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OHIO

Ohio 33 at Western Michigan 14

WMU
2022 · Week 7 · Oct 15, 2022 · Waldo Stadium
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Win probability · WMU
modelWMU aheadOHIO aheadconfidence bandkey playWMU scoreOHIO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDFGFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:50 · Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Sam Wiglusz
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+53.0+26.50−26.5−53.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 100Home team on offense−9.3Score differential−2.9Pregame prior+3.5Garbage-time factor−3.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:59: Sieh Bangura run for 6 yds for a TD, (Nathanial Vakos KICK) — OHIO win probability +6.5 pts (now 50%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:05: Jack Salopek pass complete to Corey Crooms for 74 yds for a TD, (Palmer Domschke KICK) — WMU win probability +11.3 pts (now 52%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:06: Nathanial Vakos 55 yd FG GOOD — OHIO win probability +4.8 pts (now 57%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 13:48: Nathanial Vakos 33 yd FG GOOD — OHIO win probability +3.5 pts (now 73%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:24: Kurtis Rourke run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nathanial Vakos KICK) — OHIO win probability +7.6 pts (now 95%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4OHIO made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q2 7:54WMU 4th & 6 at OHIO 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 47.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    46.8%−1.3
    28% to make
    Punt
    47.5%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q2 5:07WMU 4th & 14 at WMU 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.7%−2.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.8%
    average punt
  3. Q2 1:50OHIO 4th & 7 at WMU 9, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.5%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.9%
    89% to make
    Punt
    53.5%−5.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:06OHIO 4th & 3 at WMU 38, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.8%−0.4
    53% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.1%
    38% to make
    Punt
    51.0%−1.1
    average punt
  5. Q3 11:03WMU 4th & 1 at OHIO 14, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 46.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    46.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    43.3%−2.7
    84% to make
    Punt
    34.4%−11.7
    average punt
  6. Q3 10:02OHIO 4th & 7 at OHIO 19, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.3%−1.0
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.4%
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:50OHIO 4th & 4 at WMU 34, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    59.8%−1.6
    47% to make
    Punt
    58.7%−2.7
    average punt
  8. Q3 1:19OHIO 4th & 5 at WMU 16, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.1%−0.7
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.8%
    81% to make
    Punt
    53.4%−12.4
    average punt
  9. Q4 13:48OHIO 4th & 9 at WMU 16, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 68.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.1%−2.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.2%
    81% to make
    Punt
    55.9%−12.3
    average punt
  10. Q4 8:12WMU 4th & 7 at WMU 17, down 9
    Numbers favored punt by 1.0 ptsWent for it · 15.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.2%−1.0
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    15.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 3:11OHIO 4th & 3 at WMU 18, up 16
    Close callKicked a field goal · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.8%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.5%−0.2
    79% to make
    Punt
    95.0%−1.7
    average punt
  12. Q4 0:28OHIO 4th & 11 at WMU 26, up 19
    Close callWent for it · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.9%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    99.2%
    64% to make
    Punt
    98.4%−0.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2OHIO made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 8:44OHIO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:23WMU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:59OHIO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:05WMU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 7:24OHIO Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.4%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OHIODrive 1TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 6:1641% → 44%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
59.1%
Sieh Bangura run for 6 yds to the Ohio 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+7
