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WMU

Western Michigan 9 at Bowling Green 13

BGSU
2022 · Week 10 · Nov 2, 2022 · Doyt L. Perry Stadium
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Win probability · BGSU
modelBGSU aheadWMU aheadconfidence bandkey playBGSU scoreWMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 7:43 · Nick Mihalic punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jake Rogers at the BwGrn 30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+23.5+11.80−11.8−23.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 17Pregame prior+17.6Home team on offense−0.2Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential−0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.3Blowout margin+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 3:11: Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Corey Crooms for 39 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed) — WMU win probability +12.3 pts (now 27%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q4 14:10: Sean Tyler run for 6 yds to the WMich 26 — WMU win probability +8.8 pts (now 21%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 5:28: Palmer Domschke 31 yd FG GOOD — WMU win probability +12.9 pts (now 29%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:52: Treyson Bourguet pass incomplete to Corey Crooms — WMU win probability +11.0 pts (now 33%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:20: Jaison Patterson run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 24 — BGSU win probability +17.3 pts (now 93%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BGSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8WMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 12:59WMU 4th & 9 at WMU 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.5%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:33BGSU 4th & 7 at BGSU 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:43WMU 4th & 1 at WMU 29, tied
    Close callPunted · 35.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.8%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:26BGSU 4th & 6 at WMU 41, tied
    Close callPunted · 63.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    63.7%−0.3
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    63.8%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:17WMU 4th & 2 at WMU 11, tied
    Close callPunted · 36.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.5%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:54BGSU 4th & 6 at WMU 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.5%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.6%
    91% to make
    Punt
    61.1%−2.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:34WMU 4th & 1 at BGSU 48, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    34.9%−1.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:43WMU 4th & 21 at WMU 49, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.9%−2.0
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:45BGSU 4th & 5 at WMU 10, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 65.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.0%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.1%
    88% to make
    Punt
    59.6%−5.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:19BGSU 4th & 10 at BGSU 20, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.5%−1.4
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:40WMU 4th & 5 at BGSU 46, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    13.4%−1.6
    23% to make
    Punt
    14.8%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:10BGSU 4th & 9 at WMU 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.2%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    83.2%−<0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    81.8%−1.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:21WMU 4th & 4 at WMU 26, down 7
    Close callPunted · 17.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.6%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.4%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:40BGSU 4th & 15 at BGSU 40, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.1%−3.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:28WMU 4th & 14 at BGSU 14, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.6%−2.3
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.9%
    84% to make
    Punt
    5.3%−9.6
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:01BGSU 4th & 4 at BGSU 38, up 4
    Close callPunted · 84.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.0%−0.6
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:22WMU 4th & 2 at BGSU 19, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.5%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    20.3%−2.2
    77% to make
    Punt
    7.5%−15.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BGSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1WMU made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q3 13:39BGSU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 3:11WMU Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    23.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    22.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WMUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:4630% → 30%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
69.9%
Sean Tyler run for 15 yds to the WMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
69.9%
Sean Tyler run for 1 yd to the WMich 36Similar
Q1 13:55
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
69.8%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for no gain to the WMich 36Similar
Q1 13:07
3RD & 9
OWN 36
0
69.7%
Treyson Bourguet pass incomplete to Zahir Abdus-SalaamSimilar
Q1 12:59
4TH & 9
OWN 36
0
69.8%
Nick Mihalic punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jake Rogers at the BwGrn 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 3:0770% → 69%
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
69.7%
Ta'ron Keith run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 21Similar
Q1 12:20
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+10
69.6%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Tyrone Broden for 10 yds to the BwGrn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
69.6%
Ta'ron Keith run for 15 yds to the BwGrn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
69.8%
Ta'ron Keith run for no gain to the BwGrn 46Similar
Q1 11:05
