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KENT

Kent State 31 at Toledo 52

TOL
2022 · Week 7 · Oct 15, 2022 · Glass Bowl
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Win probability · TOL
modelTOL aheadKENT aheadconfidence bandkey playTOL scoreKENT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 11:16 · Josh Smith punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Adam Beale at the KntSt 45
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.0+16.50−16.5−33.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 100Pregame prior+8.7Home team on offense−3.4Score differential−2.5Garbage-time factor−0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:56: Collin Schlee run for 10 yds for a TD, (Andrew Glass KICK) — KENT win probability +10.4 pts (now 56%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:21: Dequan Finn pass complete to Jerjuan Newton for 36 yds for a TD, (Thomas Cluckey KICK) — TOL win probability +6.9 pts (now 58%) (top driver: TOL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:52: Dequan Finn pass complete to Mikel Barkley for 39 yds for a TD, (Thomas Cluckey KICK) — TOL win probability +12.2 pts (now 68%) (top driver: TOL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:38: Dequan Finn pass complete to Jamal Turner for 7 yds for a TD, (Thomas Cluckey KICK) — TOL win probability +18.1 pts (now 86%) (top driver: TOL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:11: Dequan Finn pass complete to Jerjuan Newton for 41 yds for a TD, (Thomas Cluckey KICK) — TOL win probability +7.8 pts (now 94%) (top driver: TOL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TOL made the numbers' call on 4 of 5KENT made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 11:35TOL 4th & 5 at TOL 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.7%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:14KENT 4th & 3 at KENT 32, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.8%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:30TOL 4th & 19 at TOL 22, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.5%−1.9
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:23KENT 4th & 10 at KENT 32, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.2%−2.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:56KENT 4th & 10 at KENT 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.3%−2.0
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:56TOL 4th & 1 at KENT 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    53.2%−3.1
    28% to make
    Punt
    53.7%−2.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:00KENT 4th & 3 at TOL 3, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 40.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.3%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.0%−2.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    32.1%−10.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:12TOL 4th & 6 at TOL 46, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.0%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:16KENT 4th & 14 at KENT 16, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.9%−3.7
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:43TOL 4th & 5 at KENT 25, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 57.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.3%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.1%−0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    48.2%−9.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:25KENT 4th & 3 at TOL 18, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 42.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.0%−0.9
    79% to make
    Punt
    31.3%−11.7
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:05KENT 4th & 11 at KENT 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%−0.6
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.7%
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:22KENT 4th & 21 at TOL 26, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%−0.5
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    1.1%
    64% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TOL made the numbers' call on 6 of 7KENT made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 12:56KENT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:56KENT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 9:40KENT Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 7:18TOL Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 14:56KENT Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 12:34TOL Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 6:21TOL Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 3:52TOL Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 0:38TOL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 13:11TOL Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 7:39TOL Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KENTDrive 1TD
6 plays · 53 yds · 1:5130% → 31%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
69.7%
Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the KntSt 49Similar
Q1 14:47
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+17
69.7%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Dante Cephas for 17 yds to the Toled 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
69.7%
Collin Schlee run for 8 yds to the Toled 26Similar
Q1 14:47
2ND & 2
OPP 26
+17
