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EMU

Eastern Michigan 31 at Kent State 24

KENT
2022 · Week 12 · Nov 16, 2022 · Dix Stadium
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Win probability · KENT
modelKENT aheadEMU aheadconfidence bandkey playKENT scoreEMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 8:34 · Samson Evans run for 4 yds to the KntSt 13 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+43.0+21.50−21.5−43.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 24Pregame prior+19.5Home team on offense−0.5Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential−0.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 9:23: Taylor Powell pass complete to Tanner Knue for 28 yds for a TD, (Jesus Gomez KICK) — EMU win probability +15.6 pts (now 37%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. FG · Q3 4:14: Jesus Gomez 33 yd FG GOOD — EMU win probability +6.7 pts (now 42%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 10:46: Taylor Powell pass complete to Tanner Knue for 11 yds for a TD, (Jesus Gomez KICK) — EMU win probability +27.7 pts (now 77%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 3:51: Samson Evans run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jesus Gomez KICK) — EMU win probability +17.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:41: Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds for a TD, (Andrew Glass KICK) — KENT win probability +18.0 pts (now 23%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KENT made the numbers' call on 8 of 10EMU made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 13:00EMU 4th & 6 at EMU 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.8%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:23KENT 4th & 4 at KENT 30, tied
    Close callPunted · 69.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:52EMU 4th & 4 at EMU 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 30.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:34KENT 4th & 5 at KENT 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.7%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 8:34EMU 4th & 2 at KENT 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.1%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    31.0%−0.1
    80% to make
    Punt
    30.1%−0.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:44KENT 4th & 10 at EMU 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.6%−0.4
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.0%
    77% to make
    Punt
    65.9%−2.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:15EMU 4th & 3 at KENT 40, down 3
    Close callPunted · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    30.8%−1.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    31.1%−0.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:31EMU 4th & 8 at EMU 38, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.7%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:03EMU 4th & 1 at KENT 14, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    23.0%−1.7
    84% to make
    Punt
    18.4%−6.4
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:18KENT 4th & 7 at KENT 39, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.0%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.3%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:57EMU 4th & 12 at EMU 36, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.7%−1.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.9%
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:36KENT 4th & 8 at KENT 41, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.8%−0.8
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.5%
    average punt
  13. Q3 12:57KENT 4th & 19 at KENT 18, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.9%−3.3
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.2%
    average punt
  14. Q3 12:57EMU 4th & 1 at KENT 30, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    18.8%−2.4
    56% to make
    Punt
    17.5%−3.7
    average punt
  15. Q3 8:22KENT 4th & 12 at KENT 34, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.6%−2.9
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.5%
    average punt
  16. Q3 4:14EMU 4th & 5 at KENT 15, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.8%−0.6
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.4%
    83% to make
    Punt
    22.4%−10.0
    average punt
  17. Q3 1:38KENT 4th & 6 at KENT 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.2%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.5%
    average punt
  18. Q4 9:53KENT 4th & 5 at KENT 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.1%
    average punt
  19. Q4 3:51KENT 4th & 1 at EMU 17, down 14
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.5 ptsWent for it · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.4%−1.5
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    6.9%
    80% to make
    Punt
    2.5%−4.4
    average punt
  20. Q4 0:00EMU 4th & 2 at KENT 30, up 7
    Close callWent for it · 92.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.6%−0.4
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    93.0%
    56% to make
    Punt
    92.4%−0.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KENT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3EMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 5:16EMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:00KENT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:50KENT Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:23EMU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 10:46EMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:51EMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.6%−0.7
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 0:41KENT Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.1%−2.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
EMUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:5328% → 28%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
71.8%
Samson Evans run for 3 yds to the EMich 23Similar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+1
71.8%
Austin Smith run for 1 yd to the EMich 22Similar
Q1 14:53
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+2
71.8%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Gunnar Oakes for 2 yds to the EMich 24Similar
Q1 13:00
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
71.6%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KntSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:3772% → 71%
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
71.5%
Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the KntSt 27Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+5
71.5%
Collin Schlee run for 5 yds to the KntSt 32Similar
Q1 13:00
3RD & 2
OWN 32
+2
71.5%
Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the KntSt 30Similar
Q1 11:23
4TH & 4
OWN 30
+6
71.0%
Josh Smith punt for 42 yds , Dylan Drummond returns for 6 yds to the EMich 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 16 yds · 1:3129% → 29%
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
71.1%
Samson Evans run for no gain to the EMich 34Similar
Q1 11:23
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+6
71.1%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Jaylon Jackson for 6 yds to the EMich 40Similar
Q1 11:23
3RD & 4
OWN 40
0
71.0%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Hassan BeydounSimilar
Q1 9:52
4TH & 4
OWN 40
0
71.0%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Luke Floriea at the KntSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1871% → 70%
Q1 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
70.9%
Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the KntSt 17Similar
Q1 9:52
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+3
70.9%
Collin Schlee run for 3 yds to the KntSt 20Similar
Q1 9:52
3RD & 5
OWN 20
0
70.7%
Collin Schlee pass incomplete to Devontez WalkerSimilar
Q1 8:34
4TH & 5
OWN 20
0
70.1%
Josh Smith punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Dylan Drummond at the EMich 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 5TD
9 plays · 52 yds · 3:1830% → 35%
Q1 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
70.0%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
Q1 8:34
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+5
70.1%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 5 yds to the KntSt 47Similar
Q1 8:34
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+22
70.0%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Tanner Knue for 22 yds to the KntSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
69.7%
Samson Evans run for 7 yds to the KntSt 18Similar
Q1 8:34
2ND & 3
OPP 18
0
69.7%
Taylor Powell run for no gain to the KntSt 18Similar
Q1 8:34
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+1
69.9%
Samson Evans run for 1 yd to the KntSt 17Similar
Q1 8:34
4TH & 2
OPP 17
+4
70.2%
Samson Evans run for 4 yds to the KntSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
69.7%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Tanner KnueSimilar
Q1 5:16
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+13
65.4%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 13 yds for a TD, (Jesus Gomez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 6TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:1667% → 71%
Q1 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
66.6%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Devontez Walker for 11 yds to the KntSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
66.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Cooper,Marquez rush middle for 5 yards gain to the KentSt41 (Sparacio,Joe) PENALTY EMU Offside (Coleman,Mikah) 5 yards from KentSt36 to KentSt41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:16
1ST & 5
OWN 41
+14
67.4%
Marquez Cooper run for 14 yds to the EMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:37
1ST & 15
50
+2
67.1%
Collin Schlee run for 2 yds to the EMich 48Similar
Q1 4:37
2ND & 13
OPP 48
+14
67.1%
Marquez Cooper run for 14 yds to the EMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
68.1%
Collin Schlee run for 2 yds to the EMich 32Similar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 15
OPP 39
+39
70.5%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Ja'Shaun Poke for 39 yds for a TD EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Offside (Chase Kline) declined, (Andrew Glass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 7DOWNS
9 plays · 31 yds · 2:5831% → 32%
Q1 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
69.4%
Samson Evans run for 2 yds to the EMich 27Similar
Q1 2:58
2ND & 12
OWN 27
+13
69.6%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 13 yds to the EMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
68.8%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 6 yds to the EMich 46Similar
Q1 2:58
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+9
68.5%
Samson Evans run for 9 yds to the KntSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
68.4%
Samson Evans run for 3 yds to the KntSt 42Similar
Q1 2:58
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+2
68.4%
Jaylon Jackson run for 2 yds to the KntSt 40Similar
Q1 2:58
3RD & 5
OPP 40
0
68.5%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 5
OPP 40
0
67.9%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Holding Holding (Chase Kline) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 8FG
6 plays · 41 yds · 1:1671% → 71%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
70.5%
Bryan Bradford run for 7 yds to the KntSt 47Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+39
