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EMU

Eastern Michigan 45 at Western Michigan 23

WMU
2022 · Week 6 · Oct 8, 2022 · Waldo Stadium
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Win probability · WMU
modelWMU aheadEMU aheadconfidence bandkey playWMU scoreEMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:51 · Jack Salopek pass complete to Anthony Sambucci for 27 yds to the EMich 21 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+54.0+27.00−27.0−54.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 219Home team on offense−52.0Score differential−40.1Pregame prior+2.1Garbage-time factor−18.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−9.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:52: Taylor Powell pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 2 yds for a TD, (Jesus Gomez KICK) — EMU win probability +5.6 pts (now 46%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:23: Samson Evans run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jesus Gomez KICK) — EMU win probability +11.5 pts (now 64%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 8:19: La'Darius Jefferson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Palmer Domschke KICK) — WMU win probability +4.1 pts (now 44%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 2:16: Samson Evans run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jesus Gomez KICK) — EMU win probability +16.2 pts (now 80%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:29: Taylor Powell pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 38 yds for a TD, (Jesus Gomez KICK) — EMU win probability +7.6 pts (now 91%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WMU made the numbers' call on 10 of 12EMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 11:00WMU 4th & 10 at WMU 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.4%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:50WMU 4th & 21 at WMU 33, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.0%−2.3
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.3%
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:54WMU 4th & 10 at WMU 41, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.5%−0.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:51EMU 4th & 5 at EMU 25, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.5%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:48WMU 4th & 18 at WMU 19, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.4%−1.3
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:48WMU 4th & 18 at WMU 19, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.4%−1.3
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.6%
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:42WMU 4th & 5 at WMU 35, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.9%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:19EMU 4th & 5 at EMU 36, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.4%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:19WMU 4th & 10 at EMU 44, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.3%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    6.2%−0.1
    27% to make
    Punt
    6.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:06WMU 4th & 11 at EMU 11, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.1%
    87% to make
    Punt
    1.7%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:29EMU 4th & 10 at WMU 16, up 26
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.5%−0.4
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.9%
    81% to make
    Punt
    96.1%−1.8
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:34WMU 4th & 20 at WMU 10, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.7
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:51EMU 4th & 23 at WMU 24, up 26
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%−0.5
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.1%
    68% to make
    Punt
    98.1%−1.0
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:51WMU 4th & 8 at EMU 48, down 29
    Close callWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:58EMU 4th & 2 at EMU 33, up 22
    Close callPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:10WMU 4th & 13 at WMU 10, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−<0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:59WMU 4th & 16 at WMU 31, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−<0.1
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WMU made the numbers' call on 1 of 3EMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 13:02EMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:23EMU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:19WMU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:16EMU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:29EMU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:07WMU Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    8.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    7.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 4:57EMU Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 4:39WMU Touchdown, down 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.1%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
EMUDrive 1TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 15:0037% → 46%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
63.0%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
63.0%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Gunnar Oakes for 10 yds to the EMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
63.0%
Samson Evans run for 6 yds to the EMich 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+3
63.0%
Samson Evans run for 3 yds to the EMich 44Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+4
63.0%
Samson Evans run for 4 yds to the EMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
62.8%
PENALTY WMU Offside (Fiske,Braden) 5 yards from EMU48 to WMU47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:55
