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NIU

Northern Illinois 24 at Western Michigan 21

WMU
2022 · Week 11 · Nov 9, 2022 · Waldo Stadium
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Win probability · WMU
modelWMU aheadNIU aheadconfidence bandkey playWMU scoreNIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 9:20 · Palmer Domschke 48 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingBlowout marginScore differential
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 55Pregame prior−6.0Home team on offense+3.0Garbage-time factor+0.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1Blowout margin−0.6Score differential−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:38: Sean Tyler run for 3 yds for a TD, (Palmer Domschke KICK) — WMU win probability +13.3 pts (now 59%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 11:38: Jaiden Credle run for 1 yd for a TD, (John Richardson KICK) — NIU win probability +11.9 pts (now 62%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:25: Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Anthony Sambucci for 26 yds for a TD NORTHERNIL Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Javaughn Byrd) to the NoIll 0, (Palmer Domschke KICK) — WMU win probability +18.5 pts (now 66%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 0:56: Justin Lynch run for 9 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK) — NIU win probability +61.1 pts (now 91%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:56: No Huddle-Shotgun Bourguet,Treyson pass incomplete short left to Sambucci,Anthony PENALTY NIU Personal Foul (O'Malley,Devonte) 15 yards from WMU25 to WMU40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY. — WMU win probability +13.3 pts (now 25%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 10NIU made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 12:37NIU 4th & 13 at WMU 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 50.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.5%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.6%
    45% to make
    Punt
    50.5%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:06WMU 4th & 1 at WMU 34, down 3
    Close callPunted · 49.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.1%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:22NIU 4th & 7 at WMU 29, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 50.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.4%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.5%
    58% to make
    Punt
    49.6%−0.9
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:34WMU 4th & 3 at NIU 34, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 53.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.3%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    52.7%−0.6
    47% to make
    Punt
    52.3%−1.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:52NIU 4th & 4 at NIU 40, down 4
    Close callPunted · 46.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.2%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:20WMU 4th & 3 at NIU 31, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 55.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.2%−0.8
    54% to make
    Punt
    54.5%−1.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:46NIU 4th & 7 at WMU 43, down 4
    Close callPunted · 44.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.4%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    43.4%−1.0
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    43.9%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:11WMU 4th & 10 at WMU 10, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.0%−1.0
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:06WMU 4th & 4 at WMU 47, down 3
    Close callPunted · 47.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.1%−0.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:40WMU 4th & 4 at NIU 34, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 48.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    46.6%−1.9
    47% to make
    Punt
    45.2%−3.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:04NIU 4th & 6 at NIU 29, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.1%−0.8
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.0%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:48WMU 4th & 21 at WMU 44, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.0%−6.9
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:37WMU 4th & 9 at NIU 29, up 4
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.3 ptsWent for it · 70.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.4%−1.3
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    69.7%
    58% to make
    Punt
    57.8%−11.9
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:02NIU 4th & 2 at NIU 40, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.1 ptsPunted · 32.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.1%−3.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:13WMU 4th & 21 at WMU 40, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.2%−6.1
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.3%
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:08WMU 4th & 27 at WMU 39, down 3
    Close callWent for it · 19.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.2%−0.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    12.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3NIU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 4:12WMU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:34NIU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:38WMU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:38NIU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:25WMU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:56NIU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.3%−2.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NIUDrive 1FG
