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LAF

Lafayette 14 at Temple 30

TEM
2022 · Week 2 · Sep 10, 2022 · Lincoln Financial Field
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Win probability · TEM
modelTEM aheadLAF aheadconfidence bandkey playTEM scoreLAF score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 3:48 · Rory Bell 45 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+31.5+15.80−15.8−31.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 113Pregame prior+10.5Home team on offense+12.3Score differential+2.4Garbage-time factor+4.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:40: Ian Stewart 15 Yd pass from E.J. Warner (Rory Bell Kick) — TEM win probability +7.8 pts (now 82%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:23: Edward Saydee 9 Yd Run (Rory Bell Kick) — TEM win probability +7.0 pts (now 89%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:59: Mason Gilbert 5 Yd pass from Ryan Schuster (Jakob Trestik Kick) — LAF win probability +7.9 pts (now 20%) (top driver: LAF has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 0:00: Jakari Norwood run for 1 yd to the Temp 31 — TEM win probability +6.4 pts (now 88%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:12: Jordan Smith 17 Yd pass from E.J. Warner (Rory Bell Kick) — TEM win probability +5.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEM made the numbers' call on 5 of 8LAF made the numbers' call on 9 of 15
  1. Q1 12:02LAF 4th & 18 at LAF 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.5%−0.3
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:30LAF 4th & 16 at LAF 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.0%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:53TEM 4th & 4 at LAF 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 78.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    78.7%−0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    77.7%−1.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:53TEM 4th & 4 at LAF 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 78.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    78.7%−0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    77.7%−1.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:48LAF 4th & 8 at LAF 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.7%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:36LAF 4th & 9 at TEM 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 24.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.6%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    24.3%−0.3
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    24.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:36LAF 4th & 9 at TEM 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 24.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.6%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    24.3%−0.3
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    24.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:09TEM 4th & 15 at TEM 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.8%−1.0
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.8%
    average punt
  9. Q2 10:09TEM 4th & 15 at TEM 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.8%−1.0
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.8%
    average punt
  10. Q2 7:53LAF 4th & 7 at TEM 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 27.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.5%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    26.7%−0.8
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    27.4%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:11LAF 4th & 14 at LAF 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.0%−1.7
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:27LAF 4th & 2 at TEM 7, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.9%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    12.1%−0.8
    91% to make
    Punt
    7.7%−5.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 10:59LAF 4th & 5 at TEM 5, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 12.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.0%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    12.0%
    92% to make
    Punt
    7.3%−4.7
    average punt
  14. Q3 8:09TEM 4th & 5 at LAF 41, up 7
    Close callPunted · 83.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.6%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    82.5%−1.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    82.9%−0.6
    average punt
  15. Q3 5:59LAF 4th & 8 at LAF 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.7%−1.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.3%
