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EKU

Eastern Kentucky 59 at Bowling Green 57

BGSU
2022 · Week 2 · Sep 10, 2022 · Doyt L. Perry Stadium
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Win probability · BGSU
modelBGSU aheadEKU aheadconfidence bandkey playBGSU scoreEKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 11:29 · Mason Lawler 32 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+24.5+12.30−12.3−24.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 50Pregame prior+13.8Home team on offense+4.9Garbage-time factor+1.5Score differential+0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 7:44: Cornelius McCoy 2 Yd pass from Parker McKinney (Patrick Nations Kick) — EKU win probability +18.1 pts (now 77%) (top driver: EKU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 5:49: CJ Lewis 34 Yd pass from Matt McDonald (Mason Lawler Kick) — BGSU win probability +20.3 pts (now 48%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 8:55: Tyrone Broden 20 Yd pass from Matt McDonald (Mason Lawler Kick) — BGSU win probability +21.9 pts (now 62%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 3:39: Jaison Patterson 2 Yd Run (Mason Lawler Kick) — BGSU win probability +28.4 pts (now 92%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:00: Jayden Higgins 3 Yd pass from Parker McKinney (Patrick Nations Kick) — EKU win probability +46.2 pts (now 62%) (top driver: EKU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BGSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8EKU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 10:59BGSU 4th & 17 at EKU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 69.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.5%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.7%
    64% to make
    Punt
    69.3%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:54EKU 4th & 1 at EKU 34, down 3
    Close callPunted · 29.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.8%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:46BGSU 4th & 11 at EKU 49, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.5%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:49EKU 4th & 4 at EKU 31, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.3%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:29BGSU 4th & 12 at EKU 14, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 73.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.0%−1.4
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.4%
    84% to make
    Punt
    68.2%−5.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:56BGSU 4th & 7 at BGSU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.2%−1.5
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.8%
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:17BGSU 4th & 13 at BGSU 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.0%−3.0
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.9%
    average punt
  8. Q3 0:39EKU 4th & 14 at EKU 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.7%−3.4
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 0:19BGSU 4th & 10 at BGSU 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.6%−3.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.1%
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:09EKU 4th & 21 at EKU 38, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.8%−4.9
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.7%
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:09BGSU 4th & 2 at EKU 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    30.1%−6.2
    25% to make
    Punt
    32.6%−3.7
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:25EKU 4th & 23 at EKU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.0%−14.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:39BGSU 4th & 2 at EKU 2, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    53.1%−6.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    25.1%−34.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BGSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5EKU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 1:43BGSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:52EKU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:39BGSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:13EKU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:44EKU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:49BGSU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:55BGSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.9%−0.3
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 3:39BGSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.0%−1.9
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 0:00EKU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.4%−1.9
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BGSUDrive 1FG
10 plays · 36 yds · 3:5770% → 70%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+13
69.9%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Ta'ron Keith for 13 yds to the EKent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
69.9%
Nick Mosley run for no gain to the EKent 49Similar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+13
69.9%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Christian Sims for 13 yds to the EKent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
69.9%
Nick Mosley run for 1 yd to the EKent 35Similar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+16
69.9%
