Try the model
OHIO

Ohio 24 at Kent State 31

KENT
2022 · Week 5 · Oct 1, 2022 · Dix Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · KENT
modelKENT aheadOHIO aheadconfidence bandkey playKENT scoreOHIO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 13:11 · Jack Wilson punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Raymond James at the KntSt 10
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.5+16.30−16.3−32.5Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 5Pregame prior+31.7Home team on offense−0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 3:46: Nathanial Vakos 28 yd FG GOOD — OHIO win probability +5.6 pts (now 31%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 0:47: Sieh Bangura run for 50 yds for a TD, (Nathanial Vakos KICK) — OHIO win probability +25.8 pts (now 65%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 4:11: Dante Cephas 29 Yd pass from Collin Schlee (Andrew Glass Kick) — KENT win probability +30.2 pts (now 62%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 3:54: Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 71 yds for a TD, (Nathanial Vakos KICK) — OHIO win probability +46.0 pts (now 86%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:44: Collin Schlee run for 2 yds for a TD, (Andrew Glass KICK) — KENT win probability +37.2 pts (now 67%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KENT made the numbers' call on 5 of 5OHIO made the numbers' call on 5 of 10
  1. Q1 13:11OHIO 4th & 1 at OHIO 39, tied
    Close callPunted · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.2%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:34OHIO 4th & 5 at KENT 40, down 7
    Close callPunted · 20.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.2%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    20.0%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    20.1%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:47OHIO 4th & 2 at KENT 6, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    20.9%−0.6
    91% to make
    Punt
    17.8%−3.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:48KENT 4th & 13 at KENT 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.4%−1.0
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:46OHIO 4th & 11 at KENT 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.4%−1.0
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.4%
    87% to make
    Punt
    25.5%−4.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:27OHIO 4th & 5 at OHIO 41, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.0%−0.6
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.6%
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:18OHIO 4th & 4 at KENT 43, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 38.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    36.8%−2.6
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    38.0%−1.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:51KENT 4th & 14 at OHIO 32, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.1%−2.1
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.2%
    51% to make
    Punt
    57.7%−1.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:05OHIO 4th & 22 at OHIO 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.1%−4.9
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:25KENT 4th & 10 at OHIO 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 64.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.3%−1.2
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.6%
    56% to make
    Punt
    62.1%−2.5
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:13KENT 4th & 4 at OHIO 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    38.9%−3.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    38.3%−3.7
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:04OHIO 4th & 1 at OHIO 43, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.3 ptsPunted · 69.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.4%−3.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:23KENT 4th & 7 at OHIO 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    30.9%−1.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    29.1%−2.9
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:57OHIO 4th & 6 at KENT 41, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 78.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    76.4%−2.2
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    77.0%−1.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:28OHIO 4th & 14 at OHIO 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.0%−13.0
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KENT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3OHIO made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 11:30KENT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:47OHIO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 0:47OHIO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.4%−0.3
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 4:11KENT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.1%−1.5
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 3:54OHIO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.3%−0.8
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.1%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 1:44KENT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.9%−1.9
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OHIODrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 1:4518% → 18%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
82.5%
Sieh Bangura run for 5 yds to the Ohio 35Similar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+3
82.5%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sieh Bangura for 3 yds to the Ohio 38Similar
Q1 14:56
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+1
82.5%
Sieh Bangura run for 1 yd to the Ohio 39Similar
Q1 13:11
4TH & 1
OWN 39
0
82.1%
Jack Wilson punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Raymond James at the KntSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 2TD
6 plays · 90 yds · 1:4182% → 83%
Q1 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
82.1%
Marquez Cooper run for no gain to the KntSt 10Similar
Q1 13:11
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+18
