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NIU

Northern Illinois 17 at Ohio 24

OHIO
2022 · Week 8 · Oct 22, 2022 · Peden Stadium
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Win probability · OHIO
modelOHIO aheadNIU aheadconfidence bandkey playOHIO scoreNIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGFGFGTDTDTDEnd of GameFG-2.6OHIO 46.8%John Richardson 38 yd FG GOODAWAY 3 - HOME 7 · Q2 10:49
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 10:49 · John Richardson 38 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore differentialTime remaining
+28.5+14.30−14.3−28.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 52Pregame prior−11.2Home team on offense+0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.5Garbage-time factor−0.1Score differential+0.2Time remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 11:05: Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 8 yds for a TD, (Nathanial Vakos KICK) — OHIO win probability +3.3 pts (now 37%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:19: Nathanial Vakos 31 yd FG GOOD — OHIO win probability +2.8 pts (now 54%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:16: Kurtis Rourke run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nathanial Vakos KICK) — OHIO win probability +20.1 pts (now 77%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:31: Kacper Rutkiewicz 11 Yd Run (Shemar Thornton Pass to Cole Tucker for Two-Point Conversion) — NIU win probability +29.2 pts (now 62%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:00: Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 22 yds for a TD, (Nathanial Vakos KICK) — OHIO win probability +35.4 pts (now 92%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OHIO made the numbers' call on 5 of 6NIU made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 7:29NIU 4th & 8 at NIU 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.0%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:34OHIO 4th & 18 at OHIO 16, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.9%−1.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:26NIU 4th & 8 at OHIO 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.8%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    47.3%−0.6
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    47.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:37OHIO 4th & 8 at OHIO 9, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.5%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00NIU 4th & 3 at OHIO 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 47.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.3%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    46.4%−0.8
    42% to make
    Punt
    46.2%−1.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:49NIU 4th & 13 at OHIO 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 43.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.9%−1.4
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.2%
    75% to make
    Punt
    38.8%−4.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:48OHIO 4th & 7 at NIU 24, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.0%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.2%
    68% to make
    Punt
    49.5%−3.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:07NIU 4th & 4 at OHIO 9, down 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 46.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.4%
    43% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.1%−0.4
    89% to make
    Punt
    41.0%−5.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:19OHIO 4th & 9 at NIU 14, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 56.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.5%−1.6
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.1%
    84% to make
    Punt
    51.1%−5.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:56NIU 4th & 12 at OHIO 27, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.7%−1.6
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.3%
    62% to make
    Punt
    33.4%−5.9
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:16NIU 4th & 3 at NIU 32, down 8
    Close callWent for it · 23.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.8%−0.6
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    25.4%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:42OHIO 4th & 9 at OHIO 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.7%−2.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:26NIU 4th & 7 at OHIO 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 50.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.3%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    46.4%−3.9
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    49.7%−0.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:28NIU 4th & 5 at OHIO 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.7%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    6.9%−3.8
    42% to make
    Punt
    5.9%−4.8
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:04OHIO 4th & 2 at OHIO 44, up 7
    Close callPunted · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.5%−0.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:43NIU 4th & 10 at NIU 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.0%
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.6%−1.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OHIO made the numbers' call on 3 of 3NIU made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q1 11:05OHIO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 4:16OHIO Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 1:31NIU Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    43.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    42.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 7:00OHIO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.9%−1.8
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OHIODrive 1TD
9 plays · 84 yds · 3:4934% → 37%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+38
