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UCF

UCF 46 at South Florida 39

USF
2022 · Week 13 · Nov 26, 2022 · Raymond James Stadium
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Win probability · USF
modelUSF aheadUCF aheadconfidence bandkey playUSF scoreUCF score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 3:30 · Byrum Brown run for 5 yds to the UCF 46 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+42.0+21.00−21.0−42.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 68Pregame prior−30.7Home team on offense−29.3Score differential−15.2Garbage-time factor−3.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 5:03: Michel Dukes run for 5 yds for a TD, (Byrum Brown pass to Sean Atkins for Two-Point Conversion) — USF win probability +8.7 pts (now 20%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 3:31: Brian Battie run for 14 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — USF win probability +17.6 pts (now 37%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 12:27: Mikey Keene pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 4 yds for a TD, (Colton Boomer KICK) — UCF win probability +10.7 pts (now 87%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 7:02: Byrum Brown run for 42 yds for a TD, (Spencer Shrader KICK) — USF win probability +33.5 pts (now 61%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:20: Mikey Keene pass complete to Alec Holler for 14 yds for a TD, (Mikey Keene pass to Isaiah Bowser for Two-Point Conversion) — UCF win probability +49.6 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USF made the numbers' call on 4 of 4UCF made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 8:19USF 4th & 14 at UCF 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.8%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    12.9%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    12.9%
    average punt
  2. Q2 3:30USF 4th & 1 at USF 49, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.7%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 1:47USF 4th & 9 at UCF 45, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.3%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    4.2%−<0.1
    25% to make
    Punt
    4.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q3 9:15UCF 4th & 3 at USF 10, up 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 95.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.8%
    49% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.6%−0.3
    88% to make
    Punt
    92.7%−3.2
    average punt
  5. Q4 7:51UCF 4th & 3 at UCF 32, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.6%−0.6
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.3%
    average punt
  6. Q4 2:49USF 4th & 13 at USF 48, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.4%−3.3
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USF made the numbers' call on 2 of 5UCF made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 12:17UCF Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:44UCF Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:25UCF Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:20UCF Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:40USF Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 7:15USF Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    7.5%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    7.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 5:03USF Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    17.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    16.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 3:31USF Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    34.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    33.9%−0.3
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 12:27UCF Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.1%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.3%
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 7:02USF Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.3%−1.3
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 0:20UCF Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    84.0%−1.5
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    85.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UCFDrive 1TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:3392% → 91%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
8.5%
RJ Harvey run for 3 yds to the UCF 28Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
8.6%
RJ Harvey run for 3 yds to the UCF 31Similar
Q1 13:50
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+9
8.8%
John Rhys Plumlee run for 9 yds to the UCF 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-4
9.0%
John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to RJ Harvey for a loss of 4 yards to the UCF 36Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 14
OWN 36
0
9.2%
RJ Harvey run for no gain to the UCF 36Similar
Q1 12:17
3RD & 14
OWN 36
+64
9.1%
John Rhys Plumlee run for 64 yds for a TD, (Colton Boomer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 2PUNT
10 plays · 37 yds · 3:419% → 10%
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+26
9.2%
Brian Battie run for 26 yds to the SFla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
9.4%
Brian Battie run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 7
50
+3
9.7%
Jason Albritton run for 3 yds to the UCF 47Similar
Q1 9:45
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+9
10.0%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Omarion Dollison for 9 yds to the UCF 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
10.1%
Byrum Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:16
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
10.1%
Byrum Brown pass incomplete to Chris CarterSimilar
Q1 8:45
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+1
10.1%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Jimmy Horn Jr. for 1 yd to the UCF 37Similar
Q1 8:19
4TH & 9
OPP 37
-5
10.1%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the UCF 42Similar