1ST & 5
OPP 47
+45
62.8%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 45 yds to the WMich 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
61.9%
Samson Evans run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jesus Gomez KICK)Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
55.0%
pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
55.3%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Gunnar Oakes for 10 yds to the EMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
54.5%
Samson Evans run for 6 yds to the EMich 41Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+3
53.9%
Samson Evans run for 3 yds to the EMich 44Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+4
54.0%
Samson Evans run for 4 yds to the EMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 0 yds · 13:0262% → 52%
Q1 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
62.2%
Jack Salopek pass complete to Sean Tyler for 5 yds to the WMich 33Similar
Q1 13:02
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+1
62.2%
Sean Tyler run for 1 yd to the WMich 34Similar
Q1 13:02
3RD & 4
OWN 34
-6
62.1%
Jack Salopek sacked by Jose Ramirez for a loss of 6 yards to the WMich 28Similar
Q1 11:00
4TH & 10
OWN 28
+19
61.0%
Nick Mihalic punt for 50 yds , Dylan Drummond returns for 19 yds to the EMich 12Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
51.6%
Jack Salopek pass complete to Sean Tyler for 5 yds to the WMich 33Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+1
51.8%
Sean Tyler run for 1 yd to the WMich 34Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 4
OWN 34
-6
51.5%
Jack Salopek sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the WMich 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 3TD
20 plays · 88 yds · 11:0040% → 52%
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+13
60.1%
Taylor Powell run for 13 yds to the EMich 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
60.1%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Gunnar Oakes for 17 yds to the EMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
59.8%
Samson Evans run for 3 yds to the EMich 45Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+12
59.8%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 12 yds to the WMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
59.8%
Taylor Powell run for 3 yds to the WMich 46Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 13
OPP 46
+10
59.9%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 10 yds to the WMich 36Similar
Q1 11:00
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+4
60.1%
Jaylon Jackson run for 4 yds to the WMich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+28
59.8%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Jere Getzinger for 28 yds to the WMich 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
60.0%
Samson Evans run for 2 yds to the WMich 2Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
60.0%
Samson Evans run for no gain to the WMich 2Similar
Q1 5:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
54.4%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 2 yds for a TD, (Jesus Gomez KICK)Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+13
49.3%
Taylor Powell run for 13 yds to the EMich 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
48.3%
Samson Evans run for 3 yds to the EMich 45Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+12
48.4%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 12 yds to the WMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-3
48.3%
Taylor Powell run for a loss of 3 yards to the WMich 46Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 13
OPP 46
+10
48.5%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 10 yds to the WMich 36Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+4
48.4%
Jaylon Jackson run for 4 yds to the WMich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+28
48.2%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Jere Getzinger for 28 yds to the WMich 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
48.1%
Samson Evans run for 2 yds to the WMich 2Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
48.1%
Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 4PUNT
14 plays · 0 yds · 5:5256% → 49%
Q1 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
55.6%
Sean Tyler run for 1 yd to the WMich 34Similar
Q1 5:52
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+10
55.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun Salopek,Jack pass incomplete short left to Crooms,Corey PENALTY EMU Holding (Scott,Joshua) 10 yards from WMU34 to WMU44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
56.2%
Jack Salopek pass incomplete to Sean TylerSimilar
Q1 5:52
2ND & 10
OWN 44
-15
56.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun Salopek,Jack pass complete deep middle to Galloway,Jehlani for 20 yards to the EMU36 (Scandrett,Quentavius) PENALTY WMU Pass Interference (Bosma,Blake) 15 yards from WMU44 to WMU29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:52
2ND & 25
OWN 29
0
55.4%
Jack Salopek pass incomplete to Sean TylerSimilar
Q1 5:52
3RD & 25
OWN 29
+4
55.3%
Jack Salopek run for 4 yds to the WMich 33Similar
Q1 3:50
4TH & 21
OWN 33
+13
53.7%
Nick Mihalic punt for 51 yds , Dylan Drummond returns for 13 yds to the EMich 29Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
49.7%
Sean Tyler run for 1 yd to the WMich 34Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+10
49.6%
Jack Salopek pass incomplete to Corey Crooms for a 1ST down EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive holding (Joshua Scott) to the WMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
50.8%
pass incomplete to Sean TylerSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 44
-15
50.5%
Jack Salopek pass complete to Jehlani Galloway WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive pass interference (Blake Bosma) to the WMich 29Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 25
