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EKU

Eastern Kentucky 34 at Eastern Michigan 42

EMU
2022 · Week 1 · Sep 2, 2022 · Rynearson Stadium
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Win probability · EMU
modelEMU aheadEKU aheadconfidence bandkey playEMU scoreEKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 7:09 · Jeremy Edwards punt for 28 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+31.0+15.50−15.5−31.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 22Pregame prior+23.6Home team on offense−0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.3Score differential−0.5Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:24: Parker McKinney pass complete to Jaden Smith for 19 yds for a TD, (Patrick Nations KICK) — EKU win probability +10.2 pts (now 28%) (top driver: Defense has -3 timeouts left).
  2. TD · Q3 4:38: Parker McKinney run for 23 yds for a TD, (Patrick Nations KICK) — EKU win probability +10.9 pts (now 20%) (top driver: EKU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 7:13: Parker McKinney pass complete to Dakota Allen for 14 yds for a TD, (Patrick Nations KICK) — EKU win probability +11.3 pts (now 17%) (top driver: EKU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 7:13: Timeout EASTRN MICHIGAN, clock 07:13 — EMU win probability +12.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:11: Parker McKinney pass complete to Dakota Allen for 9 yds for a TD EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Illegal Substitution ( Yards) declined, (Patrick Nations KICK) — EKU win probability +12.1 pts (now 15%) (top driver: EKU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
EMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3EKU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00EKU 4th & 2 at EMU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    23.3%−0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    23.2%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:59EMU 4th & 8 at EMU 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.4%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:09EKU 4th & 7 at EKU 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.4%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:13EMU 4th & 10 at EMU 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.4%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:52EKU 4th & 9 at EMU 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 28.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.8%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.2%
    81% to make
    Punt
    25.9%−2.2
    average punt
  6. Q3 9:35EKU 4th & 8 at EKU 13, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.5%−1.0
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.5%
    average punt
  7. Q3 2:22EMU 4th & 2 at EKU 45, up 11
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 87.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    85.8%−2.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    86.8%−1.1
    average punt
  8. Q4 14:09EKU 4th & 5 at EKU 21, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.0%−0.6
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.7%
    average punt
  9. Q4 8:16EKU 4th & 11 at EMU 23, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.6%−0.6
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.2%
    70% to make
    Punt
    1.3%−1.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
EMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6EKU made the numbers' call on 2 of 4
  1. Q2 10:39EMU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:36EMU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:24EKU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:39EMU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:07EMU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:38EKU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:00EMU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 7:13EKU Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.9%−0.5
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.4%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 3:22EMU Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%−0.5
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 1:11EKU Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.2%−0.8
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
EKUDrive 1INT
13 plays · 65 yds · 5:2923% → 25%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
76.9%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 4 yds to the EKent 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
76.9%
Parker McKinney pass incomplete to Jaden SmithSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+31
76.9%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Dakota Allen for 31 yds to the EMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
76.9%
Braedon Sloan run for 2 yds to the EMich 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+4
76.9%
Parker McKinney run for 4 yds to the EMich 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 34
+2
76.9%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Dakota Allen for 2 yds to the EMich 32Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 32
+6
76.9%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 6 yds to the EMich 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
76.9%
Parker McKinney run for 6 yds to the EMich 20Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 20
+3
76.9%
Braedon Sloan run for 3 yds to the EMich 17Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 17
+1
76.9%
Braedon Sloan run for 1 yd to the EMich 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
76.9%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 6 yds to the EMich 10Similar
Q1 9:31
2ND & 4