59.1%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sieh Bangura for 7 yds to the Ohio 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
59.1%
Sieh Bangura run for 3 yds to the Ohio 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+14
59.1%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 14 yds to the WMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
59.1%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 7 yds to the WMich 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+5
59.1%
Sieh Bangura run for 5 yds to the WMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
59.1%
Sieh Bangura run for 4 yds to the WMich 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 14
OPP 37
+18
59.1%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 18 yds to the WMich 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+18
59.1%
Kurtis Rourke run for 18 yds to the WMich 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
59.1%
Sieh Bangura run for no gain to the WMich 1Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
59.1%
Sieh Bangura run for no gain to the WMich 1Similar
Q1 8:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
55.9%
Sieh Bangura run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nathanial Vakos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 2TD
11 plays · 64 yds · 4:1557% → 61%
Q1 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
56.8%
Sean Tyler run for 2 yds to the WMich 38Similar
Q1 8:38
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+9
56.9%
Jack Salopek pass complete to Sean Tyler for 9 yds to the WMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
57.2%
Sean Tyler run for 6 yds to the Ohio 47Similar
Q1 8:38
2ND & 4
OPP 47
0
57.4%
Sean Tyler run for no gain to the Ohio 47Similar
Q1 8:38
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+6
57.3%
Jack Salopek pass complete to Blake Bosma for 6 yds to the Ohio 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:38
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
57.4%
PENALTY OHI Offside (Birchette,Justin) 5 yards from OHI41 to OHI36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:38
1ST & 5
OPP 36
-5
57.4%
PENALTY WMU False Start (Deatherage,Dylan) 5 yards from OHI36 to OHI41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:38
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
57.4%
Sean Tyler run for 5 yds to the Ohio 36Similar
Q1 8:38
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+28
57.4%
Jack Salopek pass complete to Jehlani Galloway for 28 yds to the Ohio 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
60.5%
Jack Salopek run for 8 yds for a TD, (Palmer Domschke KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 3TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 6:2441% → 50%
Q1 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
58.9%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 9 yds to the Ohio 34Similar
Q1 4:23
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
58.3%
Sieh Bangura run for 5 yds to the Ohio 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-10
58.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun Rourke,Kurtis pass complete deep middle to Kacmarek,Will for 16 yards to the WMU45 (Barnes,Zaire) PENALTY OHI Holding 10 yards from OHI39 to OHI29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:23
1ST & 20
OWN 29
+9
58.9%
Sieh Bangura run for 9 yds to the Ohio 38Similar
Q1 4:23
2ND & 11
OWN 38
+5
58.6%
PENALTY WMU Offside 5 yards from OHI38 to OHI43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:23
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+11
58.0%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 11 yds to the WMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
57.8%
Sieh Bangura run for 4 yds to the WMich 42Similar
Q1 4:23
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+11
57.8%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 11 yds to the WMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
56.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Nolan McCormick for 2 yds to the WMich 29Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+11
56.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sieh Bangura for 11 yds to the WMich 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
56.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 3 yds to the WMich 15Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+9
56.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 9 yds to the WMich 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
49.7%
Sieh Bangura run for 6 yds for a TD, (Nathanial Vakos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 4DOWNS
11 plays · 44 yds · 5:0552% → 49%
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
51.9%
Sean Tyler run for 5 yds to the WMich 18Similar
Q2 12:59
2ND & 5
OWN 18
0
52.0%
Jack Salopek pass complete to Blake Bosma for no gain to the WMich 18Similar
Q2 12:59
3RD & 5
OWN 18
+9
51.4%
