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FOR

Fordham 52 at Ohio 59

OHIO
2022 · Week 4 · Sep 24, 2022 · Peden Stadium
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Win probability · OHIO
modelOHIO aheadFOR aheadconfidence bandkey playOHIO scoreFOR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of GameFG+0.2OHIO 83.8%N.Vakos 34 yard field goal attempt isgood, Center-OHI, Holder-OHI.AWAY 7 - HOME 17 · Q2 6:32
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 6:32 · N.Vakos 34 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-OHI, Holder-OHI.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 62Pregame prior+23.1Home team on offense+6.5Garbage-time factor+1.9Score differential+1.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 11:19: T.Demorat pass complete to OHI 25. Catch made by M.Wright at OHI 25. Gain of 25 yards. M.Wright for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — FOR win probability +11.3 pts (now 28%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q3 3:30: J.Loughridge rushed to OHI End Zone for 2 yards. J.Loughridge for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — FOR win probability +22.2 pts (now 54%) (top driver: FOR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 1:09: T.Demorat pass complete to FOR 16. Catch made by F.Kokosioulis at FOR 16. Gain of 84 yards. F.Kokosioulis for 84 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — FOR win probability +15.1 pts (now 67%) (top driver: FOR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:13: K.Rourke pass complete to FOR 21. Catch made by T.Foster at FOR 21. Gain of 21 yards. T.Foster for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — OHIO win probability +24.1 pts (now 61%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  5. TD · Q4 0:55: K.Rourke pass complete to FOR 5. Catch made by J.Jones at FOR 5. Gain of 5 yards. J.Jones for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — OHIO win probability +50.9 pts (now 83%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OHIO made the numbers' call on 2 of 4FOR made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 3:43FOR 4th & 16 at OHIO 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.8%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    14.9%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    15.0%
    average punt
  2. Q2 6:32OHIO 4th & 13 at FOR 17, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 83.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.5%−0.8
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.3%
    80% to make
    Punt
    80.3%−3.0
    average punt
  3. Q3 7:00OHIO 4th & 12 at FOR 29, up 3
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.4 ptsWent for it · 75.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.8%−1.4
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    75.3%
    58% to make
    Punt
    69.7%−5.5
    average punt
  4. Q3 6:02FOR 4th & 1 at FOR 38, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    24.6%−2.3
    average punt
  5. Q3 2:09OHIO 4th & 3 at OHIO 36, down 4
    Close callPunted · 52.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.8%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q4 10:47FOR 4th & 9 at OHIO 19, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 55.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.9%−2.6
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.6%
    77% to make
    Punt
    38.1%−17.4
    average punt
  7. Q4 6:31OHIO 4th & 2 at FOR 11, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    33.2%−1.8
    87% to make
    Punt
    18.4%−16.6
    average punt
  8. Q4 4:26FOR 4th & 15 at FOR 31, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.1%−6.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.3%
    average punt
  9. Q4 0:19FOR 4th & 10 at FOR 25, down 1
