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TULN

Tulane 27 at Tulsa 13

TLSA
2022 · Week 10 · Nov 5, 2022 · Chapman Stadium
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Win probability · TLSA
modelTLSA aheadTULN aheadconfidence bandkey playTLSA scoreTULN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDTDFGFGEnd of GameFG-1.4TLSA 1.1%Valentino Ambrosio 33 yd FG GOODAWAY 27 - HOME 13 · Q4 0:51
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:51 · Valentino Ambrosio 33 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 161Home team on offense−48.9Pregame prior−0.3Score differential−20.1Garbage-time factor−10.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−12.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−14.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:10: Tyjae Spears run for 34 yds for a TD, (Valentino Ambrosio KICK) — TULN win probability +7.7 pts (now 80%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:59: Braylon Braxton pass complete to JuanCarlos Santana for 28 yds for a TD, (Zack Long KICK) — TLSA win probability +11.2 pts (now 33%) (top driver: TLSA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:09: Michael Pratt pass complete to Shae Wyatt for 20 yds for a TD, (Valentino Ambrosio KICK) — TULN win probability +11.1 pts (now 86%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 4:35: Zack Long 40 yd FG GOOD — TLSA win probability +1.5 pts (now 21%) (top driver: TLSA has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:51: Valentino Ambrosio 33 yd FG GOOD — TULN win probability +1.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TLSA made the numbers' call on 8 of 9TULN made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 8:45TLSA 4th & 13 at TULN 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 34.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.5%−0.3
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.8%
    60% to make
    Punt
    33.9%−0.9
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:39TULN 4th & 2 at TULN 35, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 63.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    63.9%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:19TULN 4th & 3 at TLSA 3, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 63.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.3%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.7%−0.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    59.5%−3.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:48TLSA 4th & 10 at TULN 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.3%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:06TULN 4th & 1 at TULN 19, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 64.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.4%−1.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:05TLSA 4th & 14 at TULN 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.9%−1.4
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:05TULN 4th & 2 at TULN 42, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 66.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    66.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    65.8%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:34TLSA 4th & 15 at TLSA 32, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.0%−1.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:40TLSA 4th & 3 at TULN 48, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 32.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.0%−1.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:35TLSA 4th & 7 at TULN 22, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 17.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.8%−0.5
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.2%
    72% to make
    Punt
    12.5%−4.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:23TULN 4th & 13 at TULN 45, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.5%−2.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:25TLSA 4th & 10 at TLSA 23, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.5%−1.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:20TULN 4th & 4 at TLSA 41, up 11
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 87.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    85.8%−1.9
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    86.4%−1.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:18TLSA 4th & 23 at TLSA 33, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.1%−1.6
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.7%
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:51TULN 4th & 7 at TLSA 16, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.7%−0.3
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.0%
    81% to make
    Punt
    93.3%−1.7
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:00TLSA 4th & 1 at TLSA 34, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.3%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TLSA made the numbers' call on 1 of 1TULN made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 12:39TULN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:10TULN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:59TLSA Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:09TULN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TULNDrive 1TD
8 plays · 78 yds · 2:1772% → 72%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
28.0%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Jha'Quan JacksonSimilar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+55
28.0%
Tyjae Spears run for 55 yds to the Tulsa 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+9
28.0%
Michael Pratt run for 9 yds to the Tulsa 14Similar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 1
OPP 14
0
28.0%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Dea Dea McDougleSimilar
Q1 14:56
3RD & 1
OPP 14
+2
28.0%
Tyjae Spears run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
28.0%
Tyjae Spears run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 10Similar
Q1 12:39
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+10
28.1%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyrick James for 10 yds for a TD TULSA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference ( Yards) declined, (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 2FG
12 plays · 47 yds · 3:5428% → 30%
