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BALL

Ball State 17 at Miami (OH) 18

M-OH
2022 · Week 13 · Nov 22, 2022 · Yager Stadium
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Win probability · M-OH
modelM-OH aheadBALL aheadconfidence bandkey playM-OH scoreBALL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 10:31 · G.Nicholson 45 yard field goal attempt is no good, Center-MOH, Holder-MOH.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+27.5+13.80−13.8−27.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 13Home team on offense+0.2Pregame prior+9.9Score differential−0.1Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:27: C.Steele rushed to MOH End Zone for 23 yards. C.Steele for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — BALL win probability +9.6 pts (now 61%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 10:11: B.VonGunten 44 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-BALL, Holder-BALL. — BALL win probability +8.7 pts (now 75%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 6:17: A.Smith rushed to BALL End Zone for 18 yards. A.Smith for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — M-OH win probability +22.7 pts (now 40%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 6:12: C.Steele rushed to BALL 32 for 7 yards. Tackled by MOH at BALL 32. — BALL win probability +15.1 pts (now 75%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:48: A.Smith pass complete to BALL 34. Catch made by M.Marshall at BALL 34. Gain of 34 yards. M.Marshall for 34 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — M-OH win probability +39.7 pts (now 75%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
M-OH made the numbers' call on 3 of 8BALL made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 10:31M-OH 4th & 9 at BALL 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.4%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.5%
    62% to make
    Punt
    58.0%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:01M-OH 4th & 3 at M-OH 47, tied
    Close callPunted · 58.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.5%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:28BALL 4th & 19 at BALL 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.8%−1.8
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:22M-OH 4th & 5 at M-OH 49, down 7
    Close callPunted · 50.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:51M-OH 4th & 13 at BALL 13, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.2%−1.2
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.3%
    85% to make
    Punt
    29.2%−4.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:35BALL 4th & 1 at M-OH 43, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 63.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    63.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    62.9%−0.8
    28% to make
    Punt
    62.6%−1.2
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:11BALL 4th & 8 at M-OH 27, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.2%−0.7
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.9%
    62% to make
    Punt
    60.3%−6.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:05M-OH 4th & 3 at BALL 8, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 25.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.2%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.4%−0.8
    90% to make
    Punt
    17.6%−7.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:30M-OH 4th & 9 at BALL 38, down 11
    Close callPunted · 26.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.3%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    26.0%−0.3
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    25.9%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:56BALL 4th & 6 at BALL 35, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.7%−0.9
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.6%
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:13M-OH 4th & 10 at M-OH 34, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.5%−0.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.4%
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:55BALL 4th & 3 at BALL 49, up 11
