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CMU

Central Michigan 44 at Oklahoma State 58

OKST
2022 · Week 1 · Sep 1, 2022 · Boone Pickens Stadium
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Win probability · OKST
modelOKST aheadCMU aheadconfidence bandkey playOKST scoreCMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDSAFETYTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 5:31 · Tom Hutton punt for 48 yds , De'Javion Stepney returns for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 13 De'Javion Stepney fumbled, recovered by CMich De'Javion Stepney
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+42.0+21.00−21.0−42.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 32Pregame prior+37.2Home team on offense+0.0Score differential−0.2Garbage-time factor−0.3Blowout margin−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:32: Spencer Sanders pass complete to Braydon Johnson for 13 yds for a TD, (Tanner Brown KICK) — OKST win probability +3.4 pts (now 93%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:14: Spencer Sanders pass complete to Jaden Nixon for 17 yds for a TD, (Tanner Brown KICK) — OKST win probability +2.7 pts (now 96%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:32: Spencer Sanders run for 23 yds for a TD, (Tanner Brown KICK) — OKST win probability +2.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:43: Lew Nichols III run for 4 yds for a TD, (Daniel Richardson pass to Jalen McGaughy for Two-Point Conversion) — CMU win probability +3.2 pts (now 4%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:15: Daniel Richardson pass complete to Jalen McGaughy for 54 yds for a TD, (Daniel Richardson pass to Joel Wilson for Two-Point Conversion) — CMU win probability +2.2 pts (now 3%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OKST made the numbers' call on 5 of 8CMU made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 11:41CMU 4th & 11 at CMU 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.3%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:31OKST 4th & 9 at OKST 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.3%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:36CMU 4th & 3 at OKST 32, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 13.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.9%
    53% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.7%−0.2
    51% to make
    Punt
    13.6%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:00OKST 4th & 10 at CMU 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.9%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    85.8%−0.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    86.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:49CMU 4th & 8 at CMU 27, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.9%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:09CMU 4th & 2 at OKST 44, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    8.4%−0.8
    27% to make
    Punt
    8.8%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:33CMU 4th & 15 at CMU 20, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−0.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.4%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:13OKST 4th & 15 at OKST 20, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:07OKST 4th & 19 at OKST 49, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:15CMU 4th & 3 at CMU 16, down 29
    Close callPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:57OKST 4th & 3 at CMU 48, up 29
    Close callPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:00CMU 4th & 3 at OKST 43, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.2
    28% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:54CMU 4th & 19 at OKST 48, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:03OKST 4th & 1 at OKST 23, up 29
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:19OKST 4th & 5 at OKST 26, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:15CMU 4th & 2 at CMU 36, down 22
    Close callWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.6%
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:13OKST 4th & 8 at CMU 46, up 14
    Close callPunted · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.5%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    97.2%−0.3
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.4%−0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:34CMU 4th & 5 at CMU 19, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.0%−0.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OKST made the numbers' call on 8 of 8CMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 10:09OKST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:05CMU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:00OKST Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:32OKST Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 7:14OKST Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 4:32OKST Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:43CMU Touchdown, down 24 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    3.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    3.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 0:11OKST Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 14:23OKST Touchdown, up 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 11:14CMU Touchdown, down 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 12:31CMU Touchdown, down 23 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    1.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    1.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 9:17OKST Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  13. Q4 6:50CMU Touchdown, down 24 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    0.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    0.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  14. Q4 3:15CMU Touchdown, down 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    2.3%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    2.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CMUDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 3:148% → 9%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
