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BUCK

Bucknell 0 at Central Michigan 41

CMU
2022 · Week 3 · Sep 17, 2022 · Kelly/Shorts Stadium
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Win probability · CMU
modelCMU aheadBUCK aheadconfidence bandkey playCMU scoreBUCK score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 6:43 · Ruben Anderson punt blocked by Fernando Sanchez III blocked by Fernando Sanchez III
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 119Pregame prior+30.6Home team on offense+8.3Score differential+1.8Garbage-time factor−0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.1Blowout margin+0.9
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q3 6:43: Lew Nichols III run for 31 yds to the Buckn 3 for a 1ST down — CMU win probability +1.5 pts (now 95%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 6:26: Lew Nichols III run for 3 yds for a TD, (Josh Rolston PAT MISSED) — CMU win probability +1.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 2:24: Lew Nichols III run for 15 yds for a TD, (Marshall Meeder KICK) — CMU win probability +2.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:56: D. Richardson pass,to L. Lewis for 45 yds for a TD, (M. Meeder KICK) — CMU win probability +0.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CMU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8BUCK made the numbers' call on 11 of 12
  1. Q1 15:00BUCK 4th & 14 at BUCK 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:55BUCK 4th & 14 at BUCK 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 12:47CMU 4th & 5 at CMU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 9:00BUCK 4th & 7 at CMU 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:44CMU 4th & 10 at BUCK 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.6%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.7%
    56% to make
    Punt
    97.6%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:23BUCK 4th & 20 at CMU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.1%
    60% to make
    Punt
    2.7%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:33BUCK 4th & 27 at BUCK 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%−0.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:18CMU 4th & 10 at BUCK 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.6%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.7%
    51% to make
    Punt
    95.6%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 9:26BUCK 4th & 10 at BUCK 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 9:26CMU 4th & 4 at BUCK 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    95.6%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    95.6%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q2 4:37CMU 4th & 7 at BUCK 10, tied
    Close callWent for it · 94.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.9%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    94.0%
    88% to make
    Punt
    92.7%−1.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:19CMU 4th & 9 at BUCK 26, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.7%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.0%
    64% to make
    Punt
    92.1%−2.0
    average punt
  13. Q3 11:32BUCK 4th & 1 at BUCK 35, down 7
    Close callPunted · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.1%−0.6
    average punt
  14. Q3 11:32CMU 4th & 10 at CMU 48, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.5%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.8%
    average punt
  15. Q3 9:09CMU 4th & 10 at CMU 48, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.3%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.6%
    average punt
  16. Q3 6:43BUCK 4th & 7 at BUCK 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.2%−0.5
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.7%
    average punt
  17. Q3 4:10BUCK 4th & 17 at BUCK 19, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−0.7
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.2%
    average punt
  18. Q4 14:50BUCK 4th & 12 at BUCK 34, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.4
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  19. Q4 5:12BUCK 4th & 3 at BUCK 32, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  20. Q4 4:14BUCK 4th & 3 at BUCK 32, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q2 4:37CMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 6:26CMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    96.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 2:24CMU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 11:56CMU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 5:12CMU Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 1:15CMU Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BUCKDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 1:051% → 1%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-8
99.1%
Ethan Grady sacked by Thomas Incoom for a loss of 8 yards to the Buckn 17Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 18
OWN 17
+4
99.1%
Ethan Grady pass complete to Coleman Bennett for 4 yds to the Buckn 21Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 21
0
99.1%
Ethan Grady pass incomplete to Okeyo AyungoSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
99.1%
Ruben Anderson punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CMich 36Similar
Q1 13:55
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
99.0%
