Try the model
TULN

Tulane 27 at Houston 24

HOU
2022 · Week 5 · Sep 30, 2022 · TDECU Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · HOU
modelHOU aheadTULN aheadconfidence bandkey playHOU scoreTULN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTDTDFUMBLETDTDTDFGTDEnd of GameTD-36.5HOU 47.9%Kai Horton pass complete to TyrickJames for 3 yds for a TD, (KristonEsnard KICK)AWAY 21 - HOME 21 · Q4 0:39
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:39 · Kai Horton pass complete to Tyrick James for 3 yds for a TD, (Kriston Esnard KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+27.0+13.50−13.5−27.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 155Pregame prior+0.1Home team on offense−5.3Garbage-time factor+0.3Score differential−4.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.0Time remaining−2.1
This game in five plays
  1. FUMBLE · Q3 8:31: Clayton Tune run for 5 yds Clayton Tune fumbled, forced by Nick Anderson, recovered by Tulan Jadon Canady , return for 57 yds, (Kriston Esnard KICK) — TULN win probability +17.8 pts (now 54%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 10:04: Brandon Campbell run for 1 yd for a TD, (Bubba Baxa KICK) — HOU win probability +29.2 pts (now 66%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 3:04: Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 14 yds for a TD, (Bubba Baxa KICK) — HOU win probability +28.4 pts (now 94%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 0:39: Kai Horton pass complete to Tyrick James for 3 yds for a TD, (Kriston Esnard KICK) — TULN win probability +36.5 pts (now 52%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: Kai Horton pass complete to Tyjae Spears for 10 yds for a TD — TULN win probability +59.2 pts (now 88%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
HOU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6TULN made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 8:31HOU 4th & 9 at HOU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.6%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:52TULN 4th & 3 at TULN 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 35.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.2%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:00HOU 4th & 17 at TULN 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.5%−0.4
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.9%
    40% to make
    Punt
    63.8%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:10HOU 4th & 1 at TULN 1, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 53.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.5%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    49.7%−2.8
    94% to make
    Punt
    42.6%−10.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:20TULN 4th & 8 at TULN 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.2%−1.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:15HOU 4th & 21 at HOU 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.2%−2.3
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.5%
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:43HOU 4th & 14 at HOU 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.8%−4.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.0%
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:49TULN 4th & 6 at HOU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 42.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    41.8%−0.2
    54% to make
    Punt
    40.0%−2.0
    average punt
  9. Q3 0:46HOU 4th & 14 at TULN 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.3%−2.9
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.2%
    56% to make
    Punt
    33.5%−2.7
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:10TULN 4th & 7 at TULN 33, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.5%−1.8
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:07TULN 4th & 4 at TULN 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.3%−2.4
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.7%
    average punt
  12. Q4 0:39TULN 4th & 3 at HOU 3, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.1%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    9.9%−11.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    4.2%−16.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
HOU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3TULN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 12:42TULN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:10HOU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 10:04HOU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.2%−0.3
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 3:04HOU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.0%−1.9
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 0:39TULN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.7%−5.0
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TULNDrive 1MISSED FG
10 plays · 62 yds · 3:5337% → 37%
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+18
63.0%
Justin Ibieta pass complete to Tyjae Spears for 18 yds to the Houst 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
62.9%
Justin Ibieta pass complete to Tyrick James for 4 yds to the Houst 44Similar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+14
62.8%
Justin Ibieta pass complete to Lawrence Keys III for 14 yds to the Houst 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+20
