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CIN

Cincinnati 38 at Miami (OH) 17

M-OH
2022 · Week 3 · Sep 17, 2022 · Paul Brown Stadium
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Win probability · M-OH
modelM-OH aheadCIN aheadconfidence bandkey playM-OH scoreCIN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:06 · M.Fletcher punts 48 yards to MOH 20, Center-C.Pfeiffer. Fair catch by J.Walker.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+52.5+26.30−26.3−52.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:41: A.Smith pass complete to CIN 2. Catch made by J.Coldiron at CIN 2. Gain of 2 yards. J.Coldiron for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — M-OH win probability +3.7 pts (now 22%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:00: C.Kiner rushed to MOH End Zone for 1 yards. C.Kiner for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — CIN win probability +4.3 pts (now 83%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:17: B.Bryant pass complete to MOH 10. Catch made by N.Mardner at MOH 10. Gain of 10 yards. N.Mardner for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — CIN win probability +7.7 pts (now 87%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:03: B.Bryant pass complete to MOH 41. Catch made by T.Scott at MOH 41. Gain of 41 yards. T.Scott for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — CIN win probability +7.4 pts (now 92%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:41: C.McClelland rushed to MOH End Zone for 15 yards. C.McClelland for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — CIN win probability +3.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
M-OH made the numbers' call on 5 of 6CIN made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 6:07M-OH 4th & 12 at CIN 19, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.4%−0.2
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.6%
    77% to make
    Punt
    11.9%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q2 14:53M-OH 4th & 8 at M-OH 38, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.6%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.8%
    average punt
  3. Q2 6:25CIN 4th & 4 at M-OH 8, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 78.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.8%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.5%−0.3
    90% to make
    Punt
    74.1%−4.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 3:07CIN 4th & 5 at CIN 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 79.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.7%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q3 13:45CIN 4th & 5 at M-OH 43, up 7
    Close callPunted · 85.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.7%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    84.7%−1.0
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    85.3%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q3 11:46M-OH 4th & 10 at M-OH 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.4%−1.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.8%
    average punt
  7. Q3 7:53M-OH 4th & 9 at M-OH 42, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.7%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:31CIN 4th & 8 at CIN 5, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.1%−1.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:25M-OH 4th & 5 at M-OH 27, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.2%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.4%
    average punt
  10. Q4 8:46CIN 4th & 22 at CIN 37, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.0%−2.1
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.0%
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:10M-OH 4th & 6 at M-OH 24, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.7%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 0:06CIN 4th & 9 at CIN 32, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