Jack Salopek pass complete to Anthony Sambucci for 9 yds to the WMich 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
52.3%
Sean Tyler run for 8 yds to the WMich 35Similar
Q2 12:59
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+5
53.2%
Sean Tyler run for 5 yds to the WMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
53.2%
OHIO Penalty, Personal Foul (Justin Birchette) to the Ohio 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
54.0%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 4 yds to the Ohio 43Similar
Q2 12:59
2ND & 6
OPP 43
0
54.1%
Jack Salopek pass incomplete to Jehlani GallowaySimilar
Q2 12:59
3RD & 6
OPP 43
0
53.9%
La'Darius Jefferson run for no gain to the Ohio 43Similar
Q2 7:54
4TH & 6
OPP 43
0
49.1%
Jack Salopek pass incomplete to Anthony SambucciSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 5INT
3 plays · 39 yds · 1:1954% → 56%
Q2 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+20
46.0%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 20 yds to the WMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+19
45.6%
Nolan McCormick run for 19 yds to the WMich 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
44.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:2848% → 45%
Q2 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
47.8%
Sean Tyler run for 2 yds to the WMich 25Similar
Q2 6:35
2ND & 8
OWN 25
-6
47.8%
Jack Salopek sacked by Vonnie Watkins for a loss of 6 yards to the WMich 19 Jack Salopek fumbled, recovered by WMich Jacob Gideon , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 6:35
3RD & 14
OWN 19
0
46.7%
Jack Salopek pass incomplete to Sean TylerSimilar
Q2 5:07
4TH & 14
OWN 19
0
45.4%
Nick Mihalic punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Sam Wiglusz at the Ohio 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 7FG
12 plays · 52 yds · 3:1756% → 61%
Q2 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-5
44.5%
PENALTY OHI False Start (Meservy,Hagen) 5 yards from OHI39 to OHI34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:07
1ST & 15
OWN 34
+4
46.3%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 4 yds to the Ohio 38Similar
Q2 5:07
2ND & 11
OWN 38
+15
45.1%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 15 yds to the WMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
43.9%
Sieh Bangura run for 2 yds to the WMich 45Similar
Q2 5:07
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+2
43.9%
Sieh Bangura run for 2 yds to the WMich 43Similar
Q2 2:47
3RD & 6
OPP 43
+31
42.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Jacoby Jones for 31 yds to the WMich 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
41.5%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Sam WigluszSimilar
Q2 2:47
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+2
41.5%
Sieh Bangura run for 2 yds to the WMich 10Similar
Q2 2:47
3RD & 8
OPP 10
+1
41.9%
Kurtis Rourke run for 1 yd to the WMich 9Similar
Q2 1:50
4TH & 7
OPP 9
+26
38.9%
Nathanial Vakos 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 8TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:4540% → 52%
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
40.4%
Sean Tyler run for 1 yd to the WMich 26Similar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+74
51.7%
Jack Salopek pass complete to Corey Crooms for 74 yds for a TD, (Palmer Domschke KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 9FG
8 plays · 22 yds · 0:5450% → 57%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
49.6%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to James BosticSimilar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+15
50.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun Rourke,Kurtis sacked for loss of 12 yards to the OHI28 (Carter,Andre) PENALTY WMU Face Mask (Carter,Andre) 15 yards from OHI40 to WMU45, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
48.1%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sieh Bangura for 7 yds to the WMich 38Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 3
OPP 38
0
47.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Tyler FosterSimilar
Q2 1:00
3RD & 3
OPP 38
0
47.8%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Sam WigluszSimilar
Q2 0:06
4TH & 3
OPP 38
+55
43.0%
Nathanial Vakos 55 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:0047% → 47%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
47.0%
Sean Tyler run for 5 yds to the WMich 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 11DOWNS
11 plays · 59 yds · 3:5747% → 47%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
47.4%
Jack Salopek pass complete to Corey Crooms for 10 yds to the WMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
47.8%
Jack Salopek pass incomplete to Corey CroomsSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
47.6%
Jack Salopek pass complete to Corey Crooms for 5 yds to the WMich 40Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+9
48.6%