62.7%
Justin Ibieta pass complete to Tyjae Spears for 20 yds to the Houst 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
62.6%
Justin Ibieta pass complete to Dea Dea McDougle for 1 yd to the Houst 9Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
62.5%
Tyjae Spears run for 1 yd to the Houst 8Similar
Q1 11:34
3RD & 0
OPP 8
-5
62.5%
TULANE Penalty, False Start (Joey Claybrook) to the Houst 13Similar
Q1 11:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
+9
62.6%
Justin Ibieta run for 9 yds to the Houst 4Similar
Q1 10:37
4TH & 0
OPP 4
+21
62.6%
Kriston Esnard 21 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Jamaree CaldwellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 1:5463% → 62%
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
62.9%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 10 yds to the Houst 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
63.0%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for no gain to the Houst 30Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
62.9%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Christian TrahanSimilar
Q1 9:30
3RD & 10
OWN 30
-5
62.6%
HOUSTON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Houst 25Similar
Q1 9:15
3RD & 15
OWN 25
+6
62.5%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 6 yds to the Houst 31Similar
Q1 8:31
4TH & 9
OWN 31
+14
62.3%
Laine Wilkins punt for 52 yds , Jha'Quan Jackson returns for 14 yds to the Tulan 31 TULANE Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jadon Canady) to the Tulan 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:3337% → 38%
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-11
62.6%
Kai Horton sacked by Jamykal Neal for a loss of 11 yards to the Tulan 10Similar
Q1 7:25
2ND & 21
OWN 10
0
62.5%
Tyjae Spears run for no gain to the Tulan 10Similar
Q1 7:00
3RD & 21
OWN 10
+23
62.8%
Tyjae Spears run for 23 yds to the Tulan 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
62.3%
Kai Horton pass incomplete to Lawrence Keys IIISimilar
Q1 6:25
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+7
62.3%
Iverson Celestine run for 7 yds to the Tulan 40Similar
Q1 6:02
3RD & 3
OWN 40
0
61.8%
Kai Horton pass incomplete to Dea Dea McDougleSimilar
Q1 5:52
4TH & 3
OWN 40
0
62.5%
Casey Glover punt for 59 yds, downed at the Houst 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 4MISSED FG
15 plays · 62 yds · 5:4762% → 61%
Q1 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
62.3%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Sam BrownSimilar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+9
62.3%
Stacy Sneed run for 9 yds to the Houst 10Similar
Q1 4:50
3RD & 1
OWN 10
+2
61.8%
Brandon Campbell run for 2 yds to the Houst 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
62.3%
Clayton Tune run for 3 yds to the Houst 15Similar
Q1 3:50
2ND & 7
OWN 15
+14
62.3%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Matthew Golden for 14 yds to the Houst 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
62.4%
Brandon Campbell run for 4 yds to the Houst 33Similar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 6
OWN 33
0
62.6%
Clayton Tune pass complete to KeSean Carter for no gain to the Houst 33Similar
Q1 2:15
3RD & 6
OWN 33
+14
62.2%
Clayton Tune run for 14 yds to the Houst 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
63.6%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 4 yds to the Tulan 49Similar
Q1 1:24
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+19
63.8%
Brandon Campbell run for 4 yds to the Tulan 45 for a 1ST down TULANE Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Alfred Thomas) to the Tulan 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-7
64.2%
Clayton Tune sacked by Darius Hodges for a loss of 7 yards to the Tulan 37Similar
Q1 0:17
2ND & 17
OPP 37
0
63.2%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Christian TrahanSimilar
Q1 0:11
3RD & 17
OPP 37
0
62.7%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to KeSean CarterSimilar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 17
OPP 37
+54
61.4%
Bubba Baxa 54 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Devean DealSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 5TD
5 plays · 63 yds · 1:4840% → 48%
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+12
60.4%
Iverson Celestine run for 12 yds to the Tulan 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
59.4%
Tyjae Spears run for 5 yds to the Houst 46Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+30
59.1%
Kai Horton pass complete to Tyjae Spears for 30 yds to the Houst 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
58.2%
Tyjae Spears run for 3 yds to the Houst 13Similar
Q2 12:42
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+13
51.8%
Kai Horton pass complete to Duece Watts for 13 yds for a TD, (Kriston Esnard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:3754% → 54%
Q2 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
54.2%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Christian TrahanSimilar
Q2 12:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
53.9%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Sam Brown for 5 yds to the Houst 30Similar
Q2 12:02
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+2
53.6%