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
69.6%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Jamal Johnson for no gain to the BwGrn 46Similar
Q1 10:18
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+3
69.4%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Levi Gazarek for 3 yds to the BwGrn 49Similar
Q1 9:33
4TH & 7
OWN 49
0
69.1%
Sami Sir punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:4731% → 31%
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
69.1%
Sean Tyler run for 3 yds to the WMich 23Similar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+6
68.9%
Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Jehlani Galloway for 6 yds to the WMich 29Similar
Q1 8:22
3RD & 1
OWN 29
0
68.8%
Sean Tyler run for no gain to the WMich 29Similar
Q1 7:43
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
68.9%
Nick Mihalic punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jake Rogers at the BwGrn 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 3:1469% → 68%
Q1 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+10
68.8%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Ta'ron Keith for 10 yds to the BwGrn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-7
69.1%
Matt McDonald sacked by Marshawn Kneeland for a loss of 7 yards to the BwGrn 33Similar
Q1 6:40
2ND & 17
OWN 33
+22
68.5%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 22 yds to the WMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
69.4%
Jamal Johnson run for 9 yds to the WMich 36Similar
Q1 5:40
2ND & 1
OPP 36
-8
69.3%
Matt McDonald sacked by Braden Fiske for a loss of 8 yards to the WMich 44Similar
Q1 5:00
3RD & 9
OPP 44
+3
68.9%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 3 yds to the WMich 41Similar
Q1 4:26
4TH & 6
OPP 41
0
68.4%
Sami Sir punt for 38 yds, downed at the WMich 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:0332% → 32%
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+1
68.2%
Sean Tyler run for 1 yd to the WMich 4Similar
Q1 3:37
2ND & 9
OWN 4
+5
68.1%
Sean Tyler run for 5 yds to the WMich 9Similar
Q1 3:00
3RD & 4
OWN 9
+2
68.4%
Sean Tyler run for 2 yds to the WMich 11Similar
Q1 2:17
4TH & 2
OWN 11
+12
68.1%
Nick Mihalic punt for 39 yds , Jake Rogers returns for 12 yds to the WMich 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 6FUMBLE
3 plays · 13 yds · 0:5869% → 69%
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
69.2%
Jaison Patterson run for 1 yd to the WMich 37Similar
Q1 1:37
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+8
69.2%
Jaison Patterson run for 8 yds to the WMich 29Similar
Q1 1:02
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+4
68.9%
Jaison Patterson run for 4 yds to the WMich 25 Jaison Patterson fumbled, recovered by WMich Keni-H LovelySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 7INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-39
66.9%
Treyson Bourguet pass intercepted Chris Bacon return for 39 yds to the WMich 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 8FG
8 plays · 19 yds · 2:2869% → 69%
Q1 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
69.4%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Christian Sims for 1 yd to the WMich 24Similar
Q1 0:05
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+5
69.4%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Cavon Croom for 5 yds to the WMich 19Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 19
+9
68.9%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Christian Sims for 9 yds to the WMich 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
69.3%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 2 yds to the WMich 8Similar
Q2 13:52
2ND & 0
OPP 8
-5
69.9%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WMich 13Similar
Q2 13:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
+7
69.2%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 7 yds to the WMich 6Similar
Q2 12:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
68.7%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Tyrone Broden, broken up by Dorian JacksonSimilar
Q2 12:54
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
68.7%
Mason Lawler 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 9DOWNS
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:1133% → 33%
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
67.5%
Sean Tyler run for 4 yds to the WMich 47Similar
Q2 12:25
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+5
67.2%
Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Corey Crooms for 5 yds to the BwGrn 48Similar
Q2 12:00
3RD & 1
OPP 48
0
66.5%
Mareyohn Hrabowski run for no gain to the BwGrn 48Similar
Q2 11:34
4TH & 1
OPP 48
0
67.3%
Treyson Bourguet run for no gain to the BwGrn 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 10FUMBLE
7 plays · 9 yds · 3:0070% → 68%
Q2 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
69.5%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Christian SimsSimilar
Q2 11:15
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+8
69.1%
Jamal Johnson run for 8 yds to the WMich 44Similar
Q2 10:42
3RD & 2
OPP 44
-5
69.3%
McDonald, Matt pass complete to Sims, Christian for 15 yards to the WESTMICH29, PENALTY BOWLGREEN illegal shift 5 yards to the WESTMICH49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:13
3RD & 7
OPP 49
+8
68.9%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 8 yds to the WMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
69.9%
Ta'ron Keith run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 42Similar
Q2 9:25
2ND & 11
OPP 42
-1
69.6%
CJ Lewis sacked by Keni-H Lovely for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 43Similar
Q2 8:28
3RD & 12
OPP 43
+1
68.2%
Matt McDonald run for 1 yd to the WMich 42 Matt McDonald fumbled, recovered by WMichSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 2:4234% → 31%
Q2 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+18
66.2%
Sean Tyler run for 18 yds to the BwGrn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-10
65.9%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 7:40
1ST & 20
50
+6
66.7%
Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Corey Crooms for 6 yds to the BwGrn 44Similar
Q2 7:15
2ND & 14
OPP 44
0
66.8%
Treyson Bourguet pass incomplete to Blake BosmaSimilar
Q2 6:40
3RD & 14
OPP 44
-10
67.7%
Bourguet, Treyson pass complete to Tyler, Sean for 9 yards to the BOWLGREEN35, PENALTY WESTMICH illegal block 10 yards to the WESTMICH46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:20