    Numbers favored punt by 1.3 ptsWent for it · 22.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.8%−1.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    16.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OHIO made the numbers' call on 5 of 6FOR made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 7:06OHIO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:12OHIO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:03FOR Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:32FOR Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:56OHIO Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:49FOR Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:12OHIO Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 13:45FOR Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 11:19FOR Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 3:30FOR Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  11. Q3 1:09FOR Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 14:13OHIO Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    46.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    46.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  13. Q4 0:55OHIO Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.6%−7.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OHIODrive 1TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 7:5485% → 85%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
85.2%
K.Rourke pass complete to OHI 25. Catch made by T.Foster at OHI 25. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by R.Greenhagen at OHI 32.Similar
Q1 14:25
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+16
85.1%
N.McCormick rushed to OHI 48 for 16 yards. Tackled by A.Tony-Itoyah at OHI 48.Similar
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
85.0%
N.McCormick rushed to FOR 48 for 4 yards. Tackled by J.Coste; R.Greenhagen at FOR 48.Similar
Q1 12:59
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+5
84.8%
K.Rourke pass complete to FOR 48. Catch made by S.Wiglusz at FOR 48. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by R.Greenhagen; A.Tony-Itoyah at FOR 43.Similar
Q1 12:25
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+8
84.7%
N.McCormick rushed to FOR 35 for 8 yards. Tackled by R.Greenhagen; M.Courtney at FOR 35.Similar
Q1 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
84.7%
N.McCormick rushed to FOR 33 for 2 yards. Tackled by R.Greenhagen; J.Low at FOR 33.Similar
Q1 11:37
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+9
84.6%
K.Rourke pass complete to FOR 33. Catch made by M.Cross at FOR 33. Gain of 9 yards. Tackled by N.Perkins; S.Williams at FOR 24.Similar
Q1 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
84.5%
N.McCormick rushed to FOR 18 for 6 yards. Tackled by M.Courtney; S.Williams at FOR 18.Similar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 4
OPP 18
-1
84.3%
N.McCormick rushed to FOR 19 for -1 yards. Tackled by E.Armstrong at FOR 19.Similar
Q1 9:59
3RD & 5
OPP 19
+7
84.1%
K.Rourke pass complete to FOR 19. Catch made by S.Wiglusz at FOR 19. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by FOR at FOR 12.Similar
Q1 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-3
84.1%
N.McCormick rushed to FOR 15 for -3 yards. Tackled by J.Conway at FOR 15.Similar
Q1 9:12
2ND & 13
OPP 15
+4
84.0%
K.Rourke pass complete to FOR 15. Catch made by M.Cross at FOR 15. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by R.Greenhagen; N.Perkins at FOR 11.Similar
Q1 8:10
3RD & 9
OPP 11
0
83.5%
K.Rourke steps back to pass. K.Rourke pass incomplete intended for W.Kacmarek. PENALTY on FOR-N.Perkins, Defensive Holding, 6 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q1 8:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
83.7%
J.Neatherton rushed to FOR 1 for 4 yards. Tackled by R.Greenhagen at FOR 1.Similar
Q1 7:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
85.0%
K.Rourke rushed to FOR End Zone for 1 yards. K.Rourke for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 2PUNT
11 plays · 35 yds · 3:3416% → 16%
Q1 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
84.5%
T.Demorat pass complete to FOR 23. Catch made by F.Kokosioulis at FOR 23. Gain of 3 yards. Tackled by A.Floyd at FOR 26.Similar
Q1 6:55
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+10
84.4%
T.Demorat rushed to FOR 36 for 10 yards. Tackled by K.Thompson at FOR 36.Similar
Q1 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
84.3%
T.Sneed rushed to FOR 43 for 7 yards. Tackled by K.Thompson; B.Johnson at FOR 43.Similar
Q1 6:37
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+1
84.1%
T.Sneed rushed to FOR 44 for 1 yards. Tackled by B.Houston at FOR 44.Similar
Q1 6:16
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+4
84.0%
T.Demorat pass complete to FOR 44. Catch made by T.Sneed at FOR 44. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by B.Johnson; J.McCrory at FOR 48.Similar
