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NAVY

Navy 10 at Cincinnati 20

CIN
2022 · Week 10 · Nov 5, 2022 · Nippert Stadium
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Win probability · CIN
modelCIN aheadNAVY aheadconfidence bandkey playCIN scoreNAVY score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDFGTDTDEnd of GameFG-2.3CIN 88.2%Daniel Davies 28 yd FG GOODAWAY 3 - HOME 13 · Q2 1:55
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:55 · Daniel Davies 28 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialTime remaining
+41.5+20.80−20.8−41.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 63Pregame prior+25.6Home team on offense+6.7Garbage-time factor+0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.3Score differential+2.4Time remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:12: Ben Bryant pass complete to Tyler Scott for 38 yds for a TD, (Ryan Coe KICK) — CIN win probability +3.2 pts (now 92%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:51: Ben Bryant pass complete to Tyler Scott for 27 yds for a TD, (Ryan Coe KICK) — CIN win probability +6.1 pts (now 95%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 1:14: Maasai Maynor run for 1 yd for a TD, (Daniel Davies KICK) — NAVY win probability +6.1 pts (now 11%) (top driver: NAVY has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 5:29: Timeout NAVY, clock 05:29 — CIN win probability +4.7 pts (now 95%) (top driver: NAVY has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:56: Timeout NAVY, clock 02:56 — CIN win probability +3.4 pts (now 97%) (top driver: NAVY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CIN made the numbers' call on 6 of 8NAVY made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 13:08CIN 4th & 14 at NAVY 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.9%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.0%
    58% to make
    Punt
    87.7%−0.3
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:07NAVY 4th & 7 at NAVY 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.3%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:07NAVY 4th & 7 at NAVY 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.3%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 11:07CIN 4th & 1 at NAVY 25, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    87.5%−0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    87.1%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:04CIN 4th & 9 at NAVY 9, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 86.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.8%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.0%
    89% to make
    Punt
    84.9%−1.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:13NAVY 4th & 4 at CIN 8, down 6
    Close callKicked a field goal · 15.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.7%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    15.4%−0.3
    90% to make
    Punt
    13.0%−2.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:12CIN 4th & 1 at NAVY 38, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    84.0%−1.3
    38% to make
    Punt
    84.0%−1.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:55NAVY 4th & 6 at CIN 11, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 11.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.8%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.9%
    87% to make
    Punt
    8.4%−2.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:22CIN 4th & 1 at CIN 47, up 10
    Close callPunted · 86.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.2%−0.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:48NAVY 4th & 3 at NAVY 32, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.7%−0.3
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:51NAVY 4th & 5 at CIN 44, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    6.2%−1.1
    27% to make
    Punt
    7.1%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:14NAVY 4th & 1 at CIN 1, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.5%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    2.5%−2.0
    94% to make
    Punt
    -2.7%−7.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:28CIN 4th & 19 at CIN 28, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.5%−2.3
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.8%
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:08NAVY 4th & 5 at NAVY 38, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.7%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.7%
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:59CIN 4th & 3 at CIN 42, up 10
    Close callPunted · 91.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.1%−0.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:45NAVY 4th & 14 at CIN 27, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.5%−0.3
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.8%
    62% to make
    Punt
    4.5%−1.3
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:19CIN 4th & 8 at CIN 29, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.9%−0.8
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CIN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2NAVY made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 7:12CIN Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 9:51CIN Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 1:14NAVY Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CINDrive 1FG
6 plays · 46 yds · 1:5291% → 91%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
91.1%
