Try the model
OHIO

Ohio 37 at Miami (OH) 21

M-OH
2022 · Week 11 · Nov 8, 2022 · Yager Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · M-OH
modelM-OH aheadOHIO aheadconfidence bandkey playM-OH scoreOHIO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:01 · Brett Gabbert sacked by Vonnie Watkins for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 47
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsOne-score game
+50.5+25.30−25.3−50.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 7:35: Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sieh Bangura for 13 yds for a TD, (Nathanial Vakos KICK) — OHIO win probability +10.5 pts (now 70%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 6:18: Brett Gabbert pass complete to Mac Hippenhammer for 37 yds for a TD, (Graham Nicholson KICK) — M-OH win probability +21.0 pts (now 52%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  3. TD · Q3 4:59: Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Jacoby Jones for 48 yds for a TD, (Nathanial Vakos KICK) — OHIO win probability +16.1 pts (now 75%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:18: Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Jacoby Jones for 10 yds for a TD, (Nathanial Vakos KICK) — OHIO win probability +11.8 pts (now 94%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:39: Brett Gabbert pass complete to Mac Hippenhammer for 11 yds for a TD, (Graham Nicholson KICK) — M-OH win probability +12.7 pts (now 20%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
M-OH made the numbers' call on 5 of 6OHIO made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 12:29M-OH 4th & 16 at M-OH 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.3%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:49OHIO 4th & 8 at M-OH 36, tied
    Close callPunted · 53.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.9%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    53.8%−<0.1
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    53.8%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:03M-OH 4th & 13 at M-OH 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.9%−0.5
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:35M-OH 4th & 6 at M-OH 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.5%−0.4
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.9%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:53OHIO 4th & 19 at OHIO 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.0%−1.8
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:02OHIO 4th & 6 at M-OH 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.5%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.6%
    70% to make
    Punt
    48.1%−4.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:07M-OH 4th & 3 at M-OH 30, tied
    Close callPunted · 49.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.5%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:00OHIO 4th & 8 at M-OH 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.3%−0.4
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.7%
    90% to make
    Punt
    44.7%−8.0
    average punt
  9. Q3 1:52M-OH 4th & 5 at OHIO 37, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.7%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    24.2%−1.5
    40% to make
    Punt
    23.8%−1.9
    average punt
  10. Q4 6:14OHIO 4th & 4 at M-OH 8, up 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 87.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.6%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.0%−0.6
    90% to make
    Punt
    79.2%−8.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 5:10M-OH 4th & 1 at M-OH 34, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.7%−1.7
    average punt
  12. Q4 0:28OHIO 4th & 4 at M-OH 4, up 13
    Close callKicked a field goal · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.1%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    94.8%−2.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
M-OH made the numbers' call on 3 of 3OHIO made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 5:46OHIO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:11M-OH Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 7:35OHIO Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:18M-OH Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:59OHIO Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:18OHIO Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.6%−0.3
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:39M-OH Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.0%−0.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
M-OHDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:1652% → 52%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
51.6%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Miles Marshall for 18 yds to the MiaOh 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
51.8%
Keyon Mozee run for 8 yds to the Ohio 49Similar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 2
OPP 49
0
52.0%
Keyon Mozee run for no gain to the Ohio 49Similar
Q1 12:45
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+1
52.1%
Keyon Mozee run for 1 yd to the Ohio 48Similar
Q1 12:41
4TH & 1
OPP 48
-15
52.1%
MIAMI OH Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the MiaOh 37Similar
Q1 12:29
4TH & 16
OWN 37
+3
51.8%
Dom Dzioban punt for 46 yds , Sam Wiglusz returns for 3 yds to the Ohio 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 44 yds · 3:3648% → 48%
Q1 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
51.9%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 3 yds to the Ohio 23Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+2
52.1%
Sieh Bangura run for 2 yds to the Ohio 25Similar
Q1 10:55
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+25
52.3%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to James Bostic for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:12
1ST & 10
50
+12
51.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to James Bostic for 12 yds to the MiaOh 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
51.7%
Sieh Bangura run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 36Similar
Q1 9:07
2ND & 8
OPP 36
