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SFPA

Saint Francis 23 at Akron 30

AKR
2022 · Week 1 · Sep 1, 2022 · InfoCision Stadium
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Win probability · AKR
modelAKR aheadSFPA aheadconfidence bandkey playAKR scoreSFPA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGFGTDTDTDFGFGFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · DJ Irons pass complete to Daniel George for 34 yds to the SFrPA 38 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+25.0+12.50−12.5−25.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 140Pregame prior+0.0Home team on offense+21.7Score differential+3.7Garbage-time factor+12.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:28: Tristian Brank 9 Yd pass from DJ Irons (Cory Smigel Kick) — AKR win probability +10.3 pts (now 68%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 6:27: Alex Schmoke 38 Yd Field Goal — SFPA win probability +7.1 pts (now 56%) (top driver: SFPA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:24: Shocky Jacques-Louis 41 Yd pass from DJ Irons (Cory Smigel Kick) — AKR win probability +36.7 pts (now 70%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 5:42: Cam Wiley 7 Yd Run (Cory Smigel PAT failed) — AKR win probability +16.4 pts (now 92%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:30: Deondre Scott 7 Yd Run (Alex Schmoke Kick) — SFPA win probability +47.9 pts (now 57%) (top driver: SFPA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
AKR made the numbers' call on 7 of 12SFPA made the numbers' call on 7 of 11
  1. Q1 10:37AKR 4th & 8 at SFPA 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.0%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.0%
    90% to make
    Punt
    50.3%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:02SFPA 4th & 2 at AKR 18, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 48.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.1%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.8%−0.3
    79% to make
    Punt
    46.2%−1.9
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:30AKR 4th & 3 at AKR 48, tied
    Close callPunted · 51.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.6%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:07SFPA 4th & 12 at SFPA 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.2%−0.9
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.0%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:20AKR 4th & 16 at AKR 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.5%−0.9
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.4%
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:00SFPA 4th & 2 at AKR 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 49.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    49.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    48.5%−0.6
    51% to make
    Punt
    48.0%−1.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:00AKR 4th & 1 at SFPA 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    55.4%−2.8
    54% to make
    Punt
    54.7%−3.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:13SFPA 4th & 8 at SFPA 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.9%−1.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:30AKR 4th & 6 at SFPA 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.8%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.0%
    74% to make
    Punt
    49.2%−4.8
    average punt
  10. Q2 4:56SFPA 4th & 4 at SFPA 27, tied
    Close callPunted · 47.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.2%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q2 3:33AKR 4th & 29 at AKR 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.6%−3.5
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.1%
    average punt
  12. Q2 1:08SFPA 4th & 1 at AKR 17, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsKicked a field goal · 51.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.2%−1.5
    80% to make
    Punt
    44.0%−7.6
    average punt
  13. Q2 0:15AKR 4th & 8 at SFPA 42, down 3
    Close callWent for it · 47.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.8%−0.6
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    48.4%
    30% to make
    Punt
    47.2%−1.2
    average punt
  14. Q3 13:11SFPA 4th & 10 at SFPA 25, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.5%−2.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.7%
    average punt
  15. Q3 12:57SFPA 4th & 20 at SFPA 15, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.8%−4.4
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.3%
    average punt
  16. Q3 11:10AKR 4th & 24 at AKR 17, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.8%−5.0
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.8%
    average punt
  17. Q3 6:27SFPA 4th & 19 at AKR 20, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.4%−4.8
    10% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.2%
    75% to make
    Punt
    42.7%−11.4
    average punt
  18. Q4 14:51SFPA 4th & 1 at SFPA 45, down 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.3 ptsPunted · 41.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.4%−4.3
    average punt
