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EIU

Eastern Illinois 27 at Northern Illinois 34

NIU
2022 · Week 1 · Sep 1, 2022 · Huskie Stadium
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Win probability · NIU
modelNIU aheadEIU aheadconfidence bandkey playNIU scoreEIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGTDTDFGTDFGTDTDEnd of GameFG+1.7NIU 98.1%John Richardson 38 yd FG GOODAWAY 20 - HOME 34 · Q4 3:39
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:39 · John Richardson 38 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 141Pregame prior+5.4Home team on offense+28.1Score differential+12.7Garbage-time factor+13.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+5.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 5:59: Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Liam Soraghan for 13 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK) — NIU win probability +2.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 2:43: Jonah O'Brien pass complete to Jaelin Benefield for 24 yds for a TD, (Stone Galloway KICK) — EIU win probability +3.8 pts (now 5%) (top driver: EIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 9:58: Jonah O'Brien pass complete to Justin Thomas for 13 yds for a TD, (Stone Galloway KICK) — EIU win probability +5.1 pts (now 8%) (top driver: EIU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 2:04: Jonah O'Brien pass complete to Jay Vallie for 8 yds for a TD, (Stone Galloway KICK) — EIU win probability +11.2 pts (now 14%) (top driver: EIU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:04: kickoff for 9 yds EASTRN ILLINOIS Penalty, Targeting (Alex Oyawale) to the EIlln 29 — NIU win probability +4.9 pts (now 91%) (top driver: EIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NIU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5EIU made the numbers' call on 2 of 4
  1. Q1 8:56EIU 4th & 6 at EIU 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:26NIU 4th & 2 at NIU 28, up 7
    Close callPunted · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.0%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:20EIU 4th & 4 at NIU 17, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.1%−<0.1
    80% to make
    Punt
    3.5%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 3:14NIU 4th & 5 at NIU 7, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.9%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:04EIU 4th & 8 at NIU 8, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.5%
    90% to make
    Punt
    1.6%−1.9
    average punt
  6. Q3 10:26EIU 4th & 11 at NIU 36, down 15
    Close callWent for it · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.4%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    4.5%
    42% to make
    Punt
    4.4%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q4 12:15NIU 4th & 9 at EIU 25, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.9%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.0%
    66% to make
    Punt
    95.2%−1.7
    average punt
  8. Q4 3:39NIU 4th & 6 at EIU 20, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.0%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.2%
    75% to make
    Punt
    93.1%−2.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 0:58NIU 4th & 6 at EIU 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.9%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.2%
    66% to make
    Punt
    93.6%−1.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NIU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4EIU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 10:41NIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:48NIU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:27NIU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:59NIU Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:43EIU Touchdown, down 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:58EIU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.5%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.6%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 2:04EIU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.9%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NIUDrive 1TD
9 plays · 74 yds · 3:5898% → 98%
Q1 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
97.9%
Antario Brown run for 1 yd to the NoIll 27Similar
Q1 14:11
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+10
97.8%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Cole Tucker for 10 yds to the NoIll 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
97.8%
Antario Brown run for 3 yds to the NoIll 40Similar
Q1 12:57
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+4
97.7%
Antario Brown run for 4 yds to the NoIll 44Similar
Q1 12:17
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+54
