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CMU

Central Michigan 28 at Akron 21

AKR
2022 · Week 7 · Oct 15, 2022 · InfoCision Stadium
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Win probability · AKR
modelAKR aheadCMU aheadconfidence bandkey playAKR scoreCMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 15:00 · N.Gettman punts 44 yards to CMC 29, Center-K.Bauman. Downed by C.Thomas.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 113Pregame prior−10.1Home team on offense−11.6Garbage-time factor−5.3Score differential−3.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:30: M.Lukes rushed to AKR End Zone for 1 yards. M.Lukes for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — CMU win probability +7.5 pts (now 81%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 4:25: D.Irons pass complete to CMC 14. Catch made by S.Jacques-Louis at CMC 14. Gain of 14 yards. S.Jacques-Louis for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — AKR win probability +13.4 pts (now 28%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 6:52: C.Price rushed to CMC End Zone for 1 yards. C.Price for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — AKR win probability +32.1 pts (now 60%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 6:41: M.Lukes rushed to CMC 27 for 6 yards. Tackled by K.Martin at CMC 27. — CMU win probability +13.4 pts (now 54%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:02: C.Price rushed to CMC 37 for -5 yards. C.Price FUMBLES. Fumble RECOVERED by CMC-T.Incoom at CMC 37. T.Incoom for yards, TOUCHDOWN. — CMU win probability +30.8 pts (now 67%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
AKR made the numbers' call on 8 of 9CMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 12:25CMU 4th & 3 at AKR 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    75.2%−0.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    75.3%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:04AKR 4th & 6 at AKR 42, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.7%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:27CMU 4th & 15 at CMU 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.7%−0.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:42AKR 4th & 2 at AKR 37, up 7
    Close callPunted · 33.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.9%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:04CMU 4th & 3 at CMU 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.6%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.7%
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:38AKR 4th & 9 at AKR 12, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.5%−0.8
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:53AKR 4th & 9 at AKR 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.7%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:21AKR 4th & 9 at CMU 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.7%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.0%
    72% to make
    Punt
    30.8%−2.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:54CMU 4th & 2 at AKR 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.1%
    54% to convert
    Field goal
    67.1%−1.0
    89% to make
    Punt
    62.5%−5.6
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:21AKR 4th & 7 at CMU 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.6%−0.7
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.3%
    72% to make
    Punt
    21.9%−5.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:40AKR 4th & 1 at AKR 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    15.1%−1.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:13CMU 4th & 4 at AKR 17, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 77.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.0%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.8%−0.2
    80% to make
    Punt
    70.1%−7.0
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00AKR 4th & 17 at AKR 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.6%−4.0
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.6%
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:00CMU 4th & 15 at CMU 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.4%−3.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.5%
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:38AKR 4th & 18 at AKR 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.5%−3.4
