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BYU

BYU 50 at South Florida 21

USF
2022 · Week 1 · Sep 3, 2022 · Raymond James Stadium
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Win probability · USF
modelUSF aheadBYU aheadconfidence bandkey playUSF scoreBYU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGEnd of GameFG+0.7USF 4.4%Jake Oldroyd 39 yd FG GOODAWAY 38 - HOME 0 · Q2 2:11
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 2:11 · Jake Oldroyd 39 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+57.0+28.50−28.5−57.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 77Home team on offense−36.5Score differential−14.9Pregame prior−17.7Garbage-time factor−7.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:44: Puka Nacua run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK) — BYU win probability +1.6 pts (now 80%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 7:58: Gerry Bohanon pass intercepted for a TD Max Tooley return for 33 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK) — BYU win probability +2.1 pts (now 82%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 4:00: Jaren Hall pass complete to Keanu Hill for 21 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK) — BYU win probability +2.7 pts (now 87%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 7:19: Jaren Hall pass complete to Dallin Holker for 13 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK) — BYU win probability +1.3 pts (now 95%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 14:44: Jake Oldroyd kickoff for 54 yds , Jimmy Horn Jr. return for 89 yds for a TD, (Spencer Shrader KICK) — USF win probability +4.2 pts (now 7%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USF made the numbers' call on 3 of 9BYU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 12:45USF 4th & 7 at USF 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.1%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:00BYU 4th & 2 at BYU 43, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    75.6%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:43USF 4th & 3 at USF 37, down 21
    Close callPunted · 19.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:59USF 4th & 1 at USF 29, down 28
    Close callPunted · 13.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.3%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:10BYU 4th & 1 at BYU 35, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    86.6%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:45BYU 4th & 8 at USF 42, up 28
    Close callPunted · 87.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.0%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    87.0%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    87.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:49USF 4th & 7 at USF 33, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.5%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:49USF 4th & 4 at USF 41, down 35
    Close callWent for it · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.9%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:11BYU 4th & 18 at USF 22, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.3%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.5%
    72% to make
    Punt
    94.2%−0.3
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:14USF 4th & 1 at BYU 1, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.9%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    2.8%−0.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    2.4%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:39USF 4th & 8 at USF 14, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.4%−0.9
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:29BYU 4th & 7 at USF 20, up 26
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.3%
    75% to make
    Punt
    98.4%−0.9
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:30USF 4th & 2 at BYU 21, down 29
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%
    74% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:26USF 4th & 5 at BYU 13, down 29
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    85% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:11BYU 4th & 2 at BYU 49, up 29
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USF made the numbers' call on 3 of 3BYU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 14:49BYU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:44BYU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 7:58BYU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 4:00BYU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 7:19BYU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:14USF Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 14:44USF Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 5:32BYU Touchdown, up 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 2:23USF Touchdown, down 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BYUDrive 1TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
20.8%
Puka Nacua run for 75 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:3521% → 21%
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
20.9%
Jaren Mangham run for 2 yds to the SFla 29Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+4
21.0%
Jaren Mangham run for 4 yds to the SFla 33Similar
Q1 13:00
3RD & 4
OWN 33
-3
21.2%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Jimmy Horn Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the SFla 30Similar
Q1 12:45
4TH & 7
OWN 30
0
21.2%
Andrew Stokes punt for 35 yds, downed at the BYU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 3TD
11 plays · 65 yds · 3:3679% → 80%
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
21.3%
Christopher Brooks run for 2 yds to the BYU 37Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+7
21.3%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Dallin Holker for 7 yds to the BYU 44Similar
