
99.8%
CJ Harris 12 Yd Run (Nathanial Vakos Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:300% → 0%
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
99.8%
Nick Mosley run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 31Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+5
99.8%
Camden Orth pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 5 yds to the BwGrn 36Similar
Q4 10:21
3RD & 3
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Camden Orth pass incomplete to PaSean WimberlySimilar
Q4 10:07
4TH & 3
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Sami Sir punt for 47 yds, downed at the Ohio 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 3:38100% → 100%
Q4 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+7
99.8%
Julian Ross run for 7 yds to the Ohio 24Similar
Q4 9:25
2ND & 3
OWN 24
+8
99.8%
Jake Neatherton run for 8 yds to the Ohio 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
99.9%
Jake Neatherton run for 1 yd to the Ohio 33Similar
Q4 8:03
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+2
99.9%
Nolan McCormick run for 2 yds to the Ohio 35Similar
Q4 7:20
3RD & 7
OWN 35
+2
99.9%
Nolan McCormick run for 2 yds to the Ohio 37Similar
Q4 6:29
4TH & 5
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Jack Wilson punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Jake Rogers at the BwGrn 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 23TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 4:050% → 1%
Q4 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+14
99.9%
Nick Mosley run for 14 yds to the BwGrn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
99.9%
Nick Mosley run for 3 yds to the Ohio 48Similar
Q4 5:17
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+7
99.9%
Camden Orth pass complete to Andrew Bench for 7 yds to the Ohio 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+10
99.9%
Nick Mosley run for 10 yds to the Ohio 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+17
99.9%
Camden Orth run for 17 yds to the Ohio 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-3
99.9%
PaSean Wimberly run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ohio 17Similar
Q4 2:34
2ND & 13
OPP 17
+7
99.9%
Orth, Camden pass incomplete to Hiliare, Odieu, PENALTY OHIO pass interference (Stevens, Dylan) 7 yards to the OHIO10, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BOWLGREEN.Similar
Q4 2:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
99.3%
Camden Orth 10 Yd Run (Mason Lawler Kick)Similar
Q4 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
99.4%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the BwGrn 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 24DOWNS
5 plays · -8 yds · 2:12100% → 100%
Q4 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
99.5%
Tyler Toledo run for 2 yds to the Ohio 43Similar
Q4 1:32
2ND & 8
OWN 43
-3
99.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ohio 40Similar
Q4 0:49
3RD & 11
OWN 40
-4
99.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ohio 36Similar
Q4 0:05
4TH & 15
OWN 36
-3
99.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ohio 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:24
CJ Harris 8 Yd Run (Nathanial Vakos Kick)
+10.8
TD · Q2 3:42
Sieh Bangura 3 Yd Run (Nathanial Vakos Kick)
+8
TD · Q2 8:25
Sam Wiglusz 20 Yd pass from CJ Harris (Nathanial Vakos Kick)
+6.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com