97.6%
Harrison Waylee run for 54 yds to the EIlln 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
97.4%
Harrison Waylee run for 1 yd to the EIlln 1Similar
Q1 10:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
97.4%
Harrison Waylee run for no gain to the EIlln 1Similar
Q1 10:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.6%
Harrison Waylee run for 1 yd for a TD, (John Richardson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:273% → 3%
Q1 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
97.5%
Markenzy Pierre run for 2 yds to the EIlln 18Similar
Q1 9:42
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+2
97.4%
Jonah O'Brien pass complete to Anthony Manaves for 2 yds to the EIlln 20Similar
Q1 9:11
3RD & 6
OWN 20
0
97.4%
Jonah O'Brien pass incomplete to Anthony ManavesSimilar
Q1 8:56
4TH & 6
OWN 20
+5
97.4%
Trey Wilhoit punt for 54 yds , Cole Tucker returns for 5 yds to the NoIll 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:2697% → 97%
Q1 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
97.4%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Cole TuckerSimilar
Q1 8:34
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+1
97.3%
Antario Brown run for 1 yd to the NoIll 21Similar
Q1 7:56
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+7
97.2%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Harrison Waylee for 7 yds to the NoIll 28Similar
Q1 7:26
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
97.2%
Tom Foley punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Cooper Willman at the EIlln 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 4FG
15 plays · 55 yds · 6:523% → 4%
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
97.1%
Markenzy Pierre run for 3 yds to the EIlln 31Similar
Q1 6:22
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+4
97.0%
Jaelin Benefield run for 4 yds to the EIlln 27Similar
Q1 5:46
3RD & 11
OWN 27
+19
97.0%
Jaelin Benefield run for 19 yds to the EIlln 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
96.8%
Jaelin Benefield run for 3 yds to the EIlln 49Similar
Q1 4:12
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+1
96.6%
Jonah O'Brien run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 3:52
3RD & 6
50
-5
96.6%
PENALTY EIU Delay Of Game 5 yards from EIU50 to EIU45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:24
3RD & 11
OWN 45
+11
96.6%
Jonah O'Brien pass complete to DeWayne Cooks Jr. for 11 yds to the NoIll 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
96.4%
Jonah O'Brien pass incomplete to DeWayne Cooks Jr.Similar
Q1 2:47
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+5
96.4%
Jonah O'Brien pass complete to Anthony Manaves for 5 yds to the NoIll 39Similar
Q1 2:11
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+16
96.3%
Jonah O'Brien pass complete to Jaelin Benefield for 16 yds to the NoIll 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
96.1%
Jaelin Benefield run for 1 yd to the NoIll 22Similar
Q1 1:11
2ND & 9
OPP 22
0
96.0%
Jonah O'Brien pass incomplete to Justin ThomasSimilar
Q1 0:44
3RD & 9
OPP 22
+5
96.1%
Jonah O'Brien pass complete to Justin Thomas for 5 yds to the NoIll 17Similar
Q1 0:20
4TH & 4
OPP 17
+34
96.0%
Stone Galloway 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 5TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:1996% → 97%
Q1 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
95.7%
Mason Blakemore run for 15 yds to the NoIll 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
95.8%
Harrison Waylee run for 2 yds to the NoIll 42Similar
Q2 14:05
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+9
95.7%
Antario Brown run for 9 yds to the EIlln 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
95.6%
Antario Brown run for 2 yds to the EIlln 47Similar
Q2 13:02
2ND & 8
OPP 47
0
95.6%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Miles JoinerSimilar
Q2 12:56
3RD & 8
OPP 47
+15
95.4%
(13:01) No Huddle-Shotgun Lombardi,Rocky pass incomplete short right to Tucker,Cole PENALTY EIU Pass Interference (Dandy,Russell) 15 yards from EIU47 to EIU32, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
95.6%
Mason Blakemore run for 1 yd to the EIlln 33Similar
Q2 11:58
2ND & 11
OPP 33
+14
95.4%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 14 yds to the EIlln 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
96.7%
Mason Blakemore run for 19 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 6INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.4%
Jonah O'Brien pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 7TD
2 plays · 35 yds · 0:0797% → 98%
Q2 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
96.6%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Shemar ThorntonSimilar
Q2 11:27
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+35
97.7%
