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TEM

Temple 20 at Navy 27

NAVY
2022 · Week 9 · Oct 29, 2022 · Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · NAVY
modelNAVY aheadTEM aheadconfidence bandkey playNAVY scoreTEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTFGTDFGFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 11:06 · T.Lavatai rushed to TEM 19 for 7 yards. Tackled by E.Deravil at TEM 19.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+27.0+13.50−13.5−27.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 13Pregame prior+25.2Home team on offense+0.2Garbage-time factor−0.1Score differential−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Blowout margin−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 0:47: D.Davies 36 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-NAV, Holder-NAV. — NAVY win probability +3.5 pts (now 82%) (top driver: NAVY has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 3:45: C.Price 38 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-TEM, Holder-TEM. — TEM win probability +2.7 pts (now 20%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 9:47: E.Warner pass complete to NAV 20. Catch made by A.Anderson at NAV 20. Gain of 20 yards. A.Anderson for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the fumble and the play was upheld. — TEM win probability +16.6 pts (now 32%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 1:11: C.Price 22 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-TEM, Holder-TEM. — TEM win probability +21.1 pts (now 53%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: X.Arline rushed to TEM End Zone for 23 yards. X.Arline for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane and the play was upheld. — NAVY win probability +25.1 pts (now 93%) (top driver: NAVY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NAVY made the numbers' call on 9 of 12TEM made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 14:36TEM 4th & 10 at TEM 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.6%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:06NAVY 4th & 3 at TEM 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 82.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    82.4%−<0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    82.1%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:49NAVY 4th & 14 at TEM 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.6%−0.3
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.8%
    84% to make
    Punt
    80.0%−0.8
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:13NAVY 4th & 4 at NAVY 43, up 3
    Close callPunted · 80.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:47NAVY 4th & 4 at TEM 19, up 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 82.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.8%−0.1
    77% to make
    Punt
    80.2%−2.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:18NAVY 4th & 7 at NAVY 38, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.5%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:08TEM 4th & 5 at TEM 38, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.8%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:27NAVY 4th & 2 at TEM 31, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    86.4%−1.0
    54% to make
    Punt
    85.6%−1.8
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:45TEM 4th & 10 at NAVY 20, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.7%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.2%
    75% to make
    Punt
    10.5%−2.7
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:19NAVY 4th & 9 at NAVY 26, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.0%−0.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.7%
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:14TEM 4th & 4 at TEM 25, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.7%−0.3
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:21NAVY 4th & 1 at NAVY 34, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 84.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.2%−1.0
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:51TEM 4th & 1 at TEM 39, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    13.7%−1.7
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:39TEM 4th & 5 at NAVY 44, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.8%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    14.2%−1.6