82.1%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Dante Cephas for 18 yds to the KntSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+10
82.1%
Marquez Cooper run for 10 yds to the KntSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+23
82.1%
Marquez Cooper run for 23 yds to the Ohio 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+36
82.2%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Devontez Walker for 36 yds to the Ohio 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
82.7%
Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds for a TD, (Andrew Glass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 35 yds · 2:5618% → 18%
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
82.3%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sieh Bangura for 2 yds to the Ohio 27Similar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+8
82.3%
Kurtis Rourke run for 8 yds to the Ohio 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
82.3%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Sam WigluszSimilar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+20
82.3%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 20 yds to the KntSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
82.1%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 5 yds to the KntSt 40Similar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 5
OPP 40
0
82.1%
Sieh Bangura run for no gain to the KntSt 40Similar
Q1 11:30
3RD & 5
OPP 40
0
82.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Miles CrossSimilar
Q1 8:34
4TH & 5
OPP 40
0
82.0%
Jack Wilson punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 4PUNT
17 plays · 40 yds · 6:1882% → 81%
Q1 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
82.2%
Collin Schlee run for 9 yds to the KntSt 29Similar
Q1 8:34
2ND & 1
OWN 29
0
82.4%
Marquez Cooper run for no gain to the KntSt 29Similar
Q1 8:34
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+2
82.2%
Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the KntSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
82.3%
Marquez Cooper run for no gain to the KntSt 31Similar
Q1 8:34
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+11
82.3%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Devontez Walker for 11 yds to the KntSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
82.5%
Collin Schlee run for 3 yds to the KntSt 39Similar
Q1 8:34
2ND & 13
OWN 39
+17
82.3%
Marquez Cooper run for 17 yds to the Ohio 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
82.6%
Marquez Cooper run for 4 yds to the Ohio 40Similar
Q1 8:34
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+7
82.6%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Luke Floriea for 7 yds to the Ohio 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+22
82.6%
Collin Schlee run for 22 yds to the Ohio 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-10
82.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun Schlee,Collin rush middle for 9 yards gain to the OUB02 (Watkins,Vonnie) PENALTY KSU Holding (Ratliff,Elijah) 10 yards from OUB11 to OUB21. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:34
1ST & 20
OPP 21
+5
82.6%
PENALTY OUB Offside (Mathews,Rodney) 5 yards from OUB21 to OUB16. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:34
1ST & 15
OPP 16
+1
82.6%
Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the Ohio 17Similar
Q1 8:34
2ND & 16
OPP 17
+6
82.6%
Marquez Cooper run for 6 yds to the Ohio 11Similar
Q1 8:34
3RD & 10
OPP 11
-24
82.5%
Collin Schlee sacked by Jeremiah Burton for a loss of 24 yards to the Ohio 35 Collin Schlee fumbled, recovered by KntSt Jack Bailey , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 8:34
4TH & 34
OPP 35
-5
82.1%
PENALTY KSU Delay Of Game (Schlee,Collin) 5 yards from OUB35 to OUB40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:16
4TH & 39
OPP 40
0
81.3%
Collin Schlee punt for 20 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 5TD
14 plays · 80 yds · 5:2919% → 24%
Q1 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
81.5%
Nolan McCormick run for 5 yds to the Ohio 25Similar
Q1 2:16
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+4
81.3%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 4 yds to the Ohio 29Similar
Q1 2:16
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+6
81.5%
Nolan McCormick run for 6 yds to the Ohio 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
81.3%
Nolan McCormick run for 4 yds to the Ohio 39Similar
Q1 2:16
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
80.9%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Nolan McCormickSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+16
81.1%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Will Kacmarek for 16 yds to the KntSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+20
80.3%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Will Kacmarek for 20 yds to the KntSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
79.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Nolan McCormickSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+11
79.9%
Nolan McCormick run for 11 yds to the KntSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
79.7%
Nolan McCormick run for 1 yd to the KntSt 13Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+6
79.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Will Kacmarek for 6 yds to the KntSt 7Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 7
+1
80.3%
Nolan McCormick run for 1 yd to the KntSt 6Similar
Q2 11:47
4TH & 2
OPP 6
+6
75.6%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Nolan McCormick for 6 yds for a TD, (Nathanial Vakos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:5478% → 76%
Q2 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
77.7%
Bryan Bradford run for 2 yds to the KntSt 31Similar
Q2 11:42
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+13
77.7%
Collin Schlee run for 13 yds to the KntSt 18 Collin Schlee fumbled, recovered by KntSt Elijah RatliffSimilar
Q2 11:42
3RD & 21
OWN 18
+8
76.8%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Bryan Bradford for 8 yds to the KntSt 26Similar
Q2 9:48
4TH & 13
OWN 26
+8
75.9%
Collin Schlee punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ohio 30 , Sam Wiglusz returns for 8 yds to the Ohio 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 7FG
