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TULN

Tulane 45 at South Florida 31

USF
2022 · Week 7 · Oct 15, 2022 · Raymond James Stadium
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Win probability · USF
modelUSF aheadTULN aheadconfidence bandkey playUSF scoreTULN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG+8USF 43.7%Spencer Shrader 16 yd FG GOODAWAY 17 - HOME 17 · Q3 4:52
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 4:52 · Spencer Shrader 16 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 110Pregame prior−13.2Home team on offense+2.8Score differential−0.9Garbage-time factor−1.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:03: Michael Pratt pass complete to Duece Watts for 11 yds for a TD, (Valentino Ambrosio KICK) — TULN win probability +10.3 pts (now 74%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 4:41: Tyjae Spears run for 75 yds for a TD, (Valentino Ambrosio KICK) — TULN win probability +22.2 pts (now 79%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:39: Tyjae Spears 6 Yd Run (Valentino Ambrosio Kick) — TULN win probability +15.1 pts (now 91%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:09: Katravis Marsh pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 17 yds for a TD, (Spencer Shrader KICK) — USF win probability +15.5 pts (now 29%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:11: Michael Pratt pass complete to Dea Dea McDougle for 16 yds for a TD, (Valentino Ambrosio KICK) — TULN win probability +11.4 pts (now 93%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USF made the numbers' call on 6 of 7TULN made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 13:58USF 4th & 1 at USF 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 23.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.2%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:54TULN 4th & 10 at USF 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 74.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.2%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.4%
    88% to make
    Punt
    73.6%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:25TULN 4th & 5 at USF 21, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 73.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.6%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.6%
    74% to make
    Punt
    72.8%−0.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:28TULN 4th & 1 at USF 35, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 66.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    66.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    64.7%−1.5
    45% to make
    Punt
    64.3%−1.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:46TULN 4th & 12 at USF 36, down 4
    Close callPunted · 61.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.6%−0.4
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    60.9%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    60.6%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:11USF 4th & 9 at USF 25, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.4%−1.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:34TULN 4th & 1 at USF 9, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    58.9%−1.3
    89% to make
    Punt
    53.6%−6.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:03TULN 4th & 11 at USF 11, down 4
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.1 ptsWent for it · 57.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.1%−1.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    57.2%
    87% to make
    Punt
    50.4%−6.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:37TULN 4th & 4 at USF 20, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 67.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.4%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    67.1%−0.2
    75% to make
    Punt
    60.0%−7.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:47USF 4th & 6 at USF 37, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.6%−0.7
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:19TULN 4th & 14 at TULN 11, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.3%−4.8
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:52USF 4th & 6 at TULN 6, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.2%−0.4
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.6%
    91% to make
    Punt
    25.6%−12.0
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:22USF 4th & 4 at USF 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.2%−0.5
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:49USF 4th & 10 at USF 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.0%−1.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:41USF 4th & 15 at USF 20, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:00TULN 4th & 4 at TULN 34, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USF made the numbers' call on 3 of 4TULN made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 1:59USF Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:07TULN Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:28USF Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:03TULN Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:41TULN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:39TULN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:09USF Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 13:11TULN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.5%−0.3