8 plays · 40 yds · 2:2359% → 58%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
40.9%
Nevan Cremascoli pass complete to Liam Soraghan for 11 yds to the NoIll 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
40.9%
Jaiden Credle run for 1 yd to the NoIll 35Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+33
40.9%
Nevan Cremascoli pass complete to Tristen Tewes for 33 yds to the WMich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
40.9%
Jaiden Credle run for 3 yds to the WMich 35Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 13
OPP 35
0
40.9%
Nevan Cremascoli pass incomplete to Kacper RutkiewiczSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 13
OPP 35
0
40.9%
Nevan Cremascoli pass incomplete to Tristen TewesSimilar
Q1 12:37
4TH & 13
OPP 35
+53
41.6%
John Richardson 53 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:3142% → 42%
Q1 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
41.5%
Treyson Bourguet pass incomplete to Corey CroomsSimilar
Q1 12:37
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
41.5%
Sean Tyler run for 2 yds to the WMich 23Similar
Q1 12:37
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+11
41.4%
Treyson Bourguet run for 11 yds to the WMich 34Similar
Q1 11:06
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
41.6%
Nick Mihalic punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Cole Tucker at the NoIll 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 3MISSED FG
14 plays · 41 yds · 4:4458% → 57%
Q1 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
41.8%
Jaiden Credle run for 2 yds to the NoIll 32Similar
Q1 11:06
2ND & 8
OWN 32
0
41.8%
Nevan Cremascoli pass incomplete to Liam SoraghanSimilar
Q1 11:06
3RD & 8
OWN 32
+11
42.0%
Nevan Cremascoli pass complete to Cole Tucker for 11 yds to the NoIll 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
41.6%
Jaiden Credle run for 8 yds to the WMich 49Similar
Q1 11:06
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+4
41.4%
Jaiden Credle run for 4 yds to the WMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
41.5%
Nevan Cremascoli pass incomplete to Liam SoraghanSimilar
Q1 8:54
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+7
41.8%
Jaiden Credle run for 7 yds to the WMich 38Similar
Q1 8:54
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+6
41.9%
Nevan Cremascoli pass complete to Tristen Tewes for 6 yds to the WMich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
41.7%
Jaiden Credle run for 3 yds to the WMich 29Similar
Q1 8:54
2ND & 7
OPP 29
0
41.7%
Justin Lynch pass incomplete to Cole TuckerSimilar
Q1 8:54
3RD & 7
OPP 29
+5
41.9%
Justin Lynch run for 5 yds to the WMich 24Similar
Q1 8:54
4TH & 2
OPP 24
-5
42.2%
PENALTY NIU False Start (Soraghan,Liam) 5 yards from WMU24 to WMU29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:22
4TH & 7
OPP 29
+46
42.7%
John Richardson 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 4TD
5 plays · 71 yds · 2:1043% → 48%
Q1 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+10
43.0%
Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Nate Anderson for 10 yds to the WMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+20
43.2%
Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Corey Crooms for 20 yds to the NoIll 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+11
43.9%
Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Nate Anderson for 11 yds to the NoIll 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+14
44.3%
Sean Tyler run for 14 yds to the NoIll 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
47.7%
Treyson Bourguet run for 16 yds for a TD, (Palmer Domschke KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 5INT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1853% → 53%
Q1 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
46.8%
Jaiden Credle run for 3 yds to the NoIll 28Similar
Q1 4:12
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
46.7%
Jaiden Credle run for 2 yds to the NoIll 30Similar
Q1 2:54
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
47.5%
Nevan Cremascoli pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 6DOWNS
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2048% → 48%
Q1 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
48.1%
Sean Tyler run for 1 yd to the NoIll 42Similar
Q1 2:54
2ND & 11
OPP 42
+8
47.9%
Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Nate Anderson for 8 yds to the NoIll 34Similar
Q1 2:54
3RD & 3
OPP 34
0
48.0%
Treyson Bourguet pass incomplete to Anthony SambucciSimilar
Q1 1:34
4TH & 3
OPP 34
0
47.7%
Treyson Bourguet pass incomplete to Nate AndersonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:4253% → 51%
Q1 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
47.5%
Jaiden Credle run for 2 yds to the NoIll 32Similar
Q1 1:34
2ND & 12
OWN 32
+5
47.9%
Nevan Cremascoli pass complete to Tristen Tewes for 5 yds to the NoIll 37Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 37
+3
48.5%
Jaiden Credle run for 3 yds to the NoIll 40Similar
Q2 14:52
4TH & 4
OWN 40
0
48.9%
Tom Foley punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Anthony Sambucci at the WMich 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 8MISSED FG
11 plays · 59 yds · 5:3248% → 52%
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
48.0%
Sean Tyler run for 5 yds to the WMich 15Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 5
OWN 15
-1
48.0%