    Close callPunted · 86.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.5%−0.9
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:52M-OH 4th & 10 at M-OH 41, down 11
    Close callWent for it · 12.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.6%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    12.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:18BALL 4th & 1 at BALL 47, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    79.2%−4.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BALL made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 4:41BALL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:27BALL Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
M-OHDrive 1MISSED FG
13 plays · 40 yds · 4:2461% → 61%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
60.7%
T.Shelton rushed to MOH 36 for 3 yards. Tackled by BALL at MOH 36.Similar
Q1 14:22
2ND & 7
OWN 36
0
60.7%
A.Smith steps back to pass. A.Smith pass incomplete intended for M.Hippenhammer.Similar
Q1 14:18
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+14
60.7%
A.Smith pass complete to MOH 50. Catch made by M.Hippenhammer at MOH 50. Gain of 14 yards. Tackled by BALL at MOH 50.Similar
Q1 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 0
+6
60.8%
K.Davis rushed to BALL 44 for 6 yards. Tackled by BALL at BALL 44.Similar
Q1 13:23
2ND & 4
OPP 44
0
60.9%
A.Smith steps back to pass. A.Smith pass incomplete intended for M.Marshall.Similar
Q1 13:18
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+5
60.9%
A.Smith pass complete to BALL 44. Catch made by M.Hippenhammer at BALL 44. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by BALL at BALL 39.Similar
Q1 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
61.0%
A.Smith steps back to pass. A.Smith pass incomplete intended for MOH.Similar
Q1 12:42
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+9
61.0%
A.Smith rushed to BALL 30 for 9 yards. Tackled by BALL at BALL 30.Similar
Q1 12:01
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+2
61.1%
T.Shelton rushed to BALL 28 for 2 yards. Tackled by BALL at BALL 28.Similar
Q1 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
61.2%
A.Smith steps back to pass. A.Smith pass incomplete intended for N.Muersch.Similar
Q1 11:43
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+1
61.2%
K.Tracy rushed to BALL 27 for 1 yards. Tackled by BALL at BALL 27.Similar
Q1 10:59
3RD & 9
OPP 27
0
61.1%
A.Smith steps back to pass. A.Smith pass incomplete intended for M.Hippenhammer.Similar
Q1 10:31
4TH & 9
OPP 27
0
60.8%
G.Nicholson 45 yard field goal attempt is no good, Center-MOH, Holder-MOH.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 2INT
5 plays · 35 yds · 1:2239% → 40%
Q1 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
60.6%
J.Paddock pass complete to BALL 27. Catch made by Y.Tyler at BALL 27. Gain of 9 yards. Tackled by MOH at BALL 36.Similar
Q1 10:02
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+4
60.3%
C.Steele rushed to BALL 40 for 4 yards. Tackled by MOH at BALL 40.Similar
Q1 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
60.3%
C.Steele rushed to MOH 45 for 15 yards. Tackled by MOH at MOH 45.Similar
Q1 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
60.0%
J.Paddock pass complete to MOH 45. Catch made by V.Pemberton at MOH 45. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by MOH at MOH 38.Similar
Q1 9:05
2ND & 3
OPP 38
0
59.9%
J.Paddock pass INTERCEPTED at MOH 40. Intercepted by C.Suttle at MOH 40. Tackled by BALL at MOH 40.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:2861% → 61%
Q1 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
61.0%
T.Shelton rushed to MOH 47 for 7 yards. Tackled by BALL at MOH 47.Similar
Q1 8:05
2ND & 3
OWN 47
0
61.2%
A.Smith steps back to pass. A.Smith pass incomplete intended for M.Hippenhammer.Similar
Q1 8:03
3RD & 3
OWN 47
0
61.0%
A.Smith steps back to pass. A.Smith pass incomplete intended for J.Walker.Similar
Q1 8:01
4TH & 3
OWN 47
+41
60.6%
D.Dzioban punts 41 yards to BALL 12, Center-MOH. Fair catch by J.Jackson.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 4TD
9 plays · 88 yds · 3:1440% → 45%
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
60.5%
C.Steele rushed to BALL 14 for 2 yards. Tackled by MOH at BALL 14.Similar