11 plays · 59 yds · 6:0225% → 31%
Q2 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
75.3%
Sieh Bangura run for 9 yds to the Ohio 39Similar
Q2 9:48
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+1
74.1%
Sieh Bangura run for 1 yd to the Ohio 38Similar
Q2 9:48
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+9
74.3%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Nigel Drummond II for 9 yds to the Ohio 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+19
74.0%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 19 yds to the KntSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
73.3%
Kurtis Rourke run for 2 yds to the KntSt 32Similar
Q2 9:48
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+25
73.3%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to James Bostic for 25 yds to the KntSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
73.2%
Nolan McCormick run for no gain to the KntSt 7Similar
Q2 9:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
73.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 5 yds to the KntSt 2Similar
Q2 9:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-15
73.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun Bangura,Sieh rush right for 1 yard gain to the KSU01 (Miller,Montre) PENALTY OUB Personal Foul (Jones,Jacoby) 15 yards from KSU02 to KSU17. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 17
+6
74.6%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Jacoby Jones for 6 yds to the KntSt 11Similar
Q2 3:46
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+28
69.0%
Nathanial Vakos 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 8FUMBLE
10 plays · 52 yds · 2:3470% → 73%
Q2 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
70.2%
Collin Schlee run for 6 yds to the KntSt 31Similar
Q2 3:46
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+7
71.5%
Marquez Cooper run for 7 yds to the KntSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+14
71.2%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Raymond James for 14 yds to the Ohio 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
72.7%
Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the Ohio 49Similar
Q2 3:46
2ND & 11
OPP 49
+2
71.5%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Dante Cephas for 2 yds to the Ohio 47Similar
Q2 3:46
3RD & 9
OPP 47
+16
71.9%
Collin Schlee run for 16 yds to the Ohio 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
73.8%
Marquez Cooper run for 4 yds to the Ohio 27Similar
Q2 3:46
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+14
73.8%
Collin Schlee run for 14 yds to the Ohio 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-10
72.7%
Collin Schlee sacked by Cannon Blauser for a loss of 10 yards to the Ohio 23 Collin Schlee fumbled, recovered by Ohio Bradley Weaver , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:4533% → 34%
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
66.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Will KacmarekSimilar
Q2 1:12
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+13
66.8%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 13 yds to the Ohio 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
65.9%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Sieh BanguraSimilar
Q2 1:12
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
66.3%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Will KacmarekSimilar
Q2 1:12
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+5
67.0%
Sieh Bangura run for 5 yds to the Ohio 41Similar
Q2 0:27
4TH & 5
OWN 41
+3
65.7%
Jack Wilson punt for 40 yds , Raymond James returns for 3 yds to the KntSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 10END OF HALF
7 plays · 35 yds · 0:2766% → 69%
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+22
65.9%
Marquez Cooper run for 22 yds to the KntSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
68.5%
Collin Schlee pass incomplete to Luke FlorieaSimilar
Q2 0:27
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
67.3%
Collin Schlee pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:07
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+13
67.0%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Dante Cephas for 13 yds to the Ohio 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
69.4%
Collin Schlee pass incomplete to Devontez WalkerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 11FUMBLE
5 plays · 45 yds · 1:0466% → 66%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+9
66.4%
Marquez Cooper run for 9 yds to the KntSt 13Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 1
OWN 13
+2
66.8%
Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the KntSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
66.7%
Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the KntSt 18Similar
Q3 13:51
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+31
65.6%
Marquez Cooper run for 31 yds to the KntSt 49 Marquez Cooper fumbled, recovered by Ohio Justin BirchetteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:3338% → 37%
Q3 13:51
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
61.9%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Will Kacmarek for 6 yds to the KntSt 43Similar
Q3 13:51
2ND & 4
OPP 43
0
61.6%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for no gain to the KntSt 43Similar
Q3 13:51
3RD & 4
OPP 43
0
62.5%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to James BosticSimilar
Q3 12:18
4TH & 4
OPP 43
0
63.0%
Jack Wilson punt for 12 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KntSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 13FG
10 plays · 37 yds · 2:2765% → 69%
Q3 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+10
64.8%
Marquez Cooper run for 10 yds to the KntSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+17
67.0%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Devontez Walker for 17 yds to the Ohio 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
68.1%
Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the Ohio 39Similar
Q3 12:18
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+11
68.1%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Dante Cephas for 11 yds to the Ohio 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-10
