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M-OH

Miami (OH) 20 at Buffalo 24

BUF
2022 · Week 5 · Oct 1, 2022 · UB Stadium
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Win probability · BUF
modelBUF aheadM-OH aheadconfidence bandkey playBUF scoreM-OH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDFGFGTDTDEnd of GameTD-2.8BUF 59.6%Cole Snyder 1 Yd Run (Alex McNultyKick)AWAY 10 - HOME 14 · Q2 10:49
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 10:49 · Cole Snyder 1 Yd Run (Alex McNulty Kick)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+30.0+15.00−15.0−30.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 57Home team on offense+2.4Garbage-time factor+0.4Pregame prior+3.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0Score differential−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:03: Mike Washington 1 Yd Run (Alex McNulty Kick) — M-OH win probability +18.7 pts (now 40%) (top driver: BUF has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 6:07: Aveon Smith 73 Yd Run (Graham Nicholson Kick) — M-OH win probability +7.2 pts (now 44%) (top driver: Tied - offense's timeout count is neutral here).
  3. TD · Q3 3:55: Aveon Smith 3 Yd Run (Graham Nicholson Kick) — M-OH win probability +9.5 pts (now 53%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 0:46: Alex McNulty 39 yd FG GOOD for a 1ST down MIAMI OH Penalty, off-side (Dee Pierce) to the MiaOh 17 for a 1ST down — BUF win probability +20.5 pts (now 33%) (top driver: BUF has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:31: Justin Marshall 15 Yd pass from Cole Snyder (Alex McNulty Kick) — BUF win probability +49.2 pts (now 94%) (top driver: BUF has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BUF made the numbers' call on 8 of 9M-OH made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 10:51M-OH 4th & 9 at M-OH 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.3%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:25BUF 4th & 4 at BUF 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.1%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:44M-OH 4th & 2 at M-OH 27, tied
    Close callPunted · 40.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.2%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:21BUF 4th & 10 at BUF 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.9%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:02M-OH 4th & 12 at M-OH 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.8%−1.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:46BUF 4th & 10 at BUF 25, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.8%−0.9
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:49BUF 4th & 1 at M-OH 1, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.8%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    60.3%−1.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    56.5%−5.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:28M-OH 4th & 17 at BUF 17, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.1%−1.4
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.5%
    80% to make
    Punt
    32.1%−4.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:10BUF 4th & 5 at BUF 49, up 4
    Close callPunted · 64.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.5%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:07BUF 4th & 6 at BUF 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.1%−1.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:16M-OH 4th & 10 at M-OH 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.1%−1.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:07BUF 4th & 12 at M-OH 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.8%−1.9
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.7%
    66% to make
    Punt
    48.8%−9.8
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:58M-OH 4th & 5 at BUF 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.0%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.3%
    92% to make
    Punt
    31.4%−14.9
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:14M-OH 4th & 12 at M-OH 26, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.3%−5.5
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:42BUF 4th & 10 at BUF 32, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.5%−3.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.7%
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:22M-OH 4th & 11 at BUF 37, up 3
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.7 ptsPunted · 70.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.6%−0.7
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    70.3%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    68.6%−1.7
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:46BUF 4th & 4 at M-OH 22, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.1%−11.9
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.1%
    72% to make
    Punt
    12.2%−27.9
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:03M-OH 4th & 6 at BUF 46, down 4
    Close callWent for it · 23.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.5%−0.8
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    19.9%−5.3
    23% to make
    Punt
    25.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BUF made the numbers' call on 1 of 2M-OH made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 7:03BUF Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    62.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:07M-OH Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 0:31BUF Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.9%−0.6
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
M-OHDrive 1PUNT
19 plays · 23 yds · 10:5144% → 44%
Q1 10:51
4TH & 9
OWN 37
+2
56.0%
Dom Dzioban punt for 35 yds , Quian Williams returns for 2 yds to the Buff 30Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+10
55.7%
Aveon Smith pass complete to Mac Hippenhammer for 10 yds to the MiaOh 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-10
55.6%
MIAMI OH Penalty, Offensive holding (Will Jados) to the MiaOh 14Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 20
OWN 14
+5
55.7%
Keyon Mozee run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 19Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 15
OWN 19
+6
55.8%
Aveon Smith pass complete to Kevin Davis for 6 yds to the MiaOh 25Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 9
OWN 25
+11
56.2%
Aveon Smith pass complete to Mac Hippenhammer for 11 yds to the MiaOh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
55.1%
Keyon Mozee run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 35Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 35
0
55.6%
pass incomplete to Mac HippenhammerSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 11
OWN 35
+2
56.1%
