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TEM

Temple 36 at Houston 43

HOU
2022 · Week 11 · Nov 12, 2022 · TDECU Stadium
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Win probability · HOU
modelHOU aheadTEM aheadconfidence bandkey playHOU scoreTEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 5:49 · E.J. Warner pass complete to Jose Barbon for 6 yds to the Houst 30 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+41.5+20.80−20.8−41.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 107Pregame prior+17.8Home team on offense+8.9Garbage-time factor+1.7Score differential+4.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.0Time remaining+1.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:59: Edward Saydee 2 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — TEM win probability +10.4 pts (now 29%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 1:11: E.J. Warner pass complete to Amad Anderson Jr. for 5 yds for a TD, (Camden Price KICK) — TEM win probability +16.4 pts (now 31%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q4 12:49: Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 10 yds for a TD, (Kyle Ramsey KICK) — HOU win probability +10.6 pts (now 89%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 1:22: E.J. Warner pass complete to Zae Baines for 6 yds for a TD, (Camden Price KICK) — TEM win probability +52.5 pts (now 75%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:40: Clayton Tune pass complete to Matthew Golden for 44 yds for a TD, (C. Tune Run For Two-point Conversion) — HOU win probability +54.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
HOU made the numbers' call on 2 of 5TEM made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 4:39TEM 4th & 2 at HOU 46, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    15.1%−0.5
    23% to make
    Punt
    15.3%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:39HOU 4th & 2 at TEM 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    84.8%−0.5
    23% to make
    Punt
    85.1%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:39HOU 4th & 12 at TEM 43, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 84.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.7%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    84.7%−0.1
    28% to make
    Punt
    84.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:28HOU 4th & 2 at TEM 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    85.2%−0.2
    66% to make
    Punt
    84.1%−1.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:59TEM 4th & 10 at HOU 10, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.4%−0.5
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    13.8%
    88% to make
    Punt
    10.6%−3.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:04HOU 4th & 2 at HOU 31, up 1
    Close callPunted · 81.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.0%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:01HOU 4th & 14 at TEM 43, down 5
    Close callPunted · 70.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.1%−0.6
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    69.7%
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    69.5%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:49TEM 4th & 6 at HOU 36, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    12.6%−0.8
    42% to make
    Punt
    12.1%−1.3
    average punt
  9. Q4 8:47TEM 4th & 4 at HOU 4, down 9
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.7 ptsKicked a field goal · 12.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.8%−2.7
    93% to make
    Punt
    4.1%−10.3
    average punt
  10. Q4 1:22TEM 4th & 3 at HOU 6, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.3%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    11.0%−5.3
    91% to make
    Punt
    5.3%−11.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
HOU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6TEM made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 10:59TEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:35HOU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:49HOU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:59TEM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    17.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:59TEM Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    28.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    28.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 13:42HOU Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 5:58HOU Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 1:11TEM Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 12:49HOU Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 1:22TEM Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.7%−4.2
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 0:40HOU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    83.3%−0.8
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    84.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEMDrive 1TD
10 plays · 79 yds · 3:549% → 11%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+16
91.2%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Adonicas Sanders for 16 yds to the Temp 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
91.2%
Edward Saydee run for 3 yds to the Temp 40Similar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+8
91.2%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Jordan Smith for 8 yds to the Temp 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-1
