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EMU

Eastern Michigan 20 at Ball State 16

BALL
2022 · Week 8 · Oct 22, 2022 · Scheumann Stadium
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Win probability · BALL
modelBALL aheadEMU aheadconfidence bandkey playBALL scoreEMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 1:53 · Mitchell Tomasek punt for 35 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 35Pregame prior+7.1Home team on offense−0.4Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.4Score differential−1.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:56: Bryson Moss run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jesus Gomez KICK) — EMU win probability +6.2 pts (now 43%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 4:09: John Paddock pass complete to Brady Hunt for 18 yds for a TD, (Ben VonGunten PAT BLOCKED) — BALL win probability +12.1 pts (now 76%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 11:04: Jesus Gomez 38 yd FG GOOD — EMU win probability +7.7 pts (now 38%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q4 7:23: Austin Smith run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jesus Gomez KICK) — EMU win probability +35.6 pts (now 74%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:46: Timeout BALL ST, clock 01:46 — EMU win probability +14.4 pts (now 91%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BALL made the numbers' call on 3 of 4EMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 7
  1. Q1 11:51EMU 4th & 15 at BALL 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.5%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    41.6%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    41.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:52BALL 4th & 7 at BALL 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.1%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:53EMU 4th & 17 at BALL 35, tied
    Close callPunted · 41.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.5%−0.4
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    42.0%
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    41.7%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 4:22EMU 4th & 3 at EMU 37, tied
    Close callPunted · 43.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.3%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:16BALL 4th & 8 at BALL 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.3%−1.4
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:53EMU 4th & 10 at EMU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.3%−2.0
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.3%
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:14BALL 4th & 5 at EMU 7, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.3%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.4%
    91% to make
    Punt
    41.0%−10.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:55EMU 4th & 8 at BALL 32, tied
    Close callWent for it · 45.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.0%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    45.3%
    51% to make
    Punt
    43.4%−1.8
    average punt
  9. Q4 15:00EMU 4th & 2 at BALL 28, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    30.5%−2.3
    60% to make
    Punt
    20.5%−12.3
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:33EMU 4th & 19 at BALL 37, down 6
    Numbers favored field goal by 2.6 ptsWent for it · 27.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.3%−2.6
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    28.0%
    40% to make
    Punt
    27.2%−0.8
    average punt
  11. Q4 5:33BALL 4th & 4 at BALL 45, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.6 ptsPunted · 37.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.6%−3.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BALL made the numbers' call on 2 of 2EMU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q2 14:56BALL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:56EMU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 4:09BALL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    71.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 7:23EMU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.1%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
EMUDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 43 yds · 3:0441% → 41%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+9
59.2%
Austin Smith pass complete to Gunnar Oakes for 9 yds to the EMich 24Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 1
OWN 24
+17
59.1%
Austin Smith run for 17 yds to the EMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
59.1%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 2 yds to the EMich 43Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+15
59.1%
BALL ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Jordan Riley) to the BalSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-8
59.1%
Austin Smith sacked by Cole Pearce for a loss of 8 yards to the BalSt 45Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 18
OPP 45
+3
59.1%
Jaylon Jackson run for 3 yds to the BalSt 42Similar
Q1 14:55
3RD & 15
OPP 42
0
59.1%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
Q1 11:51
4TH & 15
OPP 42
0
59.4%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 31 yds , Jayshon Jackson returns for no gain to the BalSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 27 yds · 2:5959% → 59%
Q1 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+9
59.3%