M-OH made the numbers' call on 2 of 2CIN made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 11:40M-OH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:48CIN Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:41M-OH Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:00CIN Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:17CIN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:03CIN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 5:41CIN Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
M-OHDrive 1TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:208% → 10%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
7.8%
PENALTY on CIN-J.Briggs, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 5
OWN 30
+1
7.8%
K.Mozee rushed to MOH 31 for 1 yards. Tackled by CIN at MOH 31.Similar
Q1 14:26
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+8
8.0%
A.Smith pass complete to MOH 31. Catch made by M.Hippenhammer at MOH 31. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by CIN at MOH 39.Similar
Q1 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
8.2%
K.Tracy rushed to MOH 40 for 1 yards. Tackled by CIN at MOH 40.Similar
Q1 13:23
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+13
8.4%
A.Smith pass complete to MOH 40. Catch made by M.Hippenhammer at MOH 40. Gain of 13 yards. Tackled by CIN at CIN 47.Similar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
8.7%
K.Tracy rushed to CIN 41 for 6 yards. Tackled by CIN at CIN 41.Similar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+5
8.9%
K.Tracy rushed to CIN 36 for 5 yards. Tackled by CIN at CIN 36.Similar
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
9.6%
A.Smith pass complete to CIN 36. Catch made by M.Hippenhammer at CIN 36. Gain of 36 yards. M.Hippenhammer for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 2FUMBLE
5 plays · 38 yds · 2:0891% → 89%
Q1 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
9.5%
C.McClelland rushed to CIN 13 for 1 yards. Tackled by MOH at CIN 13.Similar
Q1 11:01
2ND & 9
OWN 13
+4
9.8%
C.McClelland rushed to CIN 17 for 4 yards. Tackled by MOH at CIN 17.Similar
Q1 10:23
3RD & 5
OWN 17
+19
10.2%
B.Bryant pass complete to CIN 17. Catch made by T.Tucker at CIN 17. Gain of 19 yards. Tackled by MOH at CIN 36.Similar
Q1 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
10.3%
B.Bryant pass complete to CIN 36. Catch made by J.Whyle at CIN 36. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by MOH at CIN 40.Similar
Q1 9:25
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+10
10.6%
B.Bryant pass complete to CIN 40. Catch made by J.Thompson at CIN 40. Gain of 10 yards. J.Thompson FUMBLES, forced by J.Saunders. Fumble RECOVERED by MOH-E.Blakey at CIN 50. Tackled by CIN at CIN 50.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 3FG
9 plays · 31 yds · 3:1311% → 13%
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 0
+7
11.1%
A.Smith rushed to CIN 43 for 7 yards. Tackled by CIN at CIN 43.Similar
Q1 8:49
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+7
11.4%
K.Mozee rushed to CIN 36 for 7 yards. Tackled by CIN at CIN 36.Similar
Q1 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
11.8%
K.Tracy rushed to CIN 30 for 6 yards. Tackled by CIN at CIN 30.Similar
Q1 7:36
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+13
12.2%
A.Smith pass complete to CIN 30. Catch made by J.Coldiron at CIN 30. Gain of 13 yards. Tackled by CIN at CIN 17.Similar
Q1 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
12.7%
A.Smith steps back to pass. A.Smith pass incomplete intended for MOH.Similar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 10
OPP 17
-2
12.8%
K.Davis rushed to CIN 19 for -2 yards. Tackled by CIN at CIN 19.Similar
Q1 6:06
3RD & 12
OPP 19
0
13.2%
A.Smith steps back to pass. A.Smith pass incomplete intended for J.Walker.Similar
Q1 6:07
4TH & 12
OPP 19
0
12.9%
