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ECU

East Carolina 48 at South Florida 28

USF
2022 · Week 5 · Oct 1, 2022 · FAU Stadium
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Win probability · USF
modelUSF aheadECU aheadconfidence bandkey playUSF scoreECU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 11:15 · C.McCreary punts 45 yards to ECU 23, Center-USF. Fair catch by M.Fleming.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+57.0+28.50−28.5−57.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 10Home team on offense−0.7Score differential−0.2Pregame prior−26.5Garbage-time factor−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:21: H.Ahlers pass complete to USF 22. Catch made by I.Winstead at USF 22. Gain of 22 yards. I.Winstead for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — ECU win probability +3.2 pts (now 80%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:19: H.Ahlers pass complete to ECU 26. Catch made by C.Johnson at ECU 26. Gain of 74 yards. C.Johnson for 74 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — ECU win probability +6.7 pts (now 86%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 13:26: G.Bohanon pass complete to USF 9. Catch made by J.Horn at USF 9. Gain of 91 yards. J.Horn for 91 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — USF win probability +5.4 pts (now 21%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 6:57: H.Ahlers pass complete to USF 21. Catch made by R.Jones at USF 21. Gain of 21 yards. R.Jones for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — ECU win probability +7.3 pts (now 89%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 3:18: R.Harris rushed to USF End Zone for 5 yards. R.Harris for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — ECU win probability +5.8 pts (now 94%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USF made the numbers' call on 7 of 7ECU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 11:15USF 4th & 6 at USF 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.3%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:21ECU 4th & 4 at ECU 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.5%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:43ECU 4th & 7 at USF 30, up 7
    Close callWent for it · 71.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    71.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    71.1%
    56% to make
    Punt
    70.6%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:13ECU 4th & 9 at ECU 36, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.9%−0.8
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:49USF 4th & 7 at USF 28, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.9%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:38USF 4th & 19 at USF 29, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.9%−1.0
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:50USF 4th & 4 at USF 31, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.9%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.0%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:15ECU 4th & 10 at ECU 25, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:26ECU 4th & 5 at USF 33, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.3%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    98.2%−<0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    98.2%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:25USF 4th & 2 at USF 33, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:22USF 4th & 1 at ECU 15, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−0.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:36USF 4th & 3 at ECU 3, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:37ECU 4th & 6 at USF 32, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−<0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    99.7%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USF made the numbers' call on 1 of 1ECU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 12:19ECU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:21ECU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:19ECU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:26USF Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 6:57ECU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:21ECU Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    96.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    96.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ECUDrive 1TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:4178% → 77%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