Ruben Anderson punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CMich 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:0899% → 99%
Q1 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
99.0%
Lew Nichols III run for 6 yds to the CMich 42Similar
Q1 13:55
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+1
99.0%
Lew Nichols III run for 1 yd to the CMich 41Similar
Q1 13:55
3RD & 5
OWN 41
0
99.0%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Joel WilsonSimilar
Q1 12:47
4TH & 5
OWN 41
0
99.0%
Luke Elzinga punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Gavin Pringle at the Buckn 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUCKDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 34 yds · 3:471% → 1%
Q1 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
99.0%
Coleman Bennett run for 5 yds to the Buckn 24Similar
Q1 12:47
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+13
99.0%
Ethan Grady pass complete to Okeyo Ayungo for 13 yds to the Buckn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
99.0%
Coleman Bennett run for 6 yds to the Buckn 43Similar
Q1 12:47
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+7
98.9%
Ethan Grady pass complete to Damian Harris for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:47
1ST & 10
50
+2
98.9%
Coleman Bennett run for 2 yds to the Buckn 48Similar
Q1 9:54
2ND & 12
OWN 48
0
98.7%
Ethan Grady pass incomplete to Coleman BennettSimilar
Q1 9:54
3RD & 12
OWN 48
+5
98.7%
Ethan Grady pass complete to Christian Tait for 5 yds to the CMich 47Similar
Q1 9:00
4TH & 7
OPP 47
0
98.6%
Ruben Anderson punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 4MISSED FG
14 plays · 68 yds · 4:1699% → 98%
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+2
98.6%
Lew Nichols III run for 2 yds to the CMich 4Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 8
OWN 4
+12
98.6%
Lew Nichols III run for 12 yds to the CMich 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+11
98.6%
Lew Nichols III run for 11 yds to the CMich 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
98.7%
Lew Nichols III run for 2 yds to the CMich 29Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 8
OWN 29
0
98.7%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Lew Nichols IIISimilar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 8
OWN 29
+10
98.6%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Jalen McGaughy for 10 yds to the CMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
98.7%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to D.C. TempleSimilar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+14
98.7%
Lew Nichols III run for 14 yds to the Buckn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
98.7%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Jalen McGaughySimilar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+17
98.7%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Lew Nichols III for 17 yds to the Buckn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
98.7%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Langston LewisSimilar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
98.7%
Lew Nichols III run for no gain to the Buckn 30Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 10
OPP 30
0
98.7%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Jalen McGaughySimilar
Q1 4:44
4TH & 10
OPP 30
+48
98.2%
Marshall Meeder 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUCKDrive 5MISSED FG
11 plays · 42 yds · 4:212% → 3%
Q1 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+14
98.1%
Tyler Beverett run for 14 yds to the Buckn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
98.1%
Tyler Beverett pass incomplete to Damian HarrisSimilar
Q1 4:44
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+9
98.1%
Rushawn Baker run for 9 yds to the CMich 47Similar
Q1 4:44
3RD & 1
OPP 47
0
98.1%
Ethan Grady pass incomplete to Rushawn BakerSimilar
Q1 3:19
4TH & 1
OPP 47
+15
97.9%
Shotgun Beverett,Tyler pass incomplete short right to Fontes,Kyle broken up by Stepney,De'Javion PENALTY CMU Roughing The Passer (Moretti,Kyle) 15 yards from CMU47 to CMU32, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
97.8%
Tyler Beverett run for 4 yds to the CMich 36Similar
Q1 3:19
2ND & 14
OPP 36
+18
97.9%
Tyler Beverett pass complete to Josh Gary for 18 yds to the CMich 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
97.8%
Rushawn Baker run for 1 yd to the CMich 19Similar
Q1 3:19
2ND & 11
OPP 19
+9
97.8%
Tyler Beverett run for 9 yds to the CMich 28 Tyler Beverett fumbled, recovered by Buckn Okeyo AyungoSimilar
Q1 3:19
3RD & 20
OPP 28
0
97.9%
Tyler Beverett pass incomplete to Marques OwensSimilar
Q1 0:23
4TH & 20
OPP 28
+44
97.5%
Ryan Schatzel 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 6INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
97.5%
Daniel Richardson pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUCKDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · -17 yds · 1:373% → 3%
Q1 0:10
1ST & 10
50
+4
97.2%
Coleman Bennett run for 4 yds to the CMich 46Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
50
+4
97.2%
Coleman Bennett run for 4 yds to the CMich 46Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+16
97.2%
Ethan Grady run for 16 yds to the Buckn 38 Ethan Grady fumbled, recovered by Buckn Ethan GradySimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 22
OWN 38
-5
97.4%
PENALTY BUC Delay Of Game 5 yards from BUC38 to BUC33. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 27
OWN 33
0
97.4%
Ethan Grady pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:33