91.7%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Lew Nichols III for 3 yds to the CMich 28Similar
Q1 14:28
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
91.6%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Jalen McGaughySimilar
Q1 14:18
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+8
91.5%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Carlos Carriere for 8 yds to the CMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
91.3%
Lew Nichols III run for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 34Similar
Q1 12:43
2ND & 12
OWN 34
+2
91.1%
Myles Bailey run for 2 yds to the CMich 36Similar
Q1 12:15
3RD & 10
OWN 36
-1
91.0%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Myles Bailey for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 35Similar
Q1 11:41
4TH & 11
OWN 35
0
90.9%
Luke Elzinga punt for 40 yds , Brennan Presley returns for no gain to the OKSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 2TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:3191% → 91%
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
90.9%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, False Start (Caleb Etienne) to the OKSt 20Similar
Q1 11:28
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+8
90.8%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Dominic Richardson for 8 yds to the OKSt 28Similar
Q1 11:13
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+16
90.7%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Brennan Presley for 16 yds to the OKSt 44 for a 1ST down CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Defensive Offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
90.8%
Dominic Richardson run for 2 yds to the OKSt 46Similar
Q1 10:50
2ND & 8
OWN 46
0
90.7%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Brennan PresleySimilar
Q1 10:40
3RD & 8
OWN 46
+9
90.6%
Spencer Sanders run for 9 yds to the CMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:09
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
91.2%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to John Paul Richardson for 45 yds for a TD, (Tanner Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 3TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:559% → 11%
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+30
91.0%
Myles Bailey run for 30 yds to the OKSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+11
90.7%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Myles Bailey for 11 yds to the OKSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
90.6%
Lew Nichols III run for 9 yds to the OKSt 25Similar
Q1 8:57
2ND & 1
OPP 25
0
90.5%
Lew Nichols III run for no gain to the OKSt 25Similar
Q1 8:25
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+1
90.5%
Lew Nichols III run for 1 yd to the OKSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+10
90.3%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Marcus Young for 10 yds to the OKSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-1
90.2%
Lew Nichols III run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 15Similar
Q1 7:05
2ND & 11
OPP 15
+15
89.0%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Carlos Carriere for 15 yds for a TD, (Marshall Meeder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 1:2789% → 89%
Q1 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.4%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Brennan PresleySimilar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
89.3%
Sanders, Spencer pass complete to Presley, Brennan for 3 yards to the OKLAST28, PENALTY CENTMICH offside (Stuart, Robi) 5 yards to the OKLAST30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:36
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
89.4%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Braydon Johnson for 6 yds to the OKSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
89.3%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Brennan PresleySimilar
Q1 6:20
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
89.2%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Bryson GreenSimilar
Q1 6:09
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+1
89.0%
Spencer Sanders run for 1 yd to the OKSt 37Similar
Q1 5:31
4TH & 9
OWN 37
-2
88.7%
Tom Hutton punt for 48 yds , De'Javion Stepney returns for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 13 De'Javion Stepney fumbled, recovered by CMich De'Javion StepneySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 5MISSED FG
8 plays · 55 yds · 2:4511% → 13%
Q1 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
88.8%
Lew Nichols III run for 1 yd to the CMich 14Similar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 9
OWN 14
+16
88.8%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Carlos Carriere for 16 yds to the CMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+18
88.5%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Joel Wilson for 18 yds to the CMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+13
87.9%
Lew Nichols III run for 13 yds to the OKSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
87.6%
Daniel Richardson run for 2 yds to the OKSt 37Similar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+5