    27% to make
    Punt
    15.5%−0.3
    average punt
  15. Q3 5:41NAVY 4th & 1 at TEM 47, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    84.5%−1.7
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:56TEM 4th & 5 at TEM 29, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.4%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.7%
    average punt
  17. Q4 12:17NAVY 4th & 10 at NAVY 40, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.0%−0.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.8%
    average punt
  18. Q4 7:51NAVY 4th & 4 at NAVY 31, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.2%−2.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.2%
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:35NAVY 4th & 2 at TEM 31, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    81.9%−4.0
    54% to make
    Punt
    76.3%−9.6
    average punt
  20. Q4 1:11TEM 4th & 4 at NAVY 4, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 28.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.3%−2.9
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.2%
    93% to make
    Punt
    8.4%−29.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NAVY made the numbers' call on 1 of 1TEM made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q1 3:00NAVY Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 9:47TEM Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.3%−0.6
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEMDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:1723% → 23%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
76.8%
E.Warner steps back to pass. E.Warner pass incomplete intended for J.Barbon (M.Williams).Similar
Q1 14:45
2ND & 10
OWN 17
0
76.8%
E.Warner steps back to pass. E.Warner pass incomplete intended for Z.Baines.Similar
Q1 14:40
3RD & 10
OWN 17
0
76.8%
E.Warner steps back to pass. E.Warner pass incomplete intended for E.Saydee.Similar
Q1 14:36
4TH & 10
OWN 17
+31
76.8%
M.Morgan punts 31 yards to TEM 48, Center-TEM. Downed by C.Cuascut-Palmer.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 2FG
17 plays · 34 yds · 7:3577% → 75%
Q1 14:24
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
76.7%
D.Fofana rushed to TEM 44 for 4 yards. Tackled by Y.Rigby; D.Woodbury at TEM 44.Similar
Q1 13:46
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+2
76.7%
D.Fofana rushed to TEM 42 for 2 yards. Tackled by D.Woodbury at TEM 42.Similar
Q1 13:06
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+9
76.6%
M.Haywood rushed to TEM 33 for 9 yards. Tackled by J.Magee; Y.Rigby at TEM 33.Similar
Q1 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
76.6%
D.Fofana rushed to TEM 29 for 4 yards. Tackled by E.Deravil at TEM 29.Similar
Q1 12:02
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+1
76.5%
T.Lavatai rushed to TEM 28 for 1 yards. Tackled by D.Woodbury at TEM 28.Similar
Q1 11:44
3RD & 5
OPP 28
+2
76.4%
D.Fofana rushed to TEM 26 for 2 yards. Tackled by X.Gill at TEM 26.Similar
Q1 11:06
4TH & 3
OPP 26
+7
76.1%
T.Lavatai rushed to TEM 19 for 7 yards. Tackled by E.Deravil at TEM 19.Similar
Q1 10:39
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
76.3%
D.Fofana rushed to TEM 18 for 1 yards. Tackled by J.Magee; L.Jordan at TEM 18.Similar
Q1 9:58
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+8
76.2%
D.Jones rushed to TEM 10 for 8 yards. Tackled by Y.Rigby; E.Deravil at TEM 10.Similar
Q1 9:27
3RD & 1
OPP 10
+2
76.0%
D.Fofana rushed to TEM 8 for 2 yards. Tackled by D.Varner; D.Morris at TEM 8.Similar
Q1 9:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
76.1%
D.Fofana rushed to TEM 6 for 2 yards. Tackled by J.Magee; X.Gill at TEM 6.Similar
Q1 8:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-2
75.9%
T.Lavatai rushed to TEM 8 for -2 yards. Tackled by E.Deravil at TEM 8.Similar
Q1 7:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
75.5%
V.Terrell rushed to TEM 9 for -1 yards. Tackled by Y.Rigby at TEM 9.Similar
Q1 6:49
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
75.1%
PENALTY on NAV-NAV, Delay of Game, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q1 6:49
4TH & GOAL
OPP 14
+31
75.3%
D.Davies 31 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-NAV, Holder-NAV.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2375% → 75%
Q1 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
75.4%