Q1 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+16
83.9%
T.Demorat pass complete to FOR 48. Catch made by D.Carter at FOR 48. Gain of 16 yards. Tackled by A.Floyd; B.Johnson at OHI 36.Similar
Q1 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-7
83.7%
T.Demorat steps back to pass. T.Demorat sacked at OHI 43 for -7 yards (R.Buell)Similar
Q1 4:47
2ND & 17
OPP 43
0
84.0%
T.Demorat steps back to pass. T.Demorat pass incomplete intended for D.Carter.Similar
Q1 3:49
3RD & 17
OPP 43
0
84.1%
T.Demorat scrambles to OHI 37 for 0 yards. Tackled by OHI at OHI 37. PENALTY on FOR-P.Saleh, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q1 4:29
3RD & 27
OWN 47
+11
84.2%
T.Sneed rushed to OHI 42 for 11 yards. Tackled by OHI at OHI 42.Similar
Q1 3:43
4TH & 16
OPP 42
+41
84.3%
W.Haslett punts 41 yards to OHI 1, Center-FOR. Downed by N.Drati.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 3TD
6 plays · 99 yds · 1:2784% → 88%
Q1 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+3
84.2%
N.McCormick rushed to OHI 4 for 3 yards. Tackled by J.Conway; J.Walker at OHI 4.Similar
Q1 3:06
2ND & 7
OWN 4
+46
84.1%
K.Rourke pass complete to OHI 4. Catch made by J.Jones at OHI 4. Gain of 46 yards. Pushed out of bounds by A.Tony-Itoyah at OHI 50.Similar
Q1 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 0
+6
84.8%
K.Rourke pass complete to OHI 50. Catch made by T.Foster at OHI 50. Gain of 6 yards. Pushed out of bounds by N.Drati at FOR 44.Similar
Q1 2:12
2ND & 16
OPP 44
+5
84.2%
N.McCormick rushed to FOR 39 for 5 yards. Tackled by R.Hofus; N.Drati at FOR 39.Similar
Q1 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
87.5%
K.Rourke pass complete to FOR 39. Catch made by T.Foster at FOR 39. Gain of 39 yards. T.Foster for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 4TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 2:2114% → 18%
Q1 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
86.3%
T.Demorat pass complete to FOR 25. Catch made by F.Kokosioulis at FOR 25. Gain of 11 yards. Tackled by T.Drake; B.Johnson at FOR 36.Similar
Q1 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
86.2%
J.Loughridge rushed to FOR 36 for 0 yards. Tackled by A.Floyd at FOR 36.Similar
Q1 0:40
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+11
86.3%
T.Demorat steps back to pass. T.Demorat pass complete to FOR 36. Catch made by F.Kokosioulis at FOR 36. Gain of 11 yards.Similar
Q1 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
86.1%
T.Demorat steps back to pass. T.Demorat pass incomplete intended for D.Carter.Similar
Q1 0:10
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+9
86.2%
J.Loughridge rushed to OHI 44 for 9 yards. Tackled by K.McCracken; K.Thompson at OHI 44.Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+9
85.8%
J.Loughridge rushed to OHI 35 for 9 yards. Tackled by B.Johnson; R.Parodie at OHI 35.Similar
Q2 14:31
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
85.6%
T.Demorat pass complete to OHI 35. Catch made by D.Carter at OHI 35. Gain of 2 yards. Tackled by T.Cox at OHI 33.Similar
Q2 14:03
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+33
81.9%
T.Demorat pass complete to OHI 33. Catch made by F.Kokosioulis at OHI 33. Gain of 33 yards. F.Kokosioulis for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 5FG
19 plays · 57 yds · 7:1684% → 84%
Q2 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+11
83.7%
J.Neatherton rushed to OHI 37 for 11 yards. Tackled by R.Greenhagen at OHI 37.Similar
Q2 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
83.9%
K.Rourke pass complete to OHI 37. Catch made by J.Jones at OHI 37. Gain of 9 yards. OHI ran out of bounds.Similar
Q2 13:06
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+4
84.3%
N.McCormick rushed to FOR 50 for 4 yards. Tackled by R.Greenhagen; J.Conway at FOR 50.Similar
Q2 12:36
1ST & 10
OPP 0
+11
84.4%
K.Rourke rushed to FOR 39 for 11 yards. K.Rourke ran out of bounds.Similar
Q2 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-2
84.3%
N.McCormick rushed to FOR 41 for -2 yards. Tackled by J.Coste at FOR 41.Similar
Q2 11:35
2ND & 12
OPP 41
+5
84.1%
K.Rourke pass complete to FOR 41. Catch made by N.McCormick at FOR 41. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by R.Greenhagen at FOR 36.Similar
Q2 10:47
3RD & 7
OPP 36
+10
83.9%
K.Rourke pass complete to FOR 36. Catch made by N.McCormick at FOR 36. Gain of 10 yards. Pushed out of bounds by J.Conway at FOR 26.Similar