69.7%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Dante Cephas for 17 yds to the Toled 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
69.7%
Marquez Cooper run for 6 yds to the Toled 3Similar
Q1 12:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
68.6%
Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds for a TD, (Andrew Glass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1969% → 68%
Q1 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
68.8%
Dequan Finn pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:54
2ND & 10
OWN 28
-1
68.8%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the Toled 27Similar
Q1 12:54
3RD & 11
OWN 27
+6
68.7%
Dequan Finn run for 6 yds to the Toled 33Similar
Q1 11:35
4TH & 5
OWN 33
0
68.0%
Jonathon Batzke punt for 43 yds, downed at the KntSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 3TD
6 plays · 76 yds · 1:3932% → 35%
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+38
68.1%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Ja'Shaun Poke for 38 yds to the Toled 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
67.8%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Devontez Walker for 9 yds to the Toled 29Similar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 1
OPP 29
+8
67.8%
Marquez Cooper run for 8 yds to the Toled 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
67.8%
Marquez Cooper run for 4 yds to the Toled 17Similar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+5
67.8%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Kris Leach for 5 yds to the Toled 12Similar
Q1 9:56
3RD & 1
OPP 12
+12
65.4%
Collin Schlee run for 12 yds for a TD, (Andrew Glass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 4FUMBLE
1 play · 4 yds · 0:0066% → 66%
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
65.6%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Jerjuan Newton for 4 yds Jerjuan Newton fumbled, recovered by KntSt Montre MillerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 5TD
1 play · 19 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
62.0%
Marquez Cooper run for 19 yds for a TD, (Andrew Glass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 6TD
6 plays · 43 yds · 2:1466% → 64%
Q1 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
65.7%
Jacquez Stuart run for 4 yds to the KntSt 39Similar
Q1 9:32
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+7
65.7%
Dequan Finn run for 7 yds to the KntSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+15
65.9%
FINN, Dequan pass up the middle incomplete intended for KUHL, Lenny thrown to the KSU0. PENALTY KSU Pass Interference on BOLDEN, Nico enforced 15 yards to the KSU17 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-17
65.9%
run for a loss of 17 yards to the KntSt 34Similar
Q1 9:32
2ND & 27
OPP 34
+7
65.7%
Micah Kelly run for 7 yds to the KntSt 27Similar
Q1 7:18
3RD & 20
OPP 27
+27
63.9%
Dequan Finn run for 27 yds for a TD, (Thomas Cluckey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:0437% → 38%
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
62.6%
Bryan Bradford run for 5 yds to the KntSt 30Similar
Q1 7:18
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
62.5%
Bryan Bradford run for 2 yds to the KntSt 32Similar
Q1 7:18
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
62.6%
Collin Schlee pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:14
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
61.9%
Josh Smith punt for 48 yds , Adam Beale returns for no gain to the Toled 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 2:4463% → 59%
Q1 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
62.6%
Dequan Finn run for 3 yds to the Toled 23Similar
Q1 6:14
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+8
62.6%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Devin Maddox for 8 yds to the Toled 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
62.7%
Micah Kelly run for 6 yds to the Toled 37Similar
Q1 6:14
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+1
63.0%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Devin Maddox for 1 yd to the Toled 38Similar
Q1 6:14
3RD & 3
OWN 38
-5
63.1%
TOLEDO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Toled 33Similar
Q1 6:14
3RD & 8
OWN 33
-11
62.6%
Dequan Finn sacked for a loss of 11 yards to the Toled 22Similar
Q1 3:30
4TH & 19
OWN 22
0
58.9%
Jonathon Batzke punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Raymond James at the KntSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 9TD
7 plays · 58 yds · 3:3442% → 56%
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
58.4%
Marquez Cooper run for 11 yds to the Toled 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
58.4%
Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the Toled 44Similar
Q1 3:30
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+20
58.4%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Ja'Shaun Poke for 20 yds to the Toled 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+14
58.3%
Marquez Cooper run for 14 yds to the Toled 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
58.3%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Ja'Shaun Poke for a loss of 1 yard to the Toled 11Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+1
54.3%
Collin Schlee run for 1 yd to the Toled 10Similar
Q2 14:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
43.9%