Jack Salopek pass complete to Anthony Sambucci for 9 yds to the WMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+16
50.2%
Jack Salopek pass complete to Anthony Sambucci for 16 yds to the Ohio 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+12
52.1%
Sean Tyler run for 12 yds to the Ohio 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
52.1%
Sean Tyler run for 6 yds to the Ohio 17Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 17
0
52.1%
Jack Salopek pass incomplete to Corey CroomsSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 17
+3
50.5%
Sean Tyler run for 3 yds to the Ohio 14Similar
Q3 11:03
4TH & 1
OPP 14
+2
47.4%
Sean Tyler run for 2 yds to the Ohio 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:0157% → 55%
Q3 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
43.0%
Sieh Bangura run for 3 yds to the Ohio 19Similar
Q3 11:03
2ND & 7
OWN 19
0
43.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Tyler FosterSimilar
Q3 11:03
3RD & 7
OWN 19
0
44.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to James BosticSimilar
Q3 10:02
4TH & 7
OWN 19
0
45.0%
Jack Wilson punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 13DOWNS
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:1261% → 60%
Q3 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
39.1%
Sieh Bangura run for 3 yds to the WMich 37Similar
Q3 10:02
2ND & 7
OPP 37
0
39.1%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Miles CrossSimilar
Q3 10:02
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+3
39.6%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sieh Bangura for 3 yds to the WMich 34Similar
Q3 8:50
4TH & 4
OPP 34
0
39.8%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Sam WigluszSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 14INT
7 plays · 47 yds · 3:2245% → 47%
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-5
45.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun Salopek,Jack pass incomplete short right to Bosma,Blake PENALTY WMU Ineligible Downfield on Pass 5 yards from WMU34 to WMU29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:50
1ST & 15
OWN 29
+12
44.4%
Jack Salopek pass complete to Anthony Sambucci for 12 yds to the WMich 41Similar
Q3 8:50
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+4
47.8%
Sean Tyler run for 4 yds to the WMich 37Similar
Q3 8:50
3RD & 7
OWN 37
+38
44.2%
Jack Salopek pass complete to Blake Bosma for 38 yds to the Ohio 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
50.4%
Jack Salopek run for 6 yds to the Ohio 19Similar
Q3 8:50
2ND & 4
OPP 19
0
50.4%
Sean Tyler run for no gain to the Ohio 19Similar
Q3 5:28
3RD & 4
OPP 19
0
46.7%
Jack Salopek pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 15MISSED FG
7 plays · 48 yds · 4:0963% → 67%
Q3 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
37.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Jacoby Jones for 5 yds to the Ohio 31Similar
Q3 5:28
2ND & 15
OWN 31
0
39.5%
Sieh Bangura run for no gain to the Ohio 31Similar
Q3 5:28
3RD & 15
OWN 31
+48
40.5%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to James Bostic for 48 yds to the WMich 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-7
34.6%
Kurtis Rourke sacked by Corvin Moment for a loss of 7 yards to the WMich 28Similar
Q3 5:28
2ND & 17
OPP 28
+2
35.3%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to James Bostic for 2 yds to the WMich 26Similar
Q3 5:28
3RD & 15
OPP 26
+10
36.7%
Kurtis Rourke run for 10 yds to the WMich 16Similar
Q3 1:19
4TH & 5
OPP 16
+33
33.5%
Nathanial Vakos 33 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 16INT
6 plays · 0 yds · 2:0640% → 37%
Q3 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-8
40.2%
Jack Salopek sacked by Zach Sanders for a loss of 8 yards to the WMich 12Similar
Q3 1:19
2ND & 18
OWN 12
0
39.7%
Jack Salopek pass incomplete to Corey CroomsSimilar
Q3 1:19
3RD & 18
OWN 12
+10
38.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun Salopek,Jack pass incomplete short left to Galloway,Jehlani PENALTY OHI Holding (Johnson,Ben) 10 yards from WMU12 to WMU22, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-7
39.6%
Jack Salopek sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the WMich 15Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 17
OWN 15
+5
39.1%
Sean Tyler run for 5 yds to the WMich 20Similar
Q4 14:13
3RD & 12
OWN 20
0
37.1%
Jack Salopek pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 17FG
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:2571% → 73%
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
28.8%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Sieh BanguraSimilar
Q4 14:13
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+1
28.9%
Kurtis Rourke run for 1 yd to the WMich 16Similar
Q4 14:13
3RD & 9
OPP 16
0
30.1%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Sam WigluszSimilar
Q4 13:48
4TH & 9
OPP 16
+33
26.7%
Nathanial Vakos 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 18INT