Q1 8:19
4TH & 14
OPP 42
0
10.0%
Colin McCreary punt for 27 yds, downed at the UCF 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 3TD
13 plays · 85 yds · 5:2690% → 91%
Q1 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
10.1%
Isaiah Bowser run for 3 yds to the UCF 18Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+7
10.1%
John Rhys Plumlee run for 7 yds to the UCF 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
10.2%
Isaiah Bowser run for 3 yds to the UCF 28Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+8
10.3%
John Rhys Plumlee run for 8 yds to the UCF 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
10.3%
John Rhys Plumlee run for 7 yds to the UCF 43Similar
Q1 5:50
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+4
10.4%
Isaiah Bowser run for 4 yds to the UCF 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-4
10.5%
John Rhys Plumlee sacked by Jonathan Ross for a loss of 4 yards to the UCF 43Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 14
OWN 43
+5
10.8%
John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to RJ Harvey for 5 yds to the UCF 48Similar
Q1 4:40
3RD & 9
OWN 48
+32
10.8%
John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Ryan O'Keefe for 32 yds to the SFla 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+11
10.6%
RJ Harvey run for 11 yds to the SFla 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
10.8%
RJ Harvey run for 1 yd to the SFla 8Similar
Q1 3:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
10.9%
Isaiah Bowser run for 5 yds to the SFla 3Similar
Q1 2:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
9.4%
RJ Harvey run for 3 yds for a TD, (Colton Boomer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 4FUMBLE
9 plays · 73 yds · 3:4010% → 11%
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
9.8%
Michel Dukes run for 3 yds to the SFla 23Similar
Q1 1:40
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+10
10.0%
Kelley Joiner Jr. run for 10 yds to the SFla 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+16
10.1%
Jimmy Horn Jr. run for 16 yds to the SFla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
10.5%
Michel Dukes run for 2 yds to the UCF 49Similar
Q1 0:30
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+17
10.6%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Kelley Joiner Jr. for 17 yds to the UCF 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+24
11.0%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Holden Willis for 24 yds to the UCF 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
11.0%
Brian Battie run for 1 yd to the UCF 7Similar
Q2 13:50
2ND & 0
OPP 7
+6
11.3%
Byrum Brown run for 6 yds Byrum Brown fumbled, forced by Josh Celiscar, recovered by UCF Justin HodgesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 5TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 2:1590% → 94%
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
9.9%
John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 11 yds to the UCF 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+11
9.8%
Isaiah Bowser run for 11 yds to the UCF 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
9.6%
Isaiah Bowser run for 5 yds to the UCF 47Similar
Q2 12:50
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+7
9.6%
John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 7 yds to the SFla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+22
9.6%
John Rhys Plumlee run for 22 yds to the SFla 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
9.5%
Isaiah Bowser run for 4 yds to the SFla 20Similar
Q2 11:25
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+20
5.8%
John Rhys Plumlee run for 20 yds for a TD, (Colton Boomer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 6INT
3 plays · 10 yds · 0:077% → 8%
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+10
7.3%
Byrum Brown run for 10 yds to the SFla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
7.5%
Byrum Brown pass intercepted Justin Hodges return for no gain to the UCF 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 7TD
10 plays · 53 yds · 3:0594% → 97%
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
5.8%
RJ Harvey run for 6 yds to the SFla 47Similar
Q2 9:55
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+8
5.6%
John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Javon Baker for 8 yds to the SFla 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
5.6%
Isaiah Bowser run for 4 yds to the SFla 35Similar
Q2 9:25
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+2
5.5%
Isaiah Bowser run for 2 yds to the SFla 33Similar
Q2 8:50
3RD & 4
OPP 33
+27
5.3%
Ryan O'Keefe run for 27 yds to the SFla 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
4.9%
Isaiah Bowser run for 2 yds to the SFla 4Similar
Q2 7:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
5.2%
Isaiah Bowser run for 1 yd to the SFla 3Similar
Q2 7:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
3.4%
John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Ryan O'Keefe for 3 yds for a TD, (Colton Boomer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 8TD
20 plays · 75 yds · 6:053% → 9%
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
2.8%
Brian Battie run for 2 yds to the SFla 27Similar
Q2 6:25
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
2.6%
Brian Battie run for 4 yds to the SFla 31Similar
Q2 5:45
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+9
2.5%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Michel Dukes for 9 yds to the SFla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
2.7%
Brian Battie run for a loss of 2 yards to the SFla 38Similar
Q2 4:45
2ND & 12
OWN 38
+5
2.4%
Byrum Brown run for 5 yds to the SFla 43Similar
Q2 4:45
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+6
2.5%
Byrum Brown run for 6 yds to the SFla 49Similar
Q2 3:30
4TH & 1
OWN 49
+5
4.3%
Byrum Brown run for 5 yds to the UCF 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-1
2.8%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Jimmy Horn Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 47Similar