Q1 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
28.4%
Deneric Prince run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 29Similar
Q1 12:39
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+26
28.4%
Braylon Braxton pass complete to Keylon Stokes for 26 yds to the Tulan 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
28.6%
Braylon Braxton pass complete to Keylon Stokes for 3 yds to the Tulan 42Similar
Q1 12:39
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+3
28.6%
Deneric Prince run for 3 yds to the Tulan 39Similar
Q1 12:39
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+14
28.6%
Braylon Braxton run for 14 yds to the Tulan 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-10
28.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun Prince,Deneric rush right for 6 yards gain to the TLN19 (Brooks,Larry) PENALTY TLS Holding (Li'o Marks,Tautai) 10 yards from TLN25 to TLN35. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:39
1ST & 20
OPP 35
+3
28.5%
Deneric Prince run for 3 yds to the Tulan 32Similar
Q1 12:39
2ND & 17
OPP 32
0
28.5%
Braylon Braxton pass incomplete to Isaiah EppsSimilar
Q1 12:39
3RD & 17
OPP 32
-5
28.4%
PENALTY TLS False Start (Muskrat,Jaden) 5 yards from TLN32 to TLN37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:39
3RD & 22
OPP 37
+9
28.4%
Braylon Braxton pass complete to Deneric Prince for 9 yds to the Tulan 28Similar
Q1 8:45
4TH & 13
OPP 28
+46
29.8%
Zack Long 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 3FG
12 plays · 70 yds · 5:2070% → 71%
Q1 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
29.9%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Dea Dea McDougleSimilar
Q1 8:39
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+6
29.9%
Tyjae Spears run for 6 yds to the Tulan 33Similar
Q1 8:39
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+2
29.9%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyrick James for 2 yds to the Tulan 35Similar
Q1 8:39
4TH & 2
OWN 35
+3
30.1%
Nick Anderson run for 3 yds to the Tulan 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+19
29.6%
Tyjae Spears run for 19 yds to the Tulsa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
29.5%
Michael Pratt run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 39Similar
Q1 8:39
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+33
29.4%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 33 yds to the Tulsa 6 for a 1ST down TULSA Penalty, Defensive Offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
29.3%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 3Similar
Q1 8:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
29.3%
Michael Pratt sacked by Kenney Solomon II for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulsa 4Similar
Q1 8:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
29.5%
Tyjae Spears run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 3Similar
Q1 3:19
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
28.8%
Valentino Ambrosio 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 4PUNT
11 plays · 26 yds · 3:3130% → 29%
Q1 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
29.5%
Jordan Ford run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 29Similar
Q1 3:19
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+12
29.7%
Braylon Braxton pass complete to Isaiah Epps for 12 yds to the Tulsa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
30.2%
Braylon Braxton pass incomplete to Keylon StokesSimilar
Q1 3:19
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+6
29.9%
Jordan Ford run for 6 yds to the Tulsa 47Similar
Q1 3:19
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+4
30.3%
Braylon Braxton run for 4 yds to the Tulan 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
30.7%
Braylon Braxton pass incomplete to JuanCarlos SantanaSimilar
Q1 3:19
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+5
30.5%
Braylon Braxton run for 5 yds to the Tulan 44Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 44
-5
30.9%
PENALTY TLS False Start (Epps,Isaiah) 5 yards from TLN44 to TLN49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 49
0
30.0%
Braylon Braxton pass incomplete to Keylon StokesSimilar
Q2 14:48
4TH & 10
OPP 49
0
29.4%
Lachlan Wilson punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:4271% → 70%
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
29.4%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Dea Dea McDougle for 4 yds to the Tulan 14Similar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+2
29.3%
Tyjae Spears run for 2 yds to the Tulan 16Similar
Q2 14:48
3RD & 4
OWN 16
+3
29.7%
Michael Pratt run for 3 yds to the Tulan 19Similar
Q2 13:06
4TH & 1
OWN 19
0
30.2%
Casey Glover punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 3:0131% → 30%
Q2 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
30.9%
Deneric Prince run for 6 yds to the Tulan 49Similar
Q2 13:06
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+5
31.5%
Deneric Prince run for 5 yds to the Tulan 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:06
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-8
31.5%
Braylon Braxton sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the Tulsa 48Similar
Q2 13:06
2ND & 18
OWN 48
-15
30.2%
TULSA Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Tulsa 42Similar
Q2 13:06
3RD & 24
OWN 42
+10
29.5%
Braylon Braxton pass complete to Jordan Ford for 10 yds to the Tulan 48Similar
Q2 10:05
4TH & 14
OPP 48
+5
29.5%
Lachlan Wilson punt for 41 yds , Jha'Quan Jackson returns for 5 yds to the Tulan 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 7TD
9 plays · 88 yds · 3:5570% → 80%
Q2 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+6
29.8%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 6 yds to the Tulan 18Similar
Q2 10:05
2ND & 4
OWN 18
+16
29.6%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 16 yds to the Tulan 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
29.1%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Duece WattsSimilar
Q2 10:05
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+8
29.4%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Dea Dea McDougle for 8 yds to the Tulan 42Similar
Q2 10:05
3RD & 2
OWN 42
0
28.6%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for no gain to the Tulan 42Similar
Q2 10:05
4TH & 2
OWN 42
+8
