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NIU

Northern Illinois 39 at Eastern Michigan 10

EMU
2022 · Week 7 · Oct 15, 2022 · Rynearson Stadium
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Win probability · EMU
modelEMU aheadNIU aheadconfidence bandkey playEMU scoreNIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGFGFGFGFGTDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 5:27 · Samson Evans run for 1 yd to the NoIll 33 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingPregame prior
+58.0+29.00−29.0−58.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 72Home team on offense−6.6Score differential−3.6Garbage-time factor−2.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1Pregame prior+1.3
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 0:06: John Richardson 39 yd FG GOOD — NIU win probability +15.9 pts (now 81%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 4:56: John Richardson 28 yd FG GOOD — NIU win probability +12.7 pts (now 82%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 4:56: Timeout EASTRN MICHIGAN, clock 04:56 — EMU win probability +5.0 pts (now 23%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:48: Antario Brown run for 6 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — NIU win probability +9.7 pts (now 96%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 11:18: John Richardson 33 yd FG GOOD — NIU win probability +2.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
EMU made the numbers' call on 8 of 10NIU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 12:12NIU 4th & 4 at NIU 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.3%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:56NIU 4th & 11 at NIU 41, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.8%−0.6
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:42EMU 4th & 7 at EMU 17, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.7%−0.4
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:06EMU 4th & 4 at NIU 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 55.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    55.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    54.9%−0.8
    45% to make
    Punt
    54.4%−1.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:03NIU 4th & 4 at EMU 23, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 47.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.0%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.8%−0.1
    70% to make
    Punt
    43.5%−3.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:29EMU 4th & 17 at EMU 42, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.3%−1.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:27NIU 4th & 10 at NIU 41, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.5%−0.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:27EMU 4th & 1 at NIU 34, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    43.3%−2.2
    47% to make
    Punt
    42.5%−3.0
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:36EMU 4th & 17 at NIU 40, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.3%−0.8
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.2%
    34% to make
    Punt
    38.5%−0.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:05EMU 4th & 2 at EMU 39, down 13
    Close callPunted · 35.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.2%−0.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:42NIU 4th & 9 at NIU 21, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.2%−3.0
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:42EMU 4th & 10 at NIU 28, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.4%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.2%
    60% to make
    Punt
    28.4%−4.8
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:56NIU 4th & 4 at EMU 10, up 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 70.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.0%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.5%−0.5
    88% to make
    Punt
    58.9%−11.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:53EMU 4th & 10 at EMU 26, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.7%−1.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:18NIU 4th & 11 at EMU 15, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.5%−1.0
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.5%
    83% to make
    Punt
    91.0%−4.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:56EMU 4th & 15 at EMU 23, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.4%
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:07EMU 4th & 12 at NIU 35, down 29
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%−<0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%
    45% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NIU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 10:49NIU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    41.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 0:48NIU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    91.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    91.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 7:14NIU Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NIUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:4448% → 47%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+13
52.3%
Harrison Waylee run for 13 yds to the NoIll 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
52.3%
Antario Brown run for no gain to the NoIll 36Similar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+7
52.3%
Justin Lynch run for 7 yds to the NoIll 43Similar
Q1 14:56
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+1
52.3%
Antario Brown run for 1 yd to the NoIll 42Similar
Q1 12:12
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
52.7%
Tom Foley punt for 53 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 2INT TD
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:2353% → 51%