Q2 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
84.3%
K.Rourke steps back to pass. K.Rourke pass incomplete intended for J.Jones.Similar
Q2 9:58
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+1
84.3%
N.McCormick rushed to FOR 25 for 1 yards. Tackled by R.Greenhagen; M.Jaworski at FOR 25.Similar
Q2 9:17
3RD & 9
OPP 25
+11
83.9%
K.Rourke pass complete to FOR 25. Catch made by S.Wiglusz at FOR 25. Gain of 11 yards. Tackled by FOR at FOR 14.Similar
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
84.3%
N.McCormick rushed to FOR 9 for 5 yards. Tackled by C.Robinson; N.Drati at FOR 9.Similar
Q2 8:07
2ND & 5
OPP 9
0
84.7%
K.Rourke steps back to pass. K.Rourke pass incomplete intended for J.Jones. PENALTY on OHI-T.Foster, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 7:53
2ND & 15
OPP 19
-2
84.5%
K.Rourke pass complete to FOR 19. Catch made by S.Wiglusz at FOR 19. Gain of -2 yards. Tackled by N.Perkins at FOR 21.Similar
Q2 7:10
3RD & 17
OPP 21
0
83.7%
K.Rourke scrambles to FOR End Zone for yards. K.Rourke for yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on OHI-J.Habinowski, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 7:01
3RD & 27
OPP 31
+14
83.6%
K.Rourke pass complete to FOR 31. Catch made by S.Wiglusz at FOR 31. Gain of 14 yards. Tackled by S.Williams at FOR 17.Similar
Q2 6:32
4TH & 13
OPP 17
+34
83.8%
N.Vakos 34 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-OHI, Holder-OHI.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 6TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:5816% → 21%
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
84.3%
T.Sneed rushed to FOR 29 for 4 yards. Tackled by K.Thompson at FOR 29.Similar
Q2 6:09
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-3
84.0%
T.Sneed rushed to FOR 26 for -3 yards. Tackled by V.Watkins at FOR 26.Similar
Q2 5:32
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+74
79.1%
T.Demorat pass complete to FOR 26. Catch made by F.Kokosioulis at FOR 26. Gain of 74 yards. F.Kokosioulis for 74 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 7TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:2479% → 86%
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
78.8%
K.Rourke rushed to OHI 25 for 0 yards. Tackled by J.Conway; M.Courtney at OHI 25.Similar
Q2 4:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+34
78.5%
K.Rourke pass complete to OHI 25. Catch made by K.Wilburn at OHI 25. Gain of 34 yards. Tackled by FOR at FOR 41.Similar
Q2 4:32
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+11
80.4%
K.Rourke pass complete to FOR 41. Catch made by W.Kacmarek at FOR 41. Gain of 11 yards. Tackled by A.Dixon; B.Ferguson at FOR 30.Similar
Q2 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+17
80.6%
T.Toledo rushed to FOR 13 for 17 yards. Tackled by A.Tony-Itoyah; S.Williams at FOR 13.Similar
Q2 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
80.4%
K.Rourke steps back to pass. K.Rourke pass incomplete intended for J.Bostic.Similar
Q2 2:56
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+13
86.0%
T.Toledo rushed to FOR End Zone for 13 yards. T.Toledo for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 8TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:0115% → 27%
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+15
84.8%
PENALTY on OHI-OHI, Unnecessary Roughness / Defense, 15 yards, accepted.Similar
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+45
83.9%
T.Demorat pass complete to FOR 40. Catch made by D.Carter at FOR 40. Gain of 45 yards. Tackled by T.Drake at OHI 15.Similar
Q2 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
82.4%
T.Sneed rushed to OHI 9 for 6 yards. Tackled by OHI at OHI 9.Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 4
OPP 9
0
81.8%
PENALTY on FOR-FOR, Unnecessary Roughness / Offense, 15 yards, accepted.Similar
Q2 1:57
2ND & 19
OPP 24
0
82.8%
T.Demorat steps back to pass. T.Demorat pass incomplete intended for FOR. PENALTY on OHI-OHI, Defensive Pass Interference, 15 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 1:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
73.5%
T.Demorat pass complete to OHI 9. Catch made by D.Carter at OHI 9. Gain of 9 yards. D.Carter for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 9TD
12 plays · 84 yds · 1:3877% → 87%
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+17
77.4%
