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MEM

Memphis 28 at Tulane 38

TULN
2022 · Week 8 · Oct 22, 2022 · Yulman Stadium
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Win probability · TULN
modelTULN aheadMEM aheadconfidence bandkey playTULN scoreMEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 8:09 · Joe Doyle punt for 59 yds , Jha'Quan Jackson returns for 90 yds for a TD, (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+31.5+15.80−15.8−31.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 15Home team on offense+2.3Score differential+0.8Pregame prior+18.1Garbage-time factor+0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.8Blowout margin+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:02: Tyjae Spears run for 3 yds for a TD, (Valentino Ambrosio KICK) — TULN win probability +4.5 pts (now 82%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:49: Shaadie Clayton-Johnson 4 Yd Run (Valentino Ambrosio Kick) — TULN win probability +8.4 pts (now 96%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:05: Seth Henigan pass complete to Eddie Lewis for 33 yds for a TD, (Chris Howard KICK) — MEM win probability +3.0 pts (now 4%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:02: Brandon Thomas run for 2 yds for a TD, (Chris Howard KICK) — MEM win probability +8.6 pts (now 11%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:23: Seth Henigan pass complete to Eddie Lewis for 55 yds for a TD, (Chris Howard KICK) — MEM win probability +5.6 pts (now 9%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TULN made the numbers' call on 4 of 8MEM made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 8:09MEM 4th & 4 at MEM 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.3%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:54TULN 4th & 3 at midfield, up 14
    Close callPunted · 76.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.9%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:19MEM 4th & 10 at MEM 25, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.3%−0.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:00TULN 4th & 13 at TULN 29, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.9%−1.0
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:03MEM 4th & 1 at MEM 28, down 21
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 15.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.0%−1.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:05TULN 4th & 2 at TULN 40, up 21
    Close callPunted · 86.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.4%−0.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:35MEM 4th & 10 at MEM 26, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.4%−0.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:28TULN 4th & 3 at MEM 34, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.4%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    97.1%−0.3
    47% to make
    Punt
    96.7%−0.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:43TULN 4th & 6 at TULN 28, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:43MEM 4th & 5 at MEM 37, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:15TULN 4th & 1 at TULN 34, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    97.0%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:40TULN 4th & 1 at MEM 8, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsKicked a field goal · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.4%−1.5
    90% to make
    Punt
    90.7%−5.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:34MEM 4th & 1 at MEM 26, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.9%−0.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:34MEM 4th & 1 at MEM 36, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.0%−0.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:33TULN 4th & 10 at MEM 31, up 10
    Close callPunted · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.4%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    93.6%
    54% to make
    PuntTheir call
    93.0%−0.7
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:17MEM 4th & 1 at TULN 7, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    5.0%−2.0
    91% to make
    Punt
    3.9%−3.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TULN made the numbers' call on 4 of 4MEM made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 9:39TULN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:02TULN Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:49TULN Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:25TULN Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:48MEM Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:05MEM Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 14:02MEM Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 4:23MEM Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.9%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TULNDrive 1TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 5:2170% → 72%
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+16
70.4%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyrick James for 16 yds to the Tulan 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
70.4%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+3
70.4%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Dea Dea McDougle for 3 yds to the Tulan 41Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+10
70.4%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Lawrence Keys III for 10 yds to the Memph 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
70.4%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Lawrence Keys III for 4 yds to the Memph 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+1
70.4%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Lawrence Keys III for 1 yd to the Memph 44Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+7
70.4%
Michael Pratt run for 7 yds to the Memph 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
70.4%
Michael Pratt run for 1 yd to the Memph 36Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+30
70.4%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Shae Wyatt for 30 yds to the Memph 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
70.4%
Tyjae Spears run for 2 yds to the Tulan 22Similar
Q1 9:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
71.9%
Michael Pratt run for 6 yds for a TD, (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 2PUNT RETURN TD
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:3029% → 26%
Q1 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
71.1%
Seth Henigan run for 4 yds to the Memph 29Similar
Q1 9:39
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
71.0%
Brandon Thomas run for 2 yds to the Memph 31Similar
Q1 9:39
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
71.2%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:09
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+90
73.7%
Joe Doyle punt for 59 yds , Jha'Quan Jackson returns for 90 yds for a TD, (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 3FUMBLE
5 plays · 54 yds · 1:5226% → 26%
Q1 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+21
73.7%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Javon Ivory for 21 yds to the Memph 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
73.6%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Javon Ivory for 11 yds to the Memph 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
73.4%
Sutton Smith run for 7 yds to the Tulan 47Similar
Q1 8:04
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+8
73.1%
Seth Henigan run for 8 yds to the Tulan 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
73.9%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Koby Drake for 7 yds Koby Drake fumbled, recovered by Tulan Tylo PhillipsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 3:1875% → 77%
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
75.4%
Tyjae Spears run for 4 yds to the Tulan 36Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+7
75.5%
Lawrence Keys III run for 7 yds to the Tulan 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
75.8%
Michael Pratt run for 1 yd to the Tulan 44Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+6
75.7%
Tyjae Spears run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 6:12
3RD & 3
50
0
75.5%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Shaadie Clayton-Johnson for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 2:54
4TH & 3
50
0
76.7%
Casey Glover punt for 38 yds , returns for no gain to the Memph 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 5TD
3 plays · 12 yds · 0:5278% → 82%
Q1 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
77.5%
Tyjae Spears run for 5 yds to the Memph 7Similar
Q1 2:54
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+4
77.5%
Michael Pratt run for 4 yds to the Memph 3Similar
Q1 2:02
3RD & 1
OPP 3
+3
82.0%
Tyjae Spears run for 3 yds for a TD, (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:4318% → 17%
Q1 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
82.2%
Brandon Thomas run for no gain to the Memph 25Similar
Q1 2:02
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
82.3%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:02
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
82.4%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:19
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
83.0%
Joe Doyle punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jha'Quan Jackson at the Tulan 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:1982% → 82%
Q1 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
81.9%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:19
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+2
81.8%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 2 yds to the Tulan 34Similar
Q1 1:19
3RD & 8
OWN 34
-5
81.6%
Michael Pratt sacked by Cormontae Hamilton for a loss of 5 yards to the Tulan 29Similar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 13
OWN 29
0
82.0%
Casey Glover punt for 52 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:5716% → 15%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
83.9%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Caden Prieskorn for 4 yds to the Memph 23Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+3
83.9%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Sutton Smith for 3 yds to the Memph 26Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 26
+2
83.8%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 2 yds to the Memph 28Similar
Q2 13:03
4TH & 1
OWN 28
0
85.3%
Joe Doyle punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jha'Quan Jackson at the Tulan 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:5886% → 86%
Q2 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
85.7%
Tyjae Spears run for 4 yds to the Tulan 36Similar
Q2 13:03
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+1
85.7%
Tyjae Spears run for 1 yd to the Tulan 37Similar
Q2 13:03
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+3
85.5%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Dea Dea McDougle for 3 yds to the Tulan 40Similar
Q2 11:05
4TH & 2
OWN 40
0
86.4%
Casey Glover punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Eddie Lewis at the Memph 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:3013% → 13%
Q2 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
86.9%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:05
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
87.0%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:05
3RD & 10
OWN 26
0
87.1%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:35
4TH & 10
OWN 26
+43
87.5%
Joe Doyle punt for 43 yds , Jha'Quan Jackson returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 11TD
11 plays · 70 yds · 4:4687% → 96%
Q2 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
87.2%
Michael Pratt run for 4 yds to the Tulan 34Similar
Q2 10:35
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+3
87.2%
Tyjae Spears run for 3 yds to the Tulan 37Similar
Q2 10:35
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+8
87.1%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 8 yds to the Tulan 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
87.6%
Michael Pratt run for 1 yd to the Tulan 46Similar
Q2 10:35
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+25
87.6%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Dea Dea McDougle for 25 yds to the Memph 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+14
87.7%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 14 yds to the Memph 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-5
87.6%
TULANE Penalty, Illegal Substitution (TEAM) to the Memph 20Similar
Q2 10:35
1ST & 15
OPP 20
+8
87.6%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Duece Watts for 8 yds to the Memph 12Similar
Q2 10:35
2ND & 7
OPP 12
0
87.6%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:35
3RD & 7
OPP 12
+8
87.4%
Jha'Quan Jackson run for 8 yds to the Memph 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
95.8%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson 4 Yd Run (Valentino Ambrosio Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 12INT
6 plays · 22 yds · 2:024% → 3%
Q2 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
96.2%
Sutton Smith run for 6 yds to the Memph 35Similar
Q2 5:44
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+2
95.9%
Seth Henigan run for 2 yds to the Memph 37Similar
Q2 5:44
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+7
95.9%
Sutton Smith run for 7 yds to the Memph 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
96.1%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:44
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+7
96.1%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Javon Ivory for 7 yds to the Tulan 49Similar
Q2 3:42
3RD & 3
OPP 49
0
96.7%
Seth Henigan pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 13TD
13 plays · 53 yds · 3:1797% → 98%
Q2 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
96.6%
Tyjae Spears run for 6 yds to the Memph 47Similar
Q2 3:42
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+6
96.6%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Dea Dea McDougle for 6 yds to the Memph 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-5
96.7%
TULANE Penalty, False Start (Dea Dea McDougle) to the Memph 46Similar
Q2 3:42
1ST & 15
OPP 46
0
96.6%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:14
2ND & 15
OPP 46
+8
97.3%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyjae Spears for 8 yds to the Memph 38Similar
Q2 1:28
3RD & 7
OPP 38
+4
97.7%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 4 yds to the Memph 34Similar
Q2 1:28
4TH & 3
OPP 34
+4
97.7%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Shaadie Clayton-Johnson for 4 yds to the Memph 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
97.8%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:28
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+19
97.8%
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson run for 19 yds to the Memph 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
97.8%
Tyjae Spears run for 5 yds to the Memph 6Similar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 5
OPP 6
+6
98.2%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Duece Watts for 6 yds for a TD, (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · -7 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
98.5%
Seth Henigan sacked by Keith Cooper Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the Memph 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 15TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 6:122% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.4%
Jevyon Ducker run for 5 yds to the Memph 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+9
98.3%
Seth Henigan run for 9 yds to the Memph 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
98.3%
Seth Henigan run for 8 yds to the Memph 47Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+5
98.2%
Seth Henigan run for 5 yds to the Tulan 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+20
98.3%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Cameron Wright for 20 yds to the Tulan 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
98.1%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 6 yds to the Tulan 22Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+3
98.0%
Jevyon Ducker run for 3 yds to the Tulan 19Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 19
+1
98.1%
Jevyon Ducker run for 1 yd to the Tulan 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
98.1%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Javon Ivory for 4 yds to the Tulan 14Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+7
98.0%
Sutton Smith run for 7 yds to the Tulan 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
98.2%
Seth Henigan run for 3 yds to the Tulan 4Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-3
98.0%
Seth Henigan sacked by Dorian Williams for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulan 7Similar
Q3 8:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.1%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Koby Drake for 7 yds for a TD, (Chris Howard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:0199% → 99%
Q3 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
99.1%
Tyjae Spears run for 4 yds to the Tulan 28Similar
Q3 8:44
2ND & 6
OWN 28
0
99.1%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:44
3RD & 6
OWN 28
0
99.1%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:43
4TH & 6
OWN 28
0
99.3%
Casey Glover punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Eddie Lewis at the Memph 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 17TD
9 plays · 68 yds · 3:381% → 4%
Q3 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
99.2%
Sutton Smith run for 3 yds to the Memph 35Similar
Q3 7:43
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+2
99.2%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Javon Ivory for 2 yds to the Memph 37Similar
Q3 7:43
3RD & 5
OWN 37
0
99.2%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:43
4TH & 5
OWN 37
+6
99.2%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Eddie Lewis for 6 yds to the Memph 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
99.2%
HENIGAN, Seth pass to the left incomplete thrown to the TLN48; QB hurried by ANDERSON, Angelo. PENALTY TLN Personal Foul on ANDERSON, Angelo enforced 15 yards from the MEM43 to the TLN42 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
99.2%
Jevyon Ducker run for 2 yds to the Tulan 40Similar
Q3 7:43
2ND & 8
OPP 40
-2
99.2%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Sutton Smith for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-2
99.1%
Sutton Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 33Similar
Q3 4:05
2ND & 12
OPP 33
+33
96.2%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Eddie Lewis for 33 yds for a TD, (Chris Howard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 18DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:5096% → 97%
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
95.6%
Tyjae Spears run for 9 yds to the Tulan 34Similar
Q3 4:05
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-1
95.8%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Lawrence Keys III for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 33Similar
Q3 4:05
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
95.7%
Tyjae Spears run for 1 yd to the Tulan 34Similar
Q3 2:15
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
97.1%
Michael Pratt run for no gain to the Tulan 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 19TD
8 plays · 34 yds · 3:133% → 11%
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
96.7%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Brandon Thomas for 9 yds to the Tulan 25Similar
Q3 2:15
2ND & 1
OPP 25
0
96.6%
Brandon Thomas run for no gain to the Tulan 25Similar
Q3 2:15
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+4
96.8%
Brandon Thomas run for 4 yds to the Tulan 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+7
96.6%
Jevyon Ducker run for 7 yds to the Tulan 14Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 14
0
97.4%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Joseph Scates for no gain to the Tulan 14Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 14
+8
97.6%
Seth Henigan run for 8 yds to the Tulan 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
97.4%
Brandon Thomas run for 4 yds to the Tulan 2Similar
Q4 14:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
88.9%
Brandon Thomas run for 2 yds for a TD, (Chris Howard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 20FG
13 plays · 67 yds · 6:2294% → 97%
Q4 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.6%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:02
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+22
93.6%
Tyjae Spears run for 22 yds to the Tulan 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
94.2%
Tyjae Spears run for 8 yds to the Memph 45Similar
Q4 14:02
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+4
94.2%
Tyjae Spears run for 4 yds to the Memph 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:02
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
94.2%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Dea Dea McDougle for no gain to the Memph 41Similar
Q4 14:02
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+3
94.2%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Duece Watts for 3 yds to the Memph 38Similar
Q4 14:02
3RD & 7
OPP 38
+10
94.0%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyrick James for 10 yds to the Memph 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:02
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
94.2%
Tyjae Spears run for 8 yds to the Memph 20Similar
Q4 14:02
2ND & 2
OPP 20
+3
94.2%
Tyjae Spears run for 3 yds to the Memph 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:02
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
94.2%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:02
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+6
94.2%
Tyjae Spears run for 6 yds to the Memph 11Similar
Q4 14:02
3RD & 4
OPP 11
+3
94.1%
Tyjae Spears run for 3 yds to the Memph 8Similar
Q4 7:40
4TH & 1
OPP 8
+25
96.9%
Valentino Ambrosio 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 21TD
10 plays · 83 yds · 3:113% → 9%
Q4 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
96.7%
Jevyon Ducker run for 2 yds to the Memph 19Similar
Q4 7:34
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+7
96.7%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Jevyon Ducker for 7 yds to the Memph 26Similar
Q4 7:34
3RD & 1
OWN 26
0
96.5%
Jevyon Ducker run for no gain to the Memph 26Similar
Q4 7:34
4TH & 1
OWN 26
+1
96.7%
Jevyon Ducker run for 1 yd to the Memph 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
96.6%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:34
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
96.7%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:34
3RD & 10
OWN 27
+9
96.8%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Caden Prieskorn for 9 yds to the Memph 36Similar
Q4 7:34
4TH & 1
OWN 36
+4
96.6%
Seth Henigan run for 4 yds to the Memph 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
96.4%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Cameron Wright for 5 yds to the Memph 45Similar
Q4 4:23
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+55
90.9%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Eddie Lewis for 55 yds for a TD, (Chris Howard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 22PUNT
10 plays · 17 yds · 1:4494% → 96%
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
93.9%
Tyjae Spears run for 5 yds to the Memph 43Similar
Q4 4:17
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+12
94.1%
Tyjae Spears run for 12 yds to the Memph 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
95.6%
Tyjae Spears run for no gain to the Memph 31Similar
Q4 3:28
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+1
95.6%
Tyjae Spears run for 1 yd to the Memph 30Similar
Q4 2:42
3RD & 9
OPP 30
-1
96.3%
Dea Dea McDougle run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 31Similar
Q4 2:33
4TH & 10
OPP 31
0
95.8%
Casey Glover punt for 23 yds, downed at the Memph 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 23INT
12 plays · 86 yds · 2:153% → 5%
Q4 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
97.0%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:33
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+24
97.0%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Sutton Smith for 24 yds to the Memph 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+10
96.5%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Joseph Scates for 10 yds to the Memph 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+21
96.3%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Caden Prieskorn for 21 yds to the Tulan 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
95.9%
Seth Henigan run for no gain to the Tulan 37Similar
Q4 1:17
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+21
95.7%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Caden Prieskorn for 21 yds to the Tulan 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
95.0%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:17
2ND & 10
OPP 16
0
95.0%
Seth Henigan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:17
3RD & 10
OPP 16
+9
95.7%
Seth Henigan pass complete to Jevyon Ducker for 9 yds to the Tulan 7Similar
Q4 1:17
4TH & 1
OPP 7
+1
95.9%
Seth Henigan run for 1 yd to the Tulan 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
95.2%
Seth Henigan pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 24END OF 4TH QUARTER
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
97.3%
[NH] Kneel down by PRATT, Michael at TLN19 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:02
Brandon Thomas run for 2 yds for a TD, (Chris Howard KICK)
-8.6
TD · Q2 5:49
Shaadie Clayton-Johnson 4 Yd Run (Valentino Ambrosio Kick)
+8.4
TD · Q4 4:23
Seth Henigan pass complete to Eddie Lewis for 55 yds for a TD, (Chris Howard KICK)
-5.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com