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SMU

SMU 24 at Tulane 59

TULN
2022 · Week 12 · Nov 17, 2022 · Yulman Stadium
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Win probability · TULN
modelTULN aheadSMU aheadconfidence bandkey playTULN scoreSMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 2:50 · Casey Glover punt for 59 yds, downed at the SMU 11
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 79Home team on offense+18.3Score differential+12.9Blowout margin−0.2Pregame prior+7.2Garbage-time factor+6.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:06: Tyjae Spears run for 2 yds for a TD, (Valentino Ambrosio KICK) — TULN win probability +4.3 pts (now 71%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:00: Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyjae Spears for 5 yds for a TD, (Valentino Ambrosio KICK) — TULN win probability +7.1 pts (now 80%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 13:54: Tanner Mordecai pass complete to RJ Maryland for 19 yds for a TD, (Collin Rogers KICK) — SMU win probability +11.0 pts (now 30%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 12:22: Michael Pratt run for 26 yds for a TD, (Valentino Ambrosio KICK) — TULN win probability +9.5 pts (now 84%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 13:32: Michael Pratt pass complete to Shae Wyatt for 26 yds for a TD, (Valentino Ambrosio KICK) — TULN win probability +4.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TULN made the numbers' call on 5 of 6SMU made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 12:29SMU 4th & 9 at SMU 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.2%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:58TULN 4th & 1 at SMU 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    60.6%−0.3
    86% to make
    Punt
    59.6%−1.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:13SMU 4th & 10 at SMU 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.7%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:21SMU 4th & 2 at SMU 47, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    31.0%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:49TULN 4th & 7 at SMU 44, up 14
    Close callPunted · 71.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.5%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    70.5%−1.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    71.5%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:03SMU 4th & 6 at SMU 25, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.7%−0.5
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:52TULN 4th & 15 at TULN 16, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.4%−2.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:34SMU 4th & 1 at midfield, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    13.6%−1.9
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:59SMU 4th & 1 at TULN 27, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    11.3%−1.7
    62% to make
    Punt
    7.3%−5.7
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:50TULN 4th & 5 at TULN 30, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.9%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.1%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:10SMU 4th & 10 at TULN 32, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.3%−0.8
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.1%
    51% to make
    Punt
    8.8%−1.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:36SMU 4th & 4 at TULN 18, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    1.9%−<0.1
    79% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−1.5
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:45TULN 4th & 6 at TULN 22, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:46SMU 4th & 11 at SMU 45, down 35
    Close callWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.5%
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:55SMU 4th & 8 at TULN 13, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    85% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:40TULN 4th & 10 at SMU 16, up 39
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    81% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TULN made the numbers' call on 8 of 8SMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 7:01TULN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:06TULN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:00TULN Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:54SMU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 12:22TULN Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 13:32TULN Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 7:32TULN Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 4:37TULN Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 1:53SMU Touchdown, down 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 12:34TULN Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 0:51SMU Touchdown, down 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SMUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 2:2237% → 37%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
63.2%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Dylan Goffney for 20 yds to the SMU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:31
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
63.2%
Camar Wheaton run for 2 yds to the SMU 47Similar
Q1 13:59
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+5
63.1%
Camar Wheaton run for 5 yds to the Tulan 48Similar
Q1 13:18
3RD & 3
OPP 48
-1
63.0%
Camar Wheaton run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 49Similar
Q1 12:47
4TH & 4
OPP 49
-5
63.0%
SMU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SMU 46Similar
Q1 12:29
4TH & 9
OWN 46
+4
63.2%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 39 yds , Jha'Quan Jackson returns for 4 yds to the Tulan 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 2TD