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 9:08TULN Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 4:06USF Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.8%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USFDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:0217% → 17%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
16.7%
Brian Battie run for 3 yds to the SFla 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
16.7%
Gerry Bohanon run for 6 yds to the SFla 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
16.7%
Gerry Bohanon pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:58
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
17.2%
Colin McCreary punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 2FG
16 plays · 71 yds · 5:0483% → 81%
Q1 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
17.2%
Tyjae Spears run for 5 yds to the Tulan 24Similar
Q1 13:58
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+3
17.2%
Michael Pratt run for 3 yds to the Tulan 27Similar
Q1 13:58
3RD & 2
OWN 27
+7
17.2%
Tyjae Spears run for 7 yds to the Tulan 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+11
17.2%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyrick James for 11 yds to the Tulan 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
17.1%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:58
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+8
17.2%
Tyjae Spears run for 8 yds to the SFla 47Similar
Q1 13:58
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+3
17.1%
Michael Pratt run for 3 yds to the SFla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+10
17.1%
Dea Dea McDougle run for 10 yds to the SFla 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+15
17.1%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 15 yds to the SFla 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
17.1%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:52
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+10
18.8%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Duece Watts for 10 yds to the SFla 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
18.7%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
18.7%
Michael Pratt run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 10Similar
Q1 9:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
18.9%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:54
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+20
19.3%
Valentino Ambrosio 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 3FUMBLE
2 plays · 11 yds · 0:3119% → 19%
Q1 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
19.1%
Gerry Bohanon run for 3 yds to the SFla 28Similar
Q1 8:23
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+8
19.4%
Kelley Joiner Jr. run for 8 yds to the SFla 36 fumbled, recovered by Tulan Jadon CanadySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 4MISSED FG
5 plays · 15 yds · 1:5881% → 80%
Q1 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+10
19.1%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Lawrence Keys III for 10 yds to the SFla 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
18.9%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:23
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+3
19.0%
Tyjae Spears run for 3 yds to the SFla 23Similar
Q1 8:23
3RD & 7
OPP 23
+2
19.2%
Tyjae Spears run for 2 yds to the SFla 21Similar
Q1 6:25
4TH & 5
OPP 21
+31
20.3%
Valentino Ambrosio 31 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 5TD
9 plays · 79 yds · 4:2620% → 26%
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
20.1%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Yusuf Terry for 6 yds to the SFla 27Similar
Q1 6:25
2ND & 4
OWN 27
-1
20.2%
Brian Battie run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 26Similar
Q1 6:25
3RD & 5
OWN 26
+10
19.9%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 10 yds to the SFla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+44
20.4%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Jimmy Horn Jr. for 44 yds to the Tulan 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
21.1%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 6 yds to the Tulan 14Similar
Q1 6:25
2ND & 4
OPP 14
-5
21.1%
BATTIE, Brian rush up the middle for a gain of 3 yards to the TUL11 (CLARK, Macon). PENALTY Before the snap, USF Illegal Shift enforced 5 yards from the TUL14 to the TUL19. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 6:25
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+9
21.1%
Gerry Bohanon run for 9 yds to the Tulan 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
21.1%
Brian Battie run for 2 yds to the Tulan 8Similar
Q1 1:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
25.9%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Jimmy Horn Jr. for 8 yds for a TD, (Spencer Shrader KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 6TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:5275% → 78%
Q1 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
24.6%
PRATT, Michael pass up the middle complete for 18 yards to BAUMAN, Alex caught at the TUL33 and advanced to the TUL43 (EVANS, Daquan). PENALTY Before the snap, TUL Illegal Motion on WATTS, Duece enforced 5 yards from the TUL25 to the TUL20. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 1:59
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+15
24.7%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Matthew Hill) to the Tulan 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+12