OPP 10
0
75.0%
Parker McKinney pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:3276% → 75%
Q1 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
75.6%
Taylor Powell run for no gain to the EMich 20Similar
Q1 9:31
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
75.5%
Samson Evans run for 2 yds to the EMich 22Similar
Q1 9:31
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
75.4%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Darius LassiterSimilar
Q1 7:59
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
74.6%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the EKent 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5026% → 25%
Q1 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
74.5%
Braedon Sloan run for 3 yds to the EKent 48Similar
Q1 7:59
2ND & 7
OWN 48
0
74.5%
Parker McKinney pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:59
3RD & 7
OWN 48
0
74.7%
Parker McKinney pass incomplete to Jyran MitchellSimilar
Q1 7:09
4TH & 7
OWN 48
0
74.7%
Jeremy Edwards punt for 28 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:5675% → 74%
Q1 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-5
74.8%
Taylor Powell sacked by John Blunt Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the EMich 19Similar
Q1 7:09
2ND & 15
OWN 19
+10
74.8%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Gunnar Oakes for 10 yds to the EMich 29Similar
Q1 7:09
3RD & 5
OWN 29
-5
74.6%
Taylor Powell sacked by Eli Hairston for a loss of 5 yards to the EMich 24Similar
Q1 5:13
4TH & 10
OWN 24
0
73.6%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the EKent 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 5FG
16 plays · 59 yds · 5:2126% → 30%
Q1 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
74.0%
Kyeandre Magloire run for 13 yds to the EKent 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
73.5%
Parker McKinney pass incomplete to Cornelius McCoySimilar
Q1 5:13
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+18
73.6%
Parker McKinney run for 8 yds to the EMich 46 for a 1ST down EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the EMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
73.1%
Kyeandre Magloire run for 4 yds to the EMich 40Similar
Q1 5:13
2ND & 6
OPP 40
-10
73.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun McKinney,Parker pass complete short left to Smith,Jaden for 8 yards to the EMU32 (Carter,David), out of bounds PENALTY EKU Holding (Higgins,Jayden) 10 yards from EMU40 to EMU50. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:13
2ND & 16
50
+6
73.6%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Braedon Sloan for 6 yds to the EMich 44Similar
Q1 5:13
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+16
73.4%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Dakota Allen for 16 yds to the EMich 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
72.7%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Jaden Smith for 4 yds to the EMich 24Similar
Q1 5:13
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+7
72.7%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Jaden Smith for 7 yds to the EMich 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-10
72.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun McKinney,Parker rush middle for 4 yards gain to the EMU13 (Jefferson,Justin) PENALTY EKU Holding (Napier,Matthew) 10 yards from EMU17 to EMU27. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:13
1ST & 20
OPP 27
+1
72.9%
Kyeandre Magloire run for 1 yd to the EMich 26Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 19
OPP 26
+10
70.8%
Kyeandre Magloire run for 10 yds to the EMich 16Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 16
0
70.8%
Parker McKinney pass incomplete to Mo Edwards Jr.Similar
Q2 14:52
4TH & 9
OPP 16
+33
70.2%
Patrick Nations 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 6TD
12 plays · 48 yds · 4:0571% → 76%
Q2 14:44
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
70.7%
Samson Evans run for 3 yds to the EKent 45Similar
Q2 14:44
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+6
70.6%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 6 yds to the EKent 39Similar
Q2 14:44
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+5
70.4%
Samson Evans run for 5 yds to the EKent 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:44
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-5
71.2%
PENALTY EMU False Start (Dooley,Brian) 5 yards from EKU34 to EKU39. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:44
1ST & 15
OPP 39
+2
70.0%
Taylor Powell run for 2 yds to the EKent 37Similar
Q2 14:44
2ND & 13
OPP 37
-10
69.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Evans,Samson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the EKU33 (Robinson,Kylan; Jackson,Matthew) PENALTY EMU Holding (Dooley,Brian) 10 yards from EKU37 to EKU47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:44
2ND & 23
OPP 47
+8
69.7%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Tanner Knue for 8 yds to the EKent 39Similar
Q2 14:44
3RD & 15
OPP 39
+4
69.2%
Taylor Powell run for 4 yds to the EKent 35 for a 1ST down EASTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive Holding (TK McLendon Jr.) to the EKent 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:44
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-6
71.2%
Taylor Powell sacked by TK McLendon Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the EKent 30Similar
Q2 14:44
2ND & 16
OPP 30
+15
70.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun Powell,Taylor pass complete short right to Jackson,Jaylon for 4 yards loss to the EKU34 (Dawson,Kelton) PENALTY EKU Roughing The Passer (McLendon,TK) 15 yards from EKU30 to EKU15, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:39