0
51.8%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:57
3RD & 8
OPP 36
0
51.8%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Sam WigluszSimilar
Q1 8:49
4TH & 8
OPP 36
0
52.1%
Jack Wilson punt for 22 yds, downed at the MiaOh 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:3752% → 52%
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+11
52.3%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Mac Hippenhammer for 11 yds to the MiaOh 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
52.5%
Tyre Shelton run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 28Similar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-6
52.5%
Brett Gabbert sacked by Alvin Floyd for a loss of 6 yards to the MiaOh 22Similar
Q1 7:11
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
52.1%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:03
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
51.9%
Dom Dzioban punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ohio 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 4TD
3 plays · 54 yds · 1:1448% → 52%
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
51.7%
Sieh Bangura run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 6:25
2ND & 6
50
+49
51.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 49 yds to the MiaOh 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
47.9%
Sieh Bangura run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nathanial Vakos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:4049% → 48%
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
49.0%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Tyre Shelton for 4 yds to the MiaOh 24Similar
Q1 4:55
2ND & 6
OWN 24
0
49.1%
Keyon Mozee run for no gain to the MiaOh 24Similar
Q1 4:20
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
48.4%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jalen Walker for no gain to the MiaOh 24Similar
Q1 3:35
4TH & 6
OWN 24
+2
47.9%
Dom Dzioban punt for 49 yds , Sam Wiglusz returns for 2 yds to the Ohio 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 2:3752% → 52%
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
48.0%
Nolan McCormick run for no gain to the Ohio 29Similar
Q1 2:50
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+12
47.9%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Nolan McCormick for 12 yds to the Ohio 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
46.6%
Kurtis Rourke run for 1 yd to the Ohio 42Similar
Q1 1:46
2ND & 9
OWN 42
0
46.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Alec BurtonSimilar
Q1 1:15
3RD & 9
OWN 42
-10
46.6%
Kurtis Rourke sacked by Matthew Salopek and Corey Suttle for a loss of 10 yards to the Ohio 32Similar
Q1 0:53
4TH & 19
OWN 32
0
48.0%
Jack Wilson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jalen Walker at the MiaOh 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 7TD
9 plays · 72 yds · 2:3948% → 56%
Q1 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+23
47.7%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Mac Hippenhammer for 23 yds to the Ohio 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-10
49.0%
Davis, Kevin rush for no gain to the OHIO49, PENALTY MIAMIOH holding 10 yards to the MIAMIOH41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:05
1ST & 20
OWN 41
0
47.6%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Kevin DavisSimilar
Q1 0:01
2ND & 20
OWN 41
+21
47.5%
Tyre Shelton run for 6 yds to the Ohio 47 for a 1ST down OHIO Penalty, Personal Foul (Alvin Floyd) to the Ohio 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
49.0%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Mac Hippenhammer for 7 yds to the Ohio 31Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+15
49.7%
Kevin Davis run for 15 yds to the Ohio 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
49.6%
Brett Gabbert run for 1 yd to the Ohio 15Similar
Q2 13:46
2ND & 9
OPP 15
+10
49.5%
Jalen Walker run for 10 yds to the Ohio 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
56.2%
Mac Hippenhammer 5 Yd pass from Brett Gabbert (Graham Nicholson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 8MISSED FG
12 plays · 52 yds · 6:0347% → 49%
Q2 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
52.8%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Sieh BanguraSimilar
Q2 12:59
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
52.9%
Miles Cross run for 4 yds to the Ohio 29Similar
Q2 12:25
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+11
53.3%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Will Kacmarek for 11 yds to the Ohio 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+18
51.8%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to James Bostic for 18 yds to the MiaOh 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-4
51.0%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for a loss of 4 yards to the MiaOh 46Similar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 14
OPP 46
+8
52.0%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Will Kacmarek for 8 yds to the MiaOh 38Similar
Q2 9:45
3RD & 6
OPP 38
+11
51.0%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Jacoby Jones for 11 yds to the MiaOh 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-7
49.8%
Sam Wiglusz run for a loss of 7 yards to the MiaOh 34Similar
Q2 8:17
2ND & 17
OPP 34
-1
51.0%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Nolan McCormick for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 35Similar
Q2 7:45
3RD & 18
OPP 35
+12
51.3%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 12 yds to the MiaOh 23Similar
Q2 7:02
4TH & 6
OPP 23
+40
51.2%
Nathanial Vakos 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:5355% → 54%
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
54.8%
Tyre Shelton run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 30Similar
Q2 6:19
2ND & 3
OWN 30
0
56.0%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Jalen WalkerSimilar
Q2 6:14
3RD & 3
OWN 30
0
54.2%
Brett Gabbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:07
4TH & 3
OWN 30
0
53.6%
Dom Dzioban punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Sam Wiglusz at the Ohio 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 10END OF HALF
