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HOW

Howard 20 at South Florida 42

USF
2022 · Week 2 · Sep 10, 2022 · Raymond James Stadium
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Win probability · USF
modelUSF aheadHOW aheadconfidence bandkey playUSF scoreHOW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Jason Albritton run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:10: Michel Dukes 7 Yd Run (Spencer Shrader Kick) — USF win probability +1.4 pts (now 96%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 7:14: Jaren Mangham run for 1 yd for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK) — USF win probability +2.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 2:37: Jarett Hunter 28 Yd Run (Aaron Bickerton Kick) — HOW win probability +5.9 pts (now 11%) (top driver: HOW has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:33: Michel Dukes 28 Yd Run (Spencer Shrader Kick) — USF win probability +4.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:37: Brian Battie 60 Yd Run (Spencer Shrader Kick) — USF win probability +2.0 pts (now 100%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USF made the numbers' call on 4 of 5HOW made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 11:52HOW 4th & 1 at USF 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    1.4%−0.2
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:52HOW 4th & 1 at USF 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    1.4%−0.2
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:01USF 4th & 6 at USF 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:41USF 4th & 11 at HOW 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.0%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.1%
    42% to make
    Punt
    96.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:52USF 4th & 4 at HOW 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    95.4%−0.2
    32% to make
    Punt
    95.5%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:39HOW 4th & 4 at USF 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.1%
    49% to make
    Punt
    5.5%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:13HOW 4th & 10 at HOW 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.4%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:23USF 4th & 5 at USF 24, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.5%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.8%
    average punt
  9. Q4 12:10HOW 4th & 4 at USF 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    4.2%−0.4
    54% to make
    Punt
    3.4%−1.2
    average punt
  10. Q4 9:41HOW 4th & 14 at HOW 21, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  11. Q4 2:23USF 4th & 4 at HOW 40, up 22
    Close callPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    99.4%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 0:15HOW 4th & 18 at HOW 42, down 22
    Close callWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%−<0.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USF made the numbers' call on 6 of 6HOW made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 4:41HOW Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:16USF Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:10USF Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:14USF Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:37HOW Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:33USF Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:37USF Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 8:05USF Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 4:24HOW Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    0.6%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    0.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USFDrive 1INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
98.9%
Gerry Bohanon pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 2:511% → 1%
Q1 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
98.9%
Quinton Williams pass complete to Kasey Hawthorne for 1 yd to the Howrd 36Similar
Q1 14:43
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+13
98.9%
Jarett Hunter run for 13 yds to the Howrd 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
98.9%
Ian Wheeler run for 5 yds to the SFla 46Similar
Q1 14:43
2ND & 5
OPP 46
0
98.9%
Quinton Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:59
3RD & 5
OPP 46
+4
98.7%
Quinton Williams pass complete to Antoine Murray for 4 yds to the SFla 42Similar
Q1 11:52
4TH & 1
OPP 42
0
98.7%
Phillip Richards punt for 28 ydsSimilar
Q1 11:52
4TH & 1
OPP 42
0
98.7%
Phillip Richards punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Xavier Weaver at the SFla 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 33 yds · 1:5199% → 99%
Q1 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+29
98.7%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Jimmy Horn Jr. for 29 yds to the SFla 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
98.7%
Jaren Mangham run for 1 yd to the SFla 44Similar
Q1 11:52
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+3
98.7%
Jaren Mangham run for 3 yds to the SFla 47Similar
Q1 11:52
3RD & 6
OWN 47
0
98.7%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 10:01
4TH & 6
OWN 47
0
98.5%
Andrew Stokes punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Richie Ilarraza at the Howrd 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 4TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 5:202% → 3%
Q1 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
98.5%
run for 3 yds to the Howrd 23Similar
Q1 10:01
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+22
98.5%
Quinton Williams pass complete to Matthew McDonald for 22 yds to the Howrd 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
98.5%
Ian Wheeler run for 2 yds to the Howrd 47Similar
Q1 10:01
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+3
