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KENT

Kent State 40 at Bowling Green 6

BGSU
2022 · Week 11 · Nov 9, 2022 · Doyt L. Perry Stadium
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Win probability · BGSU
modelBGSU aheadKENT aheadconfidence bandkey playBGSU scoreKENT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 11:14 · Matt McDonald sacked by Saivon Taylor-Davis for a loss of 7 yards to the BwGrn 38
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingBlowout margin
+57.5+28.80−28.8−57.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 149Home team on offense−40.4Score differential−24.8Garbage-time factor−13.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−4.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−4.5Blowout margin−1.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:56: Collin Schlee pass complete to Bryan Bradford for 14 yds for a TD, (Josh Smith KICK) — KENT win probability +6.0 pts (now 57%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:43: Collin Schlee run for 4 yds for a TD, (Andrew Glass KICK) — KENT win probability +11.4 pts (now 70%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:02: Collin Schlee pass complete to Devontez Walker for 21 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed) — KENT win probability +12.5 pts (now 84%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:29: Matt McDonald pass complete to Tyrone Broden for 24 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — BGSU win probability +8.5 pts (now 19%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:17: Collin Schlee pass complete to Devontez Walker for 26 yds for a TD, (Andrew Glass KICK) — KENT win probability +5.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BGSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 9KENT made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 13:49KENT 4th & 6 at BGSU 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.7%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.8%
    75% to make
    Punt
    54.4%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:11BGSU 4th & 4 at KENT 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 46.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    46.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    46.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:39KENT 4th & 7 at BGSU 12, tied
    Close callWent for it · 53.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.7%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    53.8%
    86% to make
    Punt
    52.8%−1.0
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:44BGSU 4th & 9 at BGSU 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.1%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.4%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:24BGSU 4th & 6 at KENT 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 48.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    48.1%−0.4
    28% to make
    Punt
    48.3%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:45BGSU 4th & 1 at KENT 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 42.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    40.2%−1.9
    68% to make
    Punt
    34.9%−7.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:45KENT 4th & 5 at BGSU 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.8%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    59.4%−0.4
    47% to make
    Punt
    59.0%−0.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:05BGSU 4th & 6 at BGSU 44, down 14
    Close callPunted · 29.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:00BGSU 4th & 3 at KENT 34, down 20
    Close callKicked a field goal · 20.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.8%
    53% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.0%−0.8
    47% to make
    Punt
    19.9%−0.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:59KENT 4th & 4 at BGSU 28, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    85.5%−0.6
    60% to make
    Punt
    80.5%−5.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:38BGSU 4th & 10 at BGSU 48, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 15.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.7%−1.0
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    15.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:41KENT 4th & 3 at BGSU 9, up 20
    Close callKicked a field goal · 91.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.4%−0.8
    89% to make
    Punt
    82.5%−8.6
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:44KENT 4th & 4 at BGSU 27, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    87.0%−0.5
    62% to make
    Punt
    81.2%−6.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:14BGSU 4th & 6 at BGSU 45, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:14KENT 4th & 1 at BGSU 29, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    97.3%−0.5
    58% to make
    Punt
    96.3%−1.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:35KENT 4th & 2 at BGSU 10, up 24
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%
    55% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.5%−0.2
    88% to make
    Punt
    97.6%−1.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:23BGSU 4th & 2 at KENT 44, down 34
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    27% to make
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BGSU made the numbers' call on 0 of 1KENT made the numbers' call on 2 of 5