91.2%
Darvon Hubbard run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 47Similar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 11
OWN 47
+5
91.2%
E.J. Warner pass complete to David Martin-Robinson for 5 yds to the Houst 48Similar
Q1 14:53
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+24
91.2%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Zae Baines for 24 yds to the Houst 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+8
91.2%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Jose Barbon for 8 yds to the Houst 16Similar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 2
OPP 16
+2
91.2%
Edward Saydee run for 2 yds to the Houst 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
91.2%
Edward Saydee run for 1 yd to the Houst 13Similar
Q1 10:59
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+13
89.4%
E.J. Warner pass complete to David Martin-Robinson for 13 yds for a TD, (Camden Price KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 2INT
9 plays · 34 yds · 3:3190% → 88%
Q1 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
89.6%
HOUSTON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Houst 20Similar
Q1 10:59
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+8
89.6%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 8 yds to the Houst 28Similar
Q1 10:59
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
89.6%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 6 yds to the Houst 34Similar
Q1 10:59
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
89.7%
Stacy Sneed run for 2 yds to the Houst 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
89.7%
Clayton Tune pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:59
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+8
89.7%
Clayton Tune run for 8 yds to the Houst 44Similar
Q1 10:59
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+11
89.7%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 11 yds to the Temp 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
89.8%
Stacy Sneed run for 4 yds to the Temp 41Similar
Q1 7:28
2ND & 6
OPP 41
0
88.3%
Clayton Tune pass intercepted HOUSTON Penalty, Defensive Holding (Tyler Johnson) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 3DOWNS
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:4912% → 14%
Q1 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
87.6%
Edward Saydee run for no gain to the Temp 35Similar
Q1 7:28
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+7
87.7%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Adonicas Sanders for 7 yds to the Temp 42Similar
Q1 7:28
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+4
87.5%
Edward Saydee run for 4 yds to the Temp 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
87.5%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:28
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+9
87.5%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Jose Barbon for 9 yds to the Houst 45Similar
Q1 7:28
3RD & 1
OPP 45
-1
87.5%
Edward Saydee run for a loss of 1 yard to the Houst 46Similar
Q1 4:39
4TH & 2
OPP 46
0
86.0%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 4TD
12 plays · 54 yds · 5:0487% → 87%
Q1 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
86.8%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 4:39
2ND & 6
50
+4
86.9%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Matthew Golden for 4 yds to the Temp 46Similar
Q1 4:39
3RD & 2
OPP 46
0
86.9%
Clayton Tune pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:39
4TH & 2
OPP 46
+5
86.6%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Sam Brown for 5 yds to the Temp 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
86.9%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 6 yds to the Temp 35Similar
Q1 4:39
2ND & 4
OPP 35
-19
87.1%
Clayton Tune sacked for a loss of 19 yards to the Houst 46Similar
Q1 4:39
3RD & 23
OWN 46
+11
86.3%
Clayton Tune run for 11 yds to the Temp 43Similar
Q1 4:39
4TH & 12
OPP 43
+15
86.2%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Sam Brown for 15 yds to the Temp 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
87.1%
Clayton Tune pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+9
84.5%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Christian Trahan for 9 yds to the Temp 19Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 19
+17
84.2%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Sam Brown for 17 yds to the Temp 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
87.3%
Stacy Sneed run for 2 yds for a TD TEMPLE Penalty, Illegal Substitution (Adonicas Sanders) declined, (Kyle Ramsey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 5TD
6 plays · 33 yds · 2:3987% → 89%
Q2 14:28
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
87.3%
Stacy Sneed run for 4 yds to the Temp 29Similar
Q2 14:28
2ND & 6
OPP 29
0
87.3%
Clayton Tune pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:28
3RD & 6
OPP 29
+4
87.0%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Sam Brown for 4 yds to the Temp 25Similar
Q2 14:28
4TH & 2
OPP 25
+9
86.6%
Clayton Tune run for 9 yds to the Temp 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:28
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
87.3%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for no gain to the Temp 16Similar
Q2 11:49
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+16
89.1%
Clayton Tune run for 16 yds for a TD, (Kyle Ramsey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 6TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:5012% → 17%