18 plays · 67 yds · 6:0048% → 54%
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
51.8%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 13 yds to the Ohio 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
50.6%
OHIO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Ohio 33Similar
Q2 5:30
1ST & 15
OWN 33
+2
51.8%
Sieh Bangura run for 2 yds to the Ohio 35Similar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 13
OWN 35
+18
52.0%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to James Bostic for 18 yds to the MiaOh 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
49.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Jacoby JonesSimilar
Q2 4:17
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
49.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Miles CrossSimilar
Q2 4:00
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+10
50.6%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Jacoby Jones for 10 yds to the MiaOh 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
49.1%
Kurtis Rourke run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 32Similar
Q2 3:15
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+10
48.1%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to James Bostic for 10 yds to the MiaOh 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
47.7%
Nolan McCormick run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 14Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 2
OPP 14
+6
46.8%
Nolan McCormick run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
45.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Sam WigluszSimilar
Q2 1:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
45.7%
Kurtis Rourke run for a loss of 5 yards to the MiaOh 13Similar
Q2 0:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
+5
48.8%
Sieh Bangura run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 8Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
45.9%
Nathanial Vakos 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 11TD
14 plays · 76 yds · 7:1353% → 70%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
47.1%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Sam Wiglusz, broken up by Ambe' CaldwellSimilar
Q3 14:45
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+6
47.3%
Sieh Bangura run for 6 yds to the Ohio 30Similar
Q3 14:25
3RD & 4
OWN 30
+11
47.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 11 yds to the Ohio 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
44.8%
Sieh Bangura run for 3 yds to the Ohio 44Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+6
44.6%
Sieh Bangura run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 12:30
3RD & 1
50
+2
44.5%
Nolan McCormick run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
44.3%
Nolan McCormick run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 46Similar
Q3 10:55
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+10
44.1%
Nolan McCormick run for 10 yds to the MiaOh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
44.0%
Nolan McCormick run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 31Similar
Q3 9:45
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+10
41.0%
Sieh Bangura run for 10 yds to the MiaOh 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
40.8%
Sieh Bangura run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 20Similar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+7
40.6%
Kurtis Rourke run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 13Similar
Q3 7:35
3RD & 2
OPP 13
+13
30.1%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sieh Bangura for 13 yds for a TD, (Nathanial Vakos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 12TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:1231% → 52%
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
30.6%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kevin Davis for 5 yds to the MiaOh 30Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+33
31.0%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jalen Walker for 33 yds to the Ohio 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
52.1%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Mac Hippenhammer for 37 yds for a TD, (Graham Nicholson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 13TD
5 plays · 73 yds · 1:1155% → 75%
Q3 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
44.6%
Nolan McCormick run for 3 yds to the Ohio 30Similar
Q3 5:38
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+22
44.0%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 22 yds to the MiaOh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
40.9%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Miles CrossSimilar
Q3 4:59
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+48
24.8%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Jacoby Jones for 48 yds for a TD, (Nathanial Vakos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 14DOWNS
8 plays · 42 yds · 3:0328% → 26%
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
27.6%
Keyon Mozee run for 21 yds to the MiaOh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-3
29.2%
Keyon Mozee run for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaOh 43Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 13
OWN 43
+15
27.8%
OHIO Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Ohio 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-1
29.9%
Tyre Shelton run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 43Similar
Q3 2:50
2ND & 11
OPP 43
+6
28.7%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Miles Marshall for 6 yds to the Ohio 37Similar
Q3 1:59
3RD & 5
OPP 37
0
28.5%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Mac HippenhammerSimilar
Q3 1:52
4TH & 5
OPP 37
+4
26.4%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Mac Hippenhammer for 4 yds to the Ohio 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 15TD
10 plays · 67 yds · 5:3275% → 94%
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
25.1%
Miles Cross run for no gain to the Ohio 33Similar
Q3 1:10
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+9
24.9%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 9 yds to the Ohio 42Similar