29.2%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyrick James for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:05
1ST & 10
50
+13
28.1%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Duece Watts for 13 yds to the Tulsa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
28.1%
Tyjae Spears run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 34Similar
Q2 6:10
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+34
20.4%
Tyjae Spears run for 34 yds for a TD, (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 8PUNT
10 plays · 15 yds · 3:3122% → 20%
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+10
21.6%
Braylon Braxton run for 10 yds to the Tulsa 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
21.8%
Jordan Ford run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 31Similar
Q2 6:05
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+2
22.1%
Braylon Braxton run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 33Similar
Q2 6:05
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+4
22.0%
Braylon Braxton run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
22.2%
Braylon Braxton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:05
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+2
21.9%
Braylon Braxton pass complete to Malachai Jones for 2 yds to the Tulsa 39Similar
Q2 6:05
3RD & 8
OWN 39
-7
22.0%
Braylon Braxton sacked by Dorian Williams for a loss of 7 yards to the Tulsa 32Similar
Q2 2:34
4TH & 15
OWN 32
0
20.4%
Lachlan Wilson punt for 53 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 9INT
4 plays · 16 yds · 1:2480% → 81%
Q2 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
20.3%
Michael Pratt run for 2 yds to the Tulan 17Similar
Q2 2:34
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+6
20.3%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyjae Spears for 6 yds to the Tulan 23Similar
Q2 2:34
3RD & 2
OWN 23
+8
20.4%
Michael Pratt run for 8 yds to the Tulan 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
18.7%
Michael Pratt pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 10TD
3 plays · 29 yds · 0:1123% → 33%
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
22.7%
Deneric Prince run for 1 yd to the Tulan 28Similar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+28
32.9%
Braylon Braxton pass complete to JuanCarlos Santana for 28 yds for a TD, (Zack Long KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 11END OF HALF
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:5373% → 73%
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
26.7%
Tyjae Spears run for 1 yd to the Tulan 31Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+3
26.7%
Tyjae Spears run for 3 yds to the Tulan 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:2029% → 30%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
29.2%
Deneric Prince run for 6 yds to the Tulsa 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+4
31.2%
Deneric Prince run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
30.7%
Braylon Braxton pass incomplete to JuanCarlos SantanaSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+6
29.9%
Braylon Braxton pass complete to Keylon Stokes for 6 yds to the Tulan 49Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+1
31.3%
Braylon Braxton run for 1 yd to the Tulan 48Similar
Q3 12:40
4TH & 3
OPP 48
0
29.7%
Lachlan Wilson punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jha'Quan Jackson at the Tulan 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 13TD
9 plays · 87 yds · 3:3173% → 86%
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+12
27.5%
Tyjae Spears run for 12 yds to the Tulan 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
27.1%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Tyrick JamesSimilar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+29
27.6%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Duece Watts for 29 yds to the Tulsa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
25.0%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Tyrick JamesSimilar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+6
25.0%
Tyjae Spears run for 6 yds to the Tulsa 40Similar
Q3 12:40
3RD & 4
OPP 40
+4
25.3%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
25.0%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 35Similar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+15
24.8%
Iverson Celestine run for 15 yds to the Tulsa 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
13.7%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Shae Wyatt for 20 yds for a TD, (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 14FG
15 plays · 53 yds · 4:3417% → 21%
Q3 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
16.9%
Bill Jackson run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 29Similar
Q3 9:09
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
17.1%
Braylon Braxton pass complete to Keylon Stokes for 5 yds to the Tulsa 34Similar
Q3 9:09
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
17.6%
Deneric Prince run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-9
17.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun Prince,Deneric rush right for 4 yards gain to the TLS39, out of bounds at TLS39 PENALTY TLS Holding (Hall,Ethan) 9 yards from TLS35 to TLS26. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:09
1ST & 19
OWN 26
+15
16.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun Braxton,Braylon pass incomplete short left to Santana,JuanCarlos PENALTY TLN Pass Interference (Robinson,Lance) 15 yards from TLS26 to TLS41, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
18.5%
Deneric Prince run for 7 yds to the Tulsa 48Similar
Q3 9:09
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+4
19.0%
Deneric Prince run for 4 yds to the Tulan 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
19.1%
Braylon Braxton pass incomplete to Isaiah EppsSimilar
Q3 9:09
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+2
19.0%
Deneric Prince run for 2 yds to the Tulan 46Similar
Q3 9:09
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+21
18.7%
Braylon Braxton run for 21 yds to the Tulan 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
20.0%
Jordan Ford run for 3 yds to the Tulan 22Similar
Q3 9:09
2ND & 7
OPP 22
0
20.0%
Braylon Braxton pass incomplete to Keylon StokesSimilar
Q3 9:09
3RD & 7
OPP 22
0
19.1%
Braylon Braxton pass incomplete to Malachai JonesSimilar
Q3 4:35
4TH & 7
OPP 22
+40