Q1 7:26
2ND & 8
OWN 14
+2
60.4%
C.Steele rushed to BALL 16 for 2 yards. Tackled by MOH at BALL 16.Similar
Q1 6:54
3RD & 6
OWN 16
+11
60.6%
J.Paddock pass complete to BALL 16. Catch made by B.Hunt at BALL 16. Gain of 11 yards. Tackled by MOH at BALL 27.Similar
Q1 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
60.3%
K.Kelly rushed to BALL 30 for 3 yards. Tackled by MOH at BALL 30.Similar
Q1 6:11
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+10
60.1%
K.Kelly rushed to BALL 40 for 10 yards. Tackled by MOH at BALL 40.Similar
Q1 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
59.8%
J.Paddock steps back to pass. J.Paddock pass incomplete intended for T.Koziol.Similar
Q1 5:33
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+7
59.9%
J.Paddock pass complete to BALL 40. Catch made by A.Abdur-Rahman at BALL 40. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by MOH at BALL 47.Similar
Q1 4:55
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+5
59.5%
J.Paddock pass complete to BALL 47. Catch made by C.Steele at BALL 47. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by MOH at MOH 48.Similar
Q1 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+48
55.3%
C.Steele rushed to MOH End Zone for 48 yards. C.Steele for 48 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 2:3456% → 56%
Q1 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+14
56.4%
A.Smith pass complete to MOH 24. Catch made by J.Walker at MOH 24. Gain of 14 yards. Tackled by BALL at MOH 38.Similar
Q1 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
56.7%
T.Shelton rushed to MOH 41 for 3 yards. Tackled by BALL at MOH 41.Similar
Q1 3:25
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+2
56.8%
A.Smith rushed to MOH 43 for 2 yards. Tackled by BALL at MOH 43.Similar
Q1 2:47
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+7
56.4%
A.Smith pass complete to MOH 43. Catch made by M.Hippenhammer at MOH 43. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by BALL at MOH 50.Similar
Q1 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 0
0
57.3%
A.Smith steps back to pass. A.Smith pass incomplete intended for M.Marshall.Similar
Q1 1:54
2ND & 10
OPP 0
0
57.1%
A.Smith steps back to pass. A.Smith pass incomplete intended for M.Marshall.Similar
Q1 1:50
3RD & 10
OPP 0
0
56.4%
A.Smith steps back to pass. A.Smith pass incomplete intended for M.Hippenhammer.Similar
Q1 1:44
4TH & 10
OPP 0
+40
55.6%
D.Dzioban punts 40 yards to BALL 10, Center-MOH. Out of bounds.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 6PUNT
10 plays · 25 yds · 3:0645% → 46%
Q1 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
54.6%
J.Jackson rushed to BALL 14 for 4 yards. Tackled by MOH at BALL 14.Similar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+7
54.3%
J.Paddock pass complete to BALL 14. Catch made by J.Jackson at BALL 14. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by MOH at BALL 21.Similar
Q1 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
54.2%
C.Steele rushed to BALL 29 for 8 yards. Tackled by MOH at BALL 29.Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+15
53.0%
C.Steele rushed to BALL 44 for 15 yards. Tackled by MOH at BALL 44.Similar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
52.4%
C.Steele rushed to BALL 45 for 1 yards. Tackled by MOH at BALL 45.Similar
Q2 14:23
2ND & 9
OWN 45
0
52.2%
C.Steele rushed to BALL 48 for yards. Tackled by MOH at BALL 48. PENALTY on BALL-D.Kaylor, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 14:07
2ND & 19
OWN 35
0
53.4%
J.Paddock pass complete to BALL 35. Catch made by J.Jackson at BALL 35. Gain of 0 yards. Tackled by MOH at BALL 35.Similar
Q2 13:32
3RD & 19
OWN 35
0
53.7%
J.Paddock steps back to pass. J.Paddock pass incomplete intended for T.Koziol.Similar
Q2 13:28
4TH & 19
OWN 35
+65
54.0%
L.Borrow punts 65 yards to MOH End Zone, Center-BALL. Touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 29 yds · 3:3953% → 52%
Q2 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
53.3%
A.Smith rushed to MOH 26 for 6 yards. Tackled by BALL at MOH 26.Similar
Q2 12:26
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+3
53.3%
K.Tracy rushed to MOH 29 for 3 yards. Tackled by BALL at MOH 29.Similar