Q1 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+4
52.7%
Jaylon Jackson run for 4 yds to the EMich 9Similar
Q1 12:12
2ND & 6
OWN 9
+4
52.6%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 4 yds to the EMich 5Similar
Q1 10:49
3RD & 10
OWN 5
0
50.9%
James Ester 0 Yd Interception Return (John Richardson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 3TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0051% → 51%
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
50.5%
Andreas Paaske 75 Yd pass from Taylor Powell (Jesus Gomez Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 3:3349% → 51%
Q1 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
50.6%
Antario Brown run for 2 yds to the NoIll 31Similar
Q1 10:29
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+3
50.6%
Justin Lynch run for 3 yds to the NoIll 28Similar
Q1 10:29
3RD & 11
OWN 28
+14
50.9%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Cole Tucker for 14 yds to the NoIll 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-6
50.3%
Rocky Lombardi sacked by Jose Ramirez for a loss of 6 yards to the NoIll 36Similar
Q1 10:29
2ND & 16
OWN 36
+5
50.7%
Harrison Waylee run for 5 yds to the NoIll 41Similar
Q1 10:29
3RD & 11
OWN 41
0
50.6%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Shemar ThorntonSimilar
Q1 6:56
4TH & 11
OWN 41
0
49.4%
Tom Foley punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Dylan Drummond at the EMich 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 2:1448% → 47%
Q1 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
48.4%
Samson Evans run for 1 yd to the EMich 15Similar
Q1 6:56
2ND & 9
OWN 15
0
48.3%
Samson Evans run for no gain to the EMich 15Similar
Q1 6:56
3RD & 9
OWN 15
+2
48.1%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 2 yds to the EMich 17Similar
Q1 4:42
4TH & 7
OWN 17
0
46.8%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Cole Tucker at the NoIll 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 6TD
3 plays · 55 yds · 0:3953% → 53%
Q1 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
47.2%
Justin Lynch pass complete to Kacper Rutkiewicz for 8 yds to the EMich 47Similar
Q1 4:03
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+47
47.2%
Antario Brown 47 Yd Run (John Richardson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 7DOWNS
10 plays · 24 yds · 2:5047% → 48%
Q1 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
47.4%
Jaylon Jackson run for 11 yds to the EMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
47.7%
Jaylon Jackson run for 2 yds to the EMich 41Similar
Q1 3:56
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+4
48.0%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 4 yds to the EMich 45Similar
Q1 3:56
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+14
48.0%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Gunnar Oakes for 14 yds to the NoIll 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
48.6%
Jaylon Jackson run for 4 yds to the NoIll 37Similar
Q1 3:56
2ND & 6
OPP 37
0
48.6%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Tanner KnueSimilar
Q1 3:56
3RD & 6
OPP 37
+2
48.5%
Samson Evans run for 2 yds to the NoIll 35Similar
Q1 1:06
4TH & 4
OPP 35
-13
48.1%
Taylor Powell sacked by Devonte O'Malley for a loss of 13 yards to the NoIll 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 8FG
6 plays · 29 yds · 2:0354% → 56%
Q1 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
46.2%
PENALTY EMU Offside (Crawford,Jordan) 5 yards from NIU48 to EMU47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:06
1ST & 5
OPP 47
+15
45.9%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Joe Sparacio) to the EMich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
45.0%
Antario Brown run for 4 yds to the EMich 25Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+2
45.0%
Antario Brown run for 2 yds to the EMich 23Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 23
0
45.3%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Shemar ThorntonSimilar
Q2 14:03
4TH & 4
OPP 23
+41
44.2%
John Richardson 41 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 1:2744% → 42%
Q2 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
43.5%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 3 yds to the EMich 38Similar
Q2 13:56
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+11
44.1%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 11 yds to the EMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
44.5%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
Q2 13:56
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
44.2%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
Q2 13:56
3RD & 10
OWN 49
0
43.7%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Chop Block ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 12:29
4TH & 17
OWN 42
0
42.1%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 10PUNT
13 plays · 29 yds · 7:0256% → 61%
Q2 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
44.1%
Harrison Waylee run for no gain to the NoIll 12Similar
Q2 12:29
2ND & 10
OWN 12
0
44.2%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, Illegal Formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 12:29
3RD & 6
OWN 16
+10
44.6%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Cole Tucker for 10 yds to the NoIll 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-10
43.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun Waylee,Harrison rush left for 3 yards gain to the NIU29 (Benson,Brandon; Sparacio,Joe) PENALTY NIU Holding 10 yards from NIU26 to NIU16. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:29
1ST & 20
OWN 16
+4
44.1%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 4 yds to the NoIll 20Similar
Q2 12:29
2ND & 16
OWN 20
-5
44.2%
PENALTY NIU False Start (Lippe,J.J.) 5 yards from NIU20 to NIU15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:29
2ND & 21
OWN 15
+14