  1. Q2 14:56KENT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:43KENT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:02KENT Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    80.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    80.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:29BGSU Touchdown, down 17 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    14.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    14.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 13:17KENT Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:16KENT Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KENTDrive 1MISSED FG
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:0851% → 51%
Q1 14:57
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
49.1%
Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 26Similar
Q1 14:57
2ND & 12
OPP 26
+6
49.1%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Raymond James for 6 yds to the BwGrn 20Similar
Q1 14:57
3RD & 6
OPP 20
0
49.1%
Collin Schlee pass incomplete to Dante CephasSimilar
Q1 13:49
4TH & 6
OPP 20
+37
49.3%
Andrew Glass 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 2DOWNS
6 plays · 32 yds · 2:3849% → 50%
Q1 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
49.4%
Jaison Patterson run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 24Similar
Q1 13:49
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+22
49.4%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Christian Sims for 22 yds to the BwGrn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
49.5%
Jaison Patterson run for 5 yds to the KntSt 49Similar
Q1 13:49
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+1
49.5%
Jaison Patterson run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 13:49
3RD & 6
50
+2
49.5%
Jamal Johnson run for 2 yds to the KntSt 48Similar
Q1 11:11
4TH & 4
OPP 48
0
50.0%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to CJ LewisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 3DOWNS
8 plays · 40 yds · 2:3251% → 50%
Q1 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+12
49.4%
Marquez Cooper run for 12 yds to the BwGrn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+13
49.4%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Dante Cephas for 13 yds to the BwGrn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
49.2%
Marquez Cooper run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 21Similar
Q1 11:11
2ND & 4
OPP 21
+6
49.2%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Ja'Shaun Poke for 6 yds to the BwGrn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
49.2%
Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 13Similar
Q1 11:11
2ND & 8
OPP 13
0
49.2%
Collin Schlee pass incomplete to Ja'Shaun PokeSimilar
Q1 11:11
3RD & 8
OPP 13
+1
49.4%
Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 12Similar
Q1 8:39
4TH & 7
OPP 12
0
49.9%
Collin Schlee pass incomplete to Dante CephasSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:5550% → 50%
Q1 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
50.1%
Harold Fannin Jr. run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 15Similar
Q1 8:39
2ND & 7
OWN 15
+3
50.1%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 3 yds to the BwGrn 18Similar
Q1 8:39
3RD & 4
OWN 18
-5
49.8%
Matt McDonald sacked by Saivon Taylor-Davis for a loss of 5 yards to the BwGrn 13Similar
Q1 6:44
4TH & 9
OWN 13
0
49.8%
Sami Sir punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Raymond James at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 5INT
4 plays · 26 yds · 0:5350% → 50%
Q1 6:44
1ST & 10
50
+19
49.6%
Marquez Cooper run for 19 yds to the BwGrn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
49.3%
Collin Schlee pass incomplete to Dante CephasSimilar
Q1 6:44
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+7
49.4%
Marquez Cooper run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 24Similar
Q1 5:51
3RD & 3
OPP 24
0
49.6%
Collin Schlee pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 6DOWNS
8 plays · 25 yds · 3:2751% → 52%
Q1 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
50.7%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Tyrone Broden for 6 yds to the BwGrn 31Similar
Q1 5:51
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+9
51.1%
Jaison Patterson run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
51.3%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Tyrone Broden for 8 yds to the BwGrn 48Similar
Q1 5:51
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+5
51.6%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Tyrone Broden for 5 yds to the KntSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
51.7%
Jaison Patterson run for 2 yds to the KntSt 49Similar
Q1 5:51
2ND & 12
OPP 49
+3
51.2%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 3 yds to the BwGrn 48Similar
Q1 5:51
3RD & 15
OWN 48
+9
50.5%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Christian Sims for 9 yds to the KntSt 43Similar
Q1 2:24
4TH & 6
OPP 43
-7
51.7%
Matt McDonald sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 7TD
8 plays · 50 yds · 2:2851% → 57%
Q1 2:24
1ST & 10
50
+11
49.3%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Ja'Shaun Poke for 11 yds to the BwGrn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
49.3%
Bryan Bradford run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 34Similar
Q1 2:24
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+4
48.8%
Bryan Bradford run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 30Similar
Q1 2:24
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+6
49.3%
Bryan Bradford run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
48.8%
Bryan Bradford run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 20Similar