70.5%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Devontez Walker for 39 yds to the KENTST 19 for a 1ST down EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Offside Pass Interference (Chase Kline) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
71.4%
Collin Schlee pass incomplete to Gavin GarciaSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
71.4%
Collin Schlee pass incomplete to Gavin GarciaSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 19
0
70.9%
Collin Schlee pass incomplete to Luke FlorieaSimilar
Q2 13:44
4TH & 10
OPP 19
+36
70.6%
Andrew Glass 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 35 yds · 3:2930% → 31%
Q2 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
70.5%
Jaylon Jackson run for 5 yds to the EMich 20Similar
Q2 13:44
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+16
70.7%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 16 yds to the EMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+17
70.1%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 17 yds to the KntSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
69.0%
Samson Evans run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 13:44
2ND & 13
50
+4
69.7%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Gunnar Oakes for 4 yds to the KntSt 46Similar
Q2 13:44
3RD & 9
OPP 46
+6
69.5%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Aaron Jackson for 6 yds to the KntSt 40Similar
Q2 10:15
4TH & 3
OPP 40
0
69.5%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Luke Floriea at the KntSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 10TD
9 plays · 89 yds · 2:2570% → 79%
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+15
69.9%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Trell Harris for 15 yds to the KntSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+15
70.2%
Marquez Cooper run for 15 yds to the KntSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
71.1%
Collin Schlee pass incomplete to Devontez WalkerSimilar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+2
70.5%
Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the KntSt 39Similar
Q2 10:15
3RD & 12
OWN 39
+23
69.7%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Ja'Shaun Poke for 23 yds to the EMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
71.8%
Collin Schlee run for 9 yds to the EMich 29Similar
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+23
72.3%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Devontez Walker for 23 yds to the EMich 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 1
OPP 29
+5
72.3%
Marquez Cooper run for 5 yds to the EMich 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
78.9%
Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andrew Glass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 1:1923% → 22%
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
77.3%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 11 yds to the EMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
76.9%
Samson Evans run for 2 yds to the EMich 38Similar
Q2 7:50
2ND & 8
OWN 38
0
76.6%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Darius LassiterSimilar
Q2 7:50
3RD & 8
OWN 38
0
77.0%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Darius LassiterSimilar
Q2 6:31
4TH & 8
OWN 38
0
78.2%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 37 yds , Luke Floriea returns for no gain to the KntSt 23 Luke Floriea fumbled, recovered by EMich Tanner KnueSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 12DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:2825% → 23%
Q2 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+7
75.2%
Samson Evans run for 7 yds to the KntSt 16Similar
Q2 6:31
2ND & 3
OPP 16
+1
75.2%
Samson Evans run for 1 yd to the KntSt 15Similar
Q2 6:31
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+1
75.9%
Samson Evans run for 1 yd to the KntSt 14Similar
Q2 5:03
4TH & 1
OPP 14
+1
76.9%
Samson Evans run for 1 yd to the KntSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 1:4578% → 78%
Q2 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
78.0%
Collin Schlee pass incomplete to Trell HarrisSimilar
Q2 5:03
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+21
77.9%
Collin Schlee run for 21 yds to the KntSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
78.6%
Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the KntSt 39Similar
Q2 5:03
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
79.1%
Marquez Cooper run for no gain to the KntSt 39Similar
Q2 5:03
3RD & 7
OWN 39
0
78.1%
Devin Kargman pass incomplete to Devontez WalkerSimilar
Q2 3:18
4TH & 7
OWN 39
0
78.4%
Josh Smith punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the EMich 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 14PUNT
11 plays · 13 yds · 2:2121% → 20%
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
78.8%
Samson Evans run for 8 yds to the EMich 31Similar
Q2 3:18
2ND & 2
OWN 31
-10
77.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun Evans,Samson rush left for 13 yards gain to the EMU44 (Evans,JoJo) PENALTY EMU Holding 10 yards from EMU31 to EMU21. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:18
2ND & 12
OWN 21
+17
79.0%
Taylor Powell run for 17 yds to the EMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
78.0%
Samson Evans run for no gain to the EMich 38Similar
Q2 2:05
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-10
78.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun Powell,Taylor pass complete deep right to Knue,Tanner for 27 yards to the KentSt35, End Of Play PENALTY EMU Holding (Oakes,Gunnar) 10 yards from EMU38 to EMU28. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:58
2ND & 20
OWN 28
+3
78.9%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 3 yds to the EMich 31Similar
Q2 1:52
3RD & 17
OWN 31
+5
