Try the model
2022 · Week 5 · Oct 1, 2022 · Waldo Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · WMU
modelWMU aheadUNH aheadconfidence bandkey playWMU scoreUNH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 8:03 · Sean Lehane punt for 36 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 15Home team on offense+1.0Pregame prior+30.6Score differential+0.3Garbage-time factor+0.0Blowout margin+0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:34: La'Darius Jefferson run for 5 yds for a TD, (Palmer Domschke KICK) — WMU win probability +2.6 pts (now 87%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 1:13: Jack Salopek pass complete to Sean Tyler for 76 yds for a TD, (Palmer Domschke KICK) — WMU win probability +2.9 pts (now 89%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 14:42: Jack Salopek pass complete to Corey Crooms for 75 yds for a TD, (Palmer Domschke KICK) — UNH win probability +6.9 pts (now 16%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 12:07: Jack Salopek pass complete to Joshua Burgett for 3 yds for a TD, (Palmer Domschke KICK) — WMU win probability +4.1 pts (now 95%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 2:15: Max Brosmer pass complete to Dylan Laube for 26 yds for a TD, (Nick Mazzie KICK) — UNH win probability +4.7 pts (now 7%) (top driver: UNH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9UNH made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 8:03UNH 4th & 9 at WMU 40, down 7
    Close callPunted · 16.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.4%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    16.4%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    16.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:54UNH 4th & 13 at UNH 22, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.7%−0.9
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.7%
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:22UNH 4th & 1 at UNH 29, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.8%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:22UNH 4th & 14 at UNH 21, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−1.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:15WMU 4th & 1 at WMU 44, up 28
    Close callPunted · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.5%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:15WMU 4th & 1 at WMU 44, up 28
    Close callPunted · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.5%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:09UNH 4th & 1 at UNH 30, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.7%−1.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:12WMU 4th & 1 at WMU 30, up 21
    Close callPunted · 95.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.7%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:05UNH 4th & 7 at UNH 48, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.1%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00UNH 4th & 7 at UNH 28, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.2%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:24UNH 4th & 8 at WMU 48, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:23WMU 4th & 7 at WMU 12, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.9%−0.4
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:00UNH 4th & 7 at WMU 40, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.7%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    3.3%−0.4
    34% to make
    Punt
    3.4%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:23WMU 4th & 15 at WMU 43, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.3%−0.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.0%
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:04WMU 4th & 15 at UNH 17, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.8%−0.6
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.4%
    80% to make
    Punt
    95.7%−1.7
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:29UNH 4th & 19 at UNH 36, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:59WMU 4th & 8 at WMU 5, up 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:05UNH 4th & 2 at UNH 33, down 37
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:58WMU 4th & 7 at WMU 18, up 37
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  20. Q4 0:58WMU 4th & 7 at WMU 18, up 37
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5UNH made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 3:34WMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:13WMU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:07WMU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:15UNH Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:23WMU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:23WMU Touchdown, up 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNHDrive 1PUNT
15 plays · 34 yds · 6:3916% → 17%
Q1 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
83.9%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Kyle Lepkowski for 9 yds to the NHamp 35Similar
Q1 14:42
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+4
83.9%
Dylan Laube run for 4 yds to the NHamp 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
