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EMU

Eastern Michigan 21 at Louisiana 49

UL
2022 · Week 2 · Sep 10, 2022 · Cajun Field
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Win probability · UL
modelUL aheadEMU aheadconfidence bandkey playUL scoreEMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 14:21 · Mitchell Tomasek punt for 58 yds , Eric Garror returns for no gain to the LaLaf 3 LOUISIANA Penalty, Illegal Block (Johnny Lumpkin) to the LaLaf 40
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 48Pregame prior+21.3Home team on offense−3.5Score differential−1.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.8Garbage-time factor−1.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 12:41: Michael Jefferson 27 Yd pass from Chandler Fields (Preston Stafford Kick) — UL win probability +15.3 pts (now 57%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:14: Johnny Lumpkin 1 Yd pass from Chandler Fields (Preston Stafford Kick) — UL win probability +15.5 pts (now 71%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:00: Darius Boone Jr. 1 Yd Run (Jesus Gomez Kick) — EMU win probability +25.6 pts (now 62%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 3:59: John Stephens Jr. 36 Yd pass from Ben Wooldridge (Preston Stafford Kick) — UL win probability +21.5 pts (now 69%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:52: Chris Smith 20 Yd Run (Kam Pedescleaux Kick) — UL win probability +20.7 pts (now 85%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UL made the numbers' call on 7 of 7EMU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 8:29EMU 4th & 2 at UL 3, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.3%
    49% to convert
    Field goal
    24.2%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    23.4%−1.0
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:25UL 4th & 12 at UL 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.8%−0.3
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:45EMU 4th & 9 at UL 35, up 7
    Close callPunted · 29.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.4%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    29.4%−<0.1
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    29.2%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:51UL 4th & 7 at UL 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.7%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.1%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:51UL 4th & 7 at UL 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.7%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:21EMU 4th & 22 at EMU 3, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.6%−2.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:16UL 4th & 9 at EMU 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.5%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:16UL 4th & 9 at EMU 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.5%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:31UL 4th & 7 at UL 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.1%−0.9
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 14:07UL 4th & 10 at EMU 47, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.7%−1.0
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:52EMU 4th & 15 at EMU 15, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.2%−3.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:52EMU 4th & 15 at EMU 15, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.2%−3.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:17EMU 4th & 7 at EMU 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.1%−2.4
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:21EMU 4th & 4 at UL 45, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.8%−<0.1
    25% to make
    Punt
    0.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:21EMU 4th & 4 at UL 45, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.8%−<0.1
    25% to make
    Punt
    0.8%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UL made the numbers' call on 5 of 7EMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 8:29EMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 12:41UL Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 9:14UL Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:00EMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:59UL Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:52UL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:15UL Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.1%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.2%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 8:22UL Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 1:47UL Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
EMUDrive 1TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 6:3122% → 26%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
78.2%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 5 yds to the EMich 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+9
78.2%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Jaylon Jackson for 9 yds to the EMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+23
78.2%
Jaylon Jackson run for 23 yds to the LaLaf 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
78.2%
LOUISIANA Penalty, Offsides (Marcus Wiser) to the LaLaf 33Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 5
OPP 33
+3
78.2%
Samson Evans run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 30
0
78.2%
Samson Evans run for no gain to the LaLaf 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+2
78.2%