3RD & 24
OWN 46
+3
68.0%
Sean Tyler run for 3 yds to the WMich 49Similar
Q2 5:43
4TH & 21
OWN 49
0
68.6%
Nick Mihalic punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 12FG
11 plays · 70 yds · 3:5068% → 75%
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
68.1%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 18Similar
Q2 4:50
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+21
67.7%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Cavon Croom for 6 yds to the BwGrn 24 for a 1ST down WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Aaron Wofford) to the BwGrn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
69.3%
Jaison Patterson run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 45Similar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 4
OWN 45
0
70.2%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Christian SimsSimilar
Q2 3:51
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+8
69.3%
Matt McDonald run for 8 yds to the WMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+32
70.6%
Ta'ron Keith run for 32 yds to the WMich 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-4
71.1%
Ta'ron Keith run for a loss of 4 yards to the WMich 19Similar
Q2 2:20
2ND & 14
OPP 19
+5
70.2%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Christian Sims for 5 yds to the WMich 14Similar
Q2 1:50
3RD & 9
OPP 14
+4
69.9%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 4 yds to the WMich 10Similar
Q2 1:45
4TH & 5
OPP 10
+28
74.5%
Mason Lawler 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 13END OF HALF
8 plays · 22 yds · 1:3427% → 26%
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
73.4%
Sean Tyler run for 2 yds to the WMich 31Similar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 8
OWN 31
0
73.5%
Treyson Bourguet pass incomplete to Blake BosmaSimilar
Q2 1:13
3RD & 8
OWN 31
+8
74.5%
Treyson Bourguet run for 8 yds to the WMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-6
72.3%
Treyson Bourguet sacked by Karl Brooks and Demetrius Hardamon for a loss of 6 yards to the WMich 33Similar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 16
OWN 33
+4
74.0%
Sean Tyler run for 4 yds to the WMich 37Similar
Q2 0:05
3RD & 12
OWN 37
+14
74.3%
Sean Tyler run for 14 yds to the BwGrn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 14TD
4 plays · 17 yds · 1:0677% → 85%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
76.6%
Jaison Patterson run for 6 yds to the WMich 11Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 4
OPP 11
+3
76.7%
Jaison Patterson run for 3 yds to the WMich 8Similar
Q3 13:39
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+8
85.1%
Harold Fannin Jr. run for 8 yds for a TD, (Mason Lawler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 15FUMBLE
10 plays · 52 yds · 4:3817% → 17%
Q3 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
82.6%
Sean Tyler run for 5 yds to the WMich 33Similar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+5
82.8%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 5 yds to the WMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-2
82.7%
Sean Tyler run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 36Similar
Q3 11:40
2ND & 12
OWN 36
+4
83.8%
Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Jehlani Galloway for 4 yds to the WMich 40Similar
Q3 11:00
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+8
84.6%
Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Jehlani Galloway for 8 yds to the WMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
83.8%
Sean Tyler run for no gain to the WMich 48 Sean Tyler fumbled, recovered by WMichSimilar
Q3 9:57
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+22
84.3%
Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Anthony Sambucci for 7 yds to the BOWLGREEN 45 for a 1ST down BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the BwGrn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
82.9%
Sean Tyler run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 29Similar
Q3 8:52
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+9
83.2%
Sean Tyler run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 20 Sean Tyler fumbled, forced by Darren Anders, recovered by BwGrn Darren AndersSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:2687% → 86%
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
87.0%
Jamal Johnson run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 21Similar
Q3 8:15
2ND & 9
OWN 21
-1
87.1%
Matt McDonald run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 20Similar
Q3 7:32
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
86.4%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Odieu HiliareSimilar
Q3 7:19
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
85.8%
Sami Sir punt for 45 yds, downed at the WMich 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 17TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 4:0214% → 27%
Q3 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
85.6%
Treyson Bourguet pass incomplete to Corey Crooms, broken up by Jordan AndersonSimilar
Q3 7:09
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
85.9%
Treyson Bourguet pass incomplete to Corey Crooms, broken up by DJ TaylorSimilar
Q3 7:05
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+14
86.7%
Treyson Bourguet run for 14 yds to the WMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
84.8%
Sean Tyler run for no gain to the WMich 49Similar
Q3 5:55
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+2
85.4%
Sean Tyler run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 49Similar
Q3 5:12
3RD & 8
OPP 49
+3
85.7%
Treyson Bourguet run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 46Similar
Q3 4:40
4TH & 5
OPP 46
+5
86.5%
Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Nate Anderson for 5 yds to the BwGrn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
85.7%
Sean Tyler run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 39Similar
Q3 3:11
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+39
73.4%
Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Corey Crooms for 39 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 18FUMBLE
11 plays · 73 yds · 3:3780% → 88%
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
80.1%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 8 yds to the BwGrn 34Similar
Q3 2:35
2ND & 2
OWN 34
+4
82.2%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 4 yds to the BwGrn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