Q2 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
88.1%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Adonicas Sanders for 6 yds to the Temp 31Similar
Q2 11:49
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+9
87.8%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Jordan Smith for 9 yds to the Temp 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+16
87.7%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Jose Barbon for 16 yds to the Houst 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+15
87.3%
E.J. Warner pass complete to David Martin-Robinson for 15 yds to the Houst 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
86.8%
Edward Saydee run for no gain to the Houst 29Similar
Q2 11:49
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+11
86.9%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Adonicas Sanders for 11 yds to the Houst 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-10
86.8%
SAYDEE, Edward rush up the middle for a gain of 2 yards to the HOU16 (CHEEKS, Trimarcus;AJIJOLAIYA, Hakeem). PENALTY TEM Holding on QUARSHIE, Wisdom enforced 10 yards from the HOU18 to the HOU28. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 11:49
1ST & 20
OPP 28
-6
87.2%
E.J. Warner run for a loss of 6 yards to the Houst 34 E.J. Warner fumbled, recovered by Temp E.J. WarnerSimilar
Q2 11:49
2ND & 26
OPP 34
+15
87.3%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Edward Saydee for 15 yds to the Houst 19Similar
Q2 11:49
3RD & 11
OPP 19
+12
87.3%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Edward Saydee for 12 yds to the Houst 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-3
86.8%
Edward Saydee run for a loss of 3 yards to the Houst 10Similar
Q2 11:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
86.8%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
87.3%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:59
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
83.2%
Mackenzie Morgan run for 10 yds for a TD, (Camden Price PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:4884% → 82%
Q2 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
84.3%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Stacy Sneed for 2 yds to the Houst 25Similar
Q2 5:52
2ND & 8
OWN 25
-5
84.2%
Clayton Tune sacked by Lancine Turay for a loss of 5 yards to the Houst 20Similar
Q2 5:52
3RD & 13
OWN 20
+11
83.5%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 11 yds to the Houst 31Similar
Q2 4:04
4TH & 2
OWN 31
0
82.8%
Laine Wilkins punt for 30 yds, downed at the Temp 39Similar
Q2 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
82.0%
WARNER, E.J. pass to the left incomplete intended for SANDERS, Adonicas thrown to the HOU36. PENALTY HOU Offsides on JONES, D'Anthony declined HOU Pass Interference on EMERY, Jalen enforced 15 yards to the HOU46 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 8TD
3 plays · 61 yds · 1:0519% → 29%
Q2 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
81.3%
Edward Saydee run for 1 yd to the Houst 45Similar
Q2 4:04
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+43
81.3%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Jose Barbon for 43 yds to the Houst 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
70.9%
Edward Saydee 2 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 20 yds · 1:5075% → 72%
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+24
75.1%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 24 yds to the Temp 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
77.0%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 3 yds to the Temp 36Similar
Q2 2:51
2ND & 7
OPP 36
0
77.0%
Clayton Tune pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:51
3RD & 7
OPP 36
-7
76.7%
Clayton Tune run for a loss of 7 yards to the Temp 43 Clayton Tune fumbled, recovered by Houst Lance RobinsonSimilar
Q2 1:01
4TH & 14
OPP 43
0
71.5%
Laine Wilkins punt for 35 yds, downed at the Temp 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 10END OF HALF
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:0128% → 31%
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
72.0%
Edward Saydee run for no gain to the Temp 8Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+8
71.5%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Zae Baines for 8 yds to the Temp 16Similar
Q2 0:50
3RD & 2
OWN 16
+7
71.7%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Amad Anderson Jr. for 7 yds to the Temp 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
70.7%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+3
68.8%
Edward Saydee run for 3 yds to the Temp 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 11TD
3 plays · 72 yds · 1:1272% → 84%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+17
71.8%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Sam Brown for 17 yds to the Houst 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+32
73.6%
Stacy Sneed run for 32 yds to the Temp 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
83.6%
Stacy Sneed run for 23 yds for a TD, (Kyle Ramsey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 12DOWNS
8 plays · 37 yds · 2:2219% → 21%
Q3 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
80.6%
Darvon Hubbard run for 21 yds to the Temp 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
78.7%
Darvon Hubbard run for 3 yds to the Temp 49Similar
Q3 13:42
2ND & 7
OWN 49
0
78.5%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:42