K.Rourke pass complete to OHI 16. Catch made by J.Jones at OHI 16. Gain of 17 yards. Tackled by FOR at OHI 33.Similar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+13
77.6%
K.Rourke scrambles to OHI 46 for 13 yards. Tackled by FOR at OHI 46.Similar
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
79.0%
K.Rourke pass complete to OHI 46. Catch made by W.Kacmarek at OHI 46. Gain of 8 yards. Pushed out of bounds by B.Ferguson at FOR 46.Similar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 2
OPP 46
0
79.4%
K.Rourke steps back to pass. K.Rourke pass incomplete intended for M.Cross. PENALTY on OHI-S.Rhodes, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 22
OWN 34
+13
77.0%
K.Rourke pass complete to OHI 34. Catch made by N.McCormick at OHI 34. Gain of 13 yards. Tackled by FOR at OHI 47.Similar
Q2 0:37
3RD & 9
OWN 47
+15
77.2%
K.Rourke scrambles to FOR 38 for 15 yards. Tackled by D.Rice-Williams at FOR 38.Similar
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+17
79.3%
K.Rourke pass complete to FOR 38. Catch made by S.Wiglusz at FOR 38. Gain of 17 yards. Tackled by S.Williams at FOR 21.Similar
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
79.7%
K.Rourke steps back to pass. K.Rourke pass incomplete intended for M.Cross.Similar
Q2 0:12
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+21
86.5%
K.Rourke pass complete to FOR 21. Catch made by J.Jones at FOR 21. Gain of 21 yards. J.Jones for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 10TD
7 plays · 74 yds · 0:5915% → 26%
Q3 14:44
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+5
84.6%
J.Loughridge rushed to FOR 31 for 5 yards. Tackled by J.McCrory at FOR 31.Similar
Q3 14:23
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+14
83.9%
T.Demorat pass complete to FOR 31. Catch made by M.Wright at FOR 31. Gain of 14 yards. Tackled by B.Johnson at FOR 45.Similar
Q3 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+10
83.5%
T.Demorat pass complete to FOR 45. Catch made by M.Wright at FOR 45. Gain of 10 yards. Tackled by B.Johnson at OHI 45.Similar
Q3 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
82.9%
T.Demorat steps back to pass. T.Demorat pass incomplete intended for F.Kokosioulis.Similar
Q3 13:48
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
84.0%
T.Demorat steps back to pass. T.Demorat pass incomplete intended for M.Wright. The Replay Official reviewed the pass completion and the play was upheld.Similar
Q3 13:45
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+45
74.1%
T.Demorat pass complete to OHI 45. Catch made by F.Kokosioulis at OHI 45. Gain of 45 yards. F.Kokosioulis for 45 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 12TD
6 plays · 66 yds · 1:3915% → 28%
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+17
85.2%
T.Sneed rushed to OHI 49 for 17 yards. Tackled by OHI at OHI 49.Similar
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
84.0%
T.Demorat rushed to OHI 46 for 3 yards. Tackled by OHI at OHI 46.Similar
Q3 12:22
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+11
84.0%
T.Sneed rushed to OHI 35 for 11 yards. Tackled by T.Drake; A.Williams at OHI 35.Similar
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
83.3%
J.Loughridge rushed to OHI 31 for 4 yards. Tackled by A.Williams; J.McCrory at OHI 31.Similar
Q3 11:20
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+6
82.9%
T.Demorat pass complete to OHI 31. Catch made by F.Kokosioulis at OHI 31. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by T.Cox; J.Gregory at OHI 25.Similar
Q3 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
71.6%
T.Demorat pass complete to OHI 25. Catch made by M.Wright at OHI 25. Gain of 25 yards. M.Wright for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 13DOWNS
9 plays · 46 yds · 4:1876% → 75%
Q3 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+35
76.4%
K.Rourke pass complete to OHI 25. Catch made by J.Bostic at OHI 25. Gain of 35 yards. J.Bostic ran out of bounds.Similar
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
78.8%
T.Toledo rushed to FOR 37 for 3 yards. Tackled by J.Conway; S.Williams at FOR 37.Similar
Q3 10:50
2ND & 7
OPP 37
0
78.8%
K.Rourke steps back to pass. K.Rourke pass incomplete intended for M.Cross.Similar
Q3 10:34
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+10
78.3%
K.Rourke pass complete to FOR 37. Catch made by S.Wiglusz at FOR 37. Gain of 10 yards. S.Wiglusz ran out of bounds.Similar