Q2 1:57
2ND & 11
OPP 47
+2
3.0%
Brian Battie run for 2 yds to the UCF 45Similar
Q2 1:55
3RD & 9
OPP 45
0
3.0%
Byrum Brown pass incomplete to Sean AtkinsSimilar
Q2 1:47
4TH & 9
OPP 45
+11
2.2%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Omarion Dollison for 11 yds to the UCF 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
2.5%
Brian Battie run for 5 yds to the UCF 29Similar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+18
1.4%
Brian Battie run for 18 yds to the UCF 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
1.6%
Brian Battie run for 2 yds to the UCF 9Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+7
1.5%
UCF Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Davonte Brown) to the UCF 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
8.8%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Sean Atkins for 2 yds for a TD, (Spencer Shrader KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 9END OF HALF
5 plays · 25 yds · 0:2596% → 96%
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
4.4%
Johnny Richardson run for 14 yds to the UCF 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
3.8%
John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Johnny Richardson for 6 yds to the UCF 45Similar
Q2 0:01
2ND & 4
OWN 45
0
3.7%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+5
3.8%
John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Ryan O'Keefe for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 10FUMBLE
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:307% → 7%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
6.5%
Byrum Brown run for 5 yds to the SFla 30Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
6.7%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Jimmy Horn Jr. for 4 yds to the SFla 34Similar
Q3 13:50
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
6.7%
Brian Battie run for 4 yds to the SFla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+23
6.9%
Byrum Brown run for 8 yds to the UCF 46 for a 1ST down UCF Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the UCF 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
7.1%
Kelley Joiner Jr. run for no gain to the UCF 39Similar
Q3 12:15
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+4
7.0%
Brian Battie run for a loss of 12 yards to the SFla 40 Byrum Brown Byrum Brown fumbled, recovered by UCF , return for 4 yds to the SFla 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 11FG
6 plays · 30 yds · 2:4596% → 97%
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
3.8%
Isaiah Bowser run for 1 yd to the SFla 39Similar
Q3 11:10
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+22
3.7%
Ryan O'Keefe run for 22 yds to the SFla 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-4
3.6%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Ryan O'Keefe for a loss of 4 yards to the SFla 21Similar
Q3 10:30
2ND & 14
OPP 21
+7
3.6%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Ryan O'Keefe for 7 yds to the SFla 14Similar
Q3 9:45
3RD & 7
OPP 14
+4
3.3%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Alec Holler for 4 yds to the SFla 10Similar
Q3 9:15
4TH & 3
OPP 10
+27
2.9%
Colton Boomer 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 12TD
5 plays · 79 yds · 1:453% → 11%
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
3.4%
Byrum Brown run for 3 yds to the SFla 24Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+68
3.3%
Brian Battie run for 68 yds to the UCF 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
3.8%
Michel Dukes run for 4 yds to the UCF 4Similar
Q3 7:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
11.1%
Byrum Brown run for 4 yds for a TD, (Byrum Brown pass to Jimmy Horn Jr. for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 13FUMBLE
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:1392% → 92%
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
8.1%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Javon Baker for 2 yds to the UCF 27Similar
Q3 6:42
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-2
8.1%
Mikey Keene run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCF 25 Mikey Keene fumbled, recovered by SFla Dwayne BoylesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 14TD
4 plays · 25 yds · 1:1211% → 20%
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
11.2%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Brian Battie for 9 yds to the UCF 16Similar
Q3 5:55
2ND & 1
OPP 16
+9
11.2%
Byrum Brown run for 9 yds to the UCF 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
11.2%
Michel Dukes run for 2 yds to the UCF 5Similar
Q3 5:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
19.9%
Michel Dukes run for 5 yds for a TD, (Byrum Brown pass to Sean Atkins for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 15FUMBLE
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q3 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
15.5%
Ryan O'Keefe run for 4 yds to the UCF 29 Ryan O'Keefe fumbled, forced by Dwayne Boyles, recovered by SFla Dwayne BoylesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 16TD
4 plays · 29 yds · 1:1419% → 37%
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+9
19.1%
Brian Battie run for 9 yds to the UCF 20Similar
Q3 4:15
2ND & 1
OPP 20
+6
19.2%
Byrum Brown run for 6 yds to the UCF 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
36.8%
Brian Battie run for 14 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 17TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:5872% → 87%
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
27.6%
Isaiah Bowser run for no gain to the UCF 25Similar
Q3 2:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+16
28.6%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 16 yds to the UCF 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
26.0%
RJ Harvey run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 1:45
2ND & 1
50
0
25.0%
RJ Harvey run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 1:30
3RD & 1
50
+3
24.5%
