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TLSA

Tulsa 27 at Temple 16

TEM
2022 · Week 8 · Oct 21, 2022 · Lincoln Financial Field
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Win probability · TEM
modelTEM aheadTLSA aheadconfidence bandkey playTEM scoreTLSA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · E.J. Warner pass intercepted Justin Wright return for 5 yds to the Temp 45
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+41.5+20.80−20.8−41.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:40: Deneric Prince 18 Yd pass from Davis Brin (Zack Long Kick) — TLSA win probability +6.5 pts (now 68%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q2 0:11: Ethan Hall 3 Yd pass from Davis Brin (Zack Long Kick) — TLSA win probability +13.8 pts (now 75%) (top driver: TLSA has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 13:33: Zack Long 24 Yd Field Goal — TLSA win probability +6.3 pts (now 80%) (top driver: TLSA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:51: Deneric Prince 84 Yd Run (Zack Long Kick) — TLSA win probability +16.2 pts (now 94%) (top driver: TLSA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:08: Amad Anderson Jr. 23 Yd pass from E.J. Warner (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — TEM win probability +12.4 pts (now 18%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEM made the numbers' call on 10 of 14TLSA made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 13:14TEM 4th & 7 at TEM 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.8%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:19TEM 4th & 10 at TLSA 16, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 23.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.6%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.8%
    81% to make
    Punt
    23.0%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:30TLSA 4th & 19 at TEM 49, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.6%−0.5
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:55TEM 4th & 3 at TEM 29, up 10
    Close callPunted · 26.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.6%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:42TLSA 4th & 11 at TLSA 15, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.6%−0.5
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.2%
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:27TEM 4th & 2 at TLSA 11, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.3%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    31.4%−0.9
    87% to make
    Punt
    26.6%−5.7
    average punt
  7. Q1 0:21TLSA 4th & 10 at TLSA 11, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.1%−1.0
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 12:58TEM 4th & 9 at TLSA 42, up 10
    Close callPunted · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.7%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    35.0%−0.7
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    35.6%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:49TEM 4th & 12 at TEM 33, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.1%−1.6
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.7%
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:58TLSA 4th & 14 at midfield, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.3%−1.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.7%
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:59TEM 4th & 7 at TEM 44, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.7%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:32TLSA 4th & 5 at TEM 45, up 4
    Close callPunted · 69.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    68.3%−2.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    70.1%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:52TEM 4th & 11 at TLSA 44, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.3%−1.0
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    30.6%−1.7
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    32.3%
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:23TEM 4th & 6 at TLSA 36, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    33.4%−1.2
    42% to make
    Punt
    32.8%−1.9
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:59TEM 4th & 13 at TLSA 31, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.4%−2.1
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.5%
    54% to make
    Punt
    28.6%−1.9
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:33TLSA 4th & 6 at TEM 7, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 71.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.6%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.2%
    91% to make
    Punt
    57.5%−13.8
    average punt
  17. Q4 11:03TEM 4th & 6 at TEM 45, down 7
    Close callPunted · 23.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.8%−0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 9:33TEM 4th & 14 at TEM 20, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.5%−0.7
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.2%
    average punt