69.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun Cooper,Marquez rush middle for 0 yards to the OUB28 (Williams Jr.,Adonis) PENALTY KSU Holding (Ratliff,Elijah) 10 yards from OUB28 to OUB38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:18
1ST & 20
OPP 38
-10
66.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Schlee,Collin rush middle for 21 yards gain to the OUB17 (Sanders,Zack) PENALTY KSU Holding (Marshall,Marcellus) 10 yards from OUB38 to OUB48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:18
1ST & 30
OPP 48
+9
66.2%
Marquez Cooper run for 9 yds to the Ohio 39Similar
Q3 12:18
2ND & 21
OPP 39
+7
66.1%
Marquez Cooper run for 7 yds to the Ohio 32Similar
Q3 12:18
3RD & 14
OPP 32
0
65.3%
Collin Schlee pass incomplete to Dante CephasSimilar
Q3 9:51
4TH & 14
OPP 32
+50
68.5%
Andrew Glass 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 3:4633% → 33%
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
67.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sieh Bangura for 3 yds to the Ohio 28Similar
Q3 9:51
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
66.9%
Sieh Bangura run for 5 yds to the Ohio 33Similar
Q3 9:51
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
66.6%
Sieh Bangura run for 3 yds to the Ohio 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+20
66.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Jacoby Jones for 20 yds to the KntSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
63.9%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Jacoby JonesSimilar
Q3 9:51
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+1
63.9%
Sieh Bangura run for 1 yd to the KntSt 45Similar
Q3 9:51
3RD & 11
OPP 45
-11
65.8%
Kurtis Rourke sacked by Stephen Daley for a loss of 11 yards to the Ohio 44Similar
Q3 6:05
4TH & 22
OWN 44
0
67.0%
Jack Wilson punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 15MISSED FG
12 plays · 51 yds · 3:4068% → 66%
Q3 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
68.2%
Marquez Cooper run for 5 yds to the KntSt 24Similar
Q3 6:05
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+8
68.6%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Dante Cephas for 8 yds to the KntSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
68.8%
Marquez Cooper run for 7 yds to the KntSt 39Similar
Q3 6:05
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+12
71.2%
Marquez Cooper run for 12 yds to the Ohio 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
71.9%
Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the Ohio 48Similar
Q3 6:05
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+8
71.9%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Dante Cephas for 8 yds to the Ohio 40Similar
Q3 6:05
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+10
71.6%
Marquez Cooper run for 10 yds to the Ohio 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
73.0%
Collin Schlee pass incomplete to Luke FlorieaSimilar
Q3 6:05
2ND & 10
OPP 30
-10
72.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Schlee,Collin pass complete short left to Bradford,Bryan for 9 yards to the OUB21 (Birchette,Justin) PENALTY KSU Holding (Bailey,Jack) 10 yards from OUB30 to OUB40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:05
2ND & 20
OPP 40
+1
70.3%
Bryan Bradford run for 1 yd to the Ohio 39Similar
Q3 6:05
3RD & 19
OPP 39
+9
68.9%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Kris Leach for 9 yds to the Ohio 30Similar
Q3 2:25
4TH & 10
OPP 30
+47
65.9%
Andrew Glass 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 16TD
5 plays · 70 yds · 1:3838% → 65%
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
62.3%
Sieh Bangura run for 9 yds to the Ohio 39Similar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 1
OWN 39
-5
59.6%
PENALTY OUB False Start (Habinowski,Joseph) 5 yards from OUB39 to OUB34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+16
61.1%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:47
1ST & 10
50
+50
35.3%
Sieh Bangura run for 50 yds for a TD, (Nathanial Vakos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 17DOWNS
8 plays · 46 yds · 1:3044% → 42%
Q3 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+18
43.5%
Devontez Walker run for 18 yds to the KntSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
45.4%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Dante Cephas for 5 yds to the KntSt 43Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+1
44.5%
Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the KntSt 44Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+13
42.9%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Dante Cephas for 13 yds to the Ohio 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
45.7%
Marquez Cooper run for 6 yds to the Ohio 37Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 37
0
45.8%
Collin Schlee pass incomplete to Dante CephasSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 37
0
45.2%
Collin Schlee pass incomplete to Raymond JamesSimilar
Q4 14:13
4TH & 4
OPP 37
+3
42.0%
Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the Ohio 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:0967% → 69%
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
33.1%
Sieh Bangura run for 4 yds to the Ohio 38Similar
Q4 14:13
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+5
31.6%
Sieh Bangura run for 5 yds to the Ohio 43Similar
Q4 14:13
3RD & 1
OWN 43
0
32.0%
Sieh Bangura run for no gain to the Ohio 43Similar
Q4 12:04
4TH & 1
OWN 43
0
31.3%
Jack Wilson punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Raymond James at the KntSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 19DOWNS
10 plays · 51 yds · 2:4136% → 34%
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+11
36.0%
Marquez Cooper run for 11 yds to the KntSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
36.5%
Marquez Cooper run for 4 yds to the KntSt 28Similar
Q4 12:04
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+23
37.2%
Collin Schlee run for 23 yds to the Ohio 49 Collin Schlee fumbled, recovered by KntSt Collin Schlee for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
42.4%
Collin Schlee run for 1 yd to the Ohio 38Similar
Q4 12:04
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+7
