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M-OH

Miami (OH) 13 at Bowling Green 17

BGSU
2022 · Week 7 · Oct 15, 2022 · Doyt L. Perry Stadium
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Win probability · BGSU
modelBGSU aheadM-OH aheadconfidence bandkey playBGSU scoreM-OH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:27 · Sami Sir punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jalen Walker at the BwGrn 43
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+26.0+13.00−13.0−26.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 69Pregame prior−8.5Home team on offense+3.5Garbage-time factor+0.6Score differential+0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:13: Harold Fannin Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD, (Mason Lawler KICK) — BGSU win probability +9.0 pts (now 52%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:31: Aveon Smith pass complete to Miles Marshall for 19 yds for a TD, (Graham Nicholson KICK) — M-OH win probability +15.9 pts (now 66%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 1:11: Jaison Patterson run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 33 — BGSU win probability +12.7 pts (now 49%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  4. TD · Q4 11:31: Ta'ron Keith run for 19 yds for a TD, (Mason Lawler KICK) — BGSU win probability +22.4 pts (now 72%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 7:10: Jaison Patterson run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 12 — BGSU win probability +11.9 pts (now 75%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BGSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8M-OH made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 10:53M-OH 4th & 12 at BGSU 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 64.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.6%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.7%
    68% to make
    Punt
    64.3%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:46BGSU 4th & 1 at BGSU 33, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    34.7%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:17BGSU 4th & 14 at BGSU 32, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.2%−0.4
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:50M-OH 4th & 7 at M-OH 43, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.0%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:09M-OH 4th & 2 at M-OH 28, up 3
    Close callPunted · 61.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.2%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:57BGSU 4th & 1 at BGSU 48, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    38.0%−1.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:38M-OH 4th & 19 at BGSU 41, down 4
    Close callPunted · 50.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.2%−0.8
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    50.1%
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    50.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:27BGSU 4th & 18 at BGSU 1, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.5%−4.8
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:21M-OH 4th & 3 at BGSU 21, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 62.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.1%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.4%−0.7
    74% to make
    Punt
    54.4%−7.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:46BGSU 4th & 9 at BGSU 43, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.2%−1.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:20M-OH 4th & 10 at M-OH 10, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.4%−1.5
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:44BGSU 4th & 4 at M-OH 4, down 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 35.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.3%−1.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    21.9%−13.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:51BGSU 4th & 4 at M-OH 13, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 43.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.2%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.9%−0.4
    85% to make
    Punt
    29.4%−13.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:52M-OH 4th & 9 at M-OH 21, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.0%−4.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:10M-OH 4th & 4 at BGSU 42, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.8 ptsPunted · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    29.7%−4.5
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    29.4%−4.8
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:23BGSU 4th & 14 at BGSU 34, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.3%−6.6
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.9%
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:38M-OH 4th & 7 at M-OH 28, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.1%
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    14.5%−2.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BGSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2M-OH made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 7:13BGSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:31M-OH Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 11:31BGSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.7%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
M-OHDrive 1FG
9 plays · 54 yds · 4:0266% → 64%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
34.3%
Keyon Mozee run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 23Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+3
34.3%
Kevin Davis run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 26Similar
Q1 14:55
3RD & 6
OWN 26
-9
34.3%
Aveon Smith run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 32 for a 1ST down MIAMI OH Penalty, unnecessary roughness (Rusty Feth) to the MiaOh 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+30
34.3%
Aveon Smith pass complete to Jalen Walker for 30 yds to the BwGrn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
34.3%
Kevin Davis run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 21Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 9
OPP 21
-3
34.3%
Aveon Smith sacked by Demetrius Hardamon for a loss of 3 yards to the BwGrn 24Similar