G.Nicholson 36 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-B.Beattie, Holder-A.Bevelhimer.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 4TD
8 plays · 70 yds · 3:1687% → 87%
Q1 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
12.8%
B.Bryant pass complete to CIN 30. Catch made by J.Thompson at CIN 30. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by MOH at CIN 34.Similar
Q1 5:24
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+4
13.2%
C.McClelland rushed to CIN 38 for 4 yards. Tackled by MOH at CIN 38.Similar
Q1 5:17
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+30
13.2%
C.McClelland rushed to MOH 32 for 30 yards. Tackled by MOH at MOH 32.Similar
Q1 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+17
13.3%
B.Bryant pass complete to MOH 32. Catch made by J.Whyle at MOH 32. Gain of 17 yards. Tackled by MOH at MOH 15.Similar
Q1 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
13.5%
B.Bryant pass complete to MOH 15. Catch made by T.Tucker at MOH 15. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by MOH at MOH 10.Similar
Q1 3:32
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+3
14.2%
C.McClelland rushed to MOH 7 for 3 yards. Tackled by MOH at MOH 7.Similar
Q1 3:01
3RD & 2
OPP 7
+5
14.8%
C.McClelland rushed to MOH 2 for 5 yards. Tackled by MOH at MOH 2.Similar
Q1 2:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
13.0%
C.McClelland rushed to MOH End Zone for 2 yards. C.McClelland for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:5114% → 15%
Q1 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
13.7%
K.Tracy rushed to MOH 28 for 3 yards. Tackled by CIN at MOH 28.Similar
Q1 2:02
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+8
14.1%
K.Davis rushed to MOH 36 for 8 yards. Tackled by CIN at MOH 36.Similar
Q1 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
14.5%
K.Mozee rushed to MOH 37 for 1 yards. Tackled by CIN at MOH 37.Similar
Q1 0:48
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+4
14.9%
A.Smith pass complete to MOH 37. Catch made by K.Davis at MOH 37. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by CIN at MOH 41.Similar
Q1 0:17
3RD & 5
OWN 41
-3
15.4%
A.Smith steps back to pass. A.Smith sacked at MOH 38 for -3 yards (I.Pace)Similar
Q2 14:53
4TH & 8
OWN 38
+40
15.0%
D.Dzioban punts 40 yards to CIN 22, Center-B.Beattie. Fair catch by J.Thompson. PENALTY on CIN-CIN, Defensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 6FUMBLE
3 plays · 8 yds · 1:1884% → 83%
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
15.7%
C.McClelland rushed to CIN 14 for 2 yards. Tackled by MOH at CIN 14.Similar
Q2 14:18
2ND & 8
OWN 14
+5
16.1%
B.Bryant pass complete to CIN 14. Catch made by T.Tucker at CIN 14. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by MOH at CIN 19.Similar
Q2 13:33
3RD & 3
OWN 19
+1
16.9%
C.McClelland rushed to CIN 20 for 1 yards. C.McClelland FUMBLES, forced by M.Dowell. Fumble RECOVERED by MOH-Y.McKee at CIN 20. Tackled by CIN at CIN 20.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 7TD
3 plays · 20 yds · 0:4418% → 22%
Q2 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
17.6%
A.Smith rushed to CIN 16 for 4 yards. Tackled by CIN at CIN 16.Similar
Q2 12:49
2ND & 6
OPP 16
0
18.1%
A.Smith steps back to pass. A.Smith pass incomplete intended for M.Hippenhammer. PENALTY on CIN-A.Bush, Defensive Pass Interference, 14 yards, accepted.Similar
Q2 12:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
21.8%
A.Smith pass complete to CIN 2. Catch made by J.Coldiron at CIN 2. Gain of 2 yards. J.Coldiron for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 8TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:3979% → 83%
Q2 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
21.0%
B.Bryant scrambles to CIN 31 for 6 yards. Tackled by MOH at CIN 31.Similar
Q2 12:09
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+31
21.0%