83.9%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Adam Deese for 1 yd to the NHamp 40Similar
Q1 14:42
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+10
83.9%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Dylan Laube for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:42
1ST & 10
50
+8
83.9%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Myles Thomason for 8 yds to the WMich 42Similar
Q1 14:42
2ND & 2
OPP 42
0
83.9%
Max Brosmer pass incomplete to Joey CorcoranSimilar
Q1 14:42
3RD & 2
OPP 42
-12
83.9%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Dylan Laube for 3 yds to the NHamp 39 for a 1ST down NEW HAMPSHIRE Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Pop Bush) to the NHamp 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
83.9%
Dylan Laube run for 2 yds to the NHamp 44Similar
Q1 14:42
2ND & 12
OWN 44
+4
83.9%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Sean Coyne for 4 yds to the NHamp 48Similar
Q1 14:42
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+11
83.9%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Joey Corcoran for 11 yds to the WMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:42
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
83.9%
Max Brosmer pass incomplete to Myles ThomasonSimilar
Q1 14:42
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+1
83.9%
Dylan Laube run for 1 yd to the WMich 40Similar
Q1 14:42
3RD & 9
OPP 40
0
83.9%
Max Brosmer pass incomplete to Joey CorcoranSimilar
Q1 8:03
4TH & 9
OPP 40
0
83.4%
Sean Lehane punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 2TD
10 plays · 96 yds · 4:2983% → 87%
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+17
83.4%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 17 yds to the WMich 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
83.5%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 4 yds to the WMich 25Similar
Q1 8:03
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+10
83.5%
Jack Salopek pass complete to Corey Crooms for 10 yds to the WMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
83.5%
Jack Salopek pass complete to Corey Crooms for 9 yds to the WMich 44Similar
Q1 8:03
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+25
83.8%
Jack Salopek pass complete to La'Darius Jefferson for 25 yds to the NHamp 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-5
83.9%
PENALTY WMU False Start (Sherwin,Jack) 5 yards from UNH31 to UNH36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:03
1ST & 15
OPP 36
+13
83.7%
Jack Salopek pass complete to La'Darius Jefferson for 13 yds to the NHamp 23Similar
Q1 8:03
2ND & 2
OPP 23
+16
83.9%
Jack Salopek run for 8 yds to the NHamp 15 for a 1ST down NEW HAMPSHIRE Penalty, Personal Foul (Niko Kvietkus) to the NHamp 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
83.9%
Sean Tyler run for 2 yds to the NHamp 5Similar
Q1 3:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
86.5%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 5 yds for a TD, (Palmer Domschke KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 1:4015% → 14%
Q1 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
85.5%
Dylan Laube run for 1 yd to the NHamp 24Similar
Q1 3:34
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+3
85.5%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Heron Maurisseau for 3 yds to the NHamp 27Similar
Q1 3:34
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
85.6%
Max Brosmer pass incomplete to Caleb BurkeSimilar
Q1 3:34
4TH & 8
OWN 27
-5
85.7%
PENALTY UNH Delay Of Game 5 yards from UNH27 to UNH22. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:54
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
85.6%
Sean Lehane punt for 56 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 4TD
3 plays · 78 yds · 0:4186% → 89%
Q1 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
86.2%
Jack Salopek pass complete to Jehlani Galloway for 2 yds to the WMich 24Similar
Q1 1:54
2ND & 8
OWN 24
0
86.2%
Jack Salopek pass incomplete to Anthony SambucciSimilar
Q1 1:13
3RD & 8
OWN 24
+76
89.0%
Jack Salopek pass complete to Sean Tyler for 76 yds for a TD, (Palmer Domschke KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 5FUMBLE
3 plays · 14 yds · 0:5010% → 10%
Q1 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+23
89.8%
Dylan Laube run for 23 yds to the NHamp 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-9
90.0%
Max Brosmer sacked by Elijah Hawk for a loss of 9 yards to the NHamp 33 Max Brosmer fumbled, recovered by WMich Tyson Lee , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 6INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q1 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
90.2%
Jack Salopek pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 7DOWNS
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:5310% → 9%
Q1 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
90.3%
PENALTY WMU Offside (Fiske,Braden) 5 yards from UNH20 to UNH25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 5
OWN 25
0
90.2%
Dylan Laube run for no gain to the NHamp 25Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+2
90.3%
Myles Thomason run for 2 yds to the NHamp 27Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+2