Carson Steele run for 9 yds to the BalSt 20Similar
Q1 11:51
2ND & 1
OWN 20
+5
59.4%
Carson Steele run for 5 yds to the BalSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
59.4%
Carson Steele run for 4 yds to the BalSt 29Similar
Q1 11:51
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
59.4%
Carson Steele run for 4 yds to the BalSt 33Similar
Q1 11:51
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+2
59.3%
Vaughn Pemberton run for 2 yds to the BalSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
59.4%
John Paddock pass incomplete to Jayshon JacksonSimilar
Q1 11:51
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+3
59.4%
Carson Steele run for 3 yds to the BalSt 38Similar
Q1 11:51
3RD & 7
OWN 38
0
59.3%
John Paddock pass incomplete to Jayshon JacksonSimilar
Q1 8:52
4TH & 7
OWN 38
0
59.4%
Lucas Borrow punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Dylan Drummond at the EMich 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 3PUNT
16 plays · 45 yds · 6:5941% → 41%
Q1 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
59.3%
Austin Smith run for 2 yds to the EMich 13Similar
Q1 8:52
2ND & 12
OWN 13
+19
59.3%
Austin Smith pass complete to Andreas Paaske for 19 yds to the EMich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
59.1%
Austin Smith run for 9 yds to the EMich 41Similar
Q1 8:52
2ND & 1
OWN 41
-10
58.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun Smith,Austin pass complete deep right to Knue,Tanner for 11 yards to the BSU48 (Amos,Jaquan), out of bounds PENALTY EMU Holding (Bates Jr.,Richard) 10 yards from EMU41 to EMU31. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:52
2ND & 11
OWN 31
+15
59.3%
Austin Smith pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 15 yds to the EMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
58.7%
Jaylon Jackson run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 6:15
2ND & 6
50
0
58.5%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Jere GetzingerSimilar
Q1 6:15
3RD & 6
50
+11
58.7%
Austin Smith run for 11 yds to the BalSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
58.5%
Austin Smith pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 5 yds to the BalSt 34Similar
Q1 6:15
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+2
58.2%
Austin Smith run for 2 yds to the BalSt 32Similar
Q1 6:15
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+4
58.5%
Austin Smith run for 4 yds to the BalSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
58.2%
Austin Smith run for 1 yd to the BalSt 29Similar
Q1 6:15
2ND & 11
OPP 29
-5
58.3%
Austin Smith sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the BalSt 34Similar
Q1 6:15
3RD & 16
OPP 34
-1
59.2%
Austin Smith sacked by Clayton Coll for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 35 Austin Smith fumbled, recovered by EMich Austin Smith , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 1:53
4TH & 17
OPP 35
0
59.4%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 35 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 4TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 1:5760% → 67%
Q1 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+29
60.2%
John Paddock pass complete to Carson Steele for 29 yds to the EMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
61.6%
Carson Steele run for 4 yds to the EMich 42Similar
Q1 1:53
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+3
61.6%
Carson Steele run for 3 yds to the EMich 39Similar
Q1 1:53
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+15
61.4%
(01:02) No Huddle-Shotgun Paddock,John pass incomplete short left to Presley,Nick PENALTY EMU Pass Interference (Scott,Joshua) 15 yards from EMU39 to EMU24, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+11
62.1%
Vaughn Pemberton run for 11 yds to the EMich 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
62.0%
Vaughn Pemberton run for 6 yds to the EMich 7Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+1
62.5%
Carson Steele run for 1 yd to the EMich 8Similar
Q2 14:56
3RD & 5
OPP 8
+8
66.5%
John Paddock pass complete to Carson Steele for 8 yds for a TD, (Ben VonGunten KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 5TD
11 plays · 76 yds · 3:5435% → 43%
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
65.1%
Austin Smith pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 7 yds to the EMich 31Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+1
64.4%
Elijah Jackson-Anderson run for 1 yd to the EMich 32Similar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 2
OWN 32
+5
64.3%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 5 yds to the EMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
64.7%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Darius LassiterSimilar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
64.9%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Hassan BeydounSimilar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+20
65.3%
Austin Smith run for 20 yds to the BalSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
64.0%
Austin Smith pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 4 yds to the BalSt 39Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+8
63.9%
Bryson Moss run for 8 yds to the BalSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+27
63.4%
Austin Smith pass complete to Gunnar Oakes for 27 yds to the BalSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
57.2%
Bryson Moss run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jesus Gomez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 6FUMBLE