T.Lavatai steps back to pass. T.Lavatai pass incomplete intended for V.Terrell.Similar
Q1 5:30
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+5
75.3%
T.Lavatai rushed to NAV 42 for 5 yards. Tackled by E.Deravil; J.Hollins at NAV 42.Similar
Q1 4:57
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+1
75.4%
D.Fofana rushed to NAV 43 for 1 yards. Tackled by D.Morris; J.Hollins at NAV 43.Similar
Q1 4:13
4TH & 4
OWN 43
+40
74.8%
R.Riethman punts 40 yards to TEM 17, Center-NAV. A.Anderson MUFFS catch. Fumble RECOVERED by NAV-M.Williams at TEM 17. Tackled by TEM at TEM 17.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 4TD
3 plays · 17 yds · 1:0176% → 78%
Q1 4:01
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
76.0%
M.Haywood rushed to TEM 16 for 1 yards. Tackled by K.Wilson; D.Woodbury at TEM 16.Similar
Q1 3:30
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+1
76.0%
T.Lavatai scrambles to TEM 15 for 1 yards. Tackled by X.Gill; L.Jordan at TEM 15.Similar
Q1 3:00
3RD & 8
OPP 15
+15
78.4%
D.Fofana rushed to TEM End Zone for 15 yards. D.Fofana for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 5INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q1 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-3
77.4%
E.Warner pass INTERCEPTED at TEM 28. Intercepted by E.Larry at TEM 28. Tackled by M.Cooper at TEM 25.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 6FG
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:5779% → 82%
Q1 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
78.7%
D.Fofana rushed to TEM 21 for 4 yards. Tackled by Y.Rigby; J.Magee at TEM 21.Similar
Q1 2:04
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+2
78.6%
D.Fofana rushed to TEM 19 for 2 yards. Tackled by Y.Rigby at TEM 19.Similar
Q1 1:29
3RD & 4
OPP 19
0
78.3%
D.Fofana rushed to TEM 19 for 0 yards. Tackled by D.Woodbury at TEM 19.Similar
Q1 0:47
4TH & 4
OPP 19
+36
81.8%
D.Davies 36 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-NAV, Holder-NAV.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:4983% → 83%
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
82.7%
V.Terrell rushed to NAV 36 for 1 yards. Pushed out of bounds by E.Clark at NAV 36.Similar
Q2 13:41
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+3
82.9%
X.Arline rushed to NAV 39 for 3 yards. Tackled by Y.Rigby; D.Varner at NAV 39.Similar
Q2 13:02
3RD & 6
OWN 39
-1
83.1%
N.Kent rushed to NAV 38 for -1 yards. Tackled by M.McCargo; N.Wyatt at NAV 38.Similar
Q2 12:18
4TH & 7
OWN 38
+52
82.7%
R.Riethman punts 52 yards to TEM 10, Center-NAV. J.Barbon returned punt from the TEM 10. Tackled by K.Jacob at TEM 12. PENALTY on TEM-T.Blair, Offensive Illegal Block Above the Waist, 6 yards, accepted.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 8PUNT
10 plays · 32 yds · 2:5618% → 18%
Q2 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+9
81.6%
E.Saydee rushed to TEM 15 for 9 yards. Tackled by N.Straw at TEM 15.Similar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 1
OWN 15
+6
81.5%
E.Saydee rushed to TEM 21 for 6 yards. Tackled by R.Lane; E.Gibbons at TEM 21.Similar
Q2 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
81.6%
E.Warner steps back to pass. E.Warner pass incomplete intended for J.Barbon.Similar
Q2 11:21
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+4
81.7%
E.Warner pass complete to TEM 21. Catch made by A.Anderson at TEM 21. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by N.Straw at TEM 25.Similar
Q2 10:46
3RD & 6
OWN 25
+8
81.9%
E.Warner pass complete to TEM 25. Catch made by A.Anderson at TEM 25. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by T.Fletcher; J.Hutson at TEM 33.Similar
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
81.6%
E.Warner pass complete to TEM 33. Catch made by D.Martin-Robinson at TEM 33. Gain of 3 yards. Pushed out of bounds by E.Larry at TEM 44. PENALTY on TEM-A.Anderson, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted.Similar
Q2 10:01
1ST & 17
OWN 26
+12
81.9%
E.Warner pass complete to TEM 26. Catch made by A.Anderson at TEM 26. Gain of 12 yards. Tackled by R.Lane at TEM 38.Similar
Q2 9:28
2ND & 5
OWN 38
0
81.6%
E.Warner steps back to pass. E.Warner pass incomplete intended for J.Barbon.Similar
Q2 9:22
3RD & 5
OWN 38
0
81.9%
E.Warner steps back to pass. E.Warner pass incomplete intended for E.Saydee (J.Marshall).Similar
Q2 9:08
4TH & 5
OWN 38
+1
82.3%