4TH & 27
OWN 33
+3
97.2%
Ruben Anderson punt for 40 yds , Jordyn Williams returns for 3 yds to the CMich 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 8MISSED FG
9 plays · 38 yds · 3:1597% → 97%
Q2 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
97.3%
Lew Nichols III run for 2 yds to the CMich 32Similar
Q2 13:33
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+1
97.3%
Lew Nichols III run for 1 yd to the CMich 31Similar
Q2 13:33
3RD & 9
OWN 31
+26
97.2%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Jalen McGaughy for 26 yds to the Buckn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
97.4%
Lew Nichols III run for 3 yds to the Buckn 40Similar
Q2 13:33
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+8
97.4%
Lew Nichols III run for 8 yds to the Buckn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
97.5%
Lew Nichols III run for no gain to the Buckn 32Similar
Q2 13:33
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
97.5%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Lew Nichols IIISimilar
Q2 13:33
3RD & 10
OPP 32
0
97.4%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Jalen McGaughySimilar
Q2 10:18
4TH & 10
OPP 32
+50
96.5%
Marshall Meeder 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUCKDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 13 yds · 0:524% → 4%
Q2 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+13
96.2%
Ethan Grady pass complete to Adam Barakat for 13 yds to the Buckn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
96.1%
Ethan Grady pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:18
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
96.1%
Ethan Grady pass incomplete to Adam BarakatSimilar
Q2 10:18
3RD & 10
OWN 45
0
96.2%
Ethan Grady pass incomplete to Coleman BennettSimilar
Q2 9:26
4TH & 10
OWN 45
0
96.1%
Ruben Anderson punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 10TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 4:4996% → 97%
Q2 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
96.3%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Jalen McGaughySimilar
Q2 9:26
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+14
96.3%
Lew Nichols III run for 14 yds to the CMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
96.4%
Lew Nichols III run for 3 yds to the CMich 37Similar
Q2 9:26
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+21
96.5%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Jalen McGaughy for 21 yds to the Buckn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:26
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
96.7%
Myles Bailey run for 2 yds to the Buckn 40Similar
Q2 9:26
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+6
96.7%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Myles Bailey for 6 yds to the Buckn 34Similar
Q2 9:26
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+2
96.6%
Lew Nichols III run for 2 yds to the Buckn 36Similar
Q2 9:26
4TH & 4
OPP 36
+23
96.5%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Finn Hogan for 9 yds to the Buckn 27 for a 1ST down BUCKNELL Penalty, Roughing The Passer (Aneesh Vyas) to the Buckn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:26
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
96.7%
Lew Nichols III run for 3 yds to the Buckn 10Similar
Q2 9:26
2ND & 7
OPP 10
0
96.7%
Daniel Richardson run for no gain to the Buckn 10Similar
Q2 9:26
3RD & 7
OPP 10
0
96.6%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Langston LewisSimilar
Q2 4:37
4TH & 7
OPP 10
+10
96.7%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Joel Wilson for 10 yds for a TD, (Josh Rolston KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUCKDrive 11INT
13 plays · 30 yds · 4:034% → 4%
Q2 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
96.4%
Ethan Grady pass complete to Rushawn Baker for 6 yds to the Buckn 41Similar
Q2 4:37
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+4
96.2%
Ethan Grady pass complete to Damian Harris for 4 yds to the Buckn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
96.3%
Rushawn Baker run for no gain to the Buckn 45Similar
Q2 3:05
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
95.9%
Ethan Grady pass incomplete to Rushawn BakerSimilar
Q2 3:05
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+13
96.1%
Ethan Grady pass complete to Josh Gary for 13 yds to the CMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+13
95.7%
Ethan Grady pass complete to Christian Tait for 13 yds to the CMich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
95.4%
Ethan Grady pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:18
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+1
95.5%
Rushawn Baker run for 1 yd to the CMich 30Similar
Q2 2:18
3RD & 11
OPP 30
-5
95.9%
PENALTY BUC Delay Of Game 5 yards from CMU30 to CMU35. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:34
3RD & 16
OPP 35
0
95.7%
Ethan Grady pass intercepted Caleb Spann fumbled, recovered by Buckn Okeyo AyungoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUCKDrive 12FUMBLE
3 plays · 10 yds · 0:345% → 5%
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
95.1%
Ethan Grady pass complete to Okeyo Ayungo for 9 yds to the CMich 31Similar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 1
OPP 31
0
94.7%
Ethan Grady pass incomplete to Christian SpugnardiSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 31
-1
94.8%