22.3%
R.Harris rushed to ECU 25 for 0 yards. Tackled by D.Gordon at ECU 25.Similar
Q1 14:23
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
22.6%
H.Ahlers pass complete to ECU 25. Catch made by I.Winstead at ECU 25. Gain of 3 yards. Tackled by D.Boyles; T.Logan at ECU 28.Similar
Q1 13:16
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+9
23.2%
H.Ahlers pass complete to ECU 28. Catch made by I.Winstead at ECU 28. Gain of 9 yards. Tackled by M.LaPointe at ECU 37.Similar
Q1 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
23.3%
R.Harris rushed to ECU 39 for 2 yards. Tackled by T.Logan at ECU 39.Similar
Q1 12:23
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+1
23.5%
R.Harris rushed to ECU 40 for 1 yards. Tackled by D.Boyles; E.Kelly at ECU 40.Similar
Q1 12:19
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+60
22.8%
H.Ahlers pass complete to ECU 40. Catch made by C.Johnson at ECU 40. Gain of 60 yards. ECU for 60 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5523% → 23%
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
23.0%
G.Bohanon steps back to pass. G.Bohanon pass incomplete intended for K.Brown.Similar
Q1 12:04
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+4
23.0%
B.Battie rushed to USF 32 for 4 yards. Tackled by G.Stringer; M.Berry at USF 32.Similar
Q1 11:35
3RD & 6
OWN 32
0
23.0%
G.Bohanon steps back to pass. G.Bohanon pass incomplete intended for USF.Similar
Q1 11:15
4TH & 6
OWN 32
+45
23.0%
C.McCreary punts 45 yards to ECU 23, Center-USF. Fair catch by M.Fleming.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:4777% → 77%
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
23.1%
H.Ahlers steps back to pass. H.Ahlers pass incomplete intended for ECU.Similar
Q1 11:04
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+12
23.1%
H.Ahlers pass complete to ECU 23. Catch made by R.Harris at ECU 23. Gain of 12 yards. Tackled by D.Boyles at ECU 35.Similar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
23.1%
R.Harris rushed to ECU 41 for 6 yards. Tackled by M.Hill at ECU 41.Similar
Q1 10:13
2ND & 4
OWN 41
0
23.0%
R.Harris rushed to ECU 41 for 0 yards. Tackled by D.Gordon; D.Boyles at ECU 41.Similar
Q1 9:44
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
23.2%
H.Ahlers steps back to pass. H.Ahlers pass incomplete intended for R.Harris.Similar
Q1 9:21
4TH & 4
OWN 41
+47
23.5%
L.Larsen punts 47 yards to USF 12, Center-ECU. Fair catch by S.Atkins.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 4TD
12 plays · 64 yds · 5:2777% → 80%
Q1 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-8
23.4%
H.Ahlers steps back to pass. H.Ahlers sacked at ECU 28 for -8 yards (J.Vaughn)Similar
Q1 7:25
2ND & 18
OWN 28
+11
23.7%
H.Ahlers pass complete to ECU 28. Catch made by S.Calhoun at ECU 28. Gain of 11 yards. Tackled by T.Simpson at ECU 39.Similar
Q1 6:52
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+12
23.5%
H.Ahlers pass complete to ECU 39. Catch made by J.Johnson at ECU 39. Gain of 12 yards. Tackled by C.Williams; D.Hicks at USF 49.Similar
Q1 6:33
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
23.3%
H.Ahlers pass complete to USF 49. Catch made by J.Johnson at USF 49. Gain of 3 yards. Tackled by C.Williams at USF 46.Similar
Q1 4:42
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+6
23.5%
M.Gunn rushed to USF 40 for 6 yards. Tackled by T.Simpson; D.Boyles at USF 40.Similar
Q1 4:30
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+7
23.5%
H.Ahlers rushed to USF 33 for 7 yards. Tackled by M.LaPointe at USF 33.Similar
Q1 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
23.4%
M.Gunn rushed to USF 29 for 4 yards. Tackled by D.Gordon; J.Stokes at USF 29.Similar
Q1 3:48
2ND & 6
OPP 29
-1
23.4%
M.Gunn rushed to USF 30 for -1 yards. Tackled by R.Cheney at USF 30.Similar
Q1 2:49
3RD & 7
OPP 30
0
23.8%