OWN 29
0
49.4%
pass incomplete to Sean TylerSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 25
OWN 29
+4
49.2%
Jack Salopek run for 4 yds to the WMich 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 5TD
22 plays · 71 yds · 4:2747% → 64%
Q1 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
52.9%
Samson Evans run for no gain to the EMich 29Similar
Q1 3:50
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+17
53.1%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Andreas Paaske for 17 yds to the EMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
52.4%
Samson Evans run for 8 yds to the WMich 46Similar
Q1 3:50
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+2
52.3%
Samson Evans run for 2 yds to the WMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+15
52.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Powell,Taylor pass incomplete short middle to Drummond,Dylan PENALTY WMU Pass Interference (Romphf,Anthony) 15 yards from WMU44 to WMU29, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
52.3%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Darius LassiterSimilar
Q1 3:50
2ND & 10
OPP 29
-10
52.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Powell,Taylor rush left for 6 yards gain to the WMU23 (Fiske,Braden) PENALTY EMU Holding (Johnson,Marcellus) 10 yards from WMU29 to WMU39. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:50
2ND & 20
OPP 39
+14
52.6%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 14 yds to the WMich 25Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
49.0%
Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+17
49.2%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Andreas Paaske for 17 yds to the EMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
48.3%
Samson Evans run for 8 yds to the WMich 46Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+2
48.2%
Samson Evans run for 2 yds to the WMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+15
48.3%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Dylan Drummond for a 1ST down WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Anthony Romphf) to the WMich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
48.1%
pass incomplete to Darius LassiterSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 29
-10
48.3%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive holding (Marcellus Johnson) to the WMich 39Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 20
OPP 39
+14
48.5%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 14 yds to the WMich 25Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 25
+22
48.3%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 22 yds to the WMich 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 25
+22
48.3%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 22 yds to the WMich 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
48.0%
Samson Evans run for 2 yds to the WMich 1Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
48.0%
Samson Evans run for 2 yds to the WMich 1Similar
Q2 14:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
36.5%
Samson Evans run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jesus Gomez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 1:2941% → 40%
Q2 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
41.4%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 6 yds to the WMich 36Similar
Q2 14:23
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+5
41.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun Jefferson,La'Darius rush middle for 4 yards gain to the WMU40 (Trueman,Grant) PENALTY EMU Offside (Trueman,Grant) 5 yards from WMU36 to WMU41, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-12
42.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Salopek,Jack pass complete deep left to Sambucci,Anthony for 12 yards to the EMU47 (Gulley,Keylen) PENALTY WMU Illegal Touch-Pass (Sambucci,Anthony). NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:23
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
42.0%
Jack Salopek pass incomplete to Corey CroomsSimilar
Q2 14:23
3RD & 10
OWN 41
0
41.6%
Jack Salopek pass incomplete to Corey CroomsSimilar
Q2 12:54
4TH & 10
OWN 41
0
39.5%
Nick Mihalic punt for 51 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 1:0365% → 66%
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+12
35.3%
Samson Evans run for 12 yds to the EMich 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
35.1%
Samson Evans run for 5 yds to the EMich 25Similar
Q2 12:54
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
35.1%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Darius LassiterSimilar
Q2 12:54
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
35.6%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Gunnar OakesSimilar
Q2 11:51
4TH & 5
OWN 25
+6
34.4%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 47 yds , Zahir Abdus-Salaam returns for 6 yds to the WMich 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 8TD
14 plays · 66 yds · 11:5138% → 31%
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
37.8%
Sean Tyler run for 6 yds to the WMich 40Similar
Q2 11:51
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+20
38.6%
Jack Salopek run for 20 yds to the EMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
39.4%
Sean Tyler run for 4 yds to the EMich 36Similar
Q2 11:51
2ND & 6
OPP 36
0
39.5%
Jack Salopek pass incomplete to Sean TylerSimilar
Q2 11:51
3RD & 6
OPP 36
+15
39.1%
Jack Salopek pass complete to Blake Bosma for 15 yds to the EMich 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+13
39.7%
Jack Salopek run for 13 yds to the EMich 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
39.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun Salopek,Jack pass incomplete short left to Galloway,Jehlani broken up by Shine,Kempton PENALTY EMU Pass Interference (Shine,Kempton) 6 yards from EMU08 to EMU02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