NAVY Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Rayuan Lane III) to the Navy 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-5
91.1%
run for a loss of 5 yards to the Navy 30 fumbled, recovered by Cincy Ben BryantSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OPP 30
+1
91.1%
Charles McClelland run for 1 yd to the Navy 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 14
OPP 29
0
91.1%
Ben Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:08
4TH & 14
OPP 29
+47
90.6%
Ryan Coe 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 2:019% → 10%
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
90.6%
Vincent Terrell Jr. run for 1 yd to the Navy 26Similar
Q1 13:08
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
90.6%
Daba Fofana run for 3 yds to the Navy 29Similar
Q1 13:08
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-1
90.7%
Vincent Terrell Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 28Similar
Q1 11:07
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
90.3%
Riley Riethman punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Ryan Montgomery at the Cincy 31Similar
Q1 11:07
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
90.3%
Riley Riethman punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Ryan Montgomery at the Cincy 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 3FG
15 plays · 60 yds · 6:0390% → 89%
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+17
90.2%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Josh Whyle for 17 yds to the Cincy 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
90.3%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Tyler Scott for 5 yds to the Navy 47Similar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 5
OPP 47
-5
90.3%
CINCINNATI Penalty, False Start (Wilson Huber) to the Cincy 48Similar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+18
90.2%
Charles McClelland run for 18 yds to the Navy 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
90.3%
Ben Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+6
90.3%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Tyler Scott for 6 yds to the Navy 28Similar
Q1 11:07
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+3
90.3%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Will Pauling for 3 yds to the Navy 25Similar
Q1 11:07
4TH & 1
OPP 25
+1
90.2%
Ryan Montgomery run for 1 yd to the Navy 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
90.3%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Tre Tucker for 5 yds to the Navy 19Similar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 5
OPP 19
0
90.3%
Charles McClelland run for no gain to the Navy 19Similar
Q1 11:07
3RD & 5
OPP 19
+10
90.3%
Ryan Montgomery run for 10 yds to the Navy 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
90.3%
Ben Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
90.3%
Ryan Montgomery run for no gain to the Navy 9Similar
Q1 5:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
88.9%
Ben Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+27
89.4%
Ryan Coe 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 4MISSED FG
15 plays · 67 yds · 7:5111% → 12%
Q1 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
89.2%
Anton Hall Jr. run for 5 yds to the Navy 30Similar
Q1 5:04
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+8
89.1%
Anton Hall Jr. run for 8 yds to the Navy 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
89.0%
Xavier Arline run for 6 yds to the Navy 44Similar
Q1 5:04
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+1
88.8%
Anton Hall Jr. run for 1 yd to the Navy 45Similar
Q1 5:04
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+3
88.9%
Xavier Arline run for 3 yds to the Navy 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
88.8%
Anton Hall Jr. run for 5 yds to the Cincy 47Similar
Q1 5:04
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+5
88.8%
Anton Hall Jr. run for 5 yds to the Cincy 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
87.2%
Anton Hall Jr. run for 1 yd to the Cincy 41Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+27
87.2%
Xavier Arline run for 27 yds to the Cincy 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:38
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
87.1%
Daba Fofana run for 1 yd to the Cincy 13Similar
Q2 13:38
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+2
87.1%
Xavier Arline run for 2 yds to the Cincy 11Similar
Q2 13:38
3RD & 7
OPP 11
+3
87.5%
Xavier Arline run for 3 yds to the Cincy 8Similar
Q2 12:13
4TH & 4
OPP 8
+25
87.6%
Daniel Davies 25 yd FG BLOCKED blocked bySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 5TD
12 plays · 87 yds · 5:0188% → 92%
Q2 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-4
88.3%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Tre Tucker for a loss of 4 yards to the Cincy 9Similar
Q2 12:13
2ND & 14
OWN 9
0
88.2%
Ben Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:13
3RD & 14
OWN 9
+16
87.9%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Tyler Scott for 16 yds to the Cincy 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
88.3%
Ben Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:13
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
88.3%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Tyler Scott for 12 yds to the Cincy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
88.6%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Leonard Taylor for 1 yd to the Cincy 38Similar
Q2 12:13
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+15
88.6%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Tyler Scott for 15 yds to the Navy 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
