Try the model
USU

Utah State 23 at Boise State 42

BOIS
2022 · Week 13 · Nov 25, 2022 · Albertsons Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · BOIS
modelBOIS aheadUSU aheadconfidence bandkey playBOIS scoreUSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 44
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:37: Taylen Green pass complete to Eric McAlister for 25 yds for a TD, (Jonah Dalmas KICK) — BOIS win probability +5.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:00: Terrell Vaughn run for 3 yds for a TD, (Connor Coles KICK) — USU win probability +6.3 pts (now 12%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:59: Taylen Green pass complete to Scott Matlock for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonah Dalmas KICK) — BOIS win probability +7.0 pts (now 96%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:10: Cooper Legas pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 75 yds for a TD, (Connor Coles KICK) — USU win probability +6.3 pts (now 11%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:59: Calvin Tyler Jr. 8 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — USU win probability +18.3 pts (now 33%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BOIS made the numbers' call on 2 of 7USU made the numbers' call on 8 of 12
  1. Q1 12:23BOIS 4th & 10 at USU 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.4%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:01USU 4th & 11 at USU 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.8%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:37BOIS 4th & 3 at BOIS 29, tied
    Close callPunted · 84.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:00USU 4th & 2 at USU 47, tied
    Close callPunted · 16.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.1%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:04BOIS 4th & 2 at BOIS 26, tied
    Close callPunted · 83.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.1%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 3:26USU 4th & 23 at BOIS 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 17.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.2%−0.3
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.6%
    45% to make
    Punt
    17.4%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:37USU 4th & 16 at USU 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.8%−0.8
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:33USU 4th & 5 at USU 38, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.1%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:31BOIS 4th & 13 at BOIS 12, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.6%−1.7
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.3%
    average punt
  10. Q2 7:32USU 4th & 6 at BOIS 46, down 14
    Close callPunted · 12.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    11.6%−0.8
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    12.2%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q2 4:37USU 4th & 1 at USU 34, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.1%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:00USU 4th & 3 at BOIS 3, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.3%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    5.4%−0.9
    93% to make
    Punt
    2.2%−4.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 10:22USU 4th & 2 at BOIS 5, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 11.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.1%−0.8
    92% to make
    Punt
    5.7%−5.2
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:59USU 4th & 1 at BOIS 43, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    2.8%−2.4
    28% to make
    Punt
    3.4%−1.8
    average punt
  15. Q3 1:32BOIS 4th & 5 at BOIS 48, up 18
    Close callPunted · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:40BOIS 4th & 2 at BOIS 46, up 11
    Close callPunted · 90.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.0%−0.6
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:28BOIS 4th & 2 at USU 47, up 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.0 ptsPunted · 86.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.4%−3.0
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:28USU 4th & 9 at BOIS 14, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.5%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    14.6%−0.9
    84% to make
    Punt
    6.9%−8.6
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:31USU 4th & 17 at USU 33, down 12
    Close callWent for it · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.8%−<0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BOIS made the numbers' call on 5 of 6USU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q2 14:17BOIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:54BOIS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:37BOIS Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:00USU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:59BOIS Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:10USU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 7:59USU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    19.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    18.7%−1.0
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 1:09BOIS Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.8%−0.3
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 0:31BOIS Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%−0.5
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BOISDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 2:3087% → 86%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
87.0%
George Holani run for no gain to the BoiSt 39Similar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+7
