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ALCN

Alcorn State 0 at Tulane 52

TULN
2022 · Week 2 · Sep 10, 2022 · Yulman Stadium
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Win probability · TULN
modelTULN aheadALCN aheadconfidence bandkey playTULN scoreALCN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:23 · Noah Kiani punt for 50 yds, downed at the Tulan 16
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 88Pregame prior+34.3Home team on offense+29.2Score differential+21.8Blowout margin+10.8Garbage-time factor+5.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.6
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 7:59: Kriston Esnard 26 yd FG GOOD — TULN win probability +0.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 6:18: Shaadie Clayton 6 Yd Run (Kriston Esnard Kick) — TULN win probability +0.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 3:10: Lawrence Keys III 7 Yd Run (Kriston Esnard Kick) — TULN win probability +0.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 13:38: Jha'Quan Jackson 16 Yd pass from Michael Pratt (Kriston Esnard Kick) — TULN win probability +1.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 2:46: Tyrick James 25 Yd pass from Michael Pratt (Kriston Esnard Kick) — TULN win probability +0.9 pts (now 100%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TULN made the numbers' call on 3 of 4ALCN made the numbers' call on 13 of 15
  1. Q1 13:14ALCN 4th & 11 at TULN 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.3%
    64% to make
    Punt
    1.9%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:14TULN 4th & 1 at ALCN 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    97.6%−0.2
    58% to make
    Punt
    97.2%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:59TULN 4th & 6 at ALCN 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.9%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.0%
    88% to make
    Punt
    96.5%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:12ALCN 4th & 4 at ALCN 31, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.3%
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:12ALCN 4th & 4 at ALCN 31, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.3%
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:04ALCN 4th & 17 at ALCN 18, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:15ALCN 4th & 6 at ALCN 29, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 12:15ALCN 4th & 6 at ALCN 29, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 10:57TULN 4th & 2 at TULN 47, up 24
    Close callPunted · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.2%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:06ALCN 4th & 6 at ALCN 38, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:23ALCN 4th & 1 at ALCN 34, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−<0.1
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:24ALCN 4th & 2 at ALCN 33, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  13. Q3 10:50ALCN 4th & 15 at ALCN 20, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  14. Q3 10:50ALCN 4th & 15 at ALCN 20, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  15. Q3 6:59ALCN 4th & 3 at ALCN 32, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  16. Q3 6:59ALCN 4th & 3 at ALCN 32, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 13:56ALCN 4th & 5 at TULN 45, down 45
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 5:59ALCN 4th & 1 at ALCN 34, down 52
    Close callPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 5:59TULN 4th & 7 at ALCN 43, up 52
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    100.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−0.1
    28% to make
    Punt
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TULN made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 6:18TULN Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:10TULN Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:38TULN Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:46TULN Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 13:13TULN Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:58TULN Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:08TULN Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TULNDrive 1FUMBLE
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:1498% → 98%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
98.0%
pass complete to Shae Wyatt for 4 yds to the Tulan 33Similar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 6
OWN 33
-3
98.0%
Tyjae Spears run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulan 30Similar
Q1 13:42
3RD & 9
OWN 30
-5
97.9%
run for a loss of 5 yards to the Tulan 25Similar
Q1 13:42
3RD & 9
OWN 30
-5
97.9%
Michael Pratt run for a loss of 5 yards to the Tulan 25 Michael Pratt fumbled, recovered by AlcSt Tyler SmithSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALCNDrive 2MISSED FG
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:282% → 2%
Q1 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-1
97.9%
Jarveon Howard run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 26Similar
Q1 13:42
2ND & 11
OPP 26
0
97.9%
Aaron Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:42
3RD & 11
OPP 26
0
97.9%
Aaron Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:14
4TH & 11
OPP 26
+43
97.8%