87.4%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Lew Nichols III for 5 yds to the OKSt 32Similar
Q1 2:41
3RD & 3
OPP 32
0
87.3%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Carlos CarriereSimilar
Q1 2:36
4TH & 3
OPP 32
+50
87.4%
Marshall Meeder 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 1:3088% → 87%
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
88.0%
Dominic Richardson run for 2 yds to the OKSt 34Similar
Q1 2:04
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+2
87.9%
Dominic Richardson run for 2 yds to the OKSt 36Similar
Q1 1:45
3RD & 6
OWN 36
+19
87.6%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to John Paul Richardson for 19 yds to the CMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
88.3%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Braydon Johnson for no gain to the CMich 45Similar
Q1 1:16
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
88.1%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Braydon JohnsonSimilar
Q1 1:10
3RD & 10
OPP 45
0
87.7%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Bryson GreenSimilar
Q1 1:00
4TH & 10
OPP 45
0
87.3%
Tom Hutton punt for 43 yds, downed at the CMich 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 7SF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q1 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 2
-2
87.9%
Lamont Bishop SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 8TD
5 plays · 70 yds · 0:5088% → 90%
Q1 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+41
87.8%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Braydon Johnson for 41 yds to the CMich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+12
88.5%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Brennan Presley for 12 yds to the CMich 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
88.4%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Braydon JohnsonSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+17
89.8%
Spencer Sanders run for 17 yds for a TD, (Tanner Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 2:0610% → 10%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
89.7%
Lew Nichols III run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 24Similar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+3
89.7%
Lew Nichols III run for 3 yds to the CMich 27Similar
Q2 13:33
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
89.9%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Lew Nichols III for no gain to the CMich 27Similar
Q2 12:49
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+11
90.0%
Luke Elzinga punt for 43 yds , Brennan Presley returns for 11 yds to the OKSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 10TD
5 plays · 59 yds · 0:5490% → 93%
Q2 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
89.5%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Bryson Green for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 12:13
2ND & 1
50
+5
89.5%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to John Paul Richardson for 5 yds to the CMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
89.5%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Brennan Presley for 4 yds to the CMich 41Similar
Q2 11:55
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+28
89.5%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Braydon Johnson for 28 yds to the CMich 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
92.9%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Braydon Johnson for 13 yds for a TD, (Tanner Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 11DOWNS
7 plays · 37 yds · 2:089% → 9%
Q2 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
91.5%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Cade Conley for 11 yds to the CMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+17
91.4%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Finn Hogan for 17 yds to the CMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
91.1%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Joel Wilson for 4 yds to the OKSt 48Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+5
91.4%
Myles Bailey run for 5 yds to the OKSt 43Similar
Q2 9:40
3RD & 1
OPP 43
-1
91.2%
Myles Bailey run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 44Similar
Q2 9:09
4TH & 2
OPP 44
+1
91.5%
Myles Bailey run for 1 yd to the OKSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 12TD
8 plays · 57 yds · 1:4194% → 96%
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
93.5%
Jaden Nixon run for 1 yd to the OKSt 44Similar
Q2 8:46
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+15
93.5%
Sanders, Spencer pass incomplete to Anderson, Langston, PENALTY CENTMICH pass interference (Sturkey, Rolliann) 15 yards to the CENTMICH41, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAST.Similar
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+13
93.5%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Jake Schultz for 13 yds to the CMich 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
93.5%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Langston AndersonSimilar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+7
93.1%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Rashod Owens for 7 yds to the CMich 21Similar
Q2 7:47
3RD & 3
OPP 21
+5
93.0%
Jaden Nixon run for 5 yds to the CMich 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-1
93.4%
Spencer Sanders run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 17Similar
Q2 7:14
2ND & 11
OPP 17
+17
96.2%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Jaden Nixon for 17 yds for a TD, (Tanner Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 1:324% → 4%
Q2 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
95.6%