Ethan Grady sacked by Michael Heldman for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 30 Ethan Grady fumbled, recovered by CMich Jacques Bristol , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 13MISSED FG
9 plays · 27 yds · 2:3396% → 95%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
95.9%
Lew Nichols III run for 5 yds to the Buckn 48Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+9
95.9%
Jalen McGaughy run for 9 yds to the Buckn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
95.9%
Lew Nichols III run for 6 yds to the Buckn 33Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+6
95.9%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Finn Hogan for 6 yds to the Buckn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
95.9%
Lew Nichols III run for 1 yd to the Buckn 26Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 9
OPP 26
0
95.9%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Finn HoganSimilar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 9
OPP 26
0
95.8%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Jalen McGaughySimilar
Q3 12:19
4TH & 9
OPP 26
+44
94.7%
Josh Rolston 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUCKDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:476% → 6%
Q3 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
94.5%
Ethan Grady pass incomplete to Marques OwensSimilar
Q3 12:19
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
94.6%
Ethan Grady pass incomplete to Damian HarrisSimilar
Q3 12:19
3RD & 10
OWN 26
+9
94.8%
Ethan Grady pass complete to Damian Harris for 9 yds to the Buckn 35Similar
Q3 11:32
4TH & 1
OWN 35
+5
94.4%
Ruben Anderson punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CMich 25 , Jordyn Williams returns for 5 yds to the CMich 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 2:2395% → 94%
Q3 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
94.6%
Lew Nichols III run for 6 yds to the CMich 31Similar
Q3 11:32
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
94.8%
Lew Nichols III run for 5 yds to the CMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+12
94.8%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Jalen McGaughy for 12 yds to the CMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
95.2%
Lew Nichols III run for no gain to the CMich 48Similar
Q3 11:32
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
95.1%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Kenny Brewer IIISimilar
Q3 11:32
3RD & 10
OWN 48
0
94.6%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Joel WilsonSimilar
Q3 11:32
4TH & 10
OWN 48
0
94.3%
Luke Elzinga punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
Q3 9:09
4TH & 10
OWN 48
0
94.1%
Luke Elzinga punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUCKDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 2:267% → 6%
Q3 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
93.5%
Coleman Bennett run for 6 yds to the Buckn 26Similar
Q3 9:09
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+1
93.3%
Coleman Bennett run for 1 yd to the Buckn 27Similar
Q3 7:42
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+4
93.5%
Coleman Bennett run for 4 yds to the Buckn 23Similar
Q3 6:43
4TH & 7
OWN 23
+11
93.7%
Ruben Anderson punt blocked by Fernando Sanchez III blocked by Fernando Sanchez IIISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 17TD
2 plays · 34 yds · 0:1795% → 97%
Q3 6:43
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+31
95.3%
Lew Nichols III run for 31 yds to the Buckn 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
97.1%
Lew Nichols III run for 3 yds for a TD, (Josh Rolston PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUCKDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 2:113% → 3%
Q3 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
96.7%
Rushawn Baker run for 2 yds to the Buckn 28Similar
Q3 6:21
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+2
96.6%
Ethan Grady run for 2 yds to the Buckn 26 Ethan Grady fumbled, recovered by Buckn Rushawn BakerSimilar
Q3 6:21
3RD & 10
OWN 26
-7
96.8%
Tyler Beverett sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the Buckn 19Similar
Q3 4:10
4TH & 17
OWN 19
+16
96.7%
Ruben Anderson punt for 40 yds , Jordyn Williams returns for 16 yds to the Buckn 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 19TD
6 plays · 43 yds · 1:4697% → 99%
Q3 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
97.2%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Sam Hicks for 8 yds to the Buckn 35Similar
Q3 4:10
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+6
97.2%
Lew Nichols III run for 6 yds to the Buckn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
97.2%
Lew Nichols III run for 7 yds to the Buckn 22Similar
Q3 4:10
2ND & 3
OPP 22
0
97.2%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Kenny Brewer IIISimilar
Q3 4:10
3RD & 3
OPP 22
+7
97.1%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Finn Hogan for 7 yds to the Buckn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
99.1%
Lew Nichols III run for 15 yds for a TD, (Marshall Meeder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUCKDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 2:341% → 1%
Q3 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.0%
Tyler Beverett pass complete to Kyle Fontes for 7 yds to the Buckn 32Similar
Q3 2:24
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
99.0%
Tyler Beverett pass complete to Okeyo Ayungo for 4 yds to the Buckn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
99.0%
Rushawn Baker run for 1 yd to the Buckn 37Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+3