  19. Q4 7:56TLSA 4th & 7 at TLSA 46, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.1%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.4%
    average punt
  20. Q4 6:33TEM 4th & 8 at TLSA 40, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.8%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    5.9%
    34% to make
    Punt
    5.3%−0.6
    average punt
  21. Q4 2:58TLSA 4th & 15 at TLSA 34, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.1%−2.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.3%
    average punt
  22. Q4 2:41TEM 4th & 10 at TEM 25, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.8%
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.6%−0.2
    average punt
  23. Q4 0:19TLSA 4th & 6 at TEM 21, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.9%−1.2
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.0%
    74% to make
    Punt
    91.5%−3.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEM made the numbers' call on 1 of 2TLSA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 12:39TEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:40TLSA Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:11TLSA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 10:51TLSA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.4%−0.6
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 6:08TEM Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Numbers favored kick by 1.0 ptsWent for two · failed
    Kick
    13.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    12.6%−1.0
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEMDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:3220% → 21%
Q1 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
20.4%
Warner, E.J. pass complete to Sanders, Adonicas for 18 yards to the TEMPLE38, PENALTY TEMPLE illegal touching (Sanders, Adonicas) 0 yards to the TEMPLE20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:33
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+3
20.5%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Edward Saydee for 3 yds to the Temp 23Similar
Q1 13:57
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
20.7%
E.J. Warner run for no gain to the Temp 23 E.J. Warner fumbled, forced by Jayden Simon, recovered by Temp Jose BarbonSimilar
Q1 13:14
4TH & 7
OWN 23
+47
21.0%
Mackenzie Morgan punt for 47 yds , Keylon Stokes returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulsa 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 2INT TD
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:3179% → 78%
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
21.1%
Deneric Prince run for 6 yds to the Tulsa 35Similar
Q1 12:39
2ND & 4
OWN 35
-35
21.9%
Layton Jordan 35 Yd Interception Return (Camden Price Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 3INT
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:3278% → 78%
Q1 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
22.1%
Steven Anderson run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 25Similar
Q1 11:55
2ND & 5
OWN 25
-4
22.5%
Davis Brin pass intercepted Jalen McMurray return for 4 yds to the Tulsa 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 4FG
5 plays · 19 yds · 1:3023% → 24%
Q1 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+19
23.0%
Zae Baines run for 19 yds to the Tulsa 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-2
23.2%
Edward Saydee run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulsa 18Similar
Q1 10:58
2ND & 12
OPP 18
+2
23.7%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Adonicas Sanders for 2 yds to the Tulsa 16Similar
Q1 10:23
3RD & 10
OPP 16
0
24.1%
E.J. Warner pass incomplete to Edward Saydee, broken up by Bryson PowersSimilar
Q1 10:19
4TH & 10
OPP 16
+32
24.0%
Camden Price 32 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 2:4476% → 74%
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
23.8%
Steven Anderson run for 15 yds to the Tulsa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+20
23.9%
Steven Anderson run for 5 yds to the Temp 45 for a 1ST down TEMPLE Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Yvandy Rigby) to the Temp 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:26
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-2
24.1%
Steven Anderson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 42Similar
Q1 8:52
2ND & 12
OPP 42
-5
24.6%
Davis Brin sacked by Darian Varner for a loss of 5 yards to the Temp 47Similar
Q1 8:09
3RD & 17
OPP 47
-2
25.6%
Davis Brin sacked by Lancine Turay and Darian Varner for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 49Similar
Q1 7:30
4TH & 19
OPP 49
0
26.4%
Lachlan Wilson punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Temp 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:3127% → 27%
Q1 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
26.5%
Edward Saydee run for 7 yds to the Temp 29Similar
Q1 7:11
2ND & 3
OWN 29
0
26.9%
E.J. Warner pass incomplete to Zae BainesSimilar
Q1 7:03
3RD & 3
OWN 29
0
26.6%
E.J. Warner pass incomplete to Jose BarbonSimilar
Q1 6:55
4TH & 3
OWN 29
+55
26.5%