Collin Schlee run for 10 yds for a TD, (Andrew Glass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 10TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:2247% → 55%
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
46.9%
Dequan Finn pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
46.8%
KENT ST Penalty, Offsides (Zayin West) to the Toled 30Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+9
47.4%
Peny Boone run for 9 yds to the Toled 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
47.9%
Dequan Finn pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+22
47.4%
Dequan Finn run for 22 yds to the KntSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
48.5%
Peny Boone run for 7 yds to the KntSt 32Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+2
48.9%
Peny Boone run for 2 yds to the KntSt 30Similar
Q2 14:56
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+3
48.7%
Micah Kelly run for 3 yds to the KntSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
55.4%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Devin Maddox for 27 yds for a TD, (Thomas Cluckey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 17 yds · 3:0548% → 51%
Q2 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
52.2%
Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the KntSt 18Similar
Q2 12:28
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+14
52.1%
Marquez Cooper run for 14 yds to the KntSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
51.8%
Marquez Cooper run for no gain to the KntSt 32Similar
Q2 12:28
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
51.9%
SCHLEE, Collin pass to the right complete for 61 yards to CEPHAS, Dante caught at the TOL24 and advanced to the TOL7 (TURNER, Nick;BAUER, Nate). PENALTY KSU Personal Foul on CEPHAS, Dante declined KSU Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on MARSHALL, Marcellus enforced 5 yards from the KSU32 to the KSU27 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 12:28
2ND & 15
OWN 27
-5
52.3%
KENT ST Penalty, False Start (Sam Allan) to the KntSt 22Similar
Q2 12:28
2ND & 20
OWN 22
-1
52.3%
Marquez Cooper run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 21Similar
Q2 12:28
3RD & 21
OWN 21
+11
52.7%
Collin Schlee run for 11 yds to the KntSt 32Similar
Q2 9:23
4TH & 10
OWN 32
0
48.7%
Josh Smith punt for 53 ydsSimilar
Q2 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+15
48.6%
BOONE, Peny rush to the left for a gain of 4 yards to the TOL19 (EVANS, JoJo;WEST, CJ). PENALTY KSU Personal Foul on WEST, Zayin enforced 15 yards from the KSU00 to the TOL15 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 12TD
7 plays · 85 yds · 3:0249% → 58%
Q2 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+15
48.6%
KENT ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Zayin West) to the Toled 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
49.1%
Dequan Finn run for 6 yds to the Toled 40Similar
Q2 9:23
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+4
50.1%
Peny Boone run for 4 yds to the Toled 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
50.5%
Dequan Finn run for 9 yds to the KntSt 47Similar
Q2 9:23
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+8
50.8%
Micah Kelly run for 8 yds to the KntSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
50.8%
Micah Kelly run for 3 yds to the KntSt 36Similar
Q2 6:21
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+36
57.7%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Jerjuan Newton for 36 yds for a TD, (Thomas Cluckey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2147% → 45%
Q2 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
53.3%
Collin Schlee pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:17
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
53.7%
Collin Schlee pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:17
3RD & 10
OWN 31
0
54.7%
Collin Schlee pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:56
4TH & 10
OWN 31
0
55.1%
Josh Smith punt for 21 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 14TD
5 plays · 52 yds · 2:0457% → 68%
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
56.7%
Dequan Finn run for 7 yds to the KntSt 45Similar
Q2 5:56
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+1
57.5%
Peny Boone run for 1 yd to the KntSt 44Similar
Q2 5:56
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+1
57.2%
Peny Boone run for 1 yd to the KntSt 43Similar
Q2 5:56
4TH & 1
OPP 43
+4
56.0%
Peny Boone run for 4 yds to the KntSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
68.2%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Mikel Barkley for 39 yds for a TD, (Thomas Cluckey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 15FG
15 plays · 62 yds · 3:4838% → 45%
Q2 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
61.9%
Marquez Cooper run for 5 yds to the KntSt 40Similar
Q2 3:48
2ND & 5
OWN 40
0
60.5%
Collin Schlee pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:48
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+13
61.4%
Collin Schlee run for 13 yds to the Toled 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
59.9%
Marquez Cooper run for 5 yds to the Toled 42Similar
Q2 3:48
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+6
59.6%
Marquez Cooper run for 6 yds to the Toled 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
59.9%
Collin Schlee pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:48