Noah Kiani 43 yd FG BLOCKED blocked bySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 3FG
14 plays · 64 yds · 5:1598% → 97%
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+26
97.8%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyrick James for 26 yds to the AlcSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
97.8%
Tyjae Spears run for 9 yds to the AlcSt 39Similar
Q1 13:14
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+1
97.8%
Tyjae Spears run for 1 yd to the AlcSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
97.8%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:14
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+9
97.8%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Shae Wyatt for 9 yds to the AlcSt 29Similar
Q1 13:14
3RD & 1
OPP 29
0
97.8%
Tyjae Spears run for no gain to the AlcSt 29Similar
Q1 13:14
4TH & 1
OPP 29
+2
97.8%
Michael Pratt run for 2 yds to the AlcSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+13
97.8%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 13 yds to the AlcSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
97.8%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Lawrence Keys III for 6 yds to the AlcSt 8Similar
Q1 13:14
2ND & 4
OPP 8
+2
97.8%
Iverson Celestine run for 2 yds to the AlcSt 6Similar
Q1 13:14
3RD & 2
OPP 6
+1
97.8%
Tyjae Spears run for 1 yd to the AlcSt 5Similar
Q1 8:03
4TH & 1
OPP 5
-5
97.1%
TULANE Penalty, False Start (Sincere Haynesworth) to the AlcSt 10Similar
Q1 7:59
4TH & 6
OPP 10
+26
97.2%
Kriston Esnard 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALCNDrive 4INT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:303% → 3%
Q1 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
97.2%
Niko Duffey run for 7 yds to the AlcSt 32Similar
Q1 7:59
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
97.1%
Aaron Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:29
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
97.1%
Aaron Allen pass interceptedSimilar
Q1 7:29
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
97.1%
Aaron Allen pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 5TD
4 plays · 27 yds · 1:1197% → 97%
Q1 7:29
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+16
97.2%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Dea Dea McDougle for 16 yds to the AlcSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:29
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
97.2%
CLAYTON, Shaadie rush to the left for a gain of 3 yards to the ASU8 (MUHAMMAD, Rasul). PENALTY ASU Offsides on JONES, Kee Wayne enforced 5 yards from the ASU11 to the ASU6 [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 7:29
1ST & 5
OPP 6
0
97.2%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:18
2ND & 5
OPP 6
+6
97.3%
Shaadie Clayton 6 Yd Run (Kriston Esnard Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALCNDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 2:063% → 3%
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
97.1%
ALCORN ST Penalty, False Start (T.J. Yarbrough) to the AlcSt 20Similar
Q1 6:18
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+2
97.1%
Jarveon Howard run for 2 yds to the AlcSt 22Similar
Q1 6:18
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+2
97.1%
Jarveon Howard run for 2 yds to the AlcSt 24Similar
Q1 6:18
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+7
97.2%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Tim McNair Jr. for 7 yds to the AlcSt 31Similar
Q1 6:18
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+7
97.2%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Tim McNair Jr. for 7 yds to the AlcSt 31Similar
Q1 4:12
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+14
96.9%
Noah Kiani punt for 35 yds , Jha'Quan Jackson returns for 14 yds to the Tulan 48Similar
Q1 4:12
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+14
96.9%
Noah Kiani punt for 35 yds , Jha'Quan Jackson returns for 14 yds to the Tulan 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 7TD
3 plays · 52 yds · 1:0297% → 98%
Q1 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+43
97.1%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Shae Wyatt for 43 yds to the AlcSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
97.1%
Shaadie Clayton run for 2 yds to the AlcSt 7Similar
Q1 3:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
97.6%
Lawrence Keys III 7 Yd Run (Kriston Esnard Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALCNDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 2:063% → 3%
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
97.5%
Niko Duffey run for a loss of 1 yard to the AlcSt 24Similar
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
97.5%
Niko Duffey run for a loss of 1 yard to the AlcSt 24Similar
Q1 3:10
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+1
97.5%
Niko Duffey run for 1 yd to the AlcSt 25Similar
Q1 3:10
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-7
97.5%
Aaron Allen sacked by Corey Platt Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the AlcSt 18Similar
Q1 1:04
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
97.4%
Noah Kiani punt for 31 yds, downed at the AlcSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 9TD
7 plays · 49 yds · 2:2698% → 99%
Q1 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
97.7%
Iverson Celestine run for 3 yds to the AlcSt 46Similar
Q1 1:04