14 plays · 81 yds · 5:2063% → 66%
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+25
63.1%
Tyjae Spears run for 25 yds to the Tulan 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-5
63.4%
TULANE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Tulan 39Similar
Q1 11:57
1ST & 15
OWN 39
-5
63.2%
TULANE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Tulan 34Similar
Q1 11:40
1ST & 20
OWN 34
+7
63.1%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyrick James for 7 yds to the Tulan 41Similar
Q1 11:20
2ND & 13
OWN 41
+5
63.2%
Michael Pratt run for 5 yds to the Tulan 46Similar
Q1 10:33
3RD & 8
OWN 46
+18
63.1%
Michael Pratt run for 3 yds to the SMU 49 for a 1ST down SMU Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the SMU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:19
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
63.6%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Lawrence Keys III for 7 yds to the SMU 29Similar
Q1 10:15
2ND & 3
OPP 29
+8
63.7%
Tyjae Spears run for 8 yds to the SMU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
63.7%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 5 yds to the SMU 16Similar
Q1 8:55
2ND & 5
OPP 16
+1
63.7%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Shaadie Clayton-Johnson for 1 yd to the SMU 15Similar
Q1 8:11
3RD & 4
OPP 15
+3
63.5%
Tyjae Spears run for 3 yds to the SMU 12Similar
Q1 7:58
4TH & 1
OPP 12
+2
63.2%
Michael Pratt run for 2 yds to the SMU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
63.7%
Tyjae Spears run for 4 yds to the SMU 6Similar
Q1 7:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
66.4%
Michael Pratt run for 6 yds for a TD, (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 0:3734% → 34%
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
65.6%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Tyler Lavine for 10 yds to the SMU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
65.5%
Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to RJ MarylandSimilar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
65.6%
Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to RJ MarylandSimilar
Q1 6:25
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
66.0%
Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Rashee RiceSimilar
Q1 6:13
4TH & 10
OWN 35
0
66.2%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 46 yds, downed at the Tulan 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 4TD
4 plays · 81 yds · 0:5466% → 71%
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+30
66.0%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Shae Wyatt for 30 yds to the Tulan 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+48
66.8%
Tyjae Spears run for 48 yds to the SMU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
67.0%
Tyjae Spears run for 1 yd to the SMU 2Similar
Q1 5:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
71.3%
Tyjae Spears run for 2 yds for a TD, (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 5DOWNS
8 plays · 22 yds · 2:3831% → 30%
Q1 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
69.5%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Rashee Rice for 8 yds to the SMU 33Similar
Q1 4:28
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+6
69.1%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Rashee Rice for 6 yds to the SMU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
69.7%
Camar Wheaton run for 6 yds to the SMU 45Similar
Q1 3:33
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+2
69.9%
Camar Wheaton run for 2 yds to the SMU 47Similar
Q1 2:59
3RD & 2
OWN 47
0
70.2%
Tyler Lavine run for no gain to the SMU 47Similar
Q1 2:21
4TH & 2
OWN 47
0
69.7%
Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Rashee RiceSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 6FUMBLE
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:2472% → 72%
Q1 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
72.1%
Tyjae Spears run for 2 yds to the SMU 45Similar
Q1 1:38
2ND & 8
OPP 45
0
72.4%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Duece WattsSimilar
Q1 1:25
3RD & 8
OPP 45
+1
72.2%
Michael Pratt run for 1 yd to the SMU 44Similar
Q1 0:49
4TH & 7
OPP 44
0
72.0%
Casey Glover punt for 37 yds , Roderick Daniels Jr. returns for no gain to the SMU 7 Roderick Daniels Jr. fumbled, recovered by Tulan Ethan HudakSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 7TD
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:3573% → 80%
Q1 0:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
73.1%
Tyjae Spears run for 2 yds to the SMU 5Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
80.3%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyjae Spears for 5 yds for a TD, (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 8FUMBLE
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:4120% → 19%
Q2 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
80.1%
Velton Gardner run for 4 yds to the SMU 25Similar
Q2 14:20
2ND & 6
OWN 25
0
80.2%
Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Jordan KerleySimilar
Q2 14:14
3RD & 6
OWN 25
0
80.6%
Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Rashee RiceSimilar
Q2 14:03
4TH & 6
OWN 25
-7
80.9%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 49 yds , Jha'Quan Jackson returns for a loss of 7 yards to the Tulan 19 Jha'Quan Jackson fumbled, recovered by SMU Chris AdimoraSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 9TD
1 play · 19 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q2 13:54
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
69.8%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to RJ Maryland for 19 yds for a TD, (Collin Rogers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 10TD
4 plays · 37 yds · 1:1474% → 84%
Q2 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-1