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
76.1%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Tanner Knue for 15 yds for a TD, (Jesus Gomez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 7FUMBLE
7 plays · 36 yds · 1:3526% → 28%
Q2 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
74.0%
Parker McKinney run for 3 yds to the EKent 18Similar
Q2 10:34
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+5
74.0%
Braedon Sloan run for 5 yds to the EKent 23Similar
Q2 10:34
3RD & 2
OWN 23
+10
74.1%
Braedon Sloan run for 10 yds to the EKent 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+13
73.6%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Jyran Mitchell for 13 yds to the EKent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
72.3%
Braedon Sloan run for 5 yds to the EMich 49 Braedon Sloan fumbled, forced by Melvin Swindle II, recovered by EMich Russell Vaden IVSimilar
Q2 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
72.3%
Braedon Sloan run for 5 yds to the EMich 49 Braedon Sloan fumbled, forced by Melvin Swindle II, recovered by EMich Russell Vaden IVSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 8TD
13 plays · 51 yds · 3:2376% → 85%
Q2 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
76.0%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 8 yds to the EKent 43Similar
Q2 8:59
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+6
76.1%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 6 yds to the EKent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-5
76.2%
PENALTY EMU False Start (Sow,Sidy) 5 yards from EKU37 to EKU42. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:59
1ST & 15
OPP 42
0
75.5%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Andreas PaaskeSimilar
Q2 8:59
2ND & 15
OPP 42
+5
75.3%
PENALTY EKU Offside (McLendon,TK) 5 yards from EKU42 to EKU37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:59
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+13
76.0%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 13 yds to the EKent 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
76.3%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 4 yds to the EKent 20Similar
Q2 8:59
2ND & 6
OPP 20
0
76.3%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Hassan BeydounSimilar
Q2 8:59
3RD & 6
OPP 20
+7
75.9%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 7 yds to the EKent 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
76.3%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
Q2 8:59
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+5
76.3%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 5 yds to the EKent 8Similar
Q2 5:36
3RD & 5
OPP 8
+8
85.0%
Samson Evans run for 8 yds for a TD, (Jesus Gomez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 9TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 3:1218% → 28%
Q2 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
82.0%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Jaden Smith for 11 yds to the EKent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
81.5%
Kyeandre Magloire run for 1 yd to the EKent 37Similar
Q2 5:36
2ND & 9
OWN 37
0
81.7%
Parker McKinney pass incomplete to Jaden SmithSimilar
Q2 5:36
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+15
82.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun McKinney,Parker pass incomplete short middle to Allen,Dakota PENALTY EMU Pass Interference (Jefferson,Justin) 15 yards from EKU37 to EMU48, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
80.7%
Kyeandre Magloire run for 4 yds to the EMich 44Similar
Q2 5:36
2ND & 6
OPP 44
0
80.6%
Parker McKinney pass incomplete to Mo Edwards Jr.Similar
Q2 5:36
3RD & 6
OPP 44
+10
80.8%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Mo Edwards Jr. for 10 yds to the EMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
80.0%
Parker McKinney pass incomplete to Kyeandre MagloireSimilar
Q2 5:36
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+7
80.0%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Jaden Smith for 7 yds to the EMich 27Similar
Q2 5:36
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+8
80.7%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Mo Edwards Jr. for 8 yds to the EMich 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
71.6%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Jaden Smith for 19 yds for a TD, (Patrick Nations KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 10INT
6 plays · 30 yds · 1:3376% → 78%
Q2 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+10
75.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun Powell,Taylor pass complete short left to Oakes,Gunnar for 4 yards to the EMU33 (Cheeley,Nic), out of bounds PENALTY EKU Holding (Hayes,Josh) 10 yards from EMU29 to EMU39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
76.8%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
Q2 2:17
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+12
76.5%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 12 yds to the EKent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:17
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
77.7%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Tanner Knue for 8 yds to the EKent 41Similar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 2
OPP 41
0
77.9%
Taylor Powell pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · 7 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+7
74.7%
Braedon Sloan run for 7 yds to the EKent 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 12TD
11 plays · 64 yds · 3:1574% → 85%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
74.0%
Samson Evans run for 4 yds to the EMich 40Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+7
74.8%