Aveon Smith pass complete to Kevin Davis for 2 yds to the MiaOh 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 2TD
9 plays · 70 yds · 7:0360% → 63%
Q1 7:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
59.9%
Mike Washington 1 Yd Run (Alex McNulty Kick)Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
62.1%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Quian Williams for 11 yds to the Buff 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+21
63.0%
Ron Cook Jr. run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 47 for a 1ST down MIAMI OH Penalty, personal foul (Brendan Beattie) to the MiaOh 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+11
63.3%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Justin Marshall for 11 yds to the MiaOh 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-6
63.4%
Ron Cook Jr. run for a loss of 6 yards to the MiaOh 33Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 16
OPP 33
+18
62.8%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Ron Cook Jr. for 18 yds to the MiaOh 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
63.4%
Cole Snyder run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 13Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+11
63.4%
Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Quian Williams for a 1ST down MIAMI OH Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Yahsyn McKee) to the MiaOh 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
63.4%
Ron Cook Jr. run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 3TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 6:0744% → 44%
Q1 6:07
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+73
56.2%
Aveon Smith 73 Yd Run (Graham Nicholson Kick)Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
55.6%
Aveon Smith pass incomplete to Jack Coldiron, broken up by Jahmin MuseSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
55.7%
Keyon Mozee run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 4:2556% → 56%
Q1 4:25
4TH & 4
OWN 35
0
55.7%
Anthony Venneri punt for 46 ydsSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
56.8%
pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+4
56.6%
Ron Cook Jr. run for 4 yds to the Buff 33Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 6
OWN 33
+2
56.3%
Cole Snyder run for 2 yds to the Buff 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:4443% → 44%
Q1 2:44
4TH & 2
OWN 27
0
56.8%
Dom Dzioban punt for 38 ydsSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
55.6%
pass incomplete to Miles MarshallSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+9
55.7%
Aveon Smith run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 28Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 28
-1
55.6%
Keyon Mozee run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 1:2156% → 57%
Q1 1:21
4TH & 10
OWN 47
0
55.9%
Anthony Venneri punt for 53 ydsSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
56.9%
Mike Washington run for 2 yds to the Buff 37Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+10
57.2%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Quian Williams for 10 yds to the Buff 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
58.0%
pass incomplete to Jamari GassettSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
57.7%
pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 47
0
56.8%
pass incomplete to Jamari GassettSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:5844% → 43%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
55.6%
Aveon Smith pass incomplete to Kevin Davis, broken up by Ibrahim KanteSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+15
55.7%
Tyre Shelton run for 15 yds to the MiaOh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
55.3%
Keyon Mozee run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 36Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 36
-3
55.2%
Aveon Smith pass complete to Jack Coldiron for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaOh 33Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 33
0
56.2%
Aveon Smith pass incomplete to Jalen Walker, broken up by Elijah BladesSimilar
Q2 14:02
4TH & 12
OWN 33
0
56.7%
Dom Dzioban punt for 53 yds , Ron Cook Jr. returns for no gain to the Buff 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 8INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q2 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
54.6%
Aveon Smith pass intercepted for a 1ST down MIAMI OH Penalty, illegal block (Aveon Smith) to the MiaOh 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 9END OF HALF
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
61.9%
Tyre Shelton run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 20Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 5
OWN 20
0
61.7%
Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 10PUNT
2 plays · 15 yds · 12:4657% → 62%
Q2 12:46
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
57.4%
Anthony Venneri punt for 36 ydsSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
62.4%
pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 11TD
1 play · 1 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q2 10:49
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
59.6%
Cole Snyder 1 Yd Run (Alex McNulty Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 12FG
1 play · 63 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q2 3:28
4TH & GOAL
OPP 17
+35
61.4%
Graham Nicholson 35 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 13PUNT
3 plays · 24 yds · 1:1764% → 64%
Q2 1:17
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+2
64.3%
Ron Cook Jr. run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 49Similar
Q2 1:10
4TH & 5
OWN 49
0
62.1%
Anthony Venneri punt for 36 ydsSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 49
-2
64.3%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Mike Washington for a loss of 2 yards to the Buff 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 14FUMBLE
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q3 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
57.1%
Cole Snyder run for a loss of 2 yards to the Buff 23 Cole Snyder fumbled, recovered by MiaOh Kobe HiltonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 15PUNT
1 play · 16 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q3 11:07
4TH & 6
OWN 41
0
56.4%
Anthony Venneri punt for 40 yds , Jalen Walker returns for no gain to the MiaOh 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 16PUNT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0043% → 43%
Q3 10:16
4TH & 10
OWN 19
0
56.9%
Dom Dzioban punt for 51 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 17FG
1 play · 45 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q3 7:07
4TH & 12
OPP 25
+43
56.8%
Alex McNulty 43 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 18TD