23.9%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Dea Dea McDougle for 12 yds to the SFla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
23.5%
Tyjae Spears run for 2 yds to the SFla 47Similar
Q1 1:59
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+7
23.5%
Tyjae Spears run for 7 yds to the SFla 40Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+2
24.6%
Michael Pratt run for 2 yds to the SFla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+29
24.7%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyrick James for 29 yds to the SFla 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
24.1%
Shaadie Clayton run for 4 yds to the SFla 5Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
24.1%
Michael Pratt run for no gain to the SFla 5Similar
Q2 13:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
22.2%
Michael Pratt run for 5 yds for a TD, (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 7TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:3924% → 31%
Q2 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
23.5%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Jimmy Horn Jr. for 10 yds to the SFla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+25
23.7%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Jimmy Horn Jr. for 25 yds to the Tulan 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
25.2%
Michel Dukes run for 7 yds to the Tulan 33Similar
Q2 11:28
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+33
30.7%
Gerry Bohanon run for 33 yds for a TD, (Spencer Shrader KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 8PUNT
10 plays · 39 yds · 4:4271% → 67%
Q2 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+31
28.7%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Shae Wyatt for 31 yds to the SFla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
26.9%
Michael Pratt sacked by Jason Vaughn for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 45Similar
Q2 11:28
2ND & 11
OPP 45
+4
27.2%
Tyjae Spears run for 4 yds to the SFla 41Similar
Q2 11:28
3RD & 7
OPP 41
+6
27.1%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 6 yds to the SFla 35Similar
Q2 11:28
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+1
27.7%
run for 1 yd to the SFla 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-5
26.3%
PRATT, Michael pass up the middle incomplete intended for BAUMAN, Alex thrown to the USF28. PENALTY Before the snap, TUL False Start on BAUMAN, Alex enforced 5 yards from the USF34 to the USF39. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 11:28
1ST & 15
OPP 39
-6
27.3%
Tyjae Spears run for a loss of 6 yards to the SFla 45Similar
Q2 11:28
2ND & 21
OPP 45
+10
27.7%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyrick James for 10 yds to the SFla 35Similar
Q2 11:28
3RD & 11
OPP 35
-1
27.4%
Michael Pratt run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 36Similar
Q2 6:46
4TH & 12
OPP 36
0
32.6%
Casey Glover punt for 26 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:3534% → 34%
Q2 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+8
33.5%
Gerry Bohanon run for 8 yds to the SFla 18Similar
Q2 6:46
2ND & 2
OWN 18
0
33.6%
Katravis Marsh pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:46
3RD & 2
OWN 18
+6
32.5%
Michel Dukes run for 6 yds to the SFla 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
33.6%
Michel Dukes run for 2 yds to the SFla 26Similar
Q2 6:46
2ND & 8
OWN 26
-1
33.6%
Michel Dukes run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 25Similar
Q2 6:46
3RD & 9
OWN 25
0
32.6%
Katravis Marsh pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:11
4TH & 9
OWN 25
0
33.9%
Colin McCreary punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jha'Quan Jackson at the Tulan 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 10TD
17 plays · 63 yds · 4:0866% → 74%
Q2 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
33.7%
Shaadie Clayton run for no gain to the Tulan 37Similar
Q2 4:11
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+7
34.1%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 7 yds to the Tulan 44Similar
Q2 4:11
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+7
32.6%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Duece Watts for 7 yds to the SFla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+20
32.0%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Duece Watts for 20 yds to the SFla 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
30.8%
Tyjae Spears run for 5 yds to the SFla 24Similar
Q2 4:11
2ND & 5
OPP 24
0
30.8%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:11
3RD & 5
OPP 24
+6
31.8%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Lawrence Keys III for 6 yds to the SFla 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
30.8%
Shaadie Clayton run for 1 yd to the SFla 17Similar
Q2 4:11
2ND & 9
OPP 17
-3
30.8%
Michael Pratt sacked by Jason Vaughn for a loss of 3 yards to the SFla 20Similar
Q2 0:34
3RD & 12
OPP 20
+11
35.3%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 11 yds to the SFla 9Similar
Q2 0:34
4TH & 1
OPP 9
+5
34.9%
Michael Pratt run for 5 yds to the SFla 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
32.6%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
32.7%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete TULANE Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Michael Pratt) to the SFla 11Similar