H.Ahlers steps back to pass. H.Ahlers pass incomplete intended for I.Winstead.Similar
Q1 2:43
4TH & 7
OPP 30
+7
24.3%
H.Ahlers pass complete to USF 30. Catch made by M.Gunn at USF 30. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by A.Brown at USF 23. PENALTY on USF-USF, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, declined.Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
23.6%
R.Harris rushed to USF 22 for 1 yards. Tackled by C.Williams; D.Gordon at USF 22.Similar
Q1 2:21
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+22
20.3%
H.Ahlers pass complete to USF 22. Catch made by I.Winstead at USF 22. Gain of 22 yards. I.Winstead for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 5FUMBLE
6 plays · 71 yds · 1:5721% → 22%
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+20
21.3%
G.Bohanon rushed to USF 47 for 20 yards. Tackled by J.Powell at USF 47.Similar
Q1 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
22.0%
G.Bohanon pass complete to USF 47. Catch made by X.Weaver at USF 47. Gain of 11 yards. Tackled by M.Fleming at ECU 42.Similar
Q1 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+16
22.0%
G.Bohanon pass complete to ECU 42. Catch made by J.Horn at ECU 42. Gain of 16 yards. J.Horn ran out of bounds.Similar
Q1 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+20
22.3%
G.Bohanon pass complete to ECU 26. Catch made by J.Horn at ECU 26. Gain of 20 yards. J.Horn ran out of bounds.Similar
Q1 0:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
22.3%
G.Bohanon rushed to ECU 2 for 4 yards. G.Bohanon FUMBLES, forced by J.Wood. Fumble RECOVERED by ECU-X.Smith at ECU 2. Tackled by USF at ECU 2.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 6TD
4 plays · 98 yds · 0:4279% → 86%
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+18
20.7%
H.Ahlers pass complete to ECU 2. Catch made by C.Johnson at ECU 2. Gain of 18 yards. Tackled by B.Knox at ECU 20.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
20.5%
H.Ahlers scrambles to ECU 26 for 6 yards. Tackled by T.Logan at ECU 26.Similar
Q2 14:19
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+74
13.8%
H.Ahlers pass complete to ECU 26. Catch made by C.Johnson at ECU 26. Gain of 74 yards. C.Johnson for 74 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 7TD
2 plays · 93 yds · 0:3415% → 21%
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
15.2%
B.Battie rushed to USF 9 for 2 yards. Tackled by C.Stephens at USF 9.Similar
Q2 13:26
2ND & 8
OWN 9
+91
20.6%
G.Bohanon pass complete to USF 9. Catch made by J.Horn at USF 9. Gain of 91 yards. J.Horn for 91 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 11 yds · 1:0080% → 80%
Q2 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
20.0%
H.Ahlers pass complete to ECU 25. Catch made by C.Johnson at ECU 25. Gain of 10 yards. C.Johnson ran out of bounds.Similar
Q2 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
19.8%
R.Harris rushed to ECU 36 for 1 yards. Tackled by D.Gordon at ECU 36.Similar
Q2 12:22
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
19.7%
H.Ahlers steps back to pass. H.Ahlers pass incomplete intended for S.Calhoun.Similar
Q2 12:18
3RD & 9
OWN 36
0
19.9%
H.Ahlers steps back to pass. H.Ahlers pass incomplete intended for I.Winstead.Similar
Q2 12:13
4TH & 9
OWN 36
+46
20.2%
L.Larsen punts 46 yards to USF 18, Center-ECU. S.Atkins returned punt from the USF 18. Tackled by R.Jones; T.Jackson at USF 25.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:1320% → 20%
Q2 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
20.1%
M.Dukes rushed to USF 27 for 2 yards. Tackled by I.Hickman; X.Smith at USF 27.Similar
Q2 11:35
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
20.1%
M.Dukes rushed to USF 28 for 1 yards. Tackled by J.Lewis at USF 28.Similar
Q2 11:03
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
19.8%
G.Bohanon steps back to pass. G.Bohanon pass incomplete intended for J.Horn.Similar
Q2 10:49
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+43
19.6%
C.McCreary punts 43 yards to ECU 29, Center-USF. Fair catch by M.Fleming.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 10TD
7 plays · 71 yds · 3:4381% → 89%
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+10