M.Morgan punts 1 yards to TEM 39, Center-TEM. Downed by TEM.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 9DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:4185% → 84%
Q2 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
84.9%
M.Haywood rushed to TEM 34 for 5 yards. Tackled by D.Hill at TEM 34.Similar
Q2 8:33
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+1
85.1%
D.Fofana rushed to TEM 33 for 1 yards. Tackled by J.Mahone at TEM 33.Similar
Q2 7:58
3RD & 4
OPP 33
+2
84.3%
D.Fofana rushed to TEM 31 for 2 yards. Tackled by Y.Rigby; D.Varner at TEM 31.Similar
Q2 7:27
4TH & 2
OPP 31
+1
83.9%
X.Arline rushed to TEM 30 for 1 yards. Tackled by D.Winston; D.Hill at TEM 30.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 10FG
12 plays · 50 yds · 3:3917% → 20%
Q2 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
82.7%
E.Warner pass complete to TEM 30. Catch made by J.Barbon at TEM 30. Gain of 14 yards. Tackled by NAV at TEM 44. The Replay Official reviewed the pass completion and the play was overturned. E.Warner steps back to pass. E.Warner pass incomplete intended for J.Barbon.Similar
Q2 6:58
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+9
83.0%
E.Warner pass complete to TEM 30. Catch made by E.Saydee at TEM 30. Gain of 9 yards. Pushed out of bounds by J.Marshall; M.Williams at TEM 39.Similar
Q2 6:22
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+2
82.3%
E.Saydee rushed to TEM 41 for 2 yards. Tackled by J.Busic; C.Ramos at TEM 41.Similar
Q2 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
82.8%
E.Warner steps back to pass. E.Warner pass incomplete intended for D.Martin-Robinson (J.Marshall).Similar
Q2 5:48
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+20
82.9%
E.Warner pass complete to TEM 41. Catch made by A.Anderson at TEM 41. Gain of 20 yards. Tackled by E.Gibbons; M.Williams at NAV 39.Similar
Q2 5:27
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
82.3%
E.Warner steps back to pass. E.Warner pass incomplete intended for A.Anderson (E.Larry). PENALTY on TEM-B.Thoman, Ineligible Downfield Pass, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 5:27
1ST & 15
OPP 44
0
82.9%
E.Warner steps back to pass. E.Warner pass incomplete intended for J.Barbon.Similar
Q2 5:20
2ND & 15
OPP 44
+24
83.0%
E.Saydee rushed to NAV 20 for 24 yards. Pushed out of bounds by C.Ramos at NAV 20.Similar
Q2 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
81.5%
E.Warner steps back to pass. E.Warner pass incomplete intended for J.Barbon.Similar
Q2 4:50
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+1
81.7%
E.Saydee rushed to NAV 19 for 1 yards. Tackled by R.Lane at NAV 19.Similar
Q2 4:21
3RD & 9
OPP 19
-1
82.6%
E.Warner pass complete to NAV 19. Catch made by J.Barbon at NAV 19. Gain of -1 yards. Tackled by M.Williams at NAV 20.Similar
Q2 3:45
4TH & 10
OPP 20
+38
79.9%
C.Price 38 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-TEM, Holder-TEM.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:1980% → 80%
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
79.9%
D.Fofana rushed to NAV 26 for 1 yards. Tackled by X.Gill; K.Wilson at NAV 26.Similar
Q2 3:08
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-1
80.4%
V.Terrell rushed to NAV 25 for -1 yards. Pushed out of bounds by B.Scott at NAV 25.Similar
Q2 2:25
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+1
80.1%
D.Fofana rushed to NAV 26 for 1 yards. Tackled by K.Wilson; D.Varner at NAV 26.Similar
Q2 2:19
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+55
79.5%
R.Riethman punts 55 yards to TEM 19, Center-NAV. Out of bounds.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:5420% → 18%
Q2 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
80.4%
E.Warner steps back to pass. E.Warner pass incomplete intended for A.Anderson.Similar
Q2 2:03
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+2
80.6%
E.Saydee rushed to TEM 21 for 2 yards. Tackled by C.Ramos; J.Busic at TEM 21.Similar
Q2 1:21
3RD & 8
OWN 21
+4
81.4%
E.Saydee rushed to TEM 25 for 4 yards. Tackled by D.Berniard; C.Ramos at TEM 25.Similar
Q2 1:14
4TH & 4
OWN 25
+50
81.7%
M.Morgan punts 50 yards to NAV 25, Center-TEM. Downed by TEM.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 13END OF HALF
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:3782% → 82%
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
81.5%
X.Arline rushed to NAV 30 for 5 yards. Tackled by J.Hollins at NAV 30.Similar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-2