Mackenzie Morgan punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Keylon Stokes at the TEMPLE 26 TULSA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Kenney Solomon II) to the Tulsa 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 2:0673% → 71%
Q1 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
26.7%
Bill Jackson run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 21Similar
Q1 6:17
2ND & 5
OWN 21
+3
27.1%
Bill Jackson run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 24Similar
Q1 5:44
3RD & 2
OWN 24
-5
27.7%
TULSA Penalty, False Start (Dillon Wade) to the Tulsa 19Similar
Q1 5:20
3RD & 7
OWN 19
-4
28.3%
Davis Brin sacked by Layton Jordan for a loss of 4 yards to the Tulsa 15Similar
Q1 4:42
4TH & 11
OWN 15
0
29.2%
Lachlan Wilson punt for 31 yds, downed at the Tulsa 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 8DOWNS
9 plays · 35 yds · 3:0730% → 33%
Q1 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+13
30.4%
Edward Saydee run for 13 yds to the Tulsa 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
31.0%
Edward Saydee run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 31Similar
Q1 3:34
2ND & 8
OPP 31
0
31.6%
E.J. Warner pass incomplete to Zae Baines, broken up by Tyon DavisSimilar
Q1 3:29
3RD & 8
OPP 31
+12
31.7%
Warner, E.J. pass incomplete to Barbon, Jose, PENALTY TULSA pass interference (Solomon II, Kenney) 12 yards to the TULSA19, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEMPLE.Similar
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
32.3%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Edward Saydee for no gain to the Tulsa 19Similar
Q1 2:48
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
32.9%
Darvon Hubbard run for no gain to the Tulsa 19Similar
Q1 2:01
3RD & 10
OPP 19
+8
33.0%
Edward Saydee run for 8 yds to the Tulsa 11Similar
Q1 1:27
4TH & 2
OPP 11
0
33.3%
E.J. Warner pass incomplete to Jose BarbonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:0167% → 65%
Q1 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
33.3%
Jordan Ford run for no gain to the Tulsa 11Similar
Q1 0:50
2ND & 10
OWN 11
0
34.0%
Davis Brin pass incomplete to Keylon StokesSimilar
Q1 0:37
3RD & 10
OWN 11
0
34.6%
Brin, Davis pass complete to Santana, JuanCarlos for 23 yards to the TULSA34, PENALTY TULSA illegal touching (Santana, JuanCarlos) 0 yards to the TULSA11, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TULSA.Similar
Q1 0:21
4TH & 10
OWN 11
0
35.1%
Lachlan Wilson punt for 45 yds , Amad Anderson Jr. returns for no gain to the Temp 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 2:1735% → 37%
Q1 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
35.3%
Edward Saydee run for 4 yds to the Temp 48Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+9
35.7%
Edward Saydee run for 9 yds to the Tulsa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:23
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
36.4%
E.J. Warner pass incomplete to Zae BainesSimilar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 10
OPP 43
-3
36.4%
Zae Baines run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulsa 46Similar
Q2 13:37
3RD & 13
OPP 46
+4
36.3%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Darvon Hubbard for 4 yds to the Tulsa 42Similar
Q2 12:58
4TH & 9
OPP 42
0
36.5%
Mackenzie Morgan punt for 36 yds, downed at the Tulsa 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 11TD
9 plays · 94 yds · 3:1062% → 68%
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+8
38.2%
Deneric Prince run for 8 yds to the Tulsa 14Similar
Q2 12:24
2ND & 2
OWN 14
+12
38.0%
Davis Brin pass complete to JuanCarlos Santana for 12 yds to the Tulsa 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
38.3%
Davis Brin pass complete to JuanCarlos Santana for 3 yds to the Tulsa 29Similar
Q2 11:37
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+14
38.1%
Deneric Prince run for 14 yds to the Tulsa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+16
37.9%
Davis Brin pass complete to Keylon Stokes for 16 yds to the Temp 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+16
38.2%
Deneric Prince run for 16 yds to the Temp 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
37.9%
Davis Brin pass incomplete to JuanCarlos SantanaSimilar
Q2 10:13
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+7
38.2%
Steven Anderson run for 7 yds to the Temp 18Similar
Q2 9:40
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+18
31.7%
Deneric Prince 18 Yd pass from Davis Brin (Zack Long Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 12DOWNS
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:4634% → 33%
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
34.1%
Edward Saydee run for 8 yds to the Temp 43Similar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 2
OWN 43
-10
35.8%
Warner, E.J. rush for loss of 5 yards to the TEMPLE38, PENALTY TEMPLE holding (Moore, Isaac) 10 yards to the TEMPLE33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:03
2ND & 12
OWN 33
0
34.1%
E.J. Warner pass incomplete to David Martin-RobinsonSimilar
Q2 8:55
3RD & 12
OWN 33
0
33.7%