B.Bryant pass complete to CIN 31. Catch made by T.Tucker at CIN 31. Gain of 31 yards. Tackled by MOH at MOH 38.Similar
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
20.3%
B.Bryant pass complete to MOH 38. Catch made by T.Scott at MOH 38. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by MOH at MOH 30.Similar
Q2 11:22
2ND & 2
OPP 30
+15
20.2%
B.Bryant pass complete to MOH 30. Catch made by T.Scott at MOH 30. Gain of 15 yards. Tackled by MOH at MOH 15.Similar
Q2 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+9
21.1%
C.Kiner rushed to MOH 6 for 9 yards. Tackled by MOH at MOH 6.Similar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 1
OPP 6
+5
21.6%
C.Kiner rushed to MOH 1 for 5 yards. Tackled by MOH at MOH 1.Similar
Q2 10:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
17.4%
C.Kiner rushed to MOH End Zone for 1 yards. C.Kiner for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 9FG
7 plays · 39 yds · 2:0281% → 82%
Q2 8:27
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+21
18.7%
B.Bryant pass complete to MOH 47. Catch made by N.Mardner at MOH 47. Gain of 21 yards. Tackled by MOH at MOH 26.Similar
Q2 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
18.6%
C.Kiner rushed to MOH 22 for 4 yards. Tackled by MOH at MOH 22.Similar
Q2 7:42
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+8
18.9%
B.Bryant pass complete to MOH 22. Catch made by T.Scott at MOH 22. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by MOH at MOH 14.Similar
Q2 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
19.2%
B.Bryant steps back to pass. B.Bryant pass incomplete intended for N.Mardner.Similar
Q2 7:03
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+5
19.3%
C.Kiner rushed to MOH 9 for 5 yards. Tackled by MOH at MOH 9.Similar
Q2 6:31
3RD & 5
OPP 9
+1
20.4%
B.Bryant rushed to MOH 8 for 1 yards. Tackled by MOH at MOH 8.Similar
Q2 6:25
4TH & 4
OPP 8
+26
18.1%
R.Coe 26 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-C.Pfeiffer, Holder-CIN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:4081% → 79%
Q2 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
19.3%
B.Bryant steps back to pass. B.Bryant pass incomplete intended for L.Taylor.Similar
Q2 3:43
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+5
19.7%
C.McClelland rushed to CIN 46 for 5 yards. Tackled by MOH at CIN 46.Similar
Q2 3:12
3RD & 5
OWN 46
0
19.7%
B.Bryant steps back to pass. B.Bryant pass incomplete intended for C.McClelland.Similar
Q2 3:07
4TH & 5
OWN 46
+40
21.2%
M.Fletcher punts 40 yards to MOH 14, Center-C.Pfeiffer. J.Walker returned punt from the MOH 14. Tackled by CIN at MOH 49.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 11INT
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:4025% → 26%
Q2 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
25.3%
K.Davis rushed to CIN 48 for 3 yards. Tackled by CIN at CIN 48.Similar
Q2 2:13
2ND & 7
OPP 48
0
26.3%
A.Smith pass INTERCEPTED at CIN 12. Intercepted by A.Bush at CIN 12. A.Bush ran out of bounds.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 12TD
10 plays · 88 yds · 1:5078% → 87%
Q2 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+15
21.7%
C.McClelland rushed to CIN 27 for 15 yards. Tackled by MOH at CIN 27.Similar
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+13
21.7%
B.Bryant pass complete to CIN 27. Catch made by C.McClelland at CIN 27. Gain of 13 yards. Tackled by MOH at CIN 40.Similar
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
21.0%
B.Bryant pass complete to CIN 40. Catch made by T.Scott at CIN 40. Gain of 11 yards. Tackled by MOH at MOH 49. PENALTY on MOH-Y.McKee, Personal Foul / Defense, 15 yards, accepted.Similar
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-8
19.3%
B.Bryant steps back to pass. B.Bryant sacked at MOH 42 for -8 yards (M.Salopek)Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 18
OPP 42
+16
21.1%
B.Bryant pass complete to MOH 42. Catch made by L.Taylor at MOH 42. Gain of 16 yards. Tackled by MOH at MOH 26.Similar