Q3 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
79.3%
K.Rourke rushed to FOR 26 for 1 yards. Tackled by J.Conway at FOR 26.Similar
Q3 9:45
2ND & 9
OPP 26
-4
79.6%
K.Rourke pass complete to FOR 26. Catch made by T.Toledo at FOR 26. Gain of -4 yards. T.Toledo FUMBLES, forced by S.Williams. Fumble RECOVERED by OHI-W.Kacmarek at FOR 30. Tackled by FOR at FOR 30.Similar
Q3 9:29
3RD & 13
OPP 30
+6
77.2%
K.Rourke pass complete to FOR 30. Catch made by J.Jones at FOR 30. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by S.Williams; A.Kemper at FOR 24.Similar
Q3 7:11
4TH & 7
OPP 24
0
76.3%
PENALTY on OHI-OHI, Delay of Game, 5 yards, accepted.Similar
Q3 7:00
4TH & 12
OPP 29
0
74.9%
K.Rourke steps back to pass. K.Rourke pass incomplete intended for J.Bostic.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 14TD
11 plays · 71 yds · 3:2626% → 54%
Q3 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
73.9%
T.Sneed rushed to FOR 33 for 4 yards. Tackled by V.Watkins; B.Weaver at FOR 33.Similar
Q3 6:26
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+2
73.0%
T.Sneed rushed to FOR 35 for 2 yards. Tackled by B.Weaver; K.Thompson at FOR 35.Similar
Q3 6:21
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+3
74.1%
T.Demorat pass complete to FOR 35. Catch made by G.Cody at FOR 35. Gain of 3 yards. Pushed out of bounds by J.Gregory at FOR 38.Similar
Q3 6:02
4TH & 1
OWN 38
+4
73.6%
T.Sneed rushed to FOR 42 for 4 yards. Tackled by C.McCullum at FOR 42.Similar
Q3 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
71.5%
T.Sneed rushed to FOR 49 for 7 yards. Tackled by J.Burton at FOR 49.Similar
Q3 5:27
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+1
70.3%
T.Sneed rushed to FOR 50 for 1 yards. Tackled by V.Watkins; K.Kelly at FOR 50.Similar
Q3 5:05
3RD & 2
OPP 0
+27
70.1%
T.Demorat pass complete to FOR 50. Catch made by F.Kokosioulis at FOR 50. Gain of 27 yards. Tackled by J.Gregory at OHI 23.Similar
Q3 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+14
68.1%
T.Demorat pass complete to OHI 23. Catch made by F.Kokosioulis at OHI 23. Gain of 14 yards. Tackled by T.Drake at OHI 9.Similar
Q3 4:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
68.7%
J.Loughridge rushed to OHI 9 for 0 yards. Tackled by T.Drake at OHI 9.Similar
Q3 3:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
68.6%
T.Demorat steps back to pass. T.Demorat pass incomplete intended for F.Kokosioulis. PENALTY on OHI-J.Gregory, Defensive Pass Interference, 7 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 3:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
46.3%
J.Loughridge rushed to OHI End Zone for 2 yards. J.Loughridge for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:1555% → 52%
Q3 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
54.9%
N.McCormick rushed to OHI 35 for 6 yards. Tackled by A.Tony-Itoyah; R.Greenhagen at OHI 35.Similar
Q3 2:54
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+2
56.6%
N.McCormick rushed to OHI 37 for 2 yards. Tackled by J.Conway; P.Spillers at OHI 37.Similar
Q3 2:43
3RD & 2
OWN 37
-1
55.5%
K.Rourke pass complete to OHI 37. Catch made by S.Wiglusz at OHI 37. Gain of -1 yards. Tackled by A.Tony-Itoyah at OHI 36.Similar
Q3 2:09
4TH & 3
OWN 36
+38
52.0%
J.Wilson punts 38 yards to FOR 26, Center-OHI. Fair catch by C.Thornton.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 16TD
2 plays · 74 yds · 0:0651% → 67%
Q3 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+37
48.6%
J.Loughridge rushed to FOR 37 for yards. Tackled by OHI at FOR 37. PENALTY on FOR-FOR, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 1:09
1ST & 20
OWN 16
+84
33.5%
T.Demorat pass complete to FOR 16. Catch made by F.Kokosioulis at FOR 16. Gain of 84 yards. F.Kokosioulis for 84 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 17TD
6 plays · 62 yds · 1:3533% → 61%
Q3 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
33.2%
K.Rourke pass complete to OHI 38. Catch made by T.Foster at OHI 38. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by S.Williams at OHI 42.Similar
Q3 0:27
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+38
33.5%
K.Rourke pass complete to OHI 42. Catch made by J.Bostic at OHI 42. Gain of 38 yards. Tackled by B.Ferguson at FOR 20.Similar
Q3 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
37.0%
K.Rourke steps back to pass. K.Rourke pass incomplete intended for J.Jones.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 20