87.0%
George Holani run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 46Similar
Q1 14:53
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+5
87.0%
George Holani run for 5 yds to the UthSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
87.0%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-5
87.0%
BOISE ST Penalty, False Start (Garrett Curran) to the BoiSt 46Similar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 15
OWN 46
+5
87.0%
Taylen Green pass complete to Latrell Caples for 5 yds to the UthSt 49Similar
Q1 14:53
3RD & 10
OPP 49
0
87.0%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:23
4TH & 10
OPP 49
0
86.3%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 25 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:2214% → 14%
Q1 12:23
2ND & 2
OWN 32
+3
86.2%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 3 yds to the UthSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
86.2%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 4 yds to the UthSt 39Similar
Q1 12:23
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
86.2%
Cooper Legas pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:23
3RD & 6
OWN 39
-5
86.2%
UTAH ST Penalty, False Start (Calvin Tyler Jr.) to the UthSt 34Similar
Q1 12:23
3RD & 11
OWN 34
0
86.3%
Cooper Legas pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:01
4TH & 11
OWN 34
+43
86.0%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 43 yds , Latrell Caples returns for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:2486% → 85%
Q1 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
85.9%
Taylen Green run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 27Similar
Q1 9:49
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+2
85.6%
George Holani run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 29Similar
Q1 9:49
3RD & 3
OWN 29
0
85.5%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:37
4TH & 3
OWN 29
0
85.4%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:3715% → 15%
Q1 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
85.3%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 1 yd to the UthSt 40Similar
Q1 9:37
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+7
85.3%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 7 yds to the UthSt 47Similar
Q1 9:37
3RD & 2
OWN 47
0
85.3%
Cooper Legas run for no gain to the UthSt 47Similar
Q1 8:00
4TH & 2
OWN 47
0
84.8%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 35 yds, fair catch by George Holani at the BoiSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:5685% → 84%
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-8
85.0%
Taylen Green sacked by Byron Vaughns for a loss of 8 yards to the BoiSt 10Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 18
OWN 10
+14
85.0%
Ashton Jeanty run for 14 yds to the BoiSt 24Similar
Q1 8:00
3RD & 4
OWN 24
+2
84.9%
George Holani run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 26Similar
Q1 6:04
4TH & 2
OWN 26
0
84.1%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 6MISSED FG
10 plays · 22 yds · 2:3816% → 17%
Q1 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
83.9%
Terrell Vaughn run for 1 yd to the UthSt 44Similar
Q1 6:04
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+5
83.9%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 5 yds to the UthSt 49Similar
Q1 6:04
3RD & 4
OWN 49
0
83.9%
Cooper Legas pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:04
4TH & 4
OWN 49
+15
84.1%
COBBS, Brian pass to the left incomplete intended for TIA, Otto broken up by SKINNER, JL at the BST47. PENALTY BST Targeting on SKINNER, JL enforced 15 yards from the USU49 to the BST36 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHPUNT]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+15
83.7%
BOISE ST Penalty, Personal Foul (DJ Schramm) to the BoiSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-15
83.6%
QB Keeper LEGAS, Cooper rush to the right for a gain of 1 yard to the BST21, out of bounds. PENALTY USU Unnecessary Roughness on LAPUAHO, Weylin enforced 15 yards from the BST22 to the BST37 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 6:04
1ST & 25
OPP 37
+2
83.9%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 35Similar
Q1 6:04
2ND & 23
OPP 35
0
83.8%
Cooper Legas pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:04
3RD & 23
OPP 35
0
84.1%
Cooper Legas pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:26
4TH & 23
OPP 35
+52
83.5%
Connor Coles 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 7TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 4:0984% → 86%
Q1 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
83.7%
George Holani run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 39Similar
Q1 3:26
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+3
84.1%
George Holani run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 42Similar
Q1 3:26
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+3
83.9%
run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
84.1%
Ashton Jeanty run for 7 yds to the UthSt 48Similar
Q1 3:26
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+1
84.3%
Ashton Jeanty run for 1 yd to the UthSt 47Similar
Q1 3:26
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+41
84.2%
Taylen Green pass complete to Billy Bowens for 41 yds to the UthSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
83.8%
George Holani run for 2 yds to the UthSt 4Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-2
83.8%
George Holani run for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 6Similar
Q2 14:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
86.0%