79.5%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 5 yds to the EMich 36Similar
Q2 0:57
4TH & 12
OWN 36
0
80.0%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KntSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:2182% → 80%
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
81.8%
Devin Kargman pass incomplete to Ja'Shaun PokeSimilar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
81.5%
Devin Kargman pass incomplete to Devontez WalkerSimilar
Q2 0:57
3RD & 10
OWN 39
+2
80.7%
Bryan Bradford run for 2 yds to the KntSt 41Similar
Q2 0:36
4TH & 8
OWN 41
0
80.1%
Josh Smith punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Dylan Drummond at the EMich 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 16END OF HALF
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
80.1%
Jaylon Jackson run for 3 yds to the EMich 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 1:5980% → 79%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
79.6%
Marquez Cooper run for 6 yds to the KntSt 21Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 16
OWN 21
-9
79.2%
Devin Kargman sacked by Grant Trueman for a loss of 9 yards to the KntSt 12Similar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 25
OWN 12
+6
78.4%
Marquez Cooper run for 6 yds to the KntSt 18Similar
Q3 12:57
4TH & 19
OWN 18
+5
78.8%
Josh Smith punt for 45 yds , Dylan Drummond returns for 5 yds to the EMich 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 18TD
7 plays · 58 yds · 3:3421% → 37%
Q3 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
79.1%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 9 yds to the KntSt 49Similar
Q3 12:57
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+10
77.9%
Samson Evans run for 10 yds to the KntSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
78.3%
Samson Evans run for 1 yd to the KntSt 38Similar
Q3 12:57
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+4
78.3%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Tanner Knue for 4 yds to the KntSt 34Similar
Q3 12:57
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+4
78.5%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Samson Evans for 4 yds to the KntSt 30Similar
Q3 12:57
4TH & 1
OPP 30
+2
79.1%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Jere Getzinger for 2 yds to the KntSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
63.4%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Tanner Knue for 28 yds for a TD, (Jesus Gomez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -12 yds · 0:5471% → 68%
Q3 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
70.7%
Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the KntSt 34Similar
Q3 9:16
2ND & 12
OWN 34
0
69.6%
Devin Kargman pass incomplete to Trell HarrisSimilar
Q3 9:16
3RD & 12
OWN 34
0
68.4%
Devin Kargman pass incomplete to Devontez WalkerSimilar
Q3 8:22
4TH & 12
OWN 34
0
67.6%
Josh Smith punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Dylan Drummond at the EMich 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 20FG
9 plays · 60 yds · 4:0832% → 42%
Q3 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
68.2%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 5 yds to the EMich 30Similar
Q3 8:22
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
67.3%
Samson Evans run for no gain to the EMich 30Similar
Q3 8:22
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+12
68.5%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Tanner Knue for 12 yds to the EMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
65.7%
Samson Evans run for 4 yds to the EMich 46Similar
Q3 8:22
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+34
65.2%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 34 yds to the KntSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
63.0%
Taylor Powell run for 4 yds to the KntSt 16Similar
Q3 8:22
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+1
63.0%
Samson Evans run for 1 yd to the KntSt 15Similar
Q3 8:22
3RD & 5
OPP 15
0
64.4%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
Q3 4:14
4TH & 5
OPP 15
+33
57.7%
Jesus Gomez 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:2963% → 61%
Q3 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
62.6%
Devin Kargman pass incomplete to Devontez WalkerSimilar
Q3 4:07
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
62.3%
Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the KntSt 28Similar
Q3 4:07
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+8
60.9%
Marquez Cooper run for 8 yds to the KntSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:07
1ST & 20
OWN 26
+13
62.5%
Devin Kargman pass complete to Devontez Walker for 13 yds to the KntSt 39Similar
Q3 4:07
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+1
65.2%
Bryan Bradford run for 1 yd to the KntSt 40Similar
Q3 4:07
3RD & 6
OWN 40
0
63.1%
Devin Kargman pass incomplete to Devontez WalkerSimilar
Q3 1:38
4TH & 6
OWN 40
0
60.7%
Josh Smith punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Dylan Drummond at the EMich 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 22TD
12 plays · 77 yds · 5:5242% → 77%
Q3 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
58.2%
Samson Evans run for 5 yds to the EMich 28Similar
Q3 1:38
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+3
57.3%
Samson Evans run for 3 yds to the EMich 31Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+7
57.0%
Jaylon Jackson run for 7 yds to the EMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
55.5%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 3 yds to the EMich 41Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+6
54.2%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 6 yds to the EMich 47Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+1
53.9%
Samson Evans run for 1 yd to the EMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+14