Q1 14:55
3RD & 12
OPP 24
0
34.3%
Aveon Smith pass incomplete to Kevin DavisSimilar
Q1 10:53
4TH & 12
OPP 24
+41
35.7%
Graham Nicholson 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 2PUNT
10 plays · 8 yds · 3:2936% → 36%
Q1 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
35.6%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Christian SimsSimilar
Q1 10:46
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
35.6%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Odieu HiliareSimilar
Q1 10:46
3RD & 10
OWN 24
+9
35.4%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Ta'ron Keith for 9 yds to the BwGrn 33Similar
Q1 10:46
4TH & 1
OWN 33
+3
35.4%
Matt McDonald run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
35.7%
Matt McDonald run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 42Similar
Q1 10:46
2ND & 16
OWN 30
+8
35.6%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Tyrone Broden for 8 yds to the BwGrn 38Similar
Q1 10:46
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+4
35.6%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Christian Sims for 4 yds to the BwGrn 42Similar
Q1 7:17
4TH & 14
OWN 32
0
36.3%
Sami Sir punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaOh 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 2:2764% → 62%
Q1 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-7
36.2%
Aveon Smith sacked by Walter Haire for a loss of 7 yards to the MiaOh 33Similar
Q1 7:17
2ND & 17
OWN 33
+3
36.8%
Kevin Davis run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 36Similar
Q1 7:17
3RD & 14
OWN 36
+7
36.9%
Aveon Smith run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 43Similar
Q1 4:50
4TH & 7
OWN 43
0
37.9%
Dom Dzioban punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 4INT
14 plays · 67 yds · 5:2437% → 41%
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
37.1%
Ta'ron Keith run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 15Similar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 15
OWN 15
+13
37.0%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 13 yds to the BwGrn 28Similar
Q1 4:50
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+4
36.9%
Ta'ron Keith run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:50
1ST & 15
OWN 27
0
37.1%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Jamal JohnsonSimilar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 15
OWN 27
+1
37.0%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Ta'ron Keith for 1 yd to the BwGrn 28Similar
Q1 4:50
3RD & 14
OWN 28
+20
36.7%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Tyrone Broden for 20 yds to the BwGrn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+15
38.2%
No Huddle McDonald,Matt pass incomplete short left to Fannin Jr.,Harold PENALTY MIAMI Pass Interference (Caldwell,Ambe') 15 yards from BGSU48 to MIAMI37, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
38.4%
Jamal Johnson run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 28Similar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 1
OPP 28
-1
38.9%
Matt McDonald sacked by Austin Ertl for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 29Similar
Q1 4:50
3RD & 2
OPP 29
+6
38.3%
Jaison Patterson run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
38.9%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Tyrone BrodenSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+2
41.0%
Jaison Patterson run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 21Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 21
+8
40.2%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Christian Sims for 8 yds to the MiaOh 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:26
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
41.3%
Matt McDonald pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 2:1762% → 61%
Q2 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
38.2%
Keyon Mozee run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 18Similar
Q2 14:26
2ND & 12
OWN 18
-5
38.4%
PENALTY MIAMI False Start (Holskey,Reid) 5 yards from MIAMI18 to MIAMI13. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:26
2ND & 17
OWN 13
+10
38.4%
Tyre Shelton run for 10 yds to the MiaOh 23Similar
Q2 14:26
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+5
38.6%
Aveon Smith run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 28Similar
Q2 12:09
4TH & 2
OWN 28
+11
39.3%
Dom Dzioban punt for 44 yds , Jake Rogers returns for 11 yds to the BwGrn 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 6TD
12 plays · 61 yds · 4:5639% → 52%
Q2 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
39.1%
Jaison Patterson run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 44Similar
Q2 12:09
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+4
40.1%
Jaison Patterson run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 48Similar
Q2 12:09
3RD & 1
OWN 48
0
39.7%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Cavon CroomSimilar
Q2 10:57
4TH & 1
OWN 48
+12
40.8%
Matt McDonald run for 12 yds to the MiaOh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
41.9%
No Huddle McDonald,Matt pass incomplete short left to Fannin Jr.,Harold PENALTY MIAMI Pass Interference (Saunders Jr.,John) 15 yards from MIAMI40 to MIAMI25, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
42.9%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 8 yds to the MiaOh 17Similar
Q2 10:57
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+4
42.9%
Camden Orth run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+8
42.9%
Jamal Johnson run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 5Similar
Q2 10:57
2ND & 2
OPP 5
+4
42.9%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 4 yds to the MiaOh 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
43.1%
Matt McDonald run for no gain to the MiaOh 1Similar
Q2 7:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
52.2%
Harold Fannin Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD, (Mason Lawler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 24 yds · 4:3550% → 45%
Q2 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
50.1%
Tyre Shelton run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 34Similar
Q2 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
48.4%
Tyre Shelton run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 48Similar