Q1 11:30
3RD & 1
OWN 44
-1
21.4%
Christopher Brooks run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 43Similar
Q1 11:00
4TH & 2
OWN 43
+7
21.6%
Christopher Brooks run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
50
+22
21.4%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Puka Nacua for 22 yds to the SFla 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-1
21.5%
Christopher Brooks run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 29Similar
Q1 9:32
2ND & 11
OPP 29
0
21.6%
Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Christopher BrooksSimilar
Q1 9:10
3RD & 11
OPP 29
+12
21.7%
Lopini Katoa run for 12 yds to the SFla 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+12
21.5%
Lopini Katoa run for 12 yds to the SFla 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
19.6%
Puka Nacua run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 4INT TD
3 plays · 12 yds · 0:1220% → 18%
Q1 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+12
20.4%
Jimmy Horn Jr. run for 12 yds to the SFla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-33
18.3%
Gerry Bohanon pass intercepted for a TD Max Tooley return for 33 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:0318% → 18%
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
18.1%
Gerry Bohanon pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:30
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+5
17.9%
Jaren Mangham run for 5 yds to the SFla 35Similar
Q1 7:20
3RD & 5
OWN 35
-5
18.0%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SFla 30Similar
Q1 6:50
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+7
17.6%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Gunnar Greenwald for 7 yds to the SFla 37Similar
Q1 6:43
4TH & 3
OWN 37
0
17.7%
Andrew Stokes punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Talmage Gunther at the BYU 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 6TD
6 plays · 82 yds · 2:2083% → 87%
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
16.7%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Isaac Rex for 7 yds to the BYU 25Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 3
OWN 25
+8
16.5%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Brayden Cosper for 8 yds to the BYU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-4
16.2%
Puka Nacua run for a loss of 4 yards to the BYU 29Similar
Q1 4:45
2ND & 14
OWN 29
+10
15.9%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Masen Wake for 10 yds to the BYU 39Similar
Q1 4:15
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+40
15.7%
Christopher Brooks run for 40 yds to the SFla 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
12.9%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Keanu Hill for 21 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:4611% → 10%
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
11.4%
Jaren Mangham run for 6 yds to the SFla 26Similar
Q1 3:15
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+1
10.9%
Jaren Mangham run for 1 yd to the SFla 27Similar
Q1 2:45
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+2
10.5%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Jaren Mangham for 2 yds to the SFla 29Similar
Q1 1:59
4TH & 1
OWN 29
+7
10.0%
Andrew Stokes punt for 52 yds , Talmage Gunther returns for 7 yds to the BYU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 32 yds · 2:4588% → 89%
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
11.8%
Lopini Katoa run for 7 yds to the BYU 33Similar
Q1 1:20
2ND & 3
OWN 33
+1
11.4%
Jaren Hall run for 1 yd to the BYU 34Similar
Q1 0:45
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+1
11.5%
Lopini Katoa run for 1 yd to the BYU 35Similar
Q1 0:10
4TH & 1
OWN 35
+2
11.4%
Jaren Hall run for 2 yds to the BYU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+19
11.0%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Dallin Holker for 19 yds to the SFla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
10.6%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Christopher Brooks for 2 yds to the SFla 42Similar
Q2 13:59
2ND & 8
OPP 42
0
10.5%
Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Masen WakeSimilar
Q2 13:53
3RD & 8
OPP 42
0
10.7%
Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Brayden CosperSimilar
Q2 13:45
4TH & 8
OPP 42
0
11.2%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 37 yds, downed at the SFla 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 2:418% → 6%
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+3
8.3%
Michel Dukes run for 3 yds to the SFla 8Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 7
OWN 8
+12
7.9%
Gerry Bohanon run for 12 yds to the SFla 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
7.8%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Brian Battie for 5 yds to the SFla 25Similar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+5
7.3%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Gunnar Greenwald for 5 yds to the SFla 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
7.4%
Brian Battie run for 3 yds to the SFla 33Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 7
OWN 33
0
7.0%
Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Khafre BrownSimilar
Q2 10:55
3RD & 7
OWN 33
0
6.4%
Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Jimmy Horn Jr.Similar
Q2 10:49
4TH & 7
OWN 33
0
6.3%
Andrew Stokes punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Talmage Gunther at the BYU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 10TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 3:2692% → 95%
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
8.0%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Masen Wake for 3 yds to the BYU 38Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 7
OWN 38
-4
7.4%
Jaren Hall sacked by Jatorian Hansford for a loss of 4 yards to the BYU 39 Jaren Hall fumbled, recovered by BYUSimilar
Q2 9:45