Q2 0:47
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+4
20.0%
C.McClelland rushed to MOH 22 for 4 yards. Tackled by MOH at MOH 22.Similar
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
19.4%
B.Bryant steps back to pass. B.Bryant pass incomplete intended for T.Tucker.Similar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
19.7%
B.Bryant steps back to pass. B.Bryant pass incomplete intended for T.Tucker.Similar
Q2 0:30
3RD & 10
OPP 22
+12
20.5%
B.Bryant pass complete to MOH 22. Catch made by T.Scott at MOH 22. Gain of 12 yards. Tackled by MOH at MOH 10.Similar
Q2 0:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
12.8%
B.Bryant pass complete to MOH 10. Catch made by N.Mardner at MOH 10. Gain of 10 yards. N.Mardner for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 1:1486% → 85%
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
14.2%
C.Kiner rushed to CIN 42 for 5 yards. Tackled by MOH at CIN 42.Similar
Q3 14:30
2ND & 5
OWN 42
0
13.9%
B.Bryant steps back to pass. B.Bryant pass incomplete intended for L.Taylor. PENALTY on MOH-K.Hilton, Personal Foul / Defense, 15 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 14:24
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
13.7%
B.Bryant steps back to pass. B.Bryant pass incomplete intended for J.Thompson.Similar
Q3 14:22
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
13.7%
B.Bryant steps back to pass. B.Bryant pass incomplete intended for C.McClelland.Similar
Q3 14:16
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+5
14.1%
PENALTY on MOH-K.Hilton, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 14:03
3RD & 5
OPP 38
-5
14.0%
B.Bryant steps back to pass. B.Bryant sacked at MOH 43 for -5 yards (C.Woullard) B.Bryant FUMBLES, forced by C.Woullard. Fumble RECOVERED by CIN-D.O'Quinn at MOH 43.Similar
Q3 13:45
4TH & 5
OPP 43
+38
14.8%
M.Fletcher punts 38 yards to MOH 5, Center-C.Pfeiffer. Downed by CIN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 11 yds · 1:5116% → 16%
Q3 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+11
16.2%
K.Davis rushed to MOH 16 for 11 yards. Tackled by CIN at MOH 16.Similar
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
16.4%
A.Smith steps back to pass. A.Smith pass incomplete intended for M.Hippenhammer.Similar
Q3 13:02
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+4
16.4%
K.Mozee rushed to MOH 20 for 4 yards. Tackled by CIN at MOH 20.Similar
Q3 12:26
3RD & 6
OWN 20
-4
15.9%
A.Smith steps back to pass. A.Smith sacked at MOH 16 for -4 yards (J.Briggs)Similar
Q3 11:46
4TH & 10
OWN 16
+40
15.6%
D.Dzioban punts 40 yards to CIN 44, Center-B.Beattie. Downed by A.Caldwell.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 15TD
7 plays · 56 yds · 2:3185% → 92%
Q3 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
14.7%
B.Bryant pass complete to CIN 44. Catch made by T.Scott at CIN 44. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by MOH at MOH 48.Similar
Q3 11:03
2ND & 2
OPP 48
+3
14.4%
C.Kiner rushed to MOH 45 for 3 yards. Tackled by MOH at MOH 45.Similar
Q3 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+19
14.6%
B.Bryant pass complete to MOH 45. Catch made by T.Tucker at MOH 45. Gain of 19 yards. Tackled by MOH at MOH 26.Similar
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
14.4%
C.McClelland rushed to MOH 26 for 0 yards. Tackled by MOH at MOH 26.Similar
Q3 9:35
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
14.7%
C.McClelland rushed to MOH 25 for 0 yards. Tackled by MOH at MOH 25. PENALTY on CIN-J.Whyle, Personal Foul / Offense, 15 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 9:03
2ND & 25
OPP 41
+41
8.2%
B.Bryant pass complete to MOH 41. Catch made by T.Scott at MOH 41. Gain of 41 yards. T.Scott for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 1:0210% → 10%
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
9.9%
PENALTY on CIN-W.Huber, Defensive Pass Interference, 15 yards, accepted.Similar