40.1%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 1 yd to the EMich 1Similar
Q2 11:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
40.1%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 1 yd to the EMich 1Similar
Q2 8:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
44.2%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Palmer Domschke KICK)Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+12
31.0%
Samson Evans run for 12 yds to the EMich 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
30.5%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Darius Lassiter, broken up by Tyson LeeSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
30.8%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Gunnar Oakes, broken up by Ryan SeligSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
30.6%
Samson Evans run for 5 yds to the EMich 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 9PUNT
13 plays · -1 yds · 8:1941% → 36%
Q2 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
41.1%
Samson Evans run for 1 yd to the EMich 34Similar
Q2 8:19
2ND & 11
OWN 34
-5
41.3%
Taylor Powell sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the EMich 29Similar
Q2 8:19
3RD & 16
OWN 29
+5
42.0%
PENALTY WMU Offside (Carter,Andre) 5 yards from EMU29 to EMU34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:19
3RD & 11
OWN 34
0
41.8%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Hassan BeydounSimilar
Q2 6:33
4TH & 11
OWN 34
0
40.9%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 48 yds , Zahir Abdus-Salaam returns for no gain to the WMich 16Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+20
33.8%
Jack Salopek run for 20 yds to the EMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
32.6%
Sean Tyler run for 6 yds to the WMich 40Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
34.9%
Sean Tyler run for 4 yds to the EMich 36Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 36
0
34.9%
pass incomplete to Sean TylerSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 36
+15
34.5%
Jack Salopek pass complete to Blake Bosma for 15 yds to the EMich 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+13
35.8%
Jack Salopek run for 13 yds to the EMich 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 10FUMBLE
7 plays · 35 yds · 2:1840% → 40%
Q2 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
39.8%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 3 yds to the WMich 19Similar
Q2 6:33
2ND & 7
OWN 19
0
39.7%
Jack Salopek pass incomplete to La'Darius JeffersonSimilar
Q2 6:33
3RD & 7
OWN 19
+21
39.4%
Jack Salopek pass complete to Jehlani Galloway for 21 yds to the WMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+13
41.1%
Jack Salopek pass complete to Corey Crooms for 13 yds to the EMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:33
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
41.9%
Jack Salopek pass incomplete to Corey CroomsSimilar
Q2 6:33
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+3
41.8%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 3 yds to the EMich 44Similar
Q2 4:15
3RD & 7
OPP 44
-5
39.5%
Jack Salopek sacked by Jose Ramirez for a loss of 5 yards to the EMich 49 Jack Salopek fumbled, recovered by EMich Jordan Crawford , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 11TD
5 plays · 51 yds · 1:5964% → 80%
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
36.2%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Darius LassiterSimilar
Q2 4:15
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+7
36.3%
Samson Evans run for 7 yds to the WMich 44Similar
Q2 4:15
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+38
36.6%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 38 yds to the WMich 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
35.9%
Samson Evans run for no gain to the WMich 6Similar
Q2 2:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
19.7%
Samson Evans run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jesus Gomez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 2 yds · 0:2826% → 27%
Q2 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
26.1%
Jack Salopek pass incomplete to Jehlani GallowaySimilar
Q2 2:16
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+2
25.9%
Jack Salopek run for 2 yds to the WMich 25Similar
Q2 1:59
3RD & 12
OWN 25
-6
25.1%
Jack Salopek sacked by Jose Ramirez for a loss of 6 yards to the WMich 19Similar
Q2 1:48
4TH & 18
OWN 19
0
26.8%
Nick Mihalic punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Dylan Drummond at the EMich 45Similar
Q2 1:48
4TH & 18
OWN 19
0
26.8%
Nick Mihalic punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Dylan Drummond at the EMich 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 13TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 1:1981% → 91%
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
19.3%
Samson Evans run for 2 yds to the EMich 37Similar
Q2 1:48
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+3
19.0%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Samson Evans for 3 yds to the EMich 40Similar
Q2 1:48
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+11
19.1%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 11 yds to the WMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
18.1%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 9 yds to the WMich 40Similar
Q2 1:48
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+2
16.9%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 2 yds to the WMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+38
9.3%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 38 yds for a TD, (Jesus Gomez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 14Uncategorized
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
6.5%
Sean Tyler run for 6 yds to the WMich 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:188% → 7%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
8.0%
Sean Tyler run for 3 yds to the WMich 33Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+2