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+15
97.6%
PRATT, Michael pass to the right incomplete intended for KEYS III, Lawrence thrown to the ASU27. PENALTY ASU Personal Foul on VINES, Trevor enforced 15 yards from the ASU46 to the ASU31 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
97.6%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Phat Watts for 5 yds to the AlcSt 26Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 26
-10
97.6%
PRATT, Michael pass to the right complete for 26 yards to JAMES, Tyrick caught at the ASU4 and advanced to the ASU0, TOUCHDOWN TLN, score nullified by penalty. PENALTY TLN Holding on HAYNESWORTH, Sincere enforced 10 yards from the ASU26 to the ASU36 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 15
OPP 36
+1
97.6%
Iverson Celestine run for 1 yd to the AlcSt 35Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 14
OPP 35
+19
97.5%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 19 yds to the AlcSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:38
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
98.5%
Jha'Quan Jackson 16 Yd pass from Michael Pratt (Kriston Esnard Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALCNDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:232% → 2%
Q2 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.1%
Javonta Leatherwood run for 3 yds to the AlcSt 28Similar
Q2 13:38
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
98.1%
Javonta Leatherwood run for 1 yd to the AlcSt 29Similar
Q2 13:38
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
98.1%
Aaron Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:15
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
98.2%
Noah Kiani punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Jha'Quan Jackson at the Tulan 39Similar
Q2 12:15
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
98.2%
Noah Kiani punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Jha'Quan Jackson at the Tulan 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:1899% → 98%
Q2 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
98.5%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Dea Dea McDougle for 8 yds to the Tulan 47Similar
Q2 12:15
2ND & 2
OWN 47
0
98.5%
Iverson Celestine run for no gain to the Tulan 47Similar
Q2 12:15
3RD & 2
OWN 47
0
98.5%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:57
4TH & 2
OWN 47
0
98.4%
Casey Glover punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Derrick Travis at the AlcSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALCNDrive 12PUNT
10 plays · 27 yds · 4:512% → 2%
Q2 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
98.2%
Aaron Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:57
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+8
98.2%
Javonta Leatherwood run for 8 yds to the AlcSt 19Similar
Q2 10:57
3RD & 2
OWN 19
+3
98.2%
Javonta Leatherwood run for 3 yds to the AlcSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
98.2%
Javonta Leatherwood run for 3 yds to the AlcSt 25Similar
Q2 10:57
2ND & 7
OWN 25
0
98.2%
Jarveon Howard run for no gain to the AlcSt 25Similar
Q2 10:57
3RD & 7
OWN 25
+9
98.2%
Aaron Allen run for 9 yds to the AlcSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
98.1%
Jarveon Howard run for 3 yds to the AlcSt 37Similar
Q2 10:57
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+2
98.1%
Jarveon Howard run for 2 yds to the AlcSt 39Similar
Q2 10:57
3RD & 5
OWN 39
-1
98.1%
Jarveon Howard run for a loss of 1 yard to the AlcSt 38Similar
Q2 6:06
4TH & 6
OWN 38
0
98.1%
Noah Kiani punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jha'Quan Jackson at the Tulan 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 13TD
11 plays · 77 yds · 3:2099% → 100%
Q2 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+13
98.5%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 13 yds to the Tulan 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
98.6%
Shaadie Clayton run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 35Similar
Q2 6:06
2ND & 11
OWN 35
0
98.5%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:06
3RD & 11
OWN 35
+18
98.5%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Lawrence Keys III for 18 yds to the AlcSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+23
98.6%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Dea Dea McDougle for 23 yds to the AlcSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
98.6%
Iverson Celestine run for 2 yds to the AlcSt 22Similar
Q2 2:52
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+2
98.6%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Shae Wyatt for 2 yds to the AlcSt 20Similar
Q2 2:52
3RD & 6
OPP 20
-5
98.6%
TULANE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the AlcSt 25Similar
Q2 2:52
3RD & 6
OPP 20
-5
98.6%
TULANE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the AlcSt 25Similar
Q2 2:46
3RD & 11
OPP 25
+25
99.5%
Tyrick James 25 Yd pass from Michael Pratt (Kriston Esnard Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALCNDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:231% → 0%
Q2 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.5%
Niko Duffey run for 2 yds to the AlcSt 27Similar
Q2 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.5%
Niko Duffey run for 2 yds to the AlcSt 27Similar
Q2 2:46
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
99.5%