Treyson Bourguet sacked by Michael Kennedy for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 14Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 6
OWN 14
+9
47.4%
Treyson Bourguet run for 9 yds to the WMich 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
48.1%
Sean Tyler run for 3 yds to the WMich 26Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+1
48.3%
Sean Tyler run for 1 yd to the WMich 27Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 6
OWN 27
+35
47.7%
Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Corey Crooms for 35 yds to the NoIll 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-5
51.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Bourguet,Treyson pass complete deep middle to Sambucci,Anthony for 38 yards to the NIU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 10:52 PENALTY WMU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Vandervest,Adam) 5 yards from NIU38 to NIU43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:52
1ST & 15
OPP 43
0
51.1%
Treyson Bourguet pass incomplete to Corey CroomsSimilar
Q2 10:52
2ND & 15
OPP 43
+7
51.0%
Treyson Bourguet run for 7 yds to the NoIll 36Similar
Q2 10:52
3RD & 8
OPP 36
+5
51.4%
Treyson Bourguet run for 5 yds to the NoIll 31Similar
Q2 9:20
4TH & 3
OPP 31
+48
51.5%
Palmer Domschke 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 2:3449% → 47%
Q2 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
51.0%
Jaiden Credle run for 8 yds to the NoIll 39Similar
Q2 9:20
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+4
49.6%
Jaiden Credle run for 4 yds to the NoIll 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
49.9%
Jaiden Credle run for 11 yds to the WMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
49.1%
Jaiden Credle run for 5 yds to the WMich 41Similar
Q2 9:20
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+2
49.1%
Billy Dozier run for 2 yds to the WMich 43Similar
Q2 9:20
3RD & 7
OPP 43
0
49.4%
Nevan Cremascoli pass incomplete to Keyshaun PipkinSimilar
Q2 6:46
4TH & 7
OPP 43
0
52.6%
Tom Foley punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Anthony Sambucci at the WMich 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:3553% → 52%
Q2 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
52.8%
Treyson Bourguet pass incomplete to Jehlani GallowaySimilar
Q2 6:46
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+6
52.7%
Sean Tyler run for 6 yds to the WMich 16Similar
Q2 6:46
3RD & 4
OWN 16
-6
52.0%
Treyson Bourguet sacked by Izayah Green-May for a loss of 6 yards to the WMich 10Similar
Q2 5:11
4TH & 10
OWN 10
0
51.8%
Nick Mihalic punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Cole Tucker at the WMich 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 11TD
4 plays · 40 yds · 1:3749% → 59%
Q2 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+20
51.3%
Nevan Cremascoli pass complete to Tristen Tewes for 20 yds to the WMich 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
50.2%
Jaiden Credle run for 2 yds to the WMich 18Similar
Q2 5:11
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+2
50.2%
Jaiden Credle run for 2 yds to the WMich 16Similar
Q2 3:34
3RD & 6
OPP 16
+16
41.0%
Nevan Cremascoli pass complete to Cole Tucker for 16 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 12TD
12 plays · 63 yds · 2:5645% → 59%
Q2 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
45.3%
Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Nate Anderson for 3 yds to the WMich 40Similar
Q2 3:34
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+9
46.8%
Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Corey Crooms for 9 yds to the WMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
47.1%
Treyson Bourguet run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 3:34
2ND & 9
50
+15
47.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun Bourguet,Treyson pass incomplete short right to Crooms,Corey PENALTY NIU Pass Interference (Prophete,Jashon) 15 yards from WMU50 to NIU35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+11
48.8%
Treyson Bourguet run for 11 yds to the NoIll 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
48.9%
Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Nate Anderson for 1 yd to the NoIll 23Similar
Q2 3:34
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+6
48.9%
Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Nate Anderson for 6 yds to the NoIll 17Similar
Q2 0:41
3RD & 3
OPP 17
+14
45.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun Bourguet,Treyson pass incomplete short left to Crooms,Corey PENALTY NIU Pass Interference (White,Jordan) 14 yards from NIU17 to NIU03, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:41
3RD & 3
OPP 17
0
45.8%
Treyson Bourguet pass incomplete to Corey CroomsSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
59.2%
Sean Tyler run for 3 yds for a TD, (Palmer Domschke KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 13END OF HALF
3 plays · 9 yds · 0:3845% → 45%
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
55.1%
Jaiden Credle run for 3 yds to the NoIll 39Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+6
54.7%
Jaiden Credle run for 6 yds to the NoIll 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 14FUMBLE
4 plays · 33 yds · 0:5956% → 59%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+50
55.5%
Sean Tyler run for 50 yds to the NoIll 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-10
59.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun Tyler,Sean rush right for 6 yards gain to the NIU19 (O'Malley,Devonte) PENALTY WMU Holding (Deatherage,Dylan) 10 yards from NIU25 to NIU35. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:01