Antario Brown run for 35 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 8INT
12 plays · 27 yds · 5:213% → 2%
Q2 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
97.4%
Markenzy Pierre run for 1 yd to the EIlln 24Similar
Q2 10:26
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+7
97.4%
Jonah O'Brien run for 7 yds to the EIlln 31Similar
Q2 9:38
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+6
97.3%
Jonah O'Brien pass complete to Nile Hill for 6 yds to the EIlln 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
97.2%
Markenzy Pierre run for 5 yds to the EIlln 42Similar
Q2 8:46
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+2
97.1%
Markenzy Pierre run for 2 yds to the EIlln 44Similar
Q2 8:03
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+5
97.0%
Jonah O'Brien pass complete to Jaelin Benefield for 5 yds to the EIlln 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+11
96.9%
Jonah O'Brien pass complete to DeWayne Cooks Jr. for 11 yds to the NoIll 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:43
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-10
97.2%
(06:52) No Huddle-Shotgun O'Brien,Jonah rush left for 16 yards gain to the NIU24 (Byrd,JaVaughn) PENALTY EIU Holding (Strickland,Chad) 10 yards from NIU40 to NIU50. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:19
1ST & 20
50
+2
97.8%
Markenzy Pierre run for 2 yds to the NoIll 48Similar
Q2 5:47
2ND & 18
OPP 48
0
97.9%
Jonah O'Brien pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 2:1798% → 97%
Q2 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+6
97.7%
Harrison Waylee run for 6 yds to the NoIll 8Similar
Q2 4:59
2ND & 4
OWN 8
-4
97.6%
(05:07) No Huddle-Shotgun Waylee,Harrison rush right for 8 yards gain to the NIU16 (Lewis,Tre'Jon) PENALTY NIU Holding (Lippe,J.J.) 4 yards from NIU08 to NIU04. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:28
2ND & 8
OWN 4
+3
97.7%
Harrison Waylee run for 3 yds to the NoIll 7Similar
Q2 3:46
3RD & 5
OWN 7
0
97.6%
Rocky Lombardi sacked for 0 yards to the NoIll 7Similar
Q2 3:14
4TH & 5
OWN 7
0
97.3%
Tom Foley punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Cooper Willman at the NoIll 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 10FG
9 plays · 40 yds · 2:542% → 3%
Q2 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
97.7%
Jonah O'Brien pass complete to Justin Thomas for no gain to the NoIll 48Similar
Q2 2:25
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+2
97.7%
Markenzy Pierre run for 2 yds to the NoIll 46Similar
Q2 2:03
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+42
97.7%
Jonah O'Brien pass complete to Justin Thomas for 42 yds to the NoIll 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
95.5%
(01:54) No Huddle-Shotgun Pierre,Markenzy rush right for 1 yard loss to the NIU05 (Ester,James; Byrd,JaVaughn) PENALTY EIU Illegal Formation 5 yards from NIU04 to NIU09. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-11
96.6%
Jonah O'Brien sacked for a loss of 11 yards to the NoIll 20Similar
Q2 0:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 20
+1
97.7%
Jonah O'Brien pass complete to Cooper Willman for 1 yd to the NoIll 19Similar
Q2 0:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 19
+11
97.9%
Jonah O'Brien pass complete to Justin Thomas for 11 yds to the NoIll 8Similar
Q2 0:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
96.8%
Stone Galloway 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-1
96.6%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 12DOWNS
11 plays · 39 yds · 4:194% → 4%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
96.0%
Markenzy Pierre run for 6 yds to the EIlln 31Similar
Q3 14:06
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
95.7%
Jonah O'Brien run for 3 yds to the EIlln 34Similar
Q3 13:41
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
95.7%
Jonah O'Brien run for 2 yds to the EIlln 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
95.6%
Markenzy Pierre run for 6 yds to the EIlln 42Similar
Q3 12:41
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+4
95.4%
Markenzy Pierre run for 4 yds to the EIlln 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+19
95.5%
Jaelin Benefield run for 19 yds to the NoIll 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
95.1%
Jaelin Benefield run for 3 yds to the NoIll 32Similar
Q3 10:58
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+4
94.8%
Jaelin Benefield run for 4 yds to the NoIll 36Similar
Q3 10:35
3RD & 11
OPP 36
0
95.4%
Jonah O'Brien pass incomplete to Justin ThomasSimilar
Q3 10:26
4TH & 11
OPP 36
0
95.6%
Jonah O'Brien sacked for 0 yards to the NoIll 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 13TD
9 plays · 64 yds · 4:0896% → 99%
Q3 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
96.3%
Antario Brown run for no gain to the NoIll 36Similar