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+10
7.5%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Kody Epps for 10 yds to the BYU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
7.0%
Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Keanu HillSimilar
Q2 8:35
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+5
6.6%
Lopini Katoa run for 5 yds to the SFla 46Similar
Q2 7:50
3RD & 5
OPP 46
+14
6.9%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Brayden Cosper for 14 yds to the SFla 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+19
6.4%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Terence Fall for 19 yds to the SFla 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
5.1%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Dallin Holker for 13 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 11DOWNS
7 plays · 21 yds · 2:114% → 4%
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
4.3%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 3 yds to the SFla 23Similar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+12
4.1%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 12 yds to the SFla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
4.1%
Jaren Mangham run for 3 yds to the SFla 38Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+3
3.8%
Jaren Mangham run for 3 yds to the SFla 41Similar
Q2 4:54
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
3.8%
Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Jimmy Horn Jr.Similar
Q2 4:49
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
3.8%
Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Xavier WeaverSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 12FG
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:1996% → 96%
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+11
4.2%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Miles Davis for 11 yds to the SFla 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+16
4.0%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Isaac Rex for 16 yds to the SFla 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-4
3.8%
Christopher Brooks run for a loss of 4 yards to the SFla 18Similar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 14
OPP 18
-4
3.8%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Masen Wake for a loss of 4 yards to the SFla 22Similar
Q2 2:17
3RD & 18
OPP 22
0
3.7%
Jaren Hall pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:11
4TH & 18
OPP 22
+39
4.4%
Jake Oldroyd 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 13TD
11 plays · 84 yds · 1:362% → 2%
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
2.4%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Ajou Ajou for 4 yds to the SFla 20Similar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 6
OWN 20
0
2.3%
Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Xavier WeaverSimilar
Q2 1:25
3RD & 6
OWN 20
+50
2.3%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 50 yds to the BYU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+21
2.4%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 21 yds to the BYU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:56
1ST & 0
OPP 9
-10
2.6%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Demontrey Jacobs) to the BYU 19Similar
Q2 0:49
1ST & 0
OPP 19
+5
2.4%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Ajou Ajou for 5 yds to the BYU 14Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
0
2.3%
Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Michel DukesSimilar
Q2 0:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 14
+13
2.2%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Jimmy Horn Jr. for 13 yds to the BYU 1Similar
Q2 0:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
2.0%
Jaren Mangham run for 1 yd for a TD, (Spencer Shrader KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
2.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 16INT
13 plays · 61 yds · 5:4293% → 96%
Q3 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
7.0%
Lopini Katoa run for 3 yds to the BYU 28Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
6.7%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Brayden Cosper for 5 yds to the BYU 33Similar
Q3 13:30
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
7.1%
Jaren Hall run for 5 yds to the BYU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
6.0%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Lopini Katoa for 9 yds to the BYU 47Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 1
OWN 47
-2
5.9%
Lopini Katoa run for 8 yds to the SOUFLA 45 BYU Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the BYU 45Similar
Q3 11:52
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+11
5.3%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Kody Epps for 11 yds to the SFla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
5.2%
Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Brayden CosperSimilar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+4
5.1%
Christopher Brooks run for 4 yds to the SFla 40Similar
Q3 10:45
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+11
5.0%
Christopher Brooks run for 11 yds to the SFla 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+13
4.0%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Chase Roberts for 13 yds to the SFla 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
4.0%
Christopher Brooks run for 2 yds to the SFla 14Similar
Q3 8:48
2ND & 8
OPP 14
-12
3.8%
Jaren Hall pass intercepted Mekhi LaPointe return for 12 yds to the SFla 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 17SF
4 plays · -12 yds · 0:565% → 1%
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
4.9%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Jaren Mangham for 2 yds to the SFla 14Similar
Q3 8:10
2ND & 8
OWN 14
0
4.9%
Gerry Bohanon pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:00
3RD & 8
OWN 14
0
4.7%