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:00CMU 4th & 4 at CMU 38, up 7
    Close callPunted · 81.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.8%−0.4
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:02CMU 4th & 19 at CMU 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.5%−14.6
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
AKR made the numbers' call on 3 of 3CMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 14:35AKR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:04CMU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:30CMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:30CMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:25AKR Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 6:52AKR Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.4%−1.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
AKRDrive 1TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:2516% → 17%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
16.4%
D.Irons steps back to pass. D.Irons pass incomplete intended for T.Banks.Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+22
16.4%
D.Irons pass complete to AKR 25. Catch made by C.Price at AKR 25. Gain of 22 yards. Tackled by J.Sims at AKR 47.Similar
Q1 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+53
16.7%
D.Irons rushed to CMC End Zone for 53 yards. D.Irons for 53 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 2DOWNS
6 plays · 26 yds · 1:5983% → 82%
Q1 14:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
16.8%
M.Bailey rushed to CMC 39 for 4 yards. Tackled by T.Terry; K.Thomas at CMC 39.Similar
Q1 14:01
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+14
17.0%
M.Bailey rushed to AKR 47 for 14 yards. Tackled by B.Arslanian at AKR 47.Similar
Q1 13:49
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
17.1%
D.Richardson pass complete to AKR 47. Catch made by C.Carriere at AKR 47. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by K.Martin at AKR 43.Similar
Q1 13:20
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+3
17.4%
M.Bailey rushed to AKR 40 for 3 yards. Tackled by B.Arslanian; V.Jones at AKR 40.Similar
Q1 12:50
3RD & 3
OPP 40
0
17.8%
J.Wilson rushed to AKR 40 for 0 yards. Tackled by AKR at AKR 40.Similar
Q1 12:25
4TH & 3
OPP 40
+1
18.1%
M.Bailey rushed to AKR 39 for 1 yards. Tackled by J.Hooks; K.Thomas at AKR 39.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:4519% → 20%
Q1 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
18.8%
D.Irons pass complete to AKR 39. Catch made by C.Price at AKR 39. Gain of 4 yards. Pushed out of bounds by K.Moretti at AKR 43.Similar
Q1 11:19
2ND & 5
OWN 43
-3
19.3%
D.Irons pass complete to AKR 43. Catch made by C.Price at AKR 43. Gain of -3 yards. Tackled by CMC at AKR 40.Similar
Q1 10:52
3RD & 9
OWN 40
0
19.5%
D.Irons steps back to pass. D.Irons pass incomplete intended for D.George. PENALTY on CMC-CMC, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q1 10:50
3RD & 3
OWN 45
-3
19.6%
C.Price rushed to AKR 42 for -3 yards. Pushed out of bounds by T.Jones at AKR 42.Similar
Q1 10:04
4TH & 6
OWN 42
+45
20.0%
N.Gettman punts 45 yards to CMC 13, Center-K.Bauman. Fair catch by J.Williams.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 4PUNT
10 plays · 22 yds · 4:3080% → 76%
Q1 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
20.0%
D.Richardson steps back to pass. D.Richardson pass incomplete intended for C.Carriere.Similar
Q1 9:51
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+3
20.2%
M.Lukes rushed to CMC 16 for 3 yards. Tackled by J.Woods; D.Lewis at CMC 16.Similar
Q1 9:11
3RD & 7
OWN 16
+12
20.9%
D.Richardson pass complete to CMC 16. Catch made by M.Lukes at CMC 16. Gain of 12 yards. Tackled by B.Arslanian, J.Hooks at CMC 28.Similar
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
20.9%
D.Richardson pass complete to CMC 28. Catch made by M.Bailey at CMC 28. Gain of 8 yards. Pushed out of bounds by AKR at CMC 36.Similar
Q1 7:57
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+4
21.4%
M.Lukes rushed to CMC 40 for 4 yards. Tackled by J.Woods at CMC 40.Similar
Q1 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
21.8%
M.Lukes rushed to CMC 41 for yards. Tackled by AKR at CMC 41. PENALTY on CMC-J.Kimbrough, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q1 7:23