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+12
59.9%
Marquez Cooper run for 12 yds to the Toled 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+17
58.9%
Marquez Cooper run for 17 yds to the Toled 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
55.5%
Collin Schlee run for 2 yds to the Toled 5Similar
Q2 0:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
55.6%
Marquez Cooper run for no gain to the Toled 5Similar
Q2 0:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
57.2%
Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the Toled 3Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
55.0%
Andrew Glass 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 1:4759% → 57%
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+14
58.9%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Mikel Barkley for 14 yds to the Toled 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
61.2%
Dequan Finn pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:59
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
59.8%
Jacquez Stuart run for no gain to the Toled 42Similar
Q3 14:59
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+4
58.6%
Dequan Finn run for 4 yds to the Toled 46Similar
Q3 13:12
4TH & 6
OWN 46
0
56.6%
Jonathon Batzke punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:5644% → 42%
Q3 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-3
55.9%
Marquez Cooper run for a loss of 3 yards to the KntSt 17Similar
Q3 13:12
2ND & 13
OWN 17
-9
56.4%
Collin Schlee sacked by Jamal Hines for a loss of 9 yards to the KntSt 8Similar
Q3 13:12
3RD & 22
OWN 8
+8
58.0%
Marquez Cooper run for 8 yds to the KntSt 16Similar
Q3 11:16
4TH & 14
OWN 16
0
58.3%
Josh Smith punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Adam Beale at the KntSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 18FG
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:3360% → 65%
Q3 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
60.3%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Devin Maddox for 3 yds to the KntSt 42Similar
Q3 11:16
2ND & 7
OPP 42
0
60.2%
Dequan Finn pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:16
3RD & 7
OPP 42
+12
59.5%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Devin Maddox for 12 yds to the KntSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
61.5%
Peny Boone run for 5 yds to the KntSt 25Similar
Q3 11:16
2ND & 5
OPP 25
-2
61.5%
Dequan Finn run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 27Similar
Q3 11:16
3RD & 7
OPP 27
+2
59.8%
Dequan Finn run for 2 yds to the KntSt 25Similar
Q3 8:43
4TH & 5
OPP 25
+43
64.5%
Thomas Cluckey 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 19MISSED FG
11 plays · 57 yds · 3:1840% → 43%
Q3 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
60.1%
run for 15 yds to the KntSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
57.8%
Marquez Cooper run for no gain to the KntSt 40Similar
Q3 8:43
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+9
58.5%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Devontez Walker for 9 yds to the KntSt 49Similar
Q3 8:43
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+2
56.9%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Devontez Walker for 2 yds to the Toled 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-2
56.3%
Marquez Cooper run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 49Similar
Q3 8:43
2ND & 12
OWN 49
+10
57.9%
SCHLEE, Collin pass to the right incomplete intended for CEPHAS, Dante thrown to the TOL15. PENALTY TOL Holding on MITCHELL, Quinyon enforced 10 yards from the KSU49 to the TOL41 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+16
56.3%
Marquez Cooper run for 16 yds to the Toled 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
54.8%
Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the Toled 22Similar
Q3 8:43
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+2
54.7%
Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the Toled 20Similar
Q3 8:43
3RD & 5
OPP 20
+2
56.2%
Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the Toled 18Similar
Q3 5:25
4TH & 3
OPP 18
+35
57.2%
Andrew Glass 35 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 20TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 4:4762% → 86%
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+24
62.4%
Micah Kelly run for 24 yds to the Toled 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
65.6%
Micah Kelly run for 3 yds to the Toled 47Similar
Q3 5:25
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+16
66.0%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Jerjuan Newton for 16 yds to the KntSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
66.7%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Thomas Zsiros for 9 yds to the KntSt 28Similar
Q3 5:25
2ND & 1
OPP 28
0
67.7%
Dequan Finn pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:25
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+3
66.2%
Dequan Finn run for 3 yds to the KntSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
67.7%
Dequan Finn run for 4 yds to the KntSt 21Similar
Q3 5:25
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+5
67.7%
Peny Boone run for 5 yds to the KntSt 16Similar
Q3 5:25
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+5
66.2%
Peny Boone run for 5 yds to the KntSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
67.7%