34.0%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to James Bostic for 38 yds to the NoIll 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+9
34.1%
Sieh Bangura run for 9 yds to the NoIll 37Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 1
OPP 37
+4
34.1%
Sieh Bangura run for 4 yds to the NoIll 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
34.1%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+3
34.1%
Nolan McCormick run for 3 yds to the NoIll 30Similar
Q1 14:54
3RD & 7
OPP 30
+20
34.0%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 20 yds to the NoIll 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
34.1%
Sieh Bangura run for 2 yds to the NoIll 8Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
34.1%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
37.3%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 8 yds for a TD, (Nathanial Vakos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 2PUNT
10 plays · 27 yds · 3:3063% → 60%
Q1 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-1
37.0%
Justin Lynch run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 13 Justin Lynch fumbled, recovered by NoIllSimilar
Q1 10:59
2ND & 11
OWN 13
+12
37.0%
Harrison Waylee run for 12 yds to the NoIll 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
37.0%
Justin Lynch run for no gain to the NoIll 25Similar
Q1 10:59
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+14
37.0%
run for 14 yds to the NoIll 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
36.7%
Antario Brown run for 6 yds to the NoIll 45Similar
Q1 10:59
2ND & 4
OWN 45
0
36.6%
Justin Lynch pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:59
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+1
36.7%
Justin Lynch run for 1 yd to the NoIll 46Similar
Q1 10:59
4TH & 3
OWN 46
-5
36.9%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, Delay Of Game (Jordan Gandy) to the NoIll 41Similar
Q1 7:29
4TH & 8
OWN 41
+2
40.0%
Tom Foley punt for 49 yds , Sam Wiglusz returns for 2 yds to the Ohio 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 4 yds · 2:5540% → 42%
Q1 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
39.5%
Miles Cross run for 1 yd to the Ohio 13Similar
Q1 7:29
2ND & 9
OWN 13
+6
39.5%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sieh Bangura for 6 yds to the Ohio 19Similar
Q1 7:29
3RD & 3
OWN 19
+5
39.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 5 yds to the Ohio 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
41.3%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:59
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+1
41.2%
Kurtis Rourke run for 1 yd to the Ohio 25Similar
Q1 5:59
3RD & 9
OWN 25
-9
40.9%
Kurtis Rourke sacked by Michael Kennedy and Daveren Rayner for a loss of 9 yards to the Ohio 16Similar
Q1 4:34
4TH & 18
OWN 16
0
41.7%
Jonah Wieland punt for 42 yds , Cole Tucker returns for no gain to the NoIll 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:0859% → 57%
Q1 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
41.5%
Harrison Waylee run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 4:34
2ND & 2
50
+3
40.9%
run for 3 yds to the Ohio 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
41.0%
Justin Lynch pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:34
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+6
41.3%
Harrison Waylee run for 6 yds to the Ohio 41Similar
Q1 4:34
3RD & 4
OPP 41
-4
41.1%
Justin Lynch run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ohio 45Similar
Q1 2:26
4TH & 8
OPP 45
0
43.0%
Tom Foley punt for 38 yds, downed at the Ohio 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:4948% → 47%
Q1 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
47.7%
Sieh Bangura run for 2 yds to the Ohio 9Similar
Q1 2:26
2ND & 8
OWN 9
0
47.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:26
3RD & 8
OWN 9
0
47.0%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:37
4TH & 8
OWN 9
+3
47.4%
Jonah Wieland punt for 48 yds , Cole Tucker returns for 3 yds to the NoIll 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 6FG
13 plays · 34 yds · 5:4857% → 53%
Q1 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+11
43.1%
run for 11 yds to the Ohio 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
42.8%
Antario Brown run for 6 yds to the Ohio 37Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+1
43.7%
Antario Brown run for 1 yd to the Ohio 36Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 36
0
44.0%
run for no gain to the Ohio 36Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 36
+7
44.9%
Justin Lynch pass complete to Cole Tucker for 7 yds to the Ohio 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
43.0%
Harrison Waylee run for 4 yds to the Ohio 25Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+3
43.0%
Harrison Waylee run for 3 yds to the Ohio 22Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 22
+5
44.0%
Justin Lynch run for 5 yds to the Ohio 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
43.0%
Justin Lynch run for 7 yds to the Ohio 10Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 10
-10
43.0%
run for a loss of 10 yards to the Ohio 20 fumbled, recovered by NoIll Antario BrownSimilar
Q2 11:01
3RD & 13
OPP 20
0
49.4%
Justin Lynch run for no gain to the Ohio 20Similar
Q2 10:49
4TH & 13
OPP 20
+38
46.8%
John Richardson 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 7MISSED FG
7 plays · 41 yds · 2:0146% → 48%
Q2 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
46.3%
ROURKE, Kurtis pass up the middle incomplete intended for FOSTER, Tyler thrown to the NIU48. PENALTY NIU Pass Interference on ROGERS, Eric enforced 15 yards to the OHI50 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 10:49
1ST & 10
50
+23
48.0%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sieh Bangura for 23 yds to the NoIll 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
48.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sieh Bangura for 3 yds to the NoIll 24Similar