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+10
79.0%
E.J. Warner pass complete to David Martin-Robinson for 10 yds to the Houst 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
78.4%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:42
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+3
78.4%
Darvon Hubbard run for 3 yds to the Houst 38Similar
Q3 13:42
3RD & 7
OPP 38
0
78.7%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:20
4TH & 7
OPP 38
0
78.7%
TEMPLE Penalty, turnover on downs. PENALTY Illegal Formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 13TD
11 plays · 62 yds · 5:2281% → 90%
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
80.7%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 6 yds to the Houst 44Similar
Q3 11:20
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+3
81.7%
Stacy Sneed run for 3 yds to the Houst 47Similar
Q3 11:20
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+7
81.2%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 7 yds to the Temp 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
82.2%
Clayton Tune run for 8 yds to the Temp 38Similar
Q3 11:20
2ND & 2
OPP 38
+4
82.2%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 4 yds to the Temp 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+13
82.7%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 13 yds to the Temp 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
82.7%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 4 yds to the Temp 17Similar
Q3 11:20
2ND & 6
OPP 17
-10
82.7%
TUNE, Clayton scrambles to the left for a gain of 8 yards to the TEM9 (MAGEE, Jordan), out of bounds. PENALTY HOU Holding on FREEMAN, Jack enforced 10 yards from the TEM17 to the TEM27 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 11:20
2ND & 16
OPP 27
+5
81.7%
Clayton Tune run for 5 yds to the Temp 22Similar
Q3 11:20
3RD & 11
OPP 22
+12
81.7%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Sam Brown for 12 yds to the Temp 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
89.7%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Christian Trahan for 10 yds for a TD, (Kyle Ramsey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 14TD
13 plays · 70 yds · 4:3812% → 31%
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
87.7%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:49
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+15
87.9%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Zae Baines for 15 yds to the Temp 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
87.0%
WARNER, E.J. pass to the left incomplete intended for ANDERSON JR., Amad thrown to the HOU30. PENALTY HOU Pass Interference on GRIFFIN-TAYLOR, Demarcus enforced 15 yards to the HOU40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
86.4%
Edward Saydee run for 1 yd to the Houst 39Similar
Q3 5:49
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+4
86.4%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Edward Saydee for 4 yds to the Houst 35Similar
Q3 5:49
3RD & 5
OPP 35
-1
86.6%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Edward Saydee for a loss of 1 yard to the Houst 36Similar
Q3 5:49
4TH & 6
OPP 36
+6
87.5%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Jose Barbon for 6 yds to the Houst 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-10
85.4%
WARNER, E.J. scrambles up the middle for a gain of 3 yards to the HOU21 (JONES, D'Anthony). PENALTY TEM Holding on FAMINU, James enforced 10 yards from the HOU24 to the HOU34 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 3:12
1ST & 20
OPP 34
+16
86.3%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Edward Saydee for 16 yds to the Houst 18Similar
Q3 3:12
2ND & 4
OPP 18
+13
85.4%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Jordan Smith for 13 yds to the Houst 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
85.4%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
85.4%
Zae Baines run for no gain to the Houst 5Similar
Q3 1:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
69.0%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Amad Anderson Jr. for 5 yds for a TD, (Camden Price KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 15TD
9 plays · 77 yds · 3:1575% → 89%
Q3 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
75.0%
Clayton Tune pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:04
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
74.6%
Clayton Tune pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:04
3RD & 10
OWN 23
+15
73.3%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Peyton Sawyer for 15 yds to the Houst 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
76.3%
Clayton Tune pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+23
75.3%
Stacy Sneed run for 23 yds to the Temp 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+24
78.0%
Stacy Sneed run for 24 yds to the Temp 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
78.8%
Clayton Tune run for no gain to the Temp 15Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+5
78.8%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 5 yds to the Temp 10Similar
Q4 12:49
3RD & 5
OPP 10
+10
89.4%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 10 yds for a TD, (Kyle Ramsey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 16FG
12 plays · 71 yds · 4:0212% → 23%
Q4 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
88.3%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
88.4%
Edward Saydee run for 1 yd to the Temp 26Similar