98.5%
Quinton Williams pass complete to Richie Ilarraza for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 10:01
3RD & 5
50
+7
98.5%
Quinton Williams pass complete to Richie Ilarraza for 7 yds to the SFla 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
98.5%
Quinton Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:01
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+17
98.5%
Quinton Williams pass complete to Ian Wheeler for 17 yds to the SFla 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+8
98.5%
Quinton Williams run for 8 yds to the SFla 18Similar
Q1 10:01
2ND & 2
OPP 18
0
98.5%
Jarett Hunter run for no gain to the SFla 18Similar
Q1 4:41
3RD & 2
OPP 18
+18
97.4%
Kasey Hawthorne 18 Yd Run (Aaron Bickerton Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 5MISSED FG
9 plays · 42 yds · 2:5598% → 97%
Q1 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
97.5%
Brian Battie run for 7 yds to the SFla 29Similar
Q1 4:36
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+19
97.5%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Khafre Brown for 19 yds to the SFla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
97.6%
Brian Battie run for 5 yds to the Howrd 47Similar
Q1 4:36
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+12
97.6%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 12 yds to the Howrd 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:36
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
97.6%
Michel Dukes run for a loss of 1 yard to the Howrd 36Similar
Q1 4:36
2ND & 11
OPP 36
0
97.6%
Gerry Bohanon pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:46
3RD & 11
OPP 36
0
96.8%
Gerry Bohanon pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:41
4TH & 11
OPP 36
+54
96.6%
Spencer Shrader 54 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 6FUMBLE
5 plays · 24 yds · 1:493% → 4%
Q1 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
96.6%
Quinton Williams pass complete to Jarett Hunter for 13 yds to the Howrd 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-2
96.5%
Ian Wheeler run for a loss of 2 yards to the Howrd 47Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 12
OWN 47
+3
96.0%
run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 9
50
+10
95.9%
Quinton Williams pass complete to Christion Carter for 10 yds Christion Carter fumbled, recovered by SFla Jayden CurrySimilar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 9
50
+10
95.9%
Quinton Williams pass complete to Christion Carter for 10 yds Christion Carter fumbled, recovered by SFla Jayden CurrySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 7TD
11 plays · 60 yds · 3:3696% → 97%
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
96.2%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 9 yds to the SFla 49Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+4
96.3%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 4 yds to the Howrd 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
96.3%
Gerry Bohanon pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
96.3%
Gerry Bohanon pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+6
96.2%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to for 6 yds to the Howrd 41Similar
Q2 14:52
4TH & 4
OPP 41
+8
96.2%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Sean Atkins for 8 yds to the Howrd 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
96.5%
Gerry Bohanon pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+15
96.4%
Brian Battie run for 15 yds to the Howrd 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+7
96.4%
Brian Battie run for 7 yds to the Howrd 11Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 3
OPP 11
+9
96.4%
Gerry Bohanon run for 9 yds to the Howrd 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
96.6%
Jaren Mangham 2 Yd Run (Spencer Shrader Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 8FUMBLE
13 plays · 34 yds · 7:274% → 8%
Q2 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
96.0%
Quinton Williams pass complete to Richie Ilarraza for 8 yds to the Howrd 33Similar
Q2 11:16
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
95.8%
Jarett Hunter run for no gain to the Howrd 33Similar
Q2 11:16
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+9
95.9%
Quinton Williams pass complete to Matthew McDonald for 9 yds to the Howrd 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
95.8%
Jarett Hunter run for 5 yds to the Howrd 47Similar
Q2 11:16
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+6
95.7%
Quinton Williams pass complete to Richie Ilarraza for 6 yds to the SFla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
95.7%
Ian Wheeler run for 1 yd to the SFla 46Similar
Q2 11:16
2ND & 9
OPP 46
0
95.7%
Quinton Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:16
3RD & 9
OPP 46
+11
95.8%
Quinton Williams pass complete to Matthew McDonald for 11 yds to the SFla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
95.6%
run for 1 yd to the SFla 34Similar
Q2 11:16
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+3
95.6%
Eden James run for 3 yds to the SFla 31Similar
Q2 11:16
3RD & 6
OPP 31
+8
95.7%
Quinton Williams run for 8 yds to the SFla 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
95.5%
Jarett Hunter run for 3 yds to the SFla 20Similar
Q2 3:49
2ND & 7
OPP 20
-21
91.8%
Antoine Murray run for a loss of 21 yards to the SFla 41 Antoine Murray fumbled, recovered by SFla Rashawn YatesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 9TD
5 plays · 59 yds · 1:3994% → 96%
Q2 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+23
94.2%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Jimmy Horn Jr. for 23 yds to the Howrd 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
94.5%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Michel Dukes for 3 yds to the Howrd 33Similar
Q2 3:49