  19. Q4 12:38AKR 4th & 1 at AKR 29, up 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.9 ptsPunted · 59.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.8%−4.9
    average punt
  20. Q4 0:00AKR 4th & 12 at AKR 28, up 7
    Numbers favored punt by 3.2 ptsWent for it · 89.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.0%−3.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    90.2%
    average punt
  21. Q4 2:21AKR 4th & 5 at AKR 30, tied
    Close callPunted · 52.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.0%−0.1
    average punt
  22. Q4 1:35SFPA 4th & 11 at SFPA 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.0%−13.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.1%
    average punt
  23. Q4 0:45AKR 4th & 3 at AKR 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.5%−8.5
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
AKR made the numbers' call on 3 of 3SFPA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 14:07SFPA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:28AKR Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 3:24AKR Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.8%−0.3
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 5:42AKR Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    88.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.0%−0.6
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 3:30SFPA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.7%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
AKRDrive 1FG
23 plays · 78 yds · 10:3769% → 69%
Q1 10:37
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
68.9%
Cory Smigel 25 Yd Field Goal Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+31
67.6%
DJ Irons run for 31 yds to the Akron 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
68.8%
DJ Irons pass complete to Daniel George for 3 yds to the Akron 48Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 48
-20
68.8%
DJ Irons pass complete to Cam Wiley for a loss of 10 yards to the Akron 38 AKRON Penalty, Offensive holding (Alex Robarge) to the Akron 38Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 17
OWN 38
0
67.9%
pass incomplete to Daniel GeorgeSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 17
OWN 38
+22
67.3%
DJ Irons pass complete to Marquell Darnell for 22 yds to the SFrPA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
69.1%
Cam Wiley run for 1 yd to the SFrPA 39Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+20
69.1%
DJ Irons pass complete to Daniel George for 20 yds to the SFrPA 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+12
69.4%
Cam Wiley run for 12 yds to the SFrPA 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-3
69.4%
Cam Wiley run for a loss of 3 yards to the SFrPA 10Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
69.4%
Cam Wiley run for 2 yds to the SFrPA 8Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
68.9%
pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFPADrive 2FG
8 plays · 61 yds · 7:0233% → 36%
Q1 7:02
4TH & 2
OPP 18
+28
67.2%
Alex Schmoke 28 Yd Field Goal Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
65.8%
Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+4
65.9%
Justin Sliwoski pass complete to Jake Bruno for 4 yds to the SFrPA 25Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 6
OWN 25
+15
66.3%
Justin Sliwoski pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 15 yds to the SFrPA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+34
65.0%
Justin Sliwoski run for 34 yds to the Akron 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
63.9%
Justin Sliwoski pass incomplete to Kai Williams, broken up by Jeslord BoatengSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+8
64.1%
Justin Sliwoski run for 8 yds to the Akron 18Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 18
0
64.4%
Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 23 yds · 5:3068% → 68%
Q1 5:30
4TH & 3
OWN 48
+4
67.6%
Noah Gettman punt for 40 yds , Casey McKinney returns for 4 yds to the SFrPA 16Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
66.8%
DJ Irons pass complete to Alex Adams for 16 yds to the Akron 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
67.7%
Cam Wiley run for 1 yd to the Akron 42Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+6
67.4%
DJ Irons pass complete to Tristian Brank for 6 yds to the Akron 48Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 48
0
67.6%
DJ Irons pass incomplete to Alex Adams, broken up by Willie O'HaraSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFPADrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 3:0732% → 34%
Q1 3:07
4TH & 12
OWN 31
0
67.6%
Jordan Slaiby punt for 45 ydsSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
65.8%
Cole Doyle pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 4 yds to the SFrPA 20Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+13
65.9%
Cole Doyle pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 13 yds to the SFrPA 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
65.5%
Damon Horton run for 3 yds to the SFrPA 36Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+5
65.2%
Cole Doyle pass complete to Casey McKinney for 5 yds to the SFrPA 41Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 2
OWN 41
-20
64.8%