Q2 7:13
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+1
48.1%
Kevin Davis run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 49Similar
Q2 7:13
3RD & 8
OPP 49
+17
49.0%
Aveon Smith pass complete to Jalen Walker for 17 yds to the BwGrn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-9
46.6%
Aveon Smith sacked by Darren Anders for a loss of 9 yards to the BwGrn 41Similar
Q2 7:13
2ND & 19
OPP 41
+3
49.3%
Kenny Tracy run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 38Similar
Q2 7:13
3RD & 16
OPP 38
+3
50.1%
Kevin Davis run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 41Similar
Q2 2:38
4TH & 19
OPP 41
0
54.9%
Dom Dzioban punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Jake Rogers at the BwGrn 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:1152% → 50%
Q2 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
52.3%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Christian SimsSimilar
Q2 2:38
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+2
52.1%
Jamal Johnson run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 11Similar
Q2 2:24
3RD & 8
OWN 11
-10
51.8%
Matt McDonald sacked by Corey Suttle for a loss of 10 yards to the BwGrn 1 Matt McDonald fumbled, recovered by MiaOh Kameren Stewart , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 1:27
4TH & 18
OWN 1
0
50.4%
Sami Sir punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jalen Walker at the BwGrn 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 9TD
4 plays · 43 yds · 0:5649% → 66%
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
51.4%
Aveon Smith pass complete to Mac Hippenhammer for 3 yds to the BwGrn 40Similar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+5
51.2%
Aveon Smith pass complete to Jack Coldiron for 5 yds to the BwGrn 35Similar
Q2 1:27
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+16
50.1%
Aveon Smith run for 16 yds to the BwGrn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
34.2%
Aveon Smith pass complete to Miles Marshall for 19 yds for a TD, (Graham Nicholson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
40.0%
Kneel down by Bowling Green at BGSU24 for loss of 1 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 11FG
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:3165% → 68%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
34.9%
Aveon Smith run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 23Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 5
OPP 23
+2
34.9%
Kevin Davis run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 21Similar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 3
OPP 21
0
36.0%
Aveon Smith pass incomplete to Reginald VirgilSimilar
Q3 13:21
4TH & 3
OPP 21
+39
31.7%
Graham Nicholson 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 12PUNT
9 plays · 29 yds · 3:2835% → 34%
Q3 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
34.8%
Jaison Patterson run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 18Similar
Q3 13:14
2ND & 6
OWN 18
+12
34.8%
Matt McDonald pass complete to CJ Lewis for 12 yds to the BwGrn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
35.3%
Jaison Patterson run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 35Similar
Q3 13:14
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+7
36.6%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Cavon Croom for 7 yds to the BwGrn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
37.3%
Jamal Johnson run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 45Similar
Q3 13:14
2ND & 7
OWN 45
-2
37.6%
Matt McDonald sacked by Michael Dowell for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 43Similar
Q3 13:14
3RD & 9
OWN 43
0
35.2%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to CJ LewisSimilar
Q3 9:46
4TH & 9
OWN 43
0
34.0%
Sami Sir punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:2667% → 66%
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
32.9%
Keyon Mozee run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 12Similar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 8
OWN 12
0
33.2%
Aveon Smith pass incomplete to Mac HippenhammerSimilar
Q3 9:46
3RD & 8
OWN 12
+2
34.0%
Aveon Smith pass complete to Jalen Walker for 2 yds to the MiaOh 10Similar
Q3 8:20
4TH & 10
OWN 10
0
33.6%
Dom Dzioban punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaOh 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 14FG
9 plays · 44 yds · 3:3639% → 43%
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
38.8%
Jaison Patterson run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 46Similar
Q3 8:20
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+6
38.8%
Jamal Johnson run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 40Similar
Q3 8:20
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+24
38.4%
Harold Fannin Jr. run for 24 yds to the MiaOh 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+8
40.4%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Christian Sims for 8 yds to the MiaOh 8Similar
Q3 8:20
2ND & 2
OPP 8
+5
40.4%
Jaison Patterson run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
40.4%
Jaison Patterson run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 4Similar
Q3 8:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
40.4%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Christian SimsSimilar
Q3 8:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
38.6%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Odieu HiliareSimilar
Q3 4:44
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
43.1%
Mason Lawler 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 15FUMBLE
8 plays · 22 yds · 3:2662% → 64%
Q3 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
38.4%
Aveon Smith pass incomplete to Miles MarshallSimilar
Q3 4:37
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+5
38.7%
Tyre Shelton run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 17Similar
Q3 4:37
3RD & 5
OWN 17
+11
39.8%
Aveon Smith pass complete to Mac Hippenhammer for 11 yds to the MiaOh 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
37.7%
Aveon Smith pass complete to Jack Coldiron for 7 yds to the MiaOh 35Similar
Q3 4:37
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+2
36.4%
Kenny Tracy run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 37Similar
Q3 4:37
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+1
36.7%