Taylen Green pass complete to Eric McAlister for 6 yds for a TD, (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:4015% → 14%
Q2 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
85.3%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 24Similar
Q2 14:17
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-1
85.3%
Cooper Legas run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 23Similar
Q2 14:17
3RD & 12
OWN 23
-4
85.6%
Cooper Legas sacked by Jackson Cravens and Scott Matlock for a loss of 4 yards to the UthSt 19Similar
Q2 12:37
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
85.7%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Latrell Caples at the BoiSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 9TD
4 plays · 63 yds · 1:4386% → 90%
Q2 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
85.6%
Taylen Green pass complete to Ashton Jeanty for 15 yds to the UthSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-3
86.0%
Taylen Green run for a loss of 3 yards to the BoiSt 49Similar
Q2 12:37
2ND & 13
OWN 49
+1
85.6%
Ashton Jeanty run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 10:54
3RD & 12
50
+50
89.5%
Taylen Green pass complete to Latrell Caples for 50 yds for a TD, (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1412% → 11%
Q2 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
88.5%
Jordan Wilmore run for 5 yds to the UthSt 38Similar
Q2 10:47
2ND & 5
OWN 38
0
88.2%
Jordan Wilmore run for no gain to the UthSt 38Similar
Q2 10:47
3RD & 5
OWN 38
0
88.4%
Cooper Legas pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:33
4TH & 5
OWN 38
0
88.9%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Latrell Caples at the BoiSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:0290% → 89%
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-3
89.5%
Taylen Green pass complete to Matt Lauter for a loss of 3 yards to the BoiSt 12Similar
Q2 9:33
2ND & 13
OWN 12
0
89.5%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:33
3RD & 13
OWN 12
0
89.3%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:31
4TH & 13
OWN 12
+7
89.1%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 45 yds , Cooper Jones returns for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5912% → 11%
Q2 8:31
1ST & 10
50
+2
88.3%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 2 yds to the BoiSt 48Similar
Q2 8:31
2ND & 8
OPP 48
0
88.3%
Cooper Legas pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:31
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+2
88.7%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Broc Lane for 2 yds to the BoiSt 46Similar
Q2 7:32
4TH & 6
OPP 46
0
88.8%
Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Latrell Caples at the BoiSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 13TD
8 plays · 87 yds · 2:5589% → 96%
Q2 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
89.4%
Taylen Green run for no gain to the BoiSt 13Similar
Q2 7:32
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+29
89.3%
Taylen Green pass complete to Matt Lauter for 29 yds to the BoiSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
89.8%
GREEN, Taylen pass to the left incomplete intended for BOWENS, Billy thrown to the USU15. PENALTY USU Pass Interference on STEELE, Xavion enforced 15 yards to the USU43 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
89.9%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:32
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+6
89.9%
George Holani run for 6 yds to the UthSt 37Similar
Q2 7:32
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+14
89.8%
George Holani run for 14 yds to the UthSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-2
90.0%
Ashton Jeanty run for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 25Similar
Q2 4:37
2ND & 12
OPP 25
+25
95.5%
Taylen Green pass complete to Eric McAlister for 25 yds for a TD, (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 14TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 4:376% → 12%
Q2 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.4%
Cooper Legas pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:37
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
94.4%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 9 yds to the UthSt 34Similar
Q2 4:37
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
94.1%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for no gain to the UthSt 34Similar
Q2 4:37
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+20
94.2%
Cooper Legas run for 20 yds to the BoiSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+21
93.8%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 21 yds to the BoiSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-1
93.5%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 26Similar
Q2 4:37
2ND & 11
OPP 26
+5
93.6%
LEGAS, Cooper pass up the middle incomplete intended for MCGRIFF, Justin thrown to the BST19. PENALTY Before the snap, BST Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the BST26 to the BST21. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 4:37
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+12
93.5%
Cooper Legas run for 12 yds to the BoiSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
93.5%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 3Similar
Q2 0:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
94.3%
UTAH ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BoiSt 8Similar
Q2 0:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
93.7%
Cooper Legas pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
94.0%
Cooper Legas run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 3Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
87.7%
Terrell Vaughn run for 3 yds for a TD, (Connor Coles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 15FG