Cole Doyle pass complete to Dawson Snyder for a loss of 10 yards to the SFrPA 31 ST FRANCIS PA Penalty, Offensive holding (Jake Bruno) to the SFrPA 31Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 12
OWN 31
0
66.4%
pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:2066% → 66%
Q1 1:20
4TH & 16
OWN 18
0
65.9%
Noah Gettman punt for 36 ydsSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-12
66.8%
AKRON Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Shocky Jacques-Louis) to the Akron 12Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 22
OWN 12
-7
66.7%
DJ Irons sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the Akron 5Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 29
OWN 5
+1
66.5%
DJ Irons pass complete to Clyde Price III for 1 yd to the Akron 6Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 28
OWN 6
+12
65.9%
DJ Irons run for 12 yds to the Akron 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFPADrive 6TD
7 plays · 54 yds · 0:5335% → 42%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+14
64.6%
Justin Sliwoski pass complete to Kai Williams for 14 yds to the Akron 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+6
64.4%
Justin Sliwoski pass complete to Deondre Scott for 6 yds to the Akron 34Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 34
+2
64.4%
Deondre Scott run for 2 yds to the Akron 32Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
64.4%
pass incomplete to Brandan LisenbySimilar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 2
OPP 32
+11
65.4%
Justin Sliwoski pass complete to Makai Jackson for 11 yds to the Akron 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+20
63.9%
Justin Sliwoski pass complete to Dawson Snyder for 20 yds to the Akron 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
58.1%
Damon Horton 1 Yd Run (Alex Schmoke Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 7TD
10 plays · 40 yds · 10:2868% → 68%
Q2 10:28
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+9
68.4%
Tristian Brank 9 Yd pass from DJ Irons (Cory Smigel Kick)Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
66.5%
DJ Irons run for 6 yds to the SFrPA 47Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+7
67.3%
DJ Irons pass complete to Shocky Jacques-Louis for 7 yds to the SFrPA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
67.2%
pass incomplete to Shocky Jacques-LouisSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+7
67.1%
DJ Irons run for 7 yds to the SFrPA 33Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+2
66.7%
DJ Irons pass complete to Alex Adams for 2 yds to the SFrPA 31Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 1
OPP 31
+2
65.5%
Cam Wiley run for 2 yds to the SFrPA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
68.1%
DJ Irons pass incomplete to Ryan Johnson, broken up by Travell CookSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+17
68.0%
DJ Irons pass complete to Shocky Jacques-Louis for 17 yds to the SFrPA 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
68.1%
Cam Wiley run for 3 yds to the SFrPA 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFPADrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 8:1335% → 38%
Q2 8:13
4TH & 8
OWN 15
0
65.0%
Jordan Slaiby punt for 28 ydsSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-13
60.9%
Cole Doyle pass complete to Casey McKinney for a loss of 7 yards to the SFrPA 6 ST FRANCIS PA Penalty, Offensive holding (Hunter Brown) to the SFrPA 7Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 16
OWN 7
0
61.3%
Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 16
OWN 7
+5
61.5%
Lovell Armstead run for 5 yds to the SFrPA 12Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 11
OWN 12
+3
62.2%
Cole Doyle pass complete to Lovell Armstead for 3 yds to the SFrPA 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 9MISSED FG
3 plays · 22 yds · 8:1369% → 67%
Q2 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
68.5%
pass incomplete to Cam WileySimilar
Q2 6:30
4TH & 6
OPP 21
+39
66.2%
Cory Smigel 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+18
67.2%
DJ Irons pass complete to TJ Banks for 18 yds to the SFrPA 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFPADrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 4:5636% → 39%
Q2 4:56
4TH & 4
OWN 27
0
63.9%
Jordan Slaiby punt for 46 ydsSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
60.7%
Elijah Sarratt run for 7 yds to the SFrPA 28Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 3
OWN 28
-1
59.6%
Justin Sliwoski run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFrPA 27Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 4
OWN 27
0
61.2%
Justin Sliwoski pass incomplete to Hunter Brown, broken up by KJ MartinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -19 yds · 3:4864% → 64%
Q2 3:48
3RD & 29
OWN 8
0
63.5%
DJ Irons pass incomplete to Jasaiah Gathings, broken up by Kerry GallowaySimilar
Q2 3:33
4TH & 29
OWN 8
0
62.8%
Noah Gettman punt for 48 ydsSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-6
64.3%
DJ Irons sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the Akron 21Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 16
OWN 21
-13
63.8%
DJ Irons sacked for a loss of 13 yards to the Akron 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFPADrive 12FG
5 plays · 39 yds · 1:1142% → 48%