1 play · 73 yds · 0:0053% → 53%
Q3 3:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
47.3%
Aveon Smith 3 Yd Run (Graham Nicholson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 19FG
4 plays · 18 yds · 1:0053% → 57%
Q3 1:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
46.9%
Similar
Q3 1:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-4
48.6%
MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (Tyre Shelton) to the Buff 5Similar
Q3 1:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
48.7%
pass incomplete to Jack ColdironSimilar
Q3 0:58
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
42.9%
Graham Nicholson 22 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 20INT
4 plays · 40 yds · 1:1547% → 55%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+27
47.0%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Quian Williams for 17 yds to the MiaOh 42 MIAMI OH Penalty, illegal use of hands (Kobe Hilton) to the MiaOh 48Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+5
51.9%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Quian Williams for 5 yds to the MiaOh 43Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+8
51.9%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Quian Williams for 8 yds to the MiaOh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
54.8%
Cole Snyder pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 11:1456% → 85%
Q4 11:14
4TH & 12
OWN 26
0
43.9%
Dom Dzioban punt for 53 ydsSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
14.3%
Aveon Smith run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 31Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 31
-2
14.3%
Aveon Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 29Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 9
OWN 29
-3
15.1%
Aveon Smith pass complete to Kevin Davis for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaOh 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 8:4239% → 23%
Q4 8:42
4TH & 10
OWN 32
0
38.9%
Anthony Venneri punt for 46 ydsSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
22.6%
Ron Cook Jr. run for 2 yds to the Buff 23Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+6
22.3%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Robbie Mangas for 6 yds to the Buff 29Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 2
OWN 29
+3
24.2%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Justin Marshall for 3 yds to the Buff 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
25.6%
Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
24.6%
Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Quian Williams, broken up by Yahsyn McKeeSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 32
0
22.6%
pass incomplete to Marlyn JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 23PUNT
10 plays · 41 yds · 4:2271% → 87%
Q4 4:22
4TH & 11
OPP 37
0
29.1%
Dom Dzioban punt for 19 ydsSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
14.2%
Keyon Mozee run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 24Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+6
14.2%
Aveon Smith pass complete to Jalen Walker for 6 yds to the MiaOh 30Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+15
14.7%
Aveon Smith pass incomplete to Miles Marshall for a 1ST down BUFFALO Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Caleb Offord) to the MiaOh 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
13.1%
Aveon Smith pass incomplete to Mac Hippenhammer, broken up by Marcus FuquaSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+9
13.4%
Tyre Shelton run for 9 yds to the Buff 46Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+10
12.1%
Keyon Mozee run for 10 yds to the Buff 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
12.2%
Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 36
-1
12.3%
Tyre Shelton run for a loss of 1 yard to the Buff 37Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 11
OPP 37
0
12.7%
pass incomplete to Jalen WalkerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 24TD
13 plays · 82 yds · 0:4633% → 85%
Q4 0:46
4TH & 4
OPP 22
+44
33.2%
Alex McNulty 39 yd FG GOOD for a 1ST down MIAMI OH Penalty, off-side (Dee Pierce) to the MiaOh 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
43.7%
Ron Cook Jr. run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 15Similar
Q4 0:40
2ND & 8
OPP 15
0
44.6%
Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Quian Williams, broken up by John Saunders Jr.Similar
Q4 0:31
3RD & 8
OPP 15
+15
93.8%
Justin Marshall 15 Yd pass from Cole Snyder (Alex McNulty Kick)Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+9
75.0%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Justin Marshall for 9 yds to the Buff 27Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 1
OWN 27
0
76.1%
Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 27
+1
75.6%
Mike Washington run for 1 yd to the Buff 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
75.8%
pass incomplete to Trevor BorlandSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+23
74.4%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Mike Washington for 23 yds to the MiaOh 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+21
78.6%
Cole Snyder pass complete to Quian Williams for 21 yds to the MiaOh 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
86.2%
Mike Washington run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 25Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+3
86.2%
Mike Washington run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 22Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 22
0
85.2%
Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Justin Marshall, broken up by Yahsyn McKeeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 25DOWNS
5 plays · 34 yds · 0:0323% → 23%
Q4 0:03
4TH & 6
OPP 46
+5
76.7%
Aveon Smith run for 5 yds to the Buff 41Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
82.2%
Aveon Smith pass complete to Jack Coldiron for 10 yds to the MiaOh 35 BUFFALO Penalty, roughing passer (George Wolo) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
50
+6
76.9%
Aveon Smith pass complete to Tyre Shelton for 6 yds to the Buff 44Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 44
-2
73.8%
Aveon Smith pass complete to Tyre Shelton for a loss of 2 yards to the Buff 46Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 46
0
77.2%
Aveon Smith pass incomplete to Miles Marshall, broken up by Marcus FuquaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:31
Justin Marshall 15 Yd pass from Cole Snyder (Alex McNulty Kick)
+49.2
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+22.8
FG · Q4 0:46
Alex McNulty 39 yd FG GOOD for a 1ST down MIAMI OH Penalty, off-side (Dee Pierce) to the MiaOh 17 for a 1ST down
+20.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com