1ST & 20
OPP 35
-7
58.5%
Treyson Bourguet sacked by James Ester for a loss of 7 yards to the NoIll 42 Treyson Bourguet fumbled, recovered by NoIll Izayah Green-May , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 15TD
6 plays · 58 yds · 2:2347% → 62%
Q3 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
53.3%
Jaiden Credle run for 11 yds to the WMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:01
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
51.6%
Jaiden Credle run for 4 yds to the WMich 43Similar
Q3 14:01
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+5
51.5%
Jaiden Credle run for 5 yds to the WMich 38Similar
Q3 14:01
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+31
51.5%
Nevan Cremascoli pass complete to Brock Lampe for 31 yds to the WMich 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
50.1%
Jaiden Credle run for 6 yds to the WMich 1Similar
Q3 11:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
38.2%
Jaiden Credle run for 1 yd for a TD, (John Richardson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 2:3243% → 45%
Q3 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
43.1%
Treyson Bourguet pass incomplete to Anthony SambucciSimilar
Q3 11:38
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
42.8%
Sean Tyler run for 1 yd to the WMich 26Similar
Q3 11:38
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+15
41.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Bourguet,Treyson pass incomplete short left to Dieudonne,Malique PENALTY NIU Pass Interference (Rogers,Eric) 15 yards from WMU26 to WMU41, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
46.0%
Treyson Bourguet run for 1 yd to the WMich 40Similar
Q3 11:38
2ND & 11
OWN 40
0
44.1%
Treyson Bourguet pass incomplete to Nate AndersonSimilar
Q3 11:38
3RD & 11
OWN 40
+7
42.5%
Treyson Bourguet run for 7 yds to the WMich 47Similar
Q3 9:06
4TH & 4
OWN 47
0
44.5%
Nick Mihalic punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 17INT
5 plays · 16 yds · 2:2659% → 61%
Q3 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
41.2%
Jaiden Credle run for 6 yds to the NoIll 26Similar
Q3 9:06
2ND & 4
OWN 26
0
40.4%
Jaiden Credle run for no gain to the NoIll 26Similar
Q3 9:06
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+6
41.8%
Jaiden Credle run for 6 yds to the NoIll 32 Jaiden Credle fumbled, recovered by NoIll Jaiden Credle for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
40.4%
Billy Dozier run for 4 yds to the NoIll 36Similar
Q3 6:40
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+15
39.5%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Andre Carter) to the NoIll 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 18TD
8 plays · 55 yds · 3:1548% → 66%
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
48.2%
Sean Tyler run for 3 yds to the NoIll 37Similar
Q3 6:40
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+3
48.2%
Sean Tyler run for 3 yds to the NoIll 34Similar
Q3 6:40
3RD & 4
OPP 34
0
47.7%
Treyson Bourguet pass incomplete to Anthony SambucciSimilar
Q3 6:40
4TH & 4
OPP 34
+13
45.4%
Treyson Bourguet run for 13 yds to the NoIll 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-10
49.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun Tyler,Sean rush middle for 4 yards gain to the NIU17 (Pugh,Kyle) PENALTY WMU Holding 10 yards from NIU21 to NIU31. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:40
1ST & 20
OPP 31
+5
48.8%
Sean Tyler run for 5 yds to the NoIll 26Similar
Q3 6:40
2ND & 15
OPP 26
0
47.2%
Treyson Bourguet pass incomplete to Corey CroomsSimilar
Q3 3:25
3RD & 15
OPP 26
+26
65.7%
Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Anthony Sambucci for 26 yds for a TD NORTHERNIL Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Javaughn Byrd) to the NoIll 0, (Palmer Domschke KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:2138% → 35%
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
61.9%
Jaiden Credle run for 2 yds to the NoIll 27Similar
Q3 3:25
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
61.6%
Jaiden Credle run for 2 yds to the NoIll 29Similar
Q3 3:25
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
62.7%
Nevan Cremascoli pass incomplete to Tristen TewesSimilar
Q3 2:04
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+1
65.0%
Tom Foley punt for 37 yds , Zahir Abdus-Salaam returns for 1 yd to the WMich 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:1666% → 64%
Q3 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
65.9%
Sean Tyler run for 5 yds to the WMich 40Similar
Q3 2:04
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+15
68.1%
Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Malique Dieudonne for 15 yds to the NoIll 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:04
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
69.2%
Treyson Bourguet pass incomplete to Malique DieudonneSimilar
Q3 2:04
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
68.8%
Treyson Bourguet pass incomplete to Nate AndersonSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+11
67.9%
run for 11 yds to the WMich 44 fumbled, recovered by WMich Treyson BourguetSimilar
Q4 14:48
4TH & 21
OWN 44
0
63.9%
Nick Mihalic punt for 56 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 21INT
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:2436% → 38%
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
63.7%
Jaiden Credle run for 9 yds to the NoIll 29Similar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+2
60.7%
Jaiden Credle run for 2 yds to the NoIll 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
62.9%
Jaiden Credle run for 4 yds to the NoIll 35Similar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+3