    average punt
  16. Q3 3:48TEM 4th & 3 at LAF 27, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 83.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.4%−0.7
    62% to make
    Punt
    77.1%−6.0
    average punt
  17. Q3 0:18LAF 4th & 7 at TEM 30, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 19.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.5%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    19.7%
    56% to make
    Punt
    17.3%−2.4
    average punt
  18. Q4 13:44TEM 4th & 1 at TEM 39, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.4 ptsPunted · 86.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.0%−2.4
    average punt
  19. Q4 11:32LAF 4th & 18 at LAF 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.3%−3.5
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.8%
    average punt
  20. Q4 8:12LAF 4th & 20 at LAF 15, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%−0.8
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%
    average punt
  21. Q4 8:12LAF 4th & 20 at LAF 15, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%−0.8
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%
    average punt
  22. Q4 3:46TEM 4th & 21 at TEM 47, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.3%−0.9
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.1%
    average punt
  23. Q4 1:37LAF 4th & 9 at LAF 22, down 14
    Close callPunted · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEM made the numbers' call on 3 of 4LAF made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 10:12TEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:10LAF Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:40TEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:23TEM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:59LAF Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:12TEM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.8%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LAFDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · -8 yds · 2:5819% → 19%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+3
81.1%
Jamar Curtis run for 3 yds to the Lafay 12Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 12
+2
81.1%
Jamar Curtis run for 2 yds to the Lafay 14Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 14
-8
81.1%
CURTIS, Jamar rush to the left for a gain of 8 yards to the LAF22 (ODOM, Alex). PENALTY LAF Holding on OLMSTEAD, John enforced half the distance from the goal, 7 yards from the LAF14 to the LAF7 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 7
-5
81.1%
Ryan Schuster sacked by Layton Jordan for a loss of 5 yards to the Lafay 2Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 17
OWN 2
0
81.1%
LAFAYETTE Penalty, False Start ( Yards) to the Lafay 1Similar
Q1 12:02
4TH & 18
OWN 1
0
80.6%
Jakob Trestik punt for 38 yds , Jose Barbon returns for no gain to the Lafay 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 2TD
4 plays · 39 yds · 1:5081% → 81%
Q1 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
80.6%
Darvon Hubbard run for 5 yds to the Lafay 34Similar
Q1 12:02
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+2
80.6%
D'Wan Mathis run for 2 yds to the Lafay 32Similar
Q1 12:02
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+29
80.5%
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to Jose Barbon for 29 yds to the Lafay 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
81.3%
Darvon Hubbard 3 Yd Run (Rory Bell Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAFDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · -6 yds · 2:4219% → 19%
Q1 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
80.8%
LAFAYETTE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Lafay 20Similar
Q1 10:12
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+1
80.9%
Jamar Curtis run for 1 yd to the Lafay 21Similar
Q1 10:12
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
80.9%
Jamar Curtis run for no gain to the Lafay 21Similar
Q1 10:12
3RD & 14
OWN 21
-5
81.0%
LAFAYETTE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Lafay 16Similar
Q1 10:12
3RD & 19
OWN 16
+8
81.0%
Ryan Schuster run for 8 yds to the Lafay 24Similar
Q1 10:12
4TH & 11
OWN 24
-5
81.1%
LAFAYETTE Penalty, False Start (Chris Carasia) to the Lafay 19Similar
Q1 10:12
4TH & 11
OWN 24
-5
81.1%
LAFAYETTE Penalty, False Start (Chris Carasia) to the Lafay 19Similar
Q1 7:30
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
81.2%
Jakob Trestik punt for 57 yds, downed at the Temp 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 4FUMBLE
1 play · 4 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q1 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