74.4%
Tyjae Spears run for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 38Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 11
OPP 38
+12
74.6%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 12 yds to the SMU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
84.2%
Michael Pratt run for 26 yds for a TD, (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 11INT
3 plays · 27 yds · 0:2018% → 18%
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+27
82.5%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Jordan Kerley for 12 yds to the Tulan 37 for a 1ST down TULANE Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Tulan 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
81.6%
Tanner Mordecai pass intercepted DJ Douglas return for no gain to the Tulan 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:5684% → 86%
Q2 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-2
83.9%
Iverson Celestine run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 19Similar
Q2 11:06
2ND & 12
OWN 19
0
84.3%
Iverson Celestine run for no gain to the Tulan 19Similar
Q2 10:15
3RD & 12
OWN 19
-3
84.6%
Michael Pratt sacked by Isaac Slade-Matautia and Je'lin Samuels for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulan 16Similar
Q2 9:52
4TH & 15
OWN 16
0
85.9%
Casey Glover punt for 54 yds , Roderick Daniels Jr. returns for no gain to the SMU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 13FUMBLE
13 plays · 45 yds · 5:4516% → 13%
Q2 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
84.0%
Tyler Lavine run for 6 yds to the SMU 36Similar
Q2 9:31
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+5
84.1%
Tyler Lavine run for 5 yds to the SMU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
84.2%
Tanner Mordecai run for 2 yds to the SMU 43Similar
Q2 8:54
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+4
84.6%
Tyler Lavine run for 4 yds to the SMU 47Similar
Q2 8:09
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+3
84.1%
Tyler Lavine run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 7:34
4TH & 1
50
+3
84.5%
Tyler Lavine run for 3 yds to the Tulan 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
84.4%
Tyler Lavine run for 6 yds to the Tulan 41Similar
Q2 6:39
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+2
84.4%
Camar Wheaton run for 2 yds to the Tulan 39Similar
Q2 6:06
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+3
84.9%
Camar Wheaton run for 3 yds to the Tulan 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
85.2%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Roderick Daniels Jr. for 5 yds to the Tulan 31Similar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+4
84.8%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Camar Wheaton for 4 yds to the Tulan 27Similar
Q2 4:12
3RD & 1
OPP 27
0
86.6%
Tanner Mordecai run for no gain to the Tulan 27 Tanner Mordecai fumbled, forced by Dorian Williams, recovered by SMU Justin OsborneSimilar
Q2 3:59
4TH & 1
OPP 27
+2
86.8%
Tyler Lavine run for 2 yds to the Tulan 25 Tyler Lavine fumbled, forced by Larry Brooks, recovered by Tulan Patrick JenkinsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:0291% → 90%
Q2 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.6%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Duece WattsSimilar
Q2 3:46
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
90.6%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Shae WyattSimilar
Q2 3:32
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+5
90.5%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyrick James for 5 yds to the Tulan 30Similar
Q2 2:50
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
90.2%
Casey Glover punt for 59 yds, downed at the SMU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 15MISSED FG
14 plays · 57 yds · 2:3111% → 10%
Q2 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+7
89.3%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Camar Wheaton for 7 yds to the SMU 18Similar
Q2 2:26
2ND & 3
OWN 18
+3
89.4%
Camar Wheaton run for 3 yds to the SMU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
89.6%
Tanner Mordecai run for 5 yds to the SMU 26Similar
Q2 1:53
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+5
89.0%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to RJ Maryland for 5 yds to the SMU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
89.2%
Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Tyler LavineSimilar
Q2 1:23
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+10
89.9%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to RJ Maryland for 10 yds to the SMU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
89.4%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Tyler Lavine for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 1
50
+7
88.4%
Camar Wheaton run for 7 yds to the Tulan 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+11
88.9%
Tanner Mordecai run for 11 yds to the Tulan 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
88.0%
Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Dylan GoffneySimilar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
88.2%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Jordan Kerley for no gain to the Tulan 32Similar
Q2 0:15
3RD & 10
OPP 32
0
90.1%
Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Gage HaskinSimilar
Q2 0:10
4TH & 10
OPP 32
+49
90.3%
Collin Rogers 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 16END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-1
93.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 17TD
4 plays · 45 yds · 1:0893% → 98%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
92.8%
Michael Pratt run for 8 yds to the SMU 37Similar
Q3 14:03
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+11
93.2%
Tyjae Spears run for 11 yds to the SMU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