99.1%
Tyler Beverett run for 3 yds to the Buckn 34Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 34
0
99.2%
Tyler Beverett pass incomplete to Marques OwensSimilar
Q4 14:50
4TH & 12
OWN 34
0
99.2%
Ruben Anderson punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jordyn Williams at the CMich 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 21TD
8 plays · 71 yds · 2:5499% → 100%
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
99.3%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Sam HicksSimilar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+3
99.3%
Lew Nichols III run for 3 yds to the CMich 32Similar
Q4 14:50
3RD & 7
OWN 32
+8
99.3%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Joel Wilson for 8 yds to the CMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
99.3%
Lew Nichols III run for 2 yds to the CMich 42Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+3
99.3%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Finn Hogan for 3 yds to the CMich 45Similar
Q4 14:50
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+10
99.3%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Joel Wilson for 10 yds to the Buckn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
99.9%
D. Richardson pass,to L. Lewis for 45 yds for a TD, (M. Meeder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUCKDrive 22DOWNS
10 plays · 46 yds · 4:490% → 0%
Q4 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
99.9%
Coleman Bennett run for 7 yds to the Buckn 33Similar
Q4 11:50
2ND & 3
OWN 33
+10
99.9%
Tyler Beverett pass complete to Christian Tait for 10 yds to the Buckn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
99.9%
Coleman Bennett run for 3 yds to the Buckn 40Similar
Q4 11:50
2ND & 13
OWN 40
+11
99.9%
Tyler Beverett pass complete to Coleman Bennett for 11 yds to the CMich 49Similar
Q4 11:50
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+14
99.9%
Rushawn Baker run for 14 yds to the CMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
99.9%
Tyler Beverett pass complete to Christian Tait for 7 yds to the CMich 28Similar
Q4 11:50
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+2
99.9%
Coleman Bennett run for 2 yds to the CMich 26Similar
Q4 7:46
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+2
100.0%
Tyler Beverett run for 2 yds to the CMich 28Similar
Q4 7:01
4TH & 3
OPP 28
0
100.0%
BUCKNELL Penalty, Personal Foul (Brent Jackson) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 23TD
5 plays · 72 yds · 1:49100% → 100%
Q4 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
99.9%
Jase Bauer run for 3 yds to the CMich 31Similar
Q4 7:01
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+44
99.9%
Jase Bauer pass complete to D.C. Temple for 44 yds to the Buckn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
99.9%
Myles Bailey run for 5 yds to the Buckn 20Similar
Q4 7:01
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+10
99.9%
Jase Bauer run for 10 yds to the Buckn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
100.0%
Jase Bauer 10 Yd Run (Marshall Meeder Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUCKDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:580% → 0%
Q4 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Tyler Beverett pass incomplete to Colby GramesSimilar
Q4 5:12
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
100.0%
Rushawn Baker run for 7 yds to the Buckn 32Similar
Q4 5:12
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
100.0%
BUCKNELL Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Brent Jackson) declinedSimilar
Q4 5:12
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
100.0%
Ruben Anderson punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jordyn Williams at the CMich 33Similar
Q4 4:14
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
100.0%
Ruben Anderson punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jordyn Williams at the CMich 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 25TD
8 plays · 67 yds · 2:59100% → 100%
Q4 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
100.0%
Marion Lukes run for 1 yd to the CMich 34Similar
Q4 4:14
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+16
100.0%
Marion Lukes run for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:14
1ST & 10
50
+7
100.0%
Jase Bauer run for 7 yds to the Buckn 43Similar
Q4 4:14
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+9
100.0%
Jase Bauer run for 9 yds to the Buckn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-15
100.0%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the Buckn 47Similar
Q4 4:14
2ND & 23
OPP 47
+9
100.0%
Myles Bailey run for 9 yds to the Buckn 38Similar
Q4 4:14
3RD & 14
OPP 38
+30
100.0%
Marion Lukes run for 30 yds to the Buckn 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
100.0%
Jase Bauer 8 Yd Run (Marshall Meeder Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUCKDrive 26END OF GAME
3 plays · 4 yds · 1:150% → 0%
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
100.0%
Mikey Neal run for 3 yds to the Buckn 28Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
100.0%
Danny Meuser run for 1 yd to the Buckn 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:24
Lew Nichols III run for 15 yds for a TD, (Marshall Meeder KICK)
+2
TD · Q3 6:26
Lew Nichols III run for 3 yds for a TD, (Josh Rolston PAT MISSED)
+1.9
KEY PLAY · Q3 6:43
Lew Nichols III run for 31 yds to the Buckn 3 for a 1ST down
+1.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com