1ST & 20
OWN 30
+6
22.2%
M.Lukes rushed to CMC 36 for 6 yards. Tackled by AKR at CMC 36.Similar
Q1 6:48
2ND & 14
OWN 36
-8
22.7%
D.Richardson steps back to pass. D.Richardson sacked at CMC 28 for -8 yards (B.Arslanian)Similar
Q1 6:00
3RD & 22
OWN 28
+7
23.7%
D.Richardson pass complete to CMC 28. Catch made by J.Wilson at CMC 28. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by AKR at CMC 35.Similar
Q1 5:27
4TH & 15
OWN 35
+9
24.3%
L.Elzinga punts 55 yards to AKR 10, Center-F.Lama. T.Grimes returned punt from the AKR 10. Tackled by CMC at AKR 19.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 2:2624% → 26%
Q1 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+10
24.3%
D.Irons pass complete to AKR 19. Catch made by D.George at AKR 19. Gain of 10 yards. Pushed out of bounds by J.Sims at AKR 29.Similar
Q1 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
24.8%
C.Price rushed to AKR 31 for 2 yards. Tackled by D.Cochran at AKR 31.Similar
Q1 4:09
2ND & 8
OWN 31
0
25.2%
D.Irons scrambles to AKR 31 for 0 yards. Tackled by L.Johnson at AKR 31.Similar
Q1 3:25
3RD & 8
OWN 31
+6
25.6%
D.Irons scrambles to AKR 37 for 6 yards. Tackled by E.Conoran at AKR 37.Similar
Q1 2:42
4TH & 2
OWN 37
+38
26.2%
N.Gettman punts 38 yards to CMC 25, Center-K.Bauman. Fair catch by J.Williams.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2674% → 72%
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
26.2%
D.Richardson pass complete to CMC 25. Catch made by C.Carriere at CMC 25. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by J.Hooks at CMC 31.Similar
Q1 1:47
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
26.5%
M.Lukes rushed to CMC 32 for 1 yards. M.Lukes FUMBLES, forced by C.Harper. Fumble RECOVERED by CMC-D.Heinzen at CMC 32. Tackled by AKR at CMC 32.Similar
Q1 1:11
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
27.4%
D.Richardson steps back to pass. D.Richardson pass incomplete intended for F.Hogan.Similar
Q1 1:04
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+46
28.0%
L.Elzinga punts 46 yards to AKR 22, Center-F.Lama. T.Grimes returned punt from the AKR 22. Tackled by D.Kent at AKR 38. PENALTY on AKR-AKR, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:1628% → 27%
Q1 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
28.0%
D.Irons steps back to pass. D.Irons pass incomplete intended for A.Adams.Similar
Q1 0:48
2ND & 10
OWN 11
0
28.0%
D.Irons steps back to pass. D.Irons pass incomplete intended for T.Brank.Similar
Q1 0:44
3RD & 10
OWN 11
+1
27.6%
J.Norrils rushed to AKR 12 for 1 yards. Tackled by J.Bristol at AKR 12.Similar
Q1 0:38
4TH & 9
OWN 12
+43
27.3%
N.Gettman punts 43 yards to CMC 45, Center-K.Bauman. Fair catch by J.Williams.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 8TD
2 plays · 55 yds · 0:2773% → 77%
Q1 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+18
27.3%
D.Richardson pass complete to CMC 45. Catch made by M.Lukes at CMC 45. Gain of 18 yards. Tackled by T.Terry at AKR 37.Similar
Q1 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
22.7%
D.Richardson pass complete to AKR 37. Catch made by M.Lukes at AKR 37. Gain of 37 yards. M.Lukes for 37 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 2:0125% → 25%
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
24.8%
D.Irons scrambles to AKR 26 for 0 yards. Tackled by R.Kent; J.Whiteside at AKR 26.Similar
Q2 14:12
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+2
25.0%
D.Irons pass complete to AKR 26. Catch made by C.Price at AKR 26. Gain of 2 yards. Tackled by D.Kent; J.Bristol at AKR 28.Similar
Q2 13:36
3RD & 9
OWN 28
-1
24.8%
D.Irons steps back to pass. D.Irons sacked at AKR 27 for -1 yards (D.Stepney)Similar
Q2 12:53
4TH & 9
OWN 27
+55
24.9%
N.Gettman punts 55 yards to CMC 18, Center-K.Bauman. J.Williams returned punt from the CMC 18. J.Williams FUMBLES. Fumble RECOVERED by AKR-T.Rieger at CMC 23. Tackled by CMC at CMC 23. PENALTY on CMC-J.Sims, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, declined.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 10MISSED FG
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:2228% → 27%
Q2 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-7
27.9%
D.Irons steps back to pass. D.Irons sacked at CMC 30 for -7 yards (M.Heldman)Similar
Q2 12:11
2ND & 17
OPP 30
+8
27.5%