Ta'ron Keith run for 16 yds to the EKent 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
69.9%
Ta'ron Keith run for 5 yds to the EKent 24Similar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 20
OPP 29
+3
69.9%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Ta'ron Keith for 3 yds to the EKent 26Similar
Q1 14:56
3RD & 17
OPP 26
0
69.9%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to CJ LewisSimilar
Q1 10:59
4TH & 17
OPP 26
+45
69.5%
Mason Lawler 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:0530% → 30%
Q1 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
69.7%
Braedon Sloan run for 1 yd to the EKent 26Similar
Q1 10:59
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
69.7%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Braedon Sloan for 3 yds to the EKent 29Similar
Q1 10:59
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
69.8%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Dakota Allen for 5 yds to the EKent 34Similar
Q1 8:54
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
69.8%
Jeremy Edwards punt for 36 yds , Jake Rogers returns for 2 yds to the BwGrn 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 1:0870% → 69%
Q1 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+20
69.5%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Christian Sims for 20 yds to the EKent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
70.0%
Nick Mosley run for 1 yd to the EKent 49Similar
Q1 8:54
2ND & 11
OPP 49
0
69.7%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Odieu HiliareSimilar
Q1 8:54
3RD & 11
OPP 49
0
69.5%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Christian SimsSimilar
Q1 7:46
4TH & 11
OPP 49
0
69.1%
Sami Sir punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 4INT
6 plays · 22 yds · 2:3930% → 31%
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
69.6%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 5 yds to the EKent 25Similar
Q1 7:46
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+2
69.5%
Kyeandre Magloire run for 2 yds to the EKent 27Similar
Q1 7:46
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+6
69.7%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Dakota Allen for 6 yds to the EKent 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
69.6%
Kyeandre Magloire run for 9 yds to the EKent 42Similar
Q1 5:07
2ND & 1
OWN 42
0
69.0%
Parker McKinney pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 5TD
8 plays · 60 yds · 3:2470% → 74%
Q1 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
70.0%
Jaison Patterson run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 44Similar
Q1 5:07
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+5
70.2%
Jaison Patterson run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 49Similar
Q1 5:07
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+3
70.1%
Jaison Patterson run for 3 yds to the EKent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+17
70.4%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Cavon Croom for 17 yds to the EKent 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+20
70.7%
Matt McDonald pass complete to CJ Lewis for 20 yds to the EKent 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
70.7%
Ta'ron Keith run for 5 yds to the EKent 6Similar
Q1 5:07
2ND & 5
OPP 6
0
70.7%
Jaison Patterson run for no gain to the EKent 6Similar
Q1 1:43
3RD & 5
OPP 6
+6
73.8%
Matt McDonald pass complete to CJ Lewis for 6 yds for a TD, (Mason Lawler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:5427% → 26%
Q1 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
73.2%
Parker McKinney run for 2 yds to the EKent 27Similar
Q1 1:43
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
73.2%
Braedon Sloan run for 2 yds to the EKent 29Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+2
73.8%
Parker McKinney run for 2 yds to the EKent 31Similar
Q2 14:49
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
74.1%
Jeremy Edwards punt for 27 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 7MISSED FG
11 plays · 44 yds · 3:2074% → 73%
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
74.4%
Jaison Patterson run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 43Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+4
74.3%
Jaison Patterson run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 47Similar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+17
73.9%
Matt McDonald run for 17 yds to the EKent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
73.9%
Ta'ron Keith run for 5 yds to the EKent 31Similar
Q2 13:11
2ND & 5
OPP 31
0
74.0%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Christian SimsSimilar
Q2 13:11
3RD & 5
OPP 31
+19
73.5%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 19 yds to the EKent 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
74.0%
Nick Mosley run for 2 yds to the EKent 14Similar
Q2 13:11
2ND & 12
OPP 14
0
74.0%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Odieu HiliareSimilar
Q2 13:11
3RD & 12
OPP 14
0
73.5%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to CJ LewisSimilar
Q2 11:29
4TH & 12
OPP 14
+32
72.9%
Mason Lawler 32 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 8TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 3:3726% → 35%
Q2 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+17
74.2%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Jaden Smith for 17 yds to the EKent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+13