-1
36.4%
N.McCormick rushed to FOR 21 for -1 yards. Tackled by J.Coste; M.Jaworski at FOR 21.Similar
Q4 14:13
3RD & 11
OPP 21
+21
60.5%
K.Rourke pass complete to FOR 21. Catch made by T.Foster at FOR 21. Gain of 21 yards. T.Foster for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 18FG
10 plays · 56 yds · 3:2647% → 67%
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
52.6%
T.Demorat pass complete to FOR 25. Catch made by T.Sneed at FOR 25. Gain of 13 yards. Tackled by K.Thompson at FOR 38.Similar
Q4 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
49.8%
T.Sneed rushed to OHI 50 for 12 yards. Tackled by T.Drake at OHI 50.Similar
Q4 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 0
0
45.6%
T.Demorat pass INTERCEPTED at OHI 50. Intercepted by J.Birchette at OHI 50. Tackled by FOR at OHI 50. PENALTY on OHI-OHI, Personal Foul / Defense, 15 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
45.4%
T.Sneed rushed to OHI 34 for 1 yards. Tackled by OHI at OHI 34.Similar
Q4 12:48
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+1
45.5%
T.Sneed rushed to OHI 33 for 1 yards. Tackled by V.Watkins; K.Thompson at OHI 33.Similar
Q4 12:18
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+13
44.9%
J.Loughridge rushed to OHI 20 for 13 yards. Tackled by T.Drake; K.Kelly at OHI 20.Similar
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
41.9%
J.Loughridge rushed to OHI 18 for 2 yards. Tackled by A.Williams at OHI 18.Similar
Q4 11:38
2ND & 8
OPP 18
-1
41.3%
T.Demorat pass complete to OHI 18. Catch made by T.Sneed at OHI 18. Gain of -1 yards. Tackled by K.Kelly at OHI 19.Similar
Q4 10:52
3RD & 9
OPP 19
0
40.7%
T.Demorat steps back to pass. T.Demorat pass incomplete intended for F.Kokosioulis.Similar
Q4 10:47
4TH & 9
OPP 19
+36
32.7%
B.Peskin 36 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-FOR, Holder-FOR.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 19FUMBLE
9 plays · 48 yds · 3:5441% → 36%
Q4 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+35
41.3%
K.Rourke pass complete to OHI 33. Catch made by N.McCormick at OHI 33. Gain of 35 yards. Tackled by J.Conway at FOR 32.Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
27.7%
K.Rourke pass complete to FOR 32. Catch made by S.Wiglusz at FOR 32. Gain of 0 yards. Tackled by R.Greenhagen at FOR 32. PENALTY on OHI-OHI, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted.Similar
Q4 9:50
1ST & 20
OPP 42
+11
43.3%
K.Rourke pass complete to FOR 31. Catch made by W.Kacmarek at FOR 31. Gain of 11 yards. Pushed out of bounds by J.Conway at FOR 31.Similar
Q4 9:35
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+5
47.9%
K.Rourke pass complete to FOR 31. Catch made by N.McCormick at FOR 31. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by A.Kemper at FOR 26.Similar
Q4 9:15
3RD & 4
OPP 26
+7
45.1%
N.McCormick rushed to FOR 19 for 7 yards. Tackled by J.Walker at FOR 19.Similar
Q4 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-9
47.3%
K.Rourke steps back to pass. K.Rourke sacked at FOR 28 for -9 yards (A.Dixon; M.Courtney)Similar
Q4 7:43
2ND & 19
OPP 28
0
41.9%
K.Rourke steps back to pass. K.Rourke pass incomplete intended for W.Kacmarek.Similar
Q4 7:13
3RD & 19
OPP 28
+17
37.7%
K.Rourke pass complete to FOR 28. Catch made by J.Bostic at FOR 28. Gain of 17 yards. J.Bostic ran out of bounds.Similar
Q4 6:31
4TH & 2
OPP 11
-8
36.3%
K.Rourke steps back to pass. K.Rourke sacked at FOR 19 for -8 yards (M.Jaworski) K.Rourke FUMBLES, forced by M.Jaworski. Fumble RECOVERED by FOR-J.Walker at FOR 19.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 1:5876% → 79%
Q4 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
24.0%
T.Sneed rushed to FOR 21 for 2 yards. Tackled by B.Weaver at FOR 21.Similar
Q4 6:01
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+15
23.6%
T.Demorat pass complete to FOR 21. Catch made by G.Cody at FOR 21. Gain of 15 yards. Tackled by A.Williams at FOR 36.Similar
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
21.2%
T.Sneed rushed to FOR 35 for -1 yards. Tackled by B.Weaver; V.Watkins at FOR 35.Similar
Q4 5:06
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+1
22.1%
T.Sneed rushed to FOR 36 for 1 yards. Tackled by K.Caesar at FOR 36.Similar
Q4 4:29
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+5
19.3%
PENALTY on FOR-FOR, False Start, 5 yards, accepted.Similar
Q4 4:29
3RD & 15
OWN 31
0
20.8%