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+16
94.6%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Gunnar Greenwald for 16 yds to the Howrd 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+10
94.6%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 10 yds to the Howrd 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
96.0%
Michel Dukes 7 Yd Run (Spencer Shrader Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 10MISSED FG
10 plays · 42 yds · 1:315% → 5%
Q2 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
95.5%
Jarett Hunter run for a loss of 1 yard to the Howrd 24Similar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+6
95.4%
Quinton Williams pass complete to Kasey Hawthorne for 6 yds to the Howrd 30Similar
Q2 1:30
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+15
95.3%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Personal Foul (Jatorian Hansford) to the SFla 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
94.5%
Quinton Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+5
94.8%
Jarett Hunter run for 5 yds to the SFla 34Similar
Q2 0:43
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+1
94.6%
Quinton Williams pass complete to Ian Wheeler for 1 yd to the SFla 33Similar
Q2 0:39
4TH & 4
OPP 33
+50
94.9%
Aaron Bickerton 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 11END OF HALF
4 plays · 10 yds · 0:3996% → 95%
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+10
95.6%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Jaren Mangham for 10 yds to the SFla 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
95.9%
Gerry Bohanon pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
95.8%
Gerry Bohanon pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 43
0
95.1%
Gerry Bohanon run for no gain to the SFla 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:475% → 5%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
94.8%
Jarett Hunter run for 14 yds to the Howrd 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
94.5%
Quinton Williams pass complete to Nah'Shawn Hezekiah for a loss of 1 yard to the Howrd 38Similar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 11
OWN 38
-5
94.5%
HOWARD Penalty, False Start (Jack Forsyth) to the Howrd 33Similar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 16
OWN 33
+6
94.7%
Quinton Williams pass complete to Ian Wheeler for 6 yds to the Howrd 39Similar
Q3 13:20
3RD & 10
OWN 39
0
94.7%
Quinton Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:13
4TH & 10
OWN 39
+8
94.7%
Phillip Richards punt for 50 yds , Xavier Weaver returns for 8 yds to the SFla 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:5094% → 94%
Q3 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
94.4%
Brian Battie run for 6 yds to the SFla 25Similar
Q3 12:13
2ND & 4
OWN 25
-10
94.5%
HORN JR., Jimmy rush to the left for no gain to the USF25 (GALLOP, Kenny). PENALTY USF Illegal Block in the Back on CARTER, Chris enforced 10 yards from the USF25 to the USF15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 12:13
2ND & 14
OWN 15
+9
94.3%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Gunnar Greenwald for 9 yds to the SFla 24Similar
Q3 12:13
3RD & 5
OWN 24
0
94.2%
Gerry Bohanon pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:23
4TH & 5
OWN 24
0
93.7%
Andrew Stokes punt for 52 yds, downed at the Howrd 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 14INT
3 plays · -3 yds · 1:266% → 6%
Q3 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
93.9%
Quinton Williams run for 3 yds to the Howrd 27Similar
Q3 10:23
2ND & 7
OWN 27
-6
93.8%
Eden James run for a loss of 6 yards to the Howrd 21Similar
Q3 8:57
3RD & 13
OWN 21
0
93.9%
Quinton Williams pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 15TD
5 plays · 25 yds · 1:4395% → 97%
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+20
95.2%
HOWARD Penalty, Personal Foul (Kenny Gallop Jr.) to the Howrd 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
95.2%
Jaren Mangham run for a loss of 1 yard to the Howrd 3Similar
Q3 8:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
95.2%
Jaren Mangham run for 2 yds to the Howrd 1Similar
Q3 7:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.3%
Jaren Mangham run for 1 yd for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK)Similar
Q3 7:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.3%
Jaren Mangham 1 Yd Run (Spencer Shrader Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 16TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:374% → 11%
Q3 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.5%
Jarett Hunter run for no gain to the Howrd 25Similar
Q3 7:14
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
96.6%
WILLIAMS, Quinton pass to the right incomplete intended for CARTER, Christian thrown to the USF38. PENALTY USF Offsides on LOGAN, Tramel declined USF Pass Interference on JONES II, Will enforced 15 yards to the HOW40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
96.3%
Ian Wheeler run for a loss of 1 yard to the Howrd 39Similar
Q3 7:14
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+13
96.4%
Quinton Williams pass complete to Ian Wheeler for 13 yds to the SFla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
96.0%
Quinton Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:14
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+3
96.2%
Quinton Williams run for 3 yds to the SFla 45Similar
Q3 7:14
3RD & 7
OPP 45
+8
96.1%
Quinton Williams pass complete to Antoine Murray for 8 yds to the SFla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
96.0%
Quinton Williams pass complete to Antoine Murray for 7 yds to the SFla 30Similar
Q3 3:37
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+2
95.2%
Quinton Williams run for 2 yds to the SFla 28Similar
Q3 2:37
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+28
89.3%