Niko Duffey run for 5 yds to the AlcSt 32Similar
Q2 0:37
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
99.7%
Niko Duffey run for 2 yds to the AlcSt 34Similar
Q2 0:23
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
99.6%
Noah Kiani punt for 50 yds, downed at the Tulan 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALCNDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:360% → 0%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.6%
Jarveon Howard run for 1 yd to the AlcSt 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
99.6%
Aaron Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+7
99.6%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Akeem McNair for 7 yds to the AlcSt 33Similar
Q3 13:24
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
99.7%
Noah Kiani punt for 41 yds , returns for no gain to the Tulan 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 17TD
1 play · 72 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+72
99.7%
Shae Wyatt 72 Yd pass from Michael Pratt (Kriston Esnard Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALCNDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 2:230% → 0%
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.7%
Niko Duffey run for 3 yds to the AlcSt 28Similar
Q3 13:13
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
99.7%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Akeem McNair for 1 yd to the AlcSt 29Similar
Q3 13:13
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-9
99.7%
Aaron Allen sacked by Carlos Hatcher and Noah Taliancich for a loss of 9 yards to the AlcSt 20Similar
Q3 10:50
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
99.8%
Noah Kiani punt for 28 ydsSimilar
Q3 10:50
4TH & 15
OWN 20
+13
99.8%
Noah Kiani punt for 28 yds ALCORN ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Robert McDaniel) to the AlcSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 19TD
5 plays · 33 yds · 1:52100% → 100%
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
99.8%
Iverson Celestine run for 4 yds to the AlcSt 29Similar
Q3 10:50
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+3
99.8%
Iverson Celestine run for 3 yds to the AlcSt 26Similar
Q3 10:50
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+3
99.8%
Iverson Celestine run for 3 yds to the AlcSt 26Similar
Q3 10:50
3RD & 3
OPP 26
+10
99.8%
Iverson Celestine run for 10 yds to the AlcSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
99.8%
Dea Dea McDougle 16 Yd Run (Kriston Esnard Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALCNDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:590% → 0%
Q3 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.8%
Javonta Leatherwood run for 7 yds to the AlcSt 32Similar
Q3 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.8%
Javonta Leatherwood run for 7 yds to the AlcSt 32Similar
Q3 8:58
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-2
99.8%
Markevion Quinn run for a loss of 2 yards to the AlcSt 30Similar
Q3 8:58
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+2
99.8%
Javonta Leatherwood run for 2 yds to the AlcSt 32Similar
Q3 6:59
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
99.8%
Noah Kiani punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Jha'Quan Jackson at the Tulan 40Similar
Q3 6:59
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
99.8%
Noah Kiani punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Jha'Quan Jackson at the Tulan 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 21FUMBLE
15 plays · 60 yds · 5:08100% → 100%
Q3 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
99.8%
Justin Ibieta pass complete to Luke Besh for 5 yds to the Tulan 45Similar
Q3 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
99.8%
Justin Ibieta pass complete to Luke Besh for 5 yds to the Tulan 45Similar
Q3 6:59
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+11
99.8%
Justin Ibieta pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for 11 yds to the AlcSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:59
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+11
99.8%
Justin Ibieta pass complete to Chris Brazzell II for 11 yds to the AlcSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-5
99.8%
TULANE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the AlcSt 49Similar
Q3 6:59
1ST & 15
OPP 49
+15
99.8%
Justin Ibieta pass complete to Bryce Bohanon for 15 yds to the AlcSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
99.8%
Justin Ibieta pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:59
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+13
99.8%
Justin Ibieta pass complete to Luke Besh for 13 yds to the AlcSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+14
99.8%
Iverson Celestine run for 14 yds to the AlcSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:59
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+13
99.8%
Justin Ibieta pass complete to Luke Besh for 13 yds to the AlcSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+14
99.8%
Iverson Celestine run for 14 yds to the AlcSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
99.8%
Iverson Celestine run for 2 yds to the AlcSt 5Similar
Q3 6:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.8%
ALCORN ST Penalty, Offsides (Trevor Vines) to the AlcSt 2Similar
Q3 6:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
99.8%