Samson Evans run for 7 yds to the EMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
75.1%
Samson Evans run for 2 yds to the EMich 49Similar
Q3 13:22
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+2
75.1%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 2 yds to the EKent 49Similar
Q3 13:22
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+7
74.3%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Gunnar Oakes for 7 yds to the EKent 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+40
75.6%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 40 yds to the EKent 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
84.5%
Samson Evans run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jesus Gomez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:5817% → 15%
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-2
82.7%
Parker McKinney sacked by Jordan Crawford for a loss of 2 yards to the EKent 9Similar
Q3 11:33
2ND & 12
OWN 9
-4
83.2%
PENALTY EKU False Start 4 yards from EKU09 to EKU05. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:33
2ND & 16
OWN 5
+1
83.2%
Braedon Sloan run for 1 yd to the EKent 6Similar
Q3 11:33
3RD & 15
OWN 6
+7
83.8%
Parker McKinney run for 7 yds to the EKent 13Similar
Q3 9:35
4TH & 8
OWN 13
0
84.6%
Jeremy Edwards punt for 29 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 14TD
5 plays · 42 yds · 1:2885% → 96%
Q3 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+13
85.2%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 13 yds to the EKent 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+16
86.5%
Samson Evans run for 16 yds to the EKent 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
85.7%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 1 yd to the EKent 12Similar
Q3 8:07
2ND & 9
OPP 12
+12
95.5%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Tanner Knue for 12 yds for a TD, (Jesus Gomez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 15TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:299% → 20%
Q3 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
91.5%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Dakota Allen for 4 yds to the EKent 29Similar
Q3 8:07
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+6
90.9%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 6 yds to the EKent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
90.9%
Kyeandre Magloire run for 6 yds to the EKent 41Similar
Q3 8:07
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+1
90.7%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 1 yd to the EKent 42Similar
Q3 8:07
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+4
90.8%
Kyeandre Magloire run for 4 yds to the EKent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+31
90.7%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Jyran Mitchell for 31 yds to the EMich 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
79.8%
Parker McKinney run for 23 yds for a TD, (Patrick Nations KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 2:0788% → 88%
Q3 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
87.7%
Jaylon Jackson run for 6 yds to the EMich 37Similar
Q3 4:29
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+10
87.6%
Jaylon Jackson run for 10 yds to the EMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
88.3%
Taylor Powell run for 8 yds to the EKent 45Similar
Q3 4:29
2ND & 2
OPP 45
0
87.8%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Darius LassiterSimilar
Q3 4:29
3RD & 2
OPP 45
0
87.1%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
Q3 2:22
4TH & 2
OPP 45
0
87.7%
Mitchell Tomasek punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the EKent 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 3:1314% → 12%
Q3 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+4
86.0%
Braedon Sloan run for 4 yds to the EKent 7Similar
Q3 2:22
2ND & 6
OWN 7
-3
86.2%
PENALTY EKU False Start (Ezirim,Josiah) 3 yards from EKU07 to EKU04. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:22
2ND & 9
OWN 4
+3
86.2%
Braedon Sloan run for 3 yds to the EKent 7Similar
Q3 2:22
3RD & 6
OWN 7
+9
86.9%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Mo Edwards Jr. for 9 yds to the EKent 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
86.1%
Braedon Sloan run for 3 yds to the EKent 19Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+2
86.3%
Braedon Sloan run for 2 yds to the EKent 21Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 21
0
86.9%
Parker McKinney pass incomplete to Jayden HigginsSimilar
Q4 14:09
4TH & 5
OWN 21
0
87.6%
Jeremy Edwards punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Hassan Beydoun at the EMich 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 18TD
9 plays · 63 yds · 3:0991% → 99%
Q4 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
91.4%
Darius Boone Jr. run for 9 yds to the EMich 46Similar
Q4 14:09
2ND & 1
OWN 46
0
92.6%
Darius Boone Jr. run for no gain to the EMich 46Similar
Q4 14:09
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+5
91.7%
Samson Evans run for 5 yds to the EKent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:09
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
92.8%
Jaylon Jackson run for 8 yds to the EKent 41Similar
Q4 14:09
2ND & 2
OPP 41
+34
92.4%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Andreas Paaske for 34 yds to the EKent 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
92.0%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
Q4 11:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.3%
Taylor Powell run for 7 yds for a TD, (Jesus Gomez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 19FG
10 plays · 52 yds · 2:443% → 5%
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
96.9%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 20 yds to the EKent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+13