Isaiah Bowser run for 3 yds to the SFla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
24.5%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Johnny Richardson for 6 yds to the SFla 41Similar
Q3 0:30
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+7
24.3%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Alec Holler for 7 yds to the SFla 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
23.7%
RJ Harvey run for 5 yds to the SFla 29Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+5
23.5%
RJ Harvey run for 5 yds to the SFla 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
23.7%
RJ Harvey run for 6 yds to the SFla 18Similar
Q4 13:45
2ND & 4
OPP 18
+10
23.4%
Mikey Keene run for 10 yds to the SFla 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
23.4%
RJ Harvey run for 4 yds to the SFla 4Similar
Q4 12:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
12.7%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 4 yds for a TD, (Colton Boomer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 18FG
7 plays · 39 yds · 2:2918% → 24%
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+27
17.6%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Jimmy Horn Jr. for 27 yds to the UCF 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+19
20.4%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Jimmy Horn Jr. for 19 yds to the UCF 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
18.2%
Byrum Brown run for 2 yds to the UCF 8Similar
Q4 10:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
18.1%
Byrum Brown pass incomplete to Holden WillisSimilar
Q4 10:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
-9
16.7%
Byrum Brown sacked by Ricky Barber for a loss of 9 yards to the UCF 17Similar
Q4 9:31
4TH & 0
OPP 17
+34
24.1%
Spencer Shrader 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:0981% → 81%
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
18.8%
Mikey Keene pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
19.9%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Alec Holler for 7 yds to the UCF 32Similar
Q4 8:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
18.1%
Mikey Keene pass complete to RJ Harvey for no gain to the UCF 32Similar
Q4 7:51
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+33
19.2%
Mitch McCarthy punt for 46 yds , Sean Atkins returns for 33 yds to the UCF 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 20TD
3 plays · 45 yds · 0:4530% → 61%
Q4 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
29.5%
Byrum Brown pass incomplete to Jimmy Horn Jr.Similar
Q4 7:25
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+3
27.1%
Brian Battie run for 3 yds to the UCF 42Similar
Q4 7:02
3RD & 7
OPP 42
+42
60.6%
Byrum Brown run for 42 yds for a TD, (Spencer Shrader KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 21FUMBLE
8 plays · 21 yds · 1:3250% → 48%
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-5
50.5%
RJ Harvey run for 5 yds to the UCF 33 UCF Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the UCF 23Similar
Q4 6:30
1ST & 15
OWN 23
0
51.9%
Mikey Keene pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 15
OWN 23
+13
54.6%
Mikey Keene pass complete to RJ Harvey for 13 yds to the UCF 36Similar
Q4 5:45
3RD & 2
OWN 36
+3
51.5%
RJ Harvey run for 3 yds to the UCF 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
50.4%
Mikey Keene pass incomplete to Alec HollerSimilar
Q4 5:13
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+10
52.0%
RJ Harvey run for 10 yds to the UCF 49 RJ Harvey fumbled, forced by Joshua Green, recovered by SFla Christian WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:5665% → 63%
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
65.2%
Brian Battie run for 1 yd to the UCF 48Similar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+1
66.1%
Brian Battie run for 1 yd to the UCF 47Similar
Q4 3:30
3RD & 8
OPP 47
0
65.8%
Brian Battie run for no gain to the UCF 47Similar
Q4 2:55
4TH & 8
OPP 47
-5
64.4%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the SFla 48Similar
Q4 2:49
4TH & 13
OWN 48
0
62.7%
Colin McCreary punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Xavier Townsend at the UCF 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 23TD
9 plays · 82 yds · 2:2342% → 96%
Q4 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
57.7%
Mikey Keene pass incomplete to Alec HollerSimilar
Q4 2:34
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+12
58.6%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Isaiah Bowser for 12 yds to the UCF 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+41
56.8%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Javon Baker for 41 yds to the SFla 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
51.0%
Isaiah Bowser run for 4 yds to the SFla 25Similar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+9
53.0%
Mikey Keene run for 9 yds to the SFla 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
54.9%
Isaiah Bowser run for 2 yds to the SFla 14Similar
Q4 0:45
2ND & 8
OPP 14
0
54.0%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Ryan O'Keefe for no gain to the SFla 14Similar
Q4 0:20
3RD & 8
OPP 14
+14
4.4%
Mikey Keene pass complete to Alec Holler for 14 yds for a TD, (Mikey Keene pass to Isaiah Bowser for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 24Uncategorized
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:1114% → 17%
Q4 0:11
1ST & 10
50
+10
13.8%
Byrum Brown run for 10 yds to the UCF 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
15.4%
Byrum Brown pass complete to Holden Willis for 9 yds to the UCF 31Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 1
OPP 31
0
17.0%
Byrum Brown pass incomplete to Holden WillisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:20
Mikey Keene pass complete to Alec Holler for 14 yds for a TD, (Mikey Keene pass to Isaiah Bowser for Two-Point Conversion)
-49.6
TD · Q4 7:02
Byrum Brown run for 42 yds for a TD, (Spencer Shrader KICK)
+33.5
TD · Q3 3:31
Brian Battie run for 14 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
+17.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com