90.3%
Dylan Laube run for 2 yds to the NHamp 29Similar
Q2 13:22
4TH & 1
OWN 29
+15
90.9%
run for 15 yds to the NHamp 14 fumbled, recovered by NHamp Sean LehaneSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 8TD
3 plays · 60 yds · 14:4284% → 90%
Q1 14:42
1ST & 25
OWN 25
+75
84.0%
Jack Salopek pass complete to Corey Crooms for 75 yds for a TD, (Palmer Domschke KICK)Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-15
90.1%
PENALTY WMU Personal Foul (Fiske,Braden) 15 yards from WMU40 to WMU25. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 9TD
5 plays · 14 yds · 1:1591% → 95%
Q2 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-10
91.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Abdus-Salaam,Zahir rush right for 1 yard gain to the UNH13 (Toscano,Ryan) PENALTY WMU Holding (Sherwin,Jack) 10 yards from UNH14 to UNH24. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:22
1ST & 20
OPP 24
0
91.5%
Jack Salopek pass incomplete to Jehlani GallowaySimilar
Q2 13:22
2ND & 20
OPP 24
+19
91.4%
Jack Salopek pass complete to Jehlani Galloway for 19 yds to the NHamp 5Similar
Q2 13:22
3RD & 1
OPP 5
+2
91.3%
Sean Tyler run for 2 yds to the NHamp 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
95.4%
Jack Salopek pass complete to Joshua Burgett for 3 yds for a TD, (Palmer Domschke KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:454% → 4%
Q2 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.6%
Max Brosmer pass incomplete to Dylan LaubeSimilar
Q2 12:07
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
95.5%
Dylan Laube run for 2 yds to the NHamp 23Similar
Q2 12:07
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+2
95.6%
Dylan Laube run for 2 yds to the NHamp 21Similar
Q2 10:22
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
96.1%
Sean Lehane punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Zahir Abdus-Salaam at the WMich 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:0796% → 95%
Q2 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
95.7%
Sean Tyler run for 2 yds to the WMich 37Similar
Q2 10:22
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+1
95.6%
Sean Tyler run for 1 yd to the WMich 38Similar
Q2 10:22
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+6
95.7%
Jack Salopek pass complete to Corey Crooms for 6 yds to the WMich 44Similar
Q2 8:15
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+6
94.6%
Nick Mihalic punt for 42 yds , Dylan Laube returns for 6 yds to the NHamp 20Similar
Q2 8:15
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+6
94.6%
Nick Mihalic punt for 42 yds , Dylan Laube returns for 6 yds to the NHamp 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 12TD
13 plays · 93 yds · 6:004% → 7%
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+1
96.5%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Adam Deese for 1 yd to the NHamp 6Similar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 11
OWN 6
+15
96.5%
Shotgun Brosmer,Max pass incomplete short middle QB hurried by Fiske,Braden PENALTY WMU Personal Foul 15 yards from UNH06 to UNH21, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-4
96.5%
Max Brosmer sacked by Dorian Jackson for a loss of 4 yards to the NHamp 17Similar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 14
OWN 17
+7
96.7%
Dylan Laube run for 7 yds to the NHamp 24Similar
Q2 8:15
3RD & 7
OWN 24
+6
96.5%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Sean Coyne for 6 yds to the NHamp 30Similar
Q2 5:09
4TH & 1
OWN 30
+1
97.2%
Dylan Laube run for 1 yd to the NHamp 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+31
97.3%
Dylan Laube run for 31 yds to the WMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+15
97.1%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Mason Nelson) to the WMich 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
96.9%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Dylan Laube for 6 yds to the WMich 21Similar
Q2 5:09
2ND & 4
OPP 21
-5
96.7%
PENALTY UNH False Start (Michaud,Aidan) 5 yards from WMU21 to WMU26. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:15
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+26
93.3%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Dylan Laube for 26 yds for a TD, (Nick Mazzie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 1:0395% → 96%
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-7
95.4%
Jack Salopek sacked by Josiah Silver for a loss of 7 yards to the WMich 14Similar
Q2 2:15
2ND & 17
OWN 14
+5
95.5%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 5 yds to the WMich 19Similar
Q2 1:39
3RD & 12
OWN 19
+5
95.9%
PENALTY UNH Offside (DeVaughn,Pierce) 5 yards from WMU19 to WMU24. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:39
3RD & 7
OWN 24
+6
95.9%
Jack Salopek run for 6 yds to the WMich 30Similar
Q2 1:12
4TH & 1
OWN 30
0
96.0%
Nick Mihalic punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Dylan Laube at the NHamp 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:074% → 4%
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
96.0%
Dylan Laube run for 5 yds to the NHamp 38Similar
Q2 1:12
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+7