80.9%
D'Wan Mathis run for 4 yds to the Temp 28 D'Wan Mathis fumbled, recovered by Lafay Marco OlivasSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAFDrive 5TD
3 plays · 28 yds · 1:1320% → 22%
Q1 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+14
80.0%
Ryan Schuster pass complete to Joe Gillette for 14 yds to the Temp 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
79.8%
Jermaine Conyers run for 2 yds to the Temp 12Similar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+12
77.6%
Julius Young 12 Yd pass from Ryan Schuster (Jakob Trestik Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 6DOWNS
9 plays · 49 yds · 2:1779% → 78%
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
78.5%
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to Jose Barbon for 7 yds to the Temp 32Similar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
78.9%
Darvon Hubbard run for 4 yds to the Temp 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+19
78.7%
Darvon Hubbard run for 19 yds to the Lafay 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+13
79.2%
Darvon Hubbard run for 13 yds to the Lafay 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
79.3%
D'Wan Mathis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
79.3%
D'Wan Mathis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:10
3RD & 10
OPP 32
+6
79.0%
D'Wan Mathis pass complete to Edward Saydee for 6 yds to the Lafay 26Similar
Q1 3:53
4TH & 4
OPP 26
0
78.1%
D'Wan Mathis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:53
4TH & 4
OPP 26
0
78.1%
D'Wan Mathis pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAFDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 4:0522% → 24%
Q1 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
77.6%
Ryan Schuster run for 2 yds to the Lafay 28Similar
Q1 3:53
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+4
77.6%
Ryan Schuster run for 4 yds to the Lafay 32Similar
Q1 3:53
3RD & 4
OWN 32
+6
77.7%
Ryan Schuster pass complete to Julius Young for 6 yds to the Lafay 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
77.3%
Jamar Curtis run for 1 yd to the Lafay 39Similar
Q1 3:53
2ND & 9
OWN 39
0
77.3%
Jamar Curtis run for no gain to the Lafay 39Similar
Q1 3:53
2ND & 9
OWN 39
0
77.3%
Jamar Curtis run for no gain to the Lafay 39Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+1
75.9%
Ryan Schuster pass complete to Elijah Steward for 1 yd to the Lafay 40Similar
Q2 14:48
4TH & 8
OWN 40
0
76.5%
Jakob Trestik punt for 48 yds, downed at the Temp 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 8FUMBLE
6 plays · 31 yds · 2:0877% → 77%
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+11
76.6%
Jakari Norwood run for 11 yds to the Temp 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
76.7%
Adonicas Sanders run for 8 yds to the Temp 31Similar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+5
77.3%
Jakari Norwood run for 5 yds to the Temp 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
77.1%
D'Wan Mathis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+8
76.9%
Jakari Norwood run for 8 yds to the Temp 44Similar
Q2 12:40
3RD & 2
OWN 44
-1
76.8%
D'Wan Mathis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 43 D'Wan Mathis fumbled, recovered by Lafay Damon WashingtonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAFDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:0426% → 25%
Q2 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
73.7%
Ryan Schuster pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:40
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
73.7%
Ryan Schuster pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:40
3RD & 10
OPP 43
+1
74.2%
Ryan Schuster pass complete to Joe Gillette for 1 yd to the Temp 42Similar
Q2 11:36
4TH & 9
OPP 42
0
74.8%
Jakob Trestik punt for 25 yds, downed at the Temp 17Similar
Q2 11:36
4TH & 9
OPP 42
0
74.8%
Jakob Trestik punt for 25 yds, downed at the Temp 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 1:2776% → 74%
Q2 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
75.6%
D'Wan Mathis run for 2 yds to the Temp 19Similar
Q2 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
75.6%
D'Wan Mathis run for 2 yds to the Temp 19Similar
Q2 11:36
2ND & 8
OWN 19
0
75.6%
D'Wan Mathis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:36
3RD & 8
OWN 19
-7
74.9%
D'Wan Mathis sacked by Damon Washington for a loss of 7 yards to the Temp 12Similar
Q2 10:09
4TH & 15
OWN 12
0
73.9%
Mackenzie Morgan punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Joe Gillette at the Temp 48Similar
Q2 10:09
4TH & 15
OWN 12
0
73.9%