81.8%
X.Arline rushed to NAV 28 for -2 yards. Tackled by L.Jordan at NAV 28.Similar
Q2 0:35
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+9
80.8%
M.Haywood rushed to NAV 37 for 9 yards. Tackled by K.Wilson at NAV 37.Similar
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
81.9%
D.Fofana rushed to NAV 39 for 2 yards. Tackled by B.Scott; K.Wilson at NAV 39.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:2882% → 82%
Q3 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
81.8%
X.Arline steps back to pass. X.Arline pass incomplete intended for V.Terrell.Similar
Q3 13:44
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
81.7%
M.Haywood rushed to NAV 32 for 7 yards. Tackled by E.Deravil; A.Odom at NAV 32.Similar
Q3 12:52
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
82.2%
D.Fofana rushed to NAV 34 for 2 yards. Tackled by D.Woodbury; X.Gill at NAV 34.Similar
Q3 12:21
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+48
81.6%
R.Riethman punts 48 yards to TEM 18, Center-NAV. Fair catch by J.Barbon.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 15DOWNS
10 plays · 38 yds · 4:4118% → 17%
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
82.0%
E.Saydee rushed to TEM 18 for 0 yards. Tackled by W.Harbour; C.Cromwell at TEM 18.Similar
Q3 11:45
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+12
82.3%
E.Warner pass complete to TEM 18. Catch made by E.Saydee at TEM 18. Gain of 12 yards. Tackled by C.Ramos; J.Marshall at TEM 30.Similar
Q3 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-9
81.9%
E.Warner steps back to pass. E.Warner sacked at TEM 21 for -9 yards (J.Marshall) PENALTY on TEM-E.Warner, Intentional Grounding, 0 yards, accepted.Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 19
OWN 21
+6
82.5%
E.Warner pass complete to TEM 21. Catch made by E.Saydee at TEM 21. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by M.Williams; J.Sanders at TEM 27.Similar
Q3 10:35
3RD & 13
OWN 27
+12
83.3%
E.Warner pass complete to TEM 27. Catch made by Z.Baines at TEM 27. Gain of 12 yards. Tackled by M.Williams; J.Sanders at TEM 39.Similar
Q3 9:51
4TH & 1
OWN 39
+12
82.8%
E.Warner pass complete to TEM 39. Catch made by D.Martin-Robinson at TEM 39. Gain of 12 yards. Tackled by W.Harbour; M.Williams at NAV 49.Similar
Q3 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-7
80.9%
E.Saydee rushed to TEM 44 for -7 yards. Tackled by J.Marshall; C.Ramos at TEM 44.Similar
Q3 9:01
2ND & 17
OWN 44
+4
82.6%
E.Warner pass complete to TEM 44. Catch made by D.Martin-Robinson at TEM 44. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by R.Lane; J.Marshall at TEM 48.Similar
Q3 8:25
3RD & 13
OWN 48
+8
83.1%
E.Warner pass complete to TEM 48. Catch made by A.Anderson at TEM 48. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by M.Moore; J.Woodson-Brooks at NAV 44.Similar
Q3 7:39
4TH & 5
OPP 44
0
82.6%
E.Warner steps back to pass. E.Warner pass incomplete intended for J.Della Pesca.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 16TD
13 plays · 56 yds · 6:3985% → 87%
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
84.6%
X.Arline rushed to NAV 50 for 6 yards. Tackled by Y.Rigby at NAV 50.Similar
Q3 7:04
2ND & 4
OPP 0
+2
85.7%
D.Fofana rushed to TEM 48 for 2 yards. Tackled by Y.Rigby; J.Magee at TEM 48.Similar
Q3 6:25
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+1
84.9%
X.Arline rushed to TEM 47 for 1 yards. Tackled by Y.Rigby; A.Odom at TEM 47.Similar
Q3 5:41
4TH & 1
OPP 47
+2
84.2%
A.Hall rushed to TEM 45 for 2 yards. Tackled by J.Magee; D.Woodbury at TEM 45.Similar
Q3 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
85.9%
A.Hall rushed to TEM 41 for 4 yards. Tackled by J.Mahone; D.Woodbury at TEM 41.Similar
Q3 4:32
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+6
86.4%
V.Terrell rushed to TEM 35 for 6 yards. Pushed out of bounds by J.McMurray at TEM 35.Similar
Q3 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
86.6%
M.Haywood rushed to TEM 29 for 6 yards. Tackled by E.Clark at TEM 29.Similar
Q3 3:12
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+3
86.7%
A.Hall rushed to TEM 26 for 3 yards. Tackled by J.Magee at TEM 26.Similar
Q3 2:32
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+1
86.1%
X.Arline rushed to TEM 25 for 1 yards. Tackled by Y.Rigby at TEM 25.Similar
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
87.2%
A.Hall rushed to TEM 24 for 1 yards. Tackled by D.Morris at TEM 24.Similar