6 plays · 34 yds · 2:3628% → 31%
Q4 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
28.3%
Jack Salopek pass complete to Sean Tyler for 8 yds to the WMich 40Similar
Q4 13:48
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+5
30.2%
Sean Tyler run for 5 yds to the WMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+20
29.8%
Sean Tyler run for 20 yds to the Ohio 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:48
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
33.6%
Jalen Buckley run for 1 yd to the Ohio 34Similar
Q4 11:12
2ND & 9
OPP 34
0
30.8%
Jack Salopek pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 19FUMBLE
3 plays · 19 yds · 1:3080% → 82%
Q4 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
20.4%
Sieh Bangura run for 6 yds to the WMich 27Similar
Q4 11:12
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+3
20.3%
Sieh Bangura run for 3 yds to the WMich 24Similar
Q4 9:42
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+10
18.2%
Sieh Bangura run for 10 yds to the WMich 14 Sieh Bangura fumbled, recovered by WMich Zaire BarnesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 20DOWNS
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:3020% → 15%
Q4 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
19.7%
Jack Salopek pass complete to Corey Crooms for no gain to the WMich 14Similar
Q4 9:42
2ND & 10
OWN 14
-6
19.3%
Jack Salopek sacked by Kai Caesar for a loss of 6 yards to the WMich 8Similar
Q4 9:42
3RD & 16
OWN 8
+9
18.3%
Jack Salopek pass complete to Blake Bosma for 9 yds to the WMich 17Similar
Q4 8:12
4TH & 7
OWN 17
-9
15.3%
Jack Salopek sacked by Bryce Dugan for a loss of 9 yards to the WMich 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 21TD
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:4887% → 95%
Q4 8:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
12.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 7 yds to the WMich 1Similar
Q4 7:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
5.1%
Kurtis Rourke run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nathanial Vakos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 22INT
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:417% → 7%
Q4 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
6.5%
Jack Salopek pass incomplete to Jehlani GallowaySimilar
Q4 7:24
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+18
6.3%
Jack Salopek pass complete to Jehlani Galloway for 18 yds to the WMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
7.0%
Jack Salopek pass incomplete to Jehlani GallowaySimilar
Q4 6:43
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
6.5%
Jack Salopek pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 23FG
9 plays · 41 yds · 3:3295% → 99%
Q4 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
5.0%
Sieh Bangura run for 1 yd to the Ohio 40Similar
Q4 6:43
2ND & 11
OWN 40
+5
5.1%
Sieh Bangura run for 5 yds to the Ohio 45Similar
Q4 5:20
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+30
3.0%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Tyler Foster for 30 yds to the WMich 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
2.9%
Sieh Bangura run for 7 yds to the WMich 18Similar
Q4 5:20
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+1
2.9%
Sieh Bangura run for 1 yd to the WMich 17Similar
Q4 3:46
3RD & 2
OPP 17
+1
2.1%
Sieh Bangura run for 1 yd to the WMich 18Similar
Q4 3:11
4TH & 3
OPP 18
+35
1.0%
Nathanial Vakos 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 24INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:152% → 2%
Q4 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
1.9%
Jack Salopek pass incomplete to Jehlani GallowaySimilar
Q4 2:56
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
1.8%
Jack Salopek pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 25DOWNS
5 plays · -1 yds · 2:2899% → 99%
Q4 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
0.9%
Nolan McCormick run for 4 yds to the WMich 21Similar
Q4 2:56
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+2
0.9%
Nolan McCormick run for 2 yds to the WMich 23Similar
Q4 2:56
3RD & 8
OPP 23
+3
1.0%
Nolan McCormick run for 3 yds to the WMich 26Similar
Q4 0:28
4TH & 11
OPP 26
0
0.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to James BosticSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 26END OF GAME
2 plays · 17 yds · 0:281% → 1%
Q4 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+11
1.4%
Jalen Buckley run for 11 yds to the WMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
1.4%
Jalen Buckley run for 6 yds to the WMich 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:05
Jack Salopek pass complete to Corey Crooms for 74 yds for a TD, (Palmer Domschke KICK)
+11.3
TD · Q4 7:24
Kurtis Rourke run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nathanial Vakos KICK)
-7.6
TD · Q2 12:59
Sieh Bangura run for 6 yds for a TD, (Nathanial Vakos KICK)
-6.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com