Samson Evans run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
78.2%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 5 yds to the LaLaf 23Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 23
+2
78.2%
Jaylon Jackson run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 21Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 21
+10
78.2%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Gunnar Oakes for 10 yds to the LaLaf 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-1
78.2%
Samson Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 12Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 12
+3
78.2%
Samson Evans run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 9Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 9
+6
78.2%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Gunnar Oakes for 6 yds to the LaLaf 3Similar
Q1 8:29
4TH & 2
OPP 3
+3
74.4%
Aaron Jackson 3 Yd pass from Samson Evans (Jesus Gomez Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:0075% → 73%
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-2
74.6%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Michael Jefferson for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 20Similar
Q1 8:25
2ND & 12
OWN 20
0
74.6%
Chandler Fields pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:25
3RD & 12
OWN 20
0
74.4%
Chandler Fields pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:25
4TH & 12
OWN 20
0
73.3%
Rhys Byrns punt for 54 yds, downed at the EMich 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 3PUNT
14 plays · 39 yds · 3:4027% → 29%
Q1 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
73.5%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 1 yd to the EMich 27Similar
Q1 7:25
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+10
73.6%
LOUISIANA Penalty, Defensive Holding (Eric Garror) to the EMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
73.2%
Taylor Powell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:16
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
72.7%
Taylor Powell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:16
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+15
73.0%
POWELL, Taylor pass up the middle incomplete intended for DRUMMOND, Dylan broken up by PEDESCLEAUX, Kam at the EMU48. PENALTY LA Roughing the Passer on JONES, Andre enforced 15 yards from the EMU38 to the LA47 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
72.4%
Taylor Powell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:16
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+9
72.5%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 9 yds to the LaLaf 38Similar
Q1 6:16
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+2
72.4%
Samson Evans run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-2
72.4%
Samson Evans run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 38Similar
Q1 6:16
2ND & 12
OPP 38
+3
72.4%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 3 yds to the LaLaf 35Similar
Q1 6:16
3RD & 9
OPP 35
0
72.5%
Taylor Powell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:45
4TH & 9
OPP 35
0
70.9%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 32 yds, downed at the LaLaf 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 4PUNT
10 plays · 38 yds · 2:5471% → 69%
Q1 3:45
3RD & 7
OWN 18
+20
70.5%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Jacob Bernard for 20 yds to the LaLaf 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
71.3%
Terrence Williams run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 41Similar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 7
OWN 41
0
71.6%
Chandler Fields pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:45
3RD & 7
OWN 41
0
71.1%
Chandler Fields pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+7
70.8%
Jacob Kibodi run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 10Similar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 3
OWN 10
+5
70.7%
Jacob Kibodi run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
70.8%
Jacob Kibodi run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 18Similar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 7
OWN 18
0
70.8%
Chandler Fields pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:51
4TH & 7
OWN 41
+6
69.2%
Rhys Byrns punt for 50 yds , Hassan Beydoun returns for 6 yds to the EMich 15Similar
Q1 0:51
4TH & 7
OWN 41
+6
69.2%
Rhys Byrns punt for 50 yds , Hassan Beydoun returns for 6 yds to the EMich 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -12 yds · 1:3031% → 31%
Q1 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-4
69.1%
JACKSON, Jaylon rush to the right for a gain of 4 yards to the EMU19 (LAWSON, Jordan). PENALTY EMU Holding on PAASKE, Andreas enforced half the distance from the goal, 9 yards from the EMU15 to the EMU6 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 0:51
1ST & 18
OWN 7
0
69.2%
Taylor Powell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 18
OWN 7
-5
68.7%
Taylor Powell sacked by Marcus Wiser for a loss of 5 yards to the EMich 2Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 23
OWN 2
+1
69.1%
Samson Evans run for 1 yd to the EMich 3Similar
Q2 14:21
4TH & 22
OWN 3
0
69.0%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 58 yds , Eric Garror returns for no gain to the LaLaf 3 LOUISIANA Penalty, Illegal Block (Johnny Lumpkin) to the LaLaf 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 6PUNT
11 plays · 12 yds · 3:0569% → 65%
Q2 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
69.2%
LOUISIANA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the LaLaf 35Similar
Q2 14:21