E.J. Warner pass incomplete to Jose Barbon, broken up by Kenney Solomon IISimilar
Q2 8:49
4TH & 12
OWN 33
0
33.2%
Mackenzie Morgan punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Keylon Stokes at the Tulsa 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 24 yds · 2:4366% → 63%
Q2 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+28
34.4%
Deneric Prince run for 28 yds to the Temp 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-2
33.0%
Davis Brin sacked by Layton Jordan for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 48 Davis Brin fumbled, forced by Layton Jordan, recovered by Tulsa Dillon Wade , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 7:21
2ND & 12
OPP 48
+5
34.2%
Davis Brin pass complete to Isaiah Epps for 5 yds to the Temp 43Similar
Q2 6:43
3RD & 7
OPP 43
-7
34.2%
Davis Brin sacked by Darian Varner for a loss of 7 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 5:58
4TH & 14
50
0
37.4%
Lachlan Wilson punt for 38 yds, downed at the Temp 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 14PUNT
10 plays · 32 yds · 3:5438% → 40%
Q2 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
37.5%
Edward Saydee run for 3 yds to the Temp 15Similar
Q2 5:24
2ND & 7
OWN 15
+2
37.7%
Edward Saydee run for 2 yds to the Temp 17Similar
Q2 4:50
3RD & 5
OWN 17
+14
37.4%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Jose Barbon for 14 yds to the Temp 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
39.2%
E.J. Warner pass incomplete to Adonicas Sanders, broken up by Tyon DavisSimilar
Q2 4:11
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+7
39.1%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Jose Barbon for 7 yds to the Temp 38Similar
Q2 3:50
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+3
40.1%
Edward Saydee run for 3 yds to the Temp 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
41.3%
Edward Saydee run for 2 yds to the Temp 43Similar
Q2 2:48
2ND & 8
OWN 43
0
41.7%
E.J. Warner pass incomplete to Jordan SmithSimilar
Q2 2:40
3RD & 8
OWN 43
+1
40.3%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Edward Saydee for 1 yd to the Temp 44Similar
Q2 1:59
4TH & 7
OWN 44
0
39.8%
Mackenzie Morgan punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Keylon Stokes at the Tulsa 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 15TD
14 plays · 86 yds · 1:4060% → 75%
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+10
40.5%
Steven Anderson run for 10 yds to the Tulsa 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-6
40.4%
Davis Brin sacked by Darian Varner for a loss of 6 yards to the Tulsa 18Similar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 16
OWN 18
+7
43.0%
Davis Brin pass complete to Keylon Stokes for 7 yds to the Tulsa 25Similar
Q2 1:23
3RD & 9
OWN 25
+15
43.6%
Brin, Davis pass incomplete to Santana, JuanCarlos, PENALTY TEMPLE pass interference (McMurray, Jalen) 15 yards to the TULSA40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TULSA.Similar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+13
40.5%
Davis Brin pass complete to JuanCarlos Santana for 13 yds to the Temp 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
39.0%
Davis Brin pass complete to Keylon Stokes for 9 yds to the Temp 38Similar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 1
OPP 38
+16
38.6%
Davis Brin pass complete to JuanCarlos Santana for 16 yds to the Temp 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
37.2%
Davis Brin pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+18
37.7%
Davis Brin pass complete to Malachai Jones for 18 yds to the Temp 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
37.3%
Davis Brin run for 1 yd to the Temp 3Similar
Q2 0:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
25.1%
Ethan Hall 3 Yd pass from Davis Brin (Zack Long Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-2
30.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 3:1371% → 70%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
29.1%
Deneric Prince run for 8 yds to the Tulsa 35Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+2
28.4%
Deneric Prince run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
28.8%
Deneric Prince run for 7 yds to the Tulsa 44Similar
Q3 13:16
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+6
28.0%
Deneric Prince run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:48
1ST & 10
50
0
27.8%
Bill Jackson run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 12:21
2ND & 10
50
0
28.0%
Davis Brin pass incomplete to Keylon Stokes, broken up by Alex OdomSimilar
Q3 12:14
3RD & 10
50
+5
29.4%
Davis Brin pass complete to Keylon Stokes for 5 yds to the Temp 45Similar
Q3 11:32
4TH & 5
OPP 45
0
30.2%
Lachlan Wilson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Amad Anderson Jr. at the Temp 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 18PUNT
13 plays · 51 yds · 4:3531% → 32%
Q3 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+4
31.0%
Edward Saydee run for 4 yds to the Temp 9Similar
Q3 11:08
2ND & 6
OWN 9
0
31.0%
Edward Saydee run for no gain to the Temp 9Similar
Q3 10:26