Clayton Tune run for 2 yds to the Houst 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 7FUMBLE
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:5147% → 50%
Q2 11:29
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+7
53.1%
Laine Wilkins punt for 44 yds , Jha'Quan Jackson returns for 7 yds to the Tulan 31Similar
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
52.4%
Iverson Celestine run for 5 yds to the Tulan 36Similar
Q2 10:51
2ND & 5
OWN 36
0
51.7%
Kai Horton pass incomplete to Lawrence Keys IIISimilar
Q2 10:20
3RD & 5
OWN 36
+6
51.9%
Kai Horton run for 6 yds to the Tulan 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
50.7%
Tyjae Spears run for 3 yds to the Tulan 45Similar
Q2 9:38
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+2
50.2%
Kai Horton run for a loss of 14 yards to the Tulan 29 Kai Horton fumbled, recovered by Houst Hakeem Ajijolaiya , return for 2 yds to the Tulan 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 8TD
9 plays · 29 yds · 3:2056% → 62%
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
55.6%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Nathaniel DellSimilar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+6
55.3%
Brandon Campbell run for 6 yds to the Tulan 23Similar
Q2 8:43
3RD & 4
OPP 23
+13
54.3%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Sam Brown for 13 yds to the Tulan 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
54.3%
Stacy Sneed run for 4 yds to the Tulan 6Similar
Q2 7:41
2ND & 0
OPP 6
-5
55.1%
HOUSTON Penalty, False Start (Patrick Paul) to the Tulan 11Similar
Q2 7:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+5
53.8%
Clayton Tune run for 5 yds to the Tulan 6Similar
Q2 6:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
52.2%
Clayton Tune run for 5 yds to the Tulan 1Similar
Q2 6:10
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
62.4%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 1 yd for a TD, (Bubba Baxa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:3042% → 40%
Q2 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
58.2%
Iverson Celestine run for 2 yds to the Tulan 27Similar
Q2 5:20
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
57.9%
Tyjae Spears run for 4 yds to the Tulan 31Similar
Q2 4:30
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-4
57.9%
Kai Horton pass complete to Kai Horton for a loss of 4 yards to the Tulan 27Similar
Q2 4:20
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
59.8%
Casey Glover punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Nathaniel Dell at the Houst 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 7 yds · 2:4561% → 59%
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
61.4%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Sam Brown for 9 yds to the Houst 39Similar
Q2 3:35
2ND & 1
OWN 39
-9
63.5%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 1 yd to the Houst 40 HOUSTON Penalty, Offensive Holding (Tank Jenkins) to the Houst 30Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+18
60.9%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Matthew Golden for 18 yds to the Houst 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-10
63.4%
Sneed, Stacy rush for 2 yards to the 50 yardline, PENALTY HOUSTON holding (Paul, Patrick) 10 yards to the HOUSTON38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:15
1ST & 20
OWN 38
+1
61.5%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 1 yd to the Houst 39Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 19
OWN 39
+4
61.1%
Clayton Tune run for 4 yds to the Houst 43Similar
Q2 1:25
3RD & 15
OWN 43
-6
59.9%
Clayton Tune sacked by Dorian Williams for a loss of 6 yards to the Houst 37Similar
Q2 1:15
4TH & 21
OWN 37
0
58.9%
Laine Wilkins punt for 31 yds, downed at the Tulan 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:5044% → 44%
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
56.5%
Tyjae Spears run for 3 yds to the Tulan 35Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 35
0
56.0%
Tyjae Spears run for no gain to the Tulan 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 2:0761% → 58%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
61.3%
Brandon Campbell run for 4 yds to the Houst 29Similar
Q3 14:25
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-5
61.6%
HOUSTON Penalty, False Start (Matthew Golden) to the Houst 24Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-4
61.0%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Brandon Campbell for a loss of 4 yards to the Houst 20Similar
Q3 13:10
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+1
59.4%
Clayton Tune run for 1 yd to the Houst 21Similar
Q3 12:43
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
58.2%
Laine Wilkins punt for 32 yds, downed at the Tulan 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 13FUMBLE
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:4846% → 44%
Q3 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
54.5%
Kai Horton pass incomplete to Duece WattsSimilar
Q3 12:15
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+9
55.2%
Iverson Celestine run for 9 yds to the Houst 44Similar
Q3 11:40
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+9
54.0%
Tyjae Spears run for 9 yds to the Houst 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
52.9%