Lew Nichols III run for 4 yds to the CMich 29Similar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-14
95.6%
Nichols III, Lew rush for 4 yards to the CENTMICH33, PENALTY CENTMICH personal foul (Young, Marcus) 14 yards to the CENTMICH15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:05
2ND & 20
OWN 15
0
95.8%
Lew Nichols III run for no gain to the CMich 15Similar
Q2 5:52
3RD & 20
OWN 15
+5
95.9%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Lew Nichols III for 5 yds to the CMich 20Similar
Q2 5:33
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
95.9%
Luke Elzinga punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OKSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 14TD
5 plays · 51 yds · 0:5596% → 99%
Q2 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
96.4%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to John Paul RichardsonSimilar
Q2 5:21
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+11
96.4%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Rashod Owens for 11 yds to the CMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
96.5%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Jaden Nixon for 8 yds to the CMich 32Similar
Q2 4:50
2ND & 2
OPP 32
+9
96.5%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Brennan Presley for 9 yds to the CMich 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:32
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
98.5%
Spencer Sanders run for 23 yds for a TD, (Tanner Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 15TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:472% → 4%
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.4%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Dallas Dixon for 3 yds to the CMich 28Similar
Q2 3:59
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
98.4%
Lew Nichols III run for 4 yds to the CMich 32Similar
Q2 3:23
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+10
98.6%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Joel Wilson for 10 yds to the CMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
98.7%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Carlos CarriereSimilar
Q2 2:53
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+11
98.7%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Dallas Dixon for 11 yds to the OKSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:28
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-2
98.7%
Lew Nichols III run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 49Similar
Q2 2:15
2ND & 12
OPP 49
+12
98.8%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Dallas Dixon for 12 yds to the OKSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-1
98.8%
Lew Nichols III run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 38Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 11
OPP 38
+34
99.0%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Carlos Carriere for 34 yds to the OKSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
95.8%
Lew Nichols III run for 4 yds for a TD, (Daniel Richardson pass to Jalen McGaughy for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 16TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 0:2297% → 99%
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
97.0%
Dominic Richardson run for 18 yds to the OKSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+42
97.1%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Brennan Presley for 42 yds to the CMich 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+13
97.2%
Sanders, Spencer pass incomplete to Presley, Brennan, PENALTY CENTMICH pass interference (Kent Jr., Ronald) 13 yards to the CENTMICH2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAST.Similar
Q2 0:14
1ST & 0
OPP 2
+1
97.3%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Defensive Offside (John Wesley Whiteside) to the CMich 1Similar
Q2 0:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.0%
Dominic Richardson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tanner Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 17END OF HALF
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
99.1%
Lew Nichols III run for 4 yds to the CMich 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 18TD
3 plays · 52 yds · 0:3299% → 99%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+45
99.1%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Braydon Johnson for 45 yds to the CMich 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.2%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Bryson Green for 7 yds for a TD, (Tanner Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 19TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 2:521% → 1%
Q3 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
99.3%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Joel Wilson for 8 yds to the CMich 28Similar
Q3 13:44
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+7
99.3%
Lew Nichols III run for 7 yds to the CMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+29
99.3%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Jalen McGaughy for 29 yds to the OKSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
99.4%
Lew Nichols III run for 2 yds to the OKSt 34Similar
Q3 11:58
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+27
99.4%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Jalen McGaughy for 27 yds to the OKSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
99.4%
Lew Nichols III run for 6 yds to the OKSt 1Similar
Q3 11:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.0%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Jalen McGaughy for 1 yd for a TD, (Marshall Meeder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:5099% → 99%
Q3 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.4%