Mackenzie Morgan punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Joe Gillette at the Temp 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAFDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 2:1628% → 28%
Q2 10:09
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
72.5%
Jamar Curtis run for 2 yds to the Temp 46Similar
Q2 10:09
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+3
72.5%
Jamar Curtis run for 3 yds to the Temp 43Similar
Q2 10:09
3RD & 5
OPP 43
-2
72.8%
Ryan Schuster sacked by Layton Jordan and Jerquavion Mahone for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 45Similar
Q2 7:53
4TH & 7
OPP 45
+2
72.0%
Jakob Trestik punt for 30 yds , Jose Barbon returns for 2 yds to the Temp 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 12TD
14 plays · 83 yds · 5:1374% → 82%
Q2 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
74.4%
Edward Saydee run for 2 yds to the Temp 19Similar
Q2 7:53
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+9
74.3%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Jordan Smith for 9 yds to the Temp 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
74.6%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Ian Stewart for 8 yds to the Temp 36Similar
Q2 7:53
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+1
75.6%
Edward Saydee run for 1 yd to the Temp 37Similar
Q2 7:53
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+12
75.0%
Edward Saydee run for 12 yds to the Temp 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
75.9%
Edward Saydee run for 8 yds to the Lafay 43Similar
Q2 7:53
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+1
76.3%
Edward Saydee run for 1 yd to the Lafay 42Similar
Q2 7:53
3RD & 1
OPP 42
0
75.9%
LAFAYETTE Penalty, Offsides (TEAM) declinedSimilar
Q2 7:53
4TH & 1
OPP 42
+15
75.0%
LAFAYETTE Penalty, Personal Foul (Blamassi Meite) to the Lafay 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:53
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
76.6%
Darvon Hubbard run for 8 yds to the Lafay 19Similar
Q2 7:53
2ND & 2
OPP 19
+3
76.6%
Darvon Hubbard run for 3 yds to the Lafay 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:53
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
76.6%
Darvon Hubbard run for 1 yd to the Lafay 15Similar
Q2 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
74.4%
Edward Saydee run for 2 yds to the Temp 19Similar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 9
OPP 15
+15
82.2%
Ian Stewart 15 Yd pass from E.J. Warner (Rory Bell Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAFDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 1:2920% → 19%
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
79.8%
Jamar Curtis run for 5 yds to the Lafay 30Similar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
79.3%
Jamar Curtis run for 3 yds to the Lafay 33Similar
Q2 2:40
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
79.5%
Ryan Schuster run for 3 yds to the Lafay 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
79.2%
Ryan Schuster pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-2
79.5%
Jermaine Conyers run for a loss of 2 yards to the Lafay 34Similar
Q2 2:40
3RD & 12
OWN 34
-2
80.5%
Ryan Schuster sacked by Layton Jordan for a loss of 2 yards to the Lafay 32Similar
Q2 1:11
4TH & 14
OWN 32
0
81.0%
punt blocked by De'Von Fox blocked by De'Von FoxSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 14TD
4 plays · 22 yds · 0:4882% → 89%
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
82.4%
Jakari Norwood run for 2 yds to the Lafay 20Similar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 8
OPP 20
0
82.4%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:11
3RD & 8
OPP 20
+11
81.6%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Amad Anderson Jr. for 11 yds to the Lafay 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
88.7%
Edward Saydee 9 Yd Run (Rory Bell Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 16FUMBLE
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:5288% → 89%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
88.3%
Darvon Hubbard run for 2 yds to the Temp 22Similar
Q3 14:08
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+1
89.2%
Darvon Hubbard run for 1 yd to the Temp 15 Darvon Hubbard fumbled, recovered by Lafay Jyaire StevensSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAFDrive 17TD
8 plays · 15 yds · 3:0913% → 20%
Q3 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
86.6%
Ryan Schuster pass complete to Julius Young for 1 yd to the Temp 14Similar
Q3 14:08
2ND & 9
OPP 14
-8
86.6%
Ryan Schuster sacked by Jordan Magee for a loss of 8 yards to the Temp 22Similar
Q3 14:08
3RD & 17
OPP 22
+15
88.2%
Ryan Schuster run for 15 yds to the Temp 7Similar
Q3 12:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