88.9%
Ben Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:13
2ND & 10
OPP 47
-10
88.9%
CINCINNATI Penalty, Offensive Holding (Will Pauling) to the Cincy 46Similar
Q2 12:13
2ND & 17
OWN 46
+14
88.5%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Tre Tucker for 14 yds to the Navy 40Similar
Q2 12:13
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+2
88.7%
Ben Bryant run for 2 yds to the Navy 38Similar
Q2 7:12
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+38
91.9%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Tyler Scott for 38 yds for a TD, (Ryan Coe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 6FG
9 plays · 54 yds · 5:179% → 12%
Q2 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
91.1%
Anton Hall Jr. run for 8 yds to the Navy 43Similar
Q2 7:12
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+4
90.7%
Anton Hall Jr. run for 4 yds to the Navy 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
90.9%
Xavier Arline run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 7:12
2ND & 7
50
+3
90.7%
Daba Fofana run for 3 yds to the Cincy 47Similar
Q2 7:12
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+32
90.7%
Xavier Arline run for 32 yds to the Cincy 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
90.2%
Daba Fofana run for 2 yds to the Cincy 13Similar
Q2 7:12
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+2
90.2%
Xavier Arline run for 2 yds to the Cincy 11Similar
Q2 7:12
3RD & 6
OPP 11
0
90.5%
Jayden Umbarger run for no gain to the Cincy 11Similar
Q2 1:55
4TH & 6
OPP 11
+28
88.2%
Daniel Davies 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 1:2889% → 88%
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
89.1%
Charles McClelland run for 9 yds to the Cincy 31Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+7
89.5%
Charles McClelland run for 7 yds to the Cincy 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
89.6%
Ben Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+6
89.5%
Charles McClelland run for 6 yds to the Cincy 44Similar
Q2 0:32
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+3
88.7%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Charles McClelland for 3 yds to the Cincy 47Similar
Q2 0:22
4TH & 1
OWN 47
0
88.1%
Mason Fletcher punt for 52 yds, downed at the Navy 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 8END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-2
88.5%
run for a loss of 2 yards to the Navy 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 2:1212% → 11%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
87.9%
Xavier Arline run for 3 yds to the Navy 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
87.7%
Xavier Arline pass complete to Jayden Umbarger for 3 yds to the Navy 31Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+1
87.9%
Daba Fofana run for 1 yd to the Navy 32Similar
Q3 12:48
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
89.0%
Riley Riethman punt for 66 yds, downed at the Cincy 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 10TD
8 plays · 98 yds · 2:5789% → 95%
Q3 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+10
88.6%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Chris Scott for 10 yds to the Cincy 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
88.7%
Ben Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:48
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+39
88.6%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Jadon Thompson for 39 yds to the Navy 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+11
89.6%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Tre Tucker for 11 yds to the Navy 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
89.7%
Ben Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:48
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+3
89.6%
Charles McClelland run for 3 yds to the Navy 35Similar
Q3 12:48
3RD & 7
OPP 35
+8
89.3%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Nick Mardner for 8 yds to the Navy 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
95.4%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Tyler Scott for 27 yds for a TD, (Ryan Coe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 11TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 8:376% → 11%
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
93.9%
Vincent Terrell Jr. run for 4 yds to the Navy 29Similar
Q3 9:51
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
93.7%
Anton Hall Jr. run for 7 yds to the Navy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
93.6%
Daniel Jones run for 5 yds to the Navy 41Similar
Q3 9:51
2ND & 5
OWN 41
0
93.4%
Maquel Haywood run for no gain to the Navy 41Similar
Q3 9:51
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+10
93.6%
Xavier Arline run for 10 yds to the Cincy 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
93.1%
Jayden Umbarger run for 1 yd to the Cincy 48Similar
Q3 9:51
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+1
93.4%
Daba Fofana run for 1 yd to the Cincy 47Similar
Q3 9:51
3RD & 8
OPP 47
+3
93.5%
Xavier Arline run for 3 yds to the Cincy 44Similar
Q3 9:51
4TH & 5
OPP 44
+32
93.6%
Maasai Maynor pass complete to Nathan Kent for 32 yds to the Cincy 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
92.5%
Anton Hall Jr. run for 4 yds to the Cincy 8Similar
Q3 9:51
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+3
92.5%
Anton Hall Jr. run for 3 yds to the Cincy 5Similar
Q3 9:51
3RD & 3
OPP 5
+3
93.0%
Maasai Maynor run for 3 yds to the Cincy 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