Q2 1:11
3RD & 7
OPP 23
+6
57.8%
Cole Doyle run for 6 yds to the Akron 17Similar
Q2 1:08
4TH & 1
OPP 17
+27
55.1%
Alex Schmoke 27 Yd Field Goal Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+30
54.0%
Cole Doyle pass complete to Makai Jackson for 30 yds to the Akron 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 24
-5
51.6%
ST FRANCIS PA Penalty, false start (Hunter Brown) to the Akron 29Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 13
OPP 29
+6
52.5%
Cole Doyle run for 6 yds to the Akron 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 13DOWNS
6 plays · 35 yds · 0:3061% → 61%
Q2 0:30
3RD & 8
OPP 42
0
60.8%
pass incomplete to Shocky Jacques-LouisSimilar
Q2 0:15
4TH & 8
OPP 42
+3
57.7%
DJ Irons run for 3 yds to the SFrPA 39Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+11
58.0%
DJ Irons pass complete to Daniel George for 11 yds to the Akron 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+19
58.8%
DJ Irons pass complete to TJ Banks for 19 yds to the SFrPA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
61.5%
pass incomplete to Daniel GeorgeSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+2
61.3%
DJ Irons run for 2 yds to the SFrPA 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFPADrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 13:1142% → 53%
Q3 13:11
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
58.0%
Jordan Slaiby puntSimilar
Q3 12:57
4TH & 20
OWN 15
0
58.2%
Jordan Slaiby punt for 54 ydsSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
47.4%
Lovell Armstead run for 6 yds to the SFrPA 31Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
45.5%
Justin Sliwoski pass complete to Lovell ArmsteadSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-6
47.4%
Justin Sliwoski sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the SFrPA 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 15PUNT
3 plays · -14 yds · 11:1053% → 51%
Q3 11:10
4TH & 24
OWN 17
0
53.2%
Noah Gettman punt for 45 ydsSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
51.2%
Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 31
-8
50.9%
DJ Irons sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the Akron 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFPADrive 16FG
12 plays · 42 yds · 6:2756% → 67%
Q3 6:27
4TH & 19
OPP 20
+38
43.8%
Alex Schmoke 38 Yd Field Goal Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
33.3%
Damon Horton run for 11 yds to the SFrPA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
32.6%
Damon Horton run for 3 yds to the Akron 48Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+12
32.4%
Damon Horton run for 12 yds to the Akron 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
32.4%
Damon Horton run for 7 yds to the Akron 29Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 29
0
31.6%
pass incomplete to Dawson SnyderSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+6
32.5%
Damon Horton run for 6 yds to the Akron 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+12
31.6%
Cole Doyle pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 12 yds to the Akron 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-3
31.5%
Lovell Armstead run for a loss of 3 yards to the Akron 14Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 13
OPP 14
-1
31.8%
Damon Horton run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 15Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 14
OPP 15
-5
33.3%
ST FRANCIS PA Penalty, delay of game (Breon Noel) to the Akron 20Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 19
OPP 20
0
33.3%
pass incomplete to Dawson SnyderSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 17TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:2470% → 68%
Q3 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+41
70.0%
Shocky Jacques-Louis 41 Yd pass from DJ Irons (Cory Smigel Kick)Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
65.7%
DJ Irons pass complete to Shocky Jacques-Louis for 7 yds to the Akron 32Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
67.8%
Cam Wiley run for 2 yds to the Akron 34Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
66.5%
Cam Wiley run for 4 yds to the Akron 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
67.4%
pass incomplete to Daniel GeorgeSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+5
66.8%
ST FRANCIS PA Penalty, off-side (Desmond Harrod) to the Akron 43Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+3
69.2%
Cam Wiley run for 3 yds to the Akron 46Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+13
68.1%
Cam Wiley run for 13 yds to the SFrPA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFPADrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:0935% → 37%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
64.6%
Hunter Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFrPA 24Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-3
64.9%
Justin Sliwoski sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the SFrPA 21Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+15
66.7%
Justin Sliwoski pass complete to Damon Horton for 15 yds to the SFrPA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
63.2%
Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+7
63.9%