86.7%
Jaden Sutton run for 1 yd to the Temp 4Similar
Q3 12:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
86.7%
Jaden Sutton run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 5Similar
Q3 12:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
87.4%
Ryan Schuster pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:27
4TH & 2
OPP 7
+2
87.6%
Ryan Schuster run for 2 yds to the Temp 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:59
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
79.7%
Mason Gilbert 5 Yd pass from Ryan Schuster (Jakob Trestik Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 32 yds · 2:4482% → 84%
Q3 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-3
81.8%
Jakari Norwood run for a loss of 3 yards to the Temp 24Similar
Q3 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-3
81.8%
Jakari Norwood run for a loss of 3 yards to the Temp 24Similar
Q3 10:53
2ND & 13
OWN 24
+8
81.3%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Jose Barbon for 8 yds to the Temp 32Similar
Q3 10:53
3RD & 5
OWN 32
+22
81.2%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Jose Barbon for 22 yds to the Lafay 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
83.5%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Jose Barbon for 4 yds to the Lafay 42Similar
Q3 10:53
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+1
83.7%
Adonicas Sanders run for 1 yd to the Lafay 41Similar
Q3 10:53
3RD & 5
OPP 41
0
82.9%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:09
4TH & 5
OPP 41
0
84.1%
Mackenzie Morgan punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAFDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 2:1019% → 18%
Q3 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-3
80.8%
Jermaine Conyers run for a loss of 3 yards to the Lafay 17Similar
Q3 8:09
2ND & 13
OWN 17
0
81.1%
Jermaine Conyers run for no gain to the Lafay 17Similar
Q3 8:09
3RD & 13
OWN 17
+5
81.9%
Ryan Schuster run for 5 yds to the Lafay 22Similar
Q3 5:59
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
82.5%
Jakob Trestik punt for 28 yds, downed at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 20MISSED FG
5 plays · 23 yds · 2:1186% → 85%
Q3 5:59
1ST & 10
50
+16
85.6%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Jose Barbon for 16 yds to the Lafay 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
86.2%
Edward Saydee run for 2 yds to the Lafay 32Similar
Q3 5:59
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+4
86.4%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Amad Anderson Jr. for 4 yds to the Lafay 28Similar
Q3 5:59
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+1
85.5%
Edward Saydee run for 1 yd to the Lafay 27Similar
Q3 3:48
4TH & 3
OPP 27
+45
84.5%
Rory Bell 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAFDrive 21DOWNS
10 plays · 43 yds · 3:3019% → 19%
Q3 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
81.0%
Nahjee Adams run for 5 yds to the Lafay 32Similar
Q3 3:48
2ND & 5
OWN 32
-3
80.3%
Ryan Schuster sacked by Tra Thomas and Demerick Morris for a loss of 3 yards to the Lafay 29Similar
Q3 3:48
2ND & 5
OWN 32
-3
80.3%
Ryan Schuster sacked by Tra Thomas and Demerick Morris for a loss of 3 yards to the Lafay 29Similar
Q3 3:48
3RD & 8
OWN 29
+23
81.9%
Ryan Schuster pass complete to Chris Carasia for 23 yds to the Temp 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+15
78.4%
Ryan Schuster pass complete to Chris Carasia for 15 yds to the Temp 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-1
77.0%
Nahjee Adams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 34Similar
Q3 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-1
77.0%
Nahjee Adams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 34Similar
Q3 3:48
2ND & 11
OPP 34
-1
77.0%
Jaden Sutton run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 35Similar
Q3 3:48
3RD & 12
OPP 35
+5
80.0%
Jaden Sutton run for 5 yds to the Temp 30Similar
Q3 0:18
4TH & 7
OPP 30
0
81.4%
Ryan Schuster pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:1688% → 88%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
87.8%
Jakari Norwood run for 1 yd to the Temp 31Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+6
87.7%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Adonicas Sanders for 6 yds to the Temp 37Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+2
87.8%
Jakari Norwood run for 2 yds to the Temp 39Similar
Q4 13:44
4TH & 1
OWN 39
0
87.7%
Mackenzie Morgan punt for 28 yds, downed at the Lafay 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAFDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 2:1216% → 13%
Q4 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