Q4 12:49
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+26
89.1%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Jose Barbon for 26 yds to the Houst 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+10
86.1%
E.J. Warner pass complete to David Martin-Robinson for 10 yds to the Houst 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-6
86.1%
E.J. Warner sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the Houst 44Similar
Q4 12:49
2ND & 16
OPP 44
+7
87.0%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Zae Baines for 7 yds to the Houst 37Similar
Q4 12:49
3RD & 9
OPP 37
+8
86.7%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Jose Barbon for 8 yds to the Houst 29Similar
Q4 12:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
83.7%
Edward Saydee run for a loss of 1 yard to the Houst 4Similar
Q4 12:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
83.7%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
85.1%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:47
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
77.0%
Camden Price 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 17FUMBLE
6 plays · 39 yds · 2:2188% → 90%
Q4 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
87.5%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Stacy Sneed for 2 yds to the Houst 36Similar
Q4 8:43
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+9
88.0%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Sam Brown for 9 yds to the Houst 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+18
89.1%
Stacy Sneed run for 18 yds to the Temp 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
89.7%
Clayton Tune pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:43
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+8
89.5%
Stacy Sneed run for 8 yds to the Temp 29Similar
Q4 6:22
3RD & 2
OPP 29
+2
90.0%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Stacy Sneed for 2 yds Stacy Sneed fumbled, recovered by Temp Kobe WilsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 18TD
14 plays · 73 yds · 5:0021% → 75%
Q4 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+12
79.0%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Jordan Smith for 12 yds to the Temp 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
77.5%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:22
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+6
78.2%
Edward Saydee run for 6 yds to the Temp 45Similar
Q4 6:22
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+11
76.4%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Jordan Smith for 11 yds to the Houst 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+19
74.9%
E.J. Warner pass complete to David Martin-Robinson for 19 yds to the Houst 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
77.7%
Edward Saydee run for 1 yd to the Houst 24Similar
Q4 3:48
2ND & 9
OPP 24
0
78.1%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:48
3RD & 9
OPP 24
+11
81.4%
E.J. Warner pass complete to David Martin-Robinson for 11 yds to the Houst 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
77.6%
E.J. Warner pass complete to David Martin-Robinson for 6 yds to the Houst 7Similar
Q4 3:48
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+3
77.6%
E.J. Warner run for 3 yds to the Houst 4Similar
Q4 1:25
3RD & 1
OPP 4
-2
77.9%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Zae Baines for a loss of 2 yards to the Houst 6Similar
Q4 1:22
4TH & 3
OPP 6
+6
25.4%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Zae Baines for 6 yds for a TD, (Camden Price KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 19TD
6 plays · 71 yds · 0:4245% → 98%
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+12
45.2%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Sam Brown for 12 yds to the Houst 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
49.6%
Clayton Tune pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:22
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+12
46.7%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Matthew Golden for 12 yds to the Temp 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
43.4%
Clayton Tune run for 3 yds to the Temp 44Similar
Q4 0:40
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+44
98.4%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Matthew Golden for 44 yds for a TD, (C. Tune Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 20END OF GAME
6 plays · 50 yds · 0:4010% → 15%
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.5%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
90.7%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Jose Barbon for 12 yds to the Temp 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+13
89.1%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Edward Saydee for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:11
1ST & 10
50
+16
89.2%
E.J. Warner pass complete to David Martin-Robinson for 16 yds to the Houst 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
85.5%
E.J. Warner pass complete to David Martin-Robinson for 9 yds to the Houst 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:40
Clayton Tune pass complete to Matthew Golden for 44 yds for a TD, (C. Tune Run For Two-point Conversion)
+54.9
TD · Q4 1:22
E.J. Warner pass complete to Zae Baines for 6 yds for a TD, (Camden Price KICK)
-52.5
TD · Q3 1:11
E.J. Warner pass complete to Amad Anderson Jr. for 5 yds for a TD, (Camden Price KICK)
-16.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com