19.2%
M.Gunn rushed to ECU 39 for 10 yards. Tackled by M.LaPointe at ECU 39.Similar
Q2 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
18.6%
H.Ahlers rushed to ECU 43 for 4 yards. Tackled by D.Hicks at ECU 43.Similar
Q2 9:30
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+2
18.2%
M.Gunn rushed to ECU 45 for 2 yards. Tackled by J.Shuler at ECU 45.Similar
Q2 8:55
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+10
18.2%
H.Ahlers pass complete to ECU 45. Catch made by S.Calhoun at ECU 45. Gain of 10 yards. Tackled by T.Simpson at USF 45.Similar
Q2 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+25
17.9%
H.Ahlers pass complete to USF 45. Catch made by R.Jones at USF 45. Gain of 25 yards. Tackled by W.Jones at USF 20.Similar
Q2 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
17.9%
M.Gunn rushed to USF 21 for -1 yards. Tackled by R.Cheney at USF 21.Similar
Q2 6:57
2ND & 11
OPP 21
+21
10.6%
H.Ahlers pass complete to USF 21. Catch made by R.Jones at USF 21. Gain of 21 yards. R.Jones for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 3:1213% → 12%
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
13.1%
G.Bohanon pass complete to USF 25. Catch made by J.Horn at USF 25. Gain of 3 yards. Tackled by G.Stringer; E.Morris at USF 28.Similar
Q2 6:20
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+10
13.0%
J.Horn rushed to USF 38 for 10 yards. Tackled by J.Powers at USF 38.Similar
Q2 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
13.4%
B.Battie rushed to USF 45 for 7 yards. Tackled by C.Bates at USF 45.Similar
Q2 4:59
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+10
13.5%
G.Bohanon pass complete to USF 45. Catch made by B.Battie at USF 45. Gain of yards. Tackled by J.Powers at USF 35. PENALTY on USF-G.Bohanon, Illegal Forward Pass, 5 yards, accepted.Similar
Q2 4:55
3RD & 18
OWN 40
0
12.6%
G.Bohanon pass complete to USF 40. Catch made by J.Horn at USF 40. Gain of yards. Tackled by J.Wood at ECU 33. PENALTY on USF-M.Lofton, Ineligible Downfield Pass, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 4:19
3RD & 23
OWN 25
+4
12.1%
B.Battie rushed to USF 29 for 4 yards. Tackled by M.Berry at USF 29.Similar
Q2 3:38
4TH & 19
OWN 29
+41
11.9%
C.McCreary punts 41 yards to ECU 30, Center-USF. M.Fleming returned punt from the ECU 30. Tackled by B.Knox at USF 10. PENALTY on USF-USF, Offensive Facemask, 5 yards, accepted.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 12TD
1 play · 5 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q2 3:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
6.1%
R.Harris rushed to USF End Zone for 5 yards. R.Harris for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:228% → 7%
Q2 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
7.5%
G.Bohanon steps back to pass. G.Bohanon sacked at USF 22 for -3 yards (C.Stephens)Similar
Q2 2:25
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+9
6.2%
B.Battie rushed to USF 31 for 9 yards. Tackled by X.Smith; C.Stephens at USF 31.Similar
Q2 1:53
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
6.8%
G.Bohanon steps back to pass. G.Bohanon pass incomplete intended for K.Brown.Similar
Q2 1:50
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+39
6.8%
C.McCreary punts 39 yards to ECU 30, Center-USF. Fair catch by M.Fleming. PENALTY on USF-T.Robinson, Kick Catch Interference, 15 yards, accepted.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 14TD
7 plays · 55 yds · 1:2194% → 97%
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
5.6%
H.Ahlers pass complete to ECU 45. Catch made by M.Gunn at ECU 45. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by D.Gordon; M.Hill at ECU 50.Similar
Q2 1:18
2ND & 5
OPP 0
+25
5.0%
H.Ahlers pass complete to ECU 50. Catch made by R.Jones at ECU 50. Gain of 25 yards. Tackled by M.LaPointe at USF 25.Similar
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
4.5%
H.Ahlers steps back to pass. H.Ahlers pass incomplete intended for R.Jones.Similar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+4
4.6%
H.Ahlers pass complete to USF 25. Catch made by R.Jones at USF 25. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by M.LaPointe at USF 21.Similar
Q2 0:38
3RD & 6
OPP 21
+7
4.7%