Q2 11:47
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+2
52.6%
T.Shelton rushed to MOH 31 for 2 yards. Tackled by BALL at MOH 31.Similar
Q2 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
52.9%
A.Smith rushed to MOH 40 for 9 yards. Tackled by BALL at MOH 40.Similar
Q2 10:48
2ND & 1
OWN 40
+4
54.0%
A.Smith rushed to MOH 44 for 4 yards. Tackled by BALL at MOH 44.Similar
Q2 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
53.6%
A.Smith steps back to pass. A.Smith pass incomplete intended for M.Hippenhammer.Similar
Q2 10:19
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+5
52.9%
A.Smith pass complete to MOH 44. Catch made by K.Davis at MOH 44. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by BALL at MOH 49.Similar
Q2 9:40
3RD & 5
OWN 49
0
52.9%
A.Smith steps back to pass. A.Smith pass incomplete intended for MOH.Similar
Q2 9:22
4TH & 5
OWN 49
+37
51.8%
D.Dzioban punts 37 yards to BALL 14, Center-MOH. Fair catch by J.Jackson.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 8TD
3 plays · 86 yds · 0:4749% → 61%
Q2 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+40
50.9%
K.Kelly rushed to MOH 46 for 40 yards. Tackled by MOH at MOH 46.Similar
Q2 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+23
48.5%
K.Kelly pass complete to MOH 46. Catch made by C.Coll at MOH 46. Gain of 23 yards. Tackled by MOH at MOH 23.Similar
Q2 8:27
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
39.0%
C.Steele rushed to MOH End Zone for 23 yards. C.Steele for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 9FG
16 plays · 64 yds · 6:1441% → 39%
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
40.7%
A.Smith rushed to MOH 27 for 4 yards. Tackled by BALL at MOH 27.Similar
Q2 7:29
2ND & 6
OWN 27
0
40.2%
A.Smith steps back to pass. A.Smith pass incomplete intended for J.Coldiron.Similar
Q2 7:25
3RD & 6
OWN 27
+6
39.8%
A.Smith rushed to MOH 33 for 6 yards. Tackled by BALL at MOH 33.Similar
Q2 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
40.0%
A.Smith steps back to pass. A.Smith pass incomplete intended for MOH.Similar
Q2 6:42
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+14
39.4%
K.Davis rushed to MOH 47 for 14 yards. Tackled by BALL at MOH 47.Similar
Q2 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+13
41.2%
A.Smith pass complete to MOH 47. Catch made by K.Davis at MOH 47. Gain of 13 yards. Tackled by BALL at BALL 40.Similar
Q2 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+12
41.1%
A.Smith scrambles to BALL 28 for 12 yards. Tackled by BALL at BALL 28.Similar
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+12
40.8%
A.Smith pass complete to BALL 28. Catch made by N.Muersch at BALL 28. Gain of 12 yards. Tackled by BALL at BALL 16.Similar
Q2 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
40.6%
K.Davis rushed to BALL 11 for 5 yards. Tackled by BALL at BALL 11.Similar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 5
OPP 11
+8
39.7%
A.Smith pass complete to BALL 11. Catch made by J.Walker at BALL 11. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by BALL at BALL 3.Similar
Q2 3:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
39.5%
T.Shelton rushed to BALL 4 for -1 yards. Tackled by BALL at BALL 4.Similar
Q2 2:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-9
38.6%
A.Smith steps back to pass. A.Smith sacked at BALL 13 for -9 yards (J.Amos; K.King)Similar
Q2 1:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
0
36.4%
A.Smith steps back to pass. A.Smith pass incomplete intended for M.Hippenhammer.Similar
Q2 1:51
4TH & GOAL
OPP 13
+30
39.4%
G.Nicholson 30 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-MOH, Holder-MOH.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 10DOWNS
7 plays · 22 yds · 1:0660% → 63%
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
39.9%
C.Steele rushed to BALL 48 for 13 yards. Tackled by MOH at BALL 48.Similar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
38.5%
J.Paddock pass complete to BALL 48. Catch made by C.Steele at BALL 48. Gain of 1 yards. Tackled by MOH at BALL 49.Similar
Q2 1:06
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
36.8%
J.Paddock steps back to pass. J.Paddock pass incomplete intended for Y.Tyler.Similar
Q2 0:56
3RD & 9