Q3 9:40
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+19
96.3%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 19 yds to the EIlln 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
96.7%
Antario Brown run for 1 yd to the EIlln 44Similar
Q3 8:05
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+7
96.6%
Antario Brown run for 7 yds to the EIlln 37Similar
Q3 7:46
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+7
96.4%
Harrison Waylee run for 7 yds to the EIlln 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+15
96.6%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Cole Tucker for 15 yds to the EIlln 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
96.6%
Mason Blakemore run for 2 yds to the EIlln 13Similar
Q3 5:59
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+13
98.8%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Liam Soraghan for 13 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 14TD
8 plays · 82 yds · 2:581% → 5%
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
98.7%
Jaelin Benefield run for 4 yds to the EIlln 22Similar
Q3 5:05
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+6
98.7%
Jonah O'Brien pass complete to Anthony Manaves for 6 yds to the EIlln 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+15
98.7%
Jaelin Benefield run for 15 yds to the EIlln 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+12
98.7%
Jonah O'Brien pass complete to Justin Thomas for 12 yds to the NoIll 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
98.8%
Markenzy Pierre run for 6 yds to the NoIll 39Similar
Q3 2:49
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+15
98.7%
(02:52) No Huddle-Shotgun O'Brien,Jonah pass incomplete short left to Thomas,Justin PENALTY NIU Pass Interference (Gandy,Jordan) 15 yards from NIU39 to NIU24, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
94.9%
Jonah O'Brien pass complete to Jaelin Benefield for 24 yds for a TD, (Stone Galloway KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 15FG
15 plays · 49 yds · 5:0197% → 99%
Q3 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
97.3%
Harrison Waylee run for 4 yds to the NoIll 30Similar
Q3 1:44
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+5
97.3%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 5 yds to the NoIll 35Similar
Q3 1:13
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+1
97.3%
Harrison Waylee run for 1 yd to the NoIll 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-15
97.5%
(00:40) No Huddle-Shotgun Blakemore,Mason rush left for 0 yards to the NIU36 (Coates,Nick; Vincent,Jordan) PENALTY NIU UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Zschernitz,Logan) 15 yards from NIU36 to NIU21. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:06
1ST & 25
OWN 21
0
97.3%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Miles JoinerSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 25
OWN 21
+29
97.3%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Cole Tucker for 29 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
50
+13
97.5%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Cole Tucker for 13 yds to the EIlln 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
97.4%
PENALTY EIU Offside (Simon,Terence) 5 yards from EIU37 to EIU32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:05
1ST & 5
OPP 32
+6
97.6%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 6 yds to the EIlln 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
97.6%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Shemar ThorntonSimilar
Q4 13:22
2ND & 10
OPP 26
-10
97.7%
(13:28) No Huddle Brown,Antario rush right for 5 yards gain to the EIU21 (Jefferson,Alton) PENALTY NIU Holding (Cox,Marques) 10 yards from EIU26 to EIU36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 20
OPP 36
0
97.6%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Kacper RutkiewiczSimilar
Q4 12:30
3RD & 20
OPP 36
+11
97.5%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Miles Joiner for 11 yds to the EIlln 25Similar
Q4 12:15
4TH & 9
OPP 25
+43
98.5%
John Richardson 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 16TD
8 plays · 85 yds · 1:592% → 8%
Q4 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
98.0%
Jaelin Benefield run for 7 yds to the EIlln 22Similar
Q4 11:27
2ND & 3
OWN 22
+34
97.9%
Jonah O'Brien pass complete to Cooper Willman for 34 yds to the NoIll 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
97.8%
Markenzy Pierre run for 5 yds to the NoIll 39Similar
Q4 10:45
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+10
97.7%
Jonah O'Brien pass complete to Nile Hill for 10 yds to the NoIll 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:19
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+16
97.5%
Markenzy Pierre run for 16 yds to the NoIll 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