44.2%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Cole Tucker for 14 yds to the NoIll 29Similar
Q2 12:29
3RD & 7
OWN 29
+12
44.1%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Cole Tucker for 12 yds to the NoIll 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
42.9%
Harrison Waylee run for 1 yd to the NoIll 42Similar
Q2 12:29
2ND & 9
OWN 42
-7
43.0%
Rocky Lombardi sacked by Jose Ramirez for a loss of 7 yards to the NoIll 35Similar
Q2 12:29
3RD & 16
OWN 35
+6
44.6%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Mason Blakemore for 6 yds to the NoIll 41Similar
Q2 5:27
4TH & 10
OWN 41
0
38.9%
Tom Foley punt for 26 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 11MISSED FG
14 plays · 27 yds · 4:5139% → 36%
Q2 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+12
38.6%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 12 yds to the EMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
39.7%
Jaylon Jackson run for 3 yds to the EMich 48Similar
Q2 5:27
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+6
40.0%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Jaylon Jackson for 6 yds to the NoIll 46Similar
Q2 5:27
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+3
40.1%
Jaylon Jackson run for 3 yds to the NoIll 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:27
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
40.6%
Jaylon Jackson run for 4 yds to the NoIll 39Similar
Q2 5:27
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+2
40.5%
Jaylon Jackson run for 2 yds to the NoIll 37Similar
Q2 5:27
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+3
40.4%
Jaylon Jackson run for 3 yds to the NoIll 34Similar
Q2 5:27
4TH & 1
OPP 34
+1
39.4%
Samson Evans run for 1 yd to the NoIll 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:27
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
41.6%
Jaylon Jackson run for 3 yds to the NoIll 30Similar
Q2 5:27
2ND & 7
OPP 30
0
41.6%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
Q2 5:27
3RD & 7
OPP 30
-10
40.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun Powell,Taylor rush left for 1 yard gain to the NIU29 (Dolphin,Jaden) PENALTY EMU Holding (Bates Jr.,Richard) 10 yards from NIU30 to NIU40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:27
3RD & 17
OPP 40
0
39.2%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Sebastian TolandSimilar
Q2 0:36
4TH & 17
OPP 40
+58
35.8%
Jesus Gomez 58 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 12FG
7 plays · 39 yds · 0:3062% → 81%
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+26
37.8%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Kacper Rutkiewicz for 26 yds to the EMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
36.0%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Cole TuckerSimilar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+6
36.2%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Harrison Waylee for 6 yds to the EMich 28Similar
Q2 0:14
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+7
34.5%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 7 yds to the EMich 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+39
18.6%
John Richardson 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 17 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+17
31.4%
Jaylon Jackson run for 17 yds to the EMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:4933% → 32%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
33.4%
Jaylon Jackson run for 1 yd to the EMich 30Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 11
OWN 30
-9
32.9%
Taylor Powell sacked by Devonte O'Malley for a loss of 9 yards to the EMich 21Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 20
OWN 21
+18
31.8%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 18 yds to the EMich 39Similar
Q3 13:05
4TH & 2
OWN 39
0
32.1%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 61 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:2372% → 72%
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
28.3%
Antario Brown run for 1 yd to the NoIll 19Similar
Q3 13:05
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+2
28.6%
Antario Brown run for 2 yds to the NoIll 21Similar
Q3 13:05
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
29.0%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Cole TuckerSimilar
Q3 11:42
4TH & 9
OWN 21
0
28.5%
Tom Foley punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Dylan Drummond at the EMich 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 16FG
6 plays · 30 yds · 1:0032% → 33%
Q3 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+30
31.8%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 30 yds to the NoIll 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
34.1%
Jaylon Jackson run for no gain to the NoIll 28Similar
Q3 11:42
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
34.0%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Jaylon JacksonSimilar
Q3 11:42
3RD & 10
OPP 28
0
32.2%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
Q3 10:42
4TH & 10
OPP 28
+46
32.7%
Jesus Gomez 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 17FG
12 plays · 62 yds · 5:4069% → 82%
Q3 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+13
31.4%
Harrison Waylee run for 13 yds to the NoIll 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
30.2%
Harrison Waylee run for 1 yd to the NoIll 42Similar
Q3 10:36
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+14
30.3%
Harrison Waylee run for 14 yds to the EMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
30.1%
Harrison Waylee run for 4 yds to the EMich 40Similar
Q3 10:36
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+24
29.9%
Justin Lynch run for 24 yds to the EMich 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
29.5%
Antario Brown run for no gain to the EMich 16Similar
Q3 10:36
2ND & 10
OPP 16
-10
29.5%