73.6%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Jaden Smith for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:29
1ST & 10
50
+17
72.8%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Jaden Smith for 17 yds to the BwGrn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
72.1%
Kyeandre Magloire run for no gain to the BwGrn 33Similar
Q2 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
71.8%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Jyran Mitchell for 5 yds to the BwGrn 13Similar
Q2 11:29
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+5
71.8%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Braedon Sloan for 5 yds to the BwGrn 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
71.8%
Kyeandre Magloire run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 6Similar
Q2 7:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
65.4%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 6 yds for a TD, (Patrick Nations KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 9TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:1369% → 77%
Q2 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
68.6%
Odieu Hiliare run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 27Similar
Q2 7:52
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
68.6%
Jaison Patterson run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 28Similar
Q2 7:52
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+27
67.7%
Matt McDonald run for 12 yds to the EKent 40 for a 1ST down EASTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (TK McLendon Jr.) to the EKent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
70.7%
Ta'ron Keith run for 6 yds to the EKent 39Similar
Q2 7:52
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+8
70.6%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 8 yds to the EKent 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
76.8%
Matt McDonald run for 31 yds for a TD, (Mason Lawler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 10FG
8 plays · 70 yds · 0:0023% → 28%
Q2 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-6
76.6%
Parker McKinney sacked by JB Brown for a loss of 6 yards to the EKent 17Similar
Q2 5:32
2ND & 16
OWN 17
+12
77.0%
Braedon Sloan run for 12 yds to the EKent 29Similar
Q2 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+12
74.9%
Braedon Sloan run for 12 yds to the BwGrn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+13
73.7%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Braedon Sloan for 13 yds to the BwGrn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
73.7%
Parker McKinney pass incomplete to Dakota AllenSimilar
Q2 5:32
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+6
73.7%
Braedon Sloan run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 7Similar
Q2 5:32
3RD & 4
OPP 7
0
72.0%
Parker McKinney pass incomplete to Dakota AllenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 11FUMBLE RETURN TD
3 plays · -25 yds · 0:3170% → 65%
Q2 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
70.2%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Cavon Croom for 3 yds to the BwGrn 28Similar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
65.0%
Jadyn Bost 0 Yd Fumble Return (Patrick Nations Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:4565% → 63%
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
64.8%
Ta'ron Keith run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 28Similar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
65.0%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Christian SimsSimilar
Q2 1:41
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
63.6%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Tyrone BrodenSimilar
Q2 0:56
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
62.6%
Sami Sir punt for 16 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BwGrn 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 13TD
6 plays · 44 yds · 0:4342% → 57%
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
57.7%
Parker McKinney run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 40Similar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 6
OPP 40
0
57.1%
Parker McKinney pass incomplete to Jaden SmithSimilar
Q2 0:56
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+9
58.1%
Parker McKinney run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+14
56.5%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Dakota Allen for 14 yds to the BwGrn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
56.1%
Parker McKinney run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 15Similar
Q2 0:13
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+15
43.4%
Braedon Sloan 15 Yd Run (Patrick Nations Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0049% → 49%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
48.5%
run for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 17 yds · 2:3850% → 44%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
49.7%
Odieu Hiliare run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 24Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+4
50.1%
Jaison Patterson run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 28Similar
Q3 14:14
3RD & 3
OWN 28
+13
47.7%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 13 yds to the BwGrn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
50.7%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to CJ LewisSimilar
Q3 14:14
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