Q2 10:49
2ND & 7
OPP 24
0
48.4%
Sieh Bangura run for no gain to the NoIll 24Similar
Q2 10:49
3RD & 7
OPP 24
0
47.9%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:48
4TH & 7
OPP 24
+41
48.1%
Nathanial Vakos 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 8FG
11 plays · 67 yds · 4:4151% → 51%
Q2 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
49.0%
Antario Brown run for 1 yd to the NoIll 25Similar
Q2 8:48
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+7
49.3%
Justin Lynch pass complete to Cole Tucker for 7 yds to the NoIll 32Similar
Q2 8:48
3RD & 2
OWN 32
+6
49.1%
Justin Lynch run for 6 yds to the NoIll 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
48.0%
Harrison Waylee run for 3 yds to the NoIll 41Similar
Q2 8:48
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+3
47.5%
Justin Lynch pass complete to Liam Soraghan for 3 yds to the NoIll 44Similar
Q2 8:48
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+41
47.4%
Justin Lynch pass complete to Kacper Rutkiewicz for 41 yds to the Ohio 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
45.3%
Harrison Waylee run for 6 yds to the Ohio 9Similar
Q2 4:19
2ND & 4
OPP 9
0
47.9%
Harrison Waylee run for no gain to the Ohio 9Similar
Q2 4:19
3RD & 4
OPP 9
0
49.0%
Justin Lynch pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:07
4TH & 4
OPP 9
+27
49.3%
John Richardson 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 9FG
9 plays · 61 yds · 3:4849% → 54%
Q2 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
49.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:07
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
49.1%
Nolan McCormick run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 24Similar
Q2 4:07
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+61
47.8%
Kurtis Rourke run for 61 yds to the NoIll 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-1
53.0%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 16Similar
Q2 1:08
2ND & 11
OPP 16
-9
55.1%
Kurtis Rourke sacked by Ivan Davis for a loss of 9 yards to the NoIll 25Similar
Q2 0:22
3RD & 20
OPP 25
+11
50.7%
Sieh Bangura run for 11 yds to the NoIll 14Similar
Q2 0:19
4TH & 9
OPP 14
+31
53.6%
Nathanial Vakos 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 10END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
56.2%
[NH] Kneel down by LYNCH, Justin at NIU18 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 11FG
10 plays · 48 yds · 4:0449% → 49%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
51.2%
run for a loss of 5 yards to the NoIll 20Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+17
51.7%
Harrison Waylee run for 17 yds to the NoIll 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+21
50.1%
Harrison Waylee run for 21 yds to the Ohio 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
47.5%
Antario Brown run for 7 yds to the Ohio 35Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+10
46.2%
Antario Brown run for 10 yds to the Ohio 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
46.2%
Justin Lynch run for no gain to the Ohio 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+3
46.6%
Harrison Waylee run for 3 yds to the Ohio 22Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 22
0
47.5%
Justin Lynch pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 7
OPP 22
-5
49.5%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, False Start (Evan Buss) to the Ohio 27Similar
Q3 10:56
4TH & 12
OPP 27
+45
51.3%
John Richardson 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 12TD
14 plays · 81 yds · 6:3451% → 77%
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
51.0%
Kurtis Rourke run for 5 yds to the Ohio 24Similar
Q3 10:50
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+6
51.1%
Sieh Bangura run for 6 yds to the Ohio 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
51.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:14
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+8
51.4%
Sieh Bangura run for 8 yds to the Ohio 38Similar
Q3 9:14
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+7
53.4%
Sieh Bangura run for 7 yds to the Ohio 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
55.1%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 15 yds to the NoIll 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+13
56.2%
Sieh Bangura run for 13 yds to the NoIll 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
57.0%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:14
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+3
56.9%
Nolan McCormick run for 3 yds to the NoIll 24Similar
Q3 9:14
3RD & 7
OPP 24
+20
55.6%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Will Kacmarek for 20 yds to the NoIll 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
57.0%
Nolan McCormick run for 3 yds to the NoIll 1Similar
Q3 9:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
57.0%
Nolan McCormick run for no gain to the NoIll 1Similar
Q3 4:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
77.1%
Kurtis Rourke run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nathanial Vakos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 13TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:4530% → 62%
Q3 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
70.3%
Harrison Waylee run for 1 yd to the NoIll 26Similar
Q3 4:16
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-1
70.5%
Justin Lynch run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 25 Justin Lynch fumbled, recovered by NoIll Justin LynchSimilar
Q3 4:16
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+7
71.8%
Justin Lynch pass complete to Tristen Tewes for 7 yds to the NoIll 32Similar
Q3 4:16
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+12
71.4%
Justin Lynch pass complete to Mason Blakemore for 12 yds to the NoIll 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+45
67.7%
run for 45 yds to the Ohio 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:31
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
38.5%