Q2 0:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
0
36.4%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:03
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
26.1%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Duece Watts for 11 yds for a TD, (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
28.3%
[NH] Kneel down by MARSH, Katravis at USF25 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 12DOWNS
7 plays · 55 yds · 2:2372% → 71%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
27.9%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 9 yds to the Tulan 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
26.8%
Tyrick James run for 3 yds to the Tulan 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+37
27.1%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Shae Wyatt for 37 yds to the SFla 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
25.0%
Tyjae Spears run for 6 yds to the SFla 20Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 20
0
24.9%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 20
0
25.8%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:37
4TH & 4
OPP 20
0
28.8%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 2:5030% → 30%
Q3 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
29.8%
Brian Battie run for 13 yds to the SFla 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
30.3%
Katravis Marsh pass complete to Yusuf Terry for 4 yds to the SFla 37Similar
Q3 12:37
2ND & 6
OWN 37
-10
32.0%
BATTIE, Brian rush to the right for a gain of 6 yards to the USF43 (ROBINSON, Lance). PENALTY USF Holding enforced 10 yards from the USF37 to the USF27 [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 12:37
2ND & 16
OWN 27
+3
29.5%
Katravis Marsh pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 3 yds to the SFla 30Similar
Q3 12:37
3RD & 13
OWN 30
+7
28.4%
Katravis Marsh pass complete to Brian Battie for 7 yds to the SFla 37Similar
Q3 9:47
4TH & 6
OWN 37
0
30.4%
Colin McCreary punt for 48 yds, downed at the Tulan 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:2870% → 67%
Q3 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
29.8%
Iverson Celestine run for 2 yds to the Tulan 17Similar
Q3 9:47
2ND & 8
OWN 17
-6
29.8%
Michael Pratt sacked by Jason Vaughn for a loss of 6 yards to the Tulan 11Similar
Q3 9:47
3RD & 14
OWN 11
0
31.1%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:19
4TH & 14
OWN 11
+40
32.8%
Casey Glover punt for 30 yds SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Offensive Holding (TEAM) to the SFla 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 15FG
8 plays · 45 yds · 3:2736% → 44%
Q3 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
35.6%
Jimmy Horn Jr. run for 2 yds to the Tulan 49Similar
Q3 8:19
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+11
35.9%
Katravis Marsh pass complete to Jimmy Horn Jr. for 11 yds to the Tulan 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+35
36.2%
Katravis Marsh pass complete to Michel Dukes for 35 yds to the Tulan 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
37.5%
Katravis Marsh run for 2 yds to the Tulan 1Similar
Q3 8:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
37.5%
Michel Dukes run for no gain to the Tulan 1Similar
Q3 8:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
35.7%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Tulan 6Similar
Q3 8:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
35.8%
Katravis Marsh pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:52
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+16
43.7%
Spencer Shrader 16 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 16TD
1 play · 75 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
Q3 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
21.5%
Tyjae Spears run for 75 yds for a TD, (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 17FUMBLE
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:5024% → 24%
Q3 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
24.1%
Brian Battie run for 1 yd to the SFla 14Similar
Q3 3:45
2ND & 9
OWN 14
-1
24.2%
Katravis Marsh run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 6 Katravis Marsh fumbled, recovered by Tulan Macon ClarkSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 18TD
1 play · 6 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q3 3:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
9.1%
Tyjae Spears 6 Yd Run (Valentino Ambrosio Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:1712% → 12%
Q3 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
11.9%
Katravis Marsh run for 3 yds to the SFla 28Similar
Q3 3:39
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
12.0%
Kelley Joiner Jr. run for 3 yds to the SFla 31Similar
Q3 3:39
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
12.0%
Katravis Marsh pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:22
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
11.6%
Colin McCreary punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jha'Quan Jackson at the Tulan 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 20FUMBLE
3 plays · -2 yds · 1:3490% → 90%
Q3 2:22
1ST & 11
OWN 20
-2
10.0%
Shaadie Clayton run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 18Similar
Q3 2:22
2ND & 13
OWN 18
+3
10.1%
Michael Pratt run for 3 yds to the Tulan 21Similar
Q3 0:48
3RD & 10
OWN 21
-3
10.3%
Michael Pratt sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulan 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 21TD