Q3 1:24
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+8
87.3%
M.Haywood rushed to TEM 16 for 8 yards. Pushed out of bounds by E.Deravil at TEM 16.Similar
Q3 0:56
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+16
87.1%
A.Hall rushed to TEM End Zone for 16 yards. A.Hall for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:4915% → 12%
Q3 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
85.1%
E.Warner steps back to pass. E.Warner pass incomplete intended for Z.Baines (J.Marshall).Similar
Q3 0:39
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+5
85.2%
E.Saydee rushed to TEM 29 for 5 yards. Tackled by M.Moore; E.Larry at TEM 29.Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 29
0
86.5%
E.Warner steps back to pass. E.Warner pass incomplete intended for Z.Baines.Similar
Q4 14:56
4TH & 5
OWN 29
+42
87.9%
M.Morgan punts 42 yards to NAV 29, Center-TEM. A.Hassan returned punt from the NAV 29. Pushed out of bounds by D.Hill at NAV 40.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 2:2988% → 87%
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
87.9%
X.Arline steps back to pass. X.Arline sacked at NAV 40 for 0 yards (J.Hollins)Similar
Q4 14:11
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+5
87.3%
X.Arline rushed to NAV 45 for 5 yards. Tackled by J.Hollins; L.Jordan at NAV 45.Similar
Q4 13:27
3RD & 5
OWN 45
0
87.3%
A.Hall rushed to NAV 45 for 0 yards. Tackled by J.Magee at NAV 45.Similar
Q4 12:37
4TH & 5
OWN 45
0
87.0%
PENALTY on NAV-X.Arline, Delay of Game, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 12:17
4TH & 10
OWN 40
+30
86.6%
R.Riethman punts 30 yards to TEM 30, Center-NAV. Out of bounds.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 19TD
7 plays · 70 yds · 2:2014% → 32%
Q4 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
86.2%
E.Saydee rushed to TEM 38 for 8 yards. Tackled by N.Straw at TEM 38.Similar
Q4 11:38
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+35
85.0%
E.Warner pass complete to TEM 38. Catch made by Z.Baines at TEM 38. Gain of 35 yards. Tackled by W.Harbour; J.Reed at NAV 27.Similar
Q4 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+13
82.7%
E.Warner pass complete to NAV 27. Catch made by E.Saydee at NAV 27. Gain of 13 yards. Pushed out of bounds by E.Larry; D.Berniard at NAV 14.Similar
Q4 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
82.7%
E.Warner pass complete to NAV 14. Catch made by E.Saydee at NAV 14. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by C.Ramos; W.Harbour at NAV 7.Similar
Q4 10:35
2ND & 3
OPP 7
-13
84.8%
A.Anderson rushed to NAV 20 for -13 yards. Tackled by C.Ramos; E.Gibbons at NAV 20.Similar
Q4 9:47
3RD & 16
OPP 20
+20
68.2%
E.Warner pass complete to NAV 20. Catch made by A.Anderson at NAV 20. Gain of 20 yards. A.Anderson for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the fumble and the play was upheld.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:5475% → 73%
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
74.5%
V.Terrell rushed to NAV 21 for -4 yards. Tackled by J.Satchell at NAV 21.Similar
Q4 9:05
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+1
73.8%
X.Arline rushed to NAV 22 for 1 yards. Tackled by J.Magee at NAV 22.Similar
Q4 8:27
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+9
72.1%
X.Arline rushed to NAV 31 for 9 yards. Tackled by J.Magee; B.Scott at NAV 31.Similar
Q4 7:51
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+45
72.5%
R.Riethman punts 45 yards to TEM 24, Center-NAV. Downed by R.Lane.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 21DOWNS
9 plays · 20 yds · 2:5780% → 86%
Q4 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 0
+1
80.0%
D.Fofana rushed to TEM 49 for 1 yards. Tackled by D.Varner at TEM 49.Similar
Q4 4:52
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+7
79.5%
X.Arline rushed to TEM 42 for 7 yards. Tackled by J.McMurray at TEM 42.Similar
Q4 4:11
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+3
82.9%
A.Hall rushed to TEM 39 for 3 yards. Tackled by J.Magee; J.Mahone at TEM 39.Similar
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
83.7%
X.Arline rushed to TEM 39 for 0 yards. Tackled by D.Varner at TEM 39.Similar
Q4 3:24
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+9
84.1%
V.Terrell rushed to TEM 30 for 9 yards. Tackled by Y.Rigby at TEM 30.Similar
Q4 2:42
3RD & 1
OPP 30
-1
87.5%