H.Ahlers pass complete to USF 21. Catch made by I.Winstead at USF 21. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by D.Boyles at USF 14.Similar
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
2.7%
H.Ahlers pass complete to USF 14. Catch made by C.Johnson at USF 14. Gain of 14 yards. C.Johnson for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · 30 yds · 0:073% → 3%
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
3.1%
G.Bohanon pass complete to USF 37. Catch made by B.Battie at USF 37. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by ECU at USF 45.Similar
Q2 0:02
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+22
3.0%
G.Bohanon pass complete to USF 45. Catch made by J.Horn at USF 45. Gain of 22 yards. Tackled by M.Berry at ECU 33.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 16TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:483% → 2%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
2.9%
G.Bohanon pass complete to USF 25. Catch made by X.Weaver at USF 25. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by X.Smith; J.Lewis at USF 29.Similar
Q3 14:39
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+10
2.5%
B.Battie rushed to USF 39 for 10 yards. Tackled by J.Powell; C.Stephens at USF 39.Similar
Q3 14:28
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+18
2.5%
G.Bohanon pass complete to USF 39. Catch made by X.Weaver at USF 39. Gain of 18 yards. Tackled by M.Fleming at ECU 43.Similar
Q3 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+10
2.6%
B.Battie rushed to ECU 33 for 10 yards. Tackled by G.Stringer at ECU 33.Similar
Q3 13:06
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
2.5%
S.Atkins rushed to ECU 27 for 6 yards. Tackled by J.Powell at ECU 27.Similar
Q3 12:12
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+27
2.4%
G.Bohanon pass complete to ECU 27. Catch made by J.Horn at ECU 27. Gain of 27 yards. J.Horn for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:5798% → 98%
Q3 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
2.2%
H.Ahlers steps back to pass. H.Ahlers pass incomplete intended for R.Jones.Similar
Q3 12:07
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
2.2%
R.Harris rushed to ECU 25 for 0 yards. Tackled by D.Gordon; T.Logan at ECU 25.Similar
Q3 11:20
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
2.1%
H.Ahlers steps back to pass. H.Ahlers pass incomplete intended for R.Jones.Similar
Q3 11:15
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+40
2.2%
L.Larsen punts 40 yards to USF 35, Center-ECU. S.Atkins returned punt from the USF 35. Tackled by M.Edwards at USF 44.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 18TD
8 plays · 56 yds · 3:312% → 1%
Q3 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+12
2.0%
G.Bohanon pass complete to USF 44. Catch made by B.Battie at USF 44. Gain of 12 yards. Tackled by C.Stephens at ECU 44.Similar
Q3 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
2.0%
B.Battie rushed to ECU 43 for 1 yards. Tackled by J.Powell at ECU 43.Similar
Q3 9:55
2ND & 9
OPP 43
0
1.8%
G.Bohanon steps back to pass. G.Bohanon pass incomplete intended for X.Weaver.Similar
Q3 9:44
3RD & 9
OPP 43
+22
1.7%
G.Bohanon rushed to ECU 21 for 22 yards. Tackled by S.Dourseau at ECU 21.Similar
Q3 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+13
1.8%
B.Battie rushed to ECU 8 for 13 yards. Tackled by J.Powell at ECU 8.Similar
Q3 9:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
1.9%
G.Bohanon rushed to ECU 8 for 0 yards. Tackled by J.Wilson at ECU 8.Similar
Q3 8:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
1.9%
M.Dukes rushed to ECU 4 for 4 yards. Tackled by X.Smith; A.Washington at ECU 4.Similar
Q3 7:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
1.4%
G.Bohanon pass complete to ECU 4. Catch made by S.Atkins at ECU 4. Gain of 4 yards. S.Atkins for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 19TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:4499% → 99%
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
1.4%
H.Ahlers pass complete to ECU 25. Catch made by R.Jones at ECU 25. Gain of 11 yards. Tackled by D.Gordon at ECU 36.Similar
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
1.3%