OWN 49
+5
37.2%
PENALTY on BALL-T.Lorincz, False Start, 5 yards, accepted.Similar
Q2 0:56
3RD & 14
OWN 44
+13
37.7%
J.Paddock pass complete to BALL 44. Catch made by T.Koziol at BALL 44. Gain of 13 yards. Tackled by MOH at MOH 43.Similar
Q2 0:35
4TH & 1
OPP 43
0
37.5%
C.Steele rushed to MOH 43 for 0 yards. Tackled by MOH at MOH 43.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 11INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
40.2%
A.Smith pass INTERCEPTED at BALL 30. Intercepted by A.Uzodinma at BALL 30.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 12FG
14 plays · 48 yds · 4:4961% → 75%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
38.6%
J.Paddock pass complete to BALL 25. Catch made by Y.Tyler at BALL 25. Gain of 3 yards. Tackled by MOH at BALL 28.Similar
Q3 14:25
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
38.0%
C.Steele rushed to BALL 32 for 4 yards. Tackled by MOH at BALL 32.Similar
Q3 13:44
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+6
37.8%
J.Paddock pass complete to BALL 32. Catch made by B.Hunt at BALL 32. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by MOH at BALL 38.Similar
Q3 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
36.1%
C.Steele rushed to BALL 43 for 5 yards. Tackled by MOH at BALL 43.Similar
Q3 13:04
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+17
35.6%
K.Kelly rushed to MOH 40 for 17 yards. Tackled by MOH at MOH 40.Similar
Q3 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
35.1%
C.Steele rushed to MOH 30 for yards. Tackled by MOH at MOH 30. PENALTY on BALL-C.Stewart, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 12:37
1ST & 20
OPP 0
+2
34.8%
K.Kelly rushed to MOH 48 for 2 yards. Tackled by MOH at MOH 48.Similar
Q3 12:04
2ND & 18
OPP 48
0
34.9%
J.Paddock steps back to pass. J.Paddock pass incomplete intended for V.Pemberton.Similar
Q3 11:34
3RD & 18
OPP 48
+19
35.0%
J.Paddock pass complete to MOH 48. Catch made by C.Steele at MOH 48. Gain of 19 yards. Tackled by MOH at MOH 29.Similar
Q3 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
33.4%
C.Steele rushed to MOH 30 for -1 yards. Tackled by MOH at MOH 30.Similar
Q3 11:01
2ND & 11
OPP 30
0
33.3%
J.Paddock steps back to pass. J.Paddock pass incomplete intended for B.Hunt.Similar
Q3 10:57
3RD & 11
OPP 30
+3
33.8%
J.Paddock pass complete to MOH 30. Catch made by W.Jones at MOH 30. Gain of 3 yards. Tackled by MOH at MOH 27.Similar
Q3 10:11
4TH & 8
OPP 27
0
25.1%
B.VonGunten 44 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-BALL, Holder-BALL.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 13FG
10 plays · 56 yds · 3:5028% → 31%
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+19
28.0%
A.Smith rushed to BALL 45 for 19 yards. Tackled by BALL at BALL 45.Similar
Q3 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
29.7%
A.Smith pass complete to BALL 45. Catch made by M.Marshall at BALL 45. Gain of 5 yards. Out of bounds.Similar
Q3 9:07
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+4
29.6%
K.Tracy rushed to BALL 36 for 4 yards. Tackled by BALL at BALL 36.Similar
Q3 8:32
3RD & 1
OPP 36
-5
29.1%
PENALTY on MOH-MOH, False Start, 5 yards, accepted.Similar
Q3 8:32
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+8
28.4%
H.Hesson rushed to BALL 33 for 8 yards. Tackled by BALL at BALL 33.Similar
Q3 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+18
28.5%
A.Smith pass complete to BALL 33. Catch made by M.Hippenhammer at BALL 33. Gain of 18 yards. Tackled by BALL at BALL 15.Similar
Q3 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
28.4%
A.Smith steps back to pass. A.Smith pass incomplete intended for K.Davis.Similar
Q3 6:58
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+8
27.8%
A.Smith rushed to BALL 7 for 8 yards. Tackled by BALL at BALL 7.Similar
Q3 6:16
3RD & 2
OPP 7
-1
26.5%
A.Smith rushed to BALL 8 for -1 yards. Tackled by BALL at BALL 8.Similar
Q3 6:05
4TH & 3
OPP 8
+25
31.3%
G.Nicholson 25 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-MOH, Holder-MOH.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 1:3630% → 27%
Q3 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+14
30.1%
A.Smith pass complete to MOH 47. Catch made by M.Hippenhammer at MOH 47. Gain of 14 yards. Tackled by BALL at BALL 39.Similar