D.Irons pass complete to CMC 30. Catch made by A.Adams at CMC 30. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by J.Whiteside at CMC 22.Similar
Q2 11:33
3RD & 9
OPP 22
0
28.2%
D.Irons steps back to pass. D.Irons pass incomplete intended for A.Williams.Similar
Q2 11:21
4TH & 9
OPP 22
0
27.3%
N.Perez 40 yard field goal attempt is no good, Center-K.Bauman, Holder-K.Romenick.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 11TD
12 plays · 78 yds · 4:4674% → 81%
Q2 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
26.0%
M.Lukes rushed to CMC 25 for 3 yards. Tackled by Z.Morton at CMC 25.Similar
Q2 10:47
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+1
26.2%
M.Lukes rushed to CMC 32 for 1 yards. Tackled by K.Martin; T.Terry at CMC 32. PENALTY on CMC-J.Kimbrough, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted.Similar
Q2 10:30
2ND & 16
OWN 16
+17
26.7%
M.Lukes rushed to CMC 33 for 17 yards. Tackled by K.Martin at CMC 33.Similar
Q2 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+39
26.3%
M.Lukes rushed to AKR 28 for 39 yards. Pushed out of bounds by J.Richardson at AKR 28. PENALTY on AKR-T.Durant, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, declined.Similar
Q2 9:49
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+7
24.5%
C.Brown rushed to AKR 21 for 7 yards. Pushed out of bounds by T.Durant, J.Woods at AKR 21.Similar
Q2 9:05
2ND & 3
OPP 21
+4
24.8%
C.Brown rushed to AKR 17 for 4 yards. Tackled by R.Holt, R.Johnson at AKR 17.Similar
Q2 8:31
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
25.1%
M.Lukes rushed to AKR 13 for 4 yards. Tackled by T.Terry, A.Behm at AKR 13.Similar
Q2 7:48
2ND & 6
OPP 13
0
24.6%
D.Richardson steps back to pass. D.Richardson pass incomplete intended for M.Lukes.Similar
Q2 7:43
3RD & 6
OPP 13
+4
25.3%
D.Richardson pass complete to AKR 13. Catch made by N.Koenigsknecht at AKR 13. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by C.Amankwaa at AKR 9.Similar
Q2 6:54
4TH & 2
OPP 9
+8
26.6%
J.Rolston rushed to AKR 1 for 8 yards. Pushed out of bounds by V.Jones at AKR 1.Similar
Q2 6:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
19.2%
M.Lukes rushed to AKR End Zone for 1 yards. M.Lukes for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 12MISSED FG
11 plays · 47 yds · 4:5822% → 23%
Q2 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
21.7%
D.Irons pass complete to AKR 31. Catch made by S.Jacques-Louis at AKR 31. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by J.Sims at AKR 35.Similar
Q2 5:47
2ND & 6
OWN 35
-2
22.3%
C.Price rushed to AKR 33 for -2 yards. Tackled by L.Johnson at AKR 33.Similar
Q2 5:13
3RD & 8
OWN 33
+14
21.3%
D.Irons pass complete to AKR 33. Catch made by D.George at AKR 33. Gain of 14 yards. Pushed out of bounds by D.Kent at AKR 47.Similar
Q2 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
23.5%
D.Irons pass complete to AKR 47. Catch made by T.Banks at AKR 47. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by J.Davis at CMC 45.Similar
Q2 4:07
2ND & 2
OPP 45
-7
24.2%
D.Irons steps back to pass. D.Irons sacked at AKR 48 for -7 yards (K.Moretti; Q.Lee)Similar
Q2 3:47
3RD & 9
OWN 48
+12
22.5%
J.Undercuffler pass complete to AKR 48. Catch made by S.Jacques-Louis at AKR 48. Gain of 12 yards. Pushed out of bounds by L.Wiley at CMC 40. PENALTY on CMC-L.Wiley, Personal Foul / Defense, 15 yards, accepted.Similar
Q2 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
25.3%
C.Price rushed to CMC 22 for 3 yards. Tackled by J.Whiteside, J.Bristol at CMC 22.Similar
Q2 2:50
2ND & 7
OPP 22
-10
25.3%
J.Undercuffler steps back to pass. J.Undercuffler sacked at CMC 32 for -10 yards (K.Moretti)Similar
Q2 2:10
3RD & 17
OPP 32
+10
23.0%
J.Undercuffler scrambles to CMC 22 for 10 yards. Tackled by K.Moretti at CMC 22.Similar
Q2 1:21
4TH & 7
OPP 22
0
23.4%
N.Perez 41 yard field goal attempt is no good, Center-K.Bauman, Holder-K.Romenick.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 13END OF HALF
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:5579% → 80%
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
20.9%
D.Richardson steps back to pass. D.Richardson pass incomplete intended for C.Carriere.Similar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+7
21.1%
M.Lukes rushed to CMC 29 for 7 yards. Tackled by B.Arslanian, J.Woods at CMC 29.Similar
Q2 0:28
3RD & 3
OWN 29
+5
20.7%
M.Lukes rushed to CMC 34 for 5 yards. Tackled by B.Arslanian at CMC 34.Similar