H.Ahlers steps back to pass. H.Ahlers pass incomplete intended for R.Jones.Similar
Q3 6:58
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+12
1.3%
H.Ahlers pass complete to ECU 36. Catch made by C.Johnson at ECU 36. Gain of 12 yards. Tackled by D.Gordon; M.LaPointe at ECU 48.Similar
Q3 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-5
1.2%
PENALTY on ECU-N.Strother, False Start, 5 yards, accepted.Similar
Q3 6:29
1ST & 15
OWN 43
+19
1.2%
H.Ahlers pass complete to ECU 43. Catch made by R.Harris at ECU 43. Gain of 19 yards. Tackled by D.Boyles; M.LaPointe at USF 38.Similar
Q3 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
1.1%
H.Ahlers pass complete to USF 38. Catch made by R.Harris at USF 38. Gain of 9 yards. Tackled by C.Williams at USF 29.Similar
Q3 5:04
2ND & 1
OPP 29
-4
1.0%
M.Gunn rushed to USF 33 for -4 yards. Tackled by D.Boyles; R.Cheney at USF 33.Similar
Q3 4:36
3RD & 5
OPP 33
0
1.0%
H.Ahlers steps back to pass. H.Ahlers pass incomplete intended for M.Gunn.Similar
Q3 4:26
4TH & 5
OPP 33
+24
1.6%
H.Ahlers pass complete to USF 33. Catch made by I.Winstead at USF 33. Gain of 24 yards. Tackled by M.LaPointe at USF 9.Similar
Q3 3:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
0.8%
H.Ahlers pass complete to USF 9. Catch made by C.Johnson at USF 9. Gain of 9 yards. C.Johnson for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 20TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:331% → 1%
Q3 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.9%
G.Bohanon steps back to pass. G.Bohanon pass incomplete intended for J.Horn.Similar
Q3 3:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
0.8%
B.Battie rushed to USF 25 for 0 yards. Tackled by J.Lewis; G.Stringer at USF 25.Similar
Q3 2:32
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+8
0.6%
G.Bohanon scrambles to USF 33 for 8 yards. Tackled by J.Lampley at USF 33.Similar
Q3 2:25
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+8
0.6%
G.Bohanon rushed to USF 41 for 8 yards. Tackled by M.Fleming at USF 41.Similar
Q3 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
0.5%
G.Bohanon steps back to pass. G.Bohanon pass incomplete intended for USF.Similar
Q3 1:34
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+18
0.5%
B.Battie rushed to ECU 41 for 18 yards. Tackled by M.Berry at ECU 41.Similar
Q3 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+23
0.5%
G.Bohanon pass complete to ECU 41. Catch made by X.Weaver at ECU 41. Gain of 23 yards. Tackled by J.Wood at ECU 18. PENALTY on ECU-J.Wood, Unnecessary Roughness / Defense, 9 yards, accepted.Similar
Q3 0:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
0.6%
B.Battie rushed to ECU 1 for 8 yards. Tackled by C.Stephens at ECU 1.Similar
Q3 0:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
0.5%
B.Battie rushed to ECU 1 for 0 yards. Tackled by E.Morris; J.Powers at ECU 1.Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.5%
G.Bohanon rushed to ECU End Zone for 1 yards. G.Bohanon for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 21FUMBLE
5 plays · 10 yds · 1:4699% → 100%
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.7%
H.Ahlers steps back to pass. H.Ahlers pass incomplete intended for C.Johnson. PENALTY on ECU-N.Strother, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 14:49
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+9
0.7%
M.Gunn rushed to ECU 24 for 9 yards. Tackled by D.Boyles; D.Hicks at ECU 24.Similar
Q4 14:29
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+12
0.6%
H.Ahlers pass complete to ECU 24. Catch made by S.Calhoun at ECU 24. Gain of 12 yards. Tackled by J.Curry at ECU 36.Similar
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
0.6%
M.Gunn rushed to ECU 37 for 1 yards. Tackled by J.Hansford at ECU 37.Similar
Q4 13:10
2ND & 9
OWN 37
-2
0.5%
H.Ahlers pass complete to ECU 37. Catch made by R.Jones at ECU 37. Gain of -2 yards. R.Jones FUMBLES, forced by D.Boyles. Fumble RECOVERED by USF-J.Curry at ECU 35. Tackled by ECU at ECU 35.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 22DOWNS
16 plays · 39 yds · 6:290% → 0%
Q4 13:05
1ST & 15
OPP 40
0
0.4%
G.Bohanon steps back to pass. G.Bohanon pass incomplete intended for J.Horn.Similar
Q4 12:56
2ND & 15
OPP 40
+5
0.3%