94.6%
Anton Hall Jr. run for 1 yd to the Cincy 1Similar
Q3 2:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
94.6%
Maasai Maynor run for no gain to the Cincy 1Similar
Q3 2:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
95.0%
Anton Hall Jr. run for no gain to the Cincy 1Similar
Q3 1:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
88.9%
Maasai Maynor run for 1 yd for a TD, (Daniel Davies KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 3 yds · 3:4690% → 90%
Q3 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
90.3%
CINCINNATI Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the Cincy 20Similar
Q3 1:14
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+10
90.1%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Tyler Scott for 10 yds to the Cincy 30Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
90.7%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Jadon Thompson for 7 yds to the Cincy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-6
91.0%
Ben Bryant sacked by John Marshall for a loss of 6 yards to the Cincy 31Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 16
OWN 31
-5
90.5%
CINCINNATI Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the Cincy 26Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 21
OWN 26
-7
90.3%
Ben Bryant sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the Cincy 19Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 28
OWN 19
+9
89.8%
Charles McClelland run for 9 yds to the Cincy 28Similar
Q4 12:28
4TH & 19
OWN 28
+2
89.8%
Mason Fletcher punt for 41 yds , Amin Hassan returns for 2 yds to the Navy 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2010% → 9%
Q4 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
90.1%
Daba Fofana run for 3 yds to the Navy 36Similar
Q4 12:28
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+2
89.7%
Maasai Maynor run for 2 yds to the Navy 38Similar
Q4 12:28
3RD & 5
OWN 38
0
89.7%
Maasai Maynor pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:08
4TH & 5
OWN 38
+4
90.9%
Riley Riethman punt for 42 yds , Ryan Montgomery returns for 4 yds to the Cincy 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 3:0991% → 92%
Q4 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-2
90.9%
Ryan Montgomery run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cincy 22Similar
Q4 11:08
2ND & 12
OWN 22
+13
90.6%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Leonard Taylor for 13 yds to the Cincy 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
91.0%
Corey Kiner run for 2 yds to the Cincy 37Similar
Q4 11:08
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+7
91.2%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Tyler Scott for 7 yds to the Cincy 44Similar
Q4 11:08
3RD & 1
OWN 44
-2
91.1%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Tre Tucker for a loss of 2 yards to the Cincy 42Similar
Q4 7:59
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
92.4%
Mason Fletcher punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Amin Hassan at the Navy 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 15MISSED FG
16 plays · 62 yds · 5:147% → 4%
Q4 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+31
92.6%
Maasai Maynor pass complete to Vincent Terrell Jr. for 31 yds to the Navy 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
91.1%
Kai Puailoa-Rojas run for 6 yds to the Navy 48Similar
Q4 7:59
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+3
90.9%
Anton Hall Jr. run for 3 yds to the Cincy 49Similar
Q4 7:59
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+2
90.6%
Anton Hall Jr. run for 2 yds to the Cincy 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-7
94.2%
Xavier Arline sacked by Ivan Pace Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the Navy 46Similar
Q4 5:29
2ND & 17
OWN 46
+18
95.3%
Maasai Maynor pass complete to Mark Walker for 18 yds to the Cincy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
94.2%
Anton Hall Jr. run for 1 yd to the Cincy 35Similar
Q4 5:29
2ND & 9
OPP 35
0
93.6%
Vincent Terrell Jr. run for no gain to the Cincy 35Similar
Q4 5:29
3RD & 9
OPP 35
+12
94.3%
Maquel Haywood run for 12 yds to the Cincy 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
93.3%
Daba Fofana run for no gain to the Cincy 23Similar
Q4 2:56
2ND & 10
OPP 23
-4
96.1%
Maasai Maynor run for a loss of 4 yards to the Cincy 27Similar
Q4 2:56
3RD & 14
OPP 27
0
96.7%
Maasai Maynor pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:45
4TH & 14
OPP 27
+44
97.2%
Daniel Davies 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-5
96.0%
CINCINNATI Penalty, Illegal Substitution (TEAM) to the Cincy 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 2:2696% → 96%
Q4 2:45
1ST & 15
OWN 22
+2
95.8%
Charles McClelland run for 2 yds to the Cincy 24Similar
Q4 2:45
2ND & 13
OWN 24
-1
95.7%
Charles McClelland run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 23Similar
Q4 0:33
3RD & 14
OWN 23
+6
96.6%
Charles McClelland run for 6 yds to the Cincy 29Similar
Q4 0:19
4TH & 8
OWN 29
0
96.4%
Mason Fletcher punt for 59 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 17END OF GAME
1 play · -11 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-11
97.0%
Maasai Maynor sacked for a loss of 11 yards to the Navy 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:51
Ben Bryant pass complete to Tyler Scott for 27 yds for a TD, (Ryan Coe KICK)
+6.1
TD · Q3 1:14
Maasai Maynor run for 1 yd for a TD, (Daniel Davies KICK)
-6.1
KEY PLAY · Q4 5:29
Timeout NAVY, clock 05:29
+4.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com