97.5%
Jonah O'Brien pass incomplete to Justin ThomasSimilar
Q4 9:58
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+13
92.4%
Jonah O'Brien pass complete to Justin Thomas for 13 yds for a TD, (Stone Galloway KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 17FG
14 plays · 62 yds · 5:4995% → 98%
Q4 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
95.1%
Harrison Waylee run for no gain to the NoIll 18Similar
Q4 9:04
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
95.1%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Cole TuckerSimilar
Q4 8:41
3RD & 10
OWN 18
+38
94.8%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 38 yds to the EIlln 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
95.6%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 1 yd to the EIlln 45Similar
Q4 7:42
2ND & 11
OPP 45
+3
95.5%
Antario Brown run for 3 yds to the EIlln 42Similar
Q4 7:04
3RD & 8
OPP 42
+13
95.6%
Rocky Lombardi pass complete to George Gumbs for 13 yds to the EIlln 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
96.0%
Mason Blakemore run for no gain to the EIlln 29Similar
Q4 5:44
2ND & 10
OPP 29
-10
96.1%
(05:51) No Huddle-Shotgun Blakemore,Mason rush right for 18 yards gain to the EIU11 (Bohanek,Colin), out of bounds PENALTY NIU Holding 10 yards from EIU29 to EIU39. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:24
2ND & 20
OPP 39
+15
96.0%
(05:29) No Huddle-Shotgun Lombardi,Rocky pass incomplete short middle to McCray,Fabian PENALTY EIU Pass Interference 15 yards from EIU39 to EIU24, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
96.2%
Antario Brown run for 3 yds to the EIlln 21Similar
Q4 4:20
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+1
96.2%
Antario Brown run for 1 yd to the EIlln 20Similar
Q4 3:44
3RD & 6
OPP 20
0
96.4%
Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Liam SoraghanSimilar
Q4 3:39
4TH & 6
OPP 20
+38
98.1%
John Richardson 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 18TD
9 plays · 74 yds · 1:202% → 14%
Q4 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+42
97.7%
Markenzy Pierre run for 42 yds to the NoIll 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
97.2%
Jonah O'Brien pass incomplete to Nile HillSimilar
Q4 2:56
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
97.2%
Jonah O'Brien pass incomplete to Justin ThomasSimilar
Q4 2:43
3RD & 10
OPP 32
+15
97.5%
Jonah O'Brien pass complete to Nile Hill for 15 yds to the NoIll 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+9
97.1%
(02:27) No Huddle-Shotgun O'Brien,Jonah pass incomplete short right QB hurried by Ester,James PENALTY NIU Holding 9 yards from NIU17 to NIU08, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-2
97.0%
(02:19) No Huddle-Shotgun O'Brien,Jonah pass complete short right to Hill,Nile for 2 yards to the NIU06 (Rayner,Daveren) PENALTY EIU Illegal Touch-Pass (Hill,Nile). NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
85.8%
Jonah O'Brien pass complete to Jay Vallie for 8 yds for a TD, (Stone Galloway KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 19MISSED FG
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:5097% → 97%
Q4 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
96.6%
Harrison Waylee run for 2 yds to the EIlln 27Similar
Q4 1:07
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+1
97.3%
Harrison Waylee run for 1 yd to the EIlln 26Similar
Q4 1:02
3RD & 7
OPP 26
+1
97.1%
Harrison Waylee run for 1 yd to the EIlln 25Similar
Q4 0:58
4TH & 6
OPP 25
+43
96.7%
John Richardson 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 20END OF GAME
6 plays · 39 yds · 0:427% → 10%
Q4 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
93.2%
Jonah O'Brien pass complete to Anthony Manaves for 5 yds to the EIlln 30Similar
Q4 0:30
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+12
92.8%
Jonah O'Brien pass complete to Jaelin Benefield for 12 yds to the EIlln 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
92.2%
Jonah O'Brien pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:22
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+10
92.3%
Jonah O'Brien pass complete to DeWayne Cooks Jr. for 10 yds to the NoIll 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
90.6%
Jonah O'Brien pass complete to Anthony Manaves for 4 yds to the NoIll 44Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+8
90.3%
Jonah O'Brien pass complete to Nile Hill for 8 yds to the NoIll 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:04
Jonah O'Brien pass complete to Jay Vallie for 8 yds for a TD, (Stone Galloway KICK)
-11.2
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+9.7
TD · Q4 9:58
Jonah O'Brien pass complete to Justin Thomas for 13 yds for a TD, (Stone Galloway KICK)
-5.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com