98.1%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Shae Wyatt for 26 yds for a TD, (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 18DOWNS
12 plays · 57 yds · 3:492% → 2%
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
98.3%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Tyler Lavine for 6 yds to the SMU 31Similar
Q3 13:04
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
98.1%
Tyler Lavine run for 2 yds to the SMU 33Similar
Q3 12:35
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+13
98.2%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Tyler Lavine for 13 yds to the SMU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
98.4%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Rashee Rice for 5 yds to the Tulan 49Similar
Q3 11:59
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+2
98.3%
Tyler Lavine run for 2 yds to the Tulan 47Similar
Q3 11:24
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+9
98.4%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to RJ Maryland for 9 yds to the Tulan 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+14
98.6%
Tyler Lavine run for 14 yds to the Tulan 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
98.4%
Tyler Lavine run for 4 yds to the Tulan 20Similar
Q3 10:25
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+2
98.4%
TJ McDaniel run for 2 yds to the Tulan 18Similar
Q3 9:44
3RD & 4
OPP 18
0
98.6%
Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Roderick Daniels Jr.Similar
Q3 9:36
4TH & 4
OPP 18
0
98.1%
Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Jordan KerleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:4199% → 99%
Q3 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
98.9%
Tyjae Spears run for 4 yds to the Tulan 22Similar
Q3 8:56
2ND & 6
OWN 22
0
99.0%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Jha'Quan JacksonSimilar
Q3 8:53
3RD & 6
OWN 22
0
99.0%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Jha'Quan JacksonSimilar
Q3 8:45
4TH & 6
OWN 22
0
98.9%
Casey Glover punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SMU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 20FUMBLE
3 plays · -12 yds · 0:321% → 1%
Q3 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-5
99.0%
Austin Upshaw run for a loss of 5 yards to the SMU 40 Austin Upshaw fumbled, recovered by SMU Austin UpshawSimilar
Q3 8:13
2ND & 15
OWN 40
0
99.1%
Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to RJ MarylandSimilar
Q3 8:04
3RD & 15
OWN 40
-7
99.1%
Tanner Mordecai sacked by Darius Hodges for a loss of 7 yards to the SMU 33 Tanner Mordecai fumbled, forced by Darius Hodges, recovered by Tulan Corey Platt Jr. , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 21TD
2 plays · 33 yds · 0:2499% → 99%
Q3 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+21
99.2%
Michael Pratt run for 21 yds to the SMU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
99.3%
Tyjae Spears run for 12 yds for a TD, (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 22INT
8 plays · 18 yds · 2:291% → 0%
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
99.4%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Jordan Kerley for 2 yds to the SMU 29Similar
Q3 6:51
2ND & 8
OWN 29
0
99.4%
Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to TJ McDanielSimilar
Q3 6:44
3RD & 8
OWN 29
+17
99.4%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Gage Haskin for 17 yds to the SMU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-4
99.4%
Tanner Mordecai sacked by Darius Hodges and Angelo Anderson for a loss of 4 yards to the SMU 42Similar
Q3 6:03
2ND & 14
OWN 42
-8
99.5%
Tanner Mordecai sacked by Darius Hodges for a loss of 8 yards to the SMU 34Similar
Q3 5:15
3RD & 22
OWN 34
+11
99.6%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Rashee Rice for 11 yds to the SMU 45Similar
Q3 4:46
4TH & 11
OWN 45
-6
99.6%
Tanner Mordecai pass intercepted Lummie Young IV return for 6 yds to the SMU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 23TD
1 play · 48 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+48
99.5%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Shae Wyatt for 48 yds for a TD, (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 24TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:330% → 0%
Q3 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.6%
Tyler Lavine run for 2 yds to the SMU 27Similar
Q3 4:05
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+9
99.6%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Tyler Lavine for 9 yds to the SMU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+38
99.6%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Dylan Goffney for 38 yds to the Tulan 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
99.6%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Dylan Goffney for 2 yds to the Tulan 24Similar
Q3 3:10
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+6
99.6%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Rashee Rice for 6 yds to the Tulan 18Similar
Q3 2:45
3RD & 2
OPP 18
+2
99.6%
Tyler Lavine run for 2 yds to the Tulan 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
99.6%
Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Jordan KerleySimilar
Q3 2:10
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+3
99.7%
Tyler Lavine run for 3 yds to the Tulan 13Similar
Q3 1:53
3RD & 7
OPP 13
+13
99.7%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to RJ Maryland for 13 yds for a TD, (Collin Rogers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 25TD
10 plays · 71 yds · 4:11100% → 100%
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+29
99.6%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 29 yds to the SMU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
99.7%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 4 yds to the SMU 38Similar
Q3 0:24
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+7