Damon Horton run for 7 yds to the SFrPA 43Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+2
61.3%
Justin Sliwoski run for 2 yds to the SFrPA 45Similar
Q4 14:51
4TH & 1
OWN 45
0
63.0%
Jordan Slaiby punt for 55 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 19PUNT
2 plays · 9 yds · 2:1366% → 63%
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
65.8%
Cam Wiley run for 6 yds to the Akron 26Similar
Q4 12:38
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
63.4%
Noah Gettman punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFPADrive 20MISSED FG
9 plays · 25 yds · 0:0019% → 25%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
81.0%
Cole Doyle pass incomplete to Makai Jackson, broken up by Zach MortonSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+3
81.3%
Cole Doyle pass complete to Makai Jackson for 3 yds to the SFrPA 26Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 26
+24
82.3%
Cole Doyle pass complete to Makai Jackson for 24 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 15
OWN 45
+3
79.4%
Damon Horton run for 3 yds to the SFrPA 48Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
71.2%
Cole Doyle pass complete to Makai Jackson for 6 yds to the Akron 27Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+2
69.2%
Cole Doyle pass complete to Makai Jackson for 2 yds to the Akron 25Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 25
0
70.9%
pass incomplete to Elijah SarrattSimilar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 2
OPP 25
-5
72.3%
ST FRANCIS PA Penalty, delay of game (Breon Noel) to the Akron 30Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
50
-5
75.4%
ST FRANCIS PA Penalty, false start (Makai Jackson) to the SFrPA 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 21TD
7 plays · 72 yds · 5:4292% → 91%
Q4 5:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
91.8%
Cam Wiley 7 Yd Run (Cory Smigel PAT failed)Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 12
OWN 28
+34
89.7%
DJ Irons pass complete to Daniel George for 34 yds to the SFrPA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
92.8%
Cam Wiley run for 5 yds to the SFrPA 33Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+11
92.9%
Cam Wiley run for 11 yds to the SFrPA 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+15
92.9%
DJ Irons pass complete to Cam Wiley for 15 yds to the SFrPA 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
91.6%
pass incomplete to Shocky Jacques-LouisSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 12
OWN 28
0
91.1%
DJ Irons pass complete to Shocky Jacques-LouisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFPADrive 22TD
5 plays · 81 yds · 3:3057% → 60%
Q4 3:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
43.2%
Deondre Scott 7 Yd Run (Alex Schmoke Kick)Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+55
50.7%
Justin Sliwoski pass complete to Dawson Snyder for 55 yds to the Akron 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-5
40.3%
ST FRANCIS PA Penalty, false start (Wylie Spiker) to the Akron 31Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 1
OPP 17
+10
40.2%
Damon Horton run for 10 yds to the Akron 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
40.2%
Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 2:2154% → 55%
Q4 2:21
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
53.7%
Noah Gettman punt for 62 ydsSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
57.9%
pass incomplete to Bobby GoldenSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
57.0%
DJ Irons pass incomplete to Daniel George, broken up by Gregory ReddickSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+5
54.5%
DJ Irons pass complete to Bobby Golden for 5 yds to the Akron 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFPADrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 13 yds · 1:5047% → 49%
Q4 1:50
3RD & 6
OWN 26
0
52.6%
Similar
Q4 1:35
4TH & 11
OWN 21
+61
55.8%
punt for 46 yds AKRON Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Jameel Williamson) to the Akron 18Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+14
51.8%
Cole Doyle pass incomplete to Elijah Sarratt, hurried by Cole Doyle, broken up by Curtis Harper for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+4
51.3%
Damon Horton run for 4 yds to the SFrPA 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:4553% → 56%
Q4 0:45
4TH & 3
OWN 25
0
52.9%
Noah Gettman punt for 50 ydsSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
57.7%
pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+7
57.0%
Cam Wiley run for 7 yds to the Akron 25Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 25
0
56.2%
pass incomplete to Shocky Jacques-LouisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFPADrive 26Uncategorized
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:3749% → 49%
Q4 0:37
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
50.8%
Justin Sliwoski run for 2 yds to the SFrPA 25Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
50.8%
Deondre Scott run for 2 yds to the SFrPA 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+49.2
TD · Q4 3:30
Deondre Scott 7 Yd Run (Alex Schmoke Kick)
-47.9
TD · Q3 3:24
Shocky Jacques-Louis 41 Yd pass from DJ Irons (Cory Smigel Kick)
+36.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com