49.6%
Ta'ron Keith run for no gain to the BwGrn 41Similar
Q3 14:14
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+3
48.4%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 3 yds to the BwGrn 38Similar
Q3 12:17
4TH & 13
OWN 38
0
44.3%
Sami Sir punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jaden Smith at the EKent 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 16TD
12 plays · 82 yds · 4:3355% → 77%
Q3 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
45.1%
Kyeandre Magloire run for 2 yds to the EKent 20Similar
Q3 12:17
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+11
45.4%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Kyeandre Magloire for 11 yds to the EKent 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
43.6%
Kyeandre Magloire run for 5 yds to the EKent 36Similar
Q3 12:17
2ND & 5
OWN 36
0
42.7%
Parker McKinney pass incomplete to Jaden SmithSimilar
Q3 12:17
3RD & 5
OWN 36
+8
43.6%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 8 yds to the EKent 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
41.9%
Parker McKinney pass incomplete to Dakota AllenSimilar
Q3 12:17
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+3
42.4%
Kyeandre Magloire run for 3 yds to the EKent 47Similar
Q3 12:17
3RD & 7
OWN 47
+33
42.4%
Parker McKinney run for 33 yds to the BwGrn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+18
40.8%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Mo Edwards Jr. for 18 yds to the BwGrn 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
40.8%
Kyeandre Magloire run for no gain to the BwGrn 2Similar
Q3 12:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
40.8%
Parker McKinney pass incomplete to Jaden SmithSimilar
Q3 7:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
22.7%
Cornelius McCoy 2 Yd pass from Parker McKinney (Patrick Nations Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 17TD
5 plays · 83 yds · 1:4726% → 48%
Q3 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+12
26.1%
Jaison Patterson run for 12 yds to the BwGrn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:36
1ST & 15
OWN 24
+18
26.0%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Andrew Bench for 18 yds to the BwGrn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
28.4%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Cavon CroomSimilar
Q3 7:36
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
27.8%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Odieu HiliareSimilar
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
48.2%
CJ Lewis 34 Yd pass from Matt McDonald (Mason Lawler Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 18PUNT
11 plays · 19 yds · 5:1062% → 65%
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
38.2%
Parker McKinney sacked by Blaine Spires for a loss of 2 yards to the EKent 23Similar
Q3 5:49
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+3
39.3%
Braedon Sloan run for 3 yds to the EKent 26Similar
Q3 5:49
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+10
39.8%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Braedon Sloan for 10 yds to the EKent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
36.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun McKinney,Parker pass complete deep right to Allen,Dakota for 27 yards to the BGSU37 (Anderson,Jordan; Oladokun,Jordan) PENALTY EKU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Napier,Matthew) 5 yards from EKU36 to EKU31. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:49
1ST & 15
OWN 31
+5
38.8%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Braedon Sloan for 5 yds to the EKent 26Similar
Q3 5:49
2ND & 20
OWN 26
+22
39.5%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Braedon Sloan for 22 yds to the EKent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
35.3%
Parker McKinney pass incomplete to Cornelius McCoySimilar
Q3 5:49
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+1
35.5%
Braedon Sloan run for 1 yd to the EKent 49Similar
Q3 5:49
3RD & 9
OWN 49
-5
35.7%
Parker McKinney sacked by Walter Haire for a loss of 5 yards to the EKent 44Similar
Q3 0:39
4TH & 14
OWN 44
0
35.1%
Jeremy Edwards punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Jake Rogers at the BwGrn 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 19PUNT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:2037% → 32%
Q3 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
37.4%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Jaison PattersonSimilar
Q3 0:39
3RD & 10
OWN 23
0
35.5%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Tyrone BrodenSimilar
Q3 0:19
4TH & 10
OWN 23
0
31.7%
Sami Sir punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jaden Smith at the EKent 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 0 yds · 2:5171% → 70%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
29.4%
Kyeandre Magloire run for no gain to the EKent 38Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+11
29.7%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Kyeandre Magloire for 11 yds to the EKent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-7
28.7%
Parker McKinney sacked by Demetrius Hardamon for a loss of 7 yards to the EKent 42Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 17
OWN 42
+5
31.6%
Kyeandre Magloire run for 5 yds to the EKent 37Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 22
OWN 37
-5
33.1%
PENALTY EKU False Start (Collins,Payton) 5 yards from EKU37 to EKU32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 27