Kai Horton pass incomplete to Duece WattsSimilar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+5
52.9%
Kai Horton run for 5 yds to the Houst 30Similar
Q3 10:05
3RD & 5
OPP 30
-1
53.7%
Iverson Celestine run for a loss of 1 yard to the Houst 31Similar
Q3 9:49
4TH & 6
OPP 31
-7
56.3%
Kai Horton sacked by Nelson Ceaser for a loss of 7 yards to the Houst 38 Kai Horton fumbled, forced by Nelson Ceaser, recovered by Tulan Kai Horton , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 14FUMBLE TD
4 plays · 19 yds · 0:5962% → 46%
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
61.9%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 5 yds to the Houst 43Similar
Q3 9:15
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+7
63.6%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
50
+2
63.9%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 2 yds to the Tulan 48Similar
Q3 8:31
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+57
46.1%
Clayton Tune run for 5 yds Clayton Tune fumbled, forced by Nick Anderson, recovered by Tulan Jadon Canady , return for 57 yds, (Kriston Esnard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 15MISSED FG
17 plays · 45 yds · 7:2942% → 36%
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
41.7%
Brandon Campbell run for 2 yds to the Houst 27Similar
Q3 7:50
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
41.8%
Brandon Campbell run for 2 yds to the Houst 29Similar
Q3 7:15
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+7
40.4%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Sam Brown for 7 yds to the Houst 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
42.0%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Khiyon Wafer for 6 yds to the Houst 42Similar
Q3 6:30
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+3
44.3%
Brandon Campbell run for 3 yds to the Houst 45Similar
Q3 6:20
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+6
43.5%
Brandon Campbell run for 6 yds to the Tulan 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
44.7%
Brandon Campbell run for 4 yds to the Tulan 45Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+9
44.3%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 9 yds to the Tulan 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
44.1%
Stacy Sneed run for 6 yds to the Tulan 30Similar
Q3 3:40
2ND & 4
OPP 30
-1
45.5%
Stacy Sneed run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 31Similar
Q3 3:05
3RD & 5
OPP 31
+5
43.1%
Stacy Sneed run for 5 yds to the Tulan 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
45.0%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Stacy Sneed for 3 yds to the Tulan 23Similar
Q3 1:50
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+3
44.7%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 3 yds to the Tulan 20Similar
Q3 1:00
3RD & 4
OPP 20
-10
42.1%
Tune, Clayton rush for 3 yards to the TULANE17, PENALTY HOUSTON holding (Freeman, Jack) 10 yards to the TULANE30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:51
3RD & 14
OPP 30
0
39.1%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Christian TrahanSimilar
Q3 0:46
4TH & 14
OPP 30
+47
35.5%
Bubba Baxa 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5069% → 69%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
30.7%
Tyjae Spears run for no gain to the Tulan 30Similar
Q4 14:30
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+3
28.9%
Dea Dea McDougle run for 3 yds to the Tulan 33Similar
Q4 14:16
3RD & 7
OWN 33
0
28.9%
Kai Horton pass incomplete to Lawrence Keys IIISimilar
Q4 14:10
4TH & 7
OWN 33
0
30.7%
Casey Glover punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Nathaniel Dell at the Houst 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 17TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:4633% → 66%
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
33.1%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Christian Trahan for 9 yds to the Houst 34Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
35.9%
Brandon Campbell run for no gain to the Houst 34Similar
Q4 13:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
33.9%
Brandon Campbell run for 5 yds to the Houst 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
34.2%
Brandon Campbell run for 1 yd to the Houst 40Similar
Q4 12:20
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+5
33.6%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 5 yds to the Houst 45Similar
Q4 11:25
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+41
34.3%
Clayton Tune pass complete to KeSean Carter for 41 yds to the Tulan 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+9
38.9%
Brandon Campbell run for 9 yds to the Tulan 5Similar
Q4 10:20
2ND & 1
OPP 5
+4
36.5%
Brandon Campbell run for 4 yds to the Tulan 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
65.8%
Brandon Campbell run for 1 yd for a TD, (Bubba Baxa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:4946% → 44%
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
54.3%
Kai Horton pass incomplete to Lawrence Keys IIISimilar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-3
54.5%
Tyjae Spears run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulan 22Similar
Q4 9:11
3RD & 13
OWN 22
-5
56.7%
TULANE Penalty, False Start (Rashad Green) to the Tulan 17Similar
Q4 8:30
3RD & 18
OWN 17
+14
56.6%
Kai Horton pass complete to Duece Watts for 14 yds to the Tulan 31Similar