Q1 2:24
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+4
48.8%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Ja'Shaun Poke for 4 yds to the BwGrn 16Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 16
+2
49.3%
Bryan Bradford run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
43.3%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Bryan Bradford for 14 yds for a TD, (Josh Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 8DOWNS
14 plays · 53 yds · 5:1145% → 45%
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+11
45.4%
Jaison Patterson run for 11 yds to the BwGrn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
45.7%
Jaison Patterson run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 39Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+2
46.6%
Jaison Patterson run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 41Similar
Q2 14:56
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+3
46.2%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Cavon Croom for 3 yds to the BwGrn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
46.5%
Nick Mosley run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 47Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 7
OWN 47
0
46.9%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Harold Fannin Jr.Similar
Q2 14:56
3RD & 7
OWN 47
+9
46.1%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Tyrone Broden for 9 yds to the KntSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
47.2%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Jamal JohnsonSimilar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 20
OWN 46
+21
45.7%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Christian Sims for 21 yds to the KntSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
47.8%
Jaison Patterson run for no gain to the KntSt 33Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+8
47.8%
Jaison Patterson run for 8 yds to the KntSt 25Similar
Q2 14:56
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+1
47.1%
Jaison Patterson run for 1 yd to the KntSt 24Similar
Q2 9:45
4TH & 1
OPP 24
0
45.1%
Jaison Patterson run for no gain to the KntSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 9TD
12 plays · 76 yds · 5:0257% → 70%
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
43.2%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Devontez Walker for 6 yds to the KntSt 30Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+3
42.3%
Collin Schlee run for 3 yds to the KntSt 33Similar
Q2 9:45
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+1
42.6%
Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the KntSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
41.6%
Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the KntSt 48Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 11
OWN 48
+13
42.0%
Marquez Cooper run for 13 yds to the BwGrn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
41.4%
Collin Schlee run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 43Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 14
OPP 43
+7
42.0%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Ja'Shaun Poke for 7 yds to the BwGrn 36Similar
Q2 9:45
3RD & 7
OPP 36
+2
41.8%
Collin Schlee run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 34Similar
Q2 9:45
4TH & 5
OPP 34
+7
42.8%
Marquez Cooper run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
41.1%
Marquez Cooper run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 23Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+19
41.1%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Marquez Cooper for 19 yds to the BwGrn 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
29.8%
Collin Schlee run for 4 yds for a TD, (Andrew Glass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 1:3831% → 32%
Q2 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
31.4%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to CJ Lewis for a 1ST down KENT ST Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (JoJo Evans) to the BwGrn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
32.7%
Harold Fannin Jr. run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 42Similar
Q2 4:43
2ND & 8
OWN 42
-9
33.1%
Matt McDonald sacked by Juan Wallace for a loss of 9 yards to the BwGrn 33Similar
Q2 4:43
3RD & 17
OWN 33
+11
30.9%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Cavon Croom for 11 yds to the BwGrn 44Similar
Q2 3:05
4TH & 6
OWN 44
0
31.5%
Sami Sir punt for 7 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 11TD
3 plays · 51 yds · 1:0371% → 84%
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+26
28.6%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Ja'Shaun Poke for 26 yds to the BwGrn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
28.5%
Bryan Bradford run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 21Similar
Q2 2:02
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+21
16.0%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Devontez Walker for 21 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 12MISSED FG
13 plays · 41 yds · 2:0222% → 22%
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
22.4%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 1 yd to the BwGrn 24Similar
Q2 2:02
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+8
22.3%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Christian Sims for 8 yds to the BwGrn 32Similar
Q2 2:02
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+6
23.0%
Jamal Johnson run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
23.6%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 4 yds to the BwGrn 42Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+17