Lucas Barisas run for no gain to the AlcSt 2Similar
Q3 1:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Iverson Celestine run for 2 yds Iverson Celestine fumbled, recovered by AlcSt Wallace MeltonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALCNDrive 22PUNT
9 plays · 35 yds · 2:550% → 0%
Q3 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
99.9%
Markevion Quinn pass complete to Joshua Compton for 15 yds to the AlcSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
99.9%
Brandon Rogers run for 1 yd to the AlcSt 36Similar
Q3 1:51
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Markevion Quinn pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:51
3RD & 9
OWN 36
-5
99.9%
ALCORN ST Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the AlcSt 31Similar
Q3 1:51
3RD & 14
OWN 31
+19
99.9%
Markevion Quinn pass complete to CJ Bolar for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
50
+2
99.9%
Brandon Rogers run for 2 yds to the Tulan 48Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 48
0
99.9%
Markevion Quinn pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+3
99.9%
Javonta Leatherwood run for 3 yds to the Tulan 45Similar
Q4 13:56
4TH & 5
OPP 45
0
99.9%
Noah Kiani punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Jha'Quan Jackson at the Tulan 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 23TD
14 plays · 86 yds · 5:48100% → 100%
Q4 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+7
99.9%
Lucas Barisas run for 7 yds to the Tulan 21Similar
Q4 13:56
2ND & 3
OWN 21
+5
99.9%
Lucas Barisas run for 5 yds to the Tulan 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:56
2ND & 11
OWN 25
+6
99.9%
Lucas Barisas run for 6 yds to the Tulan 31Similar
Q4 13:56
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+14
99.9%
Justin Ibieta pass complete to Trevor Evans for 14 yds to the Tulan 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
99.9%
WILLIAMS, Levi rush to the left for a loss of 4 yards to the TLN41 (BLOUNT, Macarius). PENALTY ASU Personal Foul on BLOUNT, Macarius enforced 15 yards from the TLN45 to the ASU40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
99.9%
Josh Coltrin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 25Similar
Q4 13:56
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
99.9%
Justin Ibieta pass complete to Trevor Evans for 6 yds to the AlcSt 34Similar
Q4 13:56
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+2
99.9%
Josh Coltrin run for 2 yds to the AlcSt 32Similar
Q4 13:56
3RD & 2
OPP 32
+2
99.9%
Lucas Barisas run for 2 yds to the AlcSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:56
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
99.9%
Justin Ibieta pass complete to Lucas Desjardins for 8 yds to the AlcSt 22Similar
Q4 13:56
2ND & 2
OPP 22
+13
99.9%
Lucas Barisas run for 13 yds to the AlcSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
99.9%
Lucas Barisas run for 6 yds to the AlcSt 3Similar
Q4 13:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.9%
Justin Ibieta pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.9%
Justin Ibieta 3 Yd Run (Graham Dable Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALCNDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:090% → 0%
Q4 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Brandon Rogers run for no gain to the AlcSt 25Similar
Q4 8:08
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
100.0%
Markevion Quinn run for 5 yds to the AlcSt 30Similar
Q4 6:07
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+4
100.0%
Brandon Rogers run for 4 yds to the AlcSt 34Similar
Q4 5:59
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
100.0%
Noah Kiani punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jha'Quan Jackson at the Tulan 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 25END OF GAME
11 plays · 48 yds · 5:59100% → 100%
Q4 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
100.0%
Tate Jernigan run for 4 yds to the Tulan 36Similar
Q4 5:59
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+7
100.0%
Tate Jernigan run for 7 yds to the Tulan 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
100.0%
George Arata run for 6 yds to the Tulan 49Similar
Q4 5:59
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+5
100.0%
Charles Schibler run for 5 yds to the AlcSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
100.0%
Tate Jernigan run for no gain to the AlcSt 46Similar
Q4 5:59
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+2
100.0%
George Arata run for 2 yds to the AlcSt 44Similar
Q4 5:59
3RD & 8
OPP 44
+1
100.0%
Charles Schibler run for 1 yd to the AlcSt 43Similar
Q4 5:59
4TH & 7
OPP 43
+9
100.0%
Kai Horton pass complete to Michael Lavergne for 9 yds to the AlcSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+12
100.0%
Josh Coltrin run for 12 yds to the AlcSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
100.0%
George Arata run for 4 yds to the AlcSt 18Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 18
-2
100.0%
Tate Jernigan run for a loss of 2 yards to the AlcSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 13:38
Jha'Quan Jackson 16 Yd pass from Michael Pratt (Kriston Esnard Kick)
+1
TD · Q2 2:46
Tyrick James 25 Yd pass from Michael Pratt (Kriston Esnard Kick)
+0.9
TD · Q1 3:10
Lawrence Keys III 7 Yd Run (Kriston Esnard Kick)
+0.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com