95.6%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Kyle Lepkowski for 7 yds to the NHamp 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
96.0%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Sean Coyne for 3 yds to the NHamp 48Similar
Q2 1:12
2ND & 7
OWN 48
0
95.8%
Max Brosmer pass incomplete to Joey CorcoranSimilar
Q2 1:12
3RD & 7
OWN 48
0
96.0%
Max Brosmer pass incomplete to Dylan LaubeSimilar
Q2 0:05
4TH & 7
OWN 48
0
96.4%
Sean Lehane punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · 7 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
96.3%
Sean Tyler run for 7 yds to the WMich 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 27 yds · 3:365% → 4%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
94.8%
Dylan Laube run for 4 yds to the NHamp 21Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+3
94.8%
Dylan Laube run for 3 yds to the NHamp 18Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+10
94.9%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Caleb Burke for 10 yds to the NHamp 28Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+22
94.9%
Josiah Silver run for 22 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+2
94.3%
Dylan Laube run for 2 yds to the WMich 48Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 48
0
94.3%
Max Brosmer pass incomplete to Adam DeeseSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 48
0
94.5%
NEW HAMPSHIRE Penalty, Offensive Holding (Pop Bush) declinedSimilar
Q3 11:24
4TH & 8
OPP 48
0
95.6%
Sean Lehane punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMich 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:0196% → 96%
Q3 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
96.1%
Jack Salopek pass incomplete to Corey CroomsSimilar
Q3 11:24
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+3
96.0%
Jack Salopek pass complete to Blake Bosma for 3 yds to the WMich 12Similar
Q3 11:24
3RD & 7
OWN 12
0
96.0%
Jack Salopek pass incomplete to Sean TylerSimilar
Q3 10:23
4TH & 7
OWN 12
+12
96.0%
Nick Mihalic punt for 43 yds , Dylan Laube returns for 12 yds to the WMich 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 18DOWNS
4 plays · -5 yds · 2:234% → 4%
Q3 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-9
95.6%
Max Brosmer sacked by Braden Fiske for a loss of 9 yards to the NHamp 48Similar
Q3 10:23
2ND & 19
OWN 48
+6
96.0%
Dylan Laube run for 6 yds to the WMich 46Similar
Q3 10:23
3RD & 13
OPP 46
+6
96.0%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Caleb Burke for 6 yds to the WMich 40Similar
Q3 8:00
4TH & 7
OPP 40
-8
96.4%
Max Brosmer sacked by Corvin Moment for a loss of 8 yards to the WMich 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:3797% → 97%
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
96.8%
La'Darius Jefferson run for no gain to the WMich 48Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+5
96.7%
Sean Tyler run for 5 yds to the WMich 43Similar
Q3 8:00
3RD & 15
OWN 43
0
96.6%
Jack Salopek pass incomplete to Jehlani GallowaySimilar
Q3 6:23
4TH & 15
OWN 43
0
96.6%
Nick Mihalic punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Dylan Laube at the NHamp 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 20INT
3 plays · 9 yds · 1:263% → 3%
Q3 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
96.8%
Dylan Laube run for 2 yds to the NHamp 16Similar
Q3 6:23
2ND & 8
OWN 16
+7
96.7%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Joey Corcoran for 7 yds to the NHamp 23Similar
Q3 4:57
3RD & 1
OWN 23
0
97.2%
Max Brosmer pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 21FG
8 plays · 21 yds · 1:5397% → 98%
Q3 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
97.3%
La'Darius Jefferson run for 5 yds to the NHamp 33Similar
Q3 4:57
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+21
97.3%
Jack Salopek run for 21 yds to the NHamp 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-5
97.3%
PENALTY WMU False Start (West,Addison) 5 yards from UNH12 to UNH17. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:57
1ST & 15
OPP 17
0
97.3%
Jack Salopek pass incomplete to Corey CroomsSimilar
Q3 4:57
2ND & 15
OPP 17
0
97.2%
Jack Salopek pass incomplete to Corey CroomsSimilar
Q3 4:57
3RD & 15
OPP 17
0
97.2%
Jack Salopek pass incomplete to Corey CroomsSimilar
Q3 3:04
4TH & 15
OPP 17
+34
98.0%
Palmer Domschke 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 22FUMBLE
2 plays · 10 yds · 0:462% → 2%
Q3 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+13
97.8%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Heron Maurisseau for 13 yds to the NHamp 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-3
98.1%
Max Brosmer sacked by Kenny Givens for a loss of 3 yards to the NHamp 37 Max Brosmer fumbled, recovered by WMich Kenny Givens , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 23TD
7 plays · 37 yds · 2:5098% → 100%
Q3 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
98.4%
Sean Tyler run for 7 yds to the NHamp 30Similar
Q3 2:13
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+9
98.4%
Jack Salopek pass complete to Corey Crooms for 9 yds to the NHamp 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
98.4%
Jack Salopek pass complete to Jehlani Galloway for 2 yds to the NHamp 19Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+4