21.1%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Tyrone Broden for 17 yds to the KntSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:18
1ST & 15
OPP 46
+4
20.2%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Jamal Johnson for 4 yds to the KntSt 42Similar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 11
OPP 42
+3
20.6%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Christian Sims for 3 yds to the KntSt 39Similar
Q2 0:18
3RD & 8
OPP 39
+5
20.3%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Christian Sims for 5 yds to the KntSt 34Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 3
OPP 34
+52
21.8%
Mason Lawler 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 13DOWNS
8 plays · 25 yds · 1:5485% → 86%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+12
15.1%
Collin Schlee run for 12 yds to the BwGrn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
14.8%
Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 43Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+9
14.9%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Trell Harris for 9 yds to the BwGrn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
14.7%
Collin Schlee pass incomplete to Justin HolmesSimilar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
14.7%
Collin Schlee pass incomplete to Trell HarrisSimilar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 10
OPP 34
+6
15.2%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Luke Floriea for 6 yds to the BwGrn 28Similar
Q3 12:59
4TH & 4
OPP 28
+4
14.5%
Marquez Cooper run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 14DOWNS
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:2120% → 16%
Q3 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
19.5%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Tyrone Broden for 4 yds to the BwGrn 36Similar
Q3 12:59
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+5
19.8%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Levi Gazarek for 5 yds to the BwGrn 41Similar
Q3 12:59
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+7
20.5%
Jaison Patterson run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
20.7%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Tyrone BrodenSimilar
Q3 12:59
2ND & 15
OWN 43
0
19.7%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Austin OsborneSimilar
Q3 12:59
4TH & 15
OWN 43
+5
19.4%
Sir,Sami punt 24 yards to the KSU33, out of bounds at KSU33 PENALTY KSU Running Into The Kicker (Daley,Stephen) 5 yards from BGSU43 to BGSU48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:38
4TH & 10
OWN 48
+2
16.3%
Levi Gazarek run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 15FG
7 plays · 41 yds · 1:5790% → 93%
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
50
+15
9.9%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Devontez Walker for 15 yds to the BwGrn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
9.7%
Collin Schlee pass incomplete to Ja'Shaun PokeSimilar
Q3 10:38
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
9.8%
Collin Schlee pass incomplete to Devontez WalkerSimilar
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
9.5%
Collin Schlee pass incomplete to Ja'Shaun PokeSimilar
Q3 10:38
2ND & 10
OPP 16
0
9.5%
Marquez Cooper run for no gain to the BwGrn 16Similar
Q3 10:38
3RD & 10
OPP 16
+7
9.9%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Marquez Cooper for 7 yds to the BwGrn 9Similar
Q3 8:41
4TH & 3
OPP 9
+26
7.0%
Andrew Glass 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 16TD
11 plays · 68 yds · 4:109% → 19%
Q3 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
8.7%
Jaison Patterson run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 31Similar
Q3 8:39
2ND & 11
OWN 31
+9
8.4%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 9 yds to the BwGrn 40Similar
Q3 8:39
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+7
8.9%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 7 yds to the BwGrn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
9.1%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 8:39
2ND & 7
50
+16
9.2%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Cavon Croom for 16 yds to the KntSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
9.8%
Harold Fannin Jr. pass incomplete to Andrew BenchSimilar
Q3 8:39
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+2
9.8%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 2 yds to the KntSt 32Similar
Q3 8:39
3RD & 8
OPP 32
+10
9.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun McDonald,Matt sacked for loss of 10 yards to the KSU42 (Williams,Macyo) PENALTY KSU Holding (Evans,JoJo) 10 yards from KSU32 to KSU22, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
10.0%
Jaison Patterson run for 2 yds to the KntSt 24Similar
Q3 4:29
2ND & 12
OPP 24
+24
18.5%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Tyrone Broden for 24 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 17DOWNS
8 plays · 44 yds · 1:3886% → 87%
Q3 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
13.8%
Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the KntSt 33Similar
Q3 4:22
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+18
13.7%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Devontez Walker for 18 yds to the BwGrn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+16
12.8%
Marquez Cooper run for 16 yds to the BwGrn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
12.6%
Collin Schlee pass incomplete to Devontez WalkerSimilar
Q3 4:22
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
12.6%