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+12
68.6%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 12 yds to the EMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:21
3RD & 12
OWN 49
+8
68.4%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 8 yds to the EMich 43Similar
Q2 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
69.2%
LOUISIANA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the LaLaf 35Similar
Q2 14:21
1ST & 15
OWN 35
+4
68.1%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Errol Rogers Jr. for 4 yds to the LaLaf 39Similar
Q2 14:21
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-2
69.8%
Chris Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 49Similar
Q2 14:21
2ND & 12
OWN 49
0
68.9%
Chris Smith run for no gain to the LaLaf 49Similar
Q2 11:26
4TH & 4
OPP 43
-5
67.2%
LOUISIANA Penalty, False Start (Carlos Rubio) to the EMich 48Similar
Q2 11:16
4TH & 9
OPP 48
0
65.3%
Rhys Byrns punt for 28 yds, downed at the EMich 20Similar
Q2 11:16
4TH & 9
OPP 48
0
65.3%
Rhys Byrns punt for 28 yds, downed at the EMich 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 7PUNT
15 plays · 29 yds · 5:1834% → 40%
Q2 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
65.6%
LOUISIANA Penalty, Roughing the Passer on LANDRY, Andre enforced (15 Yards) to the EMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:16
2ND & 15
OPP 29
+4
63.7%
Jaylon Jackson run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 25Similar
Q2 11:16
3RD & 11
OPP 25
-15
63.9%
POWELL, Taylor pass to the right complete for 10 yards to JACKSON, Aaron caught at the LA15 and advanced to the LA15 (PEDESCLEAUX, Kam;MCDANIEL, Amir). PENALTY EMU Personal Foul on DOOLEY, Brian enforced 15 yards from the LA25 to the LA40 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 11:16
3RD & 26
OPP 40
-6
64.8%
Taylor Powell sacked by Zi'Yon Hill-Green for a loss of 6 yards to the LaLaf 46Similar
Q2 11:16
4TH & 32
OPP 46
-5
65.8%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the EMich 49Similar
Q2 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
64.1%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Jaylon Jackson for 9 yds to the LaLaf 48Similar
Q2 11:16
2ND & 1
OPP 48
-5
63.7%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (Darius Lassiter) to the EMich 47Similar
Q2 11:16
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+7
64.1%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Samson Evans for 7 yds to the LaLaf 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
63.6%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Tanner Knue for 7 yds to the LaLaf 39Similar
Q2 11:16
2ND & 3
OPP 39
0
63.5%
Taylor Powell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:16
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+15
63.6%
POWELL, Taylor pass to the left incomplete intended for BEYDOUN, Hassan thrown to the LA11. PENALTY LA Pass Interference on FLOWERS, Courtline enforced 15 yards to the LA24 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-5
63.3%
Taylor Powell sacked by Andre Jones for a loss of 5 yards to the LaLaf 29Similar
Q2 11:16
2ND & 1
OPP 48
-5
63.7%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (Darius Lassiter) to the EMich 47Similar
Q2 5:58
4TH & 37
OWN 49
0
60.5%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 2:2763% → 60%
Q2 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
62.8%
Jacob Kibodi run for 12 yds to the LaLaf 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
63.1%
Jacob Kibodi run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 34Similar
Q2 5:58
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+2
63.0%
Jacob Kibodi run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 36Similar
Q2 5:58
3RD & 6
OWN 36
-1
62.9%
Terrence Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 35Similar
Q2 3:31
4TH & 7
OWN 35
-4
60.4%
Rhys Byrns punt for 49 yds , Hassan Beydoun returns for a loss of 4 yards to the EMich 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 28 yds · 0:5343% → 41%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+28
42.6%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Michael Jefferson for 28 yds to the EMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:31
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
43.6%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Michael Jefferson for no gain to the EMich 47Similar
Q3 14:31
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
43.5%
Chandler Fields pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:31
3RD & 10
OPP 47
0
42.8%
Chandler Fields pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:07
4TH & 10
OPP 47
0
41.4%
Rhys Byrns punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:1560% → 61%
Q3 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
39.7%
Samson Evans run for a loss of 5 yards to the EMich 15Similar
Q3 14:07
2ND & 15
OWN 15
0
40.1%
Taylor Powell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:07
3RD & 15
OWN 15
0
40.7%
Taylor Powell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:52
4TH & 15
OWN 15
+34
39.0%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 46 yds , Eric Garror returns for 34 yds to the EMich 27Similar
Q3 12:52
4TH & 15
OWN 15
+34
39.0%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 46 yds , Eric Garror returns for 34 yds to the EMich 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 11TD
2 plays · 27 yds · 0:1142% → 57%
Q3 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
41.7%
Chandler Fields pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:41
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+27