Gerry Bohanon sacked by Jacob Boren for 0 yards to the SFla 14Similar
Q3 7:39
4TH & 8
OWN 14
0
1.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 14 yards for a SAFETY TEAM fumbled, recovered by SFlaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 18TD
5 plays · 76 yds · 1:2898% → 99%
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+12
2.1%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Lopini Katoa for 12 yds to the BYU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
1.9%
Lopini Katoa run for 3 yds to the BYU 39Similar
Q3 5:45
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+9
1.6%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Chase Roberts for 9 yds to the BYU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+52
1.1%
Christopher Brooks run for 52 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 19TD
8 plays · 43 yds · 2:371% → 1%
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
1.3%
Michel Dukes run for 9 yds to the BYU 34Similar
Q3 4:45
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+3
1.3%
Michel Dukes run for 3 yds to the BYU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
1.3%
Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Jimmy Horn Jr.Similar
Q3 4:15
2ND & 10
OPP 31
-10
1.3%
Dukes, Michel rush for 7 yards to the BYU24, PENALTY SOUFLA holding 10 yards to the BYU41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:30
2ND & 20
OPP 41
+5
1.4%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Brian Battie for 5 yds to the BYU 36Similar
Q3 2:45
3RD & 15
OPP 36
+27
1.3%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 27 yds to the BYU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
1.3%
Brian Battie run for 9 yds for a TD, (Spencer Shrader KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 20FG
12 plays · 55 yds · 6:3199% → 100%
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
1.2%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Kody Epps for 3 yds to the BYU 28Similar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+8
1.2%
Jaren Hall run for 8 yds to the BYU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
1.2%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Kody Epps for 2 yds to the BYU 38Similar
Q3 0:30
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+2
1.1%
Lopini Katoa run for 2 yds to the BYU 40Similar
Q4 14:45
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+19
1.1%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Chase Roberts for 19 yds to the SFla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
1.0%
Christopher Brooks run for 3 yds to the SFla 38Similar
Q4 13:15
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+15
0.8%
Christopher Brooks run for 15 yds to the SFla 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
0.7%
Christopher Brooks run for 5 yds to the SFla 18Similar
Q4 11:50
2ND & 5
OPP 18
-4
0.6%
Miles Davis run for a loss of 4 yards to the SFla 22Similar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 9
OPP 22
+2
0.6%
Lopini Katoa run for 2 yds to the SFla 20Similar
Q4 10:29
4TH & 7
OPP 20
+37
0.5%
Jake Oldroyd 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 21DOWNS
12 plays · 41 yds · 4:190% → 0%
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
0.3%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Holden Willis for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
0.3%
Gerry Bohanon pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:25
2ND & 6
50
+11
0.3%
Jaren Mangham run for 11 yds to the BYU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+10
0.3%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Jaren Mangham for 10 yds to the BYU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+5
0.3%
Michel Dukes run for 5 yds to the BYU 24Similar
Q4 7:45
3RD & 5
OPP 24
+3
0.3%
Michel Dukes run for 3 yds to the BYU 21Similar
Q4 7:30
4TH & 2
OPP 21
+3
0.2%
Jaren Mangham run for 3 yds to the BYU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
0.2%
Gerry Bohanon run for 3 yds to the BYU 15Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+2
0.2%
Brian Battie run for 2 yds to the BYU 13Similar
Q4 5:31
3RD & 5
OPP 13
0
0.2%
Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Jaren ManghamSimilar
Q4 5:26
4TH & 5
OPP 13
0
0.2%
Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Xavier WeaverSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 36 yds · 2:49100% → 100%
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+28
0.2%
Jackson McChesney run for 28 yds to the BYU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
0.2%
Jackson McChesney run for 5 yds to the BYU 46Similar
Q4 3:30
2ND & 5
OWN 46
0
0.2%
Jackson McChesney run for no gain to the BYU 46Similar
Q4 3:00
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+3
0.2%
Miles Davis run for 3 yds to the BYU 49Similar
Q4 2:11
4TH & 2
OWN 49
+30
0.2%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SOUFLA 16 BYU Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the SFla 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 23END OF GAME
4 plays · 18 yds · 1:400% → 0%
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
0.1%
Mychael Hamilton run for 2 yds to the SFla 23Similar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+2
0.1%
Mychael Hamilton run for 2 yds to the SFla 25Similar
Q4 0:45
3RD & 6
OWN 25
+13
0.1%
Gerry Bohanon run for 13 yds to the SFla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
0.1%
Mychael Hamilton run for 1 yd to the SFla 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 14:44
Jake Oldroyd kickoff for 54 yds , Jimmy Horn Jr. return for 89 yds for a TD, (Spencer Shrader KICK)
+4.2
TD · Q1 4:00
Jaren Hall pass complete to Keanu Hill for 21 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK)
-2.7
TD · Q1 7:58
Gerry Bohanon pass intercepted for a TD Max Tooley return for 33 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK)
-2.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com