Kacper Rutkiewicz 11 Yd Run (Shemar Thornton Pass to Cole Tucker for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 11 yds · 1:4348% → 47%
Q3 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+10
48.4%
ROURKE, Kurtis pass up the middle incomplete intended for JONES, Jacoby thrown to the NIU35. PENALTY NIU Holding on PROPHETE, Jashon enforced 10 yards from the OHI30 to the OHI40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
51.2%
Nolan McCormick run for 2 yds to the Ohio 42Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 42
-1
51.9%
Nolan McCormick run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 41Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 41
0
48.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:42
4TH & 9
OWN 41
0
46.5%
Jack Wilson punt for 53 yds, downed at the NoIll 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 50 yds · 3:1653% → 55%
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-2
47.4%
Harrison Waylee run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoIll 4Similar
Q4 13:52
2ND & 12
OWN 4
+49
48.0%
run for 49 yds to the Ohio 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:52
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
41.4%
Harrison Waylee run for 4 yds to the Ohio 43Similar
Q4 13:52
2ND & 6
OPP 43
-3
41.1%
Justin Lynch run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ohio 46Similar
Q4 13:52
3RD & 9
OPP 46
-10
42.7%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, Offensive Holding (Tristen Tewes) to the NoIll 47Similar
Q4 13:52
3RD & 16
OWN 47
+9
46.4%
Harrison Waylee run for 9 yds to the Ohio 44Similar
Q4 11:26
4TH & 7
OPP 44
0
45.2%
Tom Foley punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Sam Wiglusz at the Ohio 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 16TD
11 plays · 90 yds · 4:2649% → 92%
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
48.8%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:26
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+10
48.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 10 yds to the Ohio 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
48.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:26
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+13
48.3%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Will Kacmarek for 13 yds to the Ohio 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+14
49.5%
Kurtis Rourke run for 14 yds to the Ohio 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+18
53.9%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 18 yds to the NoIll 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
56.2%
Nolan McCormick run for 3 yds to the NoIll 32Similar
Q4 11:26
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+6
56.2%
Nolan McCormick run for 6 yds to the NoIll 26Similar
Q4 11:26
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+1
54.0%
Nolan McCormick run for 1 yd to the NoIll 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
56.4%
Nolan McCormick run for 3 yds to the NoIll 22Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+22
91.8%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 22 yds for a TD, (Nathanial Vakos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 17DOWNS
11 plays · 39 yds · 5:3217% → 16%
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
83.1%
run for 7 yds to the NoIll 32Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
80.7%
Antario Brown run for 4 yds to the NoIll 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
81.7%
Harrison Waylee run for 3 yds to the NoIll 39Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
81.0%
Harrison Waylee run for no gain to the NoIll 39Similar
Q4 7:00
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+20
82.3%
Justin Lynch pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 20 yds to the Ohio 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
78.5%
run for 1 yd to the Ohio 40Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 9
OPP 40
-5
78.7%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, False Start (Evan Buss) to the Ohio 45Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 14
OPP 45
+10
80.8%
Justin Lynch pass complete to Cole Tucker for 10 yds to the Ohio 35Similar
Q4 7:00
3RD & 4
OPP 35
-1
78.3%
Harrison Waylee run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 36Similar
Q4 1:28
4TH & 5
OPP 36
0
84.2%
Justin Lynch pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 0:1998% → 98%
Q4 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
98.1%
Nolan McCormick run for 3 yds to the Ohio 39Similar
Q4 1:17
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+5
98.3%
Nolan McCormick run for 5 yds to the Ohio 44Similar
Q4 1:11
3RD & 2
OWN 44
0
98.6%
Nolan McCormick run for no gain to the Ohio 44Similar
Q4 1:04
4TH & 2
OWN 44
0
98.3%
Jack Wilson punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Cole Tucker at the NoIll 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 19DOWNS
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:217% → 5%
Q4 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
93.2%
Justin Lynch pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:04
2ND & 10
OWN 19
0
93.4%
Justin Lynch pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:48
3RD & 10
OWN 19
0
95.0%
Justin Lynch pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:43
4TH & 10
OWN 19
0
95.2%
Justin Lynch pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 20END OF GAME
1 play · -3 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
98.6%
[NHSG] Kneel down by ROURKE, Kurtis at NIU22 (team loss of 3), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:00
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 22 yds for a TD, (Nathanial Vakos KICK)
+35.4
TD · Q3 1:31
Kacper Rutkiewicz 11 Yd Run (Shemar Thornton Pass to Cole Tucker for Two-Point Conversion)
-29.2
TD · Q3 4:16
Kurtis Rourke run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nathanial Vakos KICK)
+20.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com