Aveon Smith run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-4
36.2%
Aveon Smith sacked by Demetrius Hardamon for a loss of 4 yards to the MiaOh 34 Aveon Smith fumbled, recovered by MiaOh Dontrez Brown , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 16MISSED FG
6 plays · 21 yds · 1:2049% → 44%
Q3 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
49.0%
Jaison Patterson run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 33Similar
Q3 1:11
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+14
48.9%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Tyrone Broden for 14 yds to the MiaOh 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
49.0%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Tyrone BrodenSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+6
49.4%
Jaison Patterson run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 13Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 13
0
46.7%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Levi GazarekSimilar
Q4 14:51
4TH & 4
OPP 13
+31
43.9%
Mason Lawler 31 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:5962% → 58%
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
38.5%
PENALTY MIAMI False Start (Brekke,John) 5 yards from MIAMI20 to MIAMI15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 15
OWN 15
+6
38.9%
Keyon Mozee run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 21Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
38.8%
Aveon Smith pass incomplete to Jack ColdironSimilar
Q4 14:51
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
40.4%
Aveon Smith pass incomplete to Jalen WalkerSimilar
Q4 13:52
4TH & 9
OWN 21
0
42.3%
Dom Dzioban punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 18TD
6 plays · 55 yds · 2:2146% → 72%
Q4 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
45.7%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Odieu HiliareSimilar
Q4 13:52
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+11
43.6%
Matt McDonald pass complete to CJ Lewis for 11 yds to the MiaOh 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:52
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
47.4%
Jamal Johnson run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 41Similar
Q4 13:52
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+17
47.3%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 17 yds to the MiaOh 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:52
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
49.8%
Matt McDonald pass complete to CJ Lewis for 5 yds to the MiaOh 19Similar
Q4 11:31
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+19
72.2%
Ta'ron Keith run for 19 yds for a TD, (Mason Lawler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 33 yds · 4:2136% → 37%
Q4 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
64.1%
Tyre Shelton run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 27Similar
Q4 11:31
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
63.7%
Kevin Davis run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 26Similar
Q4 11:31
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+26
65.8%
Aveon Smith run for 26 yds to the BwGrn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
58.5%
Tyre Shelton run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 45Similar
Q4 11:31
2ND & 7
OPP 45
-5
58.6%
PENALTY MIAMI Delay Of Game (Smith,Aveon) 5 yards from BGSU45 to BGSU50. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:31
2ND & 12
50
+5
61.1%
Kenny Tracy run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 45Similar
Q4 11:31
3RD & 7
OPP 45
+3
59.2%
Aveon Smith run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 42Similar
Q4 7:10
4TH & 4
OPP 42
0
63.4%
Dom Dzioban punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Jake Rogers at the BwGrn 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 3:4775% → 84%
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
75.3%
Jaison Patterson run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 12Similar
Q4 7:10
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+13
75.0%
Jaison Patterson run for 13 yds to the BwGrn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
77.5%
Ta'ron Keith run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 41Similar
Q4 7:10
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+1
78.1%
Matt McDonald run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 40Similar
Q4 7:10
3RD & 8
OWN 40
-6
75.6%
Matt McDonald sacked by Corey Suttle for a loss of 6 yards to the BwGrn 34Similar
Q4 3:23
4TH & 14
OWN 34
0
84.2%
Sami Sir punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jalen Walker at the MiaOh 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 21DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:4523% → 20%
Q4 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
77.2%
Aveon Smith run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 28Similar
Q4 3:23
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
76.3%
Aveon Smith pass incomplete to Jack ColdironSimilar
Q4 3:23
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
78.3%
Aveon Smith pass incomplete to Matt BjorsonSimilar
Q4 2:38
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+6
80.2%
Aveon Smith run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 22END OF GAME
9 plays · 15 yds · 2:3891% → 96%
Q4 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
90.5%
Jaison Patterson run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 29Similar
Q4 2:32
2ND & 5
OPP 29
0
91.4%
Jaison Patterson run for no gain to the MiaOh 29Similar
Q4 2:27
3RD & 5
OPP 29
+6
90.6%
Jaison Patterson run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
91.7%
Jaison Patterson run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 17Similar
Q4 1:07
2ND & 4
OPP 17
-1
95.5%
Kneel down by Bowling Green at MIAMI18 for loss of 1 yards.Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 18
-1
96.1%
Kneel down by Bowling Green at MIAMI19 for loss of 1 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:31
Ta'ron Keith run for 19 yds for a TD, (Mason Lawler KICK)
+22.4
TD · Q2 0:31
Aveon Smith pass complete to Miles Marshall for 19 yds for a TD, (Graham Nicholson KICK)
-15.9
KEY PLAY · Q3 1:11
Jaison Patterson run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 33
+12.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com