20.6%
Zack Long 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 3:1280% → 81%
Q3 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
20.3%
Iverson Celestine run for 12 yds to the Tulan 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
19.1%
Tyjae Spears run for 11 yds to the Tulan 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
18.1%
Iverson Celestine run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:54
2ND & 8
50
+3
18.0%
Iverson Celestine run for 3 yds to the Tulan 47Similar
Q3 3:54
3RD & 11
OWN 47
-2
18.6%
Michael Pratt sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 45Similar
Q3 1:23
4TH & 13
OWN 45
0
19.4%
Casey Glover punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Keylon Stokes at the Tulsa 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:5820% → 17%
Q3 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
19.8%
Deneric Prince run for no gain to the Tulsa 23Similar
Q3 1:23
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
19.5%
Braylon Braxton pass incomplete to Isaiah EppsSimilar
Q3 1:23
3RD & 10
OWN 23
0
18.6%
Braylon Braxton pass incomplete to Deneric PrinceSimilar
Q3 0:25
4TH & 10
OWN 23
0
17.3%
Lachlan Wilson punt for 74 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 17PUNT
13 plays · 56 yds · 5:4082% → 89%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+1
18.2%
Iverson Celestine run for 1 yd to the Tulan 4Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 4
+2
18.3%
Iverson Celestine run for 2 yds to the Tulan 6Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 6
+15
18.8%
Lawrence Keys III run for 15 yds to the Tulan 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
17.1%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for no gain to the Tulan 21Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+2
17.2%
Michael Pratt run for 2 yds to the Tulan 23Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 23
+19
17.4%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyrick James for 19 yds to the Tulan 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
15.9%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Lawrence Keys III for 6 yds to the Tulan 48Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+3
15.7%
Iverson Celestine run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 49Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+2
16.0%
Michael Pratt run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
15.6%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Dea Dea McDougleSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+7
15.6%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 7 yds to the Tulsa 40Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+1
15.7%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 41Similar
Q4 9:20
4TH & 4
OPP 41
0
10.9%
Casey Glover punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 3:0213% → 9%
Q4 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
13.2%
Braylon Braxton pass complete to JuanCarlos Santana for 13 yds to the Tulsa 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
13.8%
Jordan Ford run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 35Similar
Q4 9:20
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+11
13.6%
Braylon Braxton pass complete to Isaiah Epps for 11 yds to the Tulsa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
14.8%
Jordan Ford run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 47Similar
Q4 9:20
2ND & 9
OWN 47
-6
14.5%
Braylon Braxton sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the Tulsa 41Similar
Q4 9:20
3RD & 15
OWN 41
-8
12.9%
Braylon Braxton sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the Tulsa 33Similar
Q4 6:18
4TH & 23
OWN 33
0
8.9%
Lachlan Wilson punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jha'Quan Jackson at the Tulan 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 19FG
16 plays · 54 yds · 5:2791% → 99%
Q4 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
8.6%
Iverson Celestine run for 2 yds to the Tulan 32Similar
Q4 6:18
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+8
8.6%
Michael Pratt run for 8 yds to the Tulan 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
8.0%
Iverson Celestine run for no gain to the Tulan 40Similar
Q4 6:18
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+9
8.2%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 9 yds to the Tulan 49Similar
Q4 4:23
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+22
6.8%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 22 yds to the Tulsa 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
6.4%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 25Similar
Q4 4:23
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+5
6.4%
Iverson Celestine run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 20Similar
Q4 2:57
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+1
4.2%
Michael Pratt run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
4.1%
Iverson Celestine run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 17Similar
Q4 2:57
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+1
4.1%
Iverson Celestine run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 18Similar
Q4 1:42
3RD & 9
OPP 18
+2
3.3%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 16Similar
Q4 0:51
4TH & 7
OPP 16
+33
1.1%
Valentino Ambrosio 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 20END OF GAME
5 plays · 21 yds · 0:511% → 1%
Q4 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
1.1%
Braylon Braxton pass incomplete to Keylon StokesSimilar
Q4 0:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
1.0%
Braylon Braxton run for no gain to the Tulsa 25Similar
Q4 0:51
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+9
1.0%
Braylon Braxton pass complete to Kamdyn Benjamin for 9 yds to the Tulsa 34Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+12
1.0%
Braylon Braxton pass complete to Malachai Jones for 12 yds to the Tulsa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:59
Braylon Braxton pass complete to JuanCarlos Santana for 28 yds for a TD, (Zack Long KICK)
+11.2
TD · Q3 9:09
Michael Pratt pass complete to Shae Wyatt for 20 yds for a TD, (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)
-11.1
TD · Q2 6:10
Tyjae Spears run for 34 yds for a TD, (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)
-7.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com