Jaden Nixon run for no gain to the OKSt 25Similar
Q3 10:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.4%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Braydon JohnsonSimilar
Q3 10:17
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.5%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Braden Cassity for a loss of 5 yards Braden Cassity fumbled, forced by Nick Apsey, recovered by OKStSimilar
Q3 10:13
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
99.4%
Tom Hutton punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jordyn Williams at the CMich 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 21INT
3 plays · -4 yds · 0:311% → 1%
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-4
99.5%
Daniel Richardson sacked by Collin Oliver for a loss of 4 yards to the CMich 34Similar
Q3 9:35
2ND & 14
OWN 34
0
99.5%
Daniel Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:29
3RD & 14
OWN 34
0
99.5%
Daniel Richardson pass intercepted Kendal Daniels return for no gain to the CMich 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · -9 yds · 1:09100% → 100%
Q3 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-2
99.5%
Ollie Gordon run for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 44Similar
Q3 8:52
2ND & 12
OPP 44
0
99.5%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Braydon JohnsonSimilar
Q3 8:45
3RD & 12
OPP 44
-7
99.5%
Spencer Sanders sacked by Thomas Incoom for a loss of 7 yards to the OKSt 49Similar
Q3 8:07
4TH & 19
OWN 49
0
99.6%
Tom Hutton punt for 42 yds, downed at the CMich 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:420% → 0%
Q3 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+9
99.6%
Myles Bailey run for 9 yds to the CMich 18Similar
Q3 7:28
2ND & 1
OWN 18
-2
99.6%
Myles Bailey run for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 16Similar
Q3 6:56
3RD & 3
OWN 16
0
99.6%
Myles Bailey run for no gain to the CMich 16Similar
Q3 6:15
4TH & 3
OWN 16
0
99.7%
Luke Elzinga punt for 49 yds, fair catch by John Paul Richardson at the OKSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:07100% → 100%
Q3 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
99.7%
Ollie Gordon run for 1 yd to the OKSt 36Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+9
99.7%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Ollie Gordon for 9 yds to the OKSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
99.7%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:19
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+7
99.7%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Ollie Gordon for 7 yds to the CMich 48Similar
Q3 5:07
3RD & 3
OPP 48
0
99.7%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Rashod OwensSimilar
Q3 4:57
4TH & 3
OPP 48
0
99.7%
Tom Hutton punt for 38 yds, downed at the CMich 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 25PUNT
13 plays · 42 yds · 4:510% → 0%
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-2
99.7%
Lew Nichols III run for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 8Similar
Q3 4:23
2ND & 12
OWN 8
0
99.7%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Jalen McGaughySimilar
Q3 4:15
3RD & 12
OWN 8
+15
99.7%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Joel Wilson for 15 yds to the CMich 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+15
99.7%
Richardson, Daniel pass incomplete to McGaughy, Jalen, PENALTY OKLAST pass interference (Smith, Cam) 15 yards to the CENTMICH38, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CENTMICH.Similar
Q3 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
99.8%
Daniel Richardson run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:08
1ST & 10
50
+6
99.8%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Dallas Dixon for 6 yds to the OKSt 44Similar
Q3 2:39
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+1
99.7%
Lew Nichols III run for 1 yd to the OKSt 43Similar
Q3 2:03
3RD & 3
OPP 43
0
99.8%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Carlos CarriereSimilar
Q3 2:00
4TH & 3
OPP 43
+4
99.8%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Jalen McGaughy for 4 yds to the OKSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
99.8%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Finn HoganSimilar
Q3 1:15
2ND & 10
OPP 39
-11
99.8%
Daniel Richardson sacked by Tyler Lacy for a loss of 11 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 21
50
+2
99.9%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Carlos Carriere for 2 yds to the OKSt 48Similar
Q4 14:54
4TH & 19
OPP 48
0
99.9%
Luke Elzinga punt for 34 yds, fair catch by John Paul Richardson at the OKSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:41100% → 100%
Q4 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-1
99.8%
Spencer Sanders run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 13Similar
Q4 14:18
2ND & 11
OWN 13
+6
99.8%
Spencer Sanders run for 6 yds to the OKSt 19Similar
Q4 13:41
3RD & 5
OWN 19
+4
99.8%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to John Paul Richardson for 4 yds to the OKSt 23Similar
Q4 13:03
4TH & 1
OWN 23
0
99.8%
Tom Hutton punt for 16 yds to the OKSt 39, blocked by Dakota CochranSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 27TD
3 plays · 39 yds · 0:290% → 1%
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+21
99.9%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Dallas Dixon for 21 yds to the OKSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
99.9%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Jalen McGaughySimilar
Q4 12:31
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+18
98.8%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Myles Bailey for 18 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 28TD