61.9%
Jaiden Credle run for 3 yds to the NoIll 38Similar
Q4 12:24
3RD & 3
OWN 38
0
62.5%
Nevan Cremascoli pass interceptedSimilar
Q4 12:24
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+15
62.5%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the NoIll 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 22FUMBLE
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:4772% → 69%
Q4 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
71.8%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 6 yds to the NoIll 35Similar
Q4 12:24
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+5
72.9%
Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Corey Crooms for 5 yds to the NoIll 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
72.9%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 1 yd to the NoIll 31Similar
Q4 12:24
2ND & 11
OPP 31
0
72.6%
Treyson Bourguet pass incomplete to Anthony SambucciSimilar
Q4 12:24
3RD & 11
OPP 31
+2
70.2%
Treyson Bourguet run for 2 yds to the NoIll 29Similar
Q4 9:37
4TH & 9
OPP 29
+3
69.2%
Nick Mihalic run for 3 yds to the NoIll 32 Nick Mihalic fumbled, recovered by NoIll Pierce OppongSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:3535% → 30%
Q4 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
64.6%
Jaiden Credle run for 6 yds to the NoIll 38Similar
Q4 9:37
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+1
61.5%
Jaiden Credle run for 1 yd to the NoIll 39Similar
Q4 8:43
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+1
66.9%
Justin Lynch run for 1 yd to the NoIll 40Similar
Q4 8:02
4TH & 2
OWN 40
0
70.2%
Tom Foley punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Anthony Sambucci at the WMich 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 24PUNT
9 plays · 14 yds · 4:4976% → 85%
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
75.7%
Sean Tyler run for 3 yds to the WMich 29Similar
Q4 8:02
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+11
75.6%
Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Corey Crooms for 11 yds to the WMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
77.6%
Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Corey Crooms for 9 yds to the WMich 49Similar
Q4 8:02
2ND & 1
OWN 49
0
78.6%
Sean Tyler run for no gain to the WMich 49Similar
Q4 8:02
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+2
77.1%
Sean Tyler run for 2 yds to the NoIll 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
78.6%
Treyson Bourguet pass incomplete to Malique DieudonneSimilar
Q4 8:02
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+4
78.0%
Sean Tyler run for 4 yds to the WMich 47Similar
Q4 8:02
3RD & 14
OWN 47
-7
74.6%
Treyson Bourguet sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the WMich 40Similar
Q4 3:13
4TH & 21
OWN 40
0
85.2%
Nick Mihalic punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Cole Tucker at the NoIll 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 25TD
6 plays · 73 yds · 2:1723% → 91%
Q4 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+52
76.8%
Justin Lynch run for 52 yds to the WMich 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+7
69.5%
Justin Lynch run for 7 yds to the WMich 14Similar
Q4 3:13
2ND & 3
OPP 14
+9
69.5%
Justin Lynch run for 9 yds to the WMich 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
69.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun Lynch,Justin rush left for 5 yards gain to the WMU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 01:40 PENALTY NIU Holding (Tewes,Tristen) 5 yards from WMU05 to WMU10. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
69.8%
Jaiden Credle run for 1 yd to the WMich 9Similar
Q4 0:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
8.7%
Justin Lynch run for 9 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 26DOWNS
9 plays · 4 yds · 0:4825% → 16%
Q4 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
24.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun Bourguet,Treyson pass incomplete short left to Sambucci,Anthony PENALTY NIU Personal Foul (O'Malley,Devonte) 15 yards from WMU25 to WMU40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+16
27.9%
Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Corey Crooms for 16 yds to the NoIll 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-10
32.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun Bourguet,Treyson sacked for loss of 4 yards to the NIU48 (Green-May,Izayah), fumble by Bourguet,Treyson recovered by WMU Deatherage,Dylan at NIU48, End Of Play PENALTY WMU Holding (Vandervest,Adam) 10 yards from NIU44 to WMU46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:56
1ST & 20
OWN 46
0
26.1%
Treyson Bourguet pass incomplete to Corey CroomsSimilar
Q4 0:56
2ND & 20
OWN 46
-7
25.0%
Treyson Bourguet sacked by Ivan Davis for a loss of 7 yards to the WMich 39Similar
Q4 0:21
3RD & 27
OWN 39
0
18.6%
Treyson Bourguet pass incomplete to Sean TylerSimilar
Q4 0:08
4TH & 27
OWN 39
-10
15.6%
Treyson Bourguet sacked by Jashon Prophete for a loss of 10 yards to the WMich 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 27END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
5.2%
J. Lynch takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:56
Justin Lynch run for 9 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK)
-61.1
TD · Q3 3:25
Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Anthony Sambucci for 26 yds for a TD NORTHERNIL Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Javaughn Byrd) to the NoIll 0, (Palmer Domschke KICK)
+18.5
TD · Q2 0:38
Sean Tyler run for 3 yds for a TD, (Palmer Domschke KICK)
+13.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com