Jarett Hunter 28 Yd Run (Aaron Bickerton Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 17TD
5 plays · 61 yds · 1:5693% → 98%
Q3 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
93.2%
Gerry Bohanon pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:29
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+5
93.1%
Brian Battie run for 5 yds to the SFla 44Similar
Q3 2:29
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+12
93.0%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 12 yds to the Howrd 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+15
93.6%
HOWARD Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Howrd 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
97.8%
Michel Dukes 28 Yd Run (Spencer Shrader Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 18DOWNS
7 plays · 44 yds · 2:503% → 3%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
96.8%
Ian Wheeler run for 3 yds to the Howrd 28Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+22
96.6%
Ian Wheeler run for 22 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+13
96.4%
Ian Wheeler run for 13 yds to the SFla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
96.4%
run for no gain to the SFla 37Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+5
96.4%
Jarett Hunter run for 5 yds to the SFla 32Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 32
+1
96.2%
Quinton Williams pass complete to Jarett Hunter for 1 yd to the SFla 31Similar
Q4 12:10
4TH & 4
OPP 31
0
96.6%
Quinton Williams pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 19TD
2 plays · 69 yds · 0:3398% → 100%
Q4 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
97.6%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 9 yds to the SFla 40Similar
Q4 11:37
2ND & 1
OWN 40
+60
99.6%
Brian Battie 60 Yd Run (Spencer Shrader Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 1:561% → 1%
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
99.3%
Eden James run for a loss of 3 yards to the Howrd 22Similar
Q4 11:37
2ND & 13
OWN 22
-7
99.3%
Quinton Williams sacked by Jonathan Ross for a loss of 7 yards to the Howrd 15Similar
Q4 11:37
3RD & 20
OWN 15
0
99.4%
HOWARD Penalty, Offensive Holding (Christion Carter) declinedSimilar
Q4 9:41
4TH & 14
OWN 21
+6
99.3%
Phillip Richards punt for 39 yds , Sean Atkins returns for 6 yds to the SFla 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 21TD
5 plays · 54 yds · 1:36100% → 100%
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+39
99.8%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Omarion Dollison for 39 yds to the Howrd 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+39
99.8%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Omarion Dollison for 39 yds to the Howrd 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
99.8%
K'Wan Powell run for 2 yds to the Howrd 1Similar
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+12
99.8%
Mychael Hamilton run for 12 yds to the Howrd 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
K'Wan Powell 1 Yd Run (Spencer Shrader Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 22TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:410% → 1%
Q4 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.9%
HOWARD Penalty, False Start (Kedrick Green) to the Howrd 20Similar
Q4 8:05
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+15
99.9%
Quinton Williams pass complete to Breylin Smith for 15 yds to the Howrd 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+20
99.9%
Quinton Williams pass complete to Jarett Hunter for 20 yds to the SFla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
99.9%
Quinton Williams pass complete to Antoine Murray for 15 yds to the SFla 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-5
99.9%
Quinton Williams sacked by Jaelen Stokes for a loss of 5 yards to the SFla 35Similar
Q4 8:05
2ND & 15
OPP 35
+8
99.9%
Quinton Williams pass complete to Ian Wheeler for 8 yds to the SFla 27Similar
Q4 8:05
3RD & 7
OPP 27
+24
99.9%
Ian Wheeler run for 24 yds to the SFla 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.3%
Ian Wheeler 3 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 1:56100% → 100%
Q4 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
99.8%
HOWARD Penalty, Personal Foul (Terrance Hollon) to the Howrd 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
99.8%
Mychael Hamilton run for 2 yds to the Howrd 44Similar
Q4 4:19
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+5
99.8%
Jason Albritton run for 5 yds to the Howrd 39Similar
Q4 2:30
3RD & 3
OPP 39
-1
99.9%
Mychael Hamilton run for a loss of 1 yard to the Howrd 40Similar
Q4 2:23
4TH & 4
OPP 40
0
99.9%
Andrew Stokes punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 24DOWNS
7 plays · 34 yds · 2:080% → 0%
Q4 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
99.6%
Jarett Hunter run for 9 yds to the Howrd 29Similar
Q4 2:23
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+21
99.6%
Quinton Williams pass complete to Richie Ilarraza for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:23
1ST & 10
50
0
99.6%
Quinton Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:23
2ND & 10
50
-3
99.6%
Quinton Williams pass complete to Jarett Hunter for a loss of 3 yards to the Howrd 47Similar
Q4 2:23
3RD & 13
OWN 47
-5
99.7%
Quinton Williams sacked by Keeon Terrell for a loss of 5 yards to the Howrd 42Similar
Q4 0:15
4TH & 18
OWN 42
+7
99.9%
Quinton Williams run for 7 yds to the SFla 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 25END OF GAME
1 play · 4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
99.8%
Jason Albritton run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:37
Jarett Hunter 28 Yd Run (Aaron Bickerton Kick)
-5.9
TD · Q3 0:33
Michel Dukes 28 Yd Run (Spencer Shrader Kick)
+4.1
TD · Q3 7:14
Jaren Mangham run for 1 yd for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK)
+2.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com