Q3 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
10.7%
A.Smith steps back to pass. A.Smith pass incomplete intended for J.Coldiron.Similar
Q3 8:50
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+4
10.4%
K.Mozee rushed to MOH 44 for 4 yards. Tackled by CIN at MOH 44.Similar
Q3 8:10
3RD & 6
OWN 44
-2
10.5%
A.Smith steps back to pass. A.Smith sacked at MOH 42 for -2 yards (B.Threats)Similar
Q3 7:53
4TH & 9
OWN 42
+55
9.9%
D.Dzioban punts 55 yards to CIN 3, Center-B.Beattie. Downed by MOH.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:5091% → 91%
Q3 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
8.9%
C.McClelland rushed to CIN 3 for 0 yards. Tackled by MOH at CIN 3.Similar
Q3 6:48
2ND & 10
OWN 3
+1
8.4%
C.McClelland rushed to CIN 4 for 1 yards. Tackled by MOH at CIN 4.Similar
Q3 6:09
3RD & 9
OWN 4
+1
8.7%
B.Bryant pass complete to CIN 4. Catch made by C.Scott at CIN 4. Gain of 1 yards. Tackled by MOH at CIN 5.Similar
Q3 5:31
4TH & 8
OWN 5
+67
8.9%
M.Fletcher punts 67 yards to MOH 28, Center-C.Pfeiffer. J.Walker returned punt from the MOH 28. Tackled by CIN at MOH 22.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:4710% → 9%
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
9.7%
K.Mozee rushed to MOH 27 for 5 yards. Tackled by CIN at MOH 27.Similar
Q3 4:37
2ND & 5
OWN 27
0
9.5%
K.Mozee rushed to MOH 27 for 0 yards. Tackled by CIN at MOH 27.Similar
Q3 3:59
3RD & 5
OWN 27
0
9.3%
A.Smith rushed to MOH 27 for 0 yards. Tackled by CIN at MOH 27.Similar
Q3 3:25
4TH & 5
OWN 27
+48
9.0%
D.Dzioban punts 48 yards to CIN 25, Center-B.Beattie. Fair catch by J.Thompson.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 19INT
3 plays · 26 yds · 0:5792% → 93%
Q3 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
8.2%
B.Bryant pass complete to CIN 25. Catch made by T.Tucker at CIN 25. Gain of 20 yards. Tackled by MOH at CIN 45.Similar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
7.2%
B.Bryant pass complete to CIN 45. Catch made by T.Tucker at CIN 45. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by MOH at MOH 49.Similar
Q3 2:24
2ND & 4
OPP 49
0
7.2%
B.Bryant pass INTERCEPTED at MOH 35. Intercepted by J.Warren at MOH 35. Tackled by CIN at MOH 39.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 20DOWNS
6 plays · 60 yds · 1:3310% → 11%
Q3 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
10.0%
A.Smith scrambles to MOH 39 for 0 yards. Tackled by CIN at MOH 39.Similar
Q3 1:33
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+4
9.5%
K.Davis rushed to MOH 43 for 4 yards. Tackled by CIN at MOH 43.Similar
Q3 0:53
3RD & 7
OWN 42
0
9.9%
A.Smith steps back to pass. A.Smith pass incomplete intended for J.Coldiron. PENALTY on CIN-E.Phillips, Personal Foul / Defense, 15 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
10.6%
A.Smith steps back to pass. A.Smith pass incomplete intended for MOH.Similar
Q3 0:40
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+5
10.5%
A.Smith pass complete to CIN 42. Catch made by M.Hippenhammer at CIN 42. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by CIN at CIN 37.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 21PUNT
13 plays · 36 yds · 3:4693% → 95%
Q4 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
6.6%
B.Bryant rushed to CIN 2 for 1 yards. Tackled by MOH at CIN 2.Similar
Q4 11:58
2ND & 9
OWN 2
0
6.4%
B.Bryant steps back to pass. B.Bryant pass incomplete intended for J.Thompson.Similar
Q4 11:51
3RD & 9
OWN 2
+16
6.4%
B.Bryant pass complete to CIN 2. Catch made by T.Scott at CIN 2. Gain of 16 yards. Tackled by MOH at CIN 18.Similar
Q4 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
5.8%
B.Bryant rushed to CIN 18 for 0 yards. Tackled by MOH at CIN 18.Similar
Q4 10:56
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
5.8%
B.Bryant steps back to pass. B.Bryant pass incomplete intended for CIN. PENALTY on MOH-B.Ugwu, Personal Foul / Defense, 15 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+16