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-4
20.3%
D.Richardson steps back to pass. D.Richardson sacked at CMC 30 for -4 yards (Z.Morton)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 14TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 4:2380% → 88%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
20.4%
M.Lukes rushed to CMC 44 for 9 yards. Tackled by V.Jones at CMC 44.Similar
Q3 14:28
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+12
19.5%
M.Lukes rushed to AKR 44 for 12 yards. Tackled by T.Terry at AKR 44.Similar
Q3 13:57
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-2
19.3%
D.Richardson pass complete to AKR 46. Catch made by F.Hogan at AKR 46. Gain of -2 yards. Tackled by AKR at AKR 46.Similar
Q3 13:10
2ND & 12
OPP 46
0
19.7%
C.Brown rushed to AKR 46 for 0 yards. Tackled by B.Arslanian; Z.Morton at AKR 46.Similar
Q3 12:47
3RD & 12
OPP 46
+16
20.5%
D.Richardson scrambles to AKR 30 for 16 yards. Tackled by J.Woods at AKR 30.Similar
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+11
19.5%
D.Richardson pass complete to AKR 30. Catch made by J.Wilson at AKR 30. Gain of 11 yards. Tackled by K.Martin at AKR 19.Similar
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
19.2%
C.Brown rushed to AKR 14 for 5 yards. Tackled by D.Lewis, R.Johnson at AKR 14.Similar
Q3 11:18
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+5
19.2%
M.Lukes rushed to AKR 9 for 5 yards. Tackled by J.Woods, B.McCoy at AKR 9.Similar
Q3 10:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
11.7%
M.Lukes rushed to AKR End Zone for 9 yards. M.Lukes for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 15TD
13 plays · 80 yds · 5:5214% → 28%
Q3 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-8
14.1%
D.Irons steps back to pass. D.Irons sacked at AKR 12 for -8 yards (R.Stuart)Similar
Q3 9:24
2ND & 18
OWN 12
+12
13.1%
D.Irons pass complete to AKR 12. Catch made by D.George at AKR 12. Gain of 12 yards. Pushed out of bounds by J.Sims at AKR 24.Similar
Q3 9:11
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+5
13.1%
D.Irons pass complete to AKR 24. Catch made by C.Price at AKR 24. Gain of 5 yards. Pushed out of bounds by J.Whiteside at AKR 29.Similar
Q3 8:40
4TH & 1
OWN 29
+2
13.4%
C.Price rushed to AKR 31 for 2 yards. Tackled by J.Bristol at AKR 31.Similar
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
13.2%
D.Irons pass complete to AKR 31. Catch made by S.Jacques-Louis at AKR 31. Gain of 6 yards. Pushed out of bounds by J.Whiteside at AKR 37.Similar
Q3 8:15
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+3
13.6%
C.Price rushed to AKR 40 for 3 yards. Tackled by C.Spann, R.Stuart at AKR 40.Similar
Q3 7:38
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+1
13.8%
D.Irons rushed to AKR 41 for 1 yards. Tackled by J.Sims at AKR 41.Similar
Q3 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+34
14.2%
D.Irons pass complete to AKR 41. Catch made by S.Jacques-Louis at AKR 41. Gain of 34 yards. Tackled by D.Kent at CMC 25.Similar
Q3 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
15.3%
D.Irons rushed to CMC 20 for 5 yards. Tackled by J.Whiteside at CMC 20.Similar
Q3 6:01
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+5
15.1%
D.Irons pass complete to CMC 20. Catch made by T.Banks at CMC 20. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by C.Spann at CMC 15.Similar
Q3 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
15.1%
D.Irons pass complete to CMC 15. Catch made by C.Wiley at CMC 15. Gain of 1 yards. Pushed out of bounds by T.Jones at CMC 14.Similar
Q3 4:37
2ND & 9
OPP 14
0
14.4%
D.Irons steps back to pass. D.Irons pass incomplete intended for D.George.Similar
Q3 4:25
3RD & 9
OPP 14
+14
27.7%
D.Irons pass complete to CMC 14. Catch made by S.Jacques-Louis at CMC 14. Gain of 14 yards. S.Jacques-Louis for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 16MISSED FG
8 plays · 48 yds · 2:0779% → 79%
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
20.8%
D.Richardson steps back to pass. D.Richardson pass incomplete intended for C.Carriere.Similar
Q3 4:16
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+3
21.2%
M.Lukes rushed to CMC 38 for 3 yards. Tackled by AKR at CMC 38.Similar
Q3 3:41
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+24
19.9%