9 plays · 71 yds · 3:0299% → 100%
Q4 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+18
99.0%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Bryson Green for 18 yds to the OKSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
99.1%
Sanders, Spencer pass incomplete, PENALTY CENTMICH offside 5 yards to the CENTMICH48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:52
1ST & 5
OPP 48
+12
99.1%
Dominic Richardson run for 12 yds to the CMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
99.1%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Braylin Presley for 8 yds to the CMich 28Similar
Q4 10:54
2ND & 2
OPP 28
+3
99.1%
Dominic Richardson run for 3 yds to the CMich 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+14
99.1%
Dominic Richardson run for 14 yds to the CMich 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+10
99.1%
Spencer Sanders run for 10 yds to the CMich 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Zach Middleton run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tanner Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 29TD
8 plays · 70 yds · 2:170% → 1%
Q4 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
99.9%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Lew Nichols III for 8 yds to the CMich 38Similar
Q4 8:31
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+11
99.9%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Jalen McGaughy for 11 yds to the CMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
99.9%
Myles Bailey run for 7 yds to the OKSt 44Similar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+4
99.9%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Finn Hogan for 4 yds to the OKSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+10
99.9%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Finn Hogan for 10 yds to the OKSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+15
99.9%
Richardson, Daniel pass incomplete to Carriere, Carlos, PENALTY OKLAST pass interference (Black, Korie) 15 yards to the OKLAST15, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CENTMICH.Similar
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
99.2%
Lew Nichols III run for 15 yds for a TD, (Daniel Richardson pass to Carlos Carriere for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 30PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:1999% → 99%
Q4 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
99.2%
Gunnar Gundy run for 5 yds to the OKSt 26Similar
Q4 6:01
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+2
99.3%
Jaden Nixon run for 2 yds to the OKSt 28Similar
Q4 5:29
3RD & 3
OWN 28
-2
99.3%
Jaden Nixon run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 26Similar
Q4 5:19
4TH & 5
OWN 26
-3
99.4%
Tom Hutton punt for 43 yds , Jordyn Williams returns for a loss of 3 yards to the CMich 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 31TD
7 plays · 72 yds · 1:521% → 3%
Q4 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
99.4%
Lew Nichols III run for no gain to the CMich 28Similar
Q4 4:40
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+9
99.5%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Joel Wilson for 9 yds to the CMich 37Similar
Q4 4:22
3RD & 1
OWN 37
-1
99.5%
Lew Nichols III run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 36Similar
Q4 4:15
4TH & 2
OWN 36
+10
99.5%
Lew Nichols III run for 10 yds to the CMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
99.5%
Daniel Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:15
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+54
97.3%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Jalen McGaughy for 54 yds for a TD, (Daniel Richardson pass to Joel Wilson for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 32PUNT
8 plays · 2 yds · 1:0198% → 99%
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
98.3%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OKSt 47Similar
Q4 3:06
1ST & 15
OWN 47
0
98.3%
Spencer Sanders run for no gain to the OKSt 47Similar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 15
OWN 47
0
98.5%
Spencer Sanders run for no gain to the OKSt 47Similar
Q4 2:20
3RD & 15
OWN 47
+7
98.5%
Dominic Richardson run for 7 yds to the CMich 46Similar
Q4 2:13
4TH & 8
OPP 46
0
98.5%
Tom Hutton punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Jordyn Williams at the CMich 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 33DOWNS
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:341% → 1%
Q4 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
98.7%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Joel WilsonSimilar
Q4 1:58
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+5
98.6%
Daniel Richardson pass complete to Lew Nichols III for 5 yds to the CMich 19Similar
Q4 1:39
3RD & 5
OWN 19
0
98.6%
Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Carlos CarriereSimilar
Q4 1:34
4TH & 5
OWN 19
0
98.6%
Daniel Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 34END OF GAME
3 plays · -4 yds · 1:3099% → 99%
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-1
98.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 20Similar
Q4 0:52
2ND & 11
OPP 20
-2
98.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 22Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 13
OPP 22
-1
98.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 11:32
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Braydon Johnson for 13 yds for a TD, (Tanner Brown KICK)
+3.4
TD · Q2 0:43
Lew Nichols III run for 4 yds for a TD, (Daniel Richardson pass to Jalen McGaughy for Two-Point Conversion)
-3.2
TD · Q2 7:14
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Jaden Nixon for 17 yds for a TD, (Tanner Brown KICK)
+2.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com