13 plays · 45 yds · 5:1061% → 64%
Q2 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
60.7%
Carson Steele run for 3 yds to the BalSt 28Similar
Q2 10:56
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-8
60.9%
John Paddock sacked by Mikah Coleman for a loss of 8 yards to the BalSt 20Similar
Q2 10:56
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+32
59.8%
John Paddock pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 32 yds to the EMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:56
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
62.5%
Will Jones run for 3 yds to the EMich 45Similar
Q2 9:14
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+2
63.0%
Carson Steele run for 2 yds to the EMich 43Similar
Q2 9:14
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+13
62.8%
John Paddock pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 13 yds to the EMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
63.9%
Carson Steele run for 2 yds to the EMich 28Similar
Q2 9:14
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+4
63.9%
John Paddock pass complete to Brady Hunt for 4 yds to the EMich 24Similar
Q2 9:14
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+8
63.0%
John Paddock pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 8 yds to the EMich 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+7
63.8%
Carson Steele run for 7 yds to the EMich 9Similar
Q2 5:46
2ND & 3
OPP 9
+21
64.2%
run for 21 yds to the EMich 30 fumbled, recovered by EMich Joe SparacioSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2443% → 42%
Q2 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
57.3%
Austin Smith pass complete to Jaylon Jackson for 7 yds to the EMich 37Similar
Q2 5:46
2ND & 3
OWN 37
0
55.9%
Austin Smith run for no gain to the EMich 37Similar
Q2 5:46
3RD & 3
OWN 37
0
56.5%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Tanner KnueSimilar
Q2 4:22
4TH & 3
OWN 37
0
57.9%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 63 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 8PUNT
10 plays · 11 yds · 3:0661% → 58%
Q2 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
60.8%
Carson Steele run for 3 yds to the BalSt 23Similar
Q2 4:22
2ND & 7
OWN 23
-10
60.8%
BALL ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the BalSt 27Similar
Q2 4:22
2ND & 3
OWN 27
0
61.5%
Carson Steele run for no gain to the BalSt 27Similar
Q2 4:22
3RD & 3
OWN 27
-13
60.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun Paddock,John pass complete deep right to Jackson,Jayshon for 19 yards to the BSU46 (Shine,Kempton) PENALTY BSU Chop Block (Crowe,Ethan) 13 yards from BSU27 to BSU14. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:22
3RD & 16
OWN 14
0
59.8%
John Paddock pass incomplete to Amir Abdur-RahmanSimilar
Q2 2:02
4TH & 16
OWN 14
+15
58.9%
Borrow,Lucas punt 44 yards to the EMU42 fair catch by Drummond,Dylan at EMU42 PENALTY EMU Roughing The Kicker (Benson,Brandon) 15 yards from BSU14 to BSU29, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
61.2%
John Paddock pass incomplete to Amir Abdur-RahmanSimilar
Q2 2:02
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+2
60.7%
Carson Steele run for 2 yds to the BalSt 31Similar
Q2 2:02
3RD & 8
OWN 31
0
60.2%
John Paddock pass incomplete to Nick PresleySimilar
Q2 1:16
4TH & 8
OWN 31
0
58.4%
Lucas Borrow punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Dylan Drummond at the EMich 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2344% → 41%
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
56.5%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
Q2 1:16
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
57.0%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
Q2 1:16
3RD & 10
OWN 30
0
57.8%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Hassan BeydounSimilar
Q2 0:53
4TH & 10
OWN 30
+13
58.9%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 48 yds for a 1ST down , Jayshon Jackson returns for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 10INT
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:3463% → 63%
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
50
+6
63.0%
John Paddock pass complete to Will Jones for 6 yds to the EMich 44Similar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+13
63.4%
John Paddock pass complete to Amir Abdur-Rahman for 13 yds to the EMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
64.6%
John Paddock pass incomplete to Amir Abdur-RahmanSimilar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+6
64.5%
John Paddock pass complete to Brady Hunt for 6 yds to the EMich 25Similar
Q2 0:19
3RD & 4
OPP 25
0
63.2%
John Paddock pass interceptedSimilar
Q2 0:19
3RD & 4
OPP 25
0
63.2%
John Paddock pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 11FG
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:1946% → 53%
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
53.8%
Austin Smith run for 6 yds to the BalSt 49Similar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+12
52.4%
Austin Smith pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 12 yds to the BalSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
51.7%
Austin Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+55
46.9%
Jesus Gomez 55 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 12FG
15 plays · 65 yds · 4:4153% → 60%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
53.2%
Carson Steele run for 5 yds to the BalSt 33Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 5