Collin Schlee pass incomplete to Ja'Shaun PokeSimilar
Q3 4:22
3RD & 10
OPP 33
+6
12.8%
Marquez Cooper run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 27Similar
Q3 2:44
4TH & 4
OPP 27
+1
12.9%
Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 18INT
7 plays · 27 yds · 3:2015% → 12%
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+11
15.2%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Jaison Patterson for 11 yds to the BwGrn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
15.8%
Jaison Patterson run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 43Similar
Q3 2:44
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+8
16.7%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Jaison Patterson for 8 yds to the KntSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+11
17.1%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Tyrone Broden for 11 yds to the KntSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
17.2%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Tyrone BrodenSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+1
14.2%
Nick Mosley run for 1 yd to the KntSt 37Similar
Q4 14:24
3RD & 19
OPP 47
0
12.3%
Matt McDonald pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 19TD
4 plays · 50 yds · 1:0792% → 97%
Q4 14:24
1ST & 10
50
+4
8.1%
Bryan Bradford run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 46Similar
Q4 14:24
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+20
8.1%
Bryan Bradford run for 20 yds to the BwGrn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
2.6%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Devontez Walker for 26 yds for a TD, (Andrew Glass KICK)Similar
Q4 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
2.9%
PENALTY KSU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Walker,Devontez) 15 yards from KSU35 to KSU20. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 20DOWNS
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:583% → 3%
Q4 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
3.2%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 2 yds to the BwGrn 43Similar
Q4 13:12
2ND & 8
OWN 43
-8
3.2%
Matt McDonald sacked by Saivon Taylor-Davis for a loss of 8 yards to the BwGrn 35Similar
Q4 13:12
3RD & 16
OWN 35
+10
2.9%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 10 yds to the BwGrn 45Similar
Q4 11:14
4TH & 6
OWN 45
-7
2.7%
Matt McDonald sacked by Saivon Taylor-Davis for a loss of 7 yards to the BwGrn 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 21FG
8 plays · 28 yds · 4:3998% → 100%
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
2.1%
Gavin Garcia run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 32Similar
Q4 11:14
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+3
2.0%
Gavin Garcia run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 29Similar
Q4 11:14
3RD & 1
OPP 29
0
2.1%
Collin Schlee pass incomplete to Ja'Shaun PokeSimilar
Q4 11:14
4TH & 1
OPP 29
+11
2.3%
Gavin Garcia run for 11 yds to the BwGrn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
2.0%
Gavin Garcia run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 13Similar
Q4 11:14
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+2
2.0%
Gavin Garcia run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 11Similar
Q4 11:14
3RD & 3
OPP 11
+1
2.1%
Collin Schlee run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 10Similar
Q4 6:35
4TH & 2
OPP 10
+27
0.3%
Andrew Glass 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 22INT TD
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:190% → 0%
Q4 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
0.3%
Nick Mosley run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 27Similar
Q4 6:35
2ND & 9
OWN 27
0
0.3%
PaSean Wimberly run for no gain to the BwGrn 27Similar
Q4 5:16
3RD & 9
OWN 27
-33
0.2%
Marvin Pierre 33 Yd Interception Return (Andrew Glass Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 23DOWNS
9 plays · 29 yds · 3:530% → 0%
Q4 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
0.2%
PaSean Wimberly run for 10 yds to the BwGrn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
0.2%
PaSean Wimberly run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 37Similar
Q4 5:16
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+7
0.2%
PaSean Wimberly run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 44Similar
Q4 5:16
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+4
0.2%
PaSean Wimberly run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
0.2%
PaSean Wimberly run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 49Similar
Q4 5:16
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+4
0.2%
Jordan Jackson run for 4 yds to the KntSt 47Similar
Q4 5:16
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+3
0.2%
Jordan Jackson run for 3 yds to the KntSt 44Similar
Q4 1:23
4TH & 2
OPP 44
+2
0.1%
Jordan Jackson run for 2 yds to the KntSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 24END OF GAME
2 plays · 10 yds · 1:23100% → 100%
Q4 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
0.1%
Gavin Garcia run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 47Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+3
0.1%
Gavin Garcia run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 2:02
Collin Schlee pass complete to Devontez Walker for 21 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed)
-12.5
TD · Q2 4:43
Collin Schlee run for 4 yds for a TD, (Andrew Glass KICK)
-11.4
TD · Q3 4:29
Matt McDonald pass complete to Tyrone Broden for 24 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
+8.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com