12 plays · 70 yds · 4:3810% → 14%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
89.8%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 10 yds to the UthSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-3
89.5%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for a loss of 3 yards to the UthSt 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 32
+3
89.9%
Cooper Legas run for 3 yds to the UthSt 35Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+25
90.0%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 25 yds to the BoiSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
88.7%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 38Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+5
88.7%
LEGAS, Cooper pass to the right complete for 7 yards to COBBS, Brian caught at the BST32 and advanced to the BST31 (BIGGERS, Caleb). PENALTY BST Offsides on SIMPSON, Andrew enforced 5 yards from the BST38 to the BST33 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+10
88.0%
Terrell Vaughn run for 10 yds to the BoiSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+10
88.0%
Cooper Legas run for 10 yds to the BoiSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
88.0%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 6 yds to the BoiSt 7Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+2
88.0%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 5Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 5
0
88.5%
Terrell Vaughn pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:22
4TH & 2
OPP 5
+22
86.4%
Connor Coles 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 16TD
11 plays · 65 yds · 4:2388% → 96%
Q3 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
88.2%
Taylen Green run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 41Similar
Q3 10:22
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+1
88.9%
George Holani run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 42Similar
Q3 10:22
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+5
88.3%
Taylen Green pass complete to Latrell Caples for 5 yds to the BoiSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
88.9%
George Holani run for 4 yds to the UthSt 49Similar
Q3 10:22
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+12
88.9%
Taylen Green pass complete to Matt Lauter for 12 yds to the UthSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
89.0%
George Holani run for 4 yds to the UthSt 33Similar
Q3 10:22
2ND & 6
OPP 33
0
89.0%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:22
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+5
88.6%
GREEN, Taylen pass to the right incomplete intended for RAFDAL, Kurt thrown to the USU29. PENALTY USU Offsides on OKEKE, Omari enforced 5 yards from the USU33 to the USU28 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 10:22
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+27
88.6%
run for 27 yds to the UthSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
89.0%
Ashton Jeanty run for no gain to the UthSt 1Similar
Q3 5:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.0%
Taylen Green pass complete to Scott Matlock for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 17DOWNS
10 plays · 33 yds · 2:545% → 5%
Q3 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-5
94.8%
UTAH ST Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the UthSt 19Similar
Q3 5:53
1ST & 15
OWN 19
+18
94.9%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 18 yds to the UthSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
94.6%
Cooper Legas pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:53
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
94.6%
Cooper Legas pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:53
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+11
94.9%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Justin McGriff for 11 yds to the UthSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
94.5%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 48Similar
Q3 5:53
2ND & 6
OPP 48
-5
94.4%
UTAH ST Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the UthSt 47Similar
Q3 5:53
2ND & 11
OWN 47
+3
94.6%
Cooper Legas run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:53
3RD & 8
50
+7
94.5%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Justin McGriff for 7 yds to the BoiSt 43Similar
Q3 2:59
4TH & 1
OPP 43
0
95.1%
Brian Cobbs pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2796% → 96%
Q3 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
96.4%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:59
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+4
96.3%
Ashton Jeanty run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 47Similar
Q3 2:59
3RD & 6
OWN 47
+1
96.3%
Ashton Jeanty run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 48Similar
Q3 1:32
4TH & 5
OWN 48
0
96.2%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Cooper Jones at the UthSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 19TD
4 plays · 87 yds · 1:224% → 11%
Q3 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
95.6%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 1 yd to the UthSt 14Similar
Q3 1:32
2ND & 9
OWN 14
+8
95.7%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 8 yds to the UthSt 22Similar
Q3 1:32
3RD & 1
OWN 22
+3
95.4%
Cooper Legas run for 3 yds to the UthSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
89.1%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 75 yds for a TD, (Connor Coles KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:2091% → 90%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
91.3%
Ashton Jeanty run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 42Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+4