42.3%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Raymond James for 7 yds to the Ohio 31Similar
Q4 12:04
3RD & 2
OPP 31
-5
42.2%
PENALTY KSU False Start (Ratliff,Elijah) 5 yards from OUB31 to OUB36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:04
3RD & 7
OPP 36
0
41.8%
Collin Schlee run for no gain to the Ohio 36 KENT ST Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
42.1%
Collin Schlee pass incomplete to Dante CephasSimilar
Q4 12:04
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+10
41.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun Schlee,Collin pass incomplete short middle to James,Raymond PENALTY OUB Holding (Blauser,Cannon) 10 yards from OUB49 to OUB39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:23
4TH & 7
OPP 36
0
33.8%
Collin Schlee pass incomplete to Devontez WalkerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 2:2676% → 80%
Q4 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+19
24.4%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 19 yds to the KntSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
22.0%
Sieh Bangura run for no gain to the KntSt 45Similar
Q4 9:23
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+6
22.1%
Kurtis Rourke run for 6 yds to the KntSt 39Similar
Q4 7:32
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+2
19.4%
Sieh Bangura run for 2 yds to the KntSt 41Similar
Q4 6:57
4TH & 6
OPP 41
0
20.4%
Jack Wilson punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KntSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 21TD
9 plays · 90 yds · 2:4626% → 62%
Q4 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
25.8%
Marquez Cooper run for 4 yds to the KntSt 14Similar
Q4 6:57
2ND & 6
OWN 14
0
25.6%
Collin Schlee pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:57
3RD & 6
OWN 14
+45
24.0%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Dante Cephas for 45 yds to the Ohio 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
32.3%
Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the Ohio 39Similar
Q4 6:57
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+16
32.0%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Dante Cephas for 16 yds to the Ohio 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
34.7%
Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the Ohio 25Similar
Q4 6:57
2ND & 12
OPP 25
-10
33.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun Schlee,Collin pass complete short middle to Cephas,Dante for 6 yards to the OUB19 (Sanders,Zack) PENALTY KSU Holding (Marshall,Marcellus) 10 yards from OUB25 to OUB35. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:57
2ND & 22
OPP 35
+6
31.2%
Marquez Cooper run for 6 yds to the Ohio 29Similar
Q4 4:11
3RD & 16
OPP 29
+29
61.5%
Dante Cephas 29 Yd pass from Collin Schlee (Andrew Glass Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 22TD
2 plays · 71 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q4 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+71
13.9%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 71 yds for a TD, (Nathanial Vakos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 23TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:1023% → 67%
Q4 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
22.6%
Collin Schlee pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+26
22.0%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Devontez Walker for 26 yds to the Ohio 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+13
28.2%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Devontez Walker for 13 yds to the Ohio 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+23
29.3%
Collin Schlee run for 23 yds to the Ohio 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
31.5%
Collin Schlee pass incomplete to Raymond JamesSimilar
Q4 3:54
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+4
31.5%
Collin Schlee run for 4 yds to the Ohio 9Similar
Q4 3:54
3RD & 6
OPP 9
+7
29.3%
Collin Schlee run for 7 yds to the Ohio 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
66.5%
Collin Schlee run for 2 yds for a TD, (Andrew Glass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 24PUNT
9 plays · 11 yds · 1:1150% → 47%
Q4 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
50.2%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 6 yds to the Ohio 31Similar
Q4 1:39
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+9
47.6%
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sieh Bangura for 9 yds to the Ohio 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-4
45.7%
Kurtis Rourke sacked by Zayin West for a loss of 4 yards to the Ohio 36 Kurtis Rourke fumbled, recovered by Ohio Brody Rodgers , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 0:48
2ND & 14
OWN 36
0
50.7%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Will KacmarekSimilar
Q4 0:42
3RD & 14
OWN 36
0
52.1%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Miles CrossSimilar
Q4 0:28
4TH & 14
OWN 36
0
53.5%
Jack Wilson punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KntSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 25MISSED FG
5 plays · 57 yds · 0:2857% → 64%
Q4 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+54
56.5%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Dante Cephas for 54 yds to the Ohio 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
66.7%
Collin Schlee pass complete to Devontez Walker for 4 yds to the Ohio 28Similar
Q4 0:28
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+1
66.7%
Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the Ohio 29Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 29
+47
64.2%
Andrew Glass 47 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Kai Caesar Josh Smith return to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 26DOWNS
1 play · 20 yds · 0:0050% → 50%
OT 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
0
50.3%
Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete to Miles CrossSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+49.7
TD · Q4 3:54
Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 71 yds for a TD, (Nathanial Vakos KICK)
-46
TD · Q4 1:44
Collin Schlee run for 2 yds for a TD, (Andrew Glass KICK)
+37.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com