2 plays · 18 yds · 0:3914% → 29%
Q3 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
13.7%
Brian Battie run for 1 yd to the Tulan 17Similar
Q3 0:09
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+17
29.2%
Katravis Marsh pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 17 yds for a TD, (Spencer Shrader KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 22TD
5 plays · 72 yds · 1:4979% → 93%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
20.7%
Tyjae Spears run for 4 yds to the Tulan 32Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+7
20.4%
Tyjae Spears run for 7 yds to the Tulan 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+27
19.3%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyrick James for 27 yds to the SFla 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+18
18.2%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 18 yds to the SFla 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
6.8%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Dea Dea McDougle for 16 yds for a TD, (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2211% → 10%
Q4 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
10.6%
Katravis Marsh pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:11
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
10.4%
Katravis Marsh pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:11
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
10.2%
Katravis Marsh pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:49
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+10
10.1%
Colin McCreary punt for 39 yds , Jha'Quan Jackson returns for 10 yds to the Tulan 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 24TD
7 plays · 54 yds · 3:4193% → 99%
Q4 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
7.1%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyrick James for 2 yds to the Tulan 48Similar
Q4 12:49
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+15
7.1%
Michael Pratt run for 15 yds to the SFla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+13
7.0%
Tyjae Spears run for 13 yds to the SFla 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
6.7%
Tyjae Spears run for 3 yds to the SFla 21Similar
Q4 12:49
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+20
6.7%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 20 yds to the SFla 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
6.6%
Tyjae Spears run for no gain to the SFla 1Similar
Q4 9:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
1.4%
Michael Pratt run for 1 yd for a TD, (Valentino Ambrosio KICK), (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:272% → 2%
Q4 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
2.1%
Katravis Marsh pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:08
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
2.0%
Brian Battie run for 1 yd to the SFla 26Similar
Q4 9:08
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-6
2.0%
Katravis Marsh sacked by Nick Anderson and Angelo Anderson for a loss of 6 yards to the SFla 20Similar
Q4 7:41
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
1.9%
Colin McCreary punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Jha'Quan Jackson at the Tulan 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:2999% → 99%
Q4 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
1.3%
Iverson Celestine run for 2 yds to the Tulan 30Similar
Q4 7:29
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+4
1.3%
Shaadie Clayton run for 4 yds to the Tulan 34Similar
Q4 7:29
3RD & 4
OWN 34
0
1.3%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:00
4TH & 4
OWN 34
-2
1.1%
Casey Glover punt for 52 yds , Sean Atkins returns for a loss of 2 yards to the SFla 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 27TD
4 plays · 88 yds · 1:541% → 3%
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
1.1%
K'Wan Powell run for 3 yds to the SFla 15Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 7
OWN 15
+9
1.1%
K'Wan Powell run for 9 yds to the SFla 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
1.1%
K'Wan Powell run for 3 yds to the SFla 27Similar
Q4 4:06
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+73
3.2%
Katravis Marsh pass complete to Dequan Stanley for 73 yds for a TD, (Spencer Shrader KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 28END OF GAME
7 plays · 44 yds · 4:0297% → 98%
Q4 4:02
1ST & 10
50
+17
3.4%
Shaadie Clayton run for 17 yds to the SFla 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
3.4%
Shaadie Clayton run for 4 yds to the SFla 29Similar
Q4 4:02
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+3
3.3%
Shaadie Clayton run for 3 yds to the SFla 26Similar
Q4 4:02
3RD & 3
OPP 26
+4
3.4%
Shaadie Clayton run for 4 yds to the SFla 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+19
3.3%
Shaadie Clayton run for 19 yds to the SFla 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
3.3%
[NH] Kneel down by PRATT, Michael at USF5 (team loss of 2).Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
1.8%
[NH] Kneel down by PRATT, Michael at USF6 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:41
Tyjae Spears run for 75 yds for a TD, (Valentino Ambrosio KICK)
-22.2
TD · Q3 0:09
Katravis Marsh pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 17 yds for a TD, (Spencer Shrader KICK)
+15.5
TD · Q3 3:39
Tyjae Spears 6 Yd Run (Valentino Ambrosio Kick)
-15.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com