Q3 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
30.8%
K.Davis rushed to BALL 36 for 3 yards. Tackled by BALL at BALL 36.Similar
Q3 2:46
2ND & 7
OPP 36
-2
30.3%
A.Smith steps back to pass. A.Smith sacked at BALL 38 for -2 yards (N.Reichert; C.Pearce)Similar
Q3 2:39
3RD & 9
OPP 38
0
29.2%
A.Smith steps back to pass. A.Smith pass incomplete intended for N.Muersch.Similar
Q3 2:30
4TH & 9
OPP 38
+38
26.7%
D.Dzioban punts 38 yards to BALL End Zone, Center-MOH. Touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 2:1473% → 76%
Q3 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
27.1%
J.Paddock pass complete to BALL 20. Catch made by B.Hunt at BALL 20. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by MOH at BALL 25.Similar
Q3 1:42
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+2
26.4%
C.Steele rushed to BALL 27 for 2 yards. Tackled by MOH at BALL 27.Similar
Q3 1:29
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+4
26.5%
J.Paddock pass complete to BALL 27. Catch made by T.Koziol at BALL 27. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by MOH at BALL 31.Similar
Q3 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
25.6%
C.Steele rushed to BALL 34 for 3 yards. Tackled by MOH at BALL 34.Similar
Q3 0:25
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+1
22.9%
J.Paddock pass complete to BALL 34. Catch made by C.Steele at BALL 34. Gain of 1 yards. Tackled by MOH at BALL 35.Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 35
0
23.2%
J.Paddock steps back to pass. J.Paddock pass incomplete intended for T.Koziol.Similar
Q4 14:56
4TH & 6
OWN 35
+36
23.9%
L.Borrow punts 36 yards to MOH 29, Center-BALL. Fair catch by J.Walker.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:1120% → 18%
Q4 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
20.1%
A.Smith rushed to MOH 22 for 2 yards. Tackled by BALL at MOH 22.Similar
Q4 12:01
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
19.7%
A.Smith steps back to pass. A.Smith pass incomplete intended for M.Hippenhammer.Similar
Q4 11:58
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+12
18.7%
A.Smith pass complete to MOH 22. Catch made by M.Hippenhammer at MOH 22. Gain of 12 yards. Tackled by BALL at MOH 34.Similar
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
20.4%
A.Smith steps back to pass. A.Smith pass incomplete intended for M.Marshall.Similar
Q4 11:40
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
20.1%
A.Smith steps back to pass. A.Smith pass incomplete intended for M.Marshall.Similar
Q4 11:25
3RD & 10
OWN 34
0
18.6%
A.Smith steps back to pass. A.Smith pass incomplete intended for D.Dorsey.Similar
Q4 11:13
4TH & 10
OWN 34
+35
17.7%
D.Dzioban punts 35 yards to BALL 31, Center-MOH. Fair catch by J.Jackson.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 3:1183% → 87%
Q4 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
16.7%
K.Kelly rushed to BALL 33 for 2 yards. Tackled by MOH at BALL 33.Similar
Q4 10:38
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+9
16.4%
K.Kelly rushed to BALL 42 for 9 yards. Tackled by MOH at BALL 42.Similar
Q4 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
14.8%
C.Steele rushed to BALL 45 for 3 yards. Tackled by MOH at BALL 45.Similar
Q4 9:42
2ND & 7
OWN 45
0
13.9%
K.Kelly rushed to BALL 45 for 0 yards. Tackled by MOH at BALL 45.Similar
Q4 8:41
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+4
13.2%
J.Paddock pass complete to BALL 45. Catch made by C.Steele at BALL 45. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by MOH at BALL 49.Similar
Q4 7:55
4TH & 3
OWN 49
+40
13.3%
L.Borrow punts 40 yards to MOH 11, Center-BALL. J.Walker returned punt from the MOH 11. Tackled by BALL at MOH 20.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 18TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 1:1515% → 40%
Q4 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
14.6%
A.Smith pass complete to MOH 20. Catch made by K.Tracy at MOH 20. Gain of 11 yards. Tackled by BALL at MOH 31.Similar
Q4 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+10
14.5%
A.Smith pass complete to MOH 31. Catch made by J.Coldiron at MOH 31. Gain of 10 yards. Tackled by BALL at MOH 41.Similar