Peny Boone run for 4 yds to the KntSt 7Similar
Q3 0:38
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+7
85.7%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Jamal Turner for 7 yds for a TD, (Thomas Cluckey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 21INT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:3222% → 15%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
78.4%
Bryan Bradford run for 2 yds to the KntSt 31Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+4
78.2%
Bryan Bradford run for 4 yds to the KntSt 35Similar
Q4 14:28
3RD & 4
OWN 35
0
78.4%
Collin Schlee pass interceptedSimilar
Q4 14:28
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
84.8%
TOLEDO Penalty, False Start (Devan Rogers) to the Toled 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 22TD
3 plays · 70 yds · 1:1785% → 94%
Q4 14:28
1ST & 15
OWN 25
+28
84.5%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Jerjuan Newton for 28 yds to the KntSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:28
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
86.5%
Peny Boone run for 6 yds to the KntSt 41Similar
Q4 13:11
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+41
94.4%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Jerjuan Newton for 41 yds for a TD, (Thomas Cluckey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:029% → 8%
Q4 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
91.0%
Collin Schlee pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:07
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-1
91.4%
Marquez Cooper run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 29Similar
Q4 13:07
3RD & 11
OWN 29
0
91.6%
Collin Schlee pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:05
4TH & 11
OWN 29
0
92.1%
Josh Smith punt for 19 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 24TD
8 plays · 48 yds · 4:2695% → 99%
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
94.8%
Peny Boone run for 4 yds to the KntSt 44Similar
Q4 12:05
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+2
94.8%
Devin Maddox run for 2 yds to the KntSt 42Similar
Q4 12:05
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+10
94.6%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Jamal Turner for 10 yds to the KntSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
94.8%
Peny Boone run for 6 yds to the KntSt 26Similar
Q4 12:05
2ND & 4
OPP 26
+5
94.8%
Peny Boone run for 5 yds to the KntSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+12
94.8%
Micah Kelly run for 12 yds to the KntSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
94.8%
Micah Kelly run for 1 yd to the KntSt 8Similar
Q4 7:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.0%
Dequan Finn pass complete to Mikel Barkley for 8 yds for a TD, (Thomas Cluckey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 25DOWNS
12 plays · 43 yds · 3:111% → 1%
Q4 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
98.9%
Collin Schlee pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:33
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+12
99.0%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Devontez Walker for 12 yds to the KntSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+19
98.9%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Dante Cephas for 19 yds to the Toled 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
98.9%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Dante Cephas for 9 yds to the Toled 29Similar
Q4 7:33
2ND & 1
OPP 29
0
98.7%
Collin Schlee pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:33
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+1
98.8%
Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the Toled 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+7
98.7%
Marquez Cooper run for 7 yds to the Toled 21Similar
Q4 7:33
2ND & 3
OPP 21
+6
98.7%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Dante Cephas for 6 yds to the Toled 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-4
98.7%
Luke Floriea run for a loss of 4 yards to the Toled 19Similar
Q4 7:33
2ND & 14
OPP 19
0
98.8%
Collin Schlee pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:33
3RD & 14
OPP 19
-7
98.9%
Collin Schlee run for a loss of 7 yards to the Toled 26Similar
Q4 4:22
4TH & 21
OPP 26
0
99.3%
Collin Schlee pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 26Uncategorized
6 plays · 13 yds · 4:2299% → 100%
Q4 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
99.2%
Peny Boone run for 7 yds to the Toled 33Similar
Q4 4:22
2ND & 3
OWN 33
+1
99.2%
Peny Boone run for 1 yd to the Toled 34Similar
Q4 4:22
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+2
99.2%
Peny Boone run for 2 yds to the Toled 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
99.2%
Peny Boone run for 2 yds to the Toled 38Similar
Q4 4:22
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+1
99.3%
Micah Kelly run for 1 yd to the Toled 39Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 39
-5
99.6%
TOLEDO Penalty, False Start (Kendall Major) to the Toled 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:38
Dequan Finn pass complete to Jamal Turner for 7 yds for a TD, (Thomas Cluckey KICK)
+18.1
TD · Q2 3:52
Dequan Finn pass complete to Mikel Barkley for 39 yds for a TD, (Thomas Cluckey KICK)
+12.2
TD · Q2 14:56
Collin Schlee run for 10 yds for a TD, (Andrew Glass KICK)
-10.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com