Q3 0:25
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+4
23.4%
Sieh Bangura run for 4 yds to the Ohio 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-7
22.4%
Kurtis Rourke sacked by Brian Ugwu for a loss of 7 yards to the Ohio 39Similar
Q4 14:20
2ND & 17
OWN 39
+7
24.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Alec Burton for 7 yds to the Ohio 46Similar
Q4 13:45
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+29
23.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 29 yds to the MiaOh 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
20.9%
Sieh Bangura run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 19Similar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+7
18.4%
Sieh Bangura run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
18.1%
Nolan McCormick run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 10Similar
Q4 11:18
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+10
6.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Jacoby Jones for 10 yds for a TD, (Nathanial Vakos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 16TD
9 plays · 83 yds · 2:318% → 20%
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
7.6%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Coldiron for 5 yds to the MiaOh 22Similar
Q4 10:55
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+23
7.6%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Miles Marshall for 23 yds to the MiaOh 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+17
7.2%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Coldiron for 17 yds to the Ohio 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
7.3%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Mac Hippenhammer for 9 yds to the Ohio 29Similar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 1
OPP 29
-3
8.0%
Brett Gabbert sacked by Austin Brawley for a loss of 3 yards to the Ohio 32Similar
Q4 9:19
3RD & 4
OPP 32
+19
7.6%
Brett Gabbert run for 5 yds to the Ohio 27 for a 1ST down OHIO Penalty, Personal Foul (14 Yards) to the Ohio 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
7.7%
Brett Gabbert run for 2 yds to the Ohio 11Similar
Q4 8:39
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+11
20.4%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Mac Hippenhammer for 11 yds for a TD, (Graham Nicholson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 17FG
11 plays · 80 yds · 2:0684% → 95%
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+6
15.7%
Nolan McCormick run for 6 yds to the Ohio 18Similar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 4
OWN 18
+4
14.8%
Sieh Bangura run for 4 yds to the Ohio 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+64
13.8%
Sieh Bangura run for 64 yds to the MiaOh 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
11.4%
Sieh Bangura run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 10Similar
Q4 6:33
2ND & 6
OPP 10
-5
10.1%
OHIO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MiaOh 15Similar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 11
OPP 15
+14
9.9%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for a loss of 7 yards to the MiaOh 8 lat. to Sieh Bangura for 14 yds to the MiaOh 8Similar
Q4 6:20
3RD & 4
OPP 8
0
9.6%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to James BosticSimilar
Q4 6:14
4TH & 4
OPP 8
+25
5.5%
Nathanial Vakos 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 18DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:577% → 7%
Q4 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
7.2%
Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Mac Hippenhammer, broken up by Justin BirchetteSimilar
Q4 5:59
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
7.0%
Brett Gabbert run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 27Similar
Q4 5:25
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+7
6.7%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kenny Tracy for 7 yds to the MiaOh 34Similar
Q4 5:10
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
7.3%
Brett Gabbert run for no gain to the MiaOh 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 19FG
11 plays · 30 yds · 4:3795% → 99%
Q4 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+12
4.9%
Sieh Bangura run for 12 yds to the MiaOh 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
4.1%
Sieh Bangura run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 20Similar
Q4 4:05
2ND & 8
OPP 20
0
3.8%
Sieh Bangura run for no gain to the MiaOh 20Similar
Q4 3:15
3RD & 8
OPP 20
+11
2.9%
Kurtis Rourke run for 11 yds to the MiaOh 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
2.7%
Jake Neatherton run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 7Similar
Q4 1:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
2.1%
Julian Ross run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 8Similar
Q4 1:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
2.0%
Julian Ross run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 4Similar
Q4 0:28
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
0.8%
Nathanial Vakos 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 20END OF GAME
5 plays · 20 yds · 0:171% → 1%
Q4 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
1.0%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Coldiron for 7 yds to the MiaOh 40Similar
Q4 0:12
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+12
1.1%
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kenny Tracy for 12 yds to the Ohio 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:03
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
1.0%
Brett Gabbert run for 2 yds to the Ohio 46Similar
Q4 0:01
2ND & 8
OPP 46
-1
1.0%
Brett Gabbert sacked by Vonnie Watkins for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:18
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Mac Hippenhammer for 37 yds for a TD, (Graham Nicholson KICK)
+21
TD · Q3 4:59
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Jacoby Jones for 48 yds for a TD, (Nathanial Vakos KICK)
-16.1
TD · Q4 8:39
Brett Gabbert pass complete to Mac Hippenhammer for 11 yds for a TD, (Graham Nicholson KICK)
+12.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com