T.Demorat steps back to pass. T.Demorat pass incomplete intended for D.Carter.Similar
Q4 4:26
4TH & 15
OWN 31
+36
21.5%
W.Haslett punts 36 yards to OHI 33, Center-FOR. Downed by FOR.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 21FUMBLE
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:1928% → 29%
Q4 3:44
1ST & 20
OWN 23
+11
28.3%
K.Rourke pass complete to OHI 23. Catch made by M.Cross at OHI 23. Gain of 11 yards. Tackled by J.Conway; R.Greenhagen at OHI 34.Similar
Q4 3:25
2ND & 9
OWN 34
-2
29.1%
K.Rourke steps back to pass. K.Rourke sacked at OHI 36 for 2 yards (P.Chalhoub) K.Rourke FUMBLES, forced by P.Chalhoub. Fumble RECOVERED by FOR-J.Conway at OHI 36. Tackled by OHI at OHI 36.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 22TD
9 plays · 77 yds · 1:2928% → 83%
Q4 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
27.6%
K.Rourke pass complete to OHI 23. Catch made by M.Cross at OHI 23. Gain of 8 yards. M.Cross ran out of bounds.Similar
Q4 2:16
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+4
30.3%
K.Rourke pass complete to OHI 31. Catch made by N.McCormick at OHI 31. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by R.Greenhagen at OHI 35.Similar
Q4 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
28.1%
K.Rourke pass complete to OHI 35. Catch made by N.McCormick at OHI 35. Gain of 9 yards. Tackled by R.Greenhagen; M.Pretto at OHI 44.Similar
Q4 1:36
2ND & 1
OWN 44
0
28.6%
K.Rourke steps back to pass. K.Rourke pass incomplete intended for S.Wiglusz.Similar
Q4 1:23
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+20
25.0%
K.Rourke pass complete to OHI 44. Catch made by M.Cross at OHI 44. Gain of 20 yards. Pushed out of bounds by A.Tony-Itoyah at FOR 36.Similar
Q4 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+19
26.9%
K.Rourke scrambles to FOR 17 for 19 yards. K.Rourke ran out of bounds.Similar
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
33.3%
K.Rourke steps back to pass. K.Rourke pass incomplete intended for J.Bostic.Similar
Q4 0:48
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+12
32.4%
K.Rourke pass complete to FOR 17. Catch made by S.Wiglusz at FOR 17. Gain of 12 yards. Tackled by S.Williams at FOR 5.Similar
Q4 0:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
83.3%
K.Rourke pass complete to FOR 5. Catch made by J.Jones at FOR 5. Gain of 5 yards. J.Jones for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 23FUMBLE
9 plays · 17 yds · 0:4730% → 13%
Q4 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
69.9%
T.Demorat pass complete to FOR 25. Catch made by F.Kokosioulis at FOR 25. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by T.Cox at FOR 30.Similar
Q4 0:35
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
69.1%
T.Demorat pass complete to FOR 30. Catch made by F.Kokosioulis at FOR 30. Gain of yards. Tackled by OHI at FOR 45. PENALTY on FOR-FOR, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 0:30
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+10
71.7%
PENALTY on FOR-FOR, Unsportsmanlike Conduct / Offense, 10 yards, accepted.Similar
Q4 0:30
2ND & 25
OWN 10
+15
71.7%
T.Demorat pass complete to FOR 10. Catch made by M.Wright at FOR 10. Gain of 15 yards. Tackled by OHI at FOR 25.Similar
Q4 0:20
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
73.0%
T.Demorat steps back to pass. T.Demorat pass incomplete intended for M.Wright.Similar
Q4 0:19
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+15
77.1%
T.Demorat pass complete to FOR 25. Catch made by G.Cody at FOR 25. Gain of 15 yards. Tackled by OHI at FOR 40.Similar
Q4 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
86.8%
T.Demorat pass complete to FOR 40. Catch made by F.Kokosioulis at FOR 40. Gain of 2 yards. Lateral to D.Carter to FOR 42 for yards. D.Carter FUMBLES. Fumble RECOVERED by OHI-B.Houston at FOR 42. B.Houston for yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:55
K.Rourke pass complete to FOR 5. Catch made by J.Jones at FOR 5. Gain of 5 yards. J.Jones for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
+50.9
TD · Q4 14:13
K.Rourke pass complete to FOR 21. Catch made by T.Foster at FOR 21. Gain of 21 yards. T.Foster for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
+24.1
TD · Q3 3:30
J.Loughridge rushed to OHI End Zone for 2 yards. J.Loughridge for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
-22.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com