D.Richardson pass complete to CMC 38. Catch made by N.Koenigsknecht at CMC 38. Gain of 24 yards. Tackled by AKR at AKR 38. PENALTY on AKR-E.Hanna, Personal Foul / Defense, 15 yards, accepted.Similar
Q3 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
18.4%
D.Richardson pass complete to AKR 23. Catch made by M.Lukes at AKR 23. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by T.Terry at AKR 19.Similar
Q3 2:57
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+2
18.4%
M.Lukes rushed to AKR 17 for 2 yards. Tackled by AKR at AKR 17.Similar
Q3 2:21
3RD & 4
OPP 17
0
19.1%
D.Richardson steps back to pass. D.Richardson pass incomplete intended for C.Carriere.Similar
Q3 2:13
4TH & 4
OPP 17
0
20.6%
M.Meeder 35 yard field goal attempt is no good, Center-F.Lama, Holder-L.Elzinga.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 7 yds · 2:0825% → 21%
Q3 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
24.7%
D.Irons steps back to pass. D.Irons pass incomplete intended for D.George.Similar
Q3 2:02
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+4
24.7%
D.Irons pass complete to AKR 20. Catch made by C.Price at AKR 20. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by T.Jones at AKR 24.Similar
Q3 1:25
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+10
23.8%
D.Irons pass complete to AKR 24. Catch made by T.Brank at AKR 24. Gain of 10 yards. Tackled by CMC at AKR 34.Similar
Q3 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
25.6%
D.Irons steps back to pass. D.Irons pass incomplete intended for A.Adams.Similar
Q3 0:53
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+2
25.5%
D.Irons scrambles to AKR 36 for 2 yards. Tackled by K.Moretti at AKR 36.Similar
Q3 0:10
3RD & 8
OWN 36
-9
23.0%
D.Irons steps back to pass. D.Irons sacked at AKR 27 for -9 yards (R.Stuart)Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 17
OWN 27
+44
21.1%
N.Gettman punts 44 yards to CMC 29, Center-K.Bauman. Downed by C.Thomas.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 15 yds · 2:4779% → 79%
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
20.6%
M.Lukes rushed to CMC 30 for 1 yards. Tackled by AKR at CMC 30.Similar
Q4 14:44
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+9
20.3%
M.Lukes rushed to CMC 39 for 9 yards. Tackled by AKR at CMC 39.Similar
Q4 14:24
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+10
17.8%
M.Lukes rushed to CMC 49 for 10 yards. Tackled by B.Arslanian at CMC 49.Similar
Q4 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-1
17.3%
M.Lukes rushed to CMC 48 for -1 yards. Tackled by B.Arslanian at CMC 48.Similar
Q4 12:48
2ND & 11
OWN 48
+1
17.7%
M.Lukes rushed to CMC 49 for 1 yards. Tackled by AKR at CMC 49.Similar
Q4 12:06
3RD & 10
OWN 49
0
18.0%
D.Richardson steps back to pass. D.Richardson pass incomplete intended for C.Carriere.Similar
Q4 12:00
4TH & 10
OWN 49
0
20.0%
PENALTY on CMC-N.Apsey, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 12:00
4TH & 15
OWN 44
+47
21.1%
L.Elzinga punts 47 yards to AKR 9, Center-F.Lama. Downed by E.Rikard.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 11 yds · 1:1023% → 21%
Q4 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+19
22.7%
D.Irons pass complete to AKR 9. Catch made by D.George at AKR 9. Gain of 19 yards. Tackled by D.Kent at AKR 28.Similar
Q4 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
23.8%
D.Irons steps back to pass. D.Irons pass incomplete intended for C.Wiley.Similar
Q4 11:23
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
23.3%
D.Irons steps back to pass. D.Irons pass incomplete intended for A.Adams.Similar
Q4 11:22
3RD & 10
OWN 28
-8
21.9%
D.Irons steps back to pass. D.Irons sacked at AKR 20 for -8 yards (T.Incoom; J.Whiteside)Similar
Q4 10:38
4TH & 18
OWN 20
+47
20.7%
N.Gettman punts 47 yards to CMC 33, Center-K.Bauman. C.Brown returned punt from the CMC 33. Tackled by AKR at CMC 32.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2783% → 82%
Q4 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
17.4%
D.Richardson steps back to pass. D.Richardson pass incomplete intended for M.Lukes.Similar
Q4 10:23
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-2
17.8%
M.Lukes rushed to CMC 30 for -2 yards. Tackled by Z.Morton at CMC 30.Similar
Q4 9:43
3RD & 12
OWN 30
+8
18.7%
D.Richardson scrambles to CMC 38 for 8 yards. Pushed out of bounds by B.Arslanian at CMC 38.Similar
Q4 9:00
4TH & 4
OWN 38
+40
17.7%