Q4 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
15.6%
A.Smith steps back to pass. A.Smith pass incomplete intended for M.Marshall.Similar
Q4 6:56
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
14.8%
A.Smith steps back to pass. A.Smith pass incomplete intended for M.Hippenhammer.Similar
Q4 6:56
3RD & 10
OWN 41
0
13.9%
A.Smith steps back to pass. A.Smith pass incomplete intended for K.Davis.Similar
Q4 6:52
4TH & 10
OWN 41
+16
12.4%
A.Smith pass complete to MOH 41. Catch made by J.Walker at MOH 41. Gain of 16 yards. Tackled by BALL at BALL 43.Similar
Q4 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+10
16.9%
A.Smith pass complete to BALL 43. Catch made by M.Marshall at BALL 43. Gain of 10 yards. Tackled by BALL at BALL 33.Similar
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
17.2%
A.Smith steps back to pass. A.Smith pass incomplete intended for M.Marshall. PENALTY on BALL-N.Jones, Defensive Pass Interference, 15 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
40.0%
A.Smith rushed to BALL End Zone for 18 yards. A.Smith for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 19DOWNS
7 plays · 22 yds · 2:5475% → 82%
Q4 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
24.9%
C.Steele rushed to BALL 32 for 7 yards. Tackled by MOH at BALL 32.Similar
Q4 5:27
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+6
22.6%
C.Steele rushed to BALL 38 for 6 yards. Tackled by MOH at BALL 38.Similar
Q4 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
19.9%
C.Steele rushed to BALL 40 for 2 yards. Tackled by MOH at BALL 40.Similar
Q4 4:18
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+6
17.9%
C.Steele rushed to BALL 46 for 6 yards. Tackled by MOH at BALL 46.Similar
Q4 3:31
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+1
16.5%
C.Steele rushed to BALL 47 for 1 yards. Tackled by MOH at BALL 47.Similar
Q4 3:18
4TH & 1
OWN 47
0
18.4%
C.Steele rushed to BALL 47 for 0 yards. Tackled by MOH at BALL 47.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 20TD
6 plays · 47 yds · 1:1733% → 75%
Q4 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
32.9%
A.Smith rushed to BALL 43 for 4 yards. Tackled by BALL at BALL 43.Similar
Q4 2:43
2ND & 6
OPP 43
0
33.5%
A.Smith steps back to pass. A.Smith pass incomplete intended for MOH.Similar
Q4 2:40
3RD & 6
OPP 43
+9
32.5%
A.Smith pass complete to BALL 43. Catch made by J.Walker at BALL 43. Gain of 9 yards. Tackled by BALL at BALL 34.Similar
Q4 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
35.2%
A.Smith rushed to BALL 34 for 0 yards. Tackled by BALL at BALL 34.Similar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
34.9%
A.Smith steps back to pass. A.Smith pass incomplete intended for MOH.Similar
Q4 1:48
3RD & 10
OPP 34
+34
74.6%
A.Smith pass complete to BALL 34. Catch made by M.Marshall at BALL 34. Gain of 34 yards. M.Marshall for 34 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 21INT
5 plays · 28 yds · 0:3332% → 34%
Q4 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
68.1%
J.Paddock pass complete to BALL 25. Catch made by Y.Tyler at BALL 25. Gain of 9 yards. Tackled by MOH at BALL 34.Similar
Q4 1:13
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
64.3%
J.Paddock steps back to pass. J.Paddock pass incomplete intended for B.Hunt.Similar
Q4 1:11
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+9
65.5%
C.Steele rushed to BALL 43 for 9 yards. Tackled by MOH at BALL 43.Similar
Q4 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
64.7%
J.Paddock steps back to pass. J.Paddock pass incomplete intended for T.Koziol.Similar
Q4 0:59
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
66.0%
J.Paddock pass INTERCEPTED at MOH 47. Intercepted by B.Ugwu at MOH 47. PENALTY on MOH-L.Myers, Illegal Block Above the Waist, 10 yards, accepted.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:48
A.Smith pass complete to BALL 34. Catch made by M.Marshall at BALL 34. Gain of 34 yards. M.Marshall for 34 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
+39.7
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+34
TD · Q4 6:17
A.Smith rushed to BALL End Zone for 18 yards. A.Smith for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
+22.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com