Q4 8:07
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
56.5%
Casey Glover punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Nathaniel Dell at the Houst 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 19TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 4:5659% → 94%
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
58.6%
Clayton Tune pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:47
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+9
58.4%
Clayton Tune run for 9 yds to the Houst 29Similar
Q4 7:30
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+9
58.0%
Clayton Tune run for 9 yds to the Houst 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
60.7%
Brandon Campbell run for 1 yd to the Houst 39Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+10
60.8%
Clayton Tune run for 10 yds to the Houst 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+12
63.4%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 12 yds to the Tulan 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
64.4%
Stacy Sneed run for 7 yds to the Tulan 32Similar
Q4 4:10
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+15
65.9%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Stacy Sneed for 15 yds to the Tulan 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
65.9%
Brandon Campbell run for 3 yds to the Tulan 14Similar
Q4 3:04
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+14
94.3%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 14 yds for a TD, (Bubba Baxa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 20TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 2:0612% → 52%
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
87.7%
Kai Horton pass complete to Tyjae Spears for 5 yds to the Tulan 30Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
86.1%
Tyjae Spears run for 4 yds to the Tulan 34Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
87.4%
Kai Horton pass complete to Tyjae Spears for 2 yds to the Tulan 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+33
87.5%
Kai Horton pass complete to Shae Wyatt for 33 yds to the Houst 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
82.1%
Kai Horton pass incomplete to Jha'Quan JacksonSimilar
Q4 1:14
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+2
82.4%
Tyjae Spears run for 2 yds to the Houst 29Similar
Q4 1:00
3RD & 8
OPP 29
+23
86.8%
Kai Horton pass complete to Duece Watts for 23 yds to the Houst 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
83.7%
Kai Horton pass incomplete to Duece WattsSimilar
Q4 0:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
83.7%
Kai Horton pass incomplete to Dea Dea McDougleSimilar
Q4 0:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
86.1%
Kai Horton pass complete to Shae Wyatt for 3 yds to the Houst 3Similar
Q4 0:39
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
47.9%
Kai Horton pass complete to Tyrick James for 3 yds for a TD, (Kriston Esnard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 21END OF HALF
9 plays · 0 yds · 0:2760% → 56%
Q4 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
60.1%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Christian TrahanSimilar
Q4 0:22
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+18
58.6%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 18 yds to the Houst 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-10
63.9%
HOUSTON Penalty, Offensive Holding (Patrick Paul) to the Houst 35Similar
Q4 0:12
1ST & 20
OWN 35
0
58.9%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Christian TrahanSimilar
Q4 0:12
2ND & 20
OWN 35
-5
58.2%
HOUSTON Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Houst 30Similar
Q4 0:03
2ND & 25
OWN 30
-1
58.2%
Clayton Tune pass complete to Brandon Campbell for a loss of 1 yard to the Houst 29Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 26
OWN 29
-2
55.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Houst 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 22FG
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0066% → 79%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
65.6%
Brandon Campbell run for 5 yds to the Tulan 20Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+2
65.6%
Clayton Tune run for 2 yds to the Tulan 18Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 18
0
63.2%
Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Matt ByrnesSimilar
OT 0:00
4TH & 3
OPP 18
+36
79.1%
Bubba Baxa 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 23TD
3 plays · 25 yds · 0:0029% → 88%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+10
71.4%
Horton, Kai pass incomplete to James, Tyrick, PENALTY HOUSTON pass interference 10 yards to the HOUSTON15, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TULANE.Similar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
71.4%
Iverson Celestine run for 5 yds to the Houst 10Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+10
12.2%
Kai Horton pass complete to Tyjae Spears for 10 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · OT 0:00
Kai Horton pass complete to Tyjae Spears for 10 yds for a TD
-59.2
TD · Q4 0:39
Kai Horton pass complete to Tyrick James for 3 yds for a TD, (Kriston Esnard KICK)
-36.5
TD · Q4 10:04
Brandon Campbell run for 1 yd for a TD, (Bubba Baxa KICK)
+29.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com