96.8%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Kyeandre Magloire for 13 yds to the EMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+20
96.7%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Dakota Allen for 20 yds to the EMich 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-5
96.2%
PENALTY EKU False Start 5 yards from EMU22 to EMU27. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 15
OPP 27
+4
96.4%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Keke McFadden for 4 yds to the EMich 23Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 11
OPP 23
0
96.4%
Parker McKinney pass incomplete to Keke McFaddenSimilar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 11
OPP 23
0
96.6%
Parker McKinney pass incomplete to Dakota AllenSimilar
Q4 8:16
4TH & 11
OPP 23
+40
95.5%
Patrick Nations 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 20FUMBLE
2 plays · 17 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
99.0%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Jere Getzinger for 17 yds Jere Getzinger fumbled, forced by Nic Cheeley, recovered by EKent Matthew JacksonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 21TD
6 plays · 42 yds · 0:515% → 17%
Q4 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
95.4%
Parker McKinney pass incomplete to Jayden HigginsSimilar
Q4 8:04
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
95.4%
Parker McKinney pass incomplete to Dakota AllenSimilar
Q4 8:04
3RD & 10
OPP 42
+14
95.5%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Jyran Mitchell for 14 yds to the EMich 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+14
94.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun McKinney,Parker pass incomplete short middle to Allen,Dakota PENALTY EMU Pass Interference (Kline,Chase) 14 yards from EMU28 to EMU14, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
83.3%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Dakota Allen for 14 yds for a TD, (Patrick Nations KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 22TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 3:5196% → 100%
Q4 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
95.5%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Gunnar Oakes for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:13
1ST & 10
50
+9
96.0%
Samson Evans run for 9 yds to the EKent 41Similar
Q4 7:13
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+13
95.8%
Samson Evans run for 13 yds to the EKent 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
96.1%
Samson Evans run for 3 yds to the EKent 31Similar
Q4 7:13
2ND & 13
OPP 31
+9
96.0%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Samson Evans for 9 yds to the EKent 22Similar
Q4 3:22
3RD & 4
OPP 22
+22
99.5%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 22 yds for a TD, (Jesus Gomez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 23TD
12 plays · 65 yds · 2:113% → 15%
Q4 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
97.5%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Braedon Sloan for 5 yds to the EKent 40Similar
Q4 3:22
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+4
97.5%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Jyran Mitchell for 4 yds to the EKent 44Similar
Q4 3:22
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+6
97.5%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Mo Edwards Jr. for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:22
1ST & 10
50
+6
97.4%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Braedon Sloan for 6 yds to the EMich 44Similar
Q4 3:22
2ND & 4
OPP 44
0
97.1%
Parker McKinney pass incomplete to Braedon SloanSimilar
Q4 3:22
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+6
97.4%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Dakota Allen for 6 yds to the EMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
97.2%
Parker McKinney pass incomplete to Mo Edwards Jr.Similar
Q4 3:22
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+3
97.2%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Braedon Sloan for 3 yds to the EMich 35Similar
Q4 3:22
3RD & 7
OPP 35
+16
97.2%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Dakota Allen for 16 yds to the EMich 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+10
96.7%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 10 yds to the EMich 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
84.7%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Dakota Allen for 9 yds for a TD EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Illegal Substitution ( Yards) declined, (Patrick Nations KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 24END OF GAME
10 plays · 10 yds · 1:1099% → 99%
Q4 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
98.7%
Samson Evans run for 6 yds to the EKent 41Similar
Q4 1:05
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+10
98.9%
Samson Evans run for 10 yds to the EKent 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-2
99.0%
Taylor Powell run for a loss of 2 yards to the EKent 33Similar
Q4 0:59
2ND & 12
OPP 33
-1
99.0%
Taylor Powell run for a loss of 1 yard to the EKent 34Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 13
OPP 34
-3
99.0%
Taylor Powell run for a loss of 3 yards to the EKent 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:13
Timeout EASTRN MICHIGAN, clock 07:13
+12.1
TD · Q4 1:11
Parker McKinney pass complete to Dakota Allen for 9 yds for a TD EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Illegal Substitution ( Yards) declined, (Patrick Nations KICK)
-12.1
TD · Q4 7:13
Parker McKinney pass complete to Dakota Allen for 14 yds for a TD, (Patrick Nations KICK)
-11.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com