98.6%
Sean Tyler run for 4 yds to the NHamp 15Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 15
+4
98.6%
Sean Tyler run for 4 yds to the NHamp 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:23
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
99.8%
Sean Tyler run for 11 yds for a TD, (Palmer Domschke PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 24PUNT
13 plays · 23 yds · 6:540% → 0%
Q4 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+6
99.8%
Dylan Laube run for 6 yds to the NHamp 19Similar
Q4 13:35
2ND & 4
OWN 19
+3
99.9%
Dylan Laube run for 3 yds to the NHamp 22Similar
Q4 13:35
3RD & 1
OWN 22
+3
99.9%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Dylan Laube for 3 yds to the NHamp 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Dylan Laube run for no gain to the NHamp 25Similar
Q4 13:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
99.9%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Caleb Burke for 10 yds to the NHamp 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
99.8%
Myles Thomason run for 1 yd to the NHamp 36Similar
Q4 13:35
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+15
99.9%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the NHamp 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-4
99.8%
Max Brosmer sacked by Warren Dabney for a loss of 4 yards to the NHamp 41Similar
Q4 13:35
2ND & 14
OWN 41
-10
99.9%
NEW HAMPSHIRE Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the NHamp 32Similar
Q4 13:35
2ND & 23
OWN 32
+15
99.9%
Max Brosmer pass complete to Dylan Laube for 15 yds to the NHamp 47Similar
Q4 13:35
3RD & 8
OWN 47
-11
99.9%
Max Brosmer sacked by Joshua Nobles for a loss of 11 yards to the NHamp 36Similar
Q4 7:29
4TH & 19
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Sean Lehane punt for 61 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:30100% → 100%
Q4 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+1
99.9%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 1 yd to the WMich 4Similar
Q4 7:29
2ND & 9
OWN 4
+1
99.9%
Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 1 yd to the WMich 5Similar
Q4 7:29
3RD & 8
OWN 5
0
99.9%
Jack Salopek pass incomplete to Anthony SambucciSimilar
Q4 5:59
4TH & 8
OWN 5
0
99.9%
Nick Mihalic punt for 3 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMich 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 26INT TD
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:360% → 0%
Q4 5:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
99.9%
Shotgun Thomason,Myles rush left for 1 yard gain to the WMU07 (Carter,Andre) PENALTY WMU Face Mask (Carter,Andre) 4 yards from WMU08 to WMU04, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-10
99.9%
Shotgun Thomason,Myles rush left for 0 yards to the WMU04 (Barnes,Zaire), out of bounds PENALTY UNH Holding 10 yards from WMU04 to WMU14. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 14
0
99.9%
Max Brosmer pass incomplete to Caleb BurkeSimilar
Q4 5:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
-97
100.0%
Delano Ware 97 Yd Interception Return (Palmer Domschke Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:130% → 0%
Q4 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Myles Thomason run for no gain to the NHamp 25Similar
Q4 5:18
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
100.0%
Myles Thomason run for 7 yds to the NHamp 32Similar
Q4 5:18
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+1
100.0%
Myles Thomason run for 1 yd to the NHamp 33Similar
Q4 3:05
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
100.0%
Sean Lehane punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Zahir Abdus-Salaam at the WMich 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 28PUNT
5 plays · 13 yds · 2:07100% → 100%
Q4 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
100.0%
Trae Allen run for 2 yds to the WMich 17Similar
Q4 3:05
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+1
100.0%
Trae Allen run for 1 yd to the WMich 16Similar
Q4 3:05
3RD & 9
OWN 16
+2
100.0%
Trae Allen run for 2 yds to the WMich 18Similar
Q4 0:58
4TH & 7
OWN 18
0
100.0%
Nick Mihalic punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Griffin Helm at the NHamp 40Similar
Q4 0:58
4TH & 7
OWN 18
0
100.0%
Nick Mihalic punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Griffin Helm at the NHamp 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 29END OF GAME
3 plays · 20 yds · 0:580% → 0%
Q4 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
100.0%
PENALTY WMU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Cannon,Quinton) 15 yards from UNH30 to UNH45, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
100.0%
Myles Thomason run for 3 yds to the NHamp 48Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+2
100.0%
Myles Thomason run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 14:42
Jack Salopek pass complete to Corey Crooms for 75 yds for a TD, (Palmer Domschke KICK)
-6.9
TD · Q2 2:15
Max Brosmer pass complete to Dylan Laube for 26 yds for a TD, (Nick Mazzie KICK)
-4.7
TD · Q2 12:07
Jack Salopek pass complete to Joshua Burgett for 3 yds for a TD, (Palmer Domschke KICK)
+4.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com