53.5%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 14 yds to the KntSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+7
51.0%
Jaylon Jackson run for 7 yds to the KntSt 16Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 16
-10
51.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun Jackson,Jaylon rush right for 2 yards gain to the KentSt14 (Evans,JoJo), out of bounds PENALTY EMU Holding (Lassiter,Darius) 10 yards from KentSt16 to KentSt26. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 13
OPP 26
+15
52.2%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Jaylon Jackson for 15 yds to the KntSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
51.0%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Tanner KnueSimilar
Q4 10:46
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+11
23.2%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Tanner Knue for 11 yds for a TD, (Jesus Gomez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:5334% → 29%
Q4 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
34.0%
Devin Kargman pass complete to Ja'Shaun Poke for 7 yds to the KntSt 32Similar
Q4 10:46
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
36.6%
Devin Kargman run for 2 yds to the KntSt 30Similar
Q4 10:46
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
33.4%
Devin Kargman pass incomplete to Trell HarrisSimilar
Q4 9:53
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
29.1%
Josh Smith punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the EMich 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 24TD
11 plays · 77 yds · 6:0274% → 97%
Q4 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
25.6%
Samson Evans run for 4 yds to the EMich 27Similar
Q4 9:53
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+8
24.7%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 8 yds to the EMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
24.7%
Samson Evans run for 3 yds to the EMich 38Similar
Q4 9:53
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+6
22.8%
Samson Evans run for 6 yds to the EMich 44Similar
Q4 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
22.1%
Samson Evans run for 3 yds to the KntSt 48Similar
Q4 9:53
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+28
21.6%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 28 yds to the KntSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
20.6%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Tanner KnueSimilar
Q4 9:53
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+7
20.8%
Jaylon Jackson run for 7 yds to the KntSt 13Similar
Q4 9:53
3RD & 3
OPP 13
+3
21.4%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 3 yds to the KntSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
20.6%
Jaylon Jackson run for 9 yds to the KntSt 1Similar
Q4 3:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
2.9%
Samson Evans run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jesus Gomez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 25TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 3:104% → 23%
Q4 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-8
4.2%
Devin Kargman sacked by Jose Ramirez for a loss of 8 yards to the KntSt 17Similar
Q4 3:51
2ND & 18
OWN 17
0
4.1%
Devin Kargman pass incomplete to Trell HarrisSimilar
Q4 3:51
3RD & 18
OWN 17
+29
4.0%
Devin Kargman pass complete to Devontez Walker for 29 yds to the KntSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+12
4.3%
Devin Kargman pass complete to Ja'Shaun Poke for 12 yds to the EMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
4.6%
Devin Kargman pass incomplete to Ja'Shaun PokeSimilar
Q4 3:51
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+1
4.6%
Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the EMich 41Similar
Q4 3:51
3RD & 9
OPP 41
+15
4.5%
Devin Kargman pass complete to Ja'Shaun Poke for 15 yds to the EMich 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
5.4%
Devin Kargman pass incomplete to Devontez WalkerSimilar
Q4 3:51
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+9
5.1%
Devin Kargman pass complete to Ja'Shaun Poke for 9 yds to the EMich 17Similar
Q4 3:51
3RD & 1
OPP 17
0
5.2%
Devin Kargman pass incomplete to Trell HarrisSimilar
Q4 3:51
4TH & 1
OPP 17
+9
5.0%
Marquez Cooper run for 9 yds to the EMich 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
5.3%
Marquez Cooper run for 5 yds to the EMich 3Similar
Q4 3:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
5.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun Kargman,Devin pass incomplete short left to Poke,Ja'Shaun PENALTY EMU Offside (Ramirez,Jose) 4 yards from EMU08 to EMU04. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
5.3%
Devin Kargman pass complete to Devontez Walker for 6 yds to the EMich 3Similar
Q4 0:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
23.3%
Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds for a TD, (Andrew Glass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 26END OF GAME
8 plays · 12 yds · 0:3992% → 95%
Q4 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
8.5%
Samson Evans run for 6 yds to the KntSt 32Similar
Q4 0:34
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+2
4.7%
Samson Evans run for 2 yds to the KntSt 30Similar
Q4 0:29
3RD & 2
OPP 30
0
4.5%
Samson Evans run for no gain to the KntSt 30Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 2
OPP 30
+4
4.6%
Samson Evans run for 4 yds to the KntSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:46
Taylor Powell pass complete to Tanner Knue for 11 yds for a TD, (Jesus Gomez KICK)
-27.7
TD · Q4 0:41
Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds for a TD, (Andrew Glass KICK)
+18
TD · Q4 3:51
Samson Evans run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jesus Gomez KICK)
-17.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com