7.9%
Sean Tyler run for 2 yds to the WMich 35Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 35
0
7.4%
Jack Salopek pass incomplete to Corey CroomsSimilar
Q3 13:42
4TH & 5
OWN 35
0
6.9%
Nick Mihalic punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Dylan Drummond at the EMich 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:2392% → 93%
Q3 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
7.9%
Samson Evans run for 9 yds to the EMich 26Similar
Q3 13:42
2ND & 1
OWN 26
+5
7.4%
Samson Evans run for 5 yds to the EMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
8.0%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Gunnar OakesSimilar
Q3 13:42
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+6
8.0%
Jaylon Jackson run for 6 yds to the EMich 37Similar
Q3 13:42
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+1
8.2%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Jaylon Jackson for 1 yd to the EMich 36Similar
Q3 11:19
4TH & 5
OWN 36
0
6.6%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 17TD
13 plays · 79 yds · 5:126% → 10%
Q3 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
5.9%
Sean Tyler run for 1 yd to the WMich 22Similar
Q3 11:19
2ND & 9
OWN 22
0
5.7%
Jack Salopek pass incomplete to Sean TylerSimilar
Q3 11:19
3RD & 9
OWN 22
+34
5.7%
Jack Salopek pass complete to Jehlani Galloway for 34 yds to the EMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
6.7%
Jack Salopek pass complete to Blake Bosma for 1 yd to the EMich 43Similar
Q3 11:19
2ND & 9
OPP 43
-1
6.4%
Jack Salopek sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 44Similar
Q3 11:19
3RD & 10
OPP 44
0
6.4%
Jack Salopek pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:19
4TH & 10
OPP 44
+10
6.3%
Jack Salopek pass complete to Corey Crooms for 10 yds to the EMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
6.9%
Sean Tyler run for 4 yds to the EMich 30Similar
Q3 11:19
2ND & 6
OPP 30
0
6.6%
Sean Tyler run for no gain to the EMich 30Similar
Q3 11:19
3RD & 6
OPP 30
-15
6.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Salopek,Jack pass complete deep left to Sambucci,Anthony for 13 yards to the EMU17 (Shine,Kempton) PENALTY WMU Pass Interference (Crooms,Corey) 15 yards from EMU30 to EMU45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:19
3RD & 21
OPP 45
+15
6.3%
Jack Salopek pass incomplete to Jehlani Galloway for a 1ST down EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Personal Foul (Quentavius Scandrett) to the EMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
6.9%
Sean Tyler run for 5 yds to the EMich 25Similar
Q3 6:07
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+25
10.4%
Jack Salopek pass complete to Corey Crooms for 25 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 18TD
6 plays · 11 yds · 1:1094% → 97%
Q3 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
6.2%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Darius LassiterSimilar
Q3 6:07
2ND & 10
OPP 11
-5
6.2%
PENALTY EMU False Start 5 yards from WMU11 to WMU16. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:07
2ND & 15
OPP 16
+8
6.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Powell,Taylor pass incomplete short left to Lassiter,Darius PENALTY WMU Holding (Ware,Delano) 8 yards from WMU16 to WMU08, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
6.2%
Samson Evans run for 1 yd to the WMich 7Similar
Q3 4:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
3.2%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 7 yds for a TD, (Jesus Gomez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 19FG
12 plays · 50 yds · 2:513% → 2%
Q3 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+16
2.7%
Jack Salopek pass complete to Anthony Sambucci for 16 yds to the EMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+13
2.9%
Jack Salopek pass complete to Anthony Sambucci for 13 yds to the EMich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
3.0%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 5 yds to the EMich 27Similar
Q3 4:57
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+5
2.9%
PENALTY EMU Offside (Swindle,Melvin) 5 yards from EMU27 to EMU22, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+13
3.0%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 13 yds to the EMich 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
3.3%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 3 yds to the EMich 6Similar
Q3 4:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
2.7%
Jack Salopek pass incomplete to Anthony SambucciSimilar
Q3 4:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
2.7%
Jack Salopek pass incomplete to Jehlani GallowaySimilar
Q3 4:57
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
2.6%
PENALTY WMU False Start (West,Addison) 5 yards from EMU06 to EMU11. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:06
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+28
1.9%
Palmer Domschke 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 20MISSED FG
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:3798% → 98%
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
1.9%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Jaylon Jackson for 9 yds to the WMich 22Similar
Q3 2:06
2ND & 1
OPP 22
0
1.9%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
Q3 2:06
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+6
1.9%
Samson Evans run for 6 yds to the WMich 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
1.9%
Samson Evans run for 5 yds to the WMich 11Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 11
0
1.7%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Dylan Drummond for no gain to the WMich 11Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 11
-5
1.7%
Taylor Powell sacked by Andre Carter for a loss of 5 yards to the WMich 16Similar
Q4 14:29
4TH & 10
OPP 16
+34
2.0%
Jesus Gomez 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · -10 yds · 0:552% → 1%