L.Elzinga punts 40 yards to AKR 22, Center-F.Lama. Downed by J.Whiteside.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 21TD
9 plays · 78 yds · 2:0322% → 60%
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
22.4%
C.Price rushed to AKR 26 for 4 yards. Pushed out of bounds by J.Whiteside at AKR 26.Similar
Q4 8:33
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+12
22.9%
D.Irons pass complete to AKR 26. Catch made by T.Brank at AKR 26. Gain of 12 yards. Tackled by K.Moretti at AKR 38.Similar
Q4 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+22
24.1%
D.Irons pass complete to AKR 38. Catch made by D.George at AKR 38. Gain of 22 yards. Tackled by T.Jones at CMC 40.Similar
Q4 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+17
27.6%
D.Irons pass complete to CMC 40. Catch made by T.Banks at CMC 40. Gain of 17 yards. Tackled by K.Krebs at CMC 23.Similar
Q4 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+12
29.2%
D.Irons pass complete to CMC 23. Catch made by T.Grimes at CMC 23. Gain of 12 yards. Tackled by J.Sims at CMC 11.Similar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
28.0%
PENALTY on CMC-T.Incoom, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 6:53
1ST & 5
OPP 6
0
27.6%
D.Irons steps back to pass. D.Irons pass incomplete intended for AKR. PENALTY on CMC-M.Heldman, Defensive Offside, 3 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 6:52
1ST & 2
OPP 3
+2
27.7%
PENALTY on CMC-R.Stuart, Defensive Offside, 2 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 6:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
59.8%
C.Price rushed to CMC End Zone for 1 yards. C.Price for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 2:3954% → 48%
Q4 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
46.5%
M.Lukes rushed to CMC 27 for 6 yards. Tackled by K.Martin at CMC 27.Similar
Q4 6:08
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+5
45.0%
C.Brown rushed to CMC 32 for 5 yards. Tackled by AKR at CMC 32.Similar
Q4 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-19
45.6%
D.Richardson steps back to pass. D.Richardson sacked at CMC 13 for -19 yards (Z.Morton) FUMBLES, forced by Z.Morton. D.Richardson FUMBLES, out of bounds.Similar
Q4 5:09
2ND & 29
OWN 13
+5
48.0%
M.Lukes rushed to CMC 18 for 5 yards. Tackled by AKR at CMC 18.Similar
Q4 4:42
3RD & 24
OWN 18
+5
50.2%
D.Richardson pass complete to CMC 18. Catch made by C.Carriere at CMC 18. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by D.Lewis at CMC 23.Similar
Q4 4:02
4TH & 19
OWN 23
+39
52.4%
L.Elzinga punts 39 yards to AKR 38, Center-F.Lama. T.Grimes returned punt from the AKR 38. Pushed out of bounds by CMC at AKR 48.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 23FUMBLE
7 plays · 15 yds · 1:4360% → 33%
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
60.1%
D.Irons steps back to pass. D.Irons pass incomplete intended for D.George.Similar
Q4 3:37
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
59.3%
D.Irons steps back to pass. D.Irons pass incomplete intended for S.Jacques-Louis. PENALTY on CMC-J.Whiteside, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 3:32
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+5
61.5%
D.Irons pass complete to CMC 47. Catch made by C.Price at CMC 47. Gain of 5 yards. Pushed out of bounds by D.Cochran at CMC 42.Similar
Q4 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
61.6%
D.Irons pass complete to CMC 42. Catch made by S.Naim at CMC 42. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by D.Kent at CMC 34.Similar
Q4 2:47
2ND & 2
OPP 34
+2
63.7%
C.Price rushed to CMC 32 for 2 yards. Tackled by J.Williams at CMC 32.Similar
Q4 2:09
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
63.9%
D.Irons steps back to pass. D.Irons pass incomplete intended for S.Jacques-Louis.Similar
Q4 2:02
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
33.2%
C.Price rushed to CMC 37 for -5 yards. C.Price FUMBLES. Fumble RECOVERED by CMC-T.Incoom at CMC 37. T.Incoom for yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-33.2
TD · Q4 6:52
C.Price rushed to CMC End Zone for 1 yards. C.Price for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
+32.1
TD · Q4 2:02
C.Price rushed to CMC 37 for -5 yards. C.Price FUMBLES. Fumble RECOVERED by CMC-T.Incoom at CMC 37. T.Incoom for yards, TOUCHDOWN.
-30.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com