91.4%
Ashton Jeanty run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 46Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 46
0
90.9%
Ashton Jeanty run for no gain to the BoiSt 46Similar
Q4 13:40
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
90.4%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Cooper Jones at the UthSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 21TD
13 plays · 88 yds · 5:4111% → 33%
Q4 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
89.4%
Jordan Wilmore run for 5 yds to the UthSt 17Similar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 5
OWN 17
+6
89.5%
Jordan Wilmore run for 6 yds to the UthSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
89.3%
Jordan Wilmore run for 7 yds to the UthSt 30Similar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+6
88.1%
Cooper Legas run for 6 yds to the UthSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
88.2%
Cooper Legas pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
88.5%
Jordan Wilmore run for no gain to the UthSt 36Similar
Q4 13:40
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+12
89.8%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 12 yds to the UthSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+31
87.3%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 31 yds to the BoiSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
85.6%
Jordan Wilmore run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 20Similar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+5
85.6%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 15Similar
Q4 13:40
3RD & 4
OPP 15
+5
86.7%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Josh Sterzer for 5 yds to the BoiSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
85.6%
Cooper Legas run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 8Similar
Q4 7:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
67.3%
Calvin Tyler Jr. 8 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 36 yds · 2:2584% → 87%
Q4 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+7
83.7%
Taylen Green pass complete to Davis Koetter for 7 yds to the BoiSt 24Similar
Q4 7:53
2ND & 3
OWN 24
+3
84.0%
Ashton Jeanty run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+18
83.9%
Taylen Green pass complete to Latrell Caples for 18 yds to the BoiSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
85.8%
Ashton Jeanty run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 44Similar
Q4 7:53
2ND & 11
OWN 44
+9
85.0%
Taylen Green pass complete to Eric McAlister for 9 yds to the UthSt 47Similar
Q4 7:53
3RD & 2
OPP 47
0
86.1%
Taylen Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:28
4TH & 2
OPP 47
0
86.6%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Cooper Jones at the UthSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 23DOWNS
12 plays · 73 yds · 4:0023% → 18%
Q4 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
76.9%
Cooper Legas run for 2 yds to the UthSt 19Similar
Q4 5:28
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+8
77.2%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Justin McGriff for 8 yds to the UthSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
76.0%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Justin McGriff for 4 yds to the UthSt 31Similar
Q4 5:28
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+5
75.5%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Justin McGriff for 5 yds to the UthSt 36Similar
Q4 5:28
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+8
73.9%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 8 yds to the UthSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+41
73.2%
Cooper Legas pass complete to Justin McGriff for 41 yds to the BoiSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
68.6%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 11Similar
Q4 2:21
2ND & 6
OPP 11
0
69.0%
Cooper Legas pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:33
3RD & 6
OPP 11
-3
78.0%
Cooper Legas run for a loss of 3 yards to the BoiSt 14Similar
Q4 1:28
4TH & 9
OPP 14
0
81.7%
Cooper Legas pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 24TD
3 plays · 90 yds · 0:1495% → 98%
Q4 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-1
94.8%
Ashton Jeanty run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 9Similar
Q4 1:09
2ND & 11
OWN 9
+91
98.2%
Taylen Green run for 91 yds for a TD, (Jonah Dalmas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 25INT TD
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:333% → 1%
Q4 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
97.5%
Cooper Legas pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:04
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
97.6%
Cooper Legas pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:04
3RD & 10
OWN 40
-7
97.7%
Cooper Legas sacked by Andrew Simpson for a loss of 7 yards to the UthSt 33Similar
Q4 0:31
4TH & 17
OWN 33
-48
98.6%
Seyi Oladipo 48 Yd Interception Return (Jonah Dalmas Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 26END OF 4TH QUARTER
2 plays · 15 yds · 0:262% → 2%
Q4 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
98.5%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 11 yds to the BoiSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
98.4%
Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:59
Calvin Tyler Jr. 8 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
-18.3
TD · Q3 5:59
Taylen Green pass complete to Scott Matlock for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonah Dalmas KICK)
+7
TD · Q2 0:00
Terrell Vaughn run for 3 yds for a TD, (Connor Coles KICK)
-6.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com