57.0%
Michael Jefferson 27 Yd pass from Chandler Fields (Preston Stafford Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 12INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:1550% → 49%
Q3 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
49.9%
Taylor Powell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:38
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
50.6%
Taylor Powell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:23
3RD & 10
OWN 24
0
51.2%
Taylor Powell pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 13TD
9 plays · 32 yds · 3:0957% → 71%
Q3 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
56.8%
Chris Smith run for 1 yd to the EMich 31Similar
Q3 12:23
2ND & 9
OPP 31
0
56.7%
Chandler Fields pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:23
3RD & 9
OPP 31
+7
54.8%
Errol Rogers Jr. run for 7 yds to the EMich 24 for a 1ST down EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Horse Collar Tackle on RAMIREZ, Jose enforced half the distance from the goal (Jose Ramirez) to the EMich 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+11
55.6%
Chris Smith run for 11 yds to the EMich 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
55.7%
Chris Smith run for no gain to the EMich 1Similar
Q3 10:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
55.7%
FIELDS, Chandler pass to the right incomplete intended for LUMPKIN, Johnny thrown to the EMU0. PENALTY EMU Holding on EVANS, Carter enforced half the distance from the goal, 1 yards from the EMU1 to the EMU0 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 10:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
55.7%
Jacob Kibodi run for no gain to the EMich 1Similar
Q3 9:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
71.2%
Johnny Lumpkin 1 Yd pass from Chandler Fields (Preston Stafford Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 14TD
6 plays · 82 yds · 2:0837% → 62%
Q3 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+15
63.5%
POWELL, Taylor pass to the left incomplete intended for LASSITER, Darius thrown to the EMU42. PENALTY LA Pass Interference on MARTIN, Keyon enforced 15 yards to the EMU33 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-10
62.5%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive Holding (Tanner Knue) to the EMich 25Similar
Q3 9:08
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+17
60.7%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Tanner Knue for 17 yds to the LaLaf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+44
59.4%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 44 yds to the LaLaf 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:08
1ST & 18
OWN 25
+13
63.7%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Tanner Knue for 13 yds to the EMich 38Similar
Q3 7:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
38.2%
Darius Boone Jr. 1 Yd Run (Jesus Gomez Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 15TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:0150% → 69%
Q3 7:00
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+8
50.0%
Terrence Williams run for 8 yds to the EMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
51.0%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+7
50.3%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Errol Rogers Jr. for 7 yds to the EMich 39Similar
Q3 7:00
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+3
50.6%
Terrence Williams run for 3 yds to the EMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
46.1%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to John Stephens Jr. for 12 yds to the LaLaf 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
47.4%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 9 yds to the LaLaf 46Similar
Q3 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
68.8%
John Stephens Jr. 36 Yd pass from Ben Wooldridge (Preston Stafford Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:3140% → 37%
Q3 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
60.5%
Jaylon Jackson run for 4 yds to the EMich 25Similar
Q3 3:48
2ND & 6
OWN 25
0
60.0%
Taylor Powell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:48
3RD & 6
OWN 25
+4
61.6%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Tanner Knue for 4 yds to the EMich 29Similar
Q3 3:48
4TH & 2
OWN 29
-5
62.2%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the EMich 24Similar
Q3 2:17
4TH & 7
OWN 24
0
62.7%
punt for 37 yds, downed at the LaLaf 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 17TD
8 plays · 61 yds · 2:2566% → 85%
Q3 2:17
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+27
66.4%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Michael Jefferson for 27 yds to the EMich 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:17
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-5
69.4%
LOUISIANA Penalty, False Start (Nathan Thomas) to the EMich 32Similar
Q3 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
65.8%
Terrence Williams run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 43Similar
Q3 2:17
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+3
67.4%
Terrence Williams run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 46Similar
Q3 0:11
1ST & 15
OPP 32
0
65.7%
Chandler Fields pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 15
OPP 32
+12
64.3%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 12 yds to the EMich 20Similar
Q4 14:52
3RD & 3
OPP 20
+20
85.0%
Chris Smith 20 Yd Run (Kam Pedescleaux Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 18INT
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:1921% → 23%