B.Battie rushed to ECU 35 for 5 yards. Tackled by ECU at ECU 35.Similar
Q4 12:18
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+11
0.3%
G.Bohanon scrambles to ECU 24 for 11 yards. Tackled by G.Stringer at ECU 24.Similar
Q4 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
0.3%
G.Bohanon steps back to pass. G.Bohanon pass incomplete intended for X.Weaver.Similar
Q4 11:33
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+5
0.3%
B.Battie rushed to ECU 19 for 5 yards. Tackled by E.Robinson at ECU 19.Similar
Q4 10:54
3RD & 5
OPP 19
+4
0.2%
G.Bohanon pass complete to ECU 19. Catch made by C.Mottillo at ECU 19. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by ECU at ECU 15.Similar
Q4 10:22
4TH & 1
OPP 15
+2
0.2%
G.Bohanon rushed to ECU 13 for 2 yards. Tackled by E.Morris; E.Robinson at ECU 13.Similar
Q4 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
0.3%
G.Bohanon rushed to ECU 10 for 3 yards. Tackled by ECU at ECU 10.Similar
Q4 9:09
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+5
0.3%
M.Dukes rushed to ECU 5 for 5 yards. Tackled by G.Stringer; M.Berry at ECU 5.Similar
Q4 8:38
3RD & 2
OPP 5
+3
0.2%
M.Dukes rushed to ECU 2 for 3 yards. Tackled by C.Bates at ECU 2.Similar
Q4 8:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
0.2%
M.Dukes rushed to ECU 1 for 1 yards. Tackled by J.Powell at ECU 1.Similar
Q4 7:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
0.2%
G.Bohanon rushed to ECU 1 for 0 yards. Tackled by G.Stringer; D.Johnson at ECU 1.Similar
Q4 7:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
0.2%
G.Bohanon rushed to ECU 3 for -2 yards. Tackled by J.Wood; M.Fleming at ECU 3.Similar
Q4 6:36
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
0.2%
G.Bohanon pass complete to ECU 3. Catch made by J.Horn at ECU 3. Gain of 2 yards. Tackled by C.Stephens at ECU 1.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 23END OF GAME
13 plays · 83 yds · 6:00100% → 100%
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
0.3%
H.Ahlers steps back to pass. H.Ahlers pass incomplete intended for C.Johnson. PENALTY on USF-T.Logan, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 6:28
1ST & 5
OWN 6
+10
0.3%
R.Harris rushed to ECU 16 for 10 yards. Tackled by B.Knox at ECU 16.Similar
Q4 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+14
0.2%
R.Harris rushed to ECU 30 for 14 yards. Tackled by M.LaPointe at ECU 30.Similar
Q4 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
0.2%
M.Gunn rushed to ECU 30 for 0 yards. Tackled by J.Vaughn at ECU 30.Similar
Q4 4:50
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+34
0.2%
M.Gunn rushed to USF 36 for 34 yards. Tackled by D.Gordon at USF 36.Similar
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-4
0.2%
M.Gunn rushed to USF 40 for -4 yards. Tackled by J.Vaughn at USF 40.Similar
Q4 3:21
2ND & 14
OPP 40
+8
0.2%
H.Ahlers pass complete to USF 40. Catch made by S.Calhoun at USF 40. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by M.LaPointe at USF 32.Similar
Q4 2:54
3RD & 6
OPP 32
0
0.2%
M.Gunn rushed to USF 32 for 0 yards. Tackled by D.Boyles at USF 32.Similar
Q4 2:37
4TH & 6
OPP 32
+8
0.2%
H.Ahlers pass complete to USF 32. Catch made by I.Winstead at USF 32. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by USF at USF 24.Similar
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
0.1%
M.Gunn rushed to USF 18 for 6 yards. Tackled by J.Curry; D.Boyles at USF 18.Similar
Q4 1:11
2ND & 4
OPP 18
-1
0.1%
M.Gunn rushed to USF 19 for -1 yards. Tackled by D.Gordon at USF 19.Similar
Q4 0:30
3RD & 5
OPP 19
+3
0.1%
H.Ahlers pass complete to USF 19. Catch made by S.Calhoun at USF 19. Gain of 3 yards. Tackled by C.Williams at USF 16.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:57
H.Ahlers pass complete to USF 21. Catch made by R.Jones at USF 21. Gain of 21 yards. R.Jones for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
-7.3
TD · Q2 14:19
H.Ahlers pass complete to ECU 26. Catch made by C.Johnson at ECU 26. Gain of 74 yards. C.Johnson for 74 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
-6.7
TD · Q2 3:18
R.Harris rushed to USF End Zone for 5 yards. R.Harris for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
-5.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com