Q4 14:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
1.6%
Jack Salopek pass incomplete to Corey CroomsSimilar
Q4 14:29
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
1.5%
Jack Salopek pass incomplete to Corey CroomsSimilar
Q4 14:29
3RD & 10
OWN 20
-10
1.5%
Jack Salopek sacked by Jose Ramirez for a loss of 10 yards to the WMich 10Similar
Q4 13:34
4TH & 20
OWN 10
0
1.3%
Nick Mihalic punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Dylan Drummond at the WMich 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 22FG
9 plays · 24 yds · 3:4399% → 99%
Q4 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
1.3%
Jaylon Jackson run for 6 yds to the WMich 42Similar
Q4 13:34
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+11
1.4%
Jaylon Jackson run for 11 yds to the WMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+10
1.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun Powell,Taylor sacked for loss of 11 yards to the WMU42 (Dabney,Warren, Carter,Andre) PENALTY WMU Holding (Selig,Ryan) 10 yards from WMU31 to WMU21, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+10
1.3%
Jaylon Jackson run for 10 yds to the WMich 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
1.3%
Jaylon Jackson run for 5 yds to the WMich 16Similar
Q4 13:34
2ND & 15
OPP 16
0
1.3%
Taylor Powell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:34
3RD & 15
OPP 16
-8
1.4%
Taylor Powell sacked by Corvin Moment for a loss of 8 yards to the WMich 24Similar
Q4 9:51
4TH & 23
OPP 24
+42
0.6%
Jesus Gomez 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 23TD
17 plays · 90 yds · 5:120% → 2%
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+13
0.4%
Jack Salopek run for 13 yds to the WMich 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
0.4%
Sean Tyler run for 5 yds to the WMich 28Similar
Q4 9:51
2ND & 5
OWN 28
0
0.4%
Jack Salopek pass incomplete to Anthony SambucciSimilar
Q4 9:51
3RD & 5
OWN 28
+9
0.4%
Jack Salopek pass complete to Blake Bosma for 9 yds to the WMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
0.4%
Jack Salopek pass incomplete to Anthony SambucciSimilar
Q4 9:51
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+3
0.4%
Jack Salopek pass complete to Blake Bosma for 3 yds to the WMich 40Similar
Q4 9:51
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+10
0.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Salopek,Jack pass incomplete short left to Sambucci,Anthony PENALTY EMU Holding 10 yards from WMU40 to WMU50, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
50
+2
0.4%
Sean Tyler run for 2 yds to the EMich 48Similar
Q4 9:51
2ND & 8
OPP 48
0
0.4%
Jack Salopek pass incomplete to Anthony SambucciSimilar
Q4 9:51
3RD & 8
OPP 48
0
0.4%
Jack Salopek pass incomplete to Jehlani GallowaySimilar
Q4 9:51
4TH & 8
OPP 48
+27
0.4%
Jack Salopek pass complete to Anthony Sambucci for 27 yds to the EMich 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
0.5%
Jack Salopek pass incomplete to Zahir Abdus-SalaamSimilar
Q4 9:51
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
0.4%
Jack Salopek pass incomplete to Blake BosmaSimilar
Q4 9:51
3RD & 10
OPP 21
+12
0.4%
Jack Salopek pass complete to Jehlani Galloway for 12 yds to the EMich 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
0.6%
Sean Tyler run for 1 yd to the EMich 8Similar
Q4 9:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
0.6%
Sean Tyler run for 4 yds to the EMich 4Similar
Q4 4:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
1.6%
Jack Salopek pass complete to Blake Bosma for 4 yds for a TD EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Offside (Kempton Shine) declined, (Palmer Domschke KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:4199% → 99%
Q4 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
1.1%
Cam'Ron McCoy run for 5 yds to the EMich 30Similar
Q4 4:39
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
1.1%
Cam'Ron McCoy run for 4 yds to the EMich 34Similar
Q4 4:39
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
1.1%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 1 yd to the EMich 33Similar
Q4 2:58
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
0.8%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 54 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:481% → 1%
Q4 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-3
1.0%
Jack Salopek sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the WMich 10Similar
Q4 2:58
2ND & 13
OWN 10
0
1.0%
Jack Salopek pass incomplete to Jehlani GallowaySimilar
Q4 2:58
3RD & 13
OWN 10
0
1.0%
Jack Salopek pass incomplete to Anthony SambucciSimilar
Q4 2:10
4TH & 13
OWN 10
0
0.9%
Nick Mihalic punt for 29 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:111% → 1%
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
0.9%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 2 yds to the WMich 39Similar
Q4 2:10
2ND & 8
OWN 39
0
1.0%
Jack Salopek pass incomplete to Jehlani GallowaySimilar
Q4 2:10
3RD & 8
OWN 39
-8
0.9%
Jack Salopek sacked by Tim Grant-Randall for a loss of 8 yards to the WMich 31Similar
Q4 0:59
4TH & 16
OWN 31
0
0.7%
Nick Mihalic punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Dylan Drummond at the EMich 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 27END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:59100% → 100%
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
0.5%
Cam'Ron McCoy run for no gain to the EMich 30Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+2
0.4%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 2 yds to the EMich 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 2:16
Samson Evans run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jesus Gomez KICK)
-16.2
TD · Q2 14:23
Samson Evans run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jesus Gomez KICK)
-11.5
TD · Q2 0:29
Taylor Powell pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 38 yds for a TD, (Jesus Gomez KICK)
-7.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com