OWN 33
0
54.8%
John Paddock pass incomplete to Carson SteeleSimilar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 5
OWN 33
+7
52.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Paddock,John pass incomplete short right to Jackson,Jayshon PENALTY EMU Offside (Sparacio,Joe) 7 yards from BSU33 to BSU40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 1
OPP 25
+13
57.8%
John Paddock pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 13 yds to the EMich 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
57.8%
Vaughn Pemberton run for 2 yds to the EMich 10Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+3
57.8%
John Paddock pass complete to Nick Presley for 3 yds to the EMich 7Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 5
OPP 7
0
56.3%
John Paddock pass incomplete to Jayshon JacksonSimilar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+7
56.7%
Vaughn Pemberton run for 7 yds to the EMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
57.7%
Vaughn Pemberton run for 9 yds to the EMich 25Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+7
56.0%
Carson Steele run for 7 yds to the EMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
56.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun Paddock,John pass incomplete short left to Abdur-Rahman,Amir PENALTY EMU Offside (Cameron,Luke) 5 yards from EMU48 to EMU43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 5
OPP 43
+2
56.7%
Vaughn Pemberton run for 2 yds to the EMich 41Similar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
55.5%
Carson Steele run for 5 yds to the BalSt 45Similar
Q3 10:14
4TH & 5
OPP 7
+24
60.2%
Ben VonGunten 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 13DOWNS
11 plays · 35 yds · 4:1944% → 45%
Q3 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
55.6%
Austin Smith pass complete to Tanner Knue for 13 yds to the EMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
53.9%
Austin Smith pass complete to Andreas Paaske for 5 yds to the EMich 43Similar
Q3 10:14
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+6
52.7%
Jaylon Jackson run for 6 yds to the EMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
52.2%
Austin Smith pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 6 yds to the BalSt 45Similar
Q3 10:14
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+3
51.6%
Jaylon Jackson run for 3 yds to the BalSt 42Similar
Q3 10:14
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+8
51.9%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 8 yds to the BalSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
50.9%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
Q3 10:14
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+4
50.9%
Austin Smith run for 4 yds to the BalSt 30Similar
Q3 10:14
3RD & 6
OPP 30
+2
52.4%
Austin Smith run for 2 yds to the BalSt 32Similar
Q3 5:55
4TH & 8
OPP 32
-8
54.6%
Austin Smith sacked by Brandon Berger for a loss of 8 yards to the BalSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 14TD
5 plays · 60 yds · 1:4661% → 76%
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
61.1%
Carson Steele run for 3 yds to the BalSt 43Similar
Q3 5:55
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+6
62.1%
John Paddock pass complete to Carson Steele for 6 yds to the BalSt 49Similar
Q3 5:55
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+28
61.4%
Carson Steele run for 13 yds to the BALLST 38 for a 1ST down EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Steven Scheidt) to the EMich 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
64.1%
John Paddock pass complete to Ryan Lezon for 5 yds to the EMich 18Similar
Q3 4:09
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+18
76.2%
John Paddock pass complete to Brady Hunt for 18 yds for a TD, (Ben VonGunten PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 15FG
18 plays · 70 yds · 8:0531% → 38%
Q3 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
69.3%
Austin Smith pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 7 yds to the EMich 32Similar
Q3 4:09
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-5
66.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun Smith,Austin pass complete short left to Beydoun,Hassan for 7 yards to the EMU39 (Riley,Jordan), out of bounds PENALTY EMU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Miles,Sterling) 5 yards from EMU32 to EMU27. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:09
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+19
69.0%
Austin Smith pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 19 yds to the EMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+15
66.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun Smith,Austin pass incomplete short left to Beydoun,Hassan PENALTY BSU Pass Interference (Potts,Tyler) 15 yards from EMU46 to EMU46, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+18
66.1%
Jaylon Jackson run for 18 yds to the BalSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
65.3%
Jaylon Jackson run for 1 yd to the BalSt 35Similar
Q3 4:09
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+2
63.8%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 2 yds to the BalSt 33Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 33
+5
66.4%
Tanner Knue run for 5 yds to the BalSt 28Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 25
+3
66.2%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 3 yds to the BalSt 22Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 22
-15