84.0%
Ryan Schuster pass complete to Chris Carasia for 2 yds to the Lafay 35Similar
Q4 13:44
2ND & 8
OWN 35
-1
84.0%
Nahjee Adams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lafay 34Similar
Q4 13:44
3RD & 9
OWN 34
-9
85.2%
Ryan Schuster sacked by Darian Varner for a loss of 9 yards to the Lafay 25Similar
Q4 11:32
4TH & 18
OWN 25
0
86.7%
punt blocked by De'Von Fox blocked by De'Von FoxSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 24TD
4 plays · 32 yds · 1:2091% → 96%
Q4 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
90.5%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:32
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+21
90.3%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Amad Anderson Jr. for 21 yds to the Lafay 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-6
90.4%
Edward Saydee run for a loss of 6 yards to the Lafay 17Similar
Q4 10:12
2ND & 16
OPP 17
+17
96.3%
Jordan Smith 17 Yd pass from E.J. Warner (Rory Bell Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAFDrive 25PUNT
8 plays · -10 yds · 2:005% → 4%
Q4 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
95.1%
Jamar Curtis run for 4 yds to the Lafay 29Similar
Q4 10:12
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-5
94.9%
LAFAYETTE Penalty, False Start (Alex Barshaba) to the Lafay 24Similar
Q4 10:12
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-1
95.2%
Ryan Schuster sacked by Tra Thomas for a loss of 1 yard to the Lafay 23Similar
Q4 10:12
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-5
94.9%
LAFAYETTE Penalty, False Start (Alex Barshaba) to the Lafay 24Similar
Q4 10:12
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-1
95.2%
Ryan Schuster sacked by Tra Thomas for a loss of 1 yard to the Lafay 23Similar
Q4 10:12
3RD & 12
OWN 23
-8
95.3%
Ryan Schuster sacked by Lancine Turay for a loss of 8 yards to the Lafay 15Similar
Q4 8:12
4TH & 20
OWN 15
+1
95.8%
Brian Henesey punt for 49 yds , Amad Anderson Jr. returns for 1 yd to the Temp 37Similar
Q4 8:12
4TH & 20
OWN 15
+1
95.8%
Brian Henesey punt for 49 yds , Amad Anderson Jr. returns for 1 yd to the Temp 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 26PUNT
11 plays · 10 yds · 4:2697% → 98%
Q4 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
96.6%
Jakari Norwood run for no gain to the Temp 37Similar
Q4 8:12
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
96.5%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:12
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
96.5%
E.J. Warner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:12
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+21
96.5%
E.J. Warner pass complete to Jose Barbon for 21 yds to the Lafay 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
96.8%
Jakari Norwood run for 2 yds to the Lafay 40Similar
Q4 8:12
2ND & 8
OPP 40
-1
96.8%
Jakari Norwood run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lafay 41Similar
Q4 8:12
3RD & 9
OPP 41
-15
96.7%
WARNER, E.J. pass to the left complete for 8 yards to SMITH, Jordan caught at the LAF35 and advanced to the LAF33 (SMALLWOOD, Taylor), out of bounds. PENALTY TEM Chop Block on QUARSHIE, Wisdom enforced 15 yards from the LAF41 to the TEM44 [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 8:12
3RD & 24
OWN 44
-10
96.6%
TEMPLE Penalty, Offensive Holding (Ian Stewart) to the Temp 45Similar
Q4 8:12
3RD & 23
OWN 45
+2
96.6%
Edward Saydee run for 2 yds to the Temp 47Similar
Q4 8:12
3RD & 23
OWN 45
+2
96.6%
Edward Saydee run for 2 yds to the Temp 47Similar
Q4 3:46
4TH & 21
OWN 47
0
97.7%
Mackenzie Morgan punt for 32 yds, downed at the Lafay 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAFDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 2:093% → 2%
Q4 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-2
97.3%
Jermaine Conyers run for a loss of 2 yards to the Lafay 19Similar
Q4 3:46
2ND & 12
OWN 19
0
97.4%
Ah-Shaun Davis pass complete to Elijah Steward for no gain to the Lafay 19Similar
Q4 3:46
3RD & 12
OWN 19
+3
97.4%
Ah-Shaun Davis pass complete to Griffin Rooney for 3 yds to the Lafay 22Similar
Q4 1:37
4TH & 9
OWN 22
0
97.8%
punt blocked by De'Von Fox for a SAFETY blocked by De'Von Fox for a SAFETY for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 28END OF GAME
1 play · 19 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+23
98.7%
Edward Saydee run for 23 yds to the Lafay 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:59
Mason Gilbert 5 Yd pass from Ryan Schuster (Jakob Trestik Kick)
-7.9
TD · Q2 2:40
Ian Stewart 15 Yd pass from E.J. Warner (Rory Bell Kick)
+7.8
TD · Q2 0:23
Edward Saydee 9 Yd Run (Rory Bell Kick)
+7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com