A.Hall rushed to TEM 31 for -1 yards. Tackled by D.Woodbury; J.Mahone at TEM 31.Similar
Q4 2:35
4TH & 2
OPP 31
+1
85.9%
D.Fofana rushed to TEM 30 for 1 yards. Tackled by Y.Rigby at TEM 30.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 22FG
10 plays · 66 yds · 1:2027% → 53%
Q4 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+14
73.2%
E.Warner pass complete to TEM 30. Catch made by J.Barbon at TEM 30. Gain of 14 yards. Tackled by NAV at TEM 44.Similar
Q4 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+11
70.3%
E.Warner pass complete to TEM 44. Catch made by J.Smith at TEM 44. Gain of 11 yards. Tackled by NAV at NAV 45.Similar
Q4 2:04
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
68.5%
E.Warner steps back to pass. E.Warner pass incomplete intended for E.Saydee (D.Peele).Similar
Q4 2:02
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
68.9%
E.Warner steps back to pass. E.Warner pass incomplete intended for J.Smith.Similar
Q4 1:56
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+40
72.7%
E.Warner pass complete to NAV 45. Catch made by A.Anderson at NAV 45. Gain of 40 yards. Tackled by J.Marshall; J.Hutson at NAV 5.Similar
Q4 1:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
64.8%
E.Saydee rushed to NAV 4 for 1 yards. Tackled by J.Busic; E.Gibbons at NAV 4.Similar
Q4 1:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
65.6%
E.Warner steps back to pass. E.Warner pass incomplete intended for J.Smith.Similar
Q4 1:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
67.9%
E.Warner steps back to pass. E.Warner pass incomplete intended for E.Saydee.Similar
Q4 1:11
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
46.8%
C.Price 22 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-TEM, Holder-TEM.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 23END OF HALF
5 plays · 13 yds · 0:5058% → 57%
Q4 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
58.0%
V.Terrell rushed to NAV 28 for 3 yards. Pushed out of bounds by Y.Rigby; J.Magee at NAV 28.Similar
Q4 0:58
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
58.7%
D.Fofana rushed to NAV 32 for 4 yards. Tackled by Y.Rigby; J.Magee at NAV 32.Similar
Q4 0:13
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+6
57.3%
D.Fofana rushed to NAV 38 for 6 yards. Tackled by J.Mahone; M.McCargo at NAV 38.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 24TD
2 plays · 25 yds · 0:0068% → 93%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
67.5%
V.Terrell rushed to TEM 23 for 2 yards. Tackled by TEM at TEM 23.Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+23
92.6%
X.Arline rushed to TEM End Zone for 23 yards. X.Arline for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane and the play was upheld.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 25INT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:0014% → 8%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
85.6%
E.Warner pass complete to NAV 25. Catch made by Z.Baines at NAV 25. Gain of 9 yards. Tackled by J.Marshall; N.Straw at NAV 16.Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 1
OPP 16
+4
85.6%
E.Saydee rushed to NAV 12 for 4 yards. Tackled by J.Marshall at NAV 12.Similar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
85.6%
E.Warner steps back to pass. E.Warner pass incomplete intended for J.Barbon (J.Marshall).Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 12
-1
85.6%
E.Warner pass complete to NAV 12. Catch made by J.Barbon at NAV 12. Gain of -1 yards. Tackled by J.Marshall at NAV 13.Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 11
OPP 13
0
88.9%
E.Warner steps back to pass. E.Warner pass incomplete intended for A.Anderson (D.Peele).Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 11
OPP 13
0
91.9%
E.Warner pass INTERCEPTED at NAV End Zone. Intercepted by D.Peele at NAV End Zone. Tackled by TEM at NAV End Zone. Touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · OT 0:00
X.Arline rushed to TEM End Zone for 23 yards. X.Arline for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane and the play was upheld.
+25.1
FG · Q4 1:11
C.Price 22 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-TEM, Holder-TEM.
-21.1
TD · Q4 9:47
E.Warner pass complete to NAV 20. Catch made by A.Anderson at NAV 20. Gain of 20 yards. A.Anderson for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the fumble and the play was upheld.
-16.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com