Shotgun Brown,Antario rush right for 11 yards gain to the EMU05 (Scandrett,Quentavius; Scott,Joshua) PENALTY NIU Holding (Tewes,Tristen) 10 yards from EMU16 to EMU26. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:36
2ND & 20
OPP 26
+8
30.0%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Cole Tucker for 8 yds to the EMich 18Similar
Q3 10:36
3RD & 12
OPP 18
+8
30.5%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Kacper Rutkiewicz for 8 yds to the EMich 10Similar
Q3 4:56
4TH & 4
OPP 10
+28
17.9%
John Richardson 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:5823% → 21%
Q3 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
22.8%
Jaylon Jackson run for no gain to the EMich 26Similar
Q3 4:51
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
22.5%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Tanner KnueSimilar
Q3 4:51
3RD & 10
OWN 26
0
22.0%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Tanner KnueSimilar
Q3 3:53
4TH & 10
OWN 26
+3
21.2%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 32 yds , Cole Tucker returns for 3 yds to the EMich 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 19TD
7 plays · 45 yds · 3:0585% → 95%
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
14.7%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Brandon Benson) to the EMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
14.5%
Harrison Waylee run for 7 yds to the EMich 23Similar
Q3 3:53
2ND & 3
OPP 23
+8
14.2%
Antario Brown run for 8 yds to the EMich 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
14.1%
Antario Brown run for 5 yds to the EMich 10Similar
Q3 3:53
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+4
14.1%
Antario Brown run for 4 yds to the EMich 6Similar
Q3 0:48
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+6
4.4%
Antario Brown run for 6 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
Q3 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
5.0%
PENALTY EMU Face Mask (Sparacio,Joe) 15 yards from NIU35 to NIU50. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 20FG
10 plays · 12 yds · 3:4296% → 98%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
4.1%
Mason Blakemore run for 2 yds to the EMich 25Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+1
4.1%
Justin Lynch run for 1 yd to the EMich 24Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 24
+10
4.3%
Justin Lynch run for 10 yds to the EMich 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
4.1%
Antario Brown run for no gain to the EMich 14Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 14
-10
4.1%
Shotgun Lynch,Justin rush left for 3 yards gain to the EMU11 (Peavy,T.J.) PENALTY NIU Holding (Tewes,Tristen) 10 yards from EMU14 to EMU24. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 20
OPP 24
+5
4.2%
Harrison Waylee run for 5 yds to the EMich 19Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 15
OPP 19
+4
4.4%
Antario Brown run for 4 yds to the EMich 15Similar
Q4 11:18
4TH & 11
OPP 15
+33
2.2%
John Richardson 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 2:191% → 1%
Q4 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
1.2%
Jaylon Jackson run for 5 yds to the EMich 33Similar
Q4 11:15
2ND & 5
OWN 33
0
1.2%
Jaylon Jackson run for no gain to the EMich 33Similar
Q4 11:15
3RD & 5
OWN 33
-10
1.1%
Taylor Powell sacked by Michael Kennedy for a loss of 10 yards to the EMich 23Similar
Q4 8:56
4TH & 15
OWN 23
0
1.0%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 62 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 22TD
5 plays · 85 yds · 1:4299% → 100%
Q4 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
1.5%
Harrison Waylee run for 4 yds to the NoIll 19Similar
Q4 8:56
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+5
1.5%
Harrison Waylee run for 5 yds to the NoIll 24Similar
Q4 7:14
3RD & 1
OWN 24
+76
0.2%
Harrison Waylee run for 76 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 23DOWNS
6 plays · 30 yds · 1:070% → 0%
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+42
0.1%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Jaylon Jackson for 42 yds to the NoIll 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
0.1%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Darius LassiterSimilar
Q4 7:14
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+2
0.1%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Tanner Knue for 2 yds to the NoIll 35Similar
Q4 7:14
3RD & 12
OPP 35
0
0.1%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
Q4 6:07
4TH & 12
OPP 35
-10
0.1%
Taylor Powell sacked by Izayah Green-May for a loss of 10 yards to the NoIll 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 24END OF GAME
12 plays · 22 yds · 6:07100% → 100%
Q4 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
0.2%
Harrison Waylee run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 6:07
2ND & 5
50
+5
0.2%
Harrison Waylee run for 5 yds to the EMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
0.2%
Antario Brown run for 1 yd to the EMich 44Similar
Q4 4:41
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+6
0.1%
Mason Blakemore run for 6 yds to the EMich 38Similar
Q4 4:41
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+4
0.1%
Mason Blakemore run for 4 yds to the EMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
0.1%
Mason Blakemore run for 1 yd to the EMich 33Similar
Q4 4:41
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+4
0.1%
Mason Blakemore run for 4 yds to the EMich 29Similar
Q4 1:49
3RD & 5
OPP 29
+5
0.1%
Justin Lynch run for 5 yds to the EMich 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
0.1%
Mason Blakemore run for 1 yd to the EMich 23Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+10
0.1%
Justin Lynch run for 10 yds to the EMich 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q2 0:06
John Richardson 39 yd FG GOOD
-15.9
FG · Q3 4:56
John Richardson 28 yd FG GOOD
-12.7
TD · Q3 0:48
Antario Brown run for 6 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-9.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com