82.6%
Jaison Patterson run for 11 yds to the BwGrn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+15
83.5%
Matt McDonald pass complete to CJ Lewis for 15 yds to the WMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
85.4%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Tyrone BrodenSimilar
Q3 0:46
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+1
85.4%
Ta'ron Keith run for 1 yd to the WMich 35Similar
Q3 0:29
3RD & 9
OPP 35
0
84.9%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Christian Sims, broken up by Zaire BarnesSimilar
Q3 0:10
4TH & 9
OPP 35
+26
83.9%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Christian Sims for 26 yds to the WMich 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
86.7%
Jaison Patterson run for 4 yds to the WMich 5Similar
Q4 14:18
2ND & 0
OPP 5
+4
87.8%
Christian Sims run for 4 yds Christian Sims fumbled, recovered by WMich Zaire BarnesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:4921% → 17%
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
79.0%
Sean Tyler run for 6 yds to the WMich 26Similar
Q4 13:38
2ND & 4
OWN 26
0
80.5%
Treyson Bourguet pass incomplete to Anthony SambucciSimilar
Q4 13:34
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
81.6%
Treyson Bourguet pass incomplete to Nate AndersonSimilar
Q4 13:21
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
82.9%
Nick Mihalic punt for 42 yds, downed at the BwGrn 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 2:3586% → 85%
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
85.5%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 9 yds to the BwGrn 41Similar
Q4 12:50
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+4
87.2%
Ta'ron Keith run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-10
87.2%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the BwGrn 35Similar
Q4 12:08
1ST & 20
OWN 35
0
85.8%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Ta'ron KeithSimilar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 20
OWN 35
+5
85.7%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Tyrone Broden for 5 yds to the BwGrn 40Similar
Q4 11:35
3RD & 15
OWN 40
0
85.4%
Ta'ron Keith run for no gain to the BwGrn 40Similar
Q4 10:40
4TH & 15
OWN 40
+11
85.2%
Sami Sir punt for 46 yds , Anthony Sambucci returns for 11 yds to the WMich 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 21FG
11 plays · 61 yds · 5:0718% → 29%
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
82.3%
Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Anthony Sambucci for 13 yds to the WMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
81.0%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (Jack Sherwin) to the WMich 33Similar
Q4 9:55
1ST & 15
OWN 33
+5
82.1%
Sean Tyler run for 5 yds to the WMich 38Similar
Q4 9:20
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+2
81.0%
Treyson Bourguet run for 2 yds to the WMich 40Similar
Q4 8:25
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+15
81.8%
Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Sean Tyler for no gain to the BwGrn 40 for a 1ST down BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Roughing Passer (Demetrius Hardamon) to the BwGrn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
78.8%
Sean Tyler run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 42Similar
Q4 7:30
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+34
80.8%
Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Corey Crooms for 34 yds to the BwGrn 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
78.9%
Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Corey Crooms for 3 yds to the BwGrn 5Similar
Q4 6:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-9
79.6%
Sean Tyler run for a loss of 9 yards to the BwGrn 14Similar
Q4 5:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 14
0
84.0%
Treyson Bourguet pass incomplete to Corey CroomsSimilar
Q4 5:28
4TH & GOAL
OPP 14
+31
71.2%
Palmer Domschke 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:2481% → 84%
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
81.1%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 1 yd to the BwGrn 33Similar
Q4 4:38
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+5
84.3%
Ta'ron Keith run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 38Similar
Q4 4:10
3RD & 4
OWN 38
0
85.2%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Tyrone BrodenSimilar
Q4 4:01
4TH & 4
OWN 38
0
84.4%
Sami Sir punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Anthony Sambucci at the WMich 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 23DOWNS
9 plays · 68 yds · 2:3824% → 24%
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
75.7%
Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Corey Crooms for 4 yds to the WMich 14Similar
Q4 3:20
2ND & 6
OWN 14
-1
75.9%
Sean Tyler run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 13Similar
Q4 2:46
3RD & 7
OWN 13
+12
77.9%
Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Corey Crooms for 12 yds to the WMich 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+48
77.7%
Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Corey Crooms for 48 yds to the BwGrn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
66.7%
Treyson Bourguet pass incomplete to Corey CroomsSimilar
Q4 1:49
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
68.1%
Treyson Bourguet pass incomplete to Jehlani GallowaySimilar
Q4 1:35
3RD & 10
OPP 27
+8
71.8%
Treyson Bourguet run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 19Similar
Q4 1:22
4TH & 2
OPP 19
-3
75.6%
Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Jehlani Galloway for a loss of 3 yards to the BwGrn 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 24END OF GAME
4 plays · 11 yds · 0:4093% → 94%
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
92.9%
Jaison Patterson run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 24Similar
Q4 1:11
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+11
92.8%
Jaison Patterson run for 11 yds to the BwGrn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
94.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q4 1:20
Jaison Patterson run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 24
+17.3
FG · Q4 5:28
Palmer Domschke 31 yd FG GOOD
-12.9
TD · Q3 3:11
Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Corey Crooms for 39 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed)
-12.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com