68.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Smith,Austin pass complete deep left to Oakes,Gunnar for 12 yards to the BSU10 (Riley,Jordan), out of bounds PENALTY EMU Pass Interference (Beydoun,Hassan) 15 yards from BSU22 to BSU37. NO PLAY. The previous play is under review. The ruling on the field stands.Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 28
+2
67.4%
Bryson Moss run for 2 yds to the BalSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
63.5%
Austin Smith run for 1 yd to the BalSt 25Similar
Q4 12:33
4TH & 19
OPP 37
0
77.1%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Bryson MossSimilar
Q4 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+12
71.8%
Austin Smith pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 12 yds to the BalSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
69.6%
Austin Smith pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 5 yds to the BalSt 20Similar
Q4 11:04
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+38
61.9%
Jesus Gomez 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 16INT
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:4373% → 74%
Q4 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
72.5%
Carson Steele run for 3 yds to the BalSt 28Similar
Q4 10:21
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
73.8%
John Paddock pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 17TD
9 plays · 28 yds · 2:5838% → 74%
Q4 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
62.0%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Tanner KnueSimilar
Q4 10:21
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+4
62.2%
Jaylon Jackson run for 4 yds to the BalSt 24Similar
Q4 10:21
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+8
63.9%
Austin Smith pass complete to Tanner Knue for 8 yds to the BalSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
62.0%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 2 yds to the BalSt 14Similar
Q4 10:21
2ND & 8
OPP 14
0
62.0%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Tanner KnueSimilar
Q4 10:21
3RD & 8
OPP 14
+9
63.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Smith,Austin pass incomplete short right to Beydoun,Hassan PENALTY BSU Pass Interference (Amos,Jaquan) 9 yards from BSU14 to BSU05, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
61.6%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Hassan BeydounSimilar
Q4 8:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
61.6%
Austin Smith run for 3 yds to the BalSt 2 Austin Smith fumbled, recovered by EMich Gunnar OakesSimilar
Q4 7:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
26.0%
Austin Smith run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jesus Gomez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 1:5041% → 40%
Q4 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
41.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun Paddock,John pass complete short right to Steele,Carson for 6 yards to the BSU31 (Speights,Tariq), out of bounds PENALTY EMU Illegal Substitution 5 yards from BSU25 to BSU30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:23
1ST & 5
OWN 30
+9
43.9%
Carson Steele run for 9 yds to the BalSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
42.9%
Carson Steele run for 6 yds to the BalSt 45Similar
Q4 7:23
2ND & 4
OWN 45
0
45.6%
Carson Steele run for no gain to the BalSt 45Similar
Q4 7:23
3RD & 4
OWN 45
0
44.3%
John Paddock pass incomplete to Amir Abdur-RahmanSimilar
Q4 5:33
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
39.7%
Lucas Borrow punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 19END OF GAME
16 plays · 40 yds · 5:3373% → 96%
Q4 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
27.3%
Austin Smith pass incomplete to Hassan BeydounSimilar
Q4 5:33
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+3
27.8%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 3 yds to the EMich 18Similar
Q4 5:33
3RD & 7
OWN 18
+8
28.7%
Austin Smith pass complete to Gunnar Oakes for 8 yds to the EMich 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
26.2%
Bryson Moss run for no gain to the EMich 26Similar
Q4 5:33
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+11
27.4%
Tanner Knue run for 11 yds to the EMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
24.4%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 6 yds to the EMich 43Similar
Q4 5:33
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+1
23.6%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 1 yd to the EMich 44Similar
Q4 1:46
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+4
9.2%
Austin Smith pass complete to Tanner Knue for 4 yds to the EMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
8.5%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 4 yds to the BalSt 48Similar
Q4 1:01
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+7
5.2%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 7 yds to the BalSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-3
4.8%
Kneel down by Eastern Mich. at BSU44 for loss of 3 yards.Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 13
OPP 44
-1
4.0%
Kneel down by Eastern Mich. at BSU45 for loss of 1 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:23
Austin Smith run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jesus Gomez KICK)
-35.6
KEY PLAY · Q4 1:46
Timeout BALL ST, clock 01:46
-14.4
TD · Q3 4:09
John Paddock pass complete to Brady Hunt for 18 yds for a TD, (Ben VonGunten PAT BLOCKED)
+12.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com