OWN 32
+6
33.9%
Kyeandre Magloire run for 6 yds to the EKent 38Similar
Q4 12:09
4TH & 21
OWN 38
+24
29.6%
Jeremy Edwards punt for 39 yds , Jake Rogers returns for 24 yds to the BwGrn 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 21TD
7 plays · 53 yds · 3:1436% → 62%
Q4 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
36.1%
Jaison Patterson run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 12:09
2ND & 7
50
0
36.8%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Odieu HiliareSimilar
Q4 12:09
3RD & 7
50
+5
34.7%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 5 yds to the EKent 45Similar
Q4 12:09
4TH & 2
OPP 45
+29
34.5%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Ta'ron Keith for 29 yds to the EKent 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
39.6%
Ta'ron Keith run for 2 yds to the EKent 14Similar
Q4 12:09
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+1
39.6%
Jaison Patterson run for 1 yd to the EKent 15Similar
Q4 8:55
3RD & 14
OPP 20
+20
61.5%
Tyrone Broden 20 Yd pass from Matt McDonald (Mason Lawler Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 22PUNT
9 plays · 7 yds · 2:3046% → 44%
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
54.4%
Parker McKinney pass incomplete to Jaden SmithSimilar
Q4 8:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
54.9%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Jaden Smith for 6 yds to the EKent 31Similar
Q4 8:55
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+14
54.0%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Dakota Allen for 14 yds to the EKent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
49.8%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Braedon Sloan for 4 yds to the EKent 49Similar
Q4 8:55
2ND & 6
OWN 49
0
49.0%
Parker McKinney pass incomplete to Jayden HigginsSimilar
Q4 8:55
3RD & 6
OWN 49
-5
49.4%
PENALTY EKU False Start (Hart,Drew) 5 yards from EKU49 to EKU44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:55
3RD & 11
OWN 44
-12
53.4%
Parker McKinney sacked by Karl Brooks for a loss of 12 yards to the EKent 32Similar
Q4 6:25
4TH & 23
OWN 32
0
55.8%
Jeremy Edwards punt blocked by PaSean Wimberly blocked by PaSean WimberlySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 23TD
7 plays · 22 yds · 2:4666% → 92%
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
66.1%
Jaison Patterson run for 2 yds to the EKent 20Similar
Q4 6:25
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+4
66.1%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Christian Sims for 4 yds to the EKent 16Similar
Q4 6:25
3RD & 4
OPP 16
+11
64.1%
Matt McDonald pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 11 yds to the EKent 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
66.1%
Christian Sims run for 2 yds to the EKent 3Similar
Q4 6:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
66.1%
Jaison Patterson run for 1 yd to the EKent 2Similar
Q4 6:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
64.0%
Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Tyrone BrodenSimilar
Q4 3:39
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
92.3%
Jaison Patterson 2 Yd Run (Mason Lawler Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 24TD
19 plays · 75 yds · 3:3913% → 62%
Q4 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
87.2%
Parker McKinney sacked by Adrian Wilson for a loss of 4 yards to the EKent 21Similar
Q4 3:39
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+11
87.6%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Dakota Allen for 11 yds to the EKent 32Similar
Q4 3:39
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+8
85.8%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Jaden Smith for 8 yds to the EKent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
83.1%
Parker McKinney pass incomplete to Mo Edwards Jr.Similar
Q4 3:39
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+2
83.2%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 2 yds to the BwGrn 41Similar
Q4 3:39
3RD & 8
OPP 41
+9
83.7%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 9 yds to the BwGrn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
80.7%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 5 yds to the BwGrn 27Similar
Q4 3:39
2ND & 5
OPP 27
0
79.7%
Parker McKinney pass incomplete to Cornelius McCoySimilar
Q4 0:39
3RD & 5
OPP 27
+7
81.4%
Parker McKinney run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
81.7%
Parker McKinney pass incomplete to Braedon SloanSimilar
Q4 0:33
2ND & 10
OPP 20
-10
82.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun McKinney,Parker pass incomplete short right to Mitchell,Jyran QB hurried by Hardamon,Demetrius PENALTY EKU Holding (Collins,Payton) 10 yards from BGSU20 to BGSU30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:33
2ND & 20
OPP 30
+10
84.9%
Parker McKinney run for 10 yds to the BwGrn 20Similar
Q4 0:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
81.4%
Parker McKinney pass incomplete to Cornelius McCoySimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
38.1%
Jayden Higgins 3 Yd pass from Parker McKinney (Patrick Nations Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:00
Jayden Higgins 3 Yd pass from Parker McKinney (Patrick Nations Kick)
-46.2
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-37.2
TD · Q4 3:39
Jaison Patterson 2 Yd Run (Mason Lawler Kick)
+28.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com