99.7%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 7 yds to the SMU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
99.7%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 5 yds to the SMU 26Similar
Q4 14:12
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+9
99.7%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 9 yds to the SMU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+16
99.8%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 16 yds to the SMU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.8%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for no gain to the SMU 1Similar
Q4 12:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
Michael Pratt run for 1 yd for a TD, (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)Similar
Q4 12:34
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+15
99.8%
SMU Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 26FG
15 plays · 62 yds · 4:300% → 0%
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
99.8%
Tanner Mordecai run for 1 yd to the SMU 26 SMU Penalty, Illegal Forward Pass (-5 Yards) to the SMU 21Similar
Q4 12:10
1ST & 14
OWN 21
+11
99.9%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Tyler Lavine for 11 yds to the SMU 32Similar
Q4 11:40
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+10
99.9%
Tyler Lavine run for 10 yds to the SMU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
99.9%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Tyler Lavine for 4 yds to the SMU 46Similar
Q4 10:55
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+7
99.9%
Tyler Lavine run for 7 yds to the Tulan 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
99.9%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Austin Upshaw for 3 yds to the Tulan 44Similar
Q4 10:05
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+5
99.9%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to RJ Maryland for 5 yds to the Tulan 39Similar
Q4 9:50
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+6
99.9%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Austin Upshaw for 6 yds to the Tulan 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+18
99.9%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Roderick Daniels Jr. for 18 yds to the Tulan 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-10
99.9%
Mordecai, Tanner pass incomplete to Rice, Rashee, PENALTY SMU holding 10 yards to the TULANE25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:10
1ST & 20
OPP 25
+5
99.9%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Rashee Rice for 5 yds to the Tulan 20Similar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 15
OPP 20
+7
99.9%
Tyler Lavine run for 7 yds to the Tulan 13Similar
Q4 7:59
3RD & 8
OPP 13
0
99.9%
Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to RJ MarylandSimilar
Q4 7:55
4TH & 8
OPP 13
+30
99.9%
Collin Rogers 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 27FG
9 plays · 42 yds · 3:55100% → 100%
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
99.9%
Iverson Celestine run for 5 yds to the Tulan 47Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+8
99.9%
Iverson Celestine run for 8 yds to the SMU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+29
99.9%
Iverson Celestine run for 29 yds to the SMU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:48
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
99.9%
Iverson Celestine run for no gain to the SMU 16Similar
Q4 4:57
2ND & 10
OPP 16
-1
99.9%
Iverson Celestine run for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 17Similar
Q4 4:15
3RD & 11
OPP 17
+1
99.9%
Kai Horton run for 1 yd to the SMU 16Similar
Q4 3:40
4TH & 10
OPP 16
+33
99.9%
Valentino Ambrosio 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 28TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:340% → 0%
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.9%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to TJ McDaniel for 11 yds to the SMU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
99.9%
TJ McDaniel run for 6 yds to the SMU 42Similar
Q4 2:40
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+7
99.9%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to Roderick Daniels Jr. for 7 yds to the SMU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
99.9%
TJ McDaniel run for 5 yds to the Tulan 46Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 5
OPP 46
0
99.9%
TJ McDaniel run for no gain to the Tulan 46Similar
Q4 1:32
3RD & 5
OPP 46
+28
100.0%
Kevin Jennings pass complete to TJ McDaniel for 13 yds to the Tulan 33 for a 1ST down TULANE Penalty, Illegal Block (15 Yards) to the Tulan 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
99.9%
Roderick Daniels Jr. run for 5 yds to the Tulan 13Similar
Q4 0:55
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+11
99.9%
Roderick Daniels Jr. run for 11 yds to the Tulan 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Roderick Daniels Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD, (Collin Rogers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 29END OF GAME
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:21100% → 100%
Q4 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
Josh Coltrin run for 5 yds to the Tulan 30Similar
Q4 0:14
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Josh Coltrin run for no gain to the Tulan 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 13:54
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to RJ Maryland for 19 yds for a TD, (Collin Rogers KICK)
-11
TD · Q2 12:22
Michael Pratt run for 26 yds for a TD, (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)
+9.5
TD · Q1 0:00
Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyjae Spears for 5 yds for a TD, (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)
+7.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com