5.7%
B.Bryant pass complete to CIN 33. Catch made by N.Mardner at CIN 33. Gain of 16 yards. Tackled by MOH at CIN 49.Similar
Q4 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
5.1%
B.Bryant pass complete to CIN 49. Catch made by C.McClelland at CIN 49. Gain of 1 yards. Tackled by MOH at CIN 50.Similar
Q4 10:07
2ND & 9
OPP 0
+2
4.9%
M.Montgomery rushed to MOH 48 for 2 yards. Tackled by MOH at MOH 48.Similar
Q4 9:33
3RD & 7
OPP 48
-15
4.9%
B.Bryant steps back to pass. B.Bryant sacked at CIN 37 for -15 yards (C.Woullard)Similar
Q4 8:46
4TH & 22
OWN 37
+48
5.3%
M.Fletcher punts 48 yards to MOH 15, Center-C.Pfeiffer. J.Walker returned punt from the MOH 15. Tackled by CIN at MOH 20.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 22DOWNS
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:286% → 5%
Q4 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
5.7%
K.Tracy rushed to MOH 22 for 2 yards. Tackled by CIN at MOH 22.Similar
Q4 8:06
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
5.6%
A.Smith steps back to pass. A.Smith pass incomplete intended for M.Marshall.Similar
Q4 8:01
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+7
5.5%
A.Smith pass complete to MOH 22. Catch made by K.Davis at MOH 22. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by CIN at MOH 29.Similar
Q4 7:33
4TH & 1
OWN 29
+5
5.8%
PENALTY on MOH-MOH, Illegal Substitution, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 7:10
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
5.1%
A.Smith steps back to pass. A.Smith pass incomplete intended for M.Hippenhammer.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 23TD
3 plays · 24 yds · 1:2196% → 99%
Q4 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
4.2%
C.McClelland rushed to MOH 19 for 5 yards. Tackled by MOH at MOH 19.Similar
Q4 6:19
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+4
4.0%
C.McClelland rushed to MOH 15 for 4 yards. Tackled by MOH at MOH 15.Similar
Q4 5:41
3RD & 1
OPP 15
+15
0.9%
C.McClelland rushed to MOH End Zone for 15 yards. C.McClelland for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 24PUNT
8 plays · 1 yds · 3:4799% → 100%
Q4 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
0.9%
E.Prater pass complete to CIN 31. Catch made by C.Metayer at CIN 31. Gain of 0 yards. Tackled by MOH at CIN 31. PENALTY on CIN-J.Williams, Ineligible Downfield Pass, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 3:44
1ST & 15
OWN 26
0
0.9%
PENALTY on CIN-J.Williams, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 3:01
1ST & 20
OWN 21
0
0.8%
PENALTY on CIN-J.Williams, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 3:01
1ST & 25
OWN 16
+2
0.8%
M.Montgomery rushed to CIN 18 for 2 yards. Tackled by MOH at CIN 18.Similar
Q4 2:11
2ND & 23
OWN 18
+5
0.7%
E.Prater rushed to CIN 23 for 5 yards. Tackled by MOH at CIN 23.Similar
Q4 1:30
3RD & 18
OWN 23
+15
0.6%
E.Prater rushed to CIN 38 for 15 yards. Tackled by S.Walters at CIN 38. PENALTY on CIN-CIN, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted.Similar
Q4 1:12
3RD & 13
OWN 28
+4
0.6%
E.Prater pass complete to CIN 28. Catch made by M.Montgomery at CIN 28. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by MOH at CIN 32.Similar
Q4 0:06
4TH & 9
OWN 32
+48
0.5%
M.Fletcher punts 48 yards to MOH 20, Center-C.Pfeiffer. Fair catch by J.Walker.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:17
B.Bryant pass complete to MOH 10. Catch made by N.Mardner at MOH 10. Gain of 10 yards. N.Mardner for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
-7.7
TD · Q3 9:03
B.Bryant pass complete to MOH 41. Catch made by T.Scott at MOH 41. Gain of 41 yards. T.Scott for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
-7.4
TD · Q2 10:00
C.Kiner rushed to MOH End Zone for 1 yards. C.Kiner for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
-4.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com