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
78.9%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Tanner Knue for 6 yds to the EMich 31Similar
Q4 14:33
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
77.1%
Taylor Powell pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 19TD
7 plays · 43 yds · 3:1887% → 98%
Q4 14:33
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
86.5%
Terrence Williams run for 3 yds to the EMich 40Similar
Q4 14:33
2ND & 7
OPP 40
0
86.1%
LOUISIANA Penalty, Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on HUDSON, David ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 14:33
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+9
85.4%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Jacob Bernard for 9 yds to the EMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:33
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
86.6%
Jacob Kibodi run for 5 yds to the EMich 26Similar
Q4 14:33
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+3
86.5%
Terrence Williams run for 3 yds to the EMich 23Similar
Q4 14:33
3RD & 2
OPP 23
+4
85.5%
Terrence Williams run for 4 yds to the EMich 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
97.5%
Neal Johnson 19 Yd pass from Chandler Fields (Preston Stafford Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 20FUMBLE
3 plays · 46 yds · 0:328% → 9%
Q4 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
91.6%
Taylor Powell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+17
91.6%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Gunnar Oakes for 17 yds to the EMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+29
90.7%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 29 yds Hassan Beydoun fumbled, recovered by LaLaf Caleb AndersonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 21TD
5 plays · 71 yds · 2:2198% → 100%
Q4 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
97.6%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Corry Thomas Jr.) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
97.5%
Dre'lyn Washington run for 1 yd to the EMich 2Similar
Q4 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
97.5%
Dre'lyn Washington run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 37Similar
Q4 10:43
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+5
97.5%
Dre'lyn Washington run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.6%
Pearse Migl 2 Yd pass from Ben Wooldridge (Preston Stafford Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 22DOWNS
9 plays · 33 yds · 1:541% → 1%
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
98.9%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Samson Evans for 4 yds to the EMich 26Similar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+11
98.8%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Tanner Knue for 11 yds to the EMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
98.8%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Samson Evans for 4 yds to the EMich 41Similar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+8
98.8%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 8 yds to the EMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
98.8%
Taylor Powell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+6
98.8%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Tanner Knue for 6 yds to the LaLaf 45Similar
Q4 8:15
3RD & 4
OPP 45
0
98.8%
Taylor Powell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:21
4TH & 4
OPP 45
0
99.1%
Taylor Powell pass interceptedSimilar
Q4 6:21
4TH & 4
OPP 45
0
99.1%
Taylor Powell pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 23TD
8 plays · 55 yds · 4:34100% → 100%
Q4 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+19
99.7%
Dre'lyn Washington run for 19 yds to the EMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:21
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
99.7%
Dre'lyn Washington run for 4 yds to the EMich 32Similar
Q4 6:21
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+10
99.7%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Neal Johnson for 10 yds to the EMich 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:21
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
99.7%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Neal Johnson for 8 yds to the EMich 14Similar
Q4 6:21
2ND & 2
OPP 14
+5
99.7%
Dre'lyn Washington run for 5 yds to the EMich 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
99.7%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Rhett Guidry for 6 yds to the EMich 3Similar
Q4 6:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
99.7%
Dre'lyn Washington run for 2 yds to the EMich 1Similar
Q4 1:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
100.0%
Dre'lyn Washington 1 Yd Run (Ben Wooldridge Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 24FUMBLE
4 plays · 14 yds · 0:560% → 0%
Q4 1:47
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+4
99.9%
Austin Smith run for 4 yds to the EMich 43Similar
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
99.9%
Jaylon Jackson run for 4 yds to the EMich 39Similar
Q4 0:51
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+6
99.9%
Jaylon Jackson run for 6 yds to the EMich 49 Jaylon Jackson fumbled, recovered by LaLaf Caleb KibodiSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:00
Darius Boone Jr. 1 Yd Run (Jesus Gomez Kick)
-25.6
TD · Q3 3:59
John Stephens Jr. 36 Yd pass from Ben Wooldridge (Preston Stafford Kick)
+21.5
TD · Q4 14:52
Chris Smith 20 Yd Run (Kam Pedescleaux Kick)
+20.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com