3RD & 6
OWN 9
+7
30.1%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Amad Anderson Jr. for 7 yds to the Temp 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
32.1%
Edward Saydee run for 3 yds to the Temp 19Similar
Q3 9:24
2ND & 7
OWN 19
0
32.2%
E.J. Warner pass incomplete to Zae BainesSimilar
Q3 9:17
3RD & 7
OWN 19
+12
31.0%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Jose Barbon for 12 yds to the Temp 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-5
33.0%
Warner, E.J. pass incomplete to Baines, Zae, PENALTY TEMPLE ineligible downfield on pass (Rodriguez, Richard) 5 yards to the TEMPLE26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:55
1ST & 15
OWN 26
+4
32.5%
Edward Saydee run for 4 yds to the Temp 30Similar
Q3 8:33
2ND & 11
OWN 30
+27
32.5%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Amad Anderson Jr. for 27 yds to the Tulsa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-3
36.9%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Amad Anderson Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulsa 46Similar
Q3 7:38
2ND & 13
OPP 46
+2
33.9%
Edward Saydee run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 44Similar
Q3 7:02
3RD & 11
OPP 44
0
33.4%
E.J. Warner pass incomplete to Jose BarbonSimilar
Q3 6:52
4TH & 11
OPP 44
0
31.5%
Mackenzie Morgan punt for 38 yds, downed at the Tulsa 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 19FUMBLE
3 plays · 49 yds · 1:0669% → 69%
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+1
31.4%
Steven Anderson run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 7Similar
Q3 6:09
2ND & 9
OWN 7
+23
31.9%
Steven Anderson run for 23 yds to the Tulsa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+10
30.7%
Deneric Prince run for 25 yds to the Tulsa 40 Deneric Prince fumbled, forced by Jordan Magee, recovered by Temp Jordan Magee TULSA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Ethan Hall) to the Tulsa 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 20MISSED FG
8 plays · 9 yds · 2:3537% → 31%
Q3 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
37.3%
Edward Saydee run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 38Similar
Q3 5:03
2ND & 8
OPP 38
0
37.5%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:57
3RD & 8
OPP 38
+2
35.8%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Edward Saydee for 2 yds to the Tulsa 36Similar
Q3 4:23
4TH & 6
OPP 36
+8
34.1%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Amad Anderson Jr. for 8 yds to the Tulsa 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
37.3%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:38
2ND & 10
OPP 28
-3
37.3%
Edward Saydee run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulsa 31Similar
Q3 3:03
3RD & 13
OPP 31
0
33.2%
E.J. Warner pass incomplete to Zae Baines, broken up by Tyree CarlisleSimilar
Q3 2:59
4TH & 13
OPP 31
+49
30.5%
Camden Price 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 21FG
10 plays · 62 yds · 4:2171% → 80%
Q3 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
28.6%
Deneric Prince run for 7 yds to the Tulsa 38Similar
Q3 2:24
2ND & 3
OWN 38
0
26.4%
Deneric Prince run for no gain to the Tulsa 38Similar
Q3 1:49
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+11
27.0%
Davis Brin pass complete to Deneric Prince for 11 yds to the Tulsa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+15
26.1%
Davis Brin pass complete to Isaiah Epps for 15 yds to the Temp 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
25.9%
Jordan Ford run for 2 yds to the Temp 34Similar
Q3 0:30
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+23
24.9%
Jordan Ford run for 23 yds to the Temp 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
24.2%
Jordan Ford run for no gain to the Temp 11Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 10
OPP 11
0
24.2%
Jordan Ford run for no gain to the Temp 11Similar
Q4 14:10
3RD & 10
OPP 11
+4
26.2%
Davis Brin pass complete to Malachai Jones for 4 yds to the Temp 7Similar
Q4 13:33
4TH & 6
OPP 7
+24
19.9%
Zack Long 24 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 2:2424% → 23%
Q4 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
24.2%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Jose Barbon for 16 yds to the Temp 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-2
26.9%
Edward Saydee run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 39Similar
Q4 12:35
2ND & 12
OWN 39
+5
25.0%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Jose Barbon for 5 yds to the Temp 44Similar
Q4 11:49
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+1
24.5%
E.J. Warner run for 1 yd to the Temp 45Similar
Q4 11:03
4TH & 6
OWN 45
+5
22.7%
Mackenzie Morgan punt for 44 yds , Keylon Stokes returns for 5 yds to the Tulsa 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 23TD
1 play · 84 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q4 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+84
6.5%
Deneric Prince 84 Yd Run (Zack Long Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 1:089% → 8%
Q4 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
9.2%
E.J. Warner pass incomplete to Zae BainesSimilar
Q4 10:35
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+4
8.2%
E.J. Warner pass complete to David Martin-Robinson for 4 yds to the Temp 28Similar
Q4 10:18
3RD & 6
OWN 28
-3
8.2%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Amad Anderson Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the Temp 25Similar
Q4 9:47
4TH & 9
OWN 25
-5
7.9%
TEMPLE Penalty, False Start (Daiyaan Hawkins) to the Temp 20Similar
Q4 9:33
4TH & 14
OWN 20
0
7.9%
Mackenzie Morgan punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Keylon Stokes at the Tulsa 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:3395% → 95%
Q4 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
5.2%
Deneric Prince run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 45Similar
Q4 8:51
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+1
5.0%
Bill Jackson run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 46Similar
Q4 8:04
3RD & 7
OWN 46
0
5.1%
Davis Brin pass incomplete to Isaiah EppsSimilar
Q4 7:56
4TH & 7
OWN 46
0
5.4%
Lachlan Wilson punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Amad Anderson Jr. at the Temp 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 26TD
9 plays · 88 yds · 1:365% → 18%
Q4 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+36
5.4%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Amad Anderson Jr. for 36 yds to the Temp 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
5.9%
E.J. Warner pass incomplete to Amad Anderson Jr.Similar
Q4 7:22
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+10
5.4%
E.J. Warner pass complete to David Martin-Robinson for 10 yds to the Tulsa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
5.7%
E.J. Warner pass incomplete to Amad Anderson Jr.Similar
Q4 7:03
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
5.7%
E.J. Warner pass incomplete to Zae BainesSimilar
Q4 6:57
3RD & 10
OPP 42
+2
5.5%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Edward Saydee for 2 yds to the Tulsa 40Similar
Q4 6:33
4TH & 8
OPP 40
+17
5.4%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Amad Anderson Jr. for 17 yds to the Tulsa 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
5.8%
E.J. Warner pass incomplete to Jose BarbonSimilar
Q4 6:08
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+23
18.2%
Amad Anderson Jr. 23 Yd pass from E.J. Warner (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 27PUNT
9 plays · 9 yds · 3:0591% → 93%
Q4 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
9.0%
Deneric Prince run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 27Similar
Q4 5:21
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+12
8.8%
Deneric Prince run for 12 yds to the Tulsa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
7.3%
Deneric Prince run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 43Similar
Q4 3:58
2ND & 6
OWN 43
-5
6.8%
Deneric Prince run for a loss of 5 yards to the Tulsa 38Similar
Q4 3:10
3RD & 11
OWN 38
-4
6.4%
Davis Brin sacked by Yvandy Rigby for a loss of 4 yards to the Tulsa 34Similar
Q4 2:58
4TH & 15
OWN 34
0
7.4%
Lachlan Wilson punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Amad Anderson Jr. at the Temp 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 28DOWNS
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:128% → 5%
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
7.8%
E.J. Warner pass incomplete to Zae BainesSimilar
Q4 2:48
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
7.6%
E.J. Warner pass incomplete to Jose BarbonSimilar
Q4 2:45
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
6.2%
E.J. Warner pass incomplete to Amad Anderson Jr.Similar
Q4 2:41
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
5.3%
E.J. Warner pass incomplete to Zae BainesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 29FG
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:1696% → 98%
Q4 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-1
4.4%
Deneric Prince run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 26Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 11
OPP 26
-1
3.2%
Keylon Stokes run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 27Similar
Q4 1:03
3RD & 12
OPP 27
+6
3.2%
Deneric Prince run for 6 yds to the Temp 21Similar
Q4 0:19
4TH & 6
OPP 21
+39
2.5%
Zack Long 39 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 30INT
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:073% → 3%
Q4 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
2.8%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Jose Barbon for 2 yds to the Temp 33Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 33
-5
2.8%
E.J. Warner pass intercepted Justin Wright return for 5 yds to the Temp 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:51
Deneric Prince 84 Yd Run (Zack Long Kick)
-16.2
TD · Q2 0:11
Ethan Hall 3 Yd pass from Davis Brin (Zack Long Kick)
-13.8
TD · Q